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Role of gas in energy security and
future energy market direction




Vilius Bernatonis
Warsaw, 19 March 2013
Information Only – Not Legal Advice

                       The information available to you on this presentation is provided for informational
                       purposes only. It does not constitute legal advice. Any opinions expressed on this
                       presentation should be considered as personal opinion only and are not to be relied upon
                       as legal advice.




Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                    2
Agenda

                       • Baltic gas market overview
                       • 3rd energy package implementation in the Baltics
                       • LNG terminal and other alternatives of supply




Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                              3
Wholesale gas prices in Europe




                                                 Source: DG ENERGY MARKET OBSERVATORY FOR ENERGY VOLUME 5, ISSUES 2 & 3: April 2012 – September 2012


Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                                                         4
Gas prices: households vs. industrial

              Households                                                                                                             Industrial




                                                 Source: DG ENERGY MARKET OBSERVATORY FOR ENERGY VOLUME 5, ISSUES 2 & 3: April 2012 – September 2012


Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                                                         5
Baltic states: border prices




                                                 Source: DG ENERGY MARKET OBSERVATORY FOR ENERGY VOLUME 5, ISSUES 2 & 3: April 2012 – September 2012


Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                                                         6
Baltic gas market – key tendencies

                       Diversification of supply sources and security of supply
                       Creation of competitive market
                       Strategic infrastructure developments




Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                     7
Agenda

                       • Baltic gas market overview
                       • 3rd energy package implementation in the Baltics
                       • LNG terminal and other alternatives of supply




Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                              8
Regulation of energy in EU




              1996/1998                                            2003                                   2009
                                                                  Second
                 First energy                                                                         Third energy
                                                                   energy
                 package                                                                                package
                                                                  package


• Adoption of internal market general                 • Requirement to separate activities of   • Seeking to finalize the process
regulations in electricity and gas                    energy sectors – legal and functional       of energy market liberalization
sectors                                               unbundling                                  and to ensure open and
                                                                                                  competitive market of energy
• Energy market liberalization starts                                                             resources


         at present, there are obstacles to the sale of gas on equal terms and without discrimination
         (Directive 2009/73/EC)


     Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                         9
Implementation of the Directive in the Baltics

  Ownership unbundling                                  Independent System               Independent transmission operator
                                                             Operator                        (organizational separation)

         Vertically integrated                            Vertically integrated                   Vertically integrated
               company                                          company                                 company


                                                        DSO              Supply               DSO                Supply
   DSO                           Supply

                                                            Transmission system
                                                                                                Transmission system and
                                                                                                    independent TSO
              TSO and
         transmission system                             Independent operator


                                                                           ?
An independent transmission                      The transmission system is owned by       Transmission system is owned by the
system operator, that owns                       the vertically integrated company. An     vertically integrated company. An
the system, is established                       independent operator is                   independent transmission operator is
                                                 appointed. Legal means to ensure          appointed within the organization of the
                                                 independence of the TSO                   integrated company. Specific additional
                                                                                           restrictions are applied to ensure
                                                                                           independence of the TSO
Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                               10
Ownership unbundling in Lithuania

Electricity sector                                                                Natural gas sector
                                                  In 2010 the concept                                     A legal basis has been
                                                  amendment on the Law                                    created whereby the
                                                  of Electricity was                                      vertically      integrated
                                                  approved.                                               company               (AB
                                                                                                          LIETUVOS          DUJOS)
                                                  Ownership and activity                                  will be split to meet the
                                                  separation is                                           ownership unbundling
                                                  implemented:                                            requirements


• Transmission activity – AB LITGRID                                              In 2011 the following legal acts were enacted:
• Distribution activity – AB LESTO                                                • Amendments to the Law on Natural Gas;
• Production activity – AB LIETUVOS ENERGIJA                                      • The Law on Implementation of Amendments
                                                                                  to the Law on Natural Gas.

LITGRID has been                                  delivered   the   electricity
transmission grid.                                                                AB LIETUVOS DUJOS presented the
                                                                                  unbundling plan in May 2012
The final step was transfer of control rights over
state-owned shares in Distribution System                                               The ownership unbundling
Operator (AB LESTO) and the generation and
supply company (AB LIETUVOS ENERGIJA) to                                                Is in progress.
the Ministry of Finance in February 2013.

 Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                               11
Reorganization models
1. Procedure of control restructuring                                 2. Reorganization procedure

• “Volunteer restructuring” – initiative on
method of unbundling by the vertically                                • If the “volunteer restructuring” is not
integrated undertaking                                                initiated the Terms of Reorganization
                                                                      must be prepared
• The control of the company is reorganized
through transactions chosen by the
company (of transfer of property, transfer of                         • The Terms of Reorganization are
shares, transfer of shareholder rights,                               analyzed by the National Energy
shareholder agreement, increase or reduction                          Regulator
of authorized capital, etc.)
                                                                      • Reorganization of the vertically
• The process is controlled by the National
Energy Regulator (the National Control                                integrated undertaking in accordance
Commission for Prices and Energy)                                     with the general norms of the Civil
                                                                      Code and the Law on Joint Stock
• Ownership unbundling and absence of                                 Companies of the Republic of Lithuania
illegal control must be assured by
31 October 2014

• Upon completion of the procedure, a
certification is issued by the National
Energy Regulator, asserting the ownership
unbundling


   Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                        12
Reorganization plan of AB Lietuvos dujos


• Before 31 July, 2013
   − The legal and functional separation
     of TSO must be completed                                         Shareholders
   − The plan of implementation
     presented in May 2012
   − The Terms of Reorganization
     approved in January 2013
   − Process is on track for completion            TSO company
                                                                 TSO separation
• Before 31 October, 2014                                                            Transmission    Distribution    Supply
                                                                                        activity       activity      activity
   − Ownership unbundling must be
     finally completed
                                                                                                             Establishment of DSO
   − Control of the TSO must be
     transferred to complying entities
                                                                                                    DSO company


 Sanctions
  In case natural gas companies fail to comply with the requirements in full and on time, the National Control
  Commission for Prices and Energy may take a decision to issue a fine of up to ten per cent (10%) of annual
  income received by the violating company

  Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                                13
Latvian model

• Latvia has an explicit derogation from the
  Directive exempting it from unbundling rules (Article
  49)
• The certification of the gas TSOs has not taken place                                                                                     Shareholders
  yet but the process for separating the electricity TSO
  has started
• The bill on gas market liberalization was planned to
  be approved on March 5, 2013.
• However, Saeima committee put forward a proposal
                                                                                                                             Transmission   Distribution   Supply
  to use the derogation and considerably postpone the                                                                           activity      activity     activity
  implementation of the Directive




      Mixed messages in the Baltics on market liberalisation
      Joshua Posaner
      15 March 2013 | 15:13 GMT

      Two of the Baltic states have signalled very different approaches to the EU’s market liberalisation strategy in recent
      days, with Lithuania ploughing forward with plans to unbundle its network operator but politicians in
      Latvia mulling over postponing its implementation, possibly as far back as 2018.
      http://interfaxenergy.com/natural-gas-news-analysis/european/mixed-messages-in-the-baltics-on-market-liberalisation/


Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                                                                        14
Estonian model


Under the Natural gas act of June 7, 2012,
Estonia has opted for ownership unbundling
                                                                     Shareholders




                                        Ownership unbundling to be
                                        implemented by 2015




Prior to enactment of the unbundling                                                AS EG Ehitus was established
requirements, legally unbundled TSO (AS                                             in December 2004, separating
EG Võrguteenus) was established and                                                 out the construction and
operating as of January 1, 2006                                                     maintenance of gas transmission
                                                                                    and distribution infrastructure


  Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                            15
The Baltics after the 3rd energy package implementation

       • Issues to be considered:

                 ○ Lithuania is in arbitration disputes with Gazrpom over ownership unbundling


                 ○ Which Third Energy Directive model is “easier” on the market?




       Without effective separation of networks from activities of production and supply (effective
       unbundling), there is a risk of discrimination not only by operation of the network but also
       in the incentives for vertically integrated undertakings to invest inadequately in the networks
       (Directive 2009/73/EC) (emphasis added)



                 ○ The Directive requires the same result to be achieved by any of the three
                      implementation models

                 ○ Is the “easiness” of ISO and ITO models is merely a myth?



Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                           16
Which one is “easier”?

  Ownership unbundling                           Independent System       Independent transmission operator
                                                      Operator                (organizational separation)

         Vertically integrated                    Vertically integrated
                                                                              Vertically integrated company
               company                                  company


                                                 DSO             Supply        DSO              Supply
   DSO                           Supply

                                                    Transmission system
                                                                                Transmission system and
                                                                                    independent TSO
              TSO and
         transmission system                     Independent operator

  Future of the Baltic gas markets largely turns on the success of ownership unbundling

                                                       however…
           Which way will Latvia go?
           How will ownership unbundling be implemented in Estonia and Lithuania?
           How will real competition in the gas market be achieved?


Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                                                17
Agenda

                       • Baltic gas market overview
                       • 3rd energy package implementation in the Baltics
                       • LNG terminal and other alternatives of supply




Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                              18
LNG terminal in Klaipeda and GIPL connection

                                                            Regional LNG terminal included in the
                                                             BEMIP long term plan, however, no
                                                             definitive decisions are made yet
                                                            AB Klaipedos nafta implementing an
                                                             FSRU project in Klaipeda
                                                            The Klaipeda LNG terminal is
                                                             scheduled to be fully operational in
                                                             December 2014
                                                            The FSRU is contracted and under
                                                             construction, scheduled to be out of
                                                             the shipyard by spring 2014
                                                            The harbour dredging works for the
                                                             terminal are contracted and under
                                                             way
 On land interconnector between Poland and Lithuania       EPC for the FSRU jetty signed on
  (GIPL) included in the BEMIP long term plan                18 March 2013
 Studies are under way but no investment decisions were    The planned capacity of the
  made to date                                               terminal is up to 4 bcm per year
 Terms of implementation of the project to be defined



   Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania                                            19
Shale gas in Lithuania


 Shale gas reserves are forecasted
  in Lithuania
 Two tenders for shale gas
  exploration licenses were
  announced in 2012
 At the end of 2012, the tenders
  were suspended for discussion
  with the local community
 Based on the current legislation,
  some of the oil exploration
  licenses may extend to shale gas
 Shale gas commercial production
  would have a revolutionary
  influence on the local gas




Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania   20
THANK YOU!


                          Estonia
                          Roosikrantsi 2
                          10119 Tallinn
                          estonia@tgslegal.com
                          Phone +372 611 0900

                          Latvia
                          Andreja Pumpura 2
                          LV-1010 Riga
                          latvia@tgslegal.com
                          Phone +371 6788 9999


                          Lithuania
                          Didžioji 23
                          LT-01128 Vilnius
                          lithuania@tgslegal.com
                          Phone +370 5251 4444

                          www.tarkgruntesutkiene.com


Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania         21

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Role of gas in energy security and future energy market direction 2013

  • 1. Role of gas in energy security and future energy market direction Vilius Bernatonis Warsaw, 19 March 2013
  • 2. Information Only – Not Legal Advice The information available to you on this presentation is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute legal advice. Any opinions expressed on this presentation should be considered as personal opinion only and are not to be relied upon as legal advice. Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 2
  • 3. Agenda • Baltic gas market overview • 3rd energy package implementation in the Baltics • LNG terminal and other alternatives of supply Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 3
  • 4. Wholesale gas prices in Europe Source: DG ENERGY MARKET OBSERVATORY FOR ENERGY VOLUME 5, ISSUES 2 & 3: April 2012 – September 2012 Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 4
  • 5. Gas prices: households vs. industrial Households Industrial Source: DG ENERGY MARKET OBSERVATORY FOR ENERGY VOLUME 5, ISSUES 2 & 3: April 2012 – September 2012 Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 5
  • 6. Baltic states: border prices Source: DG ENERGY MARKET OBSERVATORY FOR ENERGY VOLUME 5, ISSUES 2 & 3: April 2012 – September 2012 Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 6
  • 7. Baltic gas market – key tendencies Diversification of supply sources and security of supply Creation of competitive market Strategic infrastructure developments Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 7
  • 8. Agenda • Baltic gas market overview • 3rd energy package implementation in the Baltics • LNG terminal and other alternatives of supply Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 8
  • 9. Regulation of energy in EU 1996/1998 2003 2009 Second First energy Third energy energy package package package • Adoption of internal market general • Requirement to separate activities of • Seeking to finalize the process regulations in electricity and gas energy sectors – legal and functional of energy market liberalization sectors unbundling and to ensure open and competitive market of energy • Energy market liberalization starts resources at present, there are obstacles to the sale of gas on equal terms and without discrimination (Directive 2009/73/EC) Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 9
  • 10. Implementation of the Directive in the Baltics Ownership unbundling Independent System Independent transmission operator Operator (organizational separation) Vertically integrated Vertically integrated Vertically integrated company company company DSO Supply DSO Supply DSO Supply Transmission system Transmission system and independent TSO TSO and transmission system Independent operator ? An independent transmission The transmission system is owned by Transmission system is owned by the system operator, that owns the vertically integrated company. An vertically integrated company. An the system, is established independent operator is independent transmission operator is appointed. Legal means to ensure appointed within the organization of the independence of the TSO integrated company. Specific additional restrictions are applied to ensure independence of the TSO Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 10
  • 11. Ownership unbundling in Lithuania Electricity sector Natural gas sector In 2010 the concept A legal basis has been amendment on the Law created whereby the of Electricity was vertically integrated approved. company (AB LIETUVOS DUJOS) Ownership and activity will be split to meet the separation is ownership unbundling implemented: requirements • Transmission activity – AB LITGRID In 2011 the following legal acts were enacted: • Distribution activity – AB LESTO • Amendments to the Law on Natural Gas; • Production activity – AB LIETUVOS ENERGIJA • The Law on Implementation of Amendments to the Law on Natural Gas. LITGRID has been delivered the electricity transmission grid. AB LIETUVOS DUJOS presented the unbundling plan in May 2012 The final step was transfer of control rights over state-owned shares in Distribution System The ownership unbundling Operator (AB LESTO) and the generation and supply company (AB LIETUVOS ENERGIJA) to Is in progress. the Ministry of Finance in February 2013. Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 11
  • 12. Reorganization models 1. Procedure of control restructuring 2. Reorganization procedure • “Volunteer restructuring” – initiative on method of unbundling by the vertically • If the “volunteer restructuring” is not integrated undertaking initiated the Terms of Reorganization must be prepared • The control of the company is reorganized through transactions chosen by the company (of transfer of property, transfer of • The Terms of Reorganization are shares, transfer of shareholder rights, analyzed by the National Energy shareholder agreement, increase or reduction Regulator of authorized capital, etc.) • Reorganization of the vertically • The process is controlled by the National Energy Regulator (the National Control integrated undertaking in accordance Commission for Prices and Energy) with the general norms of the Civil Code and the Law on Joint Stock • Ownership unbundling and absence of Companies of the Republic of Lithuania illegal control must be assured by 31 October 2014 • Upon completion of the procedure, a certification is issued by the National Energy Regulator, asserting the ownership unbundling Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 12
  • 13. Reorganization plan of AB Lietuvos dujos • Before 31 July, 2013 − The legal and functional separation of TSO must be completed Shareholders − The plan of implementation presented in May 2012 − The Terms of Reorganization approved in January 2013 − Process is on track for completion TSO company TSO separation • Before 31 October, 2014 Transmission Distribution Supply activity activity activity − Ownership unbundling must be finally completed Establishment of DSO − Control of the TSO must be transferred to complying entities DSO company Sanctions In case natural gas companies fail to comply with the requirements in full and on time, the National Control Commission for Prices and Energy may take a decision to issue a fine of up to ten per cent (10%) of annual income received by the violating company Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 13
  • 14. Latvian model • Latvia has an explicit derogation from the Directive exempting it from unbundling rules (Article 49) • The certification of the gas TSOs has not taken place Shareholders yet but the process for separating the electricity TSO has started • The bill on gas market liberalization was planned to be approved on March 5, 2013. • However, Saeima committee put forward a proposal Transmission Distribution Supply to use the derogation and considerably postpone the activity activity activity implementation of the Directive Mixed messages in the Baltics on market liberalisation Joshua Posaner 15 March 2013 | 15:13 GMT Two of the Baltic states have signalled very different approaches to the EU’s market liberalisation strategy in recent days, with Lithuania ploughing forward with plans to unbundle its network operator but politicians in Latvia mulling over postponing its implementation, possibly as far back as 2018. http://interfaxenergy.com/natural-gas-news-analysis/european/mixed-messages-in-the-baltics-on-market-liberalisation/ Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 14
  • 15. Estonian model Under the Natural gas act of June 7, 2012, Estonia has opted for ownership unbundling Shareholders Ownership unbundling to be implemented by 2015 Prior to enactment of the unbundling AS EG Ehitus was established requirements, legally unbundled TSO (AS in December 2004, separating EG Võrguteenus) was established and out the construction and operating as of January 1, 2006 maintenance of gas transmission and distribution infrastructure Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 15
  • 16. The Baltics after the 3rd energy package implementation • Issues to be considered: ○ Lithuania is in arbitration disputes with Gazrpom over ownership unbundling ○ Which Third Energy Directive model is “easier” on the market? Without effective separation of networks from activities of production and supply (effective unbundling), there is a risk of discrimination not only by operation of the network but also in the incentives for vertically integrated undertakings to invest inadequately in the networks (Directive 2009/73/EC) (emphasis added) ○ The Directive requires the same result to be achieved by any of the three implementation models ○ Is the “easiness” of ISO and ITO models is merely a myth? Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 16
  • 17. Which one is “easier”? Ownership unbundling Independent System Independent transmission operator Operator (organizational separation) Vertically integrated Vertically integrated Vertically integrated company company company DSO Supply DSO Supply DSO Supply Transmission system Transmission system and independent TSO TSO and transmission system Independent operator Future of the Baltic gas markets largely turns on the success of ownership unbundling however…  Which way will Latvia go?  How will ownership unbundling be implemented in Estonia and Lithuania?  How will real competition in the gas market be achieved? Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 17
  • 18. Agenda • Baltic gas market overview • 3rd energy package implementation in the Baltics • LNG terminal and other alternatives of supply Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 18
  • 19. LNG terminal in Klaipeda and GIPL connection  Regional LNG terminal included in the BEMIP long term plan, however, no definitive decisions are made yet  AB Klaipedos nafta implementing an FSRU project in Klaipeda  The Klaipeda LNG terminal is scheduled to be fully operational in December 2014  The FSRU is contracted and under construction, scheduled to be out of the shipyard by spring 2014  The harbour dredging works for the terminal are contracted and under way  On land interconnector between Poland and Lithuania  EPC for the FSRU jetty signed on (GIPL) included in the BEMIP long term plan 18 March 2013  Studies are under way but no investment decisions were  The planned capacity of the made to date terminal is up to 4 bcm per year  Terms of implementation of the project to be defined Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 19
  • 20. Shale gas in Lithuania  Shale gas reserves are forecasted in Lithuania  Two tenders for shale gas exploration licenses were announced in 2012  At the end of 2012, the tenders were suspended for discussion with the local community  Based on the current legislation, some of the oil exploration licenses may extend to shale gas  Shale gas commercial production would have a revolutionary influence on the local gas Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 20
  • 21. THANK YOU! Estonia Roosikrantsi 2 10119 Tallinn estonia@tgslegal.com Phone +372 611 0900 Latvia Andreja Pumpura 2 LV-1010 Riga latvia@tgslegal.com Phone +371 6788 9999 Lithuania Didžioji 23 LT-01128 Vilnius lithuania@tgslegal.com Phone +370 5251 4444 www.tarkgruntesutkiene.com Legal services in Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania 21