This document summarizes a presentation on analyzing COVID-19 data from France, Italy, and Quebec. It discusses factors that influence analyses like respiratory capacity, smoking rates, and pollution levels in northern Italy. The presentation estimates the number of days from confirmation to death, death ratios in Italy and France, and predicts total deaths in those countries and Quebec within a week. While current data makes the crisis difficult to assess, it appears pollution and smoking influence deaths, and many people were contaminated before containment measures.

1. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Presentation:
Alex Smail ENG.,M. medical devices ENG
A science without data is
simply an illusion
COVID-19 DATA Analyses

2. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Disclaimer
1) Any information provided is not medical
advice and cannot replace a medical visit.
2) This analysis is simply an estimation and
the validity depend on the information
presented by the formal institutions.

3. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
To make an estimate of the number of patients
who can die likely from COVID-19
We use a built-in software that allows us to make
correlations between the data presented by
France and Italy, these correlations can be
affected by several factors among
others pollution which is much higher
in northern Italy relatively to Quebec.

4. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Beforehand let's present elements that can
influence the veracity of the analyses:
- Respiratory capacity
- Percentage of smokers (males/females)
- Pollution in Italy

5. Figure 1: FEV1/FVC
COVID-19 DATA Analyses
This figure shows that the FEV1/FVC ration
decreases with age.
Respiratory capacity

6. Figure 2: Percentage of smokers in world
COVID-19 DATA Analyses
This figure shows a higher prevalence of
smoking among men
Percentage of smokers (male/female)

7. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Pollution in Italy
Figure 3: Pollution in northern part of Italy
The figure 3 shows that the north Italy has the highest pollution in Europe
How air pollution is destroying our health:
pollutants in the air can slip past our body’s
defences, penetrating deep into our respiratory
and circulatory system, damaging our lungs

8. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Pollution in Italy
Turin, Milan and Naples are the three European
cities where the concentration of fine particulate
matter is the most dangerous, according to a
report by the World Health Organization, which is
based on measurements taken
between 2013 and 2016
.(https://www.who.int/fr/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/ambient-(outdoor)-air-quality-and-health)

9. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Estimation
Here an overview of the software used to data analyses
Figure 4: Total cases in Italy, France and Quebec

10. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Estimation
The software allows to:
- Estimate the number of days from the covid-19 confirmation to
death
- The death ratio for confirmed cases for Italy and France
- Estimate the total death for next week, for
Italy, France and Quebec

11. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Italy Analyses
Starting
Containment
despite the containment the number of cases is increasing in Italy, this
means a large part was already contaminated before containment.
April 8, 2020

12. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
France and Quebec Analyses
The curve in Quebec follows France curve with a delay, this will be used to make an extrapolation future
estimation.

13. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Estimation Results as of April 8, 2020
17704
7719
XXX
Total deaths:
- Italy
- France
- Quebec

14. COVID-19 DATA Analyses
Conclusion
With the current data it is very difficult to have a clear idea of the situation of the COvid-
19 crisis. It seems that pollution and smoking have an influence on the number of
deaths. Also, it appears that many people are contaminated before containment.
Avoiding A Dangerous Future!
more surveillance of population more pollution if we bring all
production from china
New virus

15. Thanks!
COVID-19 DATA Analyses