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Project Cost
Management
Sections of this presentation were adapted
from A Guide to the Project Management
Body of Knowledge 3rd Edition, Project
Management Institute Inc., © 2004
Project Cost Management
“The processes involved in planning,
estimating, budgeting, and controlling
costs so that the budget can be completed
within the approved budget”
Why Do We Manage Cost?
Part of triple constraint, can’t manage one without
the others (scope, time, and quality)
Plots of cost and scope against plan can help spot
problems early
Cumulative
Value
Time
Planned
Value (PV)
Actual
Costs (AC)
Earned
Value (EV)
Today
Is this project
over/under budget?
Is it ahead of/behind
schedule?
Cost Management Key Terms
PV - Planned Value, estimated value of the planned work
EV – Earned Value, estimated value of work done
AC – Actual Cost, what you paid
BAC – Budget at Completion, the budget for the total job
EAC –Estimate at Completion, what is the total job
expected to cost?
ETC – Estimate to Complete, forecasted costs to complete
job
VAC – Variance at Completion, how much over/under
budget do we expect to be?
How Do We Manage Cost?
Three processes
 Cost Estimating
 Cost Budgeting
 Cost Control
Cost
Estimating
Cost
Budgeting
Cost
Control
Cost Estimating
Enterprise
Environmental
Factors
Organizational
Process Assets
Project Scope
Statement
Analogous estimating
Determine resource cost
rates
Bottom up estimating
Parametric estimating
Project management
software
Vendor bid analysis
Reserve analysis
Cost of quality
Inputs
Outputs
Tools & Techniques
Work Breakdown
Structure
WBS Dictionary
Cost
Estimating
Cost
Budgeting
Cost
Control
Project
Management Plan
•Schedule Mgmt Pln
•Staffing Mgmt Pln
•Risk Register
Activity Cost
Estimates
Activity Cost
Estimates
Supporting Detail
Requested Changes
Cost Management
Plan Updates
Estimating Methods
Analogous (Top Down) estimating – Managers
use expert judgment or similar project costs
[quick, less accurate]
Bottom-Up estimating – People doing work
estimate based on WBS, rolled up into project
estimate [slow, most accurate]
Parametric estimating – Use mathematical model
(i.e. cost per sq ft). [accuracy varies] Two types:
Regression analysis – based on analysis of multiple
data points
Learning Curve – The first unit costs more than the
100th, forecasts efficiency gains
Estimating Methods
Vendor Bid Analysis – Estimating using bids +
allowances for gaps in bid scope [slow, accuracy
depends on gaps]
Reserve Analysis – Adding contingency to each
activity cost estimates as zero duration item [slow,
overstates cost]
Cost Budgeting
Project Scope Statement Cost aggregation
Reserve analysis
Parametric estimating
Funding limit reconciliation
Inputs
Outputs
Tools & Techniques
Cost
Estimating
Cost
Budgeting
Cost
Control
Cost Baseline
Project Funding
Requirements
Cost Management
Plan Updates
Requested Changes
Work Breakdown Structure
WBS Dictionary
Activity Cost Estimates
Activity Cost Estimates
Supporting Detail
Project Schedule
Resource Calendars
Contract
Cost Management Plan
Cost Budgeting
Budgeting is allocating costs to work packages
to establish a cost baseline to measure project
performance
Remember Contingency items are for unplanned
but required changes it is not to cover things
such as:
 Price escalation
 Scope & Quality Changes
Funding Limit Reconciliation – Smoothing out
the project spend to meet management
expectations
Cost Control
Cost Baseline
Project Funding
Requirements
Performance
Reports
Cost change control system
Performance measurement
analysis
Forecasting
Project performance reviews
Project management
software
Variance management
Inputs
Outputs
Tools & Techniques
Work Performance
Information
Approved Change
Requests
Cost
Estimating
Cost
Budgeting
Cost
Control
Project
Management Plan
Cost Estimate
Updates
Cost Baseline
Updates
Performance
Measurements
Forecasted
Completion
Requested Changes
Recommended
Corrective Actions
Organizational
Process Assets
Updates
Project Management
Plan Updates
Earned Value
Progress is compared against the
baseline to determine whether
project is ahead of or behind plan
Percent complete can be difficult
to measure, some managers use
rules
 50/50 Rule – Assumed 50%
complete when task started, final
50% at completion
 20/80 Rule – 20% at start
 0/100 Rule – No credit until complete
Planned Value
(PV) – Budgeted
Cost
Earned Value
(EV) – Actual
work completed
Actual Cost (AC)
– Costs incurred
Estimate to
Complete (ETC)
– What’s Left
Estimate at
Completion
(EAC) – What
final cost will be
Earned
Value
Graph
Variance at
Completion
(VAC)
Target
Cost &
Schedule
Schedule
Variance
(Time)
Planned
Value (PV)
Earned
Value (EV)
Earned Value Formulas
NAME FORMULA NOTES
Cost Variance (CV) EV-AC Negative = Over budget
Positive = Under budget
Schedule Variance
(SV)
EV-PV Negative = Behind Schedule
Positive = Ahead of Schedule
Cost Performance
Index (CPI)
EV/AC How much are we getting for every
dollar we spend?
Schedule Perform
Index (SPI)
EV/PV Progress as % against plan
Estimate to
Complete (ETC)
EAC-AC How much more do we have to
spend?
Variance at
Completion (VAC)
BAC-EAC At the end of the day, how close will
we be to plan?
Estimate at
Completion (EAC)
See following slide
Earned Value Formulas (Cont’d)
NAME FORMULA NOTES
Estimate at
Completion (EAC)
BAC/CPI Use if no variances from
BAC have occurred
AC+ATC Use when original
estimate was bad. Actuals
+ New estimate
AC+BAC-EV Use when current
variances are not expected
to be there in the future
AC+(BAC-EV)/CPI Use when current
variances are expected to
continue
Barn Exercise
You have a project to build a new barn.
The specs for building the barn are to
construct 4 sides and then an angled roof.
Each side of the barn is to take one day to
build as is the roof. The budgeted amount
is $2,000 per side and $2000 applied to
the roof cost. The sides are to be
completed one after the other. Today is
the end of day four.
Tricks for Earned Value
EV is always first
Variance = EV minus something
Index = EV divided by something
If the formula relates to cost use AC
If the formula relates to schedule use PV
Interpreting results: negative is bad and positive is good
Interpreting results: greater than one is good, less than
one is bad
PV
AC ETC
EAC
BAC
Project
Start
Current
Status
Terms to Remember
Present Value
Net Present Value (NPV)
Internal Rate of Return
(IRR)
Payback Period
Benefit Cost Ratio =
BCR>1, Payback is greater
than the cost
Opportunity Cost
Sunk Cost
Working Capital
Straight Line Depreciation
Accelerated Depreciation
 Double Declining Balance
 Sum of Years Digits
Value Analysis (Value
Engineering)
You won’t be calculating most of these numbers on the test,
just remember the concepts for general questions
Answers to Questions
1 – C
2 – D
3 – B
4 – A
5 – C
6 – B
7 – C
8 – A
Answers to Questions (Cont’d)
What is: Calculation: Answer: Interpretation of Answer:
PV $500+$500+$500 $1,500 We should have completed $1500
EV $500+$500+$250 $1,250
We actually completed $1,250
worth of work
AC $500+$1000+$250 $1,750 We have actually spent $1,750
BAC $500+$500+$500+$500 $2,000 Our project budget is $2000
CV $1,250 - $1,750 -$500 We are over budget by $500
CPI $1,250/$1,750 0.714
We are only getting $0.71 out of
every dollar that we are spending
on the project
SV $1,250 - $1,500 -$250 We are behind schedule
SPI $1,250/$1,500 0.833
We are progressing at 83% of the
planned rate
EAC $2,000/0.714 $2,801
We currently estimate the project
will cost $2,801
ETC $2,801-$1,750 $1,051
We need to spend $1,051 to finish
the project
VAC $2,000 - $2,801 -$801
We currently expect to be $801
over budget when the project is
completed

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cost-managementtttttttttttttttttttttttttttttt.ppt

  • 1. Project Cost Management Sections of this presentation were adapted from A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge 3rd Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., © 2004
  • 2. Project Cost Management “The processes involved in planning, estimating, budgeting, and controlling costs so that the budget can be completed within the approved budget”
  • 3. Why Do We Manage Cost? Part of triple constraint, can’t manage one without the others (scope, time, and quality) Plots of cost and scope against plan can help spot problems early Cumulative Value Time Planned Value (PV) Actual Costs (AC) Earned Value (EV) Today Is this project over/under budget? Is it ahead of/behind schedule?
  • 4. Cost Management Key Terms PV - Planned Value, estimated value of the planned work EV – Earned Value, estimated value of work done AC – Actual Cost, what you paid BAC – Budget at Completion, the budget for the total job EAC –Estimate at Completion, what is the total job expected to cost? ETC – Estimate to Complete, forecasted costs to complete job VAC – Variance at Completion, how much over/under budget do we expect to be?
  • 5. How Do We Manage Cost? Three processes  Cost Estimating  Cost Budgeting  Cost Control Cost Estimating Cost Budgeting Cost Control
  • 6. Cost Estimating Enterprise Environmental Factors Organizational Process Assets Project Scope Statement Analogous estimating Determine resource cost rates Bottom up estimating Parametric estimating Project management software Vendor bid analysis Reserve analysis Cost of quality Inputs Outputs Tools & Techniques Work Breakdown Structure WBS Dictionary Cost Estimating Cost Budgeting Cost Control Project Management Plan •Schedule Mgmt Pln •Staffing Mgmt Pln •Risk Register Activity Cost Estimates Activity Cost Estimates Supporting Detail Requested Changes Cost Management Plan Updates
  • 7. Estimating Methods Analogous (Top Down) estimating – Managers use expert judgment or similar project costs [quick, less accurate] Bottom-Up estimating – People doing work estimate based on WBS, rolled up into project estimate [slow, most accurate] Parametric estimating – Use mathematical model (i.e. cost per sq ft). [accuracy varies] Two types: Regression analysis – based on analysis of multiple data points Learning Curve – The first unit costs more than the 100th, forecasts efficiency gains
  • 8. Estimating Methods Vendor Bid Analysis – Estimating using bids + allowances for gaps in bid scope [slow, accuracy depends on gaps] Reserve Analysis – Adding contingency to each activity cost estimates as zero duration item [slow, overstates cost]
  • 9. Cost Budgeting Project Scope Statement Cost aggregation Reserve analysis Parametric estimating Funding limit reconciliation Inputs Outputs Tools & Techniques Cost Estimating Cost Budgeting Cost Control Cost Baseline Project Funding Requirements Cost Management Plan Updates Requested Changes Work Breakdown Structure WBS Dictionary Activity Cost Estimates Activity Cost Estimates Supporting Detail Project Schedule Resource Calendars Contract Cost Management Plan
  • 10. Cost Budgeting Budgeting is allocating costs to work packages to establish a cost baseline to measure project performance Remember Contingency items are for unplanned but required changes it is not to cover things such as:  Price escalation  Scope & Quality Changes Funding Limit Reconciliation – Smoothing out the project spend to meet management expectations
  • 11. Cost Control Cost Baseline Project Funding Requirements Performance Reports Cost change control system Performance measurement analysis Forecasting Project performance reviews Project management software Variance management Inputs Outputs Tools & Techniques Work Performance Information Approved Change Requests Cost Estimating Cost Budgeting Cost Control Project Management Plan Cost Estimate Updates Cost Baseline Updates Performance Measurements Forecasted Completion Requested Changes Recommended Corrective Actions Organizational Process Assets Updates Project Management Plan Updates
  • 12. Earned Value Progress is compared against the baseline to determine whether project is ahead of or behind plan Percent complete can be difficult to measure, some managers use rules  50/50 Rule – Assumed 50% complete when task started, final 50% at completion  20/80 Rule – 20% at start  0/100 Rule – No credit until complete Planned Value (PV) – Budgeted Cost Earned Value (EV) – Actual work completed Actual Cost (AC) – Costs incurred Estimate to Complete (ETC) – What’s Left Estimate at Completion (EAC) – What final cost will be
  • 14. Earned Value Formulas NAME FORMULA NOTES Cost Variance (CV) EV-AC Negative = Over budget Positive = Under budget Schedule Variance (SV) EV-PV Negative = Behind Schedule Positive = Ahead of Schedule Cost Performance Index (CPI) EV/AC How much are we getting for every dollar we spend? Schedule Perform Index (SPI) EV/PV Progress as % against plan Estimate to Complete (ETC) EAC-AC How much more do we have to spend? Variance at Completion (VAC) BAC-EAC At the end of the day, how close will we be to plan? Estimate at Completion (EAC) See following slide
  • 15. Earned Value Formulas (Cont’d) NAME FORMULA NOTES Estimate at Completion (EAC) BAC/CPI Use if no variances from BAC have occurred AC+ATC Use when original estimate was bad. Actuals + New estimate AC+BAC-EV Use when current variances are not expected to be there in the future AC+(BAC-EV)/CPI Use when current variances are expected to continue
  • 16. Barn Exercise You have a project to build a new barn. The specs for building the barn are to construct 4 sides and then an angled roof. Each side of the barn is to take one day to build as is the roof. The budgeted amount is $2,000 per side and $2000 applied to the roof cost. The sides are to be completed one after the other. Today is the end of day four.
  • 17. Tricks for Earned Value EV is always first Variance = EV minus something Index = EV divided by something If the formula relates to cost use AC If the formula relates to schedule use PV Interpreting results: negative is bad and positive is good Interpreting results: greater than one is good, less than one is bad PV AC ETC EAC BAC Project Start Current Status
  • 18. Terms to Remember Present Value Net Present Value (NPV) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Payback Period Benefit Cost Ratio = BCR>1, Payback is greater than the cost Opportunity Cost Sunk Cost Working Capital Straight Line Depreciation Accelerated Depreciation  Double Declining Balance  Sum of Years Digits Value Analysis (Value Engineering) You won’t be calculating most of these numbers on the test, just remember the concepts for general questions
  • 19. Answers to Questions 1 – C 2 – D 3 – B 4 – A 5 – C 6 – B 7 – C 8 – A
  • 20. Answers to Questions (Cont’d) What is: Calculation: Answer: Interpretation of Answer: PV $500+$500+$500 $1,500 We should have completed $1500 EV $500+$500+$250 $1,250 We actually completed $1,250 worth of work AC $500+$1000+$250 $1,750 We have actually spent $1,750 BAC $500+$500+$500+$500 $2,000 Our project budget is $2000 CV $1,250 - $1,750 -$500 We are over budget by $500 CPI $1,250/$1,750 0.714 We are only getting $0.71 out of every dollar that we are spending on the project SV $1,250 - $1,500 -$250 We are behind schedule SPI $1,250/$1,500 0.833 We are progressing at 83% of the planned rate EAC $2,000/0.714 $2,801 We currently estimate the project will cost $2,801 ETC $2,801-$1,750 $1,051 We need to spend $1,051 to finish the project VAC $2,000 - $2,801 -$801 We currently expect to be $801 over budget when the project is completed