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HSC	
  Economics	
  2015	
  
Assessment	
  Task	
  1:	
  Globalisation	
  Case	
  Study	
  
The	
  impact	
  of	
  globalisation	
  on	
  the	
  	
  
Chinese	
  economy.	
  
Name: Patrick	
  Hendy
BOS	
  Number: 28381670
Word	
  Count: 4088
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  1
The	
  phenomenon	
  of	
  globalisation	
  has	
  had	
  signiJicant	
  impact	
  on	
  the	
  Chinese	
  economy	
  
following	
  Deng	
  Xiaoping’s	
  Gǎigé	
  kāifàng	
  (reform	
  &	
  opening	
  up)	
  reforms	
  in	
  1978.	
  
Globalisation	
  refers	
  to	
  the	
  process	
  of	
  increased	
  integration	
  between	
  different	
  countries	
  
and	
  economies	
  and	
  the	
  increased	
  impact	
  of	
  international	
  inJluences	
  on	
  all	
  aspects	
  of	
  life.	
  
These	
  impacts	
  have	
  been	
  many	
  and	
  varied	
  in	
  scope	
  and	
  advantage,	
  for	
  the	
  most	
  part	
  
resulting	
  in	
  greater	
  standards	
  of	
  living	
  and	
  increased	
  international	
  economic	
  power,	
  
however	
  have	
  often	
  had	
  negative	
  impact:	
  socially,	
  environmentally	
  and	
  economically.	
  
Furthermore,	
  globalisation	
  in	
  recent	
  decades	
  has	
  created	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  social	
  and	
  
environmental	
  issues	
  which	
  the	
  current	
  government	
  seeks	
  to	
  change.	
  	
  	
  
Before	
  delving	
  into	
  the	
  full	
  impacts	
  of	
  globalisation	
  on	
  the	
  Chinese	
  economy,	
  it	
  is	
  
important	
  to	
  Jirst	
  understand	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  terms	
  that	
  will	
  be	
  used	
  throughout	
  this	
  essay.	
  
The	
  most	
  commonly	
  used	
  under	
  the	
  umbrella	
  of	
  globalisation	
  is	
  economic	
  growth,	
  an	
  
important	
  concept	
  in	
  the	
  takeoff	
  of	
  the	
  Chinese	
  economy,	
  referring	
  to:	
  an	
  increase	
  in	
  the	
  
capacity	
  of	
  an	
  economy	
  to	
  produce	
  goods	
  and	
  services,	
  compared	
  from	
  one	
  period	
  of	
  
time	
  to	
  another.	
  Economic	
  development	
  is	
  a	
  highly	
  related,	
  but	
  a	
  broader	
  topic	
  than	
  
economic	
  growth,	
  referring	
  to:	
  the	
  sustained,	
  concerted	
  actions	
  of	
  policy	
  makers	
  and	
  
communities	
  that	
  promote	
  the	
  standard	
  of	
  living	
  and	
  economic	
  health	
  of	
  a	
  speciJic	
  area,	
  
or	
  more	
  broadly,	
  the	
  quantitative	
  and	
  qualitative	
  changes	
  in	
  an	
  economy.	
  Lastly,	
  
environmental	
  sustainability	
  is	
  used	
  to	
  refer	
  to	
  the	
  maintenance	
  of	
  the	
  factors	
  and	
  
practices	
  that	
  contribute	
  to	
  the	
  quality	
  of	
  environment	
  on	
  a	
  long	
  term	
  basis	
  
The	
  1978	
  economic	
  reforms	
  followed	
  decades	
  of	
  poor	
  economic	
  performance	
  from	
  the	
  
historically	
  powerful	
  economy:	
  the	
  great	
  depression	
  of	
  the	
  1930s	
  dragged	
  down	
  the	
  
high	
  ratio	
  of	
  foreign	
  trade	
  to	
  GDP	
  which	
  the	
  strong	
  manufacturing	
  sector	
  relied	
  on,	
  and	
  
before	
  it	
  was	
  able	
  to	
  recover,	
  the	
  Chinese	
  Civil	
  War	
  between	
  the	
  communists	
  and	
  the	
  
nationalists	
  disrupted	
  any	
  economic	
  recuperation.	
  Further,	
  the	
  1958-­‐1961	
  series	
  of	
  
economic	
  and	
  social	
  reforms	
  known	
  as	
  the	
  ‘great	
  leap	
  forward’	
  launched	
  under	
  the	
  
communist	
  agenda	
  saw	
  further	
  disruption	
  as	
  the	
  economy	
  stagnated,	
  largely	
  due	
  to	
  
poor	
  quality	
  of	
  life	
  associated	
  with	
  the	
  famine	
  and	
  purges	
  killing	
  tens	
  of	
  millions.	
  
Once	
  Deng	
  Xioaping	
  seized	
  control	
  of	
  the	
  country	
  following	
  the	
  reign	
  of	
  the	
  gang	
  of	
  four	
  
in	
  1978,	
  he	
  set	
  on	
  a	
  path	
  to	
  enact	
  ambitious	
  economic	
  reforms	
  to	
  open	
  the	
  Chinese	
  
economy	
  to	
  the	
  world.	
  The	
  Chinese	
  government	
  chose	
  to	
  open	
  up	
  in	
  a	
  bid	
  to	
  ‘Jix’	
  the	
  
broken	
  economy	
  which	
  had	
  stagnated	
  in	
  recent	
  years,	
  through	
  offering	
  the	
  wealth	
  of	
  
cheap	
  Chinese	
  labour	
  which	
  had	
  historically	
  made	
  Chinese	
  manufacturing	
  powerful	
  to	
  
foreign	
  countries,	
  bringing	
  foreign	
  investment	
  in	
  and	
  boosting	
  both	
  urbanisation	
  and	
  
living	
  standards.	
  The	
  earliest	
  round	
  of	
  reforms	
  saw	
  the	
  liberalisation	
  of	
  the	
  agriculture	
  
sector,	
  allowing	
  crops	
  to	
  be	
  sold	
  at	
  a	
  market	
  mechanism	
  price	
  once	
  production	
  quotas	
  
were	
  reached,	
  boosting	
  efJiciency	
  as	
  farmers	
  sought	
  the	
  greatest	
  proJits.	
  In	
  conjunction	
  
with	
  this,	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  ‘Special	
  Economic	
  Zones’	
  were	
  established	
  in	
  the	
  coastal	
  
provinces	
  allowing	
  for:	
  special	
  tax	
  incentives	
  for	
  foreign	
  investment	
  and	
  greater	
  
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  2
dependence	
  on	
  foreign	
  trade,	
  creating	
  zones	
  which	
  relied	
  on	
  foreign	
  investment	
  for	
  
growth.	
  The	
  most	
  successful	
  of	
  these	
  was	
  the	
  Shenzhen	
  economic	
  zone,	
  with	
  GDP	
  
growing	
  at	
  an	
  annual	
  average	
  of	
  28.5%	
  over	
  the	
  last	
  30	
  years	
  compared	
  with	
  the	
  10%	
  
national	
  average,	
  transforming	
  the	
  zone	
  from	
  a	
  Jishing	
  village	
  into	
  the	
  thriving	
  economic	
  
haven	
  it	
  has	
  become,	
  home	
  even	
  to	
  a	
  stock	
  exchange.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  1
The	
  creation	
  of	
  these	
  economic	
  zones	
  such	
  as	
  that	
  in	
  Shenzhen	
  formed	
  the	
  engines	
  of	
  
growth	
  for	
  the	
  stagnant	
  Chinese	
  economy.	
  China’s	
  economy	
  has	
  been	
  able	
  to	
  grow	
  at	
  
such	
  a	
  high	
  rate	
  of	
  growth	
  (10%	
  GDP	
  growth	
  against	
  US	
  growth	
  which	
  is	
  hovering	
  
around	
  2%)	
  because	
  of	
  its	
  transformation	
  in	
  four	
  ways.	
  Firstly,	
  the	
  movement	
  of	
  the	
  
economy	
  from	
  the	
  socialist	
  model	
  which	
  allowed	
  for	
  the	
  stagnation	
  of	
  the	
  economy	
  
under	
  inefJicient	
  State	
  Owned	
  Enterprises	
  (SOEs)	
  to	
  the	
  brand	
  of	
  capitalism	
  the	
  Chinese	
  
government	
  prefers	
  to	
  call	
  ‘Socialism	
  with	
  Chinese	
  Characteristics’.	
  Secondly,	
  the	
  
movement	
  from	
  being	
  an	
  agricultural	
  economy	
  to	
  an	
  industrialised	
  economy,	
  and	
  a	
  rural	
  
peasant	
  based	
  society	
  to	
  an	
  urban	
  based	
  society.	
  The	
  problem	
  of	
  urbanisation	
  however	
  
will	
  be	
  addressed	
  later	
  in	
  this	
  essay.	
  Thirdly,	
  China	
  has	
  moved	
  from	
  being	
  an	
  economy	
  
with	
  a	
  domestic	
  focus,	
  to	
  one	
  with	
  a	
  trade	
  oriented	
  focus,	
  highly	
  integrated	
  with	
  the	
  
global	
  economy	
  to	
  capture	
  the	
  beneJits	
  of	
  globalisation,	
  allowing	
  the	
  strong	
  Chinese	
  
manufacturing	
  sector	
  to	
  export	
  to	
  a	
  far	
  wider	
  range	
  of	
  wealthier	
  consumers	
  on	
  the	
  
global	
  stage.	
  Lastly,	
  China	
  has	
  become	
  a	
  major	
  world	
  economic	
  power,	
  contributing	
  
substantially	
  to	
  global	
  output,	
  economic	
  growth,	
  trade	
  and	
  investment,	
  allowing	
  China	
  
	
  Wikipedia,	
  (2014).	
  Economic	
  history	
  of	
  China	
  (1949–present).	
  [online]	
  Available	
  at:	
  hGp://en.wikipedia.org/1
wiki/Economic_history_of_China_(1949%E2%80%93present)	
  [Accessed	
  23	
  Nov.	
  2014].
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  3
to	
  exploit	
  its	
  international	
  power	
  by	
  creating	
  beneJicial	
  trade	
  factors	
  for	
  itself	
  in	
  trade	
  
agreements	
  and	
  the	
  like.	
  	
  
The	
  InJluence	
  of	
  globalisation	
  on	
  China	
  has	
  been	
  quite	
  signiJicant	
  with	
  economic	
  growth	
  
hovering	
  around	
  8-­‐10%	
  in	
  the	
  1990s	
  and	
  2000s,	
  with	
  the	
  main	
  drivers	
  being	
  business	
  
investment	
  and	
  net	
  exports.	
  A	
  signiJicant	
  part	
  of	
  this	
  has	
  been	
  the	
  role	
  of	
  Foreign	
  Direct	
  
Investment,	
  with	
  investment	
  spending	
  contributing	
  45%	
  of	
  GDP	
  in	
  2006.	
  This	
  is	
  largely	
  
due	
  to	
  the	
  encouragement	
  by	
  the	
  Chinese	
  government	
  through	
  the	
  concessions	
  allowed	
  
by	
  the	
  special	
  economic	
  zones	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  attract	
  foreign	
  business.	
  	
  This	
  reliance	
  on	
  
foreign	
  investment	
  for	
  growth	
  has	
  caused	
  the	
  Chinese	
  economy	
  to	
  become	
  very	
  
dependant	
  on	
  the	
  animal	
  spirits	
  of	
  foreign	
  investors	
  which	
  has	
  often	
  been	
  detrimental	
  
as	
  can	
  be	
  seen	
  in	
  the	
  drops	
  in	
  growth	
  caused	
  by	
  the	
  Asian	
  Financial	
  Crisis	
  and	
  the	
  GFC,	
  
and	
  subsequent	
  falling	
  growth	
  due	
  to	
  poor	
  investor	
  conJidence.	
  In	
  recent	
  years,	
  the	
  
government	
  of	
  Xi	
  Jinping	
  has	
  undergone	
  a	
  restructuring	
  process	
  of	
  the	
  economy,	
  
funneling	
  the	
  rising	
  wages	
  and	
  the	
  developing	
  middle	
  class	
  into	
  increased	
  expenditure	
  
in	
  order	
  to	
  reform	
  economic	
  growth	
  to	
  hinge	
  on	
  consumption,	
  rather	
  than	
  foreign	
  
investment.	
  This	
  has	
  been	
  particularly	
  pertinent	
  given	
  the	
  dwindling	
  labour	
  force	
  as	
  the	
  
Chinese	
  population	
  ages.	
  This	
  change	
  in	
  policy	
  has	
  largely	
  been	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  Chinese	
  
growth	
  slowdown	
  as	
  growth	
  drops	
  from	
  above	
  10%	
  to	
  around	
  7%	
  as	
  Jirms	
  seeking	
  dirt	
  
cheap	
  labour	
  now	
  turn	
  to	
  countries	
  who	
  have	
  not	
  undergone	
  the	
  changes	
  in	
  living	
  
standards	
  and	
  wages	
  China	
  has,	
  compared	
  to	
  the	
  potential	
  of	
  an	
  over	
  1	
  billion	
  consumer	
  
economy.	
  	
  Future	
  growth	
  patterns	
  are	
  predicted	
  to	
  drop,	
  with	
  pessimistic	
  forecasts	
  
clocking	
  in	
  at	
  3-­‐4%	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  couple	
  of	
  years.	
  It	
  is	
  important	
  to	
  note	
  here,	
  that	
  this	
  is	
  
a	
  signiJicant	
  level	
  of	
  growth	
  for	
  an	
  economy.	
  However,	
  these	
  forecasts	
  are	
  largely	
  due	
  to	
  
the	
  predicted	
  slowing	
  due	
  to	
  restructuring	
  to	
  become	
  a	
  consumption	
  based	
  economy,	
  as	
  
well	
  as	
  the	
  recognition	
  of	
  the	
  role	
  of	
  one	
  time	
  boosts,	
  such	
  as	
  dropping	
  fertility	
  rates	
  
(freeing	
  up	
  women	
  for	
  the	
  labour	
  market),	
  and	
  increasing	
  urbanisation	
  (increasing	
  
efJiciency).	
  Therefore,	
  we	
  can	
  see	
  that	
  on	
  the	
  simple	
  Jigures	
  of	
  economic	
  growth,	
  China’s	
  
strong	
  manufacturing	
  sector	
  and	
  abundance	
  of	
  cheap	
  labour	
  have	
  lead	
  it	
  to	
  gain	
  
signiJicant	
  economic	
  momentum	
  in	
  the	
  process	
  of	
  globalisation,	
  and	
  continues	
  to	
  
despite	
  a	
  projected	
  slowdown.	
  	
  
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  4
 2
While	
  the	
  Chinese	
  economy	
  has	
  made	
  leaps	
  and	
  bounds	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  human	
  development	
  
and	
  the	
  non-­‐material	
  indicators	
  of	
  living	
  standards.	
  Over	
  the	
  last	
  25	
  years,	
  Chinese	
  
economic	
  growth	
  has	
  brought	
  400	
  million	
  people	
  out	
  of	
  poverty,	
  living	
  on	
  less	
  than	
  $1	
  
per	
  day.	
  Though	
  this	
  is	
  a	
  signiJicant	
  reduction	
  in	
  poverty,	
  it	
  still	
  leaves	
  a	
  lot	
  to	
  be	
  desired,	
  
especially	
  considering	
  the	
  sheer	
  number	
  of	
  Chinese	
  citizens	
  left	
  in	
  poverty	
  by	
  The	
  Great	
  
Leap	
  Forward.	
  Thus,	
  we	
  see	
  that	
  in	
  the	
  Chinese	
  economy	
  as	
  of	
  2009,	
  362	
  million	
  people	
  
lived	
  on	
  under	
  $2	
  a	
  day	
  (more	
  than	
  10	
  times	
  more	
  people	
  than	
  the	
  Australian	
  
population).	
  In	
  dragging	
  so	
  many	
  citizens	
  out	
  of	
  poverty,	
  economic	
  growth	
  has	
  had	
  a	
  
signiJicant	
  impact	
  on	
  Chinese	
  development,	
  with	
  China’s	
  Human	
  Development	
  Index	
  
rising	
  from	
  0.368	
  in	
  1980	
  (in	
  today’s	
  terms,	
  that	
  would	
  equate	
  to	
  the	
  4th	
  lowers	
  HDI)	
  to	
  
0.719,	
  bringing	
  it	
  to	
  91st,	
  between	
  Saint	
  Vincent	
  and	
  and	
  Tunisia.	
  The	
  human	
  
development	
  index	
  measures	
  Life	
  Expectancy	
  at	
  Birth,	
  Mean	
  Years	
  of	
  Schooling	
  and	
  GNI	
  
per	
  capita	
  with	
  the	
  intention	
  that	
  those	
  indicators	
  have	
  high	
  correlation	
  with	
  other	
  
standard	
  of	
  living	
  statistics.	
  For	
  the	
  most	
  part,	
  despite	
  the	
  prestigious	
  Chinese	
  position	
  
as	
  second	
  largest	
  economy	
  in	
  the	
  world,	
  this	
  statistic	
  rings	
  true,	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  sheer	
  size	
  of	
  
the	
  population.	
  While	
  the	
  growth	
  in	
  human	
  development	
  has	
  been	
  largely	
  because	
  of	
  
powerful	
  economic	
  growth	
  over	
  the	
  last	
  few	
  decades,	
  the	
  act	
  of	
  foreign	
  investment	
  
beyond	
  the	
  monetary	
  gain	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  the	
  social	
  aspect	
  of	
  opening	
  up	
  has	
  allowed	
  the	
  
Chinese	
  economy	
  to	
  advance	
  signiJicantly	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  development.	
  The	
  role	
  of	
  TNCs	
  in	
  
spreading	
  greater	
  skills	
  and	
  knowledge	
  throughout	
  the	
  country	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  the	
  
importation	
  of	
  Western	
  views	
  on	
  spending	
  and	
  consumption.	
  These	
  views	
  have	
  helped	
  
to	
  drive	
  the	
  emerging	
  middle	
  class,	
  allowing	
  them	
  to	
  utilise	
  their	
  wealth	
  to	
  raise	
  their	
  
living	
  standards	
  through	
  consumption	
  along	
  with	
  demanding	
  a	
  place	
  in	
  political	
  action,	
  
driving	
  government	
  reforms	
  which	
  have	
  had	
  a	
  signiJicant	
  impact	
  on	
  economic	
  
development,	
  particularly	
  through	
  newly	
  created	
  social	
  welfare	
  related	
  policies.	
  A	
  major	
  
problem	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  living	
  standards	
  in	
  China	
  however,	
  come	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  the	
  
	
  The	
  Economist,	
  (2014).	
  Building	
  the	
  dream.	
  [online]	
  Available	
  at:	
  hGp://www.economist.com/news/special-­‐2
report/21600797-­‐2030-­‐chinese-­‐ciTes-­‐will-­‐be-­‐home-­‐about-­‐1-­‐billion-­‐people-­‐geVng-­‐urban-­‐china-­‐work	
  
[Accessed	
  16	
  Nov.	
  2014].
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  5
impoverished	
  rural	
  populace,	
  who	
  are	
  the	
  root	
  cause	
  of	
  statistics	
  such	
  as	
  that	
  of	
  1	
  in	
  4	
  
Chinese	
  citizens	
  unable	
  to	
  access	
  clean	
  drinking	
  water.	
  The	
  rapid	
  development	
  caused	
  
by	
  the	
  implementation	
  of	
  Special	
  Economic	
  Zones	
  and	
  opening	
  up	
  for	
  manufacturing	
  
has	
  essentially	
  created	
  a	
  two	
  speed	
  economy	
  by	
  which	
  the	
  rural	
  regions	
  feel	
  few	
  of	
  the	
  
beneJits	
  that	
  globalisation	
  has	
  brought	
  to	
  China.	
  In	
  terms	
  of	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  globalisation	
  
on	
  economic	
  development	
  and	
  living	
  standards,	
  	
  the	
  importation	
  of	
  social	
  reform	
  as	
  well	
  
as	
  growing	
  economic	
  output	
  have	
  greatly	
  improved	
  economic	
  development,	
  as	
  it	
  
continues	
  to	
  rise,	
  even	
  growing,	
  into	
  the	
  future	
  despite	
  a	
  projected	
  slowdown	
  in	
  growth.	
  	
  
GDP	
  Per	
  Capita	
  by	
  Province	
  
	
  
	
  3
One	
  of	
  the	
  major	
  social	
  problems	
  stemming	
  from	
  globalisation	
  in	
  China	
  has	
  been	
  the	
  
increase	
  in	
  inequality.	
  Following	
  Deng	
  Xiaoping’s	
  reforms,	
  income	
  inequality	
  has	
  
increased	
  signiJicantly,	
  largely	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  under	
  Mao’s	
  communism,	
  all	
  citizens	
  
were	
  for	
  the	
  most	
  part,	
  equally	
  impoverished.	
  In	
  comparison,	
  Deng’s	
  reforms	
  meant	
  the	
  
quicker	
  expansion	
  of	
  the	
  coastal	
  regions	
  surrounding	
  	
  special	
  economic	
  zones,	
  with	
  
Deng	
  explicitly	
  stating	
  in	
  a	
  1986	
  interview	
  “We	
  permit	
  some	
  people	
  and	
  some	
  regions	
  to	
  
become	
  prosperous	
  Jirst,	
  for	
  the	
  purpose	
  of	
  achieving	
  common	
  prosperity	
  faster.”	
  
However,	
  this	
  growth	
  has	
  not	
  evened	
  out	
  as	
  urbanization	
  continues,	
  urban	
  incomes	
  rise,	
  
and	
  rural	
  workers	
  are	
  further	
  oppressed.	
  In	
  fact,	
  between	
  2002	
  and	
  2007,	
  the	
  ratio	
  
	
  The	
  Economist,	
  (2014).	
  Building	
  the	
  dream.	
  [online]	
  Available	
  at:	
  hGp://www.economist.com/news/special-­‐3
report/21600797-­‐2030-­‐chinese-­‐ciTes-­‐will-­‐be-­‐home-­‐about-­‐1-­‐billion-­‐people-­‐geVng-­‐urban-­‐china-­‐work	
  
[Accessed	
  16	
  Nov.	
  2014].
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  6
between	
  the	
  income	
  of	
  the	
  top	
  and	
  bottom	
  10%	
  increased	
  from	
  19:1-­‐25:1.	
  At	
  this	
  point	
  
of	
  discussion,	
  the	
  question	
  of	
  urbanisation	
  must	
  be	
  raised.	
  Urbanisation	
  has	
  been	
  one	
  of	
  
the	
  key	
  drivers	
  of	
  Chinese	
  growth	
  through	
  the	
  last	
  few	
  decades,	
  with	
  a	
  current	
  
urbanisation	
  rate	
  of	
  52%.	
  Urbanisation	
  for	
  the	
  most	
  part	
  occurs	
  because	
  of	
  economic	
  
growth	
  and	
  development.	
  As	
  areas	
  such	
  as	
  Shenzhen	
  are	
  given	
  	
  status	
  as	
  special	
  
economic	
  zones	
  and	
  wages	
  and	
  living	
  standards	
  in	
  those	
  areas	
  rise,	
  more	
  people	
  are	
  
attracted	
  to	
  those	
  areas,	
  and	
  urbanisation	
  occurs.	
  The	
  process	
  of	
  urbanisation	
  allows	
  
economies	
  of	
  scale	
  to	
  take	
  effect	
  and	
  allow	
  the	
  workers	
  to	
  become	
  more	
  efJicient.	
  Thus,	
  
urbanisation	
  has	
  a	
  self	
  perpetuating	
  positive	
  effect	
  on	
  growth.	
  However,	
  the	
  Chinese	
  
government,	
  and	
  particularly	
  local	
  governments	
  set	
  urbanisation	
  goals	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  fuel	
  
the	
  already	
  growing	
  growth.	
  However,	
  there	
  is	
  a	
  conJlict	
  of	
  policies	
  in	
  place	
  such	
  that	
  
there	
  is	
  an	
  active	
  disincentive	
  to	
  urbanise	
  for	
  rural	
  citizens.	
  Firstly,	
  the	
  hukou	
  system	
  in	
  
place	
  -­‐	
  a	
  form	
  of	
  land	
  titling	
  -­‐	
  makes	
  it	
  extremely	
  difJicult	
  for	
  a	
  migrant	
  to	
  lose	
  the	
  name	
  
as	
  rural	
  Chinese,	
  against	
  whom	
  there	
  is	
  signiJicant	
  discrimination	
  in	
  cities.	
  If	
  China’s	
  
level	
  of	
  urbanisation	
  was	
  measured	
  via	
  hukuo’s,	
  it	
  would	
  only	
  be	
  36%.	
  	
  
The	
  signiJicance	
  of	
  these	
  is	
  that	
  it	
  is	
  the	
  hukuo,	
  not	
  the	
  place	
  of	
  residence	
  which	
  
determines	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  welfare	
  entitlements	
  a	
  citizen	
  is	
  entitled	
  to.	
  Moreover,	
  this	
  
applies	
  to	
  the	
  children	
  of	
  a	
  migrant	
  as	
  well.	
  Thus,	
  upon	
  moving	
  to	
  an	
  urban	
  setting,	
  a	
  
citizen	
  and	
  their	
  children	
  will	
  not	
  be	
  afforded	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  welfare	
  to	
  which	
  they	
  should	
  
be	
  entitled	
  due	
  to	
  their	
  residence,	
  and	
  therefore	
  there	
  is	
  no	
  beneJit	
  to	
  moving	
  to	
  the	
  city	
  
in	
  that	
  respect.	
  Likewise,	
  this	
  pertains	
  to	
  education,	
  consigning	
  migrant	
  children	
  to	
  
second	
  rate	
  private	
  schools	
  over	
  the	
  public	
  schools	
  populated	
  by	
  the	
  children	
  of	
  
urbanites.	
  In	
  regards	
  to	
  discrimination,	
  one	
  third	
  of	
  urbanites	
  would	
  not	
  like	
  to	
  live	
  next	
  
to	
  a	
  migrant,	
  against	
  one	
  in	
  ten,	
  who	
  would	
  not	
  like	
  to	
  live	
  next	
  to	
  a	
  poor	
  person.	
  
Furthermore,	
  migrants	
  are	
  often	
  collected	
  in	
  slums	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  Dongxiaokou	
  suburb	
  
North	
  of	
  Beijing,	
  a	
  scene	
  of	
  dickensian	
  style	
  poverty	
  with	
  migrants	
  crammed	
  into	
  ‘tiny	
  
brick	
  shacks	
  off	
  muddy,	
  rubbish-­‐strewn	
  streets’.	
  Perversely,	
  of	
  those	
  surveyed,	
  only	
  one	
  
third	
  of	
  migrants	
  found	
  an	
  urban	
  hukou	
  important,	
  as	
  they	
  were	
  afraid	
  of	
  losing	
  their	
  
right	
  to	
  hold	
  land.	
  This	
  also	
  pertains	
  to	
  the	
  treatment	
  of	
  local	
  governments	
  of	
  land,	
  
where	
  ‘upstairsing’,	
  the	
  process	
  of	
  slumming	
  villagers	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  take	
  their	
  land	
  and	
  
generate	
  income	
  is	
  common.	
  As	
  such,	
  there	
  is	
  an	
  obvious	
  divide	
  between	
  the	
  urban	
  
regions	
  of	
  the	
  coast	
  and	
  the	
  northern	
  and	
  eastern	
  regions,	
  socially.	
  Compounded	
  by	
  the	
  
differences	
  of	
  often	
  $16,000	
  GDP	
  per	
  capita	
  in	
  provinces	
  like	
  Zhejiang,	
  and	
  $1,000	
  per	
  
head	
  in	
  provinces	
  like	
  Tibet,	
  demonstrates	
  signiJicant	
  social	
  and	
  economic	
  inequality	
  
within	
  the	
  country.	
  If	
  barriers	
  to	
  migration	
  were	
  removed	
  however,	
  labour	
  markets	
  
would	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  integrate	
  and	
  efJicient	
  allocation	
  of	
  resources	
  would	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  be	
  
achieved.	
  As	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  inequality,	
  China’s	
  Gini	
  index,	
  though	
  having	
  risen	
  signiJicantly	
  is	
  
still	
  only	
  42.1,	
  placing	
  it	
  100th.	
  Largely	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  globalisation,	
  the	
  distinction	
  
between	
  urban	
  and	
  rural	
  life	
  must	
  be	
  tackled	
  by	
  the	
  government	
  beyond	
  simply	
  
imposing	
  urbanisation	
  goals	
  which	
  simply	
  exacerbate	
  problems,	
  as	
  local	
  governments	
  
slum	
  more	
  civilians	
  under	
  the	
  guise	
  of	
  ‘urbanisation’.	
  Considering	
  that	
  20%	
  of	
  
households	
  pay	
  91%	
  of	
  tax,	
  the	
  most	
  effective	
  method	
  in	
  tackling	
  inequality	
  would	
  likely	
  
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  7
be	
  Conditional	
  Cash	
  Transfer	
  programs	
  -­‐	
  distributing	
  money	
  based	
  on	
  outcomes	
  such	
  as	
  
enrolling	
  children	
  in	
  school.	
  	
  If	
  Xi	
  Jinping’s	
  government	
  comes	
  through	
  with	
  reforms	
  
promised	
  for	
  the	
  hukou	
  system,	
  inequality	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  globalisation	
  may	
  be	
  decreased	
  
in	
  the	
  near	
  future	
  as	
  incomes	
  and	
  standards	
  of	
  living	
  rise	
  elsewhere	
  across	
  the	
  board.	
  
China’s	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
	
   	
  
	
  4
Another	
  serious	
  economic	
  problem	
  stemming	
  from	
  globalisation	
  in	
  China	
  is	
  the	
  
unemployment	
  in	
  the	
  country.	
  As	
  China	
  underwent	
  reforms	
  for	
  opening	
  up	
  and	
  
liberalising	
  internal	
  markets,	
  the	
  relevance	
  and	
  efJiciency	
  of	
  State	
  Owned	
  Enterprises	
  
(SOEs)	
  was	
  undermined	
  by	
  new	
  private	
  enterprise.	
  The	
  two	
  main	
  problems	
  with	
  SOEs	
  
has	
  been:	
  Jirstly,	
  that	
  they	
  are	
  not	
  adequately	
  positioned	
  in	
  key	
  markets,	
  often	
  reaching	
  
into	
  the	
  economic	
  lowlands	
  of	
  hotel	
  and	
  mall	
  management,	
  rather	
  than	
  dominating	
  key	
  
industries,	
  and	
  secondly	
  that	
  they	
  have	
  historically	
  been	
  far	
  less	
  efJicient	
  than	
  private	
  
Jirms,	
  with	
  a	
  third	
  of	
  SOEs	
  operating	
  at	
  a	
  loss	
  in	
  1996	
  (largely	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  added	
  incentive	
  
for	
  productivity	
  in	
  private	
  Jirms).	
  This	
  problem	
  was	
  recognized	
  in	
  the	
  1990s	
  by	
  the	
  
government	
  of	
  the	
  time,	
  resulting	
  in	
  large	
  scale	
  layoffs	
  to	
  the	
  tune	
  of	
  36	
  million	
  job	
  
losses	
  in	
  the	
  restructuring.	
  Resulting	
  in	
  a	
  growth	
  from	
  just	
  above	
  0%	
  jumping	
  to	
  7%,	
  a	
  
touch	
  shy	
  of	
  private	
  Jirm	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  period	
  between	
  1998	
  and	
  2008,	
  however	
  in	
  the	
  
last	
  few	
  years	
  SOEs	
  have	
  once	
  again	
  been	
  left	
  behind	
  as	
  private	
  Jirms	
  have	
  grown	
  in	
  
signiJicance,	
  leading	
  Xi	
  Jinping’s	
  government	
  to	
  promise	
  to	
  ‘target’	
  SOEs	
  in	
  November	
  
last	
  year.	
  These	
  job	
  losses	
  are	
  further	
  compounded	
  by	
  the	
  rising	
  unemployment	
  among	
  
university	
  graduates	
  as	
  more	
  university	
  students	
  enter,	
  with	
  a	
  predicted	
  30%	
  of	
  
graduates	
  unable	
  to	
  Jind	
  unemployment	
  in	
  their	
  chosen	
  Jield,	
  and	
  2.3	
  million	
  of	
  the	
  7	
  
	
  Econosseur.com,	
  (2014).	
  Unemployment	
  in	
  China	
  -­‐	
  Econosseur.	
  [online]	
  Available	
  at:	
  hGp://4
www.econosseur.com/2009/02/unemployment-­‐in-­‐china.html	
  [Accessed	
  23	
  Nov.	
  2014].
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  8
million	
  graduating	
  cohort	
  last	
  year	
  unable	
  to	
  Jind	
  employment.	
  With	
  this	
  being	
  said	
  
however,	
  the	
  current	
  ofJicial	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  is	
  4.1%,	
  only	
  0.1%	
  higher	
  than	
  
Australia’s	
  all	
  time	
  low	
  over	
  the	
  past	
  4	
  decades.	
  China’s	
  notorious	
  lack	
  of	
  transparency	
  is	
  
likely	
  to	
  be	
  coming	
  into	
  play	
  here	
  as	
  different	
  Jigures	
  are	
  published	
  by	
  different	
  
agencies,	
  with	
  the	
  ministry	
  of	
  human	
  resources	
  giving	
  a	
  4.1%	
  unemployment	
  rate,	
  and	
  
the	
  economic	
  planning	
  agency	
  NDRC	
  giving	
  5.1%.	
  These	
  Jigures	
  are	
  likely	
  far	
  below	
  
actual	
  unemployment	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  discrepancies	
  caused	
  by	
  the	
  aforementioned	
  hukou	
  
system.	
  This	
  is	
  because	
  the	
  ofJicial	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  is	
  calculated	
  by	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  
people	
  registering	
  for	
  urban	
  unemployment	
  beneJits,	
  entirely	
  excluding	
  those	
  with	
  rural	
  
hukous,	
  among	
  whom	
  unemployment	
  tends	
  to	
  be	
  much	
  higher	
  anyway.	
  In	
  conjunction	
  
with	
  this,	
  there	
  is	
  signiJicant	
  ‘hidden’	
  unemployment	
  among	
  those	
  with	
  regional	
  hukous	
  
as	
  they	
  choose	
  to	
  give	
  up	
  work	
  and	
  often	
  return	
  to	
  the	
  farm	
  or	
  accept	
  a	
  part	
  time	
  job,	
  
resulting	
  in	
  underemployment.	
  Furthermore,	
  more	
  capable	
  labour	
  is	
  often	
  funneled	
  into	
  
underskilled	
  positions	
  due	
  to	
  shortages	
  of	
  jobs	
  among	
  high	
  skill	
  industries.	
  These	
  issues	
  
result	
  in	
  the	
  ‘unofJicial’	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  to	
  hover	
  around	
  8%.	
  The	
  government	
  may	
  
not	
  release	
  accurate	
  statistics	
  due	
  to	
  fears	
  of	
  uprisings	
  and	
  discontent	
  based	
  on	
  wide	
  
scale	
  unemployment	
  and	
  poverty.	
  Looking	
  at	
  ofJicial	
  charts	
  since	
  1980,	
  there	
  has	
  been	
  a	
  
clear	
  trend	
  of	
  a	
  sharp	
  drop	
  in	
  unemployment	
  to	
  around	
  2%	
  (likely	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  emergence	
  
of	
  private	
  companies)	
  followed	
  by	
  a	
  slow	
  rise	
  to	
  the	
  current	
  Jigure.	
  As	
  such,	
  it	
  is	
  clear	
  
that	
  at	
  least	
  from	
  ofJicial	
  statistics,	
  globalisation	
  had	
  a	
  signiJicant	
  impact	
  in	
  dragging	
  
many	
  previously	
  unemployed	
  citizens	
  into	
  employment,	
  however	
  underlying	
  problems	
  
with	
  ‘Socialism	
  with	
  Chinese	
  features’	
  including	
  the	
  role	
  of	
  SOEs	
  have	
  resulted	
  in	
  a	
  
rising	
  unemployment	
  rate.	
  	
  
Environmental	
  Kuznets	
  Curve	
   	
  
	
  
	
  	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  5
	
  The Economist, (2012). Shoots, greens and leaves. [online] Available at: http://www.economist.com/5
node/21556904 [Accessed 23 Nov. 2014].
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  9
 6
One	
  of	
  the	
  most	
  obvious	
  problems	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  globalisation	
  in	
  China	
  has	
  been	
  the	
  
environmental	
  issues	
  caused	
  by	
  the	
  widescale	
  ‘dirty’	
  manufacturing.	
  In	
  a	
  pattern	
  
replicating	
  the	
  theoretical	
  environmental	
  kuznets	
  curve,	
  the	
  environment	
  has	
  been	
  
disregarded	
  in	
  China’s	
  explosive	
  growth	
  and	
  it	
  is	
  now	
  that	
  it	
  feels	
  some	
  international	
  
obligation	
  due	
  to	
  its	
  now	
  somewhat	
  developed	
  economy	
  that	
  it	
  is	
  now	
  attempting	
  to	
  
meet	
  its	
  environmental	
  responsibilities.	
  China’s	
  sustained	
  high	
  level	
  of	
  economic	
  growth	
  
has	
  led	
  to	
  high	
  resource	
  use	
  and	
  environmental	
  degradation.	
  China	
  is	
  therefore	
  
experiencing	
  	
  severe	
  environmental	
  problems	
  associated	
  with	
  resource	
  depletion	
  and	
  
environmental	
  degradation.	
  The	
  signiJicant	
  issues	
  for	
  the	
  Chinese	
  economies	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  
of	
  environmental	
  degradation	
  are	
  three	
  fold.	
  Firstly,	
  the	
  chinese	
  economy	
  faces	
  resource	
  
depletion	
  -­‐	
  particularly	
  in	
  relation	
  to	
  clean	
  water	
  -­‐	
  that	
  make	
  high	
  levels	
  of	
  sustained	
  
economic	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  future	
  difJicult,	
  due	
  to	
  rising	
  resource	
  prices	
  and	
  worsening	
  
living	
  conditions.	
  As	
  mentioned,	
  water	
  shortages	
  have	
  occurred	
  due	
  to	
  inefJicient	
  
irrigation	
  systems	
  and	
  major	
  cities	
  now	
  face	
  water	
  shortages	
  due	
  to	
  excess	
  demand.	
  
Likewise,	
  there	
  has	
  been	
  signiJicant	
  loss	
  of	
  topsoil	
  and	
  subsequent	
  desertiJication	
  due	
  to	
  
removal	
  of	
  vegetation	
  which	
  has	
  resulted	
  in	
  inability	
  to	
  farm	
  in	
  certain	
  areas.	
  Further,	
  
the	
  depletion	
  of	
  grasslands	
  and	
  forests	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  expansion	
  of	
  agriculture	
  and	
  industry	
  
may	
  require	
  China	
  to	
  import	
  the	
  products	
  of	
  forestry	
  in	
  the	
  future.	
  Secondly,	
  the	
  
pollutants	
  emitted	
  by	
  decades	
  of	
  manufacturing	
  with	
  no	
  regard	
  to	
  the	
  environment	
  has	
  
resulted	
  in	
  rising	
  health	
  related	
  issues	
  which	
  will	
  further	
  decrease	
  possibility	
  of	
  growth	
  
if	
  deaths	
  and	
  illness	
  continue	
  on	
  the	
  projected	
  course.	
  The	
  2007	
  OECD	
  report	
  on	
  
Chinese	
  environmental	
  damage	
  found	
  that	
  unless	
  pollution	
  is	
  controlled,	
  it	
  will	
  cause	
  
600,000	
  premature	
  deaths	
  and	
  20	
  million	
  cases	
  of	
  respiratory	
  illness	
  each	
  year	
  by	
  2020.	
  	
  
Furthermore,	
  the	
  report	
  found	
  that	
  up	
  to	
  7%	
  of	
  China’s	
  GDP	
  is	
  lost	
  because	
  of	
  pollution	
  
and	
  this	
  could	
  rise	
  to	
  13%	
  without	
  intervention.	
  Widespread	
  Chinese	
  pollution	
  has	
  
resulted	
  in	
  high	
  incidence	
  of	
  respiratory	
  diseases,	
  with	
  China	
  having	
  the	
  world’s	
  highest	
  
rate	
  of	
  chronic	
  respiratory	
  disease.	
  Lastly,	
  as	
  the	
  Chinese	
  middle	
  class	
  grows	
  further,	
  
demand	
  for	
  aesthetically	
  pleasing	
  environments	
  grow,	
  and	
  the	
  new	
  bourgeois	
  may	
  
emigrate	
  in	
  search	
  of	
  better	
  environmental	
  conditions	
  in	
  which	
  to	
  rear	
  their	
  children.	
  
Unlike	
  other	
  areas	
  discussed	
  in	
  this	
  essay,	
  globalisation	
  has	
  quite	
  clearly	
  severely	
  
negatively	
  affected	
  the	
  Chinese	
  environment,	
  which	
  must	
  be	
  addressed	
  by	
  the	
  current	
  
government	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  ensure	
  future	
  growth.	
  In	
  that	
  regard,	
  Xi	
  Jinping’s	
  government	
  
has	
  been	
  working	
  on	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  environmental	
  projects,	
  including	
  ‘eco-­‐cities’,	
  cities	
  
based	
  on	
  renewable	
  living.	
  The	
  premier	
  Li	
  Keqiang	
  has	
  publicly	
  declared	
  a	
  ‘war’	
  on	
  
pollution,	
  describing	
  smog	
  as	
  nature’s	
  “red-­‐light	
  warning	
  against	
  the	
  model	
  of	
  inefJicient	
  
and	
  blind	
  development”,	
  a	
  surprisingly	
  frank	
  statement	
  of	
  prior	
  wrongdoing,	
  unusual	
  for	
  
a	
  Chinese	
  government.	
  This	
  war	
  has	
  thus	
  far	
  involved	
  policies	
  such	
  as	
  stricter	
  controls	
  
on	
  emissions	
  of	
  carbon	
  and	
  smog	
  forming	
  pollutants	
  through	
  the	
  new	
  environmental	
  
protection	
  policy,	
  punishing	
  companies	
  for	
  not	
  meeting	
  control	
  targets	
  (including	
  
	
  Left with Brain, Right with Heart, (2007). The neo-Malthusians and the Kuznets Curve. [online]6
Available at: http://socialist.wordpress.com/2007/10/03/the-neo-malthusians-and-the-kuznets-curve/
[Accessed 23 Nov. 2014].
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  10
property	
  seizure	
  and	
  prison	
  sentences	
  for	
  company	
  executives),	
  coming	
  into	
  effect	
  on	
  
the	
  1st	
  of	
  January	
  2015.	
  Environmental	
  policy	
  is	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  main	
  policy	
  challenges	
  of	
  the	
  
current	
  government	
  if	
  they	
  wish	
  to	
  rectify	
  the	
  damage	
  caused	
  by	
  globalisation.	
  	
  
In	
  assessing	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  globalisation	
  on	
  the	
  Chinese	
  economy,	
  the	
  effects	
  have	
  been	
  
two	
  pronged.	
  Firstly,	
  in	
  analysing	
  simply	
  the	
  observed	
  effect	
  on	
  economic	
  outcomes,	
  
globalisation	
  has	
  wholly	
  been	
  good	
  for	
  China.	
  Economic	
  growth	
  has	
  lifted	
  explosively,	
  
resulting	
  in	
  good	
  outcomes	
  for	
  economic	
  development,	
  living	
  standards,	
  and	
  personal	
  
incomes,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  for	
  the	
  most	
  part,	
  higher	
  employment	
  following	
  opening	
  up	
  reforms.	
  
On	
  the	
  other	
  hand,	
  environmental	
  sustainability	
  is	
  at	
  an	
  extremely	
  poor	
  standard	
  and	
  
growing	
  inequality	
  can	
  be	
  observed.	
  However,	
  these	
  negative	
  outcomes	
  are	
  more	
  than	
  
counterbalanced	
  by	
  the	
  signiJicance	
  of	
  lifting	
  of	
  hundreds	
  of	
  millions	
  of	
  people	
  out	
  of	
  
poverty.	
  As	
  such,	
  in	
  distilling	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  globalisation	
  down	
  to	
  key	
  economic	
  
outcomes,	
  we	
  are	
  presented	
  with	
  a	
  largely	
  positive	
  view	
  of	
  the	
  effect	
  of	
  globalisation	
  on	
  
the	
  Chinese	
  economy.	
  However,	
  the	
  question	
  of	
  globalisation	
  in	
  reference	
  to	
  China’s	
  
future	
  potential	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  its	
  role	
  in	
  global	
  politics	
  must	
  be	
  asked.	
  The	
  question	
  is	
  
twofold:	
  how	
  large	
  can	
  China	
  get,	
  and	
  will	
  China	
  step	
  up	
  to	
  the	
  political	
  plate	
  as	
  a	
  world	
  
leader.	
  In	
  answer	
  to	
  the	
  former,	
  there	
  is	
  much	
  contestation	
  of	
  whether	
  or	
  not	
  China	
  has	
  
the	
  growth	
  potential	
  for	
  sustained	
  levels	
  of	
  high	
  growth	
  over	
  the	
  coming	
  decades.	
  China	
  
has	
  a	
  signiJicant	
  advantage	
  over	
  other	
  countries	
  in	
  that	
  despite	
  the	
  extreme	
  growth	
  in	
  
its	
  industries,	
  it	
  still	
  has	
  underutilised	
  resources	
  in	
  rural	
  areas.	
  If	
  the	
  lack	
  of	
  efJiciency	
  of	
  
the	
  human	
  resources	
  being	
  used	
  in	
  rural	
  areas	
  was	
  rectiJied	
  to	
  allow	
  for	
  new	
  levels	
  of	
  
production,	
  China	
  is	
  very	
  likely	
  to	
  hold	
  the	
  potential	
  for	
  continued	
  growth.	
  However,	
  this	
  
growth	
  depends	
  on	
  the	
  ability	
  of	
  China’s	
  government	
  to	
  reallocate	
  these	
  resources	
  as	
  
well	
  as	
  overcome	
  the	
  projected	
  slump	
  in	
  growth	
  as	
  China’s	
  economy	
  restructures.	
  One	
  
of	
  the	
  largest	
  factors	
  in	
  argument	
  surrounding	
  potential	
  growth	
  is	
  whether	
  or	
  not	
  a	
  
consumption	
  driven	
  economy,	
  with	
  China’s	
  economy	
  in	
  its	
  current	
  form	
  continuing	
  to	
  
lose	
  manufacturing	
  business	
  to	
  countries	
  which	
  have	
  even	
  cheaper	
  costs	
  of	
  labour,	
  can	
  
retain	
  high	
  levels	
  of	
  growth	
  under	
  the	
  consumption	
  levels	
  of	
  over	
  a	
  billion	
  consumers.	
  
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  11
Chinese	
  Foreign	
  Direct	
  Investment	
  
‑ 	
  7
Perhaps	
  more	
  relevant	
  to	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  globalisation	
  is	
  China’s	
  role	
  politically	
  ‘post’	
  
globalisation.	
  As	
  the	
  US	
  looks	
  to	
  China	
  to	
  become	
  a	
  globally	
  responsible	
  nation,	
  we	
  are	
  
seeing	
  a	
  curious	
  reaction	
  from	
  China.	
  China	
  is	
  no	
  longer	
  simply	
  the	
  exporter	
  for	
  the	
  
world	
  market,	
  it	
  is	
  taking	
  an	
  active	
  role	
  in	
  promoting	
  economic	
  growth	
  in	
  countries	
  such	
  
as	
  Zambia	
  whom	
  China	
  set	
  a	
  new	
  Special	
  Economic	
  Zone	
  in	
  2007	
  in,	
  funneling	
  funds	
  
directly	
  into	
  the	
  mineral	
  rich	
  economy.	
  Furthermore	
  China	
  is	
  beginning	
  to	
  take	
  an	
  active	
  
role	
  in	
  countries	
  where	
  human	
  rights	
  abuses	
  are	
  frequent,	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  recent	
  trouble	
  in	
  
Darfur.	
  While	
  China	
  is	
  making	
  an	
  effort	
  to	
  act	
  the	
  global	
  power,	
  the	
  responsibility	
  of	
  its	
  
actions	
  are	
  questionable	
  as	
  it	
  hands	
  soft	
  loans	
  to	
  those	
  human	
  rights	
  abusing	
  nations,	
  
essentially	
  bankrolling	
  genocides,	
  as	
  was	
  the	
  case	
  in	
  Darfur.	
  China’s	
  outreach	
  into	
  world	
  
politics	
  have	
  seemed	
  somewhat	
  abortive	
  as	
  it	
  struggles	
  to	
  hit	
  its	
  stride	
  as	
  a	
  world	
  leader,	
  
attempting	
  to	
  Jind	
  a	
  way	
  to	
  put	
  a	
  ‘yellow	
  river’	
  style	
  twist	
  on	
  geopolitics	
  just	
  as	
  it	
  does	
  
capitalism.	
  There	
  is	
  no	
  doubt	
  that	
  China	
  is	
  making	
  an	
  attempt	
  to	
  become	
  more	
  than	
  just	
  
an	
  exporter,	
  however	
  not	
  in	
  the	
  way	
  it	
  is	
  being	
  urged	
  to	
  by	
  Western	
  nations.	
  In	
  this	
  sense	
  
therefore,	
  globalisation	
  has	
  quite	
  signiJicantly	
  been	
  positive	
  in	
  allowing	
  China	
  to	
  make	
  
an	
  outreach	
  into	
  world	
  political	
  systems.	
  Whether	
  or	
  not	
  China	
  will	
  manage	
  to	
  Jind	
  a	
  
suitable	
  place	
  for	
  its	
  style	
  of	
  politics	
  that	
  emphasises	
  the	
  allowance	
  of	
  countries	
  to	
  do	
  as	
  
they	
  wish	
  as	
  long	
  as	
  they	
  are	
  beholden	
  to	
  China,	
  is	
  another	
  matter	
  entirely.	
  	
  
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Worldbank.org,	
  (2014).	
  China	
  Overview.	
  [online]	
  Available	
  at:	
  http://
www.worldbank.org/en/country/china/overview	
  [Accessed	
  16	
  Nov.	
  2014].	
  
Wu,	
  N.	
  (2014).	
  Income	
  inequality	
  in	
  China	
  and	
  the	
  urban-­‐rural	
  divide.	
  [online]	
  
Journalist's	
  Resource.	
  Available	
  at:	
  http://journalistsresource.org/studies/
international/china/income-­‐inequality-­‐todays-­‐china#	
  [Accessed	
  16	
  Nov.	
  2014].	
  
Yi-­‐chong,	
  X.	
  (2009).	
  Who's	
  afraid	
  of	
  sovereign	
  wealth	
  funds?.	
  Australian	
  Journal	
  of	
  
International	
  Affairs,	
  63(1),	
  pp.1-­‐21.
Patrick	
  Hendy	
  -­‐	
  28381670	
   	
   Page	
  16

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China - Globalisation essay

  • 1. HSC  Economics  2015   Assessment  Task  1:  Globalisation  Case  Study   The  impact  of  globalisation  on  the     Chinese  economy.   Name: Patrick  Hendy BOS  Number: 28381670 Word  Count: 4088 Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  1
  • 2. The  phenomenon  of  globalisation  has  had  signiJicant  impact  on  the  Chinese  economy   following  Deng  Xiaoping’s  Gǎigé  kāifàng  (reform  &  opening  up)  reforms  in  1978.   Globalisation  refers  to  the  process  of  increased  integration  between  different  countries   and  economies  and  the  increased  impact  of  international  inJluences  on  all  aspects  of  life.   These  impacts  have  been  many  and  varied  in  scope  and  advantage,  for  the  most  part   resulting  in  greater  standards  of  living  and  increased  international  economic  power,   however  have  often  had  negative  impact:  socially,  environmentally  and  economically.   Furthermore,  globalisation  in  recent  decades  has  created  a  number  of  social  and   environmental  issues  which  the  current  government  seeks  to  change.       Before  delving  into  the  full  impacts  of  globalisation  on  the  Chinese  economy,  it  is   important  to  Jirst  understand  a  number  of  terms  that  will  be  used  throughout  this  essay.   The  most  commonly  used  under  the  umbrella  of  globalisation  is  economic  growth,  an   important  concept  in  the  takeoff  of  the  Chinese  economy,  referring  to:  an  increase  in  the   capacity  of  an  economy  to  produce  goods  and  services,  compared  from  one  period  of   time  to  another.  Economic  development  is  a  highly  related,  but  a  broader  topic  than   economic  growth,  referring  to:  the  sustained,  concerted  actions  of  policy  makers  and   communities  that  promote  the  standard  of  living  and  economic  health  of  a  speciJic  area,   or  more  broadly,  the  quantitative  and  qualitative  changes  in  an  economy.  Lastly,   environmental  sustainability  is  used  to  refer  to  the  maintenance  of  the  factors  and   practices  that  contribute  to  the  quality  of  environment  on  a  long  term  basis   The  1978  economic  reforms  followed  decades  of  poor  economic  performance  from  the   historically  powerful  economy:  the  great  depression  of  the  1930s  dragged  down  the   high  ratio  of  foreign  trade  to  GDP  which  the  strong  manufacturing  sector  relied  on,  and   before  it  was  able  to  recover,  the  Chinese  Civil  War  between  the  communists  and  the   nationalists  disrupted  any  economic  recuperation.  Further,  the  1958-­‐1961  series  of   economic  and  social  reforms  known  as  the  ‘great  leap  forward’  launched  under  the   communist  agenda  saw  further  disruption  as  the  economy  stagnated,  largely  due  to   poor  quality  of  life  associated  with  the  famine  and  purges  killing  tens  of  millions.   Once  Deng  Xioaping  seized  control  of  the  country  following  the  reign  of  the  gang  of  four   in  1978,  he  set  on  a  path  to  enact  ambitious  economic  reforms  to  open  the  Chinese   economy  to  the  world.  The  Chinese  government  chose  to  open  up  in  a  bid  to  ‘Jix’  the   broken  economy  which  had  stagnated  in  recent  years,  through  offering  the  wealth  of   cheap  Chinese  labour  which  had  historically  made  Chinese  manufacturing  powerful  to   foreign  countries,  bringing  foreign  investment  in  and  boosting  both  urbanisation  and   living  standards.  The  earliest  round  of  reforms  saw  the  liberalisation  of  the  agriculture   sector,  allowing  crops  to  be  sold  at  a  market  mechanism  price  once  production  quotas   were  reached,  boosting  efJiciency  as  farmers  sought  the  greatest  proJits.  In  conjunction   with  this,  a  number  of  ‘Special  Economic  Zones’  were  established  in  the  coastal   provinces  allowing  for:  special  tax  incentives  for  foreign  investment  and  greater   Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  2
  • 3. dependence  on  foreign  trade,  creating  zones  which  relied  on  foreign  investment  for   growth.  The  most  successful  of  these  was  the  Shenzhen  economic  zone,  with  GDP   growing  at  an  annual  average  of  28.5%  over  the  last  30  years  compared  with  the  10%   national  average,  transforming  the  zone  from  a  Jishing  village  into  the  thriving  economic   haven  it  has  become,  home  even  to  a  stock  exchange.        1 The  creation  of  these  economic  zones  such  as  that  in  Shenzhen  formed  the  engines  of   growth  for  the  stagnant  Chinese  economy.  China’s  economy  has  been  able  to  grow  at   such  a  high  rate  of  growth  (10%  GDP  growth  against  US  growth  which  is  hovering   around  2%)  because  of  its  transformation  in  four  ways.  Firstly,  the  movement  of  the   economy  from  the  socialist  model  which  allowed  for  the  stagnation  of  the  economy   under  inefJicient  State  Owned  Enterprises  (SOEs)  to  the  brand  of  capitalism  the  Chinese   government  prefers  to  call  ‘Socialism  with  Chinese  Characteristics’.  Secondly,  the   movement  from  being  an  agricultural  economy  to  an  industrialised  economy,  and  a  rural   peasant  based  society  to  an  urban  based  society.  The  problem  of  urbanisation  however   will  be  addressed  later  in  this  essay.  Thirdly,  China  has  moved  from  being  an  economy   with  a  domestic  focus,  to  one  with  a  trade  oriented  focus,  highly  integrated  with  the   global  economy  to  capture  the  beneJits  of  globalisation,  allowing  the  strong  Chinese   manufacturing  sector  to  export  to  a  far  wider  range  of  wealthier  consumers  on  the   global  stage.  Lastly,  China  has  become  a  major  world  economic  power,  contributing   substantially  to  global  output,  economic  growth,  trade  and  investment,  allowing  China    Wikipedia,  (2014).  Economic  history  of  China  (1949–present).  [online]  Available  at:  hGp://en.wikipedia.org/1 wiki/Economic_history_of_China_(1949%E2%80%93present)  [Accessed  23  Nov.  2014]. Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  3
  • 4. to  exploit  its  international  power  by  creating  beneJicial  trade  factors  for  itself  in  trade   agreements  and  the  like.     The  InJluence  of  globalisation  on  China  has  been  quite  signiJicant  with  economic  growth   hovering  around  8-­‐10%  in  the  1990s  and  2000s,  with  the  main  drivers  being  business   investment  and  net  exports.  A  signiJicant  part  of  this  has  been  the  role  of  Foreign  Direct   Investment,  with  investment  spending  contributing  45%  of  GDP  in  2006.  This  is  largely   due  to  the  encouragement  by  the  Chinese  government  through  the  concessions  allowed   by  the  special  economic  zones  in  order  to  attract  foreign  business.    This  reliance  on   foreign  investment  for  growth  has  caused  the  Chinese  economy  to  become  very   dependant  on  the  animal  spirits  of  foreign  investors  which  has  often  been  detrimental   as  can  be  seen  in  the  drops  in  growth  caused  by  the  Asian  Financial  Crisis  and  the  GFC,   and  subsequent  falling  growth  due  to  poor  investor  conJidence.  In  recent  years,  the   government  of  Xi  Jinping  has  undergone  a  restructuring  process  of  the  economy,   funneling  the  rising  wages  and  the  developing  middle  class  into  increased  expenditure   in  order  to  reform  economic  growth  to  hinge  on  consumption,  rather  than  foreign   investment.  This  has  been  particularly  pertinent  given  the  dwindling  labour  force  as  the   Chinese  population  ages.  This  change  in  policy  has  largely  been  due  to  the  Chinese   growth  slowdown  as  growth  drops  from  above  10%  to  around  7%  as  Jirms  seeking  dirt   cheap  labour  now  turn  to  countries  who  have  not  undergone  the  changes  in  living   standards  and  wages  China  has,  compared  to  the  potential  of  an  over  1  billion  consumer   economy.    Future  growth  patterns  are  predicted  to  drop,  with  pessimistic  forecasts   clocking  in  at  3-­‐4%  over  the  next  couple  of  years.  It  is  important  to  note  here,  that  this  is   a  signiJicant  level  of  growth  for  an  economy.  However,  these  forecasts  are  largely  due  to   the  predicted  slowing  due  to  restructuring  to  become  a  consumption  based  economy,  as   well  as  the  recognition  of  the  role  of  one  time  boosts,  such  as  dropping  fertility  rates   (freeing  up  women  for  the  labour  market),  and  increasing  urbanisation  (increasing   efJiciency).  Therefore,  we  can  see  that  on  the  simple  Jigures  of  economic  growth,  China’s   strong  manufacturing  sector  and  abundance  of  cheap  labour  have  lead  it  to  gain   signiJicant  economic  momentum  in  the  process  of  globalisation,  and  continues  to   despite  a  projected  slowdown.     Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  4
  • 5.  2 While  the  Chinese  economy  has  made  leaps  and  bounds  in  terms  of  human  development   and  the  non-­‐material  indicators  of  living  standards.  Over  the  last  25  years,  Chinese   economic  growth  has  brought  400  million  people  out  of  poverty,  living  on  less  than  $1   per  day.  Though  this  is  a  signiJicant  reduction  in  poverty,  it  still  leaves  a  lot  to  be  desired,   especially  considering  the  sheer  number  of  Chinese  citizens  left  in  poverty  by  The  Great   Leap  Forward.  Thus,  we  see  that  in  the  Chinese  economy  as  of  2009,  362  million  people   lived  on  under  $2  a  day  (more  than  10  times  more  people  than  the  Australian   population).  In  dragging  so  many  citizens  out  of  poverty,  economic  growth  has  had  a   signiJicant  impact  on  Chinese  development,  with  China’s  Human  Development  Index   rising  from  0.368  in  1980  (in  today’s  terms,  that  would  equate  to  the  4th  lowers  HDI)  to   0.719,  bringing  it  to  91st,  between  Saint  Vincent  and  and  Tunisia.  The  human   development  index  measures  Life  Expectancy  at  Birth,  Mean  Years  of  Schooling  and  GNI   per  capita  with  the  intention  that  those  indicators  have  high  correlation  with  other   standard  of  living  statistics.  For  the  most  part,  despite  the  prestigious  Chinese  position   as  second  largest  economy  in  the  world,  this  statistic  rings  true,  due  to  the  sheer  size  of   the  population.  While  the  growth  in  human  development  has  been  largely  because  of   powerful  economic  growth  over  the  last  few  decades,  the  act  of  foreign  investment   beyond  the  monetary  gain  as  well  as  the  social  aspect  of  opening  up  has  allowed  the   Chinese  economy  to  advance  signiJicantly  in  terms  of  development.  The  role  of  TNCs  in   spreading  greater  skills  and  knowledge  throughout  the  country  as  well  as  the   importation  of  Western  views  on  spending  and  consumption.  These  views  have  helped   to  drive  the  emerging  middle  class,  allowing  them  to  utilise  their  wealth  to  raise  their   living  standards  through  consumption  along  with  demanding  a  place  in  political  action,   driving  government  reforms  which  have  had  a  signiJicant  impact  on  economic   development,  particularly  through  newly  created  social  welfare  related  policies.  A  major   problem  in  terms  of  living  standards  in  China  however,  come  as  a  result  of  the    The  Economist,  (2014).  Building  the  dream.  [online]  Available  at:  hGp://www.economist.com/news/special-­‐2 report/21600797-­‐2030-­‐chinese-­‐ciTes-­‐will-­‐be-­‐home-­‐about-­‐1-­‐billion-­‐people-­‐geVng-­‐urban-­‐china-­‐work   [Accessed  16  Nov.  2014]. Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  5
  • 6. impoverished  rural  populace,  who  are  the  root  cause  of  statistics  such  as  that  of  1  in  4   Chinese  citizens  unable  to  access  clean  drinking  water.  The  rapid  development  caused   by  the  implementation  of  Special  Economic  Zones  and  opening  up  for  manufacturing   has  essentially  created  a  two  speed  economy  by  which  the  rural  regions  feel  few  of  the   beneJits  that  globalisation  has  brought  to  China.  In  terms  of  the  impact  of  globalisation   on  economic  development  and  living  standards,    the  importation  of  social  reform  as  well   as  growing  economic  output  have  greatly  improved  economic  development,  as  it   continues  to  rise,  even  growing,  into  the  future  despite  a  projected  slowdown  in  growth.     GDP  Per  Capita  by  Province      3 One  of  the  major  social  problems  stemming  from  globalisation  in  China  has  been  the   increase  in  inequality.  Following  Deng  Xiaoping’s  reforms,  income  inequality  has   increased  signiJicantly,  largely  due  to  the  fact  that  under  Mao’s  communism,  all  citizens   were  for  the  most  part,  equally  impoverished.  In  comparison,  Deng’s  reforms  meant  the   quicker  expansion  of  the  coastal  regions  surrounding    special  economic  zones,  with   Deng  explicitly  stating  in  a  1986  interview  “We  permit  some  people  and  some  regions  to   become  prosperous  Jirst,  for  the  purpose  of  achieving  common  prosperity  faster.”   However,  this  growth  has  not  evened  out  as  urbanization  continues,  urban  incomes  rise,   and  rural  workers  are  further  oppressed.  In  fact,  between  2002  and  2007,  the  ratio    The  Economist,  (2014).  Building  the  dream.  [online]  Available  at:  hGp://www.economist.com/news/special-­‐3 report/21600797-­‐2030-­‐chinese-­‐ciTes-­‐will-­‐be-­‐home-­‐about-­‐1-­‐billion-­‐people-­‐geVng-­‐urban-­‐china-­‐work   [Accessed  16  Nov.  2014]. Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  6
  • 7. between  the  income  of  the  top  and  bottom  10%  increased  from  19:1-­‐25:1.  At  this  point   of  discussion,  the  question  of  urbanisation  must  be  raised.  Urbanisation  has  been  one  of   the  key  drivers  of  Chinese  growth  through  the  last  few  decades,  with  a  current   urbanisation  rate  of  52%.  Urbanisation  for  the  most  part  occurs  because  of  economic   growth  and  development.  As  areas  such  as  Shenzhen  are  given    status  as  special   economic  zones  and  wages  and  living  standards  in  those  areas  rise,  more  people  are   attracted  to  those  areas,  and  urbanisation  occurs.  The  process  of  urbanisation  allows   economies  of  scale  to  take  effect  and  allow  the  workers  to  become  more  efJicient.  Thus,   urbanisation  has  a  self  perpetuating  positive  effect  on  growth.  However,  the  Chinese   government,  and  particularly  local  governments  set  urbanisation  goals  in  order  to  fuel   the  already  growing  growth.  However,  there  is  a  conJlict  of  policies  in  place  such  that   there  is  an  active  disincentive  to  urbanise  for  rural  citizens.  Firstly,  the  hukou  system  in   place  -­‐  a  form  of  land  titling  -­‐  makes  it  extremely  difJicult  for  a  migrant  to  lose  the  name   as  rural  Chinese,  against  whom  there  is  signiJicant  discrimination  in  cities.  If  China’s   level  of  urbanisation  was  measured  via  hukuo’s,  it  would  only  be  36%.     The  signiJicance  of  these  is  that  it  is  the  hukuo,  not  the  place  of  residence  which   determines  the  level  of  welfare  entitlements  a  citizen  is  entitled  to.  Moreover,  this   applies  to  the  children  of  a  migrant  as  well.  Thus,  upon  moving  to  an  urban  setting,  a   citizen  and  their  children  will  not  be  afforded  the  level  of  welfare  to  which  they  should   be  entitled  due  to  their  residence,  and  therefore  there  is  no  beneJit  to  moving  to  the  city   in  that  respect.  Likewise,  this  pertains  to  education,  consigning  migrant  children  to   second  rate  private  schools  over  the  public  schools  populated  by  the  children  of   urbanites.  In  regards  to  discrimination,  one  third  of  urbanites  would  not  like  to  live  next   to  a  migrant,  against  one  in  ten,  who  would  not  like  to  live  next  to  a  poor  person.   Furthermore,  migrants  are  often  collected  in  slums  such  as  the  Dongxiaokou  suburb   North  of  Beijing,  a  scene  of  dickensian  style  poverty  with  migrants  crammed  into  ‘tiny   brick  shacks  off  muddy,  rubbish-­‐strewn  streets’.  Perversely,  of  those  surveyed,  only  one   third  of  migrants  found  an  urban  hukou  important,  as  they  were  afraid  of  losing  their   right  to  hold  land.  This  also  pertains  to  the  treatment  of  local  governments  of  land,   where  ‘upstairsing’,  the  process  of  slumming  villagers  in  order  to  take  their  land  and   generate  income  is  common.  As  such,  there  is  an  obvious  divide  between  the  urban   regions  of  the  coast  and  the  northern  and  eastern  regions,  socially.  Compounded  by  the   differences  of  often  $16,000  GDP  per  capita  in  provinces  like  Zhejiang,  and  $1,000  per   head  in  provinces  like  Tibet,  demonstrates  signiJicant  social  and  economic  inequality   within  the  country.  If  barriers  to  migration  were  removed  however,  labour  markets   would  be  able  to  integrate  and  efJicient  allocation  of  resources  would  be  able  to  be   achieved.  As  a  result  of  inequality,  China’s  Gini  index,  though  having  risen  signiJicantly  is   still  only  42.1,  placing  it  100th.  Largely  as  a  result  of  globalisation,  the  distinction   between  urban  and  rural  life  must  be  tackled  by  the  government  beyond  simply   imposing  urbanisation  goals  which  simply  exacerbate  problems,  as  local  governments   slum  more  civilians  under  the  guise  of  ‘urbanisation’.  Considering  that  20%  of   households  pay  91%  of  tax,  the  most  effective  method  in  tackling  inequality  would  likely   Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  7
  • 8. be  Conditional  Cash  Transfer  programs  -­‐  distributing  money  based  on  outcomes  such  as   enrolling  children  in  school.    If  Xi  Jinping’s  government  comes  through  with  reforms   promised  for  the  hukou  system,  inequality  as  a  result  of  globalisation  may  be  decreased   in  the  near  future  as  incomes  and  standards  of  living  rise  elsewhere  across  the  board.   China’s  Unemployment  Rate        4 Another  serious  economic  problem  stemming  from  globalisation  in  China  is  the   unemployment  in  the  country.  As  China  underwent  reforms  for  opening  up  and   liberalising  internal  markets,  the  relevance  and  efJiciency  of  State  Owned  Enterprises   (SOEs)  was  undermined  by  new  private  enterprise.  The  two  main  problems  with  SOEs   has  been:  Jirstly,  that  they  are  not  adequately  positioned  in  key  markets,  often  reaching   into  the  economic  lowlands  of  hotel  and  mall  management,  rather  than  dominating  key   industries,  and  secondly  that  they  have  historically  been  far  less  efJicient  than  private   Jirms,  with  a  third  of  SOEs  operating  at  a  loss  in  1996  (largely  due  to  the  added  incentive   for  productivity  in  private  Jirms).  This  problem  was  recognized  in  the  1990s  by  the   government  of  the  time,  resulting  in  large  scale  layoffs  to  the  tune  of  36  million  job   losses  in  the  restructuring.  Resulting  in  a  growth  from  just  above  0%  jumping  to  7%,  a   touch  shy  of  private  Jirm  growth  in  the  period  between  1998  and  2008,  however  in  the   last  few  years  SOEs  have  once  again  been  left  behind  as  private  Jirms  have  grown  in   signiJicance,  leading  Xi  Jinping’s  government  to  promise  to  ‘target’  SOEs  in  November   last  year.  These  job  losses  are  further  compounded  by  the  rising  unemployment  among   university  graduates  as  more  university  students  enter,  with  a  predicted  30%  of   graduates  unable  to  Jind  unemployment  in  their  chosen  Jield,  and  2.3  million  of  the  7    Econosseur.com,  (2014).  Unemployment  in  China  -­‐  Econosseur.  [online]  Available  at:  hGp://4 www.econosseur.com/2009/02/unemployment-­‐in-­‐china.html  [Accessed  23  Nov.  2014]. Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  8
  • 9. million  graduating  cohort  last  year  unable  to  Jind  employment.  With  this  being  said   however,  the  current  ofJicial  unemployment  rate  is  4.1%,  only  0.1%  higher  than   Australia’s  all  time  low  over  the  past  4  decades.  China’s  notorious  lack  of  transparency  is   likely  to  be  coming  into  play  here  as  different  Jigures  are  published  by  different   agencies,  with  the  ministry  of  human  resources  giving  a  4.1%  unemployment  rate,  and   the  economic  planning  agency  NDRC  giving  5.1%.  These  Jigures  are  likely  far  below   actual  unemployment  due  to  the  discrepancies  caused  by  the  aforementioned  hukou   system.  This  is  because  the  ofJicial  unemployment  rate  is  calculated  by  the  number  of   people  registering  for  urban  unemployment  beneJits,  entirely  excluding  those  with  rural   hukous,  among  whom  unemployment  tends  to  be  much  higher  anyway.  In  conjunction   with  this,  there  is  signiJicant  ‘hidden’  unemployment  among  those  with  regional  hukous   as  they  choose  to  give  up  work  and  often  return  to  the  farm  or  accept  a  part  time  job,   resulting  in  underemployment.  Furthermore,  more  capable  labour  is  often  funneled  into   underskilled  positions  due  to  shortages  of  jobs  among  high  skill  industries.  These  issues   result  in  the  ‘unofJicial’  unemployment  rate  to  hover  around  8%.  The  government  may   not  release  accurate  statistics  due  to  fears  of  uprisings  and  discontent  based  on  wide   scale  unemployment  and  poverty.  Looking  at  ofJicial  charts  since  1980,  there  has  been  a   clear  trend  of  a  sharp  drop  in  unemployment  to  around  2%  (likely  due  to  the  emergence   of  private  companies)  followed  by  a  slow  rise  to  the  current  Jigure.  As  such,  it  is  clear   that  at  least  from  ofJicial  statistics,  globalisation  had  a  signiJicant  impact  in  dragging   many  previously  unemployed  citizens  into  employment,  however  underlying  problems   with  ‘Socialism  with  Chinese  features’  including  the  role  of  SOEs  have  resulted  in  a   rising  unemployment  rate.     Environmental  Kuznets  Curve                                                                            5  The Economist, (2012). Shoots, greens and leaves. [online] Available at: http://www.economist.com/5 node/21556904 [Accessed 23 Nov. 2014]. Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  9
  • 10.  6 One  of  the  most  obvious  problems  as  a  result  of  globalisation  in  China  has  been  the   environmental  issues  caused  by  the  widescale  ‘dirty’  manufacturing.  In  a  pattern   replicating  the  theoretical  environmental  kuznets  curve,  the  environment  has  been   disregarded  in  China’s  explosive  growth  and  it  is  now  that  it  feels  some  international   obligation  due  to  its  now  somewhat  developed  economy  that  it  is  now  attempting  to   meet  its  environmental  responsibilities.  China’s  sustained  high  level  of  economic  growth   has  led  to  high  resource  use  and  environmental  degradation.  China  is  therefore   experiencing    severe  environmental  problems  associated  with  resource  depletion  and   environmental  degradation.  The  signiJicant  issues  for  the  Chinese  economies  as  a  result   of  environmental  degradation  are  three  fold.  Firstly,  the  chinese  economy  faces  resource   depletion  -­‐  particularly  in  relation  to  clean  water  -­‐  that  make  high  levels  of  sustained   economic  growth  in  the  future  difJicult,  due  to  rising  resource  prices  and  worsening   living  conditions.  As  mentioned,  water  shortages  have  occurred  due  to  inefJicient   irrigation  systems  and  major  cities  now  face  water  shortages  due  to  excess  demand.   Likewise,  there  has  been  signiJicant  loss  of  topsoil  and  subsequent  desertiJication  due  to   removal  of  vegetation  which  has  resulted  in  inability  to  farm  in  certain  areas.  Further,   the  depletion  of  grasslands  and  forests  due  to  the  expansion  of  agriculture  and  industry   may  require  China  to  import  the  products  of  forestry  in  the  future.  Secondly,  the   pollutants  emitted  by  decades  of  manufacturing  with  no  regard  to  the  environment  has   resulted  in  rising  health  related  issues  which  will  further  decrease  possibility  of  growth   if  deaths  and  illness  continue  on  the  projected  course.  The  2007  OECD  report  on   Chinese  environmental  damage  found  that  unless  pollution  is  controlled,  it  will  cause   600,000  premature  deaths  and  20  million  cases  of  respiratory  illness  each  year  by  2020.     Furthermore,  the  report  found  that  up  to  7%  of  China’s  GDP  is  lost  because  of  pollution   and  this  could  rise  to  13%  without  intervention.  Widespread  Chinese  pollution  has   resulted  in  high  incidence  of  respiratory  diseases,  with  China  having  the  world’s  highest   rate  of  chronic  respiratory  disease.  Lastly,  as  the  Chinese  middle  class  grows  further,   demand  for  aesthetically  pleasing  environments  grow,  and  the  new  bourgeois  may   emigrate  in  search  of  better  environmental  conditions  in  which  to  rear  their  children.   Unlike  other  areas  discussed  in  this  essay,  globalisation  has  quite  clearly  severely   negatively  affected  the  Chinese  environment,  which  must  be  addressed  by  the  current   government  in  order  to  ensure  future  growth.  In  that  regard,  Xi  Jinping’s  government   has  been  working  on  a  number  of  environmental  projects,  including  ‘eco-­‐cities’,  cities   based  on  renewable  living.  The  premier  Li  Keqiang  has  publicly  declared  a  ‘war’  on   pollution,  describing  smog  as  nature’s  “red-­‐light  warning  against  the  model  of  inefJicient   and  blind  development”,  a  surprisingly  frank  statement  of  prior  wrongdoing,  unusual  for   a  Chinese  government.  This  war  has  thus  far  involved  policies  such  as  stricter  controls   on  emissions  of  carbon  and  smog  forming  pollutants  through  the  new  environmental   protection  policy,  punishing  companies  for  not  meeting  control  targets  (including    Left with Brain, Right with Heart, (2007). The neo-Malthusians and the Kuznets Curve. [online]6 Available at: http://socialist.wordpress.com/2007/10/03/the-neo-malthusians-and-the-kuznets-curve/ [Accessed 23 Nov. 2014]. Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  10
  • 11. property  seizure  and  prison  sentences  for  company  executives),  coming  into  effect  on   the  1st  of  January  2015.  Environmental  policy  is  one  of  the  main  policy  challenges  of  the   current  government  if  they  wish  to  rectify  the  damage  caused  by  globalisation.     In  assessing  the  impact  of  globalisation  on  the  Chinese  economy,  the  effects  have  been   two  pronged.  Firstly,  in  analysing  simply  the  observed  effect  on  economic  outcomes,   globalisation  has  wholly  been  good  for  China.  Economic  growth  has  lifted  explosively,   resulting  in  good  outcomes  for  economic  development,  living  standards,  and  personal   incomes,  as  well  as  for  the  most  part,  higher  employment  following  opening  up  reforms.   On  the  other  hand,  environmental  sustainability  is  at  an  extremely  poor  standard  and   growing  inequality  can  be  observed.  However,  these  negative  outcomes  are  more  than   counterbalanced  by  the  signiJicance  of  lifting  of  hundreds  of  millions  of  people  out  of   poverty.  As  such,  in  distilling  the  impact  of  globalisation  down  to  key  economic   outcomes,  we  are  presented  with  a  largely  positive  view  of  the  effect  of  globalisation  on   the  Chinese  economy.  However,  the  question  of  globalisation  in  reference  to  China’s   future  potential  as  well  as  its  role  in  global  politics  must  be  asked.  The  question  is   twofold:  how  large  can  China  get,  and  will  China  step  up  to  the  political  plate  as  a  world   leader.  In  answer  to  the  former,  there  is  much  contestation  of  whether  or  not  China  has   the  growth  potential  for  sustained  levels  of  high  growth  over  the  coming  decades.  China   has  a  signiJicant  advantage  over  other  countries  in  that  despite  the  extreme  growth  in   its  industries,  it  still  has  underutilised  resources  in  rural  areas.  If  the  lack  of  efJiciency  of   the  human  resources  being  used  in  rural  areas  was  rectiJied  to  allow  for  new  levels  of   production,  China  is  very  likely  to  hold  the  potential  for  continued  growth.  However,  this   growth  depends  on  the  ability  of  China’s  government  to  reallocate  these  resources  as   well  as  overcome  the  projected  slump  in  growth  as  China’s  economy  restructures.  One   of  the  largest  factors  in  argument  surrounding  potential  growth  is  whether  or  not  a   consumption  driven  economy,  with  China’s  economy  in  its  current  form  continuing  to   lose  manufacturing  business  to  countries  which  have  even  cheaper  costs  of  labour,  can   retain  high  levels  of  growth  under  the  consumption  levels  of  over  a  billion  consumers.   Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  11
  • 12. Chinese  Foreign  Direct  Investment   ‑  7 Perhaps  more  relevant  to  the  impact  of  globalisation  is  China’s  role  politically  ‘post’   globalisation.  As  the  US  looks  to  China  to  become  a  globally  responsible  nation,  we  are   seeing  a  curious  reaction  from  China.  China  is  no  longer  simply  the  exporter  for  the   world  market,  it  is  taking  an  active  role  in  promoting  economic  growth  in  countries  such   as  Zambia  whom  China  set  a  new  Special  Economic  Zone  in  2007  in,  funneling  funds   directly  into  the  mineral  rich  economy.  Furthermore  China  is  beginning  to  take  an  active   role  in  countries  where  human  rights  abuses  are  frequent,  such  as  the  recent  trouble  in   Darfur.  While  China  is  making  an  effort  to  act  the  global  power,  the  responsibility  of  its   actions  are  questionable  as  it  hands  soft  loans  to  those  human  rights  abusing  nations,   essentially  bankrolling  genocides,  as  was  the  case  in  Darfur.  China’s  outreach  into  world   politics  have  seemed  somewhat  abortive  as  it  struggles  to  hit  its  stride  as  a  world  leader,   attempting  to  Jind  a  way  to  put  a  ‘yellow  river’  style  twist  on  geopolitics  just  as  it  does   capitalism.  There  is  no  doubt  that  China  is  making  an  attempt  to  become  more  than  just   an  exporter,  however  not  in  the  way  it  is  being  urged  to  by  Western  nations.  In  this  sense   therefore,  globalisation  has  quite  signiJicantly  been  positive  in  allowing  China  to  make   an  outreach  into  world  political  systems.  Whether  or  not  China  will  manage  to  Jind  a   suitable  place  for  its  style  of  politics  that  emphasises  the  allowance  of  countries  to  do  as   they  wish  as  long  as  they  are  beholden  to  China,  is  another  matter  entirely.     References   Atradius.com.au,  (2014).  China  Country  Report  Summary  -­‐  Atradius.  [online]  Available   at:  http://www.atradius.com.au/creditmanagementknowledge/china/china-­‐ country-­‐report-­‐summary.html  [Accessed  16  Nov.  2014].   BBC  News,  (2014).  What  do  you  do  with  millions  of  extra  graduates?.  [online]  Available   at:  http://www.bbc.com/news/business-­‐28062071  [Accessed  16  Nov.  2014].   Charlton,  A.  (n.d.).  Dragon's  tail.   Cia.gov,  (2014).  The  World  Factbook.  [online]  Available  at:  https://www.cia.gov/library/ publications/the-­‐world-­‐factbook/geos/ch.html  [Accessed  16  Nov.  2014].    FiNETIK - Asia and Latin America - Market News Network, (2010). China Latin America: The decade7 of the Panda?. [online] Available at: http://blog.finetik.com/2010/01/27/china-latin-america-the-decade- of-the-panda/ [Accessed 23 Nov. 2014]. Patrick  Hendy  -­‐  28381670     Page  12
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