2-1
Chapter 4
Capital Budgeting
2-2
After studying Chapter 4,
you should be able to:
 Define “capital budgeting” and identify the steps involved in the
capital budgeting process.
 Justify why cash, not income, flows are the most relevant to
capital budgeting decisions.
 Summarize in a “checklist” the major concerns to keep in mind
as one prepares to determine relevant capital budgeting cash
flows.
 Define the terms “sunk cost” and “opportunity cost” and explain
why sunk costs must be ignored, while opportunity costs must
be included, in capital budgeting analysis.
 Explain how tax considerations, as well as depreciation for tax
purposes, affects capital budgeting cash flows.
 Determine initial, operating, and terminal period “after-tax,
incremental, cash flows” associated with a capital investment
project.
 Apply the various techniques of evaluating projects
2-3
What is
Capital Budgeting?
The process of identifying,
analyzing, and selecting
investment projects whose
returns (cash flows) are
expected to extend beyond
one year.
2-4
The Capital Budgeting Process
 Generate investment proposals
consistent with the firm’s strategic
objectives.
 Estimate after-tax incremental cash
flows for the investment projects.
 Estimate the cost of capital relevant for
the project
 Evaluate project incremental cash flows.
2-5
Classification of Investment
Project Proposals
1. New products or expansion of
existing products
2. Replacement of existing equipment or
buildings
3. Research and development
4. Exploration
5. Other (e.g., safety or pollution related)
2-6
Estimating After-Tax
Incremental Cash Flows
 Cash (not accounting income) flows
 Operating (not financing) flows
 After-tax flows
 Incremental flows
Basic characteristics of
relevant project flows
2-7
Estimating After-Tax
Incremental Cash Flows
 Ignore sunk costs
 Include opportunity costs
 Include changes in net working
capital
 Include externalities
 Ignore financing costs
Principles that must be adhered
to in the estimation
2-8
Sunk Costs
 Sunk Costs—A cost that has
already been incurred and cannot
be recovered irrespective of the
decision to accept or reject the
project.
 R&D, Market Research,
Consultant’s Fees
 It is irrelevant
2-9
Opportunity Costs
 Opportunity Costs--The cash flow foregone by
using your resources in a particular way.
 Resources have multiple uses
 You can use them in one way to the exclusion
of other uses and this gives rise to opportunity
costs
 By using your own building for your business,
you forego the rent that you could have earned
by renting it to some one else.
 It is relevant to decision making.
2-10
Project Externalities
 Project Externalities--the effect of a
new project (positive or negative) on
an existing project or division of a
firm.
 For instance, introduction of a new
model of a car on other existing
models produced by the same firm.
 Positive externality is revenue of the
project and negative externality is
cost
2-11
Net Working Capital
 Change in Net Working Capital--Net
working capital is defined as current
assets minus current liabilities.
 Investment in working capital is a
cash outflow during the year in
which investment takes place
 Any investment in working capital is
a cash inflow during the last year of
the project and must be treated
accordingly
2-12
Financing costs
 Financing costs are considered in
the discounting rate (the cost of
capital).
 They are not considered in
determining the cash flows of the
project. Otherwise it would be
double counting.
2-13
Types of cash flows
 Initial cash outflow (initial investment) –
is cash flow to make the project ready
for operation.
 Operating Cash flows -- those net cash
flows from operating the project.
 Terminal cash flows -- the final period’s
net cash flow occurring as a result of
terminating and liquidating the project.
2-14
Initial Investment
a) Gross investment (price +
installation + shipment)
b) + (-) Increased (decreased) NWC
c) - Net proceeds from sale of
“old” asset(s)
d) + (-) Taxes (savings) due to the
sale of “old” asset(s)
2-15
Operating Cash Flows
(CFAT)
a) Cash Revenue – Cash Expenses
b) - Depreciation
c) = Net income before taxes
d) - Taxes
e) = Net income after taxes
f) + Depreciation
g) = Operating cash flow for period
2-16
Or , the operating
cashflow…
 Another way to find the annual
operating cash flow is:
 CFAT= CFBT(1-T) +Deprn (T)
 CFBT = Cash rev – Cash Exp
 T = the tax rate
2-17
Terminal Cash Flows
a) Salvage value (disposal/reclamation
costs) of any sold or disposed
assets
b) - (+) Taxes (tax savings) due to asset sale
or disposal of “new” assets
c) + Net working capital recovered
d) = Terminal year incremental net cash
flow
2-18
Example:Expansion Project
Basket Wonders (BW) is considering the
purchase of a new basket weaving machine. The
machine will cost $50,000 plus $20,000 for
shipping and installation. Depreciation is 40%,
30%, 20% and 10% of the gross investment in
years 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. NWC will rise
by $5,000. Lisa Miller forecasts that revenues will
increase by $110,000 for each of the next 4 years
and will then be sold (scrapped) for $10,000 at the
end of the fourth year, when the project ends.
Operating costs will rise by $70,000 for each of
the next four years. BW is in the 40% tax bracket.
2-19
Initial investment
a) $50,000
b) + 20,000
c) + 5,000
d) - 0 (not a replacement)
e) + (-) 0 (not a replacement)
f) = $75,000*
* Note that we have calculated this value as a
“positive” because it is a cash OUTFLOW (negative).
2-20
Operating Cash Flows
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
a) $40,000 $40,000 $40,000
$40,000
b) - 28,000 21,000 14,000
7,000
c) = $12,000 $19,000 $26,000
$33,000
d) - 4,800 7,600 10,400
13,200
e) = $7,200 $ 11,400 $15,600
2-21
Terminal cash flow
a) 10,000 Salvage Value.
b) - 4,000 .40*($10,000 - 0) Note, the
asset is fully
depreciated at the end of Year
4.
c) + 5,000 NWC - Project ends.
d) = $11,000 Terminal-cash flow.
2-22
Summary of Project
Net Cash Flows
Asset Expansion
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
-$75,000* $35,200 $32,400 $29,600
$37,800
* Notice again that this value is a negative
cash flow as we calculated it as the initial
cash OUTFLOW in slide 12-18.
2-23
Example of an Asset
Replacement Project
Let us assume that previous asset expansion
project is actually an asset replacement project.
The original cost of the old machine was $30,000
and depreciated using straight-line over five years
($6,000 per year). The old machine has served for
three years and has two years of useful life remain-
ing. BW can sell the current machine for $6,000.
The new machine will not increase revenues
(remain at $110,000) but it decreases operating
expenses by $10,000 per year (old = $80,000). NWC
will rise to $10,000 from $5,000 (old).
2-24
Initial Cash Outflow
a) $50,000
b) + 20,000
c) + 5,000
d) - 6,000 (sale of “old” asset)
e) - 2,400 <----
f) = $66,600
(tax savings from
loss on sale of
“old” asset)
2-25
Calculation of the
Change in Depreciation
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
a) $28,000 $21,000 $14,000 $
7,000
b) - 6,000 6,000 0
0
c) = $22,000 $15,000 $14,000 $
7,000
a) Represent the depreciation on the “new”
project.
b) Represent the remaining depreciation on
2-26
Incremental Cash Flows
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
a) $10,000 $10,000 $10,000
$10,000
b) - 22,000 15,000 14,000
7,000
c) = $ -12,000 -$5,000 $ -4,000 $
3,000
d) - -4,800 -2,000 -1,600
1,200
e) = $ -7,200 $ -3,000 $ -2,400 $
2-27
Terminal Cash Flows
a) + 10,000 Salvage Value.
b) - 4,000 (.40)*($10,000 - 0). Note,
the asset is fully depreciated
at the end of Year 4.
c) + 5,000 Return of “added” NWC.
d) = $11,000 Terminal cash flow.
2-28
Summary of Project
Net Cash Flows
Asset Expansion
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
-$75,000 $35,200 $32,400 $29,600
$37,800
Asset Replacement
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
-$66,600 $14,800 $12,000 $10,600
$20,000
2-29
Capital Budgeting
Techniques
1. Non-Discounted methods: do
not consider time value of
money.
2. Discounted Methods: Consider
time value of money
2-30
1. Non discounted
Methods
a) Payback Period (PBP)
b) The accounting rate of return
2-31
Proposed Project Data
Julie Miller is evaluating a new project
for her firm, Basket Wonders (BW).
She has determined that the after-tax
cash flows for the project will be
$10,000; $12,000; $15,000; $10,000;
and $7,000, respectively, for each of
the Years 1 through 5. The initial
cash outlay will be $40,000.
2-32
Independent Project
 Independent -- A project whose
acceptance (or rejection) does not
prevent the acceptance of other
projects under consideration.
 For this project, assume that it is
independent of any other potential
projects that Basket Wonders may
undertake.
2-33
a) Payback Period (PBP)
PBP is the period of time
required for the cumulative
expected cash flows from an
investment project to equal
the initial cash outflow.
0 1 2 3 4 5
-40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K
2-34
(c)
10 K 22 K 37 K 47 K 54 K
Payback Solution (#1)
PBP = a + ( b - c ) / d
= 3 + (40 - 37) / 10
= 3 + (3) / 10
= 3.3 Years
0 1 2 3 4 5
-40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K
Cumulative
Inflows
(a)
(-b) (d)
2-35
Payback Solution (#2)
PBP = 3 + ( 3K ) / 10K
= 3.3 Years
Note: Take absolute value of last
negative cumulative cash flow
value.
Cumulative
Cash Flows
-40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K
0 1 2 3 4 5
-40 K -30 K -18 K -3 K 7 K 14 K
2-36
PBP Acceptance Criterion
Yes! The firm will receive back the
initial cash outlay in less than 3.5
years. [3.3 Years < 3.5 Year Max.]
The management of Basket Wonders
has set a maximum PBP of 3.5
years for projects of this type.
Should this project be accepted?
2-37
PBP Strengths
and Weaknesses
Strengths:
 Easy to use and
understand
 Can be used as a
measure of
liquidity & risk
Weaknesses:
 Does not account
for TVM
 Does not consider
cash flows
beyond the PBP
 Cutoff period is
2-38
b) Accounting Rate of Return
ARR = Average NIAT / Average Investment
Eg. A project earns net incomes of Br 10,000, Br
15,000, Br 20,000 and Br 15,000 in years 1, 2, 3, &
4, respectively. The initial investment in the
project is Br 90,000 and it is expected to have a
salvage value of Br 10,000. What is the ARR of the
project?
Average NIAT = 60,000/4 = 15,000
Average Investment = (90000 + 10,000)/2 = 50,000
ARR = 15,000/50,000 = 30%
2-39
2. Discounted Methods
 A) Net Present Value
 B) Internal Rate of Return
 C) Profitability Index
2-40
a) Net Present Value
(NPV)
NPV is the present value of an
investment project’s net cash
flows minus the project’s initial
investment. The discount rate is
the opportunity cost of capital
CF1 CF2 CFn
(1+k)1
(1+k)2
(1+k)n
+ . . . +
+ - IInvt
NPV =
2-41
Basket Wonders has determined that the
opportunity cost of capital appropriate
(Kr) for this project is 13%.
$10,000 $7,000
NPV Solution
$10,000 $12,000 $15,000
(1.13)1
(1.13)2
(1.13)3
+ +
+ - $40,000
(1.13)4
(1.13)5
NPV = +
2-42
NPV Solution
NPV = $10,000(PVIF13%,1) + $12,000(PVIF13%,2)
+ $15,000(PVIF13%,3) + $10,000(PVIF13%,4) +
$ 7,000(PVIF13%,5) - $40,000
NPV = $10,000(.885) + $12,000(.783) +
$15,000(.693) + $10,000(.613) + $
7,000(.543) - $40,000
NPV = $8,850 + $9,396 + $10,395 +
$6,130 + $3,801 - $40,000
= - $1,428
2-43
NPV Acceptance Criterion
No! The NPV is negative. This means
that the project is reducing shareholder
wealth. [Reject as NPV < 0 ]
The management of Basket Wonders
has determined that the required
rate is 13% for projects of this type.
Should this project be accepted?
2-44
NPV Strengths
and Weaknesses
Strengths:
 Cash flows
assumed to be
reinvested at
the hurdle rate.
 Accounts for TVM.
 Considers all
cash flows.
Weaknesses:
 May not include
managerial
options
embedded in the
project.
2-45
b) Internal Rate of Return
(IRR)
IRR is the discount rate that equates the
present value of the future net cash
flows from an investment project with
the project’s initial investment. I.e. NPV
at IRR = 0
CF1 CF2 CFn
(1+IRR)1
(1+IRR)2
(1+IRR)n
+ . . . +
+
IINVt =
2-46
$15,000 $10,000 $7,000
IRR Solution
$10,000 $12,000
(1+IRR)1
(1+IRR)2
Find the interest rate (IRR) that causes the
discounted cash flows to equal $40,000.
+ +
+
+
$40,000 =
(1+IRR)3
(1+IRR)4
(1+IRR)5
2-47
IRR Solution (Try 10%)
$40,000 = $10,000(PVIF10%,1) +
$12,000(PVIF10%,2) +
$15,000(PVIF10%,3) + $10,000(PVIF10%,4)
+ $ 7,000(PVIF10%,5)
$40,000 = $10,000(.909) +
$12,000(.826) +
$15,000(.751) + $10,000(.683) +
$ 7,000(.621)
2-48
IRR Solution (Try 15%)
$40,000 = $10,000(PVIF15%,1) +
$12,000(PVIF15%,2) +
$15,000(PVIF15%,3) + $10,000(PVIF15%,4)
+ $ 7,000(PVIF15%,5)
$40,000 = $10,000(.870) +
$12,000(.756) +
$15,000(.658) + $10,000(.572) +
$ 7,000(.497)
2-49
.10 $1,444
.05 IRR $0.00
$4,603
.15 $3,159
X $1,444
.05 $4,603
IRR Solution (Interpolate)
X
=
2-50
.10 $1,444
.05 IRR $0.00
$4,603
.15 -$3,159
($1,444)(0.05)
$4,603
IRR Solution (Interpolate)
$1,444
X
X = X = .0157
IRR = .10 + .0157 = .1157 or 11.57%
2-51
IRR Strengths
and Weaknesses
Strengths:
 Accounts for
TVM
 Considers all
cash
flows
 Less
subjectivity
Weaknesses:
 Assumes all cash
flows
reinvested at the IRR
 Difficulties with
project rankings
and Multiple IRRs
2-52
Profitability Index (PI)
PI is the ratio of the present value of
a project’s future net cash flows to
the project’s initial investment.
CF1 CF2 CFn
(1+k)1
(1+k)2
(1+k)n
+ . . . +
+ IInVT
PI =
PI = 1 + [ NPV / IINVT ]
<< OR >>
Method #2:
Method #1:
2-53
PI Strengths
and Weaknesses
Strengths:
 Same as NPV
 Allows
comparison of
different scale
projects
Weaknesses:
 Same as NPV
 Provides only
relative
profitability
 Potential Ranking
Problems
2-54
Evaluation Summary
Method Project Comparison Decision
PBP 3.3 3.5 Accept
IRR 11.47% 13% Reject
NPV -$1,424 $0 Reject
PI .96 1.00 Reject
Basket Wonders Independent Project
2-55
Project Relationships
Mutually Exclusive -- A project whose
acceptance precludes the acceptance
of one or more alternative projects.
Independent -- A project whose acceptance
(or rejection) does not prevent the
acceptance of other projects under
consideration.
2-56
Potential Problems
Under Mutual Exclusivity
A. Scale of Investment
B. Cash-flow Pattern
C. Project Life
Ranking of project proposals may
create contradictory results for
NPV and IRR.
2-57
A. Scale Differences
NET CASH FLOWS
Project S Project L
END OF YEAR
0 -$100 -$100,000
1 0 0
2 $400 $156,250
IRR 100% 25%
NPV(10%) $231 $29,132
2-58
B. Difference in Cash Flow
Pattern
NET CASH FLOWS
Project D Project I
END OF YEAR
0 -$1,200 -$1,200
1 1,000 100
2 500 600
3 100 1,080
IRR 23% 17%
NPV (10%) $198 $198
2-59
C. Project Life Differences
NET CASH FLOWS
Project X Project Y
END OF YEAR
0 -$1,000 -$1,000
1 0 2,000
2 0 0
3 3,375 0
IRR 50% 100%
NPV (10%) $1536 $818
2-60
Regular Vs Non regular CF
 Regular
Yr CF
0 -160
1 1,000
2 1,000
Non regular
Yr CF
0 -160
1 1,000
2 -1,000
For non-normal cash flows there may be
multiple IRRs, i.e. there may be at least two
rates that make the NPV = 0. i.e. 25% and
400%
2-61
Reinvestment rate
assumption
Is the rate at which cash flows of a project are
assumed to reinvested.
IRR assumes that the reinvestment rate is the IRR
of the project.
NPV method assumes that the reinvestment rate
is the cost of capital.
Thus NPV method is superior to the IRR method.
2-62
Capital Rationing
Capital Rationing occurs when a constraint (or
budget ceiling) is placed on the total size of capital
expenditures during a particular period. Under this
condition the projects that provide the largest sum
of NPV should be taken.
Example: Julie Miller must
determine what investment
opportunities to undertake for
Basket Wonders (BW). She is
2-63
Available Projects for BW
Project ICO IRR NPV
A $ 500 18% $ 50
B 5,000 25 6,500
C 5,000 37 5,500
D 7,500 20 5,000
E 12,500 26 500
F 15,000 28 21,000
G 17,500 19 7,500

Chapter4_Introduction to capital_budgeting[1].pptx

  • 1.
  • 2.
    2-2 After studying Chapter4, you should be able to:  Define “capital budgeting” and identify the steps involved in the capital budgeting process.  Justify why cash, not income, flows are the most relevant to capital budgeting decisions.  Summarize in a “checklist” the major concerns to keep in mind as one prepares to determine relevant capital budgeting cash flows.  Define the terms “sunk cost” and “opportunity cost” and explain why sunk costs must be ignored, while opportunity costs must be included, in capital budgeting analysis.  Explain how tax considerations, as well as depreciation for tax purposes, affects capital budgeting cash flows.  Determine initial, operating, and terminal period “after-tax, incremental, cash flows” associated with a capital investment project.  Apply the various techniques of evaluating projects
  • 3.
    2-3 What is Capital Budgeting? Theprocess of identifying, analyzing, and selecting investment projects whose returns (cash flows) are expected to extend beyond one year.
  • 4.
    2-4 The Capital BudgetingProcess  Generate investment proposals consistent with the firm’s strategic objectives.  Estimate after-tax incremental cash flows for the investment projects.  Estimate the cost of capital relevant for the project  Evaluate project incremental cash flows.
  • 5.
    2-5 Classification of Investment ProjectProposals 1. New products or expansion of existing products 2. Replacement of existing equipment or buildings 3. Research and development 4. Exploration 5. Other (e.g., safety or pollution related)
  • 6.
    2-6 Estimating After-Tax Incremental CashFlows  Cash (not accounting income) flows  Operating (not financing) flows  After-tax flows  Incremental flows Basic characteristics of relevant project flows
  • 7.
    2-7 Estimating After-Tax Incremental CashFlows  Ignore sunk costs  Include opportunity costs  Include changes in net working capital  Include externalities  Ignore financing costs Principles that must be adhered to in the estimation
  • 8.
    2-8 Sunk Costs  SunkCosts—A cost that has already been incurred and cannot be recovered irrespective of the decision to accept or reject the project.  R&D, Market Research, Consultant’s Fees  It is irrelevant
  • 9.
    2-9 Opportunity Costs  OpportunityCosts--The cash flow foregone by using your resources in a particular way.  Resources have multiple uses  You can use them in one way to the exclusion of other uses and this gives rise to opportunity costs  By using your own building for your business, you forego the rent that you could have earned by renting it to some one else.  It is relevant to decision making.
  • 10.
    2-10 Project Externalities  ProjectExternalities--the effect of a new project (positive or negative) on an existing project or division of a firm.  For instance, introduction of a new model of a car on other existing models produced by the same firm.  Positive externality is revenue of the project and negative externality is cost
  • 11.
    2-11 Net Working Capital Change in Net Working Capital--Net working capital is defined as current assets minus current liabilities.  Investment in working capital is a cash outflow during the year in which investment takes place  Any investment in working capital is a cash inflow during the last year of the project and must be treated accordingly
  • 12.
    2-12 Financing costs  Financingcosts are considered in the discounting rate (the cost of capital).  They are not considered in determining the cash flows of the project. Otherwise it would be double counting.
  • 13.
    2-13 Types of cashflows  Initial cash outflow (initial investment) – is cash flow to make the project ready for operation.  Operating Cash flows -- those net cash flows from operating the project.  Terminal cash flows -- the final period’s net cash flow occurring as a result of terminating and liquidating the project.
  • 14.
    2-14 Initial Investment a) Grossinvestment (price + installation + shipment) b) + (-) Increased (decreased) NWC c) - Net proceeds from sale of “old” asset(s) d) + (-) Taxes (savings) due to the sale of “old” asset(s)
  • 15.
    2-15 Operating Cash Flows (CFAT) a)Cash Revenue – Cash Expenses b) - Depreciation c) = Net income before taxes d) - Taxes e) = Net income after taxes f) + Depreciation g) = Operating cash flow for period
  • 16.
    2-16 Or , theoperating cashflow…  Another way to find the annual operating cash flow is:  CFAT= CFBT(1-T) +Deprn (T)  CFBT = Cash rev – Cash Exp  T = the tax rate
  • 17.
    2-17 Terminal Cash Flows a)Salvage value (disposal/reclamation costs) of any sold or disposed assets b) - (+) Taxes (tax savings) due to asset sale or disposal of “new” assets c) + Net working capital recovered d) = Terminal year incremental net cash flow
  • 18.
    2-18 Example:Expansion Project Basket Wonders(BW) is considering the purchase of a new basket weaving machine. The machine will cost $50,000 plus $20,000 for shipping and installation. Depreciation is 40%, 30%, 20% and 10% of the gross investment in years 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. NWC will rise by $5,000. Lisa Miller forecasts that revenues will increase by $110,000 for each of the next 4 years and will then be sold (scrapped) for $10,000 at the end of the fourth year, when the project ends. Operating costs will rise by $70,000 for each of the next four years. BW is in the 40% tax bracket.
  • 19.
    2-19 Initial investment a) $50,000 b)+ 20,000 c) + 5,000 d) - 0 (not a replacement) e) + (-) 0 (not a replacement) f) = $75,000* * Note that we have calculated this value as a “positive” because it is a cash OUTFLOW (negative).
  • 20.
    2-20 Operating Cash Flows Year1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 a) $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 b) - 28,000 21,000 14,000 7,000 c) = $12,000 $19,000 $26,000 $33,000 d) - 4,800 7,600 10,400 13,200 e) = $7,200 $ 11,400 $15,600
  • 21.
    2-21 Terminal cash flow a)10,000 Salvage Value. b) - 4,000 .40*($10,000 - 0) Note, the asset is fully depreciated at the end of Year 4. c) + 5,000 NWC - Project ends. d) = $11,000 Terminal-cash flow.
  • 22.
    2-22 Summary of Project NetCash Flows Asset Expansion Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 -$75,000* $35,200 $32,400 $29,600 $37,800 * Notice again that this value is a negative cash flow as we calculated it as the initial cash OUTFLOW in slide 12-18.
  • 23.
    2-23 Example of anAsset Replacement Project Let us assume that previous asset expansion project is actually an asset replacement project. The original cost of the old machine was $30,000 and depreciated using straight-line over five years ($6,000 per year). The old machine has served for three years and has two years of useful life remain- ing. BW can sell the current machine for $6,000. The new machine will not increase revenues (remain at $110,000) but it decreases operating expenses by $10,000 per year (old = $80,000). NWC will rise to $10,000 from $5,000 (old).
  • 24.
    2-24 Initial Cash Outflow a)$50,000 b) + 20,000 c) + 5,000 d) - 6,000 (sale of “old” asset) e) - 2,400 <---- f) = $66,600 (tax savings from loss on sale of “old” asset)
  • 25.
    2-25 Calculation of the Changein Depreciation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 a) $28,000 $21,000 $14,000 $ 7,000 b) - 6,000 6,000 0 0 c) = $22,000 $15,000 $14,000 $ 7,000 a) Represent the depreciation on the “new” project. b) Represent the remaining depreciation on
  • 26.
    2-26 Incremental Cash Flows Year1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 a) $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 b) - 22,000 15,000 14,000 7,000 c) = $ -12,000 -$5,000 $ -4,000 $ 3,000 d) - -4,800 -2,000 -1,600 1,200 e) = $ -7,200 $ -3,000 $ -2,400 $
  • 27.
    2-27 Terminal Cash Flows a)+ 10,000 Salvage Value. b) - 4,000 (.40)*($10,000 - 0). Note, the asset is fully depreciated at the end of Year 4. c) + 5,000 Return of “added” NWC. d) = $11,000 Terminal cash flow.
  • 28.
    2-28 Summary of Project NetCash Flows Asset Expansion Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 -$75,000 $35,200 $32,400 $29,600 $37,800 Asset Replacement Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 -$66,600 $14,800 $12,000 $10,600 $20,000
  • 29.
    2-29 Capital Budgeting Techniques 1. Non-Discountedmethods: do not consider time value of money. 2. Discounted Methods: Consider time value of money
  • 30.
    2-30 1. Non discounted Methods a)Payback Period (PBP) b) The accounting rate of return
  • 31.
    2-31 Proposed Project Data JulieMiller is evaluating a new project for her firm, Basket Wonders (BW). She has determined that the after-tax cash flows for the project will be $10,000; $12,000; $15,000; $10,000; and $7,000, respectively, for each of the Years 1 through 5. The initial cash outlay will be $40,000.
  • 32.
    2-32 Independent Project  Independent-- A project whose acceptance (or rejection) does not prevent the acceptance of other projects under consideration.  For this project, assume that it is independent of any other potential projects that Basket Wonders may undertake.
  • 33.
    2-33 a) Payback Period(PBP) PBP is the period of time required for the cumulative expected cash flows from an investment project to equal the initial cash outflow. 0 1 2 3 4 5 -40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K
  • 34.
    2-34 (c) 10 K 22K 37 K 47 K 54 K Payback Solution (#1) PBP = a + ( b - c ) / d = 3 + (40 - 37) / 10 = 3 + (3) / 10 = 3.3 Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 -40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K Cumulative Inflows (a) (-b) (d)
  • 35.
    2-35 Payback Solution (#2) PBP= 3 + ( 3K ) / 10K = 3.3 Years Note: Take absolute value of last negative cumulative cash flow value. Cumulative Cash Flows -40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K 0 1 2 3 4 5 -40 K -30 K -18 K -3 K 7 K 14 K
  • 36.
    2-36 PBP Acceptance Criterion Yes!The firm will receive back the initial cash outlay in less than 3.5 years. [3.3 Years < 3.5 Year Max.] The management of Basket Wonders has set a maximum PBP of 3.5 years for projects of this type. Should this project be accepted?
  • 37.
    2-37 PBP Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths: Easy to use and understand  Can be used as a measure of liquidity & risk Weaknesses:  Does not account for TVM  Does not consider cash flows beyond the PBP  Cutoff period is
  • 38.
    2-38 b) Accounting Rateof Return ARR = Average NIAT / Average Investment Eg. A project earns net incomes of Br 10,000, Br 15,000, Br 20,000 and Br 15,000 in years 1, 2, 3, & 4, respectively. The initial investment in the project is Br 90,000 and it is expected to have a salvage value of Br 10,000. What is the ARR of the project? Average NIAT = 60,000/4 = 15,000 Average Investment = (90000 + 10,000)/2 = 50,000 ARR = 15,000/50,000 = 30%
  • 39.
    2-39 2. Discounted Methods A) Net Present Value  B) Internal Rate of Return  C) Profitability Index
  • 40.
    2-40 a) Net PresentValue (NPV) NPV is the present value of an investment project’s net cash flows minus the project’s initial investment. The discount rate is the opportunity cost of capital CF1 CF2 CFn (1+k)1 (1+k)2 (1+k)n + . . . + + - IInvt NPV =
  • 41.
    2-41 Basket Wonders hasdetermined that the opportunity cost of capital appropriate (Kr) for this project is 13%. $10,000 $7,000 NPV Solution $10,000 $12,000 $15,000 (1.13)1 (1.13)2 (1.13)3 + + + - $40,000 (1.13)4 (1.13)5 NPV = +
  • 42.
    2-42 NPV Solution NPV =$10,000(PVIF13%,1) + $12,000(PVIF13%,2) + $15,000(PVIF13%,3) + $10,000(PVIF13%,4) + $ 7,000(PVIF13%,5) - $40,000 NPV = $10,000(.885) + $12,000(.783) + $15,000(.693) + $10,000(.613) + $ 7,000(.543) - $40,000 NPV = $8,850 + $9,396 + $10,395 + $6,130 + $3,801 - $40,000 = - $1,428
  • 43.
    2-43 NPV Acceptance Criterion No!The NPV is negative. This means that the project is reducing shareholder wealth. [Reject as NPV < 0 ] The management of Basket Wonders has determined that the required rate is 13% for projects of this type. Should this project be accepted?
  • 44.
    2-44 NPV Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths: Cash flows assumed to be reinvested at the hurdle rate.  Accounts for TVM.  Considers all cash flows. Weaknesses:  May not include managerial options embedded in the project.
  • 45.
    2-45 b) Internal Rateof Return (IRR) IRR is the discount rate that equates the present value of the future net cash flows from an investment project with the project’s initial investment. I.e. NPV at IRR = 0 CF1 CF2 CFn (1+IRR)1 (1+IRR)2 (1+IRR)n + . . . + + IINVt =
  • 46.
    2-46 $15,000 $10,000 $7,000 IRRSolution $10,000 $12,000 (1+IRR)1 (1+IRR)2 Find the interest rate (IRR) that causes the discounted cash flows to equal $40,000. + + + + $40,000 = (1+IRR)3 (1+IRR)4 (1+IRR)5
  • 47.
    2-47 IRR Solution (Try10%) $40,000 = $10,000(PVIF10%,1) + $12,000(PVIF10%,2) + $15,000(PVIF10%,3) + $10,000(PVIF10%,4) + $ 7,000(PVIF10%,5) $40,000 = $10,000(.909) + $12,000(.826) + $15,000(.751) + $10,000(.683) + $ 7,000(.621)
  • 48.
    2-48 IRR Solution (Try15%) $40,000 = $10,000(PVIF15%,1) + $12,000(PVIF15%,2) + $15,000(PVIF15%,3) + $10,000(PVIF15%,4) + $ 7,000(PVIF15%,5) $40,000 = $10,000(.870) + $12,000(.756) + $15,000(.658) + $10,000(.572) + $ 7,000(.497)
  • 49.
    2-49 .10 $1,444 .05 IRR$0.00 $4,603 .15 $3,159 X $1,444 .05 $4,603 IRR Solution (Interpolate) X =
  • 50.
    2-50 .10 $1,444 .05 IRR$0.00 $4,603 .15 -$3,159 ($1,444)(0.05) $4,603 IRR Solution (Interpolate) $1,444 X X = X = .0157 IRR = .10 + .0157 = .1157 or 11.57%
  • 51.
    2-51 IRR Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths: Accounts for TVM  Considers all cash flows  Less subjectivity Weaknesses:  Assumes all cash flows reinvested at the IRR  Difficulties with project rankings and Multiple IRRs
  • 52.
    2-52 Profitability Index (PI) PIis the ratio of the present value of a project’s future net cash flows to the project’s initial investment. CF1 CF2 CFn (1+k)1 (1+k)2 (1+k)n + . . . + + IInVT PI = PI = 1 + [ NPV / IINVT ] << OR >> Method #2: Method #1:
  • 53.
    2-53 PI Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths: Same as NPV  Allows comparison of different scale projects Weaknesses:  Same as NPV  Provides only relative profitability  Potential Ranking Problems
  • 54.
    2-54 Evaluation Summary Method ProjectComparison Decision PBP 3.3 3.5 Accept IRR 11.47% 13% Reject NPV -$1,424 $0 Reject PI .96 1.00 Reject Basket Wonders Independent Project
  • 55.
    2-55 Project Relationships Mutually Exclusive-- A project whose acceptance precludes the acceptance of one or more alternative projects. Independent -- A project whose acceptance (or rejection) does not prevent the acceptance of other projects under consideration.
  • 56.
    2-56 Potential Problems Under MutualExclusivity A. Scale of Investment B. Cash-flow Pattern C. Project Life Ranking of project proposals may create contradictory results for NPV and IRR.
  • 57.
    2-57 A. Scale Differences NETCASH FLOWS Project S Project L END OF YEAR 0 -$100 -$100,000 1 0 0 2 $400 $156,250 IRR 100% 25% NPV(10%) $231 $29,132
  • 58.
    2-58 B. Difference inCash Flow Pattern NET CASH FLOWS Project D Project I END OF YEAR 0 -$1,200 -$1,200 1 1,000 100 2 500 600 3 100 1,080 IRR 23% 17% NPV (10%) $198 $198
  • 59.
    2-59 C. Project LifeDifferences NET CASH FLOWS Project X Project Y END OF YEAR 0 -$1,000 -$1,000 1 0 2,000 2 0 0 3 3,375 0 IRR 50% 100% NPV (10%) $1536 $818
  • 60.
    2-60 Regular Vs Nonregular CF  Regular Yr CF 0 -160 1 1,000 2 1,000 Non regular Yr CF 0 -160 1 1,000 2 -1,000 For non-normal cash flows there may be multiple IRRs, i.e. there may be at least two rates that make the NPV = 0. i.e. 25% and 400%
  • 61.
    2-61 Reinvestment rate assumption Is therate at which cash flows of a project are assumed to reinvested. IRR assumes that the reinvestment rate is the IRR of the project. NPV method assumes that the reinvestment rate is the cost of capital. Thus NPV method is superior to the IRR method.
  • 62.
    2-62 Capital Rationing Capital Rationingoccurs when a constraint (or budget ceiling) is placed on the total size of capital expenditures during a particular period. Under this condition the projects that provide the largest sum of NPV should be taken. Example: Julie Miller must determine what investment opportunities to undertake for Basket Wonders (BW). She is
  • 63.
    2-63 Available Projects forBW Project ICO IRR NPV A $ 500 18% $ 50 B 5,000 25 6,500 C 5,000 37 5,500 D 7,500 20 5,000 E 12,500 26 500 F 15,000 28 21,000 G 17,500 19 7,500