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Exercice 18
    (a) On calcule successivement :

                                p1 = p       p4 = 4p
                                p2 = 2p      p5 = 5p
                                p3 = 3p      p6 = 6p
       Comme
                                                                  1
                       pi = 1    →       21p = 1      →     p=
                                                                 21
       Loi de probabilité Y :
                                    n
                      P(Y = n) =             (pour n de 1 à 6)
                                    21
       ou
                 yi    1      2        3        4          5      6
                 pi   1/21   2/21     3/21     4/21       5/21   6/21
Exercice 18 (suite..)
    (b) V (Y ) = E(Y 2 ) − E(Y )2   avec :


                   E(Y ) =    pi yi
                               1            2                  6    13
                          =1×       +2×       + ··· + 6 ×        =
                               21          21                 21    3
                  E(Y 2 ) =   pi yi 2
                               1            2                 6
                          =1×       + 22 ·    + · · · + 62 ·     = 21
                               21          21                21


        Donc :
                                                   2
                                              13           20
                             V (Y ) = 21 −             =
                                              3             9
Exercice 18 (suite..)
    (c)
                            Y    1        13
                        E       = E(Y ) =
                            2    2        6

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Ch31 18

  • 1. Exercice 18 (a) On calcule successivement : p1 = p p4 = 4p p2 = 2p p5 = 5p p3 = 3p p6 = 6p Comme 1 pi = 1 → 21p = 1 → p= 21 Loi de probabilité Y : n P(Y = n) = (pour n de 1 à 6) 21 ou yi 1 2 3 4 5 6 pi 1/21 2/21 3/21 4/21 5/21 6/21
  • 2. Exercice 18 (suite..) (b) V (Y ) = E(Y 2 ) − E(Y )2 avec : E(Y ) = pi yi 1 2 6 13 =1× +2× + ··· + 6 × = 21 21 21 3 E(Y 2 ) = pi yi 2 1 2 6 =1× + 22 · + · · · + 62 · = 21 21 21 21 Donc : 2 13 20 V (Y ) = 21 − = 3 9
  • 3. Exercice 18 (suite..) (c) Y 1 13 E = E(Y ) = 2 2 6