SlideShare a Scribd company logo
UNRESTRICTED
Financing of Nuclear Power
Ala Alizadeh
Atomic Energy of Canada Limited
Nuclear Infrastructure Milestones Workshop
November 2007 IAEA - Vienna
UNRESTRICTED
Forecast for New Reactors
UNRESTRICTED
Nuclear is Back
• US, Canada, France, Russia, build and
consider new nuclear
• UK and many other countries consider new
nuclear
• China, Finland, India, and Korea are building
new reactors
• G8 supports nuclear power as part of the mix
• Many eenvironmentalists now supportive
UNRESTRICTED
Vendors Role in New Build
• Vendors have now taken a more product
oriented view i.e. develop new products
considering all the risks associated with its
implementation
– Modern standard designs (ACR-1000, AP1000,
EPR, etc)
• Worked with regulatory body and government
to improve licensing process
• Developed expertise to mitigate project
delivery risk
• Results are expected to be lower costs and
lower risks
UNRESTRICTED
Nuclear Project Risk
• What are the risks in a nuclear power
plant project?
• Who takes the risks or how are the risks
shared?
UNRESTRICTED
Nuclear Project Issues
• Large capital
• Long project schedule
• High demand on skilled human
resources
• Low variable cost of operations
• Complex regulatory regime
UNRESTRICTED
Past Risk Sharing Practice
• Risk was assumed by Government, government
owned utilities, public utility boards
• All costs both construction and operations passed
on to the customer
Essentially 100% risk on the customer.
Many projects had long delays and
Large cost overruns
UNRESTRICTED
Current Risk Sharing Practice
Customer is largely protected through
open deregulated market
• Risk is shared by:
– Owner/Operator
– Investor/Lender
– Plant supplier
– Main contractor/Subcontractors
– Government (in case of threat to supply
security)
UNRESTRICTED
Recipe for Success
• Well designed economic plant
• Stable regulatory regime
• Risk sharing amongst all project
stakeholders
• Extensive project planning
• Secure financing
• Strong project delivery team
• Managing nuclear legacy liabilities
UNRESTRICTED
Risks and Typical Risk Sharing
• Technology (Reactor Supplier)
• Regulatory (Owner/Technology Supplier)
• Interveners (Owner/Government)
• Construction (Owner/Investor/Contractors)
• Operation (Owner/Operator/Investor/lender)
• Nuclear legacy (Owner/Government)
• Market (Owner/Investor/lender)
• Force Majeure (Owner/Investor/Lender)
• Political (Owner/Investor/Lender)
UNRESTRICTED
Supplier as Project Manager
• Could be Turnkey Model
Owner as Project Manager
• Could be:
• Island Model
• Multi-Package Model
Project Delivery Models
UNRESTRICTED
Risk Sharing by Vendor
Typically
• There is a limit to the
risk that vendors will
take
• Exclude circumstances
beyond their control
• Commensurate with role
and responsibility
• Consequential risk
generally not taken
Owner/generator can not pass on all the risk
Scope A Scope B
Scope C Scope D
Turnkey
UNRESTRICTED
Ownership Models
Public Model
• Government ownership or guarantee
• Public utility boards
Private Model
• Large utilities with strong balance sheet
(with or without smaller partners)
• Project Company owned by a number of
partners (on or off balance sheet)
UNRESTRICTED
Elements of Cost
• Pre Project activities
• Siting, licensing, EIA
• Financing (interest during construction,
exposure fees, insurance premiums)
• Engineering/Procurement/Construction
• Operation and maintenance
• Fuel
• Capital upgrade
• Decommissioning and waste disposal
UNRESTRICTED
Sources of Financing
• Government budget
• Equity
• Bonds
• Bank loans
• Institutional lenders/investors (e.g.,
pension funds)
• Export credit agencies
UNRESTRICTED
Sources of Financing
Equity investment
–Often with higher return expectations
–May require participation in management
and oversight by the investor
–Offered by experienced investors
(utilities/large consumers)
–Influenced by shareholder’s view
UNRESTRICTED
Sources of Financing
Bank loans
• Banks experienced in nuclear financing
• Mid to short term
• Priced based on perceived risk
• Often involves full recourse expectation
UNRESTRICTED
Sources of Financing
• Institutional Investors
–Example, Pension fund
–Could be long term
–Moderate return expectation
–Less expectation of management
participation
UNRESTRICTED
Sources of Financing
• Export Credit Loans
–Long term (could be 15 years plus
construction period)
–Reasonably priced based on OECD
consensus
–Can be used primarily for the exported
supply and services
–Could be direct lending or guarantee of
commercial loans
UNRESTRICTED
Sources of Financing
Expectation of financing institutions
–Credible public consultation
–Credible environmental assessment
–Acceptable security for loans
UNRESTRICTED
Phases of Project
Pre Project
Pre Construction
Construction/Commissioning
Operation
tens of millions
hundreds of millions
billions
ongoing
UNRESTRICTED
Private Financing Model
Pre Project
Pre Construction
Construction/
Commissioning
Operation
Very high risk, all equity, very high return expectations
Medium risk, equity+debt, moderate return
expectation, market based interest rate
High risk, mostly equity, high return expectations
Low risk, could be mostly debt
UNRESTRICTED
Phases of Project
Pre Project
Pre Construction
Start of Construction/Commissioning
Start of Operation
Equity
Equity
Equity plus debt financing
Refinance debt to pay down equity
UNRESTRICTED
A Two Phase Approach
Pre Project
Pre Construction
Construction/
Commissioning
Operation Refinanced to take government
involvement out
Supported by Government
UNRESTRICTED
Source/Security for Phases of Project
Pre Project
Pre Construction
Construction/
Commissioning
Start of Operation
Equity – Balance Sheet
Equity – Balance Sheet
Equity – Balance Sheet
Debt – Balance Sheet
Refinanced debt – Long Term Power Purchase
Agreement - Market Strength
UNRESTRICTED
Elements of a Successful Financing
• Strong project participants with good experience and
balance sheet
• Long term Off taker with good balance sheet
• Fluid and solid market
• Project in service (amortized debt+ equity+
decommissioning) competitive
• Construction risk mitigation- turnkey- government
funds
• Reputable operator
• Regulatory certainty early in project cycle
• Developed infrastructure
UNRESTRICTED

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Candu reactor design.ppt

  • 1. UNRESTRICTED Financing of Nuclear Power Ala Alizadeh Atomic Energy of Canada Limited Nuclear Infrastructure Milestones Workshop November 2007 IAEA - Vienna
  • 3. UNRESTRICTED Nuclear is Back • US, Canada, France, Russia, build and consider new nuclear • UK and many other countries consider new nuclear • China, Finland, India, and Korea are building new reactors • G8 supports nuclear power as part of the mix • Many eenvironmentalists now supportive
  • 4. UNRESTRICTED Vendors Role in New Build • Vendors have now taken a more product oriented view i.e. develop new products considering all the risks associated with its implementation – Modern standard designs (ACR-1000, AP1000, EPR, etc) • Worked with regulatory body and government to improve licensing process • Developed expertise to mitigate project delivery risk • Results are expected to be lower costs and lower risks
  • 5. UNRESTRICTED Nuclear Project Risk • What are the risks in a nuclear power plant project? • Who takes the risks or how are the risks shared?
  • 6. UNRESTRICTED Nuclear Project Issues • Large capital • Long project schedule • High demand on skilled human resources • Low variable cost of operations • Complex regulatory regime
  • 7. UNRESTRICTED Past Risk Sharing Practice • Risk was assumed by Government, government owned utilities, public utility boards • All costs both construction and operations passed on to the customer Essentially 100% risk on the customer. Many projects had long delays and Large cost overruns
  • 8. UNRESTRICTED Current Risk Sharing Practice Customer is largely protected through open deregulated market • Risk is shared by: – Owner/Operator – Investor/Lender – Plant supplier – Main contractor/Subcontractors – Government (in case of threat to supply security)
  • 9. UNRESTRICTED Recipe for Success • Well designed economic plant • Stable regulatory regime • Risk sharing amongst all project stakeholders • Extensive project planning • Secure financing • Strong project delivery team • Managing nuclear legacy liabilities
  • 10. UNRESTRICTED Risks and Typical Risk Sharing • Technology (Reactor Supplier) • Regulatory (Owner/Technology Supplier) • Interveners (Owner/Government) • Construction (Owner/Investor/Contractors) • Operation (Owner/Operator/Investor/lender) • Nuclear legacy (Owner/Government) • Market (Owner/Investor/lender) • Force Majeure (Owner/Investor/Lender) • Political (Owner/Investor/Lender)
  • 11. UNRESTRICTED Supplier as Project Manager • Could be Turnkey Model Owner as Project Manager • Could be: • Island Model • Multi-Package Model Project Delivery Models
  • 12. UNRESTRICTED Risk Sharing by Vendor Typically • There is a limit to the risk that vendors will take • Exclude circumstances beyond their control • Commensurate with role and responsibility • Consequential risk generally not taken Owner/generator can not pass on all the risk Scope A Scope B Scope C Scope D Turnkey
  • 13. UNRESTRICTED Ownership Models Public Model • Government ownership or guarantee • Public utility boards Private Model • Large utilities with strong balance sheet (with or without smaller partners) • Project Company owned by a number of partners (on or off balance sheet)
  • 14. UNRESTRICTED Elements of Cost • Pre Project activities • Siting, licensing, EIA • Financing (interest during construction, exposure fees, insurance premiums) • Engineering/Procurement/Construction • Operation and maintenance • Fuel • Capital upgrade • Decommissioning and waste disposal
  • 15. UNRESTRICTED Sources of Financing • Government budget • Equity • Bonds • Bank loans • Institutional lenders/investors (e.g., pension funds) • Export credit agencies
  • 16. UNRESTRICTED Sources of Financing Equity investment –Often with higher return expectations –May require participation in management and oversight by the investor –Offered by experienced investors (utilities/large consumers) –Influenced by shareholder’s view
  • 17. UNRESTRICTED Sources of Financing Bank loans • Banks experienced in nuclear financing • Mid to short term • Priced based on perceived risk • Often involves full recourse expectation
  • 18. UNRESTRICTED Sources of Financing • Institutional Investors –Example, Pension fund –Could be long term –Moderate return expectation –Less expectation of management participation
  • 19. UNRESTRICTED Sources of Financing • Export Credit Loans –Long term (could be 15 years plus construction period) –Reasonably priced based on OECD consensus –Can be used primarily for the exported supply and services –Could be direct lending or guarantee of commercial loans
  • 20. UNRESTRICTED Sources of Financing Expectation of financing institutions –Credible public consultation –Credible environmental assessment –Acceptable security for loans
  • 21. UNRESTRICTED Phases of Project Pre Project Pre Construction Construction/Commissioning Operation tens of millions hundreds of millions billions ongoing
  • 22. UNRESTRICTED Private Financing Model Pre Project Pre Construction Construction/ Commissioning Operation Very high risk, all equity, very high return expectations Medium risk, equity+debt, moderate return expectation, market based interest rate High risk, mostly equity, high return expectations Low risk, could be mostly debt
  • 23. UNRESTRICTED Phases of Project Pre Project Pre Construction Start of Construction/Commissioning Start of Operation Equity Equity Equity plus debt financing Refinance debt to pay down equity
  • 24. UNRESTRICTED A Two Phase Approach Pre Project Pre Construction Construction/ Commissioning Operation Refinanced to take government involvement out Supported by Government
  • 25. UNRESTRICTED Source/Security for Phases of Project Pre Project Pre Construction Construction/ Commissioning Start of Operation Equity – Balance Sheet Equity – Balance Sheet Equity – Balance Sheet Debt – Balance Sheet Refinanced debt – Long Term Power Purchase Agreement - Market Strength
  • 26. UNRESTRICTED Elements of a Successful Financing • Strong project participants with good experience and balance sheet • Long term Off taker with good balance sheet • Fluid and solid market • Project in service (amortized debt+ equity+ decommissioning) competitive • Construction risk mitigation- turnkey- government funds • Reputable operator • Regulatory certainty early in project cycle • Developed infrastructure