GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE
A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E
Seattle, WA / April 10, 2014
@bruce_katz
#globalcities
7.4 millionjobs needed
More Jobs
81 millionpoor or near poor in 2000
More Jobs & Better Jobs
107 millionpoor or near poor in 2011
More Jobs & Better Jobs
HUMAN CAPITAL
INNOVATION
MANUFACTURING
INFRASTRUCTURE
STEM
ADVANCED
ENERGY
EXPORTS
R&D
OPPORTUNITY
CONSUMPTION
DEBT
CONSUMPTION
DEBT
DEBT
CONSUMPTION
CONSUMPTION DEBTDEBT
CONSUMPTION
DEBT
Pre-Recession Economy Next Economy
The imperative for global
engagement
1 2 3
1
2 3
Metros are centers of
global trade and
investment
1 2 31
2
3
1 2 31 2
3
Metros are engaging
globally in new ways
METRO
INNOVATION
The imperative for global
engagement
1 2 3
1
2 3
2009
Global GDP
19.9%
US
21.0%
BIC Countries
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
2018
Global GDP
28.2%
BIC Countries
17.6%
US
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
Global Metro Population
2009
50%
Global Metro Population
2030
60%
Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2011
31%
China Africa
49% 39%
India
Urban Share of Total Population
2010
Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2011
China Africa India
+297 million
by 2030
+227 million
by 2030
+343 million
by 2030
40%69% 48%
Urban Share of Total Population
2030
Source: Boston Consulting Group, “Winning in Emerging Market Cities,” (2010)
Photos: Wikipedia/Jonathan Olsson, Jeet221990, Flickr/United Nations Photos, Francisco Anzota
$30-$40 trilliontotal infrastructure investment required in emerging
market cities, 2010 - 2030
Source: Boston Consulting Group, “Winning in Emerging Market Cities,” (2010)
Photos: Wikipedia/Jonathan Olsson, Jeet221990, Flickr/United Nations Photos, Francisco Anzota
$13.8 trilliontotal housing investment required in emerging market
cities, 2010 - 2030
Source: McKinsey Global Institute, “Urban World: Cities and the Rise of the Consuming Class,” (2012)
$200 billiontotal investment in increasing global port capacity by 2025
5,000
$1 billion increase
in exports supports
jobs
11%wage premium
in exporting firms
Greater likelihood
of health and
retirement benefits
in export-intense
industries
22%wage premium
in foreign-owned
firms
14%US productivity
growth contributed
by foreign-owned
firms
5.0%
foreign-owned
firms employ
US workers
How are we doing on
trade and investment?
billionUS manufactured exports
2010
$944
Japan
$680
$944
United States GermanyFrance
$409
China
$1477
$1091
Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries
2010, Billions
Source: World Trade Organization, 2011
$358
Service
Imports
Service
Exports
$518
US Service Trade
Billions, 2010
$160 billion
trade surplus
Source: World Trade Organization, 2011 (Data reflect Commercial Services)
Exports Share of GDP
2010
13%
United States
29% 22%
15%
30%
Japan
China Canada India
European Union
15%
Source: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
France
$1.09
$3.93
United StatesChinaBelgium
$1.01
United
Kingdom
$1.32
$2.26
Top Foreign Direct Investment Stock
2012, Trillions
Source: Brookings analysis of NETS, D&B, Moody’s and BEA data
US Share of Global FDI Flows
24.7%
1998
10.9%
2013
Source: Brookings analysis of NETS, D&B, Moody’s and BEA data
Can we realize the potential
of global markets?
Advanced Industries
Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
Software Computer Systems
Design
Telecommunications R&D Consulting
Services
Services
Pharmaceuticals Advanced
Machinery
Medical EquipmentMotor Vehicles &
Parts
Computer & Electronic
Devices
Aerospace
Manufacturing
Advanced Industries
85%advanced industry
share of private
sector R&D
67%advanced industry
share of patents
30%advanced industry
share of engineers
Sources: Brookings analysis of BRDIS,
Strumsky-Lobo Patent Database, and OES data
Advanced Industries
Drive Productivity in
Other Industries
Stimulate Local
Economies
Support Long
Supply Chains
Develop Technology that
Transforms Lives
Advanced Industries
Advanced Industries
Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
Japan
3.5% 4.4%
France United
States
United
Kingdom
3.1%
European
Union
5.0%3.8%
Germany South
Korea
China
5.5%
10.9%
20.7%
Growth of Domestic R&D Expenditures
Average Annual Growth, 2001-2011
Source: National Science Foundation, SEI 2014
Innovation
Advanced Industries
Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey
Hispanics
19%
African
Americans
Non-Hispanic
Whites
Asians
25%
39%
56%
Educational Attainment
Associate’s Degree or Higher
United
States
36%
Human Capital
Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey
Hispanics
19%
African
Americans
25%
Educational Attainment
Associate’s Degree or Higher
Human Capital
Advanced Industries
Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
Infrastructure
Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
Metros are centers of
global trade and
investment
1 2 31
2
3
Source: Brookings analysis of US Bureau of Economic Analysis data
Seattle Metropolitan Area
Source: Brookings, Metropolitan Areas and the Next Economy (2011)
Population
63%
GDP
51%
Washington
Seattle, Portland, Spokane, Olympia, Kennewick-Pasco-Richland,
Bremerton-Silverdale, Yakima, Bellingham, Mount Vernon-Anacortes,
Wenatchee, Longview and Lewiston Metropolitan Areas
Source: Brookings, Metropolitan Areas and the Next Economy (2011)
Population
92%
GDP
88%
Washington
Service
Exports
75%
63%
Manufacturing
Exports
Population
66%
Top 100 Metro Exports
Share of U.S. Totals
Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
Top 100 Metro Exports
Chemical
Products
68%
76%
Business/
Professional
Services
Computer/
Electronic
Products
78%
Population
66%
Share of U.S. Totals
Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
Top 100 Metro International
Connectivity
Air Cargo
83% 83%
Water Cargo Air
Passengers
96%
Population
66%
Share of U.S. Totals
Source: Brookings, Global Gateways (2012) and Metro Freight (2013)
Population
66%
Advanced
Industry
Employment
74%
FDI
Employment
74%
Employment in Advanced Industries
and Foreign-Owned Firms
Top 100 Metro Share of U.S. Totals
Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
Seattle, WA - Human Capital & Innovation Dashboard
Education
Top 100
Metros
Seattle
Metro
Bachelor’s Degree
Attainment
31.8%
37.0%
STEM Jobs
25.9%
Share of Jobs in STEM
4th of Top 100 Metros
38.5%
STEM Jobs Not
Requiring BA
97th of Top 100 Metros
Patents
3,968
Total Patents,
2007-2011
5th of 358 Metros
2.3
Patents per 1k Workers
15th of 358 Metros
Top Patenting Firms
Microsoft
Boeing
Invention Science Fund
Intel
University of Washington
Source: Brookings, State of Metropolitan America (2012), The Hidden STEM Economy (2013) and Patenting Prosperity (2013)
Source: Brookings, ExportNation (2013)
$47.1 b
Top 100
Metros
Seattle
Metro
Export Intensity
12.7%
20.3%
Export Value
Goods & Services Exports
25.1%
goods share of
exports
74.9%
goods share
of exports
Top Goods SectorsTop Goods Sectors
Aircraft Products and
Parts
57.4%
Petroleum and Coal
Products
2.3%
General Purpose
Machinery
1.6%
Top Services SectorsTop Services Sectors
IT Royalties 8.3%
Freight and Port
Services
1.7%
Air Transportation
Services
1.5%
Seattle, WA - Export Dashboard
Source: Forthcoming Brookings research on metropolitan FDI
Foreign Direct Investment
Jobs
65,045
FDI Employment
14th of Top 100 Metros
Top Foreign Employers Metro-to-Metro Investment
Wireless
Telecommunications
T-Mobile
Suncom
Triton
Powertel
Aerospace
C&D Zodiac
IDD Aerospace
Jamco
Compass-
Aerospace NW
Computer Systems
Design
NCSoft
Atos IT Solutions
Avande
Areva T&D
Top Investor Metros by JobsTop Investor Metros by JobsTop Investor Metros by Jobs
1 Dusseldorf, Germany 13.4%
2 Tokyo, Japan 12.7%
3 Paris, France 7.8%
4 Montreal, Canada 6.1%
5 Toronto, Canada 4.6%
6 Vancouver, Canada 4.6%
7 Sydney, Australia 3.9%
8 Oxford, England 3.5%
Seattle, WA - Foreign Investment Dashboard
4.6%
FDI Employment
Intensity
57th of Top 100 Metros
Source: Brookings, Global Gateways (2012) and Metro Freight (2013)
$185.3 b
Top 100
Metros
Seattle
Metro
International
Trade Share
15.8%
20.8%
Total Goods Trade
Goods Trade Air Travel
International
Passengers
13th of Top 90 Metros15th of Top 100 Metros
2,748,861
Top Metros of Origin/DestinationTop Metros of Origin/DestinationTop Metros of Origin/Destination
1 Seoul-Incheon, South Korea 5.0%
2 London, United Kingdom 4.6%
3 Tokyo, Japan 3.9%
4 Victoria, Canada 3.9%
5 Vancouver, Canada 3.8%
6 Puerto Vallarta, Mexico 3.2%
7 San Jose Del Cabo, Mexico 3.1%
8 Beijing, China 2.6%
Top Global Country/
Region Trading Partners
Top Global Country/
Region Trading Partners
Top Global Country/
Region Trading Partners
1 China 5.6%
2 Japan 2.4%
3 Canada 2.2%
4 Mexico 1.7%
5 Other South-Eastern Asia 1.2%
6 Other Western Asia 1.0%
7 South Korea 0.9%
8 Other Northern Europe 0.7%
Seattle, WA - Freight & Air Dashboard
1 2 31 2
3
Metros are engaging
globally in new ways
METRO
INNOVATION
Catalyze Trade &
Investment
Legacy of Global Orientation
Seattle as aGloballyCompetitiveRegion
Market Assessment
Target Sectors
8% 9%
12%
Economic Profile
15%
12%
13%
9%
Establish Goals & Strategies
Boost SME exports
Increase global
fluency
Double exports Support key sectors
Government
Philanthropy
Firms
Universities
Collaborate to Compete
Global Cities Exchange
Branding
Global Cities Exchange
PORTLAND
WEBUILD
GREENCITIES
I amsterdam
Catalyze Trade &
Investment
Invest in
What Matters
CHICAGO
$70 million
Digital Manufacturing &
Design Innovation Institute
Lightweight & Modern Metals
Manufacturing Innovation Institute
DETROIT
$70 million
National Additive Manufacturing
Innovation Institute
YOUNGSTOWN
$30 million
Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
National Network for Manufacturing Innovation
Next Generation Power Electronics
Manufacturing Innovation Institute
RALEIGH
$70 million
Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
PORTMIAMI
Expansion and
improvements
PORTMIAMI
Innovation Human Capital Infrastructure
Deep Dredge Project
$220 million project,
funded solely through
state & local resources
Port of Miami Tunnel
Innovative public-private
partnership
Intermodal Rail Reconstruction Project Financed with
competitively-awarded
federal funds to a
partnership of the port,
county & railway
Catalyze Trade &
Investment
Invest in
What Matters
Network Globally
Chicago
Mexico City
Chicago
Mexico City2nd largest
Mexican immigrant population
resides in Chicago metro area
130
Chicago-based firms with
operations in Mexico City
$1.7 billion
total bilateral trade of locally
produced products
290,000
tourists and business travelers
between Chicago and Mexico City
per year
GLOBAL CITIES ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
Play video on YouTube
GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE
A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E
Seattle, WA / April 10, 2014
@bruce_katz
#globalcities

Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative - Seattle