GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE
A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E
Los Angeles, CA - August 6, 2015Metropolitan Policy Program
at BROOKINGS
Greater Los Angeles Is a Truly Global Region
Source: Brookings
Exports 2
Rank
$98 B
Value
FDI 2
Rank
271,000
Jobs
Int’l Goods
Movement
1
Rank
$418 B
Value
Foreign
Students
2
Rank
68,000
Students
Greater Los Angeles Is a Truly Global Region
Source: Brookings
Exports
$97.7 BLos Angeles - Orange County
Riverside - San Bernardino
Ventura County
Total
FDI Jobs
271,180
11,750
36,170
$5.6 B
$11.4 B
$114.7 B 319,100
However, the Region’s Position Is Threatened
Source: Brookings
Exports 2.3%
Growth rate, 08-14
37
Rank
FDI
22
1991 Rank,
FDI Intensity
25
2011 Rank,
FDI Intensity
•Region does not operate under a coordinated regional plan or
initiative to maintain its position or drive future results
•Fragmented export and FDI efforts could undermine the region’s
strong position

•U.S. and foreign metros are upping their game on the global front.
1. Why Global
2. FDI Market Dynamics
3. Acting on Global Opportunities
81%
share of global economic growth
occurring outside the U.S., 2015-2020
The Bulk of Economic Growth Is Occurring Outside the U.S.
Source: World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund, 2015.
Global Middle Class - 2009 | Share of Global Totals
18%North America
36%Europe
28%Asia Pacific
Source: Kharas and Gertz, “The New Global Middle Class,” 2010
Global Middle Class - 2030 | Share of Global Totals
7%North America
14%Europe
66%Asia Pacific
Source: Kharas and Gertz, “The New Global Middle Class,” 2010
Source: Brookings, Census
2014
11.6%
2003
7.9%
U.S. Export Share of GDP
2%
67%
share of exporters
Large Firms
(500+ Employees)
share of export value
The U.S. Is Increasingly Export-Oriented, but Large Firms Dominate
Exports Share of U.S. GDP
Growth
(2008-2014)
35%27%
Though Volatile, Global Investment Flows Are Growing
1984 1999 2012
FDI Flows 

Capital Investment, 1980-2012
$2 trillion
$1 trillion
Source: UNCTAD
Global
U.S.
The U.S. Is Capturing a Smaller Share of Global Investment
12 percent
26 percent
45 percent
1984 1999 2012
U.S. Share of Global FDI

Capital Investment, 1980-2012
Source: UNCTAD
Why FDI Matters: Over 5 Million High-Wage Jobs
5.6 million
employees in foreign-owned firms, 2011
Foreign-ownedDomestic
$60,000
$77,000
Average Wages by Ownership

2011
Source: Brookings, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Why FDI Matters: Investment in Export-Intensive Manufacturing Firms
2012 FDI Flows
Manufacturing
48%
U.S. Goods
Exports
U.S.
Manufacturing
Employment
2%
20%
Foreign-Owned Firms

Goods-Producing Industries, 2011
Source: Brookings, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Why FDI Matters: Foreign-Owned Firms Invest Heavily in R&D
19 percent
share of corporate R&D expenditures
by foreign-owned firms, 2011
Source: Brookings, Bureau of Economic Analysis
$45 billion
corporate R&D expenditures by
foreign-owned firms, 2011
77foreign metro areas
the average U.S. metro
area contains FDI from
Firms Benefit from Global Engagement
Competitive
Diversified
Sustainable
Exporters 10 percent more likely to survive over 7-year period than non-exporters. 

- Bernard and Jensen, 1999
“Without being acquired by a larger firm, it wouldn’t have been possible to
maintain significant presence in foreign markets.” 

- Mid-sized tech and manufacturing firm, San Diego
Since 2000, domestic sales for [our firm] have shrunk, while exports increased
400 percent... Our entire existence is predicated on growing exports.”

- Foreign-owned manufacturer, Syracuse
Current Economic Development Approaches Are Outdated
50%2000 - 2012
Source: Conway Data, Inc
Plant expansions and relocations
of 50+ jobs or $1M+ investment:
Current Economic Development Approaches Are Outdated
1.9% state job creation
from relocation
Source: Jed Kolko, “Business Relocation and Homegrown Jobs, 1992-2006,” Public Policy Institute of California, 2010.
1. Why Global
2. FDI Market Dynamics
3. Acting on Global Opportunities
Source: Census, Brookings
Population
66%
Land
Area
12%
Exports
65%
FDI
Jobs
74%
Top 100 Metros
Share of U.S. Totals
Patents
78% 94%
Venture
Capital
College
Degrees
74%
Metros Are the Market
Growth in Jobs Under Foreign Ownership

Average year, 1991-2011
45% M&A
34% Expansion
21% Greenfield
FDI Capital Inflows

1992-2008
87% M&A13% Greenfield
Source: Brookings, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Mergers and Acquisitions Are the Dominant Form of FDI
Greenfield
Large, export-intensive
manufacturing
Small to mid-size locations
of large retail firms
Mid-sized manufacturing
and services
Source: Brookings, FDI in U.S. Metro Areas
1.3%
of foreign-owned establishments have
more than 500 employees

75%
of metro areas have less than 10 such
establishments.
Average size of greenfield establishment at time of entry:

San Diego: 27 employees

Minneapolis: 35 employees

Expansions of existing foreign-owned firms created twice
as many jobs as new greenfield from 2001-2011.
Important source of new capital, transfers skills and technology to U.S. firms,
and opens global distribution channels.

Primary learning for metros: hard to get in front of deals, but BRE is critical.
Acquired in 2007; no job
loss and made a global
research hub

Maintains manufacturing
and R&D facilities in MD
MedImmune
Montgomery County, MD
Life Sciences
San Diego, CA
Firms gain foothold in
U.S. market and
innovation via M&A

Takeda Pharmaceuticals:
grew from 85 to 250
employees, (150 PhDs)
Jim Beam
Louisville, KY
Doubled size of Maker’s
Mark KY distillery

Gained global
distribution channels
through Japanese parent
Mergers & Acquisitions
23
Sovereign Wealth Funds
mid 1990s
16 60+
2012
Number in existence:
Text
Private Investment
Seattle-China
Searching for opportunities in real
estate, firms, public assets
San Diego
Looking for ways to fill need for
venture capital and joint partnerships
9,231
2014
802
2006
Visas issued:
90%
2014
13%
2004
Share issued to Chinese investors:
EB-5 Investor Visa
Alternative Forms of Foreign Investment
Cumulative foreign investment:
$125 B
2011
1. Why Global
2. FDI Market Dynamics
3. Acting on Global Opportunities
Goal:
Catalyze a shift in economic growth policy and practice that results in more
globally competitive metropolitan areas, positioning them for high-quality
growth and better jobs for more workers in the 21st century economy.  
1. Research 2. Convenings 3. Exchange
GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE
AJoint Project of Brookings and JPMorgan Chase
Lessons Emerging from the Exchange
Exports:
New Cohort
Baltimore
Fresno
Houston
Kansas City
Philadelphia
Salt Lake
Seattle
St. Louis
Exports:
Current
Atlanta
Charleston
Chicago
Columbus
Des Moines
Indianapolis
Jacksonville
Louisville-Lexington
Los Angeles
Milwaukee
Mpls-St. Paul
Phoenix
Portland
Sacramento
San Antonio
San Diego
Syracuse
Tampa Bay
Upstate SC
Wichita
Columbus
Mpls-St. Paul
Portland
San Antonio
San Diego
Seattle
FDI Pilot
Key Approaches
• Connections between innovation,
exports, clusters, and FDI
• Diversifying from computer &
electronics with cluster initiatives:
We Build Green Cities, Software,
and Athletic & Outdoor
• Led by Greater Portland Inc
(regional) and Portland
Development Commission (city)
Portland
Lessons Emerging from the Exchange
San Diego
Key Approaches
• Advanced industries and
innovation
• Life sciences M&A
• Leveraging the Cali-Baja
Binational Megaregion
• Led by San Diego Regional EDC
Lessons Emerging from the Exchange
Key Approaches
• New approaches to BRE,
focus on bringing value and
market intelligence to firms
• Building networks and
relationships
• Honda supply chain
• Led by Columbus 2020
(regional)
Columbus
Lessons Emerging from the Exchange
Key Approaches
• Nurturing and valuing key
partnerships: connection with
Canada (largest investor)
- Similar: San Antonio and
Mexico
• State and regional
collaboration around core
strengths: Medical Device
and Headquarters
Minneapolis-St.Paul
Lessons Emerging from the Exchange
Key Takeaways from Global Trade and Investment Plans
Lead with Specializations with Global Reach
Clusters, talent, innovation, connections
M&A Is the Dominant Form of FDI
Brings knowledge, cash infusion, export channels
The Middle Market Is the Sweet Spot
Target threshold firms and under-exporters
Long-term commitment from central players, part of every day practice
Global Engagement Must Be a Demonstrated Priority
The Foundation is Business Retention and Expansion
Understand and support the needs of existing firms
GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE
A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E
Los Angeles, CA - August 6, 2015Metropolitan Policy Program
at BROOKINGS

Brookings Los Angeles Metro Region

  • 1.
    GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE AJ O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E Los Angeles, CA - August 6, 2015Metropolitan Policy Program at BROOKINGS
  • 2.
    Greater Los AngelesIs a Truly Global Region Source: Brookings Exports 2 Rank $98 B Value FDI 2 Rank 271,000 Jobs Int’l Goods Movement 1 Rank $418 B Value Foreign Students 2 Rank 68,000 Students
  • 3.
    Greater Los AngelesIs a Truly Global Region Source: Brookings Exports $97.7 BLos Angeles - Orange County Riverside - San Bernardino Ventura County Total FDI Jobs 271,180 11,750 36,170 $5.6 B $11.4 B $114.7 B 319,100
  • 4.
    However, the Region’sPosition Is Threatened Source: Brookings Exports 2.3% Growth rate, 08-14 37 Rank FDI 22 1991 Rank, FDI Intensity 25 2011 Rank, FDI Intensity •Region does not operate under a coordinated regional plan or initiative to maintain its position or drive future results •Fragmented export and FDI efforts could undermine the region’s strong position •U.S. and foreign metros are upping their game on the global front.
  • 5.
    1. Why Global 2.FDI Market Dynamics 3. Acting on Global Opportunities
  • 6.
    81% share of globaleconomic growth occurring outside the U.S., 2015-2020 The Bulk of Economic Growth Is Occurring Outside the U.S. Source: World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund, 2015.
  • 7.
    Global Middle Class- 2009 | Share of Global Totals 18%North America 36%Europe 28%Asia Pacific Source: Kharas and Gertz, “The New Global Middle Class,” 2010
  • 8.
    Global Middle Class- 2030 | Share of Global Totals 7%North America 14%Europe 66%Asia Pacific Source: Kharas and Gertz, “The New Global Middle Class,” 2010
  • 9.
    Source: Brookings, Census 2014 11.6% 2003 7.9% U.S.Export Share of GDP 2% 67% share of exporters Large Firms (500+ Employees) share of export value The U.S. Is Increasingly Export-Oriented, but Large Firms Dominate Exports Share of U.S. GDP Growth (2008-2014) 35%27%
  • 10.
    Though Volatile, GlobalInvestment Flows Are Growing 1984 1999 2012 FDI Flows Capital Investment, 1980-2012 $2 trillion $1 trillion Source: UNCTAD Global U.S.
  • 11.
    The U.S. IsCapturing a Smaller Share of Global Investment 12 percent 26 percent 45 percent 1984 1999 2012 U.S. Share of Global FDI Capital Investment, 1980-2012 Source: UNCTAD
  • 12.
    Why FDI Matters:Over 5 Million High-Wage Jobs 5.6 million employees in foreign-owned firms, 2011 Foreign-ownedDomestic $60,000 $77,000 Average Wages by Ownership 2011 Source: Brookings, Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 13.
    Why FDI Matters:Investment in Export-Intensive Manufacturing Firms 2012 FDI Flows Manufacturing 48% U.S. Goods Exports U.S. Manufacturing Employment 2% 20% Foreign-Owned Firms Goods-Producing Industries, 2011 Source: Brookings, Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 14.
    Why FDI Matters:Foreign-Owned Firms Invest Heavily in R&D 19 percent share of corporate R&D expenditures by foreign-owned firms, 2011 Source: Brookings, Bureau of Economic Analysis $45 billion corporate R&D expenditures by foreign-owned firms, 2011 77foreign metro areas the average U.S. metro area contains FDI from
  • 15.
    Firms Benefit fromGlobal Engagement Competitive Diversified Sustainable Exporters 10 percent more likely to survive over 7-year period than non-exporters. - Bernard and Jensen, 1999 “Without being acquired by a larger firm, it wouldn’t have been possible to maintain significant presence in foreign markets.” - Mid-sized tech and manufacturing firm, San Diego Since 2000, domestic sales for [our firm] have shrunk, while exports increased 400 percent... Our entire existence is predicated on growing exports.” - Foreign-owned manufacturer, Syracuse
  • 16.
    Current Economic DevelopmentApproaches Are Outdated 50%2000 - 2012 Source: Conway Data, Inc Plant expansions and relocations of 50+ jobs or $1M+ investment:
  • 17.
    Current Economic DevelopmentApproaches Are Outdated 1.9% state job creation from relocation Source: Jed Kolko, “Business Relocation and Homegrown Jobs, 1992-2006,” Public Policy Institute of California, 2010.
  • 18.
    1. Why Global 2.FDI Market Dynamics 3. Acting on Global Opportunities
  • 19.
    Source: Census, Brookings Population 66% Land Area 12% Exports 65% FDI Jobs 74% Top100 Metros Share of U.S. Totals Patents 78% 94% Venture Capital College Degrees 74% Metros Are the Market
  • 20.
    Growth in JobsUnder Foreign Ownership Average year, 1991-2011 45% M&A 34% Expansion 21% Greenfield FDI Capital Inflows 1992-2008 87% M&A13% Greenfield Source: Brookings, Bureau of Economic Analysis Mergers and Acquisitions Are the Dominant Form of FDI
  • 21.
    Greenfield Large, export-intensive manufacturing Small tomid-size locations of large retail firms Mid-sized manufacturing and services Source: Brookings, FDI in U.S. Metro Areas 1.3% of foreign-owned establishments have more than 500 employees 75% of metro areas have less than 10 such establishments. Average size of greenfield establishment at time of entry: San Diego: 27 employees Minneapolis: 35 employees Expansions of existing foreign-owned firms created twice as many jobs as new greenfield from 2001-2011.
  • 22.
    Important source ofnew capital, transfers skills and technology to U.S. firms, and opens global distribution channels. Primary learning for metros: hard to get in front of deals, but BRE is critical. Acquired in 2007; no job loss and made a global research hub Maintains manufacturing and R&D facilities in MD MedImmune Montgomery County, MD Life Sciences San Diego, CA Firms gain foothold in U.S. market and innovation via M&A Takeda Pharmaceuticals: grew from 85 to 250 employees, (150 PhDs) Jim Beam Louisville, KY Doubled size of Maker’s Mark KY distillery Gained global distribution channels through Japanese parent Mergers & Acquisitions
  • 23.
    23 Sovereign Wealth Funds mid1990s 16 60+ 2012 Number in existence: Text Private Investment Seattle-China Searching for opportunities in real estate, firms, public assets San Diego Looking for ways to fill need for venture capital and joint partnerships 9,231 2014 802 2006 Visas issued: 90% 2014 13% 2004 Share issued to Chinese investors: EB-5 Investor Visa Alternative Forms of Foreign Investment Cumulative foreign investment: $125 B 2011
  • 24.
    1. Why Global 2.FDI Market Dynamics 3. Acting on Global Opportunities
  • 25.
    Goal: Catalyze a shiftin economic growth policy and practice that results in more globally competitive metropolitan areas, positioning them for high-quality growth and better jobs for more workers in the 21st century economy.   1. Research 2. Convenings 3. Exchange GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE AJoint Project of Brookings and JPMorgan Chase
  • 26.
    Lessons Emerging fromthe Exchange Exports: New Cohort Baltimore Fresno Houston Kansas City Philadelphia Salt Lake Seattle St. Louis Exports: Current Atlanta Charleston Chicago Columbus Des Moines Indianapolis Jacksonville Louisville-Lexington Los Angeles Milwaukee Mpls-St. Paul Phoenix Portland Sacramento San Antonio San Diego Syracuse Tampa Bay Upstate SC Wichita Columbus Mpls-St. Paul Portland San Antonio San Diego Seattle FDI Pilot
  • 27.
    Key Approaches • Connectionsbetween innovation, exports, clusters, and FDI • Diversifying from computer & electronics with cluster initiatives: We Build Green Cities, Software, and Athletic & Outdoor • Led by Greater Portland Inc (regional) and Portland Development Commission (city) Portland Lessons Emerging from the Exchange
  • 28.
    San Diego Key Approaches •Advanced industries and innovation • Life sciences M&A • Leveraging the Cali-Baja Binational Megaregion • Led by San Diego Regional EDC Lessons Emerging from the Exchange
  • 29.
    Key Approaches • Newapproaches to BRE, focus on bringing value and market intelligence to firms • Building networks and relationships • Honda supply chain • Led by Columbus 2020 (regional) Columbus Lessons Emerging from the Exchange
  • 30.
    Key Approaches • Nurturingand valuing key partnerships: connection with Canada (largest investor) - Similar: San Antonio and Mexico • State and regional collaboration around core strengths: Medical Device and Headquarters Minneapolis-St.Paul Lessons Emerging from the Exchange
  • 31.
    Key Takeaways fromGlobal Trade and Investment Plans Lead with Specializations with Global Reach Clusters, talent, innovation, connections M&A Is the Dominant Form of FDI Brings knowledge, cash infusion, export channels The Middle Market Is the Sweet Spot Target threshold firms and under-exporters Long-term commitment from central players, part of every day practice Global Engagement Must Be a Demonstrated Priority The Foundation is Business Retention and Expansion Understand and support the needs of existing firms
  • 32.
    GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE AJ O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E Los Angeles, CA - August 6, 2015Metropolitan Policy Program at BROOKINGS