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Post Office’s approach
to Benefits forecasting
Sujai Jayaram and Sara
Hollingsbee
BravoConnect 2014
• In June 2011, the Postal Services Act was passed into law
enabling Royal Mail to be partially privatised while retaining Post
Office in state ownership
• Started a process of separation into two independent companies,
which is now nearly completed
• All shared services to be separated, starting with Procurement
• Fully independent Procurement team, working to complete the set
up of independent support functions to complete separation
• Investment approved to replace e-Sourcing platform
Post Office is undergoing significant
change…
• Previously a small part of a bigger group, with a solution to fit
group needs
• Desire to reduce administrative burden on procurement
• Revised RACI model working with Finance for validation and
tracking of delivery against actuals
• Switch in focus from controlling the benefits forecasts (line
approvals for every change) to managing risks which affect benefit
delivery
…which gave us an opportunity to do
things differently
• Each initiative is tracked through Programme Manager
• We use system to harvest this information through Project Form,
as well as risk flags (to timing and value) and general project
updates.
• Phases of an initiative
• Scoping
• In Progress
• Contracted
• Once contracted, benefits are validated and handed over to a
dedicated performance management team within Finance for
tracking against actuals
We use Programme Manager to capture
and validate benefits forecasts
We capture Information from
the Project Form (1)
• Mandatory fields
• Forecast in-year benefits (£)
• Benefits type (Budgeted, Non-budgeted, Revenue
generation)
• One-off/Recurring
• Expected signature date
• Risk to value of benefits over contract duration
(On-track, At risk but recoverable, At risk, non-
recoverable)
• Risk to timing of benefits realisation (On-track, At
risk but recoverable, At risk, non-recoverable)
• Enable us to calculate and manage targeted
benefits metrics including a full-year-forecast
• Risks in timing or magnitude of savings are
captured against achieving the full-year-
forecast
&
We capture information in
the Project Form (2)
• Non-mandatory fields
• Comments field as free-text
• #FTE days required to complete
• Simple check for category lead to check
status for any projects not showing ‘On
Track’ for either value or timing of
benefits
• Succinct way for category lead to decide
on best course of action
• Effort required to complete allows
category lead to discontinue initiative if
effort can be better deployed elsewhere
…which feeds into a weekly
reporting dashboard
• Tabular format showing project status for
on-going projects
• Summary tables for benefits delivery by
category team and then overall
procurement totals by benefits type, both
delivered and full-year-forecast
• We expect targets to change annually to
reflect the financial priorities of the
business
• We expect to balance cost-out objectives
with non-financial objectives as we
approach full maturity as an organisation
Benefits validation
• Dedicated Finance Performance
Management (FPM) team which
validates benefit forecasts (not just
Procurement)
• Budgets adjusted at contract signature
• Data used to validate benefits:
• 3 months of relevant historic spend data (12
months if highly seasonal)
• Split by G/L code and cost centre
• Excel calculation of forecast benefit against
this baseline (documenting any
assumptions)
• Discussions with managers of main affected
cost centres
This works for us because…
• Simple company structure, single
business unit and single country
• Devolution of accountability for
adherence to budget to cost centre
managers
• Ability to adjust budgets within year to
‘lock-in’ contracted benefits, with buy-in
at cost centre manager level
• Shared recognition between Cost Centre
managers, Procurement and Finance for
identifying, contracting and delivering
benefits to the business

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Post Office's approach to benefits forecasting and validation

  • 1. Post Office’s approach to Benefits forecasting Sujai Jayaram and Sara Hollingsbee BravoConnect 2014
  • 2. • In June 2011, the Postal Services Act was passed into law enabling Royal Mail to be partially privatised while retaining Post Office in state ownership • Started a process of separation into two independent companies, which is now nearly completed • All shared services to be separated, starting with Procurement • Fully independent Procurement team, working to complete the set up of independent support functions to complete separation • Investment approved to replace e-Sourcing platform Post Office is undergoing significant change…
  • 3. • Previously a small part of a bigger group, with a solution to fit group needs • Desire to reduce administrative burden on procurement • Revised RACI model working with Finance for validation and tracking of delivery against actuals • Switch in focus from controlling the benefits forecasts (line approvals for every change) to managing risks which affect benefit delivery …which gave us an opportunity to do things differently
  • 4. • Each initiative is tracked through Programme Manager • We use system to harvest this information through Project Form, as well as risk flags (to timing and value) and general project updates. • Phases of an initiative • Scoping • In Progress • Contracted • Once contracted, benefits are validated and handed over to a dedicated performance management team within Finance for tracking against actuals We use Programme Manager to capture and validate benefits forecasts
  • 5. We capture Information from the Project Form (1) • Mandatory fields • Forecast in-year benefits (£) • Benefits type (Budgeted, Non-budgeted, Revenue generation) • One-off/Recurring • Expected signature date • Risk to value of benefits over contract duration (On-track, At risk but recoverable, At risk, non- recoverable) • Risk to timing of benefits realisation (On-track, At risk but recoverable, At risk, non-recoverable) • Enable us to calculate and manage targeted benefits metrics including a full-year-forecast • Risks in timing or magnitude of savings are captured against achieving the full-year- forecast &
  • 6. We capture information in the Project Form (2) • Non-mandatory fields • Comments field as free-text • #FTE days required to complete • Simple check for category lead to check status for any projects not showing ‘On Track’ for either value or timing of benefits • Succinct way for category lead to decide on best course of action • Effort required to complete allows category lead to discontinue initiative if effort can be better deployed elsewhere
  • 7. …which feeds into a weekly reporting dashboard • Tabular format showing project status for on-going projects • Summary tables for benefits delivery by category team and then overall procurement totals by benefits type, both delivered and full-year-forecast • We expect targets to change annually to reflect the financial priorities of the business • We expect to balance cost-out objectives with non-financial objectives as we approach full maturity as an organisation
  • 8. Benefits validation • Dedicated Finance Performance Management (FPM) team which validates benefit forecasts (not just Procurement) • Budgets adjusted at contract signature • Data used to validate benefits: • 3 months of relevant historic spend data (12 months if highly seasonal) • Split by G/L code and cost centre • Excel calculation of forecast benefit against this baseline (documenting any assumptions) • Discussions with managers of main affected cost centres
  • 9. This works for us because… • Simple company structure, single business unit and single country • Devolution of accountability for adherence to budget to cost centre managers • Ability to adjust budgets within year to ‘lock-in’ contracted benefits, with buy-in at cost centre manager level • Shared recognition between Cost Centre managers, Procurement and Finance for identifying, contracting and delivering benefits to the business