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Mobile Opportunities
    for Start-Ups, Updated

Berlin Barcamp 3, Matthäus Krzykowski
Is this the time “to make it” in mobile ?




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
No




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
For the moment, at least.




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
Source: Rutberg, July 2008   Source: MediaPost, July 2008




                                 Investments in mobile marketing tech and services fell off precipitously in
                                 the first half of 2008, slowing to $80 million from $291 million a year ago,
                                 according to the latest M&A report from investment bank Petsky Prunier.




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
The mobile eco system continues to be much more
            hostile to startups than the online one.




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
We believe this is changing, though.




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
I. There are some interesting developments in Distribution/
                           Monetisation




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
Selected Issues in Mobile Monetisation/Distribution

                                                                                                                           Carrier/ Device
                                                                                                                         Manufacturer Stores




Sources:

     http://venturebeat.com/2008/07/07/five-trends-driving-the-mobile-web/
     http://venturebeat.com/2008/08/13/google-ally-t-mobile-looks-poised-to-compete-with-apples-app-store/
     http://venturebeat.com/2008/08/28/mobile-advertising-ads-analytics-and-opportunities/
     http://venturebeat.com/2008/08/28/android-market-googles-response-to-apples-app-store-for-third-party-developers/




 matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
Summary of the last slide



    Good for VCs:                     Bad for VCs:            Question Marks for
- business 2 business                  - on deck                      VCs:
 - selected off-deck               - Apple platform,           - OHA app stores
                                     except gaming            - carrier app stores
                                         ($360M per year
                                      is not enough revenue
                                             to share)




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
II. There are some interesting developments in Mobile
                                  Platforms




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
Now: imagine a platform as a cake




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
There have been cakes on the internet before: for example
                               Wordpress




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
mobile platforms are not only about making them happy




                              http://docs.kolibria.com/img/iphone2.jpg

matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
they are really for them




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
and them, too




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
all these people are “the eco system” in this presentation




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
Misreported: Android




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
Rich Miner’s Definition of Android:

             1) quot;An Open Source mobile phone platform that encompassed every layer of the
             phone
             2) A series of phones powered by that platform
             3) A go to market strategy to guarantee global distribution of both platform and
             phones.quot;



        Android tries to make everybody in the “eco system” happy



matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
Some excerpts from the cakes’ recipe: Android as a cake
An Abstract Overview of Android As An Architecture




                                                                                   Source: Mobile Facts,
                                                     Source: Google, August 2008
                                                                                     September 2008


 matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
that makes them very happy




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
it’s the best cake out there in the moment, in fact




                                                          Source: Mobile Facts, September 2008




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
That cake is so good it’s a actully a space cake




                             http://venturebeat.com/2008/09/17/android-roundup-googles-web-wide-plan-ericsson-to-join-oha-and-more/




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
That is one of the things that makes them very happy




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
He can enter the smartphone
                             market with many competetive
                                        devices




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
He can count on many of his
      friends coming from Asia giving
     him a good position to negotiate




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
That’s just one of many Android effects on the industry. I try to
                   keep it simple in this presentation.

          Your take-away: ignore the G1-iPhone comparisons in the
            media if your interest is in developing/making money.




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
So what’s with the iPhone net effect for now?
                 jobs, performance indicators up the roof
                             (of course, the iPhone has many more effects. But these
                               are the main effects affecting your bottom line, imo)




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
III. The mobile web is emerging.




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
http://venturebeat.com/2008/05/09/analysis-myspace-and-facebook-challenge-mobile-only-social-networks/


matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
Thank you
  btw: we’re always looking to work with good people. Talk with
Daniel about Paul Graham/ Android/iPhone (not about LISP, please)
                        How to communicate with us best:
                     follow our blog @www.mobile-facts.com
                 see our slides @ http://www.slideshare.net/MobileFacts

                               daniel@mobile-facts.com
                               http://twitter.com/DanielHartmann


                             matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
                                http://twitter.com/matthausk

matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
Thank you.




matthaeus@mobile-facts.com

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Berlin Barcamp 3, Mobile Opportunities For Startups, Android

  • 1. Mobile Opportunities for Start-Ups, Updated Berlin Barcamp 3, Matthäus Krzykowski
  • 2. Is this the time “to make it” in mobile ? matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 4. For the moment, at least. matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 5. Source: Rutberg, July 2008 Source: MediaPost, July 2008 Investments in mobile marketing tech and services fell off precipitously in the first half of 2008, slowing to $80 million from $291 million a year ago, according to the latest M&A report from investment bank Petsky Prunier. matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 6. The mobile eco system continues to be much more hostile to startups than the online one. matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 7. We believe this is changing, though. matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 8. I. There are some interesting developments in Distribution/ Monetisation matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 9. Selected Issues in Mobile Monetisation/Distribution Carrier/ Device Manufacturer Stores Sources: http://venturebeat.com/2008/07/07/five-trends-driving-the-mobile-web/ http://venturebeat.com/2008/08/13/google-ally-t-mobile-looks-poised-to-compete-with-apples-app-store/ http://venturebeat.com/2008/08/28/mobile-advertising-ads-analytics-and-opportunities/ http://venturebeat.com/2008/08/28/android-market-googles-response-to-apples-app-store-for-third-party-developers/ matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 10. Summary of the last slide Good for VCs: Bad for VCs: Question Marks for - business 2 business - on deck VCs: - selected off-deck - Apple platform, - OHA app stores except gaming - carrier app stores ($360M per year is not enough revenue to share) matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 11. II. There are some interesting developments in Mobile Platforms matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 12. Now: imagine a platform as a cake matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 14. There have been cakes on the internet before: for example Wordpress matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 15. mobile platforms are not only about making them happy http://docs.kolibria.com/img/iphone2.jpg matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 16. they are really for them matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 18. all these people are “the eco system” in this presentation matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 20. Rich Miner’s Definition of Android: 1) quot;An Open Source mobile phone platform that encompassed every layer of the phone 2) A series of phones powered by that platform 3) A go to market strategy to guarantee global distribution of both platform and phones.quot; Android tries to make everybody in the “eco system” happy matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 21. Some excerpts from the cakes’ recipe: Android as a cake An Abstract Overview of Android As An Architecture Source: Mobile Facts, Source: Google, August 2008 September 2008 matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 22. that makes them very happy matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 23. it’s the best cake out there in the moment, in fact Source: Mobile Facts, September 2008 matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 24. That cake is so good it’s a actully a space cake http://venturebeat.com/2008/09/17/android-roundup-googles-web-wide-plan-ericsson-to-join-oha-and-more/ matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 25. That is one of the things that makes them very happy matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 26. He can enter the smartphone market with many competetive devices matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 27. He can count on many of his friends coming from Asia giving him a good position to negotiate matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 28. That’s just one of many Android effects on the industry. I try to keep it simple in this presentation. Your take-away: ignore the G1-iPhone comparisons in the media if your interest is in developing/making money. matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 29. So what’s with the iPhone net effect for now? jobs, performance indicators up the roof (of course, the iPhone has many more effects. But these are the main effects affecting your bottom line, imo) matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 30. III. The mobile web is emerging. matthaeus@mobile-facts.com
  • 34. Thank you btw: we’re always looking to work with good people. Talk with Daniel about Paul Graham/ Android/iPhone (not about LISP, please) How to communicate with us best: follow our blog @www.mobile-facts.com see our slides @ http://www.slideshare.net/MobileFacts daniel@mobile-facts.com http://twitter.com/DanielHartmann matthaeus@mobile-facts.com http://twitter.com/matthausk matthaeus@mobile-facts.com