Role of science, data and systems models - Stephen Passmore - Finance for #SDGs High Level Meeting – #financeforSDGs – Bellagio – 25-27 February 2015
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Role of science, data and systems models - Stephen Passmore - Finance for #SDGs High Level Meeting – #financeforSDGs – Bellagio – 25-27 February 2015
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• Outline some of the systems of systems challenges that we will likely face.
• Discuss the emergent nature of both the challenges as well as the potential resultant outcomes.
• Draw attention to some of the driving forces acting both on this system of systems as well as the national and sectoral programs that may emerge to respond to this challenge.
• Highlight some of the feedback loops which may exist or emerge from both apparent and hidden coupling.
• Discuss system of system risks, program risks and where our perceptions and appetite for such risks may change over time.
• Outline some particular challenges for program managers as they are engaged in addressing this challenge.
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Areas that we will be addressing include:
Resource flows and socio-economic model interconnections.
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Discussion of how the field of educational measurement is changing; how long held assumptions may no longer be taken for granted and that new terminology and language are coming into the.
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Marcia Linn, Lydia Liu from UC Berkeley and ETS discuss continuous assessment of science and new kinds of constructs that relate to collaboration and student reasoning.
John Byrnes from SRI International discusses text and other semi-structured data sources and different methods of analysis.
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This panel looks at how assessments are not the end game, but often the first step in larger big-data practices at districts/state/national levels.
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Jack Buckley Commissioner of the National Center for Educational Statistics discussing national datasets where tests and other data connect.
Lindsay Page, Will Marinell from the Strategic Data Project at Harvard discussing state and district datasets used for evaluating teachers, colleges of education, and student progress.
Panel 3: Connecting the Dots: Research Agendas to Integrate Different Worlds
This panel will look at how research organizations are viewing the connections between the perspectives presented in Panels 1 and 2; what is known, what is still yet to be discovered in order to achieve the promised of big connected data in education.
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1. The document discusses some early observations from the Associate Director for Data Science at the National Institutes of Health regarding data at NIH.
2. It notes that NIH does not fully understand how existing data is used, has focused more on why data should be shared rather than how to share it, and lacks plans for long-term sustainability of data.
3. Potential solutions discussed include developing a biomedical commons, modifying the review process, improving education in data science, and expanding the Big Data to Knowledge initiative. The goal is to create a digital research enterprise that better connects all aspects of the research lifecycle.
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To develop the waste water solutions challenging task. To design sustainable wastewater solution requires information about new ideas, new systems and latest technology. Generally it is assumed that, decision making needs to involve field experts and engineers to define values and brainstorms solution. This paper describes a decision support system model that is designed to help community planners to identify the solution which balance the environmental, economic and social needs. System will be scalable, adaptable and flexible. Our decision support system will take modular description of components and description of community constraints, suggest the design of alternative waste water system, and facilitates evaluating how well each design satisfies the given constraints. Decision support system will give alternatives with visualization of the effect of various trade-offs and their effect in the relation of the community’s goals.
Ecosystem Services & Social Science
- Ecosystem services aim to incorporate the value of nature into decisions but have failed to fully understand social and ecological interconnectedness.
- Social science can help reveal the complex relationships between society and nature through participatory mapping of cultural values and lived experiences of ecosystems.
- An integrated project in the Cotswolds uses a social learning approach and participatory ecosystem services framework to engage farmers, businesses, communities and agencies in improving water quality and other services.
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In this paper I will attempt to:
• Outline some of the systems of systems challenges that we will likely face.
• Discuss the emergent nature of both the challenges as well as the potential resultant outcomes.
• Draw attention to some of the driving forces acting both on this system of systems as well as the national and sectoral programs that may emerge to respond to this challenge.
• Highlight some of the feedback loops which may exist or emerge from both apparent and hidden coupling.
• Discuss system of system risks, program risks and where our perceptions and appetite for such risks may change over time.
• Outline some particular challenges for program managers as they are engaged in addressing this challenge.
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The document discusses modeling community resilience through the development of a virtual test community called Centerville. It describes creating standardized models of Centerville's physical infrastructure like buildings, roads, and electrical grid. It also models Centerville's social and economic attributes like demographics, employment, and critical facilities. The goal is to integrate these physical and social models to allow testing how disruptions impact infrastructure interdependencies and community resilience metrics. Researchers from different disciplines can collaborate using this testbed to develop and validate modeling approaches before applying them to real communities.
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WLE representatives gave an overivew of perspectives on trans-boundary water management from the Nile Basin/East Africa.
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This document summarizes discussions from two DOE workshops on incorporating bioenergy into sustainable landscape designs. The workshops focused on how landscape design can help minimize negative impacts of bioenergy production while enhancing environmental services. Key questions included determining sufficient land availability without impacting food/conservation, appropriate crop selection, and water/biodiversity impacts. Participants agreed that landscape design showing spatially explicit resource allocation could help optimize food, feed, energy, fiber and conservation goals. Recommendations included developing partnerships, case studies, analytical tools, diverse crop varieties, and market stability to demonstrate landscape bioenergy systems.
Putting Geospatial Urban Forestry Assessments Online - Hanou - TPBE3
Presented by Ian Hanou at the Trees, People, and Built Environment 3 Conference, Birmingham, England, April 2017. Geospatial mapping and analysis of the urban forest including tree inventories and Urban Tree Canopy (UTC) assessments have become commonplace tools in North America. Cities and environmental nonprofits use inventories to improve management and maintenance, and use UTC to develop a citywide benchmark, monitor change, inform master plans, and prioritize planting efforts to maximize benefits where they are lacking in the community. As a natural progression with recent GIS and mobile technology innovations, inventories and UTC data have been incorporated into online mapping programs to increase access to this information and ease-of-use for non-technical users.
Through a series of short case studies, this paper highlights some of the benefits, considerations, and impacts of bringing urban forestry data and prioritization tools into online mapping applications. Evidence suggests that such tools may increase awareness of the urban forest as an asset and a resource for community development, public health goals, and scenario planning. The collaboration that is created during an inclusive process to develop and implement such tools is discussed along with the role of tree professionals and nonprofits in UTC targets, followed by recommendations for practitioners.
PLASTIC DETECTION AND CLASSIFICATION USING DEEP LEARNING NEURAL NETWORK
This document discusses using deep learning neural networks to classify plastic waste into different types to improve recycling. It proposes using a convolutional neural network model with a camera to identify plastic items and sort them into categories like PET, HDPE, PP, and LDPE. The system is intended to work on mobile devices for use at home or recycling plants. It collected image data of the different plastic types and evaluated models like VGG-16 to achieve accurate classification of plastics and increase recycling efficiency.
Rural regions
The document discusses guiding rural regions toward more open innovation strategies. It suggests moving away from the boundaries and hierarchies of the past towards embracing networks and collaboration. Specific strategies mentioned include developing regional food systems, energy systems, tourism clusters and innovation hubs to create new sources of wealth. The focus is on abandoning old recruitment approaches and fostering rural entrepreneurship through strategic doing, linking assets, and leveraging regional collaborations.
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1. The document discusses using the SenseMaker approach to analyze over 1,000 stories collected from water users and professionals in Ghana to understand water service delivery beyond statistics.
2. Preliminary analysis of the stories showed patterns related to how users view water supply and professionals, their rights and responsibilities, and who should pay for water. It also showed challenges professionals face and opportunities for improvement.
3. Next steps include sharing the findings with stakeholders to identify issues needing attention, and institutionalizing the data collection and analysis into the sector's monitoring and evaluation system.
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We invite investment, in 3 categories, into a new Resilience Brokerage Fund RESBR to be used to complete development and deployment of a unique prototyped Resilience Brokerage software Platform resilience.io into most countries of the world by 2023. Resilience.io supports planning and investment in resilient city development, and has embedded Apps for the best clean technologies to be included in project pipelines.
We invite a minimum of 4 “Core Platform Builders” to invest $5m each for a 6 year term to receive annual interest and dividends.
We invite clean technology investors to invest $2m each for a 6 year term, to receive annual interest and use of the resilience.io platform with 4 Apps for their technologies added.
We invite Geographic investors to make a minimum grant investment of $500,000 for exclusive use of resilience.io in their region/country for integrated land use planning and investment.
How to build resilience.io for sustainable urban energy and water systems
How to build resilience.io for sustainable urban energy and water systemsEcological Sequestration Trust
Dr Xiaonan Wang presents the How to build resilience.io for sustainable urban energy and water systems, Energy seminar for The Energy Futures Lab at Imperial College, London on 2nd December 2016Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
Stephen Passmore and Peter Head of The Ecological Sequestration Trust are joined by Bob Bishop of the International Centre for Earth Simulation to discuss there pioneering project creating Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Models
resilience.io - Cities Alliance Africa Strategy Workshop - Sept 2016
Stephen Passmore, Head of Platform Delivery, The Ecological Sequestration Trust presents the work on resilience.io in GAMA, Accra, Ghana over the previous 18 months to a World Cafe session at the Cities Alliance, Africa Strategy Workshop, Sept 2016
resilience.io WASH Sector Protoype Debut Event
In June 2016, with the culmination of 18 months work by the the team from IIER, Imperial College, Future Earth Ltd and the Trust, we visited Accra to debut the WASH sector prototype of our modelling app at the Accra International Conference Centre, 22nd June 2016.
resilience.io is an open-source, collaborative
human, ecological, economic, resource systems, modelling platform to enable “public good”
we also showed this video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGyCyxyatAQ
resilience.io WASH sector prototype debut training workshop
Installation
resilience.io Package Overview
Using the model –step by step
resilience.io Testing Capabilities (and Limitations)
resilience.io Use Examples
Q&A / Interactive Session
resilience.io WASH prototype Debut Workshop - GAMA
The document describes a Resilience.IO simulation model to evaluate water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) scenarios in the Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA) of Ghana. It includes a synthetic population model to simulate water and sanitation demands. Technology datasets are used to model infrastructure options. Three use cases are presented: assessing ongoing projects, increasing water access, and analyzing toilet availability. Baseline results show ongoing projects will not meet 2025 goals, while city-wide systems achieving 100% access and treatment would require over $2 billion of investment from 2015-2025.
Financing resilience.io and WASH in GAMA - GTG Webinar - May 12th 2016
Financing resilience.io and WASH in GAMA - GTG Webinar - May 12th 2016Ecological Sequestration Trust
The Trust
The future of the collaboratory
Discuss planning of June debut workshops and activities - identify expert users, identify needs and wishes for the interactive workshop sessions, identify particular WASH policy challenges that the Use Cases and prototype can help to inform
Update on FCA, Ghana, Cities Alliance partnership
Update on global activities
ICL IIER Team
Brief outline of early use case findings
Update on visualisations as part of the demonstration of the resilience.io prototypeResults, calculations, and assumptions of the resilience.io WASH sector in GA...
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The team will cover the Current Status of the project (Rembrandt Koppelaar), Water Demands (Xiaonan Wang, Koen H. van Dam), Infrastructure construction (Rembrandt Koppelaar) and Toilet usage (Xiaonan Wang, Koen H. van Dam)Presentation and evaluation of early model outputs of use cases for iterative...
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During this meeting, the technical team from Imperial College London (ICL) and the Institute for Integrated Economics Research (IIER) showed the preliminary results from the resilience.io model prototype. They showed the water demand per district and how the technology infrastructure modelling can be used to meet water demands and sanitation treatment needs, as well as use case indicators and model functionality.RSA - Scaling for Impact
Lightning Talk by Peter Head CBE FREng FRSA at the RSA Scaling for impact event 1 February 2016.
https://www.thersa.org/events/fellowship-events/2016/2/rsa-engage-scaling-for-impact----1-feb/
My journey to provide and scale support to city regions to meet Global Goals by 2030
In 2008 I was working in Arup, heading up their global planning business with a world class team of transport, environmental, urban and policy and economics experts. Before that I had worked in infrastructure design and delivery, particularly Public Private Partnerships, around the World and I was also an adviser to the Mayor of London Ken Livingstone on his Sustainable Development Commission and so I was very aware of the challenges of achieving improved city resilience.
My team at Arup was working at the cutting edge of low carbon sustainable city planning worldwide, particularly in China. It was there I got very inspired by their vision of an ecological civilisation, living in harmony with nature, as the next phase of development after the industrial model. However getting the plans built everywhere we worked was very difficult because success still revolved around GDP growth and that was the metric decision making. We knew that this was damaging the health of land and ocean ecology, and human well-being was not necessarily improving as a result, but everyone thought that this was the “price of progress”. Development was becoming less inclusive in many more developed countries as well.
I was given the opportunity to develop and articulate a roadmap towards a more resilient Ecological Age in the 2008-9 Brunel Lecture sponsored by Institution of Civil Engineers in London.
I gave this presentation all over the world in 45 cities in 2008-9, and the feedback was very positive, but many were skeptical that a more resilient Ecological Age could be delivered. The financial crash did not help the mood. It was very clear that the disconnect between investment decision making and the community social/ecological system impact at global and local scales was a huge problem. We did not have the tools and understanding of how human and ecology systems and resource flows interact and how this affects investment and health-productivity risks. It was clear to most people that city regions would be critical in determining a successful outcome for humanity by 2050, because of the projected urbanisation and the resulting investment drawn into those locations. The analysis showed that we had to embrace a factor 4 reduction in pollution and resource consumption, including greenhouse gas emissions, by 2050 both in retrofitting existing city regions and in the model for new urbanisation, if a successful outcome was to be achieved...
http://resilience.io/about/rsa-scaling-for-impact/
Continuing the development of WASH use-case studies to simulate in resilience...
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November 17th 2015, 11:00 – 12:30 – An outline summary of potential use cases to demonstrate the functionality of the prototype of resilience.io. The cases outlined at this meeting are based on inputs given by the GTG at the September meeting. Use-case development will be collaborative with the GTG and the final selection of use cases will take place in January 2016.The development of WASH use case studies to simulate in the model – GTG Webin...
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September 10th 2015, 10:00 – 11:30 – The development of WASH use case studies to simulate in the model – GTG Webinar. We will also discuss sets of technology and policy options that are to be investigated as well as anticipated population and economic development scenarios and their impacts on the WASH sector. The initial use cases will be presented by Rembrandt Koppelaar with interactive input and discussion by GTG members. Thereafter GTG will be asked to provide own use cases.Agent-based modelling and resource network optimisation for the WASH sector i...
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FCA resilience.io Platform:
Resource Economic Human Ecosystem
Modelling Platform Prototype
Foster Mensah
Centre for Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Services (CERSGIS)
University of Ghana
Rachael Kemp, Future Earth Ltd
Stephen Passmore, The Ecological Sequestration Trust
Koen H. van Dam and Harry Triantafyllidis
Department of Chemical Engineering
Imperial College London, UK
6 August 2015GAMA Technical Group Webinar June 2015
Setting the scene, including updates on our work around our global demonstrator regions, and then talk through WASH priorities and available data (based on a structure we will provide in advance), identifying gaps with you and how we might address them.
resilience.io Technical Briefing for UB City – Meeting – Rembrandt Koppelaar ...
resilience.io Technical Briefing for UB City – Meeting – Rembrandt Koppelaar ...Ecological Sequestration Trust
The document provides an overview of the Resilience.io modeling platform and its components for simulating an integrated urban system. It describes:
1) The agent-based and optimization modeling approaches used to simulate activities, resource flows, infrastructure networks and markets.
2) How the model represents population demographics, resource processes, infrastructure and service consumption.
3) The process of building a model of Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, including developing an integrated data map and adjusting model rulesets to the local context.Улаанбаатар ирээдүйд байгаль экологид ээлтэй хот болно - Ulaanbaatar - futur...
Улаанбаатар ирээдүйд байгаль экологид ээлтэй хот болно - Ulaanbaatar - futur...Ecological Sequestration Trust
This presentation by The Ecological Sequestration Trust and partners Institute for Integrated Economics Research (IIER), Geodan and the International Centre for Earth Simulation (ICES), will show how the integrated systems platform resilience.io can help UB City achieve its goals; how it can help assess new infrastructure project risk and return and identify policies and projects offering the greatest long-term ecological-social-economic benefits for UB citizens.
It will outline how the platform can be used to provide a clear economic case for investment in low carbon sustainable projects and enable global and regional investment to be mobilised to help deliver the UB City Economic Development Strategy.Эрсдэлд Уян Ухаалаг Улаанбаатар - Financing Resilience in UB City - Peter He...
Эрсдэлд Уян Ухаалаг Улаанбаатар - Financing Resilience in UB City - Peter He...Ecological Sequestration Trust
Товчоор resilience.io
УБ хотын Эдийн засгийн хөгжлийн ойрын, дундын, хэтийн стратегийг дэмжиж ажиллах нь
Ухаалаг УБ Санхүү Бизнесийн Төв болох нь, Дагуул хот байгуулах нь
Хөдөлмөр эрхлэлт, Албан бусаас албан бизнес харилцаанд шилжих нь, Ногоон хөгжил,
Хямд төсөр орон сууц, Дэд бүтэц, Нийтийн тээврийн нэгдсэн сүлжээ
Боловсрол, Эрүүл мэнд, Ухаалаг ЗГ, хамтын ажиллагаа, оролцооFinding a sustainable development path for Mongolia - Peter Head
Transition from agricultural to ecological age
Газар тариалангаас экологийн зуунд шилжих
A new paradigm of urban and rural development with integrated urban and rural resource flows
Хот, хөдөөний нөөцийн нэгдсэн урсгал бүхий хот, хөдөөг хөгжүүлэх шинэ парадигм
Tools for measuring and implementing a “scientific approach to development” and measuring “ecological progress”
“Хөгжилд шинжлэх ухааны үүднээс хандах” явдлыг хэмжих ба хэрэгжүүлэх хэрэгслүүд, “экологийн дэвшлийг” хэмжих
Future Cities Africa - resilience.io prototype development in GAMA - Supporti...
Future Cities Africa - resilience.io prototype development in GAMA - Supporti...Ecological Sequestration Trust
Future Cities Africa
resilience.io prototype development in GAMA
Supporting inclusive, resilient low carbon development
Stephen Passmore
24th March 2015More from Ecological Sequestration Trust (20)
resilience.io resilience Brokerage Fund Launch Cleanequity Monaco 2017
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How to build resilience.io for sustainable urban energy and water systems
How to build resilience.io for sustainable urban energy and water systems
Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling
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resilience.io - Cities Alliance Africa Strategy Workshop - Sept 2016
resilience.io - Cities Alliance Africa Strategy Workshop - Sept 2016
resilience.io WASH sector prototype debut training workshop
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resilience.io WASH prototype Debut Workshop - GAMA
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Улаанбаатар ирээдүйд байгаль экологид ээлтэй хот болно - Ulaanbaatar - futur...
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Эрсдэлд Уян Ухаалаг Улаанбаатар - Financing Resilience in UB City - Peter He...
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Finding a sustainable development path for Mongolia - Peter Head
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Future Cities Africa - resilience.io prototype development in GAMA - Supporti...
Future Cities Africa - resilience.io prototype development in GAMA - Supporti...
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Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition 2024, by Libby...
Role of science, data and systems models - Stephen Passmore - Finance for #SDGs High Level Meeting – #financeforSDGs – Bellagio – 25-27 February 2015
- 1. Role of science, data and systems models resilience.io Stephen Passmore Head of Platform Delivery Bellagio 26th February 2015 stephen.passmore@ecosequestrust.org #financeforSDGs
- 2. Role of Science, Data and Systems models ● Financial markets moving away rather than towards sustainable development goals – Ankit ● We need a different analytical toolkit, conventional terminology and metrics not cutting it – Brian ● Set of issues, soils, water, climate change not managed by current financial system - Nick ● Private sector need to understand the complexity – better dialogue needed - Julia
- 3. Role of Science, Data and Systems models ● An appropriate science – organized complexity - Dr. Warren Weaver ● A data revolution ● City / Systems modelling – city development, resource planning, ecological systems and well-being
- 4. __ Stephen Passmore resilience.io Contents Section 1 Section 2 __ Rembrandt Koppelaar IIER – values based economics using systems Section 3 __ Dr Bob Bishop ICES – State of the art computing, modelling, visualisation __ Dr Montira Pongsiri & Gary Foley US EPA Triple Value systems model Section 4 Section 5 __
- 6. Health- critical issues at interfaces Human-Ecology interface • Food-Soil quality, pollution, animal fish feed & chemicals, nutrition, minerals • Air quality and lung disease • Access to biodiversity and mental health • Exercise ,mobility and health • Biodiversity and infection, disease spread • Water quality and health • Overheating/heat stress Human-Economic Interface • Health and productivity • Health and employment benefit/work stress • Healthcare costs Human-Social aspects • Family cohesion and health • Cultural settings • Inherited health issues
- 7. Data
- 8. Earth(in solar system) Simulator Region Simulator www.icesfoundation.org www.ecosequestrust.org
- 10. Collaborative planning and design for investment
- 11. Thank you