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Bangladesh Context Analysis: An
Overview
Shakeb Nabi
The Larger Context
► Bangladesh from LDC 🡪 Developing Country (2024)
► Impressive GDP growth during the last 3-4 years: between 7 & 8%
► Bangladesh among the five fastest growing economies (The World Bank)
► Growth: Industrial, 11.99%; Service, 6.33%; and Agriculture, 3.06%. (The Dhaka Tribune)
► % Contribution to GDP: Services, 52.18%; Industrial 33.71% and Agriculture 14.10% and on a
declining trend; 40% of the labor force is in agriculture
► % of poor below poverty line 31.5 🡪 21.3 and extreme poor 17.6 🡪 12.9 (2010-2016); Population of
Bangladesh (2017): 165 million; Poor 35 million, extreme poor 21.5 million; who are the poor and
extreme poor? Where are they?
► GINI Co-efficient around 32.4 and increasing
► Unemployment 4.2 % and very significant underemployment. 72 of the youths wants skills training
(World Vision)
The Larger Context…..
► Top hotspot for climate induced disaster: SDG 13: all indicators (red)
► Hard to reach areas: access to market, services and energy poverty
► Urban and Rural population
► Shrinking space for Civil Society: NGO Act; Compliance; FIU
► Donor’s priorities, market based interventions V/s traditional grant model.
Aid with trade, blended approach. Migration of resources (conflict, more
deserving countries, within country: The Rohingya Issue); working with the
government
► Increasing clout and role of private sectors
► Heightened security and our identity
The impact
134 million people to be hit hard
Around 19 million children are at climate risks
If there is a rise of 1degree temp, 30% of the areas will be submerged
Impacting GDP: $59 billion or 14.4 percent losses in GDP by 2050
Impact of climate change
Agro Ecological Zone
The Northern River Basin
The Haor
The Southern Coastal Area
The Hill Tracts
The Dry Areas (Barind)
The Disasters
Coastal: Cyclone, Tornado, Salinity Ingression
The River Basin: Flood, Flash Flood, River Erosion
Haor: Flash Flood, Water Logging
Urban: Water Logging, Earthquake, Industrial (sudden start of huge generators
and thousands of sewing machines), strength of the building (Building Code), Big
Buildings on loose soil
Barinda: Drought
The new Disasters? What are those? Have we heard about it and its impacts? Are
we ready with a strategy?
Thank You Very Much
Shakeb Nabi
nabi.shakeb@gmail.com

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Bangladesh context disaster_shakeb

  • 1. Bangladesh Context Analysis: An Overview Shakeb Nabi
  • 2. The Larger Context ► Bangladesh from LDC 🡪 Developing Country (2024) ► Impressive GDP growth during the last 3-4 years: between 7 & 8% ► Bangladesh among the five fastest growing economies (The World Bank) ► Growth: Industrial, 11.99%; Service, 6.33%; and Agriculture, 3.06%. (The Dhaka Tribune) ► % Contribution to GDP: Services, 52.18%; Industrial 33.71% and Agriculture 14.10% and on a declining trend; 40% of the labor force is in agriculture ► % of poor below poverty line 31.5 🡪 21.3 and extreme poor 17.6 🡪 12.9 (2010-2016); Population of Bangladesh (2017): 165 million; Poor 35 million, extreme poor 21.5 million; who are the poor and extreme poor? Where are they? ► GINI Co-efficient around 32.4 and increasing ► Unemployment 4.2 % and very significant underemployment. 72 of the youths wants skills training (World Vision)
  • 3. The Larger Context….. ► Top hotspot for climate induced disaster: SDG 13: all indicators (red) ► Hard to reach areas: access to market, services and energy poverty ► Urban and Rural population ► Shrinking space for Civil Society: NGO Act; Compliance; FIU ► Donor’s priorities, market based interventions V/s traditional grant model. Aid with trade, blended approach. Migration of resources (conflict, more deserving countries, within country: The Rohingya Issue); working with the government ► Increasing clout and role of private sectors ► Heightened security and our identity
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  • 6. The impact 134 million people to be hit hard Around 19 million children are at climate risks If there is a rise of 1degree temp, 30% of the areas will be submerged Impacting GDP: $59 billion or 14.4 percent losses in GDP by 2050
  • 8. Agro Ecological Zone The Northern River Basin The Haor The Southern Coastal Area The Hill Tracts The Dry Areas (Barind)
  • 9. The Disasters Coastal: Cyclone, Tornado, Salinity Ingression The River Basin: Flood, Flash Flood, River Erosion Haor: Flash Flood, Water Logging Urban: Water Logging, Earthquake, Industrial (sudden start of huge generators and thousands of sewing machines), strength of the building (Building Code), Big Buildings on loose soil Barinda: Drought The new Disasters? What are those? Have we heard about it and its impacts? Are we ready with a strategy?
  • 10. Thank You Very Much Shakeb Nabi nabi.shakeb@gmail.com