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Atlanta Public Schools
Manufactured Academic Gaps?
27 November 2017 | Final
By Ed Johnson
Advocate for Quality in Public Education
(404) 505-8176 | edwjohnson@aol.com
Data sources:
https://gov.georgia.gov/sites/gov.georgia.gov/files/related_files/press_release/2017%20SSAS%20Award%20Schools.pdf
and
http://www.gadoe.org/CCRPI/Pages/default.aspx
Content Mastery – Student performance
on state assessments
Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation
Something’s wrong. Very wrong. Detectable variation signals of special causes operating.
“Is this chart difficult? Patrick mastered it at age 11. This was his science project at school. A good start in life.
Some essential theory of variation could obviously be taught in the 5th grade. Pupils would come out of school
with knowledge in their heads, not merely information.” –W. Edwards Deming
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 2
CL 43.71
27.6
26.2
27.0
60.7
59.8
61.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT & EOCT GMAS (EOG & EOC)
All Schools
Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation
Focus: All APS district schools
White, better
Black, sharply worse White v. Black CMR gaps behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 3
125% inflation
due to special
causes operating
68.9
70.1
69.3
39.1
39.1
41.5
96.5
96.3
96.2
99.8
98.9
102.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT & EOCT GMAS (EOG & EOC)
All Schools
CL 41.72 38.94
49.65
24.3
22.3
24.5
59.7
58.1
61.5
22.1
21.3
20.3
56.4
57.5
56.0
36.3
35.3
32.8
64.9
64.7
64.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT &
EOCT
GMAS CRCT &
EOCT
GMAS CRCT &
EOCT
GMAS
Elementary Schools Middle Schools High Schools
Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation
Focus: APS elementary, middle, and high schools
White, better
Black, sharply worse White v. Black CMR gaps behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 4
144% inflation
due to special
causes operating
178% inflation
due to special
causes operating
98% inflation
due to special
causes operating
72.8
75.0
73.5
41.2
40.7
42.8
75.2
76.3
77.9
39.8
39.3
40.6
56.4
57.0
56.5
35.5
36.3
39.9
97.1
97.3
97.9
100.9
98.8
104.2
97.4
97.5
98.2
96.2
96.8
96.5
92.7
92.3
89.3
100.4
100.9
103.9
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT &
EOCT
GMAS CRCT &
EOCT
GMAS CRCT &
EOCT
GMAS
Elementary Schools Middle Schools High Schools
Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation
Focus: APS public schools and charter schools
Public with White, better – Black, worse
Charter with White, worse – Black, worse White v. Black CMR gaps behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 5
67.4
68.3
67.1
36.7
36.1
38.6
76.8
79.0
78.6
48.2
50.5
53.2
96.4
96.0
95.7
103.1
101.3
107.2
96.9
97.6
98.0
92.0
94.0
93.8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017CRCT & EOCT GMAS CRCT & EOCT GMAS
Public Schools Charter Schools
CL 47.59
31.01
29.0
27.7
28.6
66.5
65.2
68.6
20.1
18.7
19.5
43.8
43.5
40.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT & EOCT GMAS CRCT & EOCT GMAS
Public Schools Charter Schools
133% inflation
due to special
causes operating
125% inflation
due to special
causes operating
Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation
Focus: APS Black students and White students
White in Public, better – Charter, worse
Black in Public, worse – Charter, worse Public v. Charter CMR gaps behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG EOCT EOC EOCT EOC
Black White Black White Black White
Elementary Schools Middle Schools High Schools
Center Line: Average gap size
-11.9
1.9
-12.3
13.0
-3.9
14.1
-6.5
-13.6
-14.6
-9.8
-14.2
-12.9
-0.6
-2.0
-0.8
5.3
2.7
6.7
-11.7
-6.3
-7.1
-15.1
-16.9
-16.8
2.9
3.7
2.5
27.6
22.8
18.6
12.2
12.2
4.4
-13.8
-16.4
-21.6
1.1
27.1
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG EOCT EOC EOCT EOC
Black White Black White Black White
Elementary Schools Middle Schools High Schools
Closer Look
Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation for
2017 SSAS Award Recipients
Something’s wrong even among the best.
Single Statewide Accountability System (SSAS) Awards are given to schools with high academic performance
and/or high academic growth.
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 7
Carver Early College High School Content Mastery Rates
(2017 SSAS Bronze “Highest Performing” Award Recipient)
Black CMR over time (White not applicable) Black CMR systemic behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 8
98.8
98.7
100.0
88.8
71.9
66.7
100.0
100.0
97.5
74.7
75.0
47.9
94.3
92.7
97.1
87.8
75.0
71.3
98.5
100.0
100.0
90.7
65.5
78.0
96.8
100.0
91.9
64.3
81.0
57.7
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC
9th Grade Literature and
Composition
American Literature and
Composition
Biology Economics/Business/Free
Enterprise
US History
UCL 105.94
110.55
103.27
114.59
123.94
CL 87.47
82.52
86.37
88.78
81.94
LCL 68.99
54.48
69.48
62.98
39.94
98.8
98.7
100.0
88.8
71.9
66.7
100.0
100.0
97.5
74.7
75.0
47.9
94.3
92.7
97.1
87.8
75.0
71.3
98.5
100.0
100.0
90.7
65.5
78.0
96.8
100.0
91.9
64.3
81.0
57.7
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC
9th Grade Literature and
Composition
American Literature and
Composition
Biology Economics/Business/Free
Enterprise
US History
Cleveland Elementary School Content Mastery Rates
(2017 SSAS Gold “Greatest Gains” Award Recipient)
Black CMR overtime (White not applicable) Black CMR systemic behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 9
87.5
75.6
78.0
41.1
43.3
42.5
68.8
69.1
74.0
57.7
56.4
53.2
66.1
54.1
52.0
42.3
47.2
71.3
65.2
56.6
65.1
44.3
47.5
56.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
UCL 90.09
77.03
83.57 82.38
CL 61.33 63.20
55.48 55.82
LCL 32.57
49.38
27.39
29.26
87.5
75.6
78.0
41.1
43.3
42.5
68.8
69.1
74.0
57.7
56.4
53.2
66.1
54.1
52.0
42.3
47.2
71.3
65.2
56.6
65.1
44.3
47.5
56.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
Jackson Elementary School Content Mastery Rates
(2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient)
White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 10
99.7
99.4
98.8
110.9
107.8
113.3
98.3
98.0
98.5
106.6
105.3
113.2
98.5
98.5
98.5
105.8
102.1
111.9
98.5
99.1
98.8
113.2
107.0
110.7
90.2
95.7
92.6
73.3
87.3
82.7
80.4
87.2
85.2
62.5
83.3
78.6
80.4
85.1
88.9
64.4
80.4
64.6
80.4
89.1
92.6
74.6
90.2
68.8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
UCL 53.56
63.72
70.78 70.52
CL 18.02
23.78 25.25 21.94
LCL -17.52 -16.16
-20.27
-26.65
9.5
3.7
6.2
37.5
20.5
30.7
17.9
10.8
13.3
44.1
22.0
34.6
18.1
13.4
9.6
41.4
21.7
47.3
18.1
10.0
6.2
38.6
16.8
42.0
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
Mary Lin Elementary School Content Master Rates
(2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient)
White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 11
UCL 57.05
48.73 49.74
57.46
CL 21.19 22.95 22.62 21.27
LCL -14.67
-2.84 -4.51
-14.92
2.9
8.3
-1.5
36.2
44.0
37.2
13.5
16.2
4.9
25.6
38.1
39.4
9.1
6.7
13.7
38.5
45.1
18.3
8.3
5.7
26.5
47.5
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
98.7
97.8
98.5
108.7
111.1
110.6
96.8
95.1
97.9
108.1
108.1
111.0
98.7
96.2
97.4
101.3
105.1
106.9
97.5
95.1
96.4
94.0
103.2
93.1
95.8
89.5
100.0
72.5
67.1
73.3
83.3
78.9
93.0
82.5
70.0
71.7
89.6
89.5
83.7
62.8
60.0
79.2
86.8
90.7
67.5
55.7
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
Morningside Elementary School Content Mastery Rates
(2017 SSAS Platinum “Highest Performing” Award Recipient)
White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 12
99.6
99.6
99.3
114.3
105.7
105.6
98.9
98.9
99.7
108.0
110.9
110.0
99.2
99.6
99.7
123.6
117.6
128.6
99.6
99.6
100.0
116.1
115.3
112.9
90.4
95.3
94.1
72.3
70.3
78.6
84.6
90.7
85.3
68.1
68.9
84.5
90.4
86.0
91.2
76.6
68.9
90.0
90.2
88.4
91.2
72.8
70.3
73.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
UCL 51.17 54.07
59.49
50.60
CL 20.53
24.06
27.52 26.20
LCL -10.12
-5.96 -4.46
1.79
9.2
4.3
5.2
42.0
35.5
27.0
14.3
8.2
14.4
40.0
42.0
25.5
8.8
13.6
8.5
47.0
48.6
38.6
9.4
11.2
8.8
43.3
45.0
39.5
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
Morris Brandon Elementary School Content Mastery Rates
(2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient)
White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 13
99.8
99.5
99.1
112.4
112.4
112.7
98.5
99.3
98.4
103.8
106.5
115.2
99.0
99.5
99.1
102.9
107.2
110.1
98.8
99.8
99.3
108.2
111.0
111.0
95.2
91.8
91.5
81.5
77.1
70.3
83.9
87.8
80.9
62.9
65.7
70.3
83.6
91.8
78.7
66.2
60.0
66.7
88.7
95.7
85.1
74.6
74.3
79.2
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
UCL 41.65
47.95
55.58
44.87
CL 21.43
28.38 28.48
21.74
LCL 1.20
8.82
1.38 -1.38
4.6
7.7
7.6
31.0
35.3
42.4
14.6
11.5
17.5
40.9
40.8
45.0
15.4
7.7
20.4
36.8
47.2
43.4
10.1
4.1
14.2
33.6
36.7
31.8
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
Springdale Park Elementary School Content Mastery Rates
(2017 SSAS Gold “Highest Performing” Award Recipient)
White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 14
100.0
98.0
99.4
114.5
112.9
114.1
99.2
97.3
98.9
104.1
108.5
119.4
100.0
98.0
98.8
111.5
108.3
109.7
100.0
98.0
98.8
102.2
102.7
96.0
100.0
97.7
100.0
96.3
88.2
78.6
81.6
95.5
95.6
75.6
80.3
85.7
97.4
93.2
91.1
86.6
78.9
80.0
94.7
90.9
95.6
84.1
72.4
60.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
UCL 32.86
44.46
30.90
37.12
CL 13.02
18.84 16.50 16.65
LCL -6.81 -6.77
2.09
-3.81
0.0
0.3
-0.6
18.2
24.7
35.5
17.6
1.8
3.3
28.5
28.2
33.6
2.6
4.8
7.7
24.9
29.3
29.7
5.3
7.1
3.2
18.0
30.3
36.0
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG
ELA Math Science Social Studies
Closer Look
Seeing Content Mastery affect
Achievement and Performance
Systemic views
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 15
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Achievement Points
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Achievement Points
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ProgressPoints
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ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
What patterns and specifics do you see happening?
7 blue-dot schools, 2017 Single Statewide Accountability System (SSAS) Award Recipients
16 red-dot schools, eligible for state takeover
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Achievement Points
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ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 16
2012, 2013, and 2014: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Criterion-Referenced Competence Tests (CRCT); high schools were assessed by End of Course Tests (EOCT).
2015, 2016, and 2017: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Grade (EOG) tests; high schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Course (EOC) tests.
0
10
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ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
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50
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0
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20
30
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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
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20
30
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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
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0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
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0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
What patterns and specifics do you see happening?
7 blue-dot schools, 2017 Single Statewide Accountability System (SSAS) Award Recipients
16 red-dot schools, eligible for state takeover
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 17
2012, 2013, and 2014: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Criterion-Referenced Competence Tests (CRCT); high schools were assessed by End of Course Tests (EOCT).
2015, 2016, and 2017: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Grade (EOG) tests; high schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Course (EOC) tests.
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
What patterns and specifics do you see happening?
7 blue-dot schools, 2017 Single Statewide Accountability System (SSAS) Award Recipients
16 red-dot schools, eligible for state takeover
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 18
2012, 2013, and 2014: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Criterion-Referenced Competence Tests (CRCT); high schools were assessed by End of Course Tests (EOCT).
2015, 2016, and 2017: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Grade (EOG) tests; high schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Course (EOC) tests.
Closer Look
An elementary Common Core/Math-based case for
Achievement-Progress Transits
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 19
Achievement Points (A)
Progress Points (P)
What is a Transit?
• The straight-line transition from one
(CCRPI Achievement Points, CCRPI
Progress Points) coordinate pair of
values to another such coordinate
pair of values
• Each example Transit at right
• Communicates seeing unified
transition of both
• Achievement and
• Progress
• Communicates seeing both
• Transit Direction and
• Transit Magnitude
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 20
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
Transit Examples
CC/M-based case for
Achievement-Progress
Transits
• Issue: Unstable state mandates about dominance of
CCRPI components
• Achievement used to be 1st order dominant
• Progress used to be 2nd order dominant
• Achievement now 2nd order dominant
• Progress now 1st order dominant
• Issue: Achievement and Progress strangely related,
counterintuitive in common vernacular
• Both positive Progress and negative Achievement
happens
• Both negative Progress and positive Achievement
happens
• Solution: Transits unify and stabilize the 1st and 2nd
order dominant CCRPI components Achievement Points
and Progress Points in both magnitude and direction
• Solution Basis in Common Core Standards/Math
• Grade 1 » Geometry » Reason with shapes and their
attributes, through
• Grade 7 » Introduction » 1) » slope, and
• Grade 8 » Geometry » Understand and apply the
Pythagorean Theorem
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 21
61.6% 60.0% 61.3%
36.8% 36.9% 37.5%
24.9% 25.1% 24.9%
52.0% 50.8% 50.8%
86.5% 85.1% 86.2%
88.8% 87.7% 88.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CRCT/EOCT EOG/EOC
Progress Points as Unstable % of CCRPI Scores
Achievement Points as Unstable % of CCRPI Scores
Achievement-Progress Points as Stable % of CCRPI Scores
Closer Look
Achievement-Progress Transits of
2017 SSAS Award Recipients
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 22
Achievement Points (A)
Progress Points (P)
Carver Early College High School Transits
(2017 SSAS Bronze “Highest Performing” Award Recipient)
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 23
2012
20132014
2015
2016
2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
Assessment
Type
School Year
End
Achievement
Points
Progress
Points
CCRPI
Score
Transit
Slope
Transit
Vector
EOCT 2012 54.6 19.8 94.5 N/A N/A
EOCT 2013 53.7 18.4 94.3 -1.56 -1.66
EOCT 2014 52.4 18.1 94.3 -0.23 -1.33
EOC 2015 42.5 40.0 101.7 -2.21 -24.03
EOC 2016 42.5 37.2 97.3 -Undefined -2.80
EOC 2017 37.2 37.1 91.9 -0.02 -5.30
Cleveland Avenue Elementary School Transits
(2017 SSAS Gold “Greatest Gains” Award Recipient)
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 24
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
Assessment
Type
School Year
End
Achievement
Points
Progress
Points
CCRPI
Score
Transit
Slope
Transit
Vector
CRCT 2012 37.9 15.2 54.6 N/A N/A
CRCT 2013 35.2 16.5 52.2 -0.48 -3.00
CRCT 2014 36.6 19.5 67.6 2.14 3.31
EOG 2015 22.2 39.2 72.2 -1.37 -24.40
EOG 2016 24.3 40.0 80.8 0.38 2.25
EOG 2017 26.7 38.3 76.0 -0.71 -2.94
Jackson Elementary School Transits
(2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient)
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 25
2013
2012 2014
2015
2016
2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
Assessment
Type
School Year
End
Achievement
Points
Progress
Points
CCRPI
Score
Transit
Slope
Transit
Vector
CRCT 2012 57.5 18.6 94.0 N/A N/A
CRCT 2013 57.5 18.6 93.2 +Undefined 0.00
CRCT 2014 57.9 18.4 93.5 -0.50 -0.45
EOG 2015 45.4 40.0 97.7 -1.73 -24.96
EOG 2016 46.5 35.5 95.4 -4.09 -4.63
EOG 2017 47.3 40.0 100.7 5.63 4.57
Mary Lin Elementary School Transits
(2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient)
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 26
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
Assessment
Type
School Year
End
Achievement
Points
Progress
Points
CCRPI
Score
Transit
Slope
Transit
Vector
CRCT 2012 57.7 17.4 90.9 N/A N/A
CRCT 2013 56.9 14.2 86.4 -4.00 -3.30
CRCT 2014 57.5 17.5 91.5 5.50 3.35
EOG 2015 43.8 37.2 93.2 -1.44 -24.00
EOG 2016 44.9 39.5 98.9 2.09 2.55
EOG 2017 46.2 38.3 97.8 -0.92 -1.77
Morningside Elementary School Transits
(2017 SSAS Platinum “Highest Performing” Award Recipient)
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 27
2012
2013
2014
20152016
2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
Assessment
Type
School Year
End
Achievement
Points
Progress
Points
CCRPI
Score
Transit
Slope
Transit
Vector
CRCT 2012 56.8 19.6 93.7 N/A N/A
CRCT 2013 58.9 20.4 96.1 0.38 2.25
CRCT 2014 59.4 18.9 94.1 -3.00 -1.58
EOG 2015 48.3 38.8 98.2 -1.79 -22.79
EOG 2016 46.7 35.9 96.5 -1.81 -3.31
EOG 2017 46.3 35.6 94.7 -0.75 -0.50
Morris Brandon Elementary School Transits
(2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient)
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 28
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
Assessment
Type
School Year
End
Achievement
Points
Progress
Points
CCRPI
Score
Transit
Slope
Transit
Vector
CRCT 2012 55.7 17.8 90.7 N/A N/A
CRCT 2013 58.2 19.2 94.2 0.56 2.87
CRCT 2014 58.1 17.7 92.0 -15.00 -1.50
EOG 2015 45.1 37.5 93.5 -1.52 -23.69
EOG 2016 45.5 38.0 97.0 1.25 0.64
EOG 2017 46.9 39.1 98.8 0.79 1.78
Springdale Park Elementary School Transits
(2017 SSAS Gold “Highest Performing” Award Recipient)
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 29
2012
2013 2014
2015
2016
2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ProgressPoints
Achievement Points
Assessment
Type
School Year
End
Achievement
Points
Progress
Points
CCRPI
Score
Transit
Slope
Transit
Vector
CRCT 2012 58.7 15.8 90.9 N/A N/A
CRCT 2013 55.2 17.5 90.5 -0.49 -3.89
CRCT 2014 58.5 16.3 91.4 -0.36 -3.51
EOG 2015 46.0 35.4 94.5 -1.53 -22.83
EOG 2016 45.7 36.6 95.6 -4.00 -1.24
EOG 2017 45.8 36.7 95.8 1.00 0.14
2017 SSAS Award Recipients
Achievement-Progress Transits systemic behaviors
27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 30
UCL 9.6 8.3
-22.3
12.6 10.6
CL -1.0 -0.2
-23.8
-0.9 -0.6
LCL -11.5
-8.8
-25.4
-14.5
-11.7
2.87
-1.66
-3.00
0.00
-3.30
2.25
-3.89
-1.50
-1.33
3.31
-0.45
3.35
-1.58
-3.51
-23.69
-24.03
-24.40
-24.96
-24.00
-22.79
-22.83
0.64
-2.80
2.25
-4.63
2.55
-3.31
-1.24
1.78
-5.30
-2.94
4.57
-1.77
-0.50
0.14
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
BrandonElementarySchool
CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool
ClevelandElementarySchool
JacksonElementarySchool
LinElementarySchool
MorningsideElementarySchool
SpringdaleParkElementarySchool
BrandonElementarySchool
CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool
ClevelandElementarySchool
JacksonElementarySchool
LinElementarySchool
MorningsideElementarySchool
SpringdaleParkElementarySchool
BrandonElementarySchool
CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool
ClevelandElementarySchool
JacksonElementarySchool
LinElementarySchool
MorningsideElementarySchool
SpringdaleParkElementarySchool
BrandonElementarySchool
CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool
ClevelandElementarySchool
JacksonElementarySchool
LinElementarySchool
MorningsideElementarySchool
SpringdaleParkElementarySchool
BrandonElementarySchool
CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool
ClevelandElementarySchool
JacksonElementarySchool
LinElementarySchool
MorningsideElementarySchool
SpringdaleParkElementarySchool
From 2012 to 2013 From 2013 to 2014 From 2014 to 2015 From 2015 to 2016 From 2016 to 2017
What happened to ALL schools?!
First ever
Ga Milestones happened!!
27 Nov 2017 | Final
Thank You!
Questions?
Ed Johnson
Advocate for Quality in Public Education
(404) 505-8176 | edwjohnson@aol.com
Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 31

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Aps manufactured academicgaps2012_2017v00

  • 1. Atlanta Public Schools Manufactured Academic Gaps? 27 November 2017 | Final By Ed Johnson Advocate for Quality in Public Education (404) 505-8176 | edwjohnson@aol.com Data sources: https://gov.georgia.gov/sites/gov.georgia.gov/files/related_files/press_release/2017%20SSAS%20Award%20Schools.pdf and http://www.gadoe.org/CCRPI/Pages/default.aspx
  • 2. Content Mastery – Student performance on state assessments Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation Something’s wrong. Very wrong. Detectable variation signals of special causes operating. “Is this chart difficult? Patrick mastered it at age 11. This was his science project at school. A good start in life. Some essential theory of variation could obviously be taught in the 5th grade. Pupils would come out of school with knowledge in their heads, not merely information.” –W. Edwards Deming 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 2
  • 3. CL 43.71 27.6 26.2 27.0 60.7 59.8 61.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT & EOCT GMAS (EOG & EOC) All Schools Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation Focus: All APS district schools White, better Black, sharply worse White v. Black CMR gaps behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 3 125% inflation due to special causes operating 68.9 70.1 69.3 39.1 39.1 41.5 96.5 96.3 96.2 99.8 98.9 102.6 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT & EOCT GMAS (EOG & EOC) All Schools
  • 4. CL 41.72 38.94 49.65 24.3 22.3 24.5 59.7 58.1 61.5 22.1 21.3 20.3 56.4 57.5 56.0 36.3 35.3 32.8 64.9 64.7 64.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT & EOCT GMAS CRCT & EOCT GMAS CRCT & EOCT GMAS Elementary Schools Middle Schools High Schools Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation Focus: APS elementary, middle, and high schools White, better Black, sharply worse White v. Black CMR gaps behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 4 144% inflation due to special causes operating 178% inflation due to special causes operating 98% inflation due to special causes operating 72.8 75.0 73.5 41.2 40.7 42.8 75.2 76.3 77.9 39.8 39.3 40.6 56.4 57.0 56.5 35.5 36.3 39.9 97.1 97.3 97.9 100.9 98.8 104.2 97.4 97.5 98.2 96.2 96.8 96.5 92.7 92.3 89.3 100.4 100.9 103.9 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT & EOCT GMAS CRCT & EOCT GMAS CRCT & EOCT GMAS Elementary Schools Middle Schools High Schools
  • 5. Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation Focus: APS public schools and charter schools Public with White, better – Black, worse Charter with White, worse – Black, worse White v. Black CMR gaps behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 5 67.4 68.3 67.1 36.7 36.1 38.6 76.8 79.0 78.6 48.2 50.5 53.2 96.4 96.0 95.7 103.1 101.3 107.2 96.9 97.6 98.0 92.0 94.0 93.8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017CRCT & EOCT GMAS CRCT & EOCT GMAS Public Schools Charter Schools CL 47.59 31.01 29.0 27.7 28.6 66.5 65.2 68.6 20.1 18.7 19.5 43.8 43.5 40.6 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT & EOCT GMAS CRCT & EOCT GMAS Public Schools Charter Schools 133% inflation due to special causes operating 125% inflation due to special causes operating
  • 6. Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation Focus: APS Black students and White students White in Public, better – Charter, worse Black in Public, worse – Charter, worse Public v. Charter CMR gaps behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 6 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG EOCT EOC EOCT EOC Black White Black White Black White Elementary Schools Middle Schools High Schools Center Line: Average gap size -11.9 1.9 -12.3 13.0 -3.9 14.1 -6.5 -13.6 -14.6 -9.8 -14.2 -12.9 -0.6 -2.0 -0.8 5.3 2.7 6.7 -11.7 -6.3 -7.1 -15.1 -16.9 -16.8 2.9 3.7 2.5 27.6 22.8 18.6 12.2 12.2 4.4 -13.8 -16.4 -21.6 1.1 27.1 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG EOCT EOC EOCT EOC Black White Black White Black White Elementary Schools Middle Schools High Schools
  • 7. Closer Look Voice of Content Mastery Rates Variation for 2017 SSAS Award Recipients Something’s wrong even among the best. Single Statewide Accountability System (SSAS) Awards are given to schools with high academic performance and/or high academic growth. 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 7
  • 8. Carver Early College High School Content Mastery Rates (2017 SSAS Bronze “Highest Performing” Award Recipient) Black CMR over time (White not applicable) Black CMR systemic behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 8 98.8 98.7 100.0 88.8 71.9 66.7 100.0 100.0 97.5 74.7 75.0 47.9 94.3 92.7 97.1 87.8 75.0 71.3 98.5 100.0 100.0 90.7 65.5 78.0 96.8 100.0 91.9 64.3 81.0 57.7 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC 9th Grade Literature and Composition American Literature and Composition Biology Economics/Business/Free Enterprise US History UCL 105.94 110.55 103.27 114.59 123.94 CL 87.47 82.52 86.37 88.78 81.94 LCL 68.99 54.48 69.48 62.98 39.94 98.8 98.7 100.0 88.8 71.9 66.7 100.0 100.0 97.5 74.7 75.0 47.9 94.3 92.7 97.1 87.8 75.0 71.3 98.5 100.0 100.0 90.7 65.5 78.0 96.8 100.0 91.9 64.3 81.0 57.7 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC EOCT EOC 9th Grade Literature and Composition American Literature and Composition Biology Economics/Business/Free Enterprise US History
  • 9. Cleveland Elementary School Content Mastery Rates (2017 SSAS Gold “Greatest Gains” Award Recipient) Black CMR overtime (White not applicable) Black CMR systemic behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 9 87.5 75.6 78.0 41.1 43.3 42.5 68.8 69.1 74.0 57.7 56.4 53.2 66.1 54.1 52.0 42.3 47.2 71.3 65.2 56.6 65.1 44.3 47.5 56.3 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies UCL 90.09 77.03 83.57 82.38 CL 61.33 63.20 55.48 55.82 LCL 32.57 49.38 27.39 29.26 87.5 75.6 78.0 41.1 43.3 42.5 68.8 69.1 74.0 57.7 56.4 53.2 66.1 54.1 52.0 42.3 47.2 71.3 65.2 56.6 65.1 44.3 47.5 56.3 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies
  • 10. Jackson Elementary School Content Mastery Rates (2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient) White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 10 99.7 99.4 98.8 110.9 107.8 113.3 98.3 98.0 98.5 106.6 105.3 113.2 98.5 98.5 98.5 105.8 102.1 111.9 98.5 99.1 98.8 113.2 107.0 110.7 90.2 95.7 92.6 73.3 87.3 82.7 80.4 87.2 85.2 62.5 83.3 78.6 80.4 85.1 88.9 64.4 80.4 64.6 80.4 89.1 92.6 74.6 90.2 68.8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies UCL 53.56 63.72 70.78 70.52 CL 18.02 23.78 25.25 21.94 LCL -17.52 -16.16 -20.27 -26.65 9.5 3.7 6.2 37.5 20.5 30.7 17.9 10.8 13.3 44.1 22.0 34.6 18.1 13.4 9.6 41.4 21.7 47.3 18.1 10.0 6.2 38.6 16.8 42.0 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies
  • 11. Mary Lin Elementary School Content Master Rates (2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient) White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 11 UCL 57.05 48.73 49.74 57.46 CL 21.19 22.95 22.62 21.27 LCL -14.67 -2.84 -4.51 -14.92 2.9 8.3 -1.5 36.2 44.0 37.2 13.5 16.2 4.9 25.6 38.1 39.4 9.1 6.7 13.7 38.5 45.1 18.3 8.3 5.7 26.5 47.5 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies 98.7 97.8 98.5 108.7 111.1 110.6 96.8 95.1 97.9 108.1 108.1 111.0 98.7 96.2 97.4 101.3 105.1 106.9 97.5 95.1 96.4 94.0 103.2 93.1 95.8 89.5 100.0 72.5 67.1 73.3 83.3 78.9 93.0 82.5 70.0 71.7 89.6 89.5 83.7 62.8 60.0 79.2 86.8 90.7 67.5 55.7 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies
  • 12. Morningside Elementary School Content Mastery Rates (2017 SSAS Platinum “Highest Performing” Award Recipient) White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 12 99.6 99.6 99.3 114.3 105.7 105.6 98.9 98.9 99.7 108.0 110.9 110.0 99.2 99.6 99.7 123.6 117.6 128.6 99.6 99.6 100.0 116.1 115.3 112.9 90.4 95.3 94.1 72.3 70.3 78.6 84.6 90.7 85.3 68.1 68.9 84.5 90.4 86.0 91.2 76.6 68.9 90.0 90.2 88.4 91.2 72.8 70.3 73.3 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies UCL 51.17 54.07 59.49 50.60 CL 20.53 24.06 27.52 26.20 LCL -10.12 -5.96 -4.46 1.79 9.2 4.3 5.2 42.0 35.5 27.0 14.3 8.2 14.4 40.0 42.0 25.5 8.8 13.6 8.5 47.0 48.6 38.6 9.4 11.2 8.8 43.3 45.0 39.5 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies
  • 13. Morris Brandon Elementary School Content Mastery Rates (2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient) White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 13 99.8 99.5 99.1 112.4 112.4 112.7 98.5 99.3 98.4 103.8 106.5 115.2 99.0 99.5 99.1 102.9 107.2 110.1 98.8 99.8 99.3 108.2 111.0 111.0 95.2 91.8 91.5 81.5 77.1 70.3 83.9 87.8 80.9 62.9 65.7 70.3 83.6 91.8 78.7 66.2 60.0 66.7 88.7 95.7 85.1 74.6 74.3 79.2 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies UCL 41.65 47.95 55.58 44.87 CL 21.43 28.38 28.48 21.74 LCL 1.20 8.82 1.38 -1.38 4.6 7.7 7.6 31.0 35.3 42.4 14.6 11.5 17.5 40.9 40.8 45.0 15.4 7.7 20.4 36.8 47.2 43.4 10.1 4.1 14.2 33.6 36.7 31.8 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies
  • 14. Springdale Park Elementary School Content Mastery Rates (2017 SSAS Gold “Highest Performing” Award Recipient) White-Black gaps over time White-Black gaps systemic behavior 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 14 100.0 98.0 99.4 114.5 112.9 114.1 99.2 97.3 98.9 104.1 108.5 119.4 100.0 98.0 98.8 111.5 108.3 109.7 100.0 98.0 98.8 102.2 102.7 96.0 100.0 97.7 100.0 96.3 88.2 78.6 81.6 95.5 95.6 75.6 80.3 85.7 97.4 93.2 91.1 86.6 78.9 80.0 94.7 90.9 95.6 84.1 72.4 60.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies UCL 32.86 44.46 30.90 37.12 CL 13.02 18.84 16.50 16.65 LCL -6.81 -6.77 2.09 -3.81 0.0 0.3 -0.6 18.2 24.7 35.5 17.6 1.8 3.3 28.5 28.2 33.6 2.6 4.8 7.7 24.9 29.3 29.7 5.3 7.1 3.2 18.0 30.3 36.0 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG CRCT EOG ELA Math Science Social Studies
  • 15. Closer Look Seeing Content Mastery affect Achievement and Performance Systemic views 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 15
  • 16. 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points What patterns and specifics do you see happening? 7 blue-dot schools, 2017 Single Statewide Accountability System (SSAS) Award Recipients 16 red-dot schools, eligible for state takeover 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 16 2012, 2013, and 2014: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Criterion-Referenced Competence Tests (CRCT); high schools were assessed by End of Course Tests (EOCT). 2015, 2016, and 2017: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Grade (EOG) tests; high schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Course (EOC) tests. 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points
  • 17. 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points What patterns and specifics do you see happening? 7 blue-dot schools, 2017 Single Statewide Accountability System (SSAS) Award Recipients 16 red-dot schools, eligible for state takeover 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 17 2012, 2013, and 2014: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Criterion-Referenced Competence Tests (CRCT); high schools were assessed by End of Course Tests (EOCT). 2015, 2016, and 2017: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Grade (EOG) tests; high schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Course (EOC) tests.
  • 18. 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points What patterns and specifics do you see happening? 7 blue-dot schools, 2017 Single Statewide Accountability System (SSAS) Award Recipients 16 red-dot schools, eligible for state takeover 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 18 2012, 2013, and 2014: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Criterion-Referenced Competence Tests (CRCT); high schools were assessed by End of Course Tests (EOCT). 2015, 2016, and 2017: Elementary & middle schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Grade (EOG) tests; high schools were assessed by Ga Milestones End of Course (EOC) tests.
  • 19. Closer Look An elementary Common Core/Math-based case for Achievement-Progress Transits 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 19 Achievement Points (A) Progress Points (P)
  • 20. What is a Transit? • The straight-line transition from one (CCRPI Achievement Points, CCRPI Progress Points) coordinate pair of values to another such coordinate pair of values • Each example Transit at right • Communicates seeing unified transition of both • Achievement and • Progress • Communicates seeing both • Transit Direction and • Transit Magnitude 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 20 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points Transit Examples
  • 21. CC/M-based case for Achievement-Progress Transits • Issue: Unstable state mandates about dominance of CCRPI components • Achievement used to be 1st order dominant • Progress used to be 2nd order dominant • Achievement now 2nd order dominant • Progress now 1st order dominant • Issue: Achievement and Progress strangely related, counterintuitive in common vernacular • Both positive Progress and negative Achievement happens • Both negative Progress and positive Achievement happens • Solution: Transits unify and stabilize the 1st and 2nd order dominant CCRPI components Achievement Points and Progress Points in both magnitude and direction • Solution Basis in Common Core Standards/Math • Grade 1 » Geometry » Reason with shapes and their attributes, through • Grade 7 » Introduction » 1) » slope, and • Grade 8 » Geometry » Understand and apply the Pythagorean Theorem 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 21 61.6% 60.0% 61.3% 36.8% 36.9% 37.5% 24.9% 25.1% 24.9% 52.0% 50.8% 50.8% 86.5% 85.1% 86.2% 88.8% 87.7% 88.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CRCT/EOCT EOG/EOC Progress Points as Unstable % of CCRPI Scores Achievement Points as Unstable % of CCRPI Scores Achievement-Progress Points as Stable % of CCRPI Scores
  • 22. Closer Look Achievement-Progress Transits of 2017 SSAS Award Recipients 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 22 Achievement Points (A) Progress Points (P)
  • 23. Carver Early College High School Transits (2017 SSAS Bronze “Highest Performing” Award Recipient) 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 23 2012 20132014 2015 2016 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points Assessment Type School Year End Achievement Points Progress Points CCRPI Score Transit Slope Transit Vector EOCT 2012 54.6 19.8 94.5 N/A N/A EOCT 2013 53.7 18.4 94.3 -1.56 -1.66 EOCT 2014 52.4 18.1 94.3 -0.23 -1.33 EOC 2015 42.5 40.0 101.7 -2.21 -24.03 EOC 2016 42.5 37.2 97.3 -Undefined -2.80 EOC 2017 37.2 37.1 91.9 -0.02 -5.30
  • 24. Cleveland Avenue Elementary School Transits (2017 SSAS Gold “Greatest Gains” Award Recipient) 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 24 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points Assessment Type School Year End Achievement Points Progress Points CCRPI Score Transit Slope Transit Vector CRCT 2012 37.9 15.2 54.6 N/A N/A CRCT 2013 35.2 16.5 52.2 -0.48 -3.00 CRCT 2014 36.6 19.5 67.6 2.14 3.31 EOG 2015 22.2 39.2 72.2 -1.37 -24.40 EOG 2016 24.3 40.0 80.8 0.38 2.25 EOG 2017 26.7 38.3 76.0 -0.71 -2.94
  • 25. Jackson Elementary School Transits (2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient) 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 25 2013 2012 2014 2015 2016 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points Assessment Type School Year End Achievement Points Progress Points CCRPI Score Transit Slope Transit Vector CRCT 2012 57.5 18.6 94.0 N/A N/A CRCT 2013 57.5 18.6 93.2 +Undefined 0.00 CRCT 2014 57.9 18.4 93.5 -0.50 -0.45 EOG 2015 45.4 40.0 97.7 -1.73 -24.96 EOG 2016 46.5 35.5 95.4 -4.09 -4.63 EOG 2017 47.3 40.0 100.7 5.63 4.57
  • 26. Mary Lin Elementary School Transits (2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient) 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 26 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points Assessment Type School Year End Achievement Points Progress Points CCRPI Score Transit Slope Transit Vector CRCT 2012 57.7 17.4 90.9 N/A N/A CRCT 2013 56.9 14.2 86.4 -4.00 -3.30 CRCT 2014 57.5 17.5 91.5 5.50 3.35 EOG 2015 43.8 37.2 93.2 -1.44 -24.00 EOG 2016 44.9 39.5 98.9 2.09 2.55 EOG 2017 46.2 38.3 97.8 -0.92 -1.77
  • 27. Morningside Elementary School Transits (2017 SSAS Platinum “Highest Performing” Award Recipient) 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 27 2012 2013 2014 20152016 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points Assessment Type School Year End Achievement Points Progress Points CCRPI Score Transit Slope Transit Vector CRCT 2012 56.8 19.6 93.7 N/A N/A CRCT 2013 58.9 20.4 96.1 0.38 2.25 CRCT 2014 59.4 18.9 94.1 -3.00 -1.58 EOG 2015 48.3 38.8 98.2 -1.79 -22.79 EOG 2016 46.7 35.9 96.5 -1.81 -3.31 EOG 2017 46.3 35.6 94.7 -0.75 -0.50
  • 28. Morris Brandon Elementary School Transits (2017 SSAS Bronze “Greatest Gains” & Gold “Highest Performing” Awards Recipient) 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 28 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points Assessment Type School Year End Achievement Points Progress Points CCRPI Score Transit Slope Transit Vector CRCT 2012 55.7 17.8 90.7 N/A N/A CRCT 2013 58.2 19.2 94.2 0.56 2.87 CRCT 2014 58.1 17.7 92.0 -15.00 -1.50 EOG 2015 45.1 37.5 93.5 -1.52 -23.69 EOG 2016 45.5 38.0 97.0 1.25 0.64 EOG 2017 46.9 39.1 98.8 0.79 1.78
  • 29. Springdale Park Elementary School Transits (2017 SSAS Gold “Highest Performing” Award Recipient) 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 29 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 ProgressPoints Achievement Points Assessment Type School Year End Achievement Points Progress Points CCRPI Score Transit Slope Transit Vector CRCT 2012 58.7 15.8 90.9 N/A N/A CRCT 2013 55.2 17.5 90.5 -0.49 -3.89 CRCT 2014 58.5 16.3 91.4 -0.36 -3.51 EOG 2015 46.0 35.4 94.5 -1.53 -22.83 EOG 2016 45.7 36.6 95.6 -4.00 -1.24 EOG 2017 45.8 36.7 95.8 1.00 0.14
  • 30. 2017 SSAS Award Recipients Achievement-Progress Transits systemic behaviors 27 Nov 2017 | Final Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 30 UCL 9.6 8.3 -22.3 12.6 10.6 CL -1.0 -0.2 -23.8 -0.9 -0.6 LCL -11.5 -8.8 -25.4 -14.5 -11.7 2.87 -1.66 -3.00 0.00 -3.30 2.25 -3.89 -1.50 -1.33 3.31 -0.45 3.35 -1.58 -3.51 -23.69 -24.03 -24.40 -24.96 -24.00 -22.79 -22.83 0.64 -2.80 2.25 -4.63 2.55 -3.31 -1.24 1.78 -5.30 -2.94 4.57 -1.77 -0.50 0.14 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 BrandonElementarySchool CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool ClevelandElementarySchool JacksonElementarySchool LinElementarySchool MorningsideElementarySchool SpringdaleParkElementarySchool BrandonElementarySchool CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool ClevelandElementarySchool JacksonElementarySchool LinElementarySchool MorningsideElementarySchool SpringdaleParkElementarySchool BrandonElementarySchool CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool ClevelandElementarySchool JacksonElementarySchool LinElementarySchool MorningsideElementarySchool SpringdaleParkElementarySchool BrandonElementarySchool CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool ClevelandElementarySchool JacksonElementarySchool LinElementarySchool MorningsideElementarySchool SpringdaleParkElementarySchool BrandonElementarySchool CarverEarlyCollegeHighSchool ClevelandElementarySchool JacksonElementarySchool LinElementarySchool MorningsideElementarySchool SpringdaleParkElementarySchool From 2012 to 2013 From 2013 to 2014 From 2014 to 2015 From 2015 to 2016 From 2016 to 2017 What happened to ALL schools?! First ever Ga Milestones happened!!
  • 31. 27 Nov 2017 | Final Thank You! Questions? Ed Johnson Advocate for Quality in Public Education (404) 505-8176 | edwjohnson@aol.com Advocate for Quality in Public Education (AfQPE) 31