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3Q09 Earnings Release




     November/2009
3Q09 Overview
      Enrollment: 32 thousand new onground students and 6.2 thousand at the lauching of
       the under-grad Distance Learning. Student base  200.7 thousand;

      Renewal rate: even with the more conservative approach towards negotiations with
       students on default, the renewal rate reached 87%, above the historical average;

      Bad Debt: in 9M09, reached R$23.8 million (3.1 p.p. NR), 0,1 p.p. lower vs. 9M08;

      SSC: new efficiency gains with recurring improvements in performance ratios;

      Learning center: In 1H10 launch of standardized curricula for all regions (but
       RJ:2H10);

      Competitive market advantage: reference books and printed materials tailored made
       granted in all 41 core programs, included in tuitions;

      G&A: reduction of 2.3 p.p. of NR in 9M09, as result of Matrix and Zero Based Budget
       monitoring;

      At the end of third quarter, Estácio won the Abrasca Market Value Creation Award, as
       the Outstanding of the sector.



3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                     1
Growth of Students Base (thousands)


                                                +2.4% (3Q09/3Q08)


                                                           211
                                               207
                                                                              201
                                                                       202     6

                                    196                                       195
                            193




                            2Q08    3Q08      4Q08         1Q09        2Q09   3Q09
                                                Onground          DL


                 The onground students’ base reached 195 thousand by the end of 3Q09, -
                 0.8% vs 3Q08. In addition, the DL roll-out reached 6.2 thousand students,
                 above the Company’s expectations.




3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                    2
Income Statement Highlights – 3Q09 and 9M09

                     R$ Million        3Q08    3Q09    Change      9M08     9M09    Change

                       Net Revenue     251.5   251.3    0.0%       727.1    764.4    5.1%

                        Gross Profit   103.3   99.9     -3.3%      290.0    296.6    2.3%

                       Gross Margin    41.1%   39.7%   -1.3 p.p.   39.9%    38.8%   -1.1 p.p.

                            EBITDA     34.3    31.6     -7.9%      85.3     92.6     8.6%

                     EBITDA Margin     13.6%   12.6%   -1.1 p.p.   11.7%    12.1%   0.4 p.p.

                   EBITDAR Margin      22.4%   21.8%   -0.6 p.p.   20.4%    21.0%   0.7 p.p.
                       (ex-rentals)

                        Net Income     28.4    22.0    -22.5%      67.7     65.6     -3.2%




                 9M09 EBITDA margin’s expansion of 0.3 p.p. of NR, reflecting:
                 i) significant gains on G&A; and;
                 ii) rigid bad debt control.




3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                       3
Revenue (R$ million)

                                               3Q08 vs. 3Q09
                                                                                       (1.5%)

                                                                             366.7              361.3
   The decrease in the level of allowances and                                                           Gross
   stricter policies in granting scholarships/commercial       Gross
   partnerships fully offset the flat students’ base and                               (4.6%)

   gross ticket decrease. Net Revenue of R$251.3               Deductions    115.2              109.9     Deductions
                                                                                        0.0%

   million, flat vs 3Q08.                                                    251.5              251.3     Net
                                                               Net




                                                                             3Q08               3Q09



                                              9M08 vs. 9M09
                                                                                       +3.4%

                                                                                                1,102.5
                                                                             1,066.0                      Gross
   Net Revenue of R$764.4 million, up 5.1% vs 9M08.
                                                                     Gross
                                                                                       (0.2%)

                                                               Deductions    338.9              338.1     Deductions
                                                                                       +5.1%

                                                                             727.1              764.4     Net
                                                                       Net




                                                                             9M08               9M09


3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                                              4
COS (R$ million)

                                              3Q08 vs. 3Q09
                                                                     148.2 (58.9% NR)                          151.5 (60.3% NR)


                                                                           36.7                                      38.4
   The increase in faculty payroll as a percentage of                                            1.4%


   net revenues was partly driven by the increase in
   coordinator’s working hours, in order to improve the   44.4% NR                            45.0% NR
                                                                          111.5                                     113.1
   quality to the students, as well as, higher social
   security rate and investments in developing
   academic syllabus.
                                                                          3Q08                                      3Q09

                                                                                        Faculty Payroll    Others



                                              9M08 vs. 9M09
                                                                                                               467.8 (61.2% NR)
                                                                     437.1 (60.1% NR)

                                                                                                                    114.6
                                                                          105.2
                                                                                                6.4%

   In 9M09 the personnel expenses reached 46.2%
   NR (+0.5 p.p. against 9M08).                           45.7% NR                             46.2% NR
                                                                          331.9                                     353.3




                                                                          9M08                                      9M09

                                                                                  Pessoal e Encargos Sociais    Outros


3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                                                         5
Gross Profit (R$ million)

                                             3Q08 vs. 3Q09

                                                                           (3,3%)

                                                             103.3                         99.9


    In 3Q09, given net revenues stability and higher                      +2,2%
    costs, recurring gross profit margin reached 39.7%       148.2                         151.5

    (1.3 p.p. lower than 3Q08).


                                                             3Q08                          3Q09

                                                                     COS    Gross Profit



                                             9M08 vs. 9M09
                                                                           +2.3%
                                                                                           296.6
                                                             290.0

   In 9M09, the gross margin stood in 38.8%, vs                           +7.0%
   39.9% in 9M08.                                            437.1
                                                                                           467.8




                                                             9M08                          9M09

                                                                     COS    Gross Profit


3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                          6
Selling, General and Admin. – SG&A (R$ million)

                             3Q08                                                      3Q09


                                              G&A                                                    G&A
                                             56.3M                                                  53.3M

                     SG&A                                                      SG&A
 Net Revenue                                                  Net Revenue
                     28.4%                                                     28.2%

                                                  Selling                                              Selling
                                                  15.1M                                                17.5M




                               3Q08                                              3Q09

                                            Marketing: 2.9%                                   Marketing: 3.7%
    Selling                  6.0% NR                                          7.0% NR
                                            PDD: 3.1%                                         PDD: 3.2%

   General and                                                   (1.2) p.p.
   Administrative                      22.4% NR                                         21.2% NR


   D&A decrease of 1.2 p.p of net revenues in 3Q09, driven by rigid cost control. PDD in 3Q09 reached
   R$8.1M, 0.1 p.p of net revenue increase. Vs., resulting from a less benign economic setting.



3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                                        7
Selling, General and Admin. – SG&A (R$ million)

                             9M08                                                      9M09


                                             G&A                                                    G&A
                                            167.5M                                                 158.5M

                     SG&A                                                      SG&A
 Net Revenue                                                  Net Revenue
                     29.0%                                                     27.7%

                                                  Selling                                              Selling
                                                  43.5M                                                52.8M




                               9M08                                              9M09

                                            Marketing: 2.7%                                   Marketing: 3.8%
    Selling                  6.0% NR                                           6.9% RL
                                            PDD: 3.2%                                         PDD: 3.1%

   General and                                                    (2.3) p.p.
   Administrative                      23.0% NR                                         20.7% NR


   The decrease in general and administrative expenses derives from efficiency gains with a strict cost
   control by means of the zero-based and matrix budget, as well as, efficiency from SSC´s streamlining
   processes.


3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                                        8
EBITDA and Net Income (R$ million)

                                       +8.6%   92.6
    EBITDA                     85.3                         Net Income               67.7   (3.2%)
                                                                                                     65.6
                                       16,3%   12.1%
                                                                                     9.3%
                               11.7%                                                        12,3%    8.6%




      34.3    (7.9%)                                        28.4
                       31.6                                        (22.5%)
                                                                             22.0
      13.6%
                       12.6%                               11.3%
                                                                             8.8%



      3Q08             3Q09    9M08            9M09        3Q08              3Q09    9M08            9M09




  The 9M09 EBITDA growth is chiefly explained by a reduction of other administrative expenses and slight
  decrease in PDD, offsetting the increase in personnel and marketing expenses. The 3Q09 net income
  reached R$22.0 million (-2.5 p.p. margin vs 3Q08).




3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                                   9
Accounts Receivable, Capex, Capitalization and
 Net Cash (R$ million)

         Capex                                                           Capitalization and Net
                                                                                  Cash

                                                                           R$ million      06/30/09         09/30/09
                                                                          Shareholders’          460.6           476.7
                                   47.0                                         Equity
                                               35.0
                                                                             Total Debt             8.1            6.8
          20.4                                                                    Cash           223.8           236.0
                        13.5
                                                                              Net Cash           215.6           229.2
         3Q08           3Q09      9M08        9M09



    Organic capex in the quarter reached R$13.5                        Net Cash: R$229.2 million
   million totaling R$35.0 million in 9M09.




                                           R$ million                        09/30/2008 06/30/2009 09/30/2009
                 Accounts Receivable       Accounts Receivable - Net              100.1      121.0      112.4
                                           Days of Accounts Receivable              36.0       42.0       40.0



3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009                                                                                                10

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Webcast 3Q09

  • 1. 3Q09 Earnings Release November/2009
  • 2. 3Q09 Overview  Enrollment: 32 thousand new onground students and 6.2 thousand at the lauching of the under-grad Distance Learning. Student base 200.7 thousand;  Renewal rate: even with the more conservative approach towards negotiations with students on default, the renewal rate reached 87%, above the historical average;  Bad Debt: in 9M09, reached R$23.8 million (3.1 p.p. NR), 0,1 p.p. lower vs. 9M08;  SSC: new efficiency gains with recurring improvements in performance ratios;  Learning center: In 1H10 launch of standardized curricula for all regions (but RJ:2H10);  Competitive market advantage: reference books and printed materials tailored made granted in all 41 core programs, included in tuitions;  G&A: reduction of 2.3 p.p. of NR in 9M09, as result of Matrix and Zero Based Budget monitoring;  At the end of third quarter, Estácio won the Abrasca Market Value Creation Award, as the Outstanding of the sector. 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 1
  • 3. Growth of Students Base (thousands) +2.4% (3Q09/3Q08) 211 207 201 202 6 196 195 193 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 Onground DL The onground students’ base reached 195 thousand by the end of 3Q09, - 0.8% vs 3Q08. In addition, the DL roll-out reached 6.2 thousand students, above the Company’s expectations. 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 2
  • 4. Income Statement Highlights – 3Q09 and 9M09 R$ Million 3Q08 3Q09 Change 9M08 9M09 Change Net Revenue 251.5 251.3 0.0% 727.1 764.4 5.1% Gross Profit 103.3 99.9 -3.3% 290.0 296.6 2.3% Gross Margin 41.1% 39.7% -1.3 p.p. 39.9% 38.8% -1.1 p.p. EBITDA 34.3 31.6 -7.9% 85.3 92.6 8.6% EBITDA Margin 13.6% 12.6% -1.1 p.p. 11.7% 12.1% 0.4 p.p. EBITDAR Margin 22.4% 21.8% -0.6 p.p. 20.4% 21.0% 0.7 p.p. (ex-rentals) Net Income 28.4 22.0 -22.5% 67.7 65.6 -3.2% 9M09 EBITDA margin’s expansion of 0.3 p.p. of NR, reflecting: i) significant gains on G&A; and; ii) rigid bad debt control. 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 3
  • 5. Revenue (R$ million) 3Q08 vs. 3Q09 (1.5%) 366.7 361.3 The decrease in the level of allowances and Gross stricter policies in granting scholarships/commercial Gross partnerships fully offset the flat students’ base and (4.6%) gross ticket decrease. Net Revenue of R$251.3 Deductions 115.2 109.9 Deductions 0.0% million, flat vs 3Q08. 251.5 251.3 Net Net 3Q08 3Q09 9M08 vs. 9M09 +3.4% 1,102.5 1,066.0 Gross Net Revenue of R$764.4 million, up 5.1% vs 9M08. Gross (0.2%) Deductions 338.9 338.1 Deductions +5.1% 727.1 764.4 Net Net 9M08 9M09 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 4
  • 6. COS (R$ million) 3Q08 vs. 3Q09 148.2 (58.9% NR) 151.5 (60.3% NR) 36.7 38.4 The increase in faculty payroll as a percentage of 1.4% net revenues was partly driven by the increase in coordinator’s working hours, in order to improve the 44.4% NR 45.0% NR 111.5 113.1 quality to the students, as well as, higher social security rate and investments in developing academic syllabus. 3Q08 3Q09 Faculty Payroll Others 9M08 vs. 9M09 467.8 (61.2% NR) 437.1 (60.1% NR) 114.6 105.2 6.4% In 9M09 the personnel expenses reached 46.2% NR (+0.5 p.p. against 9M08). 45.7% NR 46.2% NR 331.9 353.3 9M08 9M09 Pessoal e Encargos Sociais Outros 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 5
  • 7. Gross Profit (R$ million) 3Q08 vs. 3Q09 (3,3%) 103.3 99.9 In 3Q09, given net revenues stability and higher +2,2% costs, recurring gross profit margin reached 39.7% 148.2 151.5 (1.3 p.p. lower than 3Q08). 3Q08 3Q09 COS Gross Profit 9M08 vs. 9M09 +2.3% 296.6 290.0 In 9M09, the gross margin stood in 38.8%, vs +7.0% 39.9% in 9M08. 437.1 467.8 9M08 9M09 COS Gross Profit 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 6
  • 8. Selling, General and Admin. – SG&A (R$ million) 3Q08 3Q09 G&A G&A 56.3M 53.3M SG&A SG&A Net Revenue Net Revenue 28.4% 28.2% Selling Selling 15.1M 17.5M 3Q08 3Q09 Marketing: 2.9% Marketing: 3.7% Selling 6.0% NR 7.0% NR PDD: 3.1% PDD: 3.2% General and (1.2) p.p. Administrative 22.4% NR 21.2% NR D&A decrease of 1.2 p.p of net revenues in 3Q09, driven by rigid cost control. PDD in 3Q09 reached R$8.1M, 0.1 p.p of net revenue increase. Vs., resulting from a less benign economic setting. 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 7
  • 9. Selling, General and Admin. – SG&A (R$ million) 9M08 9M09 G&A G&A 167.5M 158.5M SG&A SG&A Net Revenue Net Revenue 29.0% 27.7% Selling Selling 43.5M 52.8M 9M08 9M09 Marketing: 2.7% Marketing: 3.8% Selling 6.0% NR 6.9% RL PDD: 3.2% PDD: 3.1% General and (2.3) p.p. Administrative 23.0% NR 20.7% NR The decrease in general and administrative expenses derives from efficiency gains with a strict cost control by means of the zero-based and matrix budget, as well as, efficiency from SSC´s streamlining processes. 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 8
  • 10. EBITDA and Net Income (R$ million) +8.6% 92.6 EBITDA 85.3 Net Income 67.7 (3.2%) 65.6 16,3% 12.1% 9.3% 11.7% 12,3% 8.6% 34.3 (7.9%) 28.4 31.6 (22.5%) 22.0 13.6% 12.6% 11.3% 8.8% 3Q08 3Q09 9M08 9M09 3Q08 3Q09 9M08 9M09 The 9M09 EBITDA growth is chiefly explained by a reduction of other administrative expenses and slight decrease in PDD, offsetting the increase in personnel and marketing expenses. The 3Q09 net income reached R$22.0 million (-2.5 p.p. margin vs 3Q08). 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 9
  • 11. Accounts Receivable, Capex, Capitalization and Net Cash (R$ million) Capex Capitalization and Net Cash R$ million 06/30/09 09/30/09 Shareholders’ 460.6 476.7 47.0 Equity 35.0 Total Debt 8.1 6.8 20.4 Cash 223.8 236.0 13.5 Net Cash 215.6 229.2 3Q08 3Q09 9M08 9M09  Organic capex in the quarter reached R$13.5  Net Cash: R$229.2 million million totaling R$35.0 million in 9M09. R$ million 09/30/2008 06/30/2009 09/30/2009 Accounts Receivable Accounts Receivable - Net 100.1 121.0 112.4 Days of Accounts Receivable 36.0 42.0 40.0 3Q09 Webcast – 11/12/2009 10