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Amna Khairy Abdul kareem
MBBS. MPH. MD community Medicine candidate
 Practical application of Appraisal terms
related to article on therapy:
Magnitude of therapy effectiveness
Precision of the results
 Application of critical appraisal scheme.
What is evidence-based practice?
9/27/2018 3
 Integration of
Best
available
research
evidence
Clinical
expertise
Patient’s
values
9/27/2018 4
9/27/2018 5
9/27/2018amna khairy abdul kareem 6
ask
acquire
appraiseapply
asses
a 23-year-old student, presenting with a 4-day
history of colored(pureulent)nasal discharge, headache,
lethargy and sneezing. She is taking
regular paracetamol for her headache. She is a non-
smoker with no significant medical history or drug
allergies and does not take any other regular
medicines. Her exams start in 2 weeks and she feels a
course of antibiotics will help her recover
.more quickly
9/27/2018 7
Population: Adults with URTI and purulent nasal discharge
Intervention: Antibiotics.
Comparison: No Antibiotics .
Outcome/s: Reduction of duration of illness.
9/27/2018 8
 What is the type of PICO?
 What is the best study design to answer this PICO
9/27/2018 9
9/27/2018amna khairy abdul kareem 10
PICO Question
Prevalence /
Etiology & risk factors
Diagnosis: signs,
symptoms or tests
Prognosis
Therapy
Study Design
Cross-sectional study
Cohort study/ Case–
control
RCT or cross sectional
Cohort study
RCT
9/27/2018 11
9/27/2018 12
Relevance
• personal knowledge
Validity
Importance
• Results section
Applicability
• Personal Experience
9/27/2018 13
Abstract
 common problem
 outcome DOE(markers
of the disease) vs.
POEM(markers of
health).
 Change the practice
9/27/2018 14
Relevance
Therapy success(disappearance of symptoms that
most greatly affected the patient’s
health) at day 10 .
Duration of general illness, pain, and purulent nasal
discharge.
9/27/2018 15
9/27/2018 16
Fair start Fair Race
9/27/2018 17
 1.Was the assignment of patients to treatment
randomized and randomization concealed?
 2. Were the groups similar at the start of the trial?
9/27/2018 18
Each participant should have an equal chance to
be in control or intervention group.
9/27/2018 19
9/27/2018 20
Confounder is other factor that helped
improvement other than our intervention.
9/27/2018 21
9/27/2018 22
combined HRT protect your heart!!
9/27/2018 23
9/27/2018 24
9/27/2018 25
“Healthy women effect”
9/27/2018 26
9/27/2018 27
3.Were the groups similar at the start of the trial? Ie
Proper Randomization
9/27/2018 28
9/27/2018 29
Fair start Fair Race
9/27/2018 30
9/27/2018 31
 1.Was follow-up of patients sufficiently long and
complete?
 2. Were all patients analyzed in the groups to
which they were
randomized?
3.Others
9/27/2018 32
Were all patients who entered the trial accounted for
at its conclusion?
And were they analyzed in the groups to which they
were randomized?
Was sensitivity analysis for outcome done?
9/27/2018 33
 Long enough for the outcome to develop.
 Complete . (no Attrition Bias)
Drop outs:
 If they were more than 30%, study should be
stopped.
 Intention to treat (once randomized always
analyzed).
 Sensitivity analysis.(worst case scenario).
9/27/2018 34
Were patients and clinicians kept "blind" to which
treatment was being received?
9/27/2018 35
Other points to insure fair race!
9/27/2018 36
9/27/2018 37
5.Aside from the experimental treatment, were the
groups treated equally?
9/27/2018 38
All patients were allowed
to use symptomatic
treatment( decongestants
nose drops and
analgesics)
9/27/2018 39
Relevance
• personal knowledge
Validity
Importance
• Results section
Applicability
• Personal Experience
9/27/2018 40
9/27/2018 41
Therapy
effectivene
ss
Precision
P value
Confidence
interval
Magnitude
ARR RRR
NNT/
NNH
Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR)
Relative Risk Reduction (RRR)
Number Needed to Treat (NNT)
Number Needed to Harm (NNH)
Control Death Rate
CER
12%
Experimental Death Rate
EER
9%
Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR) =3%
Relative isk Reduction (ARR)
=25%!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Numberr needed to treat(NNT)=33
Analgesic
Number of
patients in
comparison
Percent
with at
least
50% pain
relief
NNT
Lower
confidence
interval
Higher
confidence
interval
Ketorolac 60
(intramuscular)
116 56 1.8 1.5 2.3
Pethidine 100
(intramuscular)
364 54 2.9 2.3 3.9
Morphine 10
(intramuscular)
946 50 2.9 2.6 3.6
Ketorolac 30
(intramuscular)
359 53 3.4 2.5 4.9
Ketorolac 10
(intramuscular)
142 48 5.7 3.0 53.0
Control Event Rate
CER
0
Experimental Death
Rate
EER
1%
Absolute Risk Reduction (ARI) =1%
Number Needed to harm (NNH )= 100
We need to treat 33
Patients with MI to
prevent one death
We need to Give
thrombolytic to
100Patients with MI for
one to develop
intracranial he
47
 95% Confidence interval :
 They are an estimate of the range of values that are
95 chance of including the real value.
Ep: NNT= 33 95% CI (20-40)
Study A Study B
ARR= 30%
95%CI( 10%-80%)
ARR = 20%
95% CI ( 15%- 22%)
Large sample size =
narrow CI
Small sample size =
Large CI
P-values: are a measure of the probability that a
result is purely due to chance. (0.05
9/27/2018 52
9/27/2018 53
Can you do the
Intervention exactly as
it is described in the
paper?
Is your Patient similar to
the population of the
study?
Did you examine your
patient’s Preferences?
 Were all patient
important outcomes
considered?
 Are the potential
benefits outweigh the
potential harms & cost,
to my patient?
9/27/2018 54
Applicability
System
Preparedness:
Availability, Cost
etc
Staff Preparedness:
Knowledge, Skill
etc
Patient Factors &
Acceptability:
Similar to study
population,
Preferences, Values
etc
9/27/2018 55
9/27/2018 56
Relevance
• personal knowledge
Validity
Importance
• Results section
Applicability
• Personal Experience
Questions and comments??
9/27/2018 57
 Email : amnakh22@gmail.com
 +249924659036
 Twitter : @amnakhairy
9/27/2018 58

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Apprasial of a thearpy paper sep.2018