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Analysis of Financial Statements
CHAPTER 3
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Topics in Chapter
Ratio analysis
Ratios
Common size statements
Percent change statement
DuPont equation
Limitations of ratio analysis
Qualitative factors
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Determinants of Intrinsic Value: Using Ratio Analysis
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Overview
Ratios facilitate comparison of:
One company over time
One company versus other companies
Ratios are used by:
Lenders to determine creditworthiness
Stockholders to estimate future cash flows and risk
Managers to identify areas of weakness and strength
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Income Statement20192020ESales $6,000 $6,600 COGS except
depr. 4,800 5,210 Other expenses 320 370 Deprec. 420
400 EBIT $ 460 $ 620 Int. expense 108 100 EBT $ 352 $
520 Taxes (40%) 88 130 Net income $ 264 $ 390
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Balance Sheets: Assets20192020ECash $ 50 $ 60 S-T
invest. 10 50 AR 520 530 Inventories 820
660 Total CA $1,400 $1,300 Net FA 3,500 3,700 Total assets
$4,900 $5,000
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Balance Sheets: Liabilities & Equity20192020EAccts. payable $
400 $ 330 Notes payable 250 100 Accruals 240 270
Total CL $ 890 $ 700 Long-term debt 1,100 1,100 Total
liabilities $1,990 $1,800 Common stock 1,000 1,000 Ret.
earnings 1,910 2,200 Total equity $2,910 $3,200 Total L&E
$4,900 $5,000
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Other Data20192020EEPS$2.64$3.90DPS$0.84$1.00Book value
per share$29.10$32.00Dividends$84 $100 Number of shares 100
100 Year-end stock price$30.00$49.00Lease payments$20 $20
Tax rate25%25%
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Profitability Ratios
What is the company’s rate of return on sales?
Profit margin
Operating profit margin
What is the company’s rate of return on assets?
Basic earning power
Return on assets
Return on equity
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Profit Margin
Net profit margin (PM):
201820192020EInd.Profit Margin6.7%4.4%5.9%7.2%
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Operating Profit Margin
Operating profit margin:
201820192020EInd.Profit Margin10.2%7.7%9.4%10.4%
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Basic Earning Power (BEP)
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Basic Earning Power vs. Industry Average
BEP removes effect of taxes and financial leverage. Useful for
comparison.
Projected to be below average.
Room for improvement.201820192020EInd.Basic Earning
Power13.7%9.4%12.4%15.6%
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Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE) (1 of 2)
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Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE) (2 of 2)
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ROA and ROE vs. Industry Averages201820192020Industry
ROA9.0%5.4%7.8%10.8% ROE13.5%9.1%12.2%15.4%
Both below industry average but improving.
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Effects of Debt on ROA and ROE
ROA is lowered by debt--interest expense lowers net income,
which also lowers ROA.
However, the use of debt lowers equity, and if equity is lowered
more than net income, ROE would increase.
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Asset Management Ratios
How efficiently does the firm use its assets?
How much does the firm have tied up in assets for each dollar
of sales?
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Inventory Turnover Ratio vs. Industry Average
201820192020EInd.Inventory turnover7.46.28.59.0
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Comments on Inventory Turnover
Inventory turnover:
Improved from previous year
Below industry average
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DSO: average number of days from sale until cash received.
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Appraisal of DSO
Higher than 2018, but a little lower than
industry.201820192020EInd.Days Sales
Outstanding26.531.629.328.0
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Fixed Assets and Total Assets Turnover Ratios
(1 of 2)
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Fixed Assets and Total Assets Turnover Ratios
(2 of 2)
Better than previous year.
Not up to industry average. Caused by high fixed assets relative
to sales.201820192020EInd.Fixed Asset
Turnover1.91.71.83.0Total Asset
Turnover1.3481.2241.3201.5
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Liquidity Ratios
Can the company meet its short-term obligations using the
resources it currently has on hand?
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Forecasted Current and Quick Ratios
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Comments on Current and Quick
Ratios201820192020EInd.Current2.11.61.92.5Quick1.00.70.91.
9
Expected to improve but still below the industry average.
Liquidity position is weak.
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Debt Management Ratios
Does the company have too much debt?
Can the company’s earnings meet its debt servicing
requirements?
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Leverage Ratios: Debt Ratio
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Leverage Ratios: Debt-to-Equity Ratio
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Leverage Ratios: Liabilities-to-Assets Ratio
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Leverage Ratios: Equity Multiplier
Equity multiplier = Total Assets
Common Equity
= $5,000
$3,200 = 1.5625
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Times Interest Earned Ratio
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EBITDA Coverage (EC)
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Debt Management Ratios vs. Industry
Averages201820192020EIndustry Debt
Ratio20.8%27.6%24.0%15.0% Debt-to-equity0.310.460.380.22
Liabilities-to-assets33.1%40.6%36.0%32.0% Earnings
Multiplier1.491.681.561.47 Times Interest Earned8.24.36.213.0
EBITDA Coverage Ratio9.96.38.417.2
Improved, but more debt than industry
More risk than industry
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Market Value Ratios
Market value ratios incorporate the:
High current levels of earnings and cash flow increase market
value ratios
High expected growth in earnings and cash flow increases
market value ratios
High risk of expected growth in earnings and cash flow
decreases market value ratios
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Calculate and appraise the Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio.
Price per share (P) = $49.00
Earnings per share (EPS) = $3.90
P/E = P/E = $49.00/$3.90 = 16.8
P/E: How much investors will pay for $1 of earnings. Higher is
better.
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Calculate and appraise the M/B ratio.
BVPS = Equity/ # Shares
= $3,200/100 = $32.00.
M/B = P/BVPS
M/B = $49.00/$32.00 = 1.53
M/B: How much paid for $1 of book value. Higher is better.
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Comparison with Industry Averages201820192020EInd.Price-to
Earnings13.611.412.616.8Market-to-Book1.81.01.52.7
The P/E ratio and the M/B ratio indicate that the market doesn’t
value the company as highly as it does the average firm in
industry.
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Common Size Balance Sheets: Divide all items by Total
AssetsAssets201820192020EInd.Cash1.5%1.0%1.2%1.5%ST
Inv.2.5%0.2%1.0%7.6%AR9.8%10.6%10.6%13.2%Invent.15.2%
16.7%13.2%17.8%Total CA28.9%28.6%26.0%40.0%Net
FA71.1%71.4%74.0%60.0%TA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
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Divide all items by Total Liabilities & EquityLiab. &
Eq.201820192020EInd.AP7.4%8.2%6.6%6.8%Notes
pay.1.2%5.1%2.0%3.0%Accruals4.9%4.9%5.4%10.2%Total
CL13.5%18.2%14.0%20.0%LT
Debt19.6%22.4%22.0%12.0%Total
Liab.33.1%40.6%36.0%32.0%Total
eq.66.9%59.4%64.0%68.0%Total
L&E100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
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Analysis of Common Size Balance Sheets
Computron has higher proportion of net fixed assets than the
industry.
Computron’s total debt is 24% (the combined percentages of
notes payable and long-term bonds) of its assets, which is
higher than the industry’s combined debt percentage of 20%.
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Common Size Income Statement: Divide all items by
Sales201820192020EInd.100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%78.2%80.
0%78.9%69.0%5.3%5.3%5.6%3.3%6.4%7.0%6.1%17.3%10.2%
7.7%9.4%10.4%1.2%1.8%1.5%0.8%8.9%5.9%7.9%9.6%2.2%1.
5%2.0%2.4%6.7%4.4%5.9%7.2%SalesCOGSDepr.Other exp.
EBITInt. Exp. Pre-tax earn.Taxes (25%)NI
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Analysis of Common Size Income Statements
Computron’s profit margin is less than the industry ratio
Computron has lower Other Costs.
But… it has much higher costs of goods sold
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Percentage Change Analysis: Cumulative Change from First
Year (2018)Income
St.201820192020ESales0.0%9.1%20.0%COGS0.0%11.6%21.2%
Depr.0.0%10.3%27.6%Other exp.0.0%20.0%14.3% EBIT0.0%-
17.9%10.7%Int. Exp.0.0%58.8%47.1% EBT0.0%-
28.5%5.7%Taxes0.0%-28.5%5.7%NI0.0%-28.5%5.7%
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Analysis of Percent Change Income Statement
For 2019:
Sales grew by 9% in 2019.
Net income fell by 28.5%!
For 2020 projections:
Cumulative sales growth is 20%.
Cumulative net income growth is 5.7%
Improvement, but more work is needed
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Cumulative Percentage Change:
AssetsAssets201820192020ECash0.0%-16.7%0.0%ST
Invest.0.0%-90.0%-
50.0%AR0.0%30.0%32.5%Invent.0.0%32.3%6.5%Total
CA0.0%18.6%10.2%Net
FA0.0%20.7%27.6%TA0.0%20.1%22.5%
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Cumulative Percentage Change: Liabilities & EquityLiab. &
Eq.201820192020EAP0.0%33.3%10.0%Notes
pay.0.0%400.0%100.0%Accruals0.0%20.0%35.0%Total
CL0.0%61.8%27.3%LT Debt0.0%37.5%37.5%Total
eq.0.0%6.6%17.2%Total L&E0.0%20.1%22.5%
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Analysis of Percent Change Balance Sheets: 2019
Assets grew by 20.1% even though net income fell.
Much of the asset growth was in accounts receivable and
inventories.
Not collecting on credit sales
Unsold product is piling up.
Growth was funded with big increase in debt.
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Analysis of Percent Change Balance Sheets: Projections
Compared with 2019
Small cumulative increase in 2020E total assets (22.5%)
compared with 2019 change in total assets (20.1%)
But big reduction in cumulative inventory growth (6.5% in
2020E vs. 32.3% in 2019)
Big drop in cumulative notes payable growth in 2020E relative
to notes payable growth in 2019.
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Explain the Extended DuPont Equation
The DuPont equation focuses on:
Expense control (Profit margin, PM)
Asset utilization (Total asset turnover,TAT)
Debt utilization (Equity multiplier, EM)
It shows how these factors combine to determine the return on
equity (ROE).
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The Simple Version of the DuPont Equation
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The Extended DuPont Equation
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ROE: (Profit margin)(TA turnover)(EM)
ROE2018 = (6.7%)(1.348)(1.495) = 13.5%
ROE2019 = (4.4%)(1.224)(1.684) = 9.1%
ROE2020E = (5.9%)(1.320)(1.563) = 12.2%
ROEInd = (7.2%)(1.5)(1.47) = 15.9%
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Potential Problems and Limitations of Ratio Analysis
Comparison with industry averages is difficult if the firm
operates many different divisions.
Seasonal factors can distort ratios.
Window dressing techniques can make statements and ratios
look better.
Different accounting and operating practices can distort
comparisons.
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Qualitative Factors
There is greater risk if:
revenues tied to a single customer
revenues tied to a single product
reliance on a single supplier?
High percentage of business is generated overseas?
What is the competitive situation?
What products are in the pipeline?
What are the legal and regulatory issues?
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classroom use.
NI$390
Sales$6,600
PM5.9%.
===
.
EBIT$6
P
20
Sales$66
M9
,00
.4%
===
EBIT
BEP
Total assets
$620
12.4%.
$5,000
=
==
NI
ROA
Total assets
$390
7.8%.
$5,000
=
==
NI
ROE
Common Equity
$390
12.2%.
$3,200
=
==
COGS
Inv. Turnover
Inventories
$5,210$370
8.5
$660
=
+
==
Receivables
DSO
Average sales per day
Receivables$530
Sales365$6,600365
29.3 days.
=
==
=
Sales
Fixed assets turnover
Net fixed assets
$6,600
1.8
$3,700
Sales
Total assets turnover
Total assets
$6,600
1.320.
$5,000
=
==
=
==
CA$1,200
CR1.9.
CL$700
CAInv.
QR
CL
$1,200$660
0.9.
$700
===
-
=
-
==
Total debt
Debt ratio
Total assets
$100$1,100
24.0%.
$5,000
=
+
==
Total debt
Debt-equity
Equity
$100$1,100
37.5%.
$3,200
=
+
==
Total liabilities
LiabilitiesTA ratio
Total assets
$1,800
$5,000
36.0%.
=
=
=
EBIT
TIE
Int. expense
$620
6.2
$100
=
==
4
EBITDepr. &Amort.Lease payments
Interest expenseL
$620$370$20
8
2
ease pmt.Loan
.
$100$0$0
t pm.
++
++
==
++
++
Net income
Equity
Net incomeT
M
otal assets
Total assetsEqu
ROE
ROEROAE
ity
=
=´
=´
Net incomeTotal assets
Total assetsEquity
Net incomeSalesTotal assets
SalesTotal assetsEquity
Profit marginTotal asset turnoverEquity
multiplier
ROE
ROE
ROE
=´
=´´
=´´

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Analysis of Financial StatementsCHAPTER 3© 2020 Cengage Lear.docx

  • 1. Analysis of Financial Statements CHAPTER 3 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Topics in Chapter Ratio analysis Ratios Common size statements Percent change statement DuPont equation Limitations of ratio analysis Qualitative factors © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Determinants of Intrinsic Value: Using Ratio Analysis © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 2. Overview Ratios facilitate comparison of: One company over time One company versus other companies Ratios are used by: Lenders to determine creditworthiness Stockholders to estimate future cash flows and risk Managers to identify areas of weakness and strength © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Income Statement20192020ESales $6,000 $6,600 COGS except depr. 4,800 5,210 Other expenses 320 370 Deprec. 420 400 EBIT $ 460 $ 620 Int. expense 108 100 EBT $ 352 $ 520 Taxes (40%) 88 130 Net income $ 264 $ 390 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Balance Sheets: Assets20192020ECash $ 50 $ 60 S-T invest. 10 50 AR 520 530 Inventories 820 660 Total CA $1,400 $1,300 Net FA 3,500 3,700 Total assets $4,900 $5,000 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 3. Balance Sheets: Liabilities & Equity20192020EAccts. payable $ 400 $ 330 Notes payable 250 100 Accruals 240 270 Total CL $ 890 $ 700 Long-term debt 1,100 1,100 Total liabilities $1,990 $1,800 Common stock 1,000 1,000 Ret. earnings 1,910 2,200 Total equity $2,910 $3,200 Total L&E $4,900 $5,000 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Data20192020EEPS$2.64$3.90DPS$0.84$1.00Book value per share$29.10$32.00Dividends$84 $100 Number of shares 100 100 Year-end stock price$30.00$49.00Lease payments$20 $20 Tax rate25%25% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Profitability Ratios What is the company’s rate of return on sales? Profit margin Operating profit margin What is the company’s rate of return on assets? Basic earning power Return on assets Return on equity © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
  • 4. use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Profit Margin Net profit margin (PM): 201820192020EInd.Profit Margin6.7%4.4%5.9%7.2% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Operating Profit Margin Operating profit margin: 201820192020EInd.Profit Margin10.2%7.7%9.4%10.4% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Basic Earning Power (BEP) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 5. Basic Earning Power vs. Industry Average BEP removes effect of taxes and financial leverage. Useful for comparison. Projected to be below average. Room for improvement.201820192020EInd.Basic Earning Power13.7%9.4%12.4%15.6% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE) (1 of 2) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE) (2 of 2) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. ROA and ROE vs. Industry Averages201820192020Industry ROA9.0%5.4%7.8%10.8% ROE13.5%9.1%12.2%15.4% Both below industry average but improving.
  • 6. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Effects of Debt on ROA and ROE ROA is lowered by debt--interest expense lowers net income, which also lowers ROA. However, the use of debt lowers equity, and if equity is lowered more than net income, ROE would increase. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Asset Management Ratios How efficiently does the firm use its assets? How much does the firm have tied up in assets for each dollar of sales? © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Inventory Turnover Ratio vs. Industry Average 201820192020EInd.Inventory turnover7.46.28.59.0 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
  • 7. use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Comments on Inventory Turnover Inventory turnover: Improved from previous year Below industry average © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. DSO: average number of days from sale until cash received. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Appraisal of DSO Higher than 2018, but a little lower than industry.201820192020EInd.Days Sales Outstanding26.531.629.328.0 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 8. Fixed Assets and Total Assets Turnover Ratios (1 of 2) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Fixed Assets and Total Assets Turnover Ratios (2 of 2) Better than previous year. Not up to industry average. Caused by high fixed assets relative to sales.201820192020EInd.Fixed Asset Turnover1.91.71.83.0Total Asset Turnover1.3481.2241.3201.5 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Liquidity Ratios Can the company meet its short-term obligations using the resources it currently has on hand? © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Forecasted Current and Quick Ratios
  • 9. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Comments on Current and Quick Ratios201820192020EInd.Current2.11.61.92.5Quick1.00.70.91. 9 Expected to improve but still below the industry average. Liquidity position is weak. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Debt Management Ratios Does the company have too much debt? Can the company’s earnings meet its debt servicing requirements? © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Leverage Ratios: Debt Ratio
  • 10. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Leverage Ratios: Debt-to-Equity Ratio © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Leverage Ratios: Liabilities-to-Assets Ratio © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Leverage Ratios: Equity Multiplier Equity multiplier = Total Assets Common Equity = $5,000 $3,200 = 1.5625 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
  • 11. use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Times Interest Earned Ratio © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. EBITDA Coverage (EC) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Debt Management Ratios vs. Industry Averages201820192020EIndustry Debt Ratio20.8%27.6%24.0%15.0% Debt-to-equity0.310.460.380.22 Liabilities-to-assets33.1%40.6%36.0%32.0% Earnings Multiplier1.491.681.561.47 Times Interest Earned8.24.36.213.0 EBITDA Coverage Ratio9.96.38.417.2 Improved, but more debt than industry More risk than industry © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 12. or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Market Value Ratios Market value ratios incorporate the: High current levels of earnings and cash flow increase market value ratios High expected growth in earnings and cash flow increases market value ratios High risk of expected growth in earnings and cash flow decreases market value ratios © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Calculate and appraise the Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio. Price per share (P) = $49.00 Earnings per share (EPS) = $3.90 P/E = P/E = $49.00/$3.90 = 16.8 P/E: How much investors will pay for $1 of earnings. Higher is better. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Calculate and appraise the M/B ratio. BVPS = Equity/ # Shares = $3,200/100 = $32.00.
  • 13. M/B = P/BVPS M/B = $49.00/$32.00 = 1.53 M/B: How much paid for $1 of book value. Higher is better. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Comparison with Industry Averages201820192020EInd.Price-to Earnings13.611.412.616.8Market-to-Book1.81.01.52.7 The P/E ratio and the M/B ratio indicate that the market doesn’t value the company as highly as it does the average firm in industry. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Common Size Balance Sheets: Divide all items by Total AssetsAssets201820192020EInd.Cash1.5%1.0%1.2%1.5%ST Inv.2.5%0.2%1.0%7.6%AR9.8%10.6%10.6%13.2%Invent.15.2% 16.7%13.2%17.8%Total CA28.9%28.6%26.0%40.0%Net FA71.1%71.4%74.0%60.0%TA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Divide all items by Total Liabilities & EquityLiab. & Eq.201820192020EInd.AP7.4%8.2%6.6%6.8%Notes
  • 14. pay.1.2%5.1%2.0%3.0%Accruals4.9%4.9%5.4%10.2%Total CL13.5%18.2%14.0%20.0%LT Debt19.6%22.4%22.0%12.0%Total Liab.33.1%40.6%36.0%32.0%Total eq.66.9%59.4%64.0%68.0%Total L&E100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Analysis of Common Size Balance Sheets Computron has higher proportion of net fixed assets than the industry. Computron’s total debt is 24% (the combined percentages of notes payable and long-term bonds) of its assets, which is higher than the industry’s combined debt percentage of 20%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Common Size Income Statement: Divide all items by Sales201820192020EInd.100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%78.2%80. 0%78.9%69.0%5.3%5.3%5.6%3.3%6.4%7.0%6.1%17.3%10.2% 7.7%9.4%10.4%1.2%1.8%1.5%0.8%8.9%5.9%7.9%9.6%2.2%1. 5%2.0%2.4%6.7%4.4%5.9%7.2%SalesCOGSDepr.Other exp. EBITInt. Exp. Pre-tax earn.Taxes (25%)NI © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 15. or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Analysis of Common Size Income Statements Computron’s profit margin is less than the industry ratio Computron has lower Other Costs. But… it has much higher costs of goods sold © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Percentage Change Analysis: Cumulative Change from First Year (2018)Income St.201820192020ESales0.0%9.1%20.0%COGS0.0%11.6%21.2% Depr.0.0%10.3%27.6%Other exp.0.0%20.0%14.3% EBIT0.0%- 17.9%10.7%Int. Exp.0.0%58.8%47.1% EBT0.0%- 28.5%5.7%Taxes0.0%-28.5%5.7%NI0.0%-28.5%5.7% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Analysis of Percent Change Income Statement For 2019: Sales grew by 9% in 2019. Net income fell by 28.5%! For 2020 projections: Cumulative sales growth is 20%. Cumulative net income growth is 5.7% Improvement, but more work is needed
  • 16. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cumulative Percentage Change: AssetsAssets201820192020ECash0.0%-16.7%0.0%ST Invest.0.0%-90.0%- 50.0%AR0.0%30.0%32.5%Invent.0.0%32.3%6.5%Total CA0.0%18.6%10.2%Net FA0.0%20.7%27.6%TA0.0%20.1%22.5% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cumulative Percentage Change: Liabilities & EquityLiab. & Eq.201820192020EAP0.0%33.3%10.0%Notes pay.0.0%400.0%100.0%Accruals0.0%20.0%35.0%Total CL0.0%61.8%27.3%LT Debt0.0%37.5%37.5%Total eq.0.0%6.6%17.2%Total L&E0.0%20.1%22.5% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Analysis of Percent Change Balance Sheets: 2019 Assets grew by 20.1% even though net income fell. Much of the asset growth was in accounts receivable and inventories. Not collecting on credit sales
  • 17. Unsold product is piling up. Growth was funded with big increase in debt. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Analysis of Percent Change Balance Sheets: Projections Compared with 2019 Small cumulative increase in 2020E total assets (22.5%) compared with 2019 change in total assets (20.1%) But big reduction in cumulative inventory growth (6.5% in 2020E vs. 32.3% in 2019) Big drop in cumulative notes payable growth in 2020E relative to notes payable growth in 2019. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Explain the Extended DuPont Equation The DuPont equation focuses on: Expense control (Profit margin, PM) Asset utilization (Total asset turnover,TAT) Debt utilization (Equity multiplier, EM) It shows how these factors combine to determine the return on equity (ROE). © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
  • 18. classroom use. The Simple Version of the DuPont Equation © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. The Extended DuPont Equation © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. ROE: (Profit margin)(TA turnover)(EM) ROE2018 = (6.7%)(1.348)(1.495) = 13.5% ROE2019 = (4.4%)(1.224)(1.684) = 9.1% ROE2020E = (5.9%)(1.320)(1.563) = 12.2% ROEInd = (7.2%)(1.5)(1.47) = 15.9% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 19. Potential Problems and Limitations of Ratio Analysis Comparison with industry averages is difficult if the firm operates many different divisions. Seasonal factors can distort ratios. Window dressing techniques can make statements and ratios look better. Different accounting and operating practices can distort comparisons. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Qualitative Factors There is greater risk if: revenues tied to a single customer revenues tied to a single product reliance on a single supplier? High percentage of business is generated overseas? What is the competitive situation? What products are in the pipeline? What are the legal and regulatory issues? © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. NI$390 Sales$6,600 PM5.9%. ===
  • 21. $5,210$370 8.5 $660 = + == Receivables DSO Average sales per day Receivables$530 Sales365$6,600365 29.3 days. = == = Sales Fixed assets turnover Net fixed assets $6,600 1.8 $3,700 Sales Total assets turnover Total assets $6,600 1.320. $5,000 = == = == CA$1,200 CR1.9. CL$700 CAInv. QR
  • 22. CL $1,200$660 0.9. $700 === - = - == Total debt Debt ratio Total assets $100$1,100 24.0%. $5,000 = + == Total debt Debt-equity Equity $100$1,100 37.5%. $3,200 = + == Total liabilities LiabilitiesTA ratio Total assets $1,800 $5,000 36.0%. = = =
  • 23. EBIT TIE Int. expense $620 6.2 $100 = == 4 EBITDepr. &Amort.Lease payments Interest expenseL $620$370$20 8 2 ease pmt.Loan . $100$0$0 t pm. ++ ++ == ++ ++ Net income Equity Net incomeT M otal assets Total assetsEqu ROE ROEROAE ity = =´ =´ Net incomeTotal assets
  • 24. Total assetsEquity Net incomeSalesTotal assets SalesTotal assetsEquity Profit marginTotal asset turnoverEquity multiplier ROE ROE ROE =´ =´´ =´´