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Bonds, Bond Valuation, and Interest Rates
CHAPTER 5
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Topics in Chapter
Key features of bonds
Bond valuation
Measuring yield
Assessing risk
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Determinants of Intrinsic Value: The Cost of Debt
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Key Features of a Bond (1 of 2)
Par value: Face amount; paid at maturity. Assume $1,000.
Coupon interest rate: Stated interest rate. Multiply by par
value to get dollars of interest. Generally fixed.
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Key Features of a Bond (2 of 2)
Maturity: Years until bond must be repaid. Declines.
Issue date: Date when bond was issued.
Default risk: Risk that issuer will not make interest or principal
payments.
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Call Provision
Issuer can refund if rates decline. That helps the issuer but
hurts the investor.
Therefore, borrowers are willing to pay more, and lenders
require more, on callable bonds.
Most bonds have a deferred call and a declining call premium.
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What’s a sinking fund?
Provision to pay off a loan over its life rather than all at
maturity.
Similar to amortization on a term loan.
Reduces risk to investor, shortens average maturity.
But not good for investors if rates decline after issuance.
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Sinking funds are generally handled in 2 ways
Call x% at par per year for sinking
fund purposes.
Call if rd is below the coupon rate and bond sells at a premium.
Buy bonds on open market.
Use open market purchase if rd is above coupon rate and bond
sells at a discount.
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Value of a 10-year, 10% coupon bond if rd = 10%
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The bond consists of a 10-year, 10% annuity of $100/year plus a
$1,000 lump sum at t = 10:PV annuity= $614.46PV maturity
value= 385.54Value of bond= $1,000.00
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What would happen if expected inflation rose by 3%, causing r
= 13%?
When rd rises, above the coupon rate, the bond’s value falls
below par, so it sells at a discount.
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What would happen if inflation fell, and rd declined to 7%?
If coupon rate > rd, price rises above par, and bond sells at a
premium.
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Bond Value ($) vs. Years remaining to Maturity
(1 of 2)
Suppose the bond was issued 20 years ago and now has 10 years
to maturity. What would happen to its value over time if the
required rate of return remained at 10%, or at 13%, or at 7%?
See next slide.
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Bond Value ($) vs. Years remaining to Maturity
(2 of 2)
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Bond Value ($) vs. Years remaining to Maturity
(2 of 3)
At maturity, the value of any bond must equal its par value.
The value of a premium bond would decrease to $1,000.
The value of a discount bond would increase to $1,000.
A par bond stays at $1,000 if rd remains constant.
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What’s “yield to maturity”?
YTM is the rate of return earned on a bond held to maturity.
Also called “promised yield.”
It assumes the bond will not default.
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YTM on a 10-year, 9% annual coupon, $1,000 par value bond
selling for $887
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Find rd
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If coupon rate < rd, bond sells at a discount.
If coupon rate = rd, bond sells at its par value.
If coupon rate > rd, bond sells at a premium.
If rd rises, price falls.
Price = par at maturity.
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Find YTM if price were $1,134.20.
Sells at a premium.
Because coupon = 9% > rd = 7.08%,
bond’s value > par.
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Definitions
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9% coupon, 10-year bond, P = $887, and YTM = 10.91%
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YTM = Current yield + Capital gains yield.
Could also find values in Years 1 and 2,
get difference, and divide by value in
Year 1. Same answer.
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Semiannual Bonds
1. Multiply years by 2 to get periods = 2N.
2. Divide nominal rate by 2 to get periodic rate =
rd/2.
3. Divide annual INT by 2 to get PMT = INT/2.
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Value of 10-year, 10% coupon, semiannual bond if rd = 13%.
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Spreadsheet Functions for Bond Valuation
See Ch04 Mini Case.xls for details.
PRICE
YIELD
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Callable Bonds and Yield to Call
A 10-year, 10% semiannual coupon,
$1,000 par value bond is selling for
$1,135.90 with an 8% yield to maturity.
It can be called after 5 years at $1,050.
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Nominal Yield to Call (YTC)
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If you bought bonds, would you be more likely to earn YTM or
YTC?
Coupon rate = 10% vs. YTC = rd = 7.53%. Could raise money
by selling new bonds which pay 7.53%.
Could thus replace bonds which pay $100/year with bonds that
pay only $75.30/year.
Investors should expect a call, hence YTC = 7.5%, not YTM =
8%.
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In general, if a bond sells at a premium, then coupon > rd, so a
call is likely.
So, expect to earn:
YTC on premium bonds.
YTM on par & discount bonds.
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rd = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP.
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What is the real risk-free rate (r*)?
Rate that a hypothetical riskless security pays each moment if
zero inflation were expected.
r* changes over time depending on economic conditions.
r* can be approximated by rate on short-term Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS).
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What is the nominal risk-free rate (rRF)?
The rate on a U.S. Treasury security
Short-term security: T-bill
Long-term security: T-bond
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Estimating IP
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are indexed to
inflation.
The IP for a particular length maturity can be approximated as
the difference between the yield on a non-indexed Treasury
security of that maturity minus the yield on a TIPS of that
maturity.
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Bond Spreads, the DRP, and the LP
A “bond spread” is often calculated as the difference between a
corporate bond’s yield and a Treasury security’s yield of the
same maturity. Therefore:
Spread = DRP + LP.
Bond’s of large, strong companies often have very small LPs.
Bond’s of small companies often have LPs as high as 2%.
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Bond RatingsBond Ratings% defaulting within:S&P and Fitch
Moody’s 1 yr. 5 yrs.Investment grade
bonds:AAAAaa0.130.68AAAa0.000.00AA0.090.96BBBBaa0.07
1.72Junk bonds:BBBa0.626.35BB2.0611.68CCCCaa21.3635.38
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Bond Ratings and Bond Spreads (October 2016)Long-term
BondsYield (%)Spread (%) 10-Year T-bond1.72
AAA2.210.49 AA 2.270.55 A 2.420.70 BBB3.461.74 BB
5.163.44 B 6.584.86 CCC8.376.65
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What factors affect default risk and bond ratings?
Financial ratios
Debt ratio
Coverage ratios, such as interest coverage ratio or EBITDA
coverage ratio
Profitability ratios
Current ratios
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Bond Ratings Median Ratios (S&P)Return on capital Debt to
capitalAAA27.6%12.4%AA27.0%28.3%A17.5%37.5%BBB13.4
%42.5%BB11.3%53.7%B8.7%75.9%CCC3.2%113.5%
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Other Factors that Affect Bond Ratings (1 of 2)
Provisions in the bond contract
Secured versus unsecured debt
Senior versus subordinated debt
Guarantee provisions
Sinking fund provisions
Debt maturity
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Other Factors that Affect Bond Ratings (2 of 2)
Other factors
Earnings stability
Regulatory environment
Potential product liability
Accounting policies
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Interest rate (or price) risk for 1-year and 10-year 10% bonds
Interest rate risk:
Rising rd causes bond prices to fall1-Year1-Year10-Year10-
YearrdPrice
ChangePriceChange5.0%$1,048$1,3864.8%38.6%10.0%$1,000$
1,0004.5%33.5%15.0%$957$749
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Value
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What is reinvestment rate risk? (1 of 2)
The risk that CFs will have to be reinvested in the future at
lower rates, reducing income.
Illustration: Suppose you just won $500,000 playing the
lottery. You’ll invest the money and live off the interest. You
buy a 1-year bond with a YTM of 10%.
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What is reinvestment rate risk? (2 of 2)
Year 1 income = $50,000. At year-end get back $500,000 to
reinvest.
If rates fall to 3%, income will drop from $50,000 to $15,000.
Had you bought 30-year bonds, income would have remained
constant.
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The Maturity Risk Premium
Long-term bonds: High interest rate risk, low reinvestment rate
risk.
Short-term bonds: Low interest rate risk, high reinvestment rate
risk.
Nothing is riskless!
Yields on longer term bonds usually are greater than on shorter
term bonds, so the MRP is more affected by interest rate risk
than by reinvestment rate risk.
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Term Structure Yield Curve
Term structure of interest rates: the relationship between
interest rates (or yields) and maturities.
A graph of the term structure is called the yield curve.
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Hypothetical Treasury Yield Curve
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Bankruptcy (1 of 4)
Two main chapters of Federal Bankruptcy Act:
Chapter 11, Reorganization
Chapter 7, Liquidation
Typically, company wants Chapter 11, creditors may prefer
Chapter 7.
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Bankruptcy (2 of 4)
If company can’t meet its obligations, it files under Chapter 11.
That stops creditors from foreclosing, taking assets, and
shutting down the business.
Company has 120 days to file a reorganization plan.
Court appoints a “trustee” to supervise reorganization.
Management usually stays in control.
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Bankruptcy (3 of 4)
Company must demonstrate in its reorganization plan that it is
“worth more alive than dead.”
Otherwise, judge will order liquidation under Chapter 7.
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If the company is liquidated, here’s the payment priority:
Past due property taxes
Secured creditors from sales of secured assets.
Trustee’s costs
Expenses incurred after bankruptc y filing
Wages and unpaid benefit contributions, subject to limits
Unsecured customer deposits, subject to limits
Taxes
Unfunded pension liabilities
Unsecured creditors
Preferred stock
Common stock
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Bankruptcy (4 of 4)
In a liquidation, unsecured creditors generally get zero. This
makes them more willing to participate in reorganization even
though their claims are greatly scaled back.
Various groups of creditors vote on the reorganization plan. If
both the majority of the creditors and the judge approve,
company “emerges” from bankruptcy with lower debts, reduced
interest charges, and a chance for success.
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Jackson Corporation sources and distributes pharmaceutical
products in the United States and internationally. Its
pharmaceutical distribution segment distributes brand-name and
generic pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter healthcare products,
home healthcare supplies and equipment, outsourced
compounded sterile preparations, and related services to various
healthcare providers. The company wants to raise long-term
debt of $10 million for research and development by issuing
corporate bonds. The financial manager of the company, Chris
Doughman, MBA is working with First Investment Bank to
issue the bonds. The investment bank is providing consulting
and advisory services to Jackson Corporation. Chris must make
presentations to the investment banking firm to enable it to get
the information needed to prepare the bond indenture.
Chris stated in the presentation that the bond would have 15
years to maturity, interest would be paid annually, and the
bonds would have $1,000 par value. The coupon interest rate,
according to Chris, would be determined using the following
equation: rd= r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP, where rd is quoted
market interest rate, r* is real risk-free rate, IP is inflation
premium, MRP is maturity risk premium, DRP is default risk
premium, and LP is liquidity premium. Chris has gathered the
following data:
Characteristic
Bond
Time to maturity
15 years
Real risk-free rate
2.00%
Inflation premium
2.20%
Maturity risk premium
2.50%
Default risk premium
2.40%
Liquidity premium
0.90%
1. Calculate the quoted market interest rate for the corporate
bond using the equation.
2. Using the market interest rate calculated above, determine the
coupon payment i.e., the dollar amount to be paid every year to
bondholders.
3. First Investment Bank is using the answers presented in
questions 1 and 2 to value the bond. Calculate the present value
of the bond if the yield to maturity is 10%.
4.
Suppose that three years later Jackson Corporation’s
bonds have 12 years remaining to maturity. Interest is paid
annually, the bonds have $1,000 par value, and the coupon
interest rate is 8%. The bonds have a yield to maturity of 9%.
Calculate the current market price of the bond.
5. Another company, Charter Corporation has issued 2,500
debentures with a face value of $1,000. The bonds have
10 years to maturity. The bonds have a coupon interest rate of
8% that is paid semiannually. What dollar amount of interest
per bond can an investor expect to receive every 6 months?
6. Charter Corporation bonds have 10 years remaining to
maturity. The bonds have a face value of $1,000 and a yield to
maturity of 9%. The coupon rate is 8% that is paid
semiannually.
i. Calculate the selling price of this debenture
ii. Calculate the current yield of this debenture.
7. Kahiki’s Foods Inc. corporate bonds have 10 years remaining
to maturity. The bonds have a face value of $1,000, and a
coupon rate of 10%. The company pays $100 interest per bond
annually. The present value of the bond is $900. The bond is a
callable bond. Calculate the yield to maturity of the bond (note:
PV is negative because it is a cash outflow, i.e., it costs $900 to
purchase the bond).
8. Some bondholders of Kahiki Foods do not understand the
difference between yield to maturity and yield to call on
callable bonds. Explain to them the difference between
yield to maturity and
yield to call.
9. Describe the following types of bonds:
i. debentures
ii. convertible bonds
iii. junk bonds
iv. callable bonds
10. Jackson’s corporate bonds are being reviewed by some
credit rating agencies. Rating agencies do a good job of
measuring the average credit risk of bonds and providing
information to lenders whenever there is a significant change in
credit quality of bonds. One of the credit rating agencies,
Moody’s Investor Services has downgraded Jackson’s bonds
rating from Aa to Baa. Identify
three factors that might have contributed to the low
ratings of Jackson’s bonds.
Submit your answers in a Word document.

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Bond Valuation Guidebook

  • 1. Bonds, Bond Valuation, and Interest Rates CHAPTER 5 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Topics in Chapter Key features of bonds Bond valuation Measuring yield Assessing risk © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Determinants of Intrinsic Value: The Cost of Debt © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Key Features of a Bond (1 of 2) Par value: Face amount; paid at maturity. Assume $1,000. Coupon interest rate: Stated interest rate. Multiply by par
  • 2. value to get dollars of interest. Generally fixed. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Key Features of a Bond (2 of 2) Maturity: Years until bond must be repaid. Declines. Issue date: Date when bond was issued. Default risk: Risk that issuer will not make interest or principal payments. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Call Provision Issuer can refund if rates decline. That helps the issuer but hurts the investor. Therefore, borrowers are willing to pay more, and lenders require more, on callable bonds. Most bonds have a deferred call and a declining call premium. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What’s a sinking fund? Provision to pay off a loan over its life rather than all at maturity.
  • 3. Similar to amortization on a term loan. Reduces risk to investor, shortens average maturity. But not good for investors if rates decline after issuance. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Sinking funds are generally handled in 2 ways Call x% at par per year for sinking fund purposes. Call if rd is below the coupon rate and bond sells at a premium. Buy bonds on open market. Use open market purchase if rd is above coupon rate and bond sells at a discount. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of a 10-year, 10% coupon bond if rd = 10% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. The bond consists of a 10-year, 10% annuity of $100/year plus a
  • 4. $1,000 lump sum at t = 10:PV annuity= $614.46PV maturity value= 385.54Value of bond= $1,000.00 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What would happen if expected inflation rose by 3%, causing r = 13%? When rd rises, above the coupon rate, the bond’s value falls below par, so it sells at a discount. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What would happen if inflation fell, and rd declined to 7%? If coupon rate > rd, price rises above par, and bond sells at a premium. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bond Value ($) vs. Years remaining to Maturity (1 of 2) Suppose the bond was issued 20 years ago and now has 10 years
  • 5. to maturity. What would happen to its value over time if the required rate of return remained at 10%, or at 13%, or at 7%? See next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bond Value ($) vs. Years remaining to Maturity (2 of 2) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bond Value ($) vs. Years remaining to Maturity (2 of 3) At maturity, the value of any bond must equal its par value. The value of a premium bond would decrease to $1,000. The value of a discount bond would increase to $1,000. A par bond stays at $1,000 if rd remains constant. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What’s “yield to maturity”? YTM is the rate of return earned on a bond held to maturity. Also called “promised yield.”
  • 6. It assumes the bond will not default. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. YTM on a 10-year, 9% annual coupon, $1,000 par value bond selling for $887 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Find rd © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. If coupon rate < rd, bond sells at a discount. If coupon rate = rd, bond sells at its par value. If coupon rate > rd, bond sells at a premium. If rd rises, price falls. Price = par at maturity.
  • 7. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Find YTM if price were $1,134.20. Sells at a premium. Because coupon = 9% > rd = 7.08%, bond’s value > par. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Definitions © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 9% coupon, 10-year bond, P = $887, and YTM = 10.91% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
  • 8. classroom use. YTM = Current yield + Capital gains yield. Could also find values in Years 1 and 2, get difference, and divide by value in Year 1. Same answer. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Semiannual Bonds 1. Multiply years by 2 to get periods = 2N. 2. Divide nominal rate by 2 to get periodic rate = rd/2. 3. Divide annual INT by 2 to get PMT = INT/2. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value of 10-year, 10% coupon, semiannual bond if rd = 13%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 9. Spreadsheet Functions for Bond Valuation See Ch04 Mini Case.xls for details. PRICE YIELD © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Callable Bonds and Yield to Call A 10-year, 10% semiannual coupon, $1,000 par value bond is selling for $1,135.90 with an 8% yield to maturity. It can be called after 5 years at $1,050. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Nominal Yield to Call (YTC) © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. If you bought bonds, would you be more likely to earn YTM or YTC? Coupon rate = 10% vs. YTC = rd = 7.53%. Could raise money
  • 10. by selling new bonds which pay 7.53%. Could thus replace bonds which pay $100/year with bonds that pay only $75.30/year. Investors should expect a call, hence YTC = 7.5%, not YTM = 8%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. In general, if a bond sells at a premium, then coupon > rd, so a call is likely. So, expect to earn: YTC on premium bonds. YTM on par & discount bonds. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. rd = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What is the real risk-free rate (r*)?
  • 11. Rate that a hypothetical riskless security pays each moment if zero inflation were expected. r* changes over time depending on economic conditions. r* can be approximated by rate on short-term Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What is the nominal risk-free rate (rRF)? The rate on a U.S. Treasury security Short-term security: T-bill Long-term security: T-bond © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating IP Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are indexed to inflation. The IP for a particular length maturity can be approximated as the difference between the yield on a non-indexed Treasury security of that maturity minus the yield on a TIPS of that maturity. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 12. Bond Spreads, the DRP, and the LP A “bond spread” is often calculated as the difference between a corporate bond’s yield and a Treasury security’s yield of the same maturity. Therefore: Spread = DRP + LP. Bond’s of large, strong companies often have very small LPs. Bond’s of small companies often have LPs as high as 2%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bond RatingsBond Ratings% defaulting within:S&P and Fitch Moody’s 1 yr. 5 yrs.Investment grade bonds:AAAAaa0.130.68AAAa0.000.00AA0.090.96BBBBaa0.07 1.72Junk bonds:BBBa0.626.35BB2.0611.68CCCCaa21.3635.38 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bond Ratings and Bond Spreads (October 2016)Long-term BondsYield (%)Spread (%) 10-Year T-bond1.72 AAA2.210.49 AA 2.270.55 A 2.420.70 BBB3.461.74 BB 5.163.44 B 6.584.86 CCC8.376.65 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain pr oduct or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 13. What factors affect default risk and bond ratings? Financial ratios Debt ratio Coverage ratios, such as interest coverage ratio or EBITDA coverage ratio Profitability ratios Current ratios © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bond Ratings Median Ratios (S&P)Return on capital Debt to capitalAAA27.6%12.4%AA27.0%28.3%A17.5%37.5%BBB13.4 %42.5%BB11.3%53.7%B8.7%75.9%CCC3.2%113.5% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors that Affect Bond Ratings (1 of 2) Provisions in the bond contract Secured versus unsecured debt Senior versus subordinated debt Guarantee provisions Sinking fund provisions Debt maturity © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 14. or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors that Affect Bond Ratings (2 of 2) Other factors Earnings stability Regulatory environment Potential product liability Accounting policies © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Interest rate (or price) risk for 1-year and 10-year 10% bonds Interest rate risk: Rising rd causes bond prices to fall1-Year1-Year10-Year10- YearrdPrice ChangePriceChange5.0%$1,048$1,3864.8%38.6%10.0%$1,000$ 1,0004.5%33.5%15.0%$957$749 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Value © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
  • 15. classroom use. What is reinvestment rate risk? (1 of 2) The risk that CFs will have to be reinvested in the future at lower rates, reducing income. Illustration: Suppose you just won $500,000 playing the lottery. You’ll invest the money and live off the interest. You buy a 1-year bond with a YTM of 10%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What is reinvestment rate risk? (2 of 2) Year 1 income = $50,000. At year-end get back $500,000 to reinvest. If rates fall to 3%, income will drop from $50,000 to $15,000. Had you bought 30-year bonds, income would have remained constant. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. The Maturity Risk Premium Long-term bonds: High interest rate risk, low reinvestment rate risk. Short-term bonds: Low interest rate risk, high reinvestment rate risk. Nothing is riskless! Yields on longer term bonds usually are greater than on shorter term bonds, so the MRP is more affected by interest rate risk
  • 16. than by reinvestment rate risk. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Term Structure Yield Curve Term structure of interest rates: the relationship between interest rates (or yields) and maturities. A graph of the term structure is called the yield curve. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Hypothetical Treasury Yield Curve © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bankruptcy (1 of 4) Two main chapters of Federal Bankruptcy Act: Chapter 11, Reorganization Chapter 7, Liquidation Typically, company wants Chapter 11, creditors may prefer Chapter 7. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 17. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bankruptcy (2 of 4) If company can’t meet its obligations, it files under Chapter 11. That stops creditors from foreclosing, taking assets, and shutting down the business. Company has 120 days to file a reorganization plan. Court appoints a “trustee” to supervise reorganization. Management usually stays in control. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bankruptcy (3 of 4) Company must demonstrate in its reorganization plan that it is “worth more alive than dead.” Otherwise, judge will order liquidation under Chapter 7. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. If the company is liquidated, here’s the payment priority: Past due property taxes Secured creditors from sales of secured assets. Trustee’s costs Expenses incurred after bankruptc y filing Wages and unpaid benefit contributions, subject to limits
  • 18. Unsecured customer deposits, subject to limits Taxes Unfunded pension liabilities Unsecured creditors Preferred stock Common stock © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Bankruptcy (4 of 4) In a liquidation, unsecured creditors generally get zero. This makes them more willing to participate in reorganization even though their claims are greatly scaled back. Various groups of creditors vote on the reorganization plan. If both the majority of the creditors and the judge approve, company “emerges” from bankruptcy with lower debts, reduced interest charges, and a chance for success. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. image2.png image3.emf image4.png image5.wmf image6.png oleObject1.bin image7.png image8.png image9.png
  • 19. image10.png image11.png image12.wmf oleObject2.bin image13.png image14.png image15.wmf oleObject3.bin image16.wmf oleObject4.bin image17.wmf oleObject5.bin image18.png image19.png image20.png image21.wmf oleObject6.bin image22.png image23.png image1.png Jackson Corporation sources and distributes pharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. Its pharmaceutical distribution segment distributes brand-name and generic pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter healthcare products, home healthcare supplies and equipment, outsourced compounded sterile preparations, and related services to various healthcare providers. The company wants to raise long-term debt of $10 million for research and development by issuing corporate bonds. The financial manager of the company, Chris Doughman, MBA is working with First Investment Bank to issue the bonds. The investment bank is providing consulting and advisory services to Jackson Corporation. Chris must make presentations to the investment banking firm to enable it to get the information needed to prepare the bond indenture.
  • 20. Chris stated in the presentation that the bond would have 15 years to maturity, interest would be paid annually, and the bonds would have $1,000 par value. The coupon interest rate, according to Chris, would be determined using the following equation: rd= r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP, where rd is quoted market interest rate, r* is real risk-free rate, IP is inflation premium, MRP is maturity risk premium, DRP is default risk premium, and LP is liquidity premium. Chris has gathered the following data: Characteristic Bond Time to maturity 15 years Real risk-free rate 2.00% Inflation premium 2.20% Maturity risk premium 2.50% Default risk premium 2.40% Liquidity premium 0.90% 1. Calculate the quoted market interest rate for the corporate bond using the equation. 2. Using the market interest rate calculated above, determine the coupon payment i.e., the dollar amount to be paid every year to bondholders. 3. First Investment Bank is using the answers presented in questions 1 and 2 to value the bond. Calculate the present value of the bond if the yield to maturity is 10%. 4. Suppose that three years later Jackson Corporation’s bonds have 12 years remaining to maturity. Interest is paid
  • 21. annually, the bonds have $1,000 par value, and the coupon interest rate is 8%. The bonds have a yield to maturity of 9%. Calculate the current market price of the bond. 5. Another company, Charter Corporation has issued 2,500 debentures with a face value of $1,000. The bonds have 10 years to maturity. The bonds have a coupon interest rate of 8% that is paid semiannually. What dollar amount of interest per bond can an investor expect to receive every 6 months? 6. Charter Corporation bonds have 10 years remaining to maturity. The bonds have a face value of $1,000 and a yield to maturity of 9%. The coupon rate is 8% that is paid semiannually. i. Calculate the selling price of this debenture ii. Calculate the current yield of this debenture. 7. Kahiki’s Foods Inc. corporate bonds have 10 years remaining to maturity. The bonds have a face value of $1,000, and a coupon rate of 10%. The company pays $100 interest per bond annually. The present value of the bond is $900. The bond is a callable bond. Calculate the yield to maturity of the bond (note: PV is negative because it is a cash outflow, i.e., it costs $900 to purchase the bond). 8. Some bondholders of Kahiki Foods do not understand the difference between yield to maturity and yield to call on callable bonds. Explain to them the difference between yield to maturity and yield to call. 9. Describe the following types of bonds: i. debentures ii. convertible bonds iii. junk bonds iv. callable bonds 10. Jackson’s corporate bonds are being reviewed by some credit rating agencies. Rating agencies do a good job of measuring the average credit risk of bonds and providing
  • 22. information to lenders whenever there is a significant change in credit quality of bonds. One of the credit rating agencies, Moody’s Investor Services has downgraded Jackson’s bonds rating from Aa to Baa. Identify three factors that might have contributed to the low ratings of Jackson’s bonds. Submit your answers in a Word document.