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Who Will We Be?
And What Are the
Implications for Higher Ed?
America in 2040
What Will Society Look Like?
• Today’s teenagers will be in their 30’s
• More older people and fewer children; 1 in 5 over the age of 65 stressing social
security and medical systems. People are living longer and will require more
health and social care.
• Less white; minorities will become the majority by 2045. Only 45% of the 30-year
olds will be non-Hispanic whites in 2040 according to US Census projections.
• Immigrants will make up the record breaking share of the population.
• The costs of maintaining American standard of living will continue to rise; that
means we must be able to provide good paying jobs for at least half of the
population.
• Many of the people who live here will not have the skill set necessary to
participate in high paying jobs in the job market.
• We will be less religious and less Christian. But society will be more Islamic and
surpass Judaism as the second most popular religion.
Demographic-Racial Profile
Racial-Ethnic
Profiles
Where Will
We Live?
⁕ UN projects 87% of
population will live in
urban areas.
⁕ Cities will acquire
wealth, technology, and
power while rural areas
will lag behind.
⁕ Close to 2/3 of the
world’s populations will
live in cities.
Bump, 2018, Washington Post
In the USA: Half the Population Will live in 8 States…
Bump, 2018, Washington Post
What Will We Fear?
• Almost half Americans in 2040, and all 30 year-olds will have been born after 2001 or
9/11.
• Acts of domestic terrorism will be ingrained in public memory. Remember Parkland, Las
Vegas, and Orlando.
• Most Viet Nam vets will be gone. Russian cyber tampering and interference in US
elections will be remembered.
• Global average sea levels will be up a foot higher; global average temperature will be up
near the 2 degree Celsius guardrail set by the Paris Climate agreement. Summer sea ice in
the Arctic may have completely disappeared by 2040.
• Technology and human behavior may be even more intertwined. 70% of relationships
could begin online.
• Online matching companies collect lots of personal data.
• We will be faced with more complex and regulatory problems ethical problems, advanced
genetic modification, dealing with artificial intelligence, social media, and automated vehicles.
• 30 year olds in 2040 will have had their entire lives documented on social media.
• While technology will continue to create work/job efficiencies, people need jobs to work.
• Good paying jobs require that people be technically skilled.
• Competition for industries will be global.
What Are The Implications for Higher
Education?
• More students will be completing
degrees in less than 3 years.
• Many private colleges and
universities offering 4-year degrees
will close.
• For-profit schools will rebound and
instead of selling degrees, sell
credits.
• Based on 2018 report prepared by Angel Calderon of
Australia’s RMIT University. The report is called Massification
of Higher Education Revisited.
• Some key findings:
• Global postsecondary enrollments are projected to increase
from 214.1 million in 2015 to 594.1 million in 2040.
• The number of students enrolled in higher education
institutions in East Asia & the Pacific is projected to increase
from 69.4 million in 2015 to 257.6 million in 2040.
• In South & West Asia, similar projections are an increase of
42.4 million students in 2015 to 160.4 million in 2040.
• Latin America & the Caribbean will see higher education
enrollment going from 25.3 million in 2015 to an expected
65.6 million in 2040.
• The Arab States are projected to see an increase of
postsecondary enrollments from 10.7 million in 2015 to 22.3
million in 2040.
• Sub-Saharan Africa will see university enrollments grow from
7.4 million in 2015 to 21.7 million in 2040.
• During this same period, the number of students studying in
the U.S. and Western Europe will grow only from 37.5 million
(2015) to a projected 43.7 million in 2040.
• To put this plainly, the action in higher ed is not in the U.S.
Global Higher Education Is Expected to Grow:
References
• Blount, S. (2019, October 30). Five Predictions About US Higher Education in 2040. Forbes. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from
https://www.forbes.com/sites/sallyblount/2019/10/30/five-predictions-about-us-higher-education-in-2040/#33c0eaa37689
• Bump, P. (2018, July 12). In about 20 years half the population will live in eight states. Washington Post. Politics. Retrieved
03/12/2020 from https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2018/07/12/in-about-20-years-half-the-population-will-
live-in-eight-states/
• Calderon, A. (2015, September 1). What Will Higher Education Be Like in 2040? University World News. ]Online]. Retrieved
12/01/2029 from https://www.universityworldnews.com/post.php?story=20150908145912643
• Daily Report Staff. (2019, May 21). The US Could Look Really Different in 2040. The Greater Baton Rouge Business Report. [Online].
Retrieved 12/01/2029 from https://www.businessreport.com/newsletters/the-us-could-look-really-different-in-2040
• Frey, W.H. (2018, March 14). The US will become ‘monority white’ in 2045, census projects. The Brookins Institution. [Online].
Retrieved 12/01/2029 from https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2018/03/14/the-us-will-become-minority-white-in-
2045-census-projects/
• Hamlin, D. (2016, August 1). Congressional Black Caucus Foundation. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from
https://www.cbcfinc.org/village/2040-what-will-america-look-like/
• Kim, J. (2019, February 28). Thinking About ‘Massification of Higher Edication Revisited’. Insidehighered. Retrieved 12/17/2029
from https://www.insidehighered.com/blogs/technology-and-learning/thinking-about-massification-higher-education-
revisited%E2%80%99
• Knight, S. K. (2019, May 21). Future foretold: A new America in 2040. AXIOS. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from
https://www.axios.com/being-30-in-2040-future-new-world-us-diversity-2d3ba6db-3345-4ec4-97a8-9282fe1cee67.html
• Poston, D. (2019, April 30). The U.S. white majority will soon disappear forever. Houston Chronicle. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029
from https://www.houstonchronicle.com/local/gray-matters/article/The-US-white-majority-will-soon-disappear-forever-
13806738.php

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America in 2040

  • 1. Who Will We Be? And What Are the Implications for Higher Ed? America in 2040
  • 2. What Will Society Look Like? • Today’s teenagers will be in their 30’s • More older people and fewer children; 1 in 5 over the age of 65 stressing social security and medical systems. People are living longer and will require more health and social care. • Less white; minorities will become the majority by 2045. Only 45% of the 30-year olds will be non-Hispanic whites in 2040 according to US Census projections. • Immigrants will make up the record breaking share of the population. • The costs of maintaining American standard of living will continue to rise; that means we must be able to provide good paying jobs for at least half of the population. • Many of the people who live here will not have the skill set necessary to participate in high paying jobs in the job market. • We will be less religious and less Christian. But society will be more Islamic and surpass Judaism as the second most popular religion.
  • 5. Where Will We Live? ⁕ UN projects 87% of population will live in urban areas. ⁕ Cities will acquire wealth, technology, and power while rural areas will lag behind. ⁕ Close to 2/3 of the world’s populations will live in cities. Bump, 2018, Washington Post In the USA: Half the Population Will live in 8 States…
  • 7. What Will We Fear? • Almost half Americans in 2040, and all 30 year-olds will have been born after 2001 or 9/11. • Acts of domestic terrorism will be ingrained in public memory. Remember Parkland, Las Vegas, and Orlando. • Most Viet Nam vets will be gone. Russian cyber tampering and interference in US elections will be remembered. • Global average sea levels will be up a foot higher; global average temperature will be up near the 2 degree Celsius guardrail set by the Paris Climate agreement. Summer sea ice in the Arctic may have completely disappeared by 2040. • Technology and human behavior may be even more intertwined. 70% of relationships could begin online. • Online matching companies collect lots of personal data. • We will be faced with more complex and regulatory problems ethical problems, advanced genetic modification, dealing with artificial intelligence, social media, and automated vehicles. • 30 year olds in 2040 will have had their entire lives documented on social media. • While technology will continue to create work/job efficiencies, people need jobs to work. • Good paying jobs require that people be technically skilled. • Competition for industries will be global.
  • 8. What Are The Implications for Higher Education? • More students will be completing degrees in less than 3 years. • Many private colleges and universities offering 4-year degrees will close. • For-profit schools will rebound and instead of selling degrees, sell credits. • Based on 2018 report prepared by Angel Calderon of Australia’s RMIT University. The report is called Massification of Higher Education Revisited. • Some key findings: • Global postsecondary enrollments are projected to increase from 214.1 million in 2015 to 594.1 million in 2040. • The number of students enrolled in higher education institutions in East Asia & the Pacific is projected to increase from 69.4 million in 2015 to 257.6 million in 2040. • In South & West Asia, similar projections are an increase of 42.4 million students in 2015 to 160.4 million in 2040. • Latin America & the Caribbean will see higher education enrollment going from 25.3 million in 2015 to an expected 65.6 million in 2040. • The Arab States are projected to see an increase of postsecondary enrollments from 10.7 million in 2015 to 22.3 million in 2040. • Sub-Saharan Africa will see university enrollments grow from 7.4 million in 2015 to 21.7 million in 2040. • During this same period, the number of students studying in the U.S. and Western Europe will grow only from 37.5 million (2015) to a projected 43.7 million in 2040. • To put this plainly, the action in higher ed is not in the U.S. Global Higher Education Is Expected to Grow:
  • 9. References • Blount, S. (2019, October 30). Five Predictions About US Higher Education in 2040. Forbes. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from https://www.forbes.com/sites/sallyblount/2019/10/30/five-predictions-about-us-higher-education-in-2040/#33c0eaa37689 • Bump, P. (2018, July 12). In about 20 years half the population will live in eight states. Washington Post. Politics. Retrieved 03/12/2020 from https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2018/07/12/in-about-20-years-half-the-population-will- live-in-eight-states/ • Calderon, A. (2015, September 1). What Will Higher Education Be Like in 2040? University World News. ]Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from https://www.universityworldnews.com/post.php?story=20150908145912643 • Daily Report Staff. (2019, May 21). The US Could Look Really Different in 2040. The Greater Baton Rouge Business Report. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from https://www.businessreport.com/newsletters/the-us-could-look-really-different-in-2040 • Frey, W.H. (2018, March 14). The US will become ‘monority white’ in 2045, census projects. The Brookins Institution. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2018/03/14/the-us-will-become-minority-white-in- 2045-census-projects/ • Hamlin, D. (2016, August 1). Congressional Black Caucus Foundation. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from https://www.cbcfinc.org/village/2040-what-will-america-look-like/ • Kim, J. (2019, February 28). Thinking About ‘Massification of Higher Edication Revisited’. Insidehighered. Retrieved 12/17/2029 from https://www.insidehighered.com/blogs/technology-and-learning/thinking-about-massification-higher-education- revisited%E2%80%99 • Knight, S. K. (2019, May 21). Future foretold: A new America in 2040. AXIOS. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from https://www.axios.com/being-30-in-2040-future-new-world-us-diversity-2d3ba6db-3345-4ec4-97a8-9282fe1cee67.html • Poston, D. (2019, April 30). The U.S. white majority will soon disappear forever. Houston Chronicle. [Online]. Retrieved 12/01/2029 from https://www.houstonchronicle.com/local/gray-matters/article/The-US-white-majority-will-soon-disappear-forever- 13806738.php