Summary:
Average housing price in Canada is close to 800K.
Mortgage debt continues to increase at a faster pace than inflation
People continue to invest into their homes - https://www.furnituretoday.com/research-and-analysis/houzz-report-gives-outlook-on-q1-2022-home-renovation-design/
Construction prices continue to rise - https://ontarioconstructionnews.com/construction-industry-facing-perfect-storm-of-rising-costs-altus-group/
1. Housing affordability - https://www.mondaq.com/canada/real-estate/1161462/ontario39s-housing-affordability-task-force-urges-major-reforms-to-approvals-process-for-residential-development
2. Construction costs - https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/djuscn?countrycode=xx
3. Household debt - https://www.creditcanada.com/blog/state-of-canadian-household-debt
4. Housing bubble - https://survivingtomorrow.org/canadas-real-estate-market-is-a-giant-pyramid-scheme-832ea0364c68
5. Urban - https://building.ca/rural-population-growth-concentrated-near-urban-centres/
6. Housing innovation - https://www.archdaily.com/963686/the-same-technology-that-will-allow-us-to-address-housing-challenges-on-earth-will-allow-us-to-venture-off-to-space-interview-with-jason-ballard-of-icon
7. Property tax - https://blackburnnews.com/midwestern-ontario/midwestern-ontario-news/2022/02/15/owen-sound-residents-face-tax-increase/
8. Mortgage - https://www.bloombergquint.com/onweb/canadians-pile-into-mortgage-debt-at-fastest-pace-in-a-decade
9. Millennials - https://fortune.com/2022/02/09/millennials-feel-screwed-housing-market-majority-have-major-regrets/
10. Insurance - https://www.bankrate.com/insurance/homeowners-insurance/homeowners-insurance-cost/
2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
3. AGENDA
• Debt
• Cost of Housing
• Average House Price Canada and Key Cities
• Commodity Price of Lumber
• Modular Housing / Solutions
• Urban Planning
• Technology / Housing
• Homelessness
• Rent to Own
• Innovation
• What’s next
12. USA - HOUSING
Source -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/p
ublications/detail/d27fbf63-31b9-
45d8-8042-0ffb698ee4cb/
13. USA - HOUSING
Source -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publ
ications/detail/d27fbf63-31b9-45d8-
8042-0ffb698ee4cb/
14. PRICE OF
LUMBER
• Price of Lumber has been
on the decline. The Price of
Lumber is still up from 2020
-
https://www.nasdaq.com/m
arket-
activity/commodities/lbs
15. MODULAR HOUSING SOLUTIONS
• $85B (USD) global market with CAGR predicted to be about 6% -
https://www.marketsandmarkets.com/Market-Reports/modular-construction-market-
11812894.html
• Mass production modular housing could help make housing more affordable -
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/28/how-buildings-made-in-factories-could-have-a-big-role-
in-the-future.html
• Adjusting to smaller homes is no big deal - https://www.straight.com/news/living-in-smaller-
spaces-isnt-hell-that-some-people-make-it-out-to-be
• Municipal by-laws
• https://www.forbes.com/sites/pikeresearch/2019/11/20/3d-printed-homes-quietly-gain-
traction/?sh=101c0e5c63bd
16. URBAN PLANNING
• The problem from the get-go has been with proper urban planning including rural vs urban strategy! It is time for all levels
government to look at innovator solutions when it comes to building affordable housing
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/urban-and-rural-planning-whats-next
• Vacate property due to COVID19 - https://www.phillyvoice.com/greg-englesbe-real-estate-strategic-conversion-vacant-
commercial-space-affordable-housing-0599945/
• Building codes need to revamp to deal with 3-D housing - https://www.forbes.com/sites/pikeresearch/2019/11/20/3d-printed-
homes-quietly-gain-traction/#74899cc763bd
• Green Belt Protection/Development - https://www2.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/greenbelt-ontario
• https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2020/10/06/york-region-asks-province-for-process-to-open-up-protected-greenbelt-again.html
• All levels government need to look at proper land management - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-do-politicians-
play-games-with-the-environment
• Smart Cities - https://www.mccourier.com/global-smart-city-ict-infrastructure-market-2020-industry-outlook-cisco-verizon-
communications-huawei-ibm-ntt-communications/
17. TECHNOLOGY AND HOUSING
• AI and at risk for homelessness - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/london/artificial-intelligence-london-
1.5684788
• AI and cost control - https://www.enr.com/events/880-ai-how-it-s-transforming-project-management-for-the-
better
• Smart construction - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/08/here-s-how-smart-construction-could-
transform-home-building-after-covid-19/
• AI and housing - https://www.urban.org/urban-wire/four-ways-technology-addressing-housing-affordability-
crisis
18. SOCIAL HOUSING
• Govt buying commercial properties - https://globalnews.ca/news/7348331/federal-liberals-
rapid-housing-funding-motels-hotels/ or https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/en/media-
newsroom/news-releases/2020/canada-rapidly-create-affordable-housing-support-homeless
• Modular housing units - https://torontostoreys.com/federal-government-1-billion-modular-
housing/
• 20 years ago is when Canada had a social housing plan - https://cwp-csp.ca/2014/01/20-years-
ago-canada-had-a-housing-plan/
• Wait list for Toronto is over 79K - https://dailyhive.com/toronto/toronto-affordable-housing-faq
20. HOMELESSNESS
Blog – What Works for the Homeless Problem
• A 2005 study by Pomeroy looked at costs in four Canadian cities, institutional responses (jails, hospitals, etc.) cost $66,000-$120,000 annually,
emergency shelters cost $13,000-$42,000 annually whereas supportive and transitional housing cost $13,000-$18,000 and affordable housing
without supports was a mere $5,000-$8,000.
• A two-year pilot project called The Canadian Model for Housing and Support for Veterans Experiencing Homelessness in 2012, was designed to
address the needs of the Canadian veterans experiencing homelessness. The program included a Housing First approach and staff/volunteer resources
for each participant. The program revealed promising results of an estimated $536, 000 per year (in terms of cost savings) due to reductions in 911
calls and emergency-shelter drop-ins.
• Medicine Hat achieved functional zero by:
* Rallying around a defined goal to end homelessness. In 2009, Medicine Hat was one of the first Canadian cities to commit to ending homelessness,
a goal that was updated in 2014. They continue to set measurable goals to end homelessness.
• * Strong partnerships. Service providers, shelters and other stakeholders representing a broad cross section of interest and expertise locally (e.g.,
private sector, criminal justice, health care) work together on the Community Council on Homelessness. The community is also supported by all
levels of government and the public-at-large where they’ve fostered a strong belief (and proven!) that ending homelessness is possible.
•
• https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2021/07/what-works-for-the-homeless-
problem.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+blogspot%2Fadvancednano+%28nextbigfuture%29
21. RENT AFFORDABILITY
Source - https://www.mtlblog.com/montreal/how-canadas-housing-affordability-compares-to-other-countries or
https://rentals.ca/national-rent-report
24. RENT TO OWN
Source - https://storeys.com/liberal-party-rent-to-own-plan/
Liberals’ $1B
‘Rent-to-Own’ Plan May Sound Nice to Voters, But Most Won’t Benefit From It.pdf
26. WHAT’S NEXT
• More needs to be done to make housing affordable including reviewing the housing models
• More focus on moving people away from big cities to rural areas -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/urban-and-rural-planning-whats-next-236315321
• Focusing on growing economy including high paying jobs -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/gdp-canada-real-truth-august-2020 and
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-economy-current-state-and-whats-next
• All levels of government working together to make housing more affordable -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/housing-market-affordability-and-costing-canada-september-
2019
• Municipal building codes adjusting to methods of house building including 3D printing and modular
construction
Editor's Notes
Source - https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/house-prices-numbers-july-1.5689129 or https://crhttps://www.cbc.ca/news/business/crea-november-sales-1.5841749eastats.crea.ca/en-CA/ or https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/crea-november-sales-1.5841749
Source – https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/c9d90042-d641-422c-a141-e3d20d1745be/
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/1f459a77-52d4-4dd7-97a0-386eae49f764/ or https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/0ab1bc6f-4aec-4273-aca6-342988ac06ec/ or
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-the-forestry-sector-249057392
or https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/5f817204-e1ca-476f-bc5c-a679bbaba41e/