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Frost & Sullivan
Taking advantage of African growth
opportunities:
2
Africa Mobility: Capability Summary
 How big is the market?
 How does this market behave?
 What are the major drivers or
restraints?
 Growth of major industry verticals
utilizing automotive and
transportation?
 Major competitors in the market?
 Who are the global competitors entering
the market?
 How does the competition understand the
market?
 What are their go-to-market strategies?
 What partnerships have been formed?
 Presence of foreign vs. local operators?
 What are the customer demands/
preferences?
 Willingness to pay?
 Customer perceptions?
 Type of finance and ownership
preferences?
 NGO vs. private sector vs. government?
 Government/trade policy & legislation?
 Infrastructure development and modality
shifts?
 Major trade lanes?
 Transit costs and times influencing fleet
decision making?
 Digital disruptions influencing fleet and
logistics?
Competitor
landscaping
Voice of
customer
Market
Operational
Craig Parker
Programme
Manager, Mobility
Africa
craig.parker@frost.com
Byron Messaris
Senior Industry
Analyst, Mobility
Africa
byron.messaris@frost.com
Ryan Bax
Industry Analyst,
Mobility
Africa
ryan.bax@frost.com
Lynn Gunning
Sales Director
Africa
lynn.gunning@frost.com
3
Trusted growth partner with more than 50 years of
experience
 Growth consulting firm with offices in 40
locations around the globe
– Local understanding with global context
 Facilitates expansion across all the stages of
the growth cycle through:
– Strategy consulting services
– Strategic business intelligence
 60 people strong African operation exclusively
focussed on the continent
 Direct and indirect presence in 16 locations
across the African continent
4
Vision & Strategy
Focussed on all aspects of strategy and execution
related to growth and expansion
Generation Qualification Design Implementation Monitoring &
Evaluation
5
Vision & Strategy
Taking an integrated approach to supporting the growth
cycle
Generation Qualification Design Implementation Monitoring &
Evaluation
ExternalInternal
Managers & Staff
Market
Pre Due Diligence
Due Diligence
Strategy Framework
Detailed Strategy
Business Case
Planning
Content Development
Roll-out
Culture & Alignment
Skills, Capabilities & Assets
Organisational Structure
Business Process & Governance
Operational Efficiency
Partners
6
Partial list of Africa clients
7
Africa Economic Prospects: Africa to Grow at 6% per Annum
Africa to be the 2nd most fastest growing region to 2025. GDP to Reach $4.5 Trillion.
2.4
2.9
3.6
4.5
2013 2017 2021 2025
6%
8.5
6.1
5.6
5.3
4.8
4.1
3.1
Emerging Asia
Africa
Middle East
Latin America and
Caribbean
Eastern Europe and
Central Europe
World
High Income countries
2nd
Compound Annual Growth Rate, 2013-2025 (%)Nominal GDP ($ Trillion), Africa, 2013 - 2025
Drivers of
Economic
Growth in Africa
Infrastructure Investment
(around 50% of all
investments)
Around 2x expansion in
agricultural production
buoyant Service sector (More
than 50% of GDP)
Source: IMF, World bank, African Development bank Group, Frost, and Sullivan.
Buoyant Service sector (More
than 50% of GDP)
Increase Infrastructure
Investment (as 50% of all
investments)
Around 2x increase in
agriculture production
8
Improving Business Landscape in Africa
End to
Armed
Conflicts
Improved
Governance
Inflation
Reduced
from 22%
(1990s) to
8% (2000+)
Foreign
Debt
Reduction
by 35%
Budget
Deficit
Reduction
by 60%
In 15 years, Africa Adressed Many
Challenges: 2000 - 2014
Key Challenges of Today
Infrastructure: Universally seen as the
foremost inhibitor to intra regional trade
Crime & Corruption: Both in decline but
persistent deterrents to investors
China’s Interest: In almost all sectors,
Chinese players now competing
Skills Availability: Prominent & persistent
across the entire region
Power: Unavailability across the continent a
key growth inhibitor
Extreme Costs: In most oil based economies,
basic costs are prohibitive, transportation
Complex Tax, Legal and Excise: Improving
but Still a huge deterrent to investment in
many countries
9
Economic Power Houses: GDP of Top 10 Countries of Africa
Top 10 countries account for around 78% of continent’s GDP. Nigeria to be a trillion dollar economy by 2025
South Africa
633.4 billion
Nigeria
1082.7 billion
Egypt
437.6 billion
Algeria
311.6 billion
Angola
289.4 billion
Kenya
218 billion
Ethiopia
162.2 billion
Morocco
159.7 billion
Libya
120.2 billion
Ghana
103.4 billion
2
1
3
4
5
6
7
8 9
10
Nominal GDP ($ Trillion), Top 10 Countries Africa, 2025
Source: IMF, World bank, African Development bank Group, Frost, and Sullivan.
Advanced
Economies of Africa
Evolving Economies
of Africa
Egypt, Nigeria, South
Africa and Algeria
Libya, Kenya,
Morocco, Ethiopia,
Ghana, Angola
Egypt, Morocco and South Africa have diversified
economies where the manufacturing and services
sector together account for more than 80% of their
GDPs. Rapid urbanization and population growth
had led to high growth in the banking, telecom, retail
and construction sectors.
Algeria, Angola, Libya and Nigeria are Africa’s oil and
gas exporters. Economic growth is linked to the
petroleum wealth of these countries.
Ghana and Kenya are agriculture and resourced
based economies. Due to increased connectivity and
mobile phone proliferation in these economies, the
telecommunications, banking, and retail sectors also
have high potential for growth.
Ethiopia is a resource based economy. Coffee
accounts for more than 60% of the country's exports
and increased investment in hydro power projects
have also lead to significant economic growth.
Advanced
Economies
Evolving
Economies
10
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Low
High
Low HighLevel of Inter regional Trade Activities
LevelofFDI
8.2%
Cote dIvoire
7.3%
Burkina
Faso
7.5%
Ethiopia
7.1%
Zambia
7.1%
Rwanda
6.8%
Tanzania
DRC
6.4%
Uganda
6.4%
Size of bubbles indicates GDP growth rate
Factors Leading to Economic Growth
Young and Upcoming Economic Hubs of Africa
High rate of return on
foreign investment
Burgeoning
Consumer
Markets
Privatization of State-owned
enterprises
Increased
openness of trade
Source: IMF, World bank, African Development bank Group, Frost, and Sullivan.
Rapid Logistical
Infrastructure
Development
Socio-
Political
Stability
8.7%
Mozambique
11
$ 7.0B
19.6%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
14.1%
3.3%
5.3%
6.3%
7.5%
8.0%
18.1%
$ 1.5B
TMT
$ 5.6B
$ 56.0B
$ 0.6B
$ 2.8B
$ 0.4B
4.1%
$ 1.2B
3.5%
$ 32.5B
$ 7.0B
TMT: Technology, media and telecommunications
RHC: Real estate, hospitality and construction
DIP: Diversified industrial products
CPR: Consumer products and retail
Business Services
RHC
CPR
Financial Services
Chemicals
Coal, oil and
natural gas
Automotive
DIP
Transport and
Logistics
Foreign Direct Investment (By Capital Investment) , Africa, Top Sectors, 2014
Foreign Direct Investment in Africa: Investment Attractive Sectors
TMT, financial services and CPR together accounted for more than 505 ( out of 733) FDI projects in Africa in
2014. RHC gained the maximum investment of $56B followed by coal, oil and natural gas at $32.5B
FDI capital investment in projects (2014)
Projects share (%, 2014)
Ranking is based on total number of projects (2014)
Source: IMF; World bank; African Development
bank Group;fDi Intelligence; Frost, and Sullivan.
Image Source: Frost, and Sullivan Image Library
12
EXAMPLE:
Cairo
MEGA CITY
City with a minimum population of 8 million and a GDP of
$250 billion in 2025 (13 Mega Cities in 2011 and 25 Mega
Cities in 2025)
MEGA REGIONS
Cities combining with suburbs or other neighboring cities
to form regions (Population over 15 million)
MEGA CORRIDORS
The corridors connecting two major cities or Mega
Regions (60 km or more apart, and with a combined
population of 25 million or more)
MEGA SLUMS
1 million urban poor live in an area measuring just 1.5
square miles
EXAMPLE:
Lagos and Eko Atlantic
City Region
EXAMPLE:
North-South Corridor
EXAMPLE:
Kibera, Cacuaco
Four Main Trends in Urbanisation: Development of Mega Cities, Mega
Regions, Mega Corridors and Mega Slums
Source: Frost and Sullivan.
13
Building the fact
foundation
Frost & Sullivan’s strategic approach to geographic
expansion
1
Shortlisting
Shortlisted markets for
deep-dive analyses
Planning Workshop
Market-entry
strategy
Deep-dive
analyses
Output
2 3
Market entry options
Market entry strategy and
strategic roadmap
Well-rounded integration
Integration and
strategic alignment
4
Internal Capabilities
Assessment
Shortlisting the 54 African
markets to the top attractive
markets based on a
combination of direct and
proxy indicators
Growth Opportunity
Workshop
Detailed analysis of the top
markets with a focus on:
• Market size, structure
and growth
• Market and legislative
dynamics
Opportunity Identification
Identifying the top target
countries for market entry
strategy development
Business Case
Development
• Commercial
• Operational
• Financial
Strategic Options
Workshop
Market Entry Options
• Green Fields
• Brown Fields
• Merger & Acquisition
• Strategic Partnerships
• Joint VentureMacro-
economic
factors &
manufacturing
industry factors
Business Case
Approval
Implementation
Framework
Manage the Change
Range: 20 to 25k Euro Range: 80 to 100k Euro Range: 70 to 120k Euro TBD

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Taking advantage of african growth opportunities geo expansion

  • 1. Frost & Sullivan Taking advantage of African growth opportunities:
  • 2. 2 Africa Mobility: Capability Summary  How big is the market?  How does this market behave?  What are the major drivers or restraints?  Growth of major industry verticals utilizing automotive and transportation?  Major competitors in the market?  Who are the global competitors entering the market?  How does the competition understand the market?  What are their go-to-market strategies?  What partnerships have been formed?  Presence of foreign vs. local operators?  What are the customer demands/ preferences?  Willingness to pay?  Customer perceptions?  Type of finance and ownership preferences?  NGO vs. private sector vs. government?  Government/trade policy & legislation?  Infrastructure development and modality shifts?  Major trade lanes?  Transit costs and times influencing fleet decision making?  Digital disruptions influencing fleet and logistics? Competitor landscaping Voice of customer Market Operational Craig Parker Programme Manager, Mobility Africa craig.parker@frost.com Byron Messaris Senior Industry Analyst, Mobility Africa byron.messaris@frost.com Ryan Bax Industry Analyst, Mobility Africa ryan.bax@frost.com Lynn Gunning Sales Director Africa lynn.gunning@frost.com
  • 3. 3 Trusted growth partner with more than 50 years of experience  Growth consulting firm with offices in 40 locations around the globe – Local understanding with global context  Facilitates expansion across all the stages of the growth cycle through: – Strategy consulting services – Strategic business intelligence  60 people strong African operation exclusively focussed on the continent  Direct and indirect presence in 16 locations across the African continent
  • 4. 4 Vision & Strategy Focussed on all aspects of strategy and execution related to growth and expansion Generation Qualification Design Implementation Monitoring & Evaluation
  • 5. 5 Vision & Strategy Taking an integrated approach to supporting the growth cycle Generation Qualification Design Implementation Monitoring & Evaluation ExternalInternal Managers & Staff Market Pre Due Diligence Due Diligence Strategy Framework Detailed Strategy Business Case Planning Content Development Roll-out Culture & Alignment Skills, Capabilities & Assets Organisational Structure Business Process & Governance Operational Efficiency Partners
  • 6. 6 Partial list of Africa clients
  • 7. 7 Africa Economic Prospects: Africa to Grow at 6% per Annum Africa to be the 2nd most fastest growing region to 2025. GDP to Reach $4.5 Trillion. 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.5 2013 2017 2021 2025 6% 8.5 6.1 5.6 5.3 4.8 4.1 3.1 Emerging Asia Africa Middle East Latin America and Caribbean Eastern Europe and Central Europe World High Income countries 2nd Compound Annual Growth Rate, 2013-2025 (%)Nominal GDP ($ Trillion), Africa, 2013 - 2025 Drivers of Economic Growth in Africa Infrastructure Investment (around 50% of all investments) Around 2x expansion in agricultural production buoyant Service sector (More than 50% of GDP) Source: IMF, World bank, African Development bank Group, Frost, and Sullivan. Buoyant Service sector (More than 50% of GDP) Increase Infrastructure Investment (as 50% of all investments) Around 2x increase in agriculture production
  • 8. 8 Improving Business Landscape in Africa End to Armed Conflicts Improved Governance Inflation Reduced from 22% (1990s) to 8% (2000+) Foreign Debt Reduction by 35% Budget Deficit Reduction by 60% In 15 years, Africa Adressed Many Challenges: 2000 - 2014 Key Challenges of Today Infrastructure: Universally seen as the foremost inhibitor to intra regional trade Crime & Corruption: Both in decline but persistent deterrents to investors China’s Interest: In almost all sectors, Chinese players now competing Skills Availability: Prominent & persistent across the entire region Power: Unavailability across the continent a key growth inhibitor Extreme Costs: In most oil based economies, basic costs are prohibitive, transportation Complex Tax, Legal and Excise: Improving but Still a huge deterrent to investment in many countries
  • 9. 9 Economic Power Houses: GDP of Top 10 Countries of Africa Top 10 countries account for around 78% of continent’s GDP. Nigeria to be a trillion dollar economy by 2025 South Africa 633.4 billion Nigeria 1082.7 billion Egypt 437.6 billion Algeria 311.6 billion Angola 289.4 billion Kenya 218 billion Ethiopia 162.2 billion Morocco 159.7 billion Libya 120.2 billion Ghana 103.4 billion 2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Nominal GDP ($ Trillion), Top 10 Countries Africa, 2025 Source: IMF, World bank, African Development bank Group, Frost, and Sullivan. Advanced Economies of Africa Evolving Economies of Africa Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa and Algeria Libya, Kenya, Morocco, Ethiopia, Ghana, Angola Egypt, Morocco and South Africa have diversified economies where the manufacturing and services sector together account for more than 80% of their GDPs. Rapid urbanization and population growth had led to high growth in the banking, telecom, retail and construction sectors. Algeria, Angola, Libya and Nigeria are Africa’s oil and gas exporters. Economic growth is linked to the petroleum wealth of these countries. Ghana and Kenya are agriculture and resourced based economies. Due to increased connectivity and mobile phone proliferation in these economies, the telecommunications, banking, and retail sectors also have high potential for growth. Ethiopia is a resource based economy. Coffee accounts for more than 60% of the country's exports and increased investment in hydro power projects have also lead to significant economic growth. Advanced Economies Evolving Economies
  • 10. 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Low High Low HighLevel of Inter regional Trade Activities LevelofFDI 8.2% Cote dIvoire 7.3% Burkina Faso 7.5% Ethiopia 7.1% Zambia 7.1% Rwanda 6.8% Tanzania DRC 6.4% Uganda 6.4% Size of bubbles indicates GDP growth rate Factors Leading to Economic Growth Young and Upcoming Economic Hubs of Africa High rate of return on foreign investment Burgeoning Consumer Markets Privatization of State-owned enterprises Increased openness of trade Source: IMF, World bank, African Development bank Group, Frost, and Sullivan. Rapid Logistical Infrastructure Development Socio- Political Stability 8.7% Mozambique
  • 11. 11 $ 7.0B 19.6% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 14.1% 3.3% 5.3% 6.3% 7.5% 8.0% 18.1% $ 1.5B TMT $ 5.6B $ 56.0B $ 0.6B $ 2.8B $ 0.4B 4.1% $ 1.2B 3.5% $ 32.5B $ 7.0B TMT: Technology, media and telecommunications RHC: Real estate, hospitality and construction DIP: Diversified industrial products CPR: Consumer products and retail Business Services RHC CPR Financial Services Chemicals Coal, oil and natural gas Automotive DIP Transport and Logistics Foreign Direct Investment (By Capital Investment) , Africa, Top Sectors, 2014 Foreign Direct Investment in Africa: Investment Attractive Sectors TMT, financial services and CPR together accounted for more than 505 ( out of 733) FDI projects in Africa in 2014. RHC gained the maximum investment of $56B followed by coal, oil and natural gas at $32.5B FDI capital investment in projects (2014) Projects share (%, 2014) Ranking is based on total number of projects (2014) Source: IMF; World bank; African Development bank Group;fDi Intelligence; Frost, and Sullivan. Image Source: Frost, and Sullivan Image Library
  • 12. 12 EXAMPLE: Cairo MEGA CITY City with a minimum population of 8 million and a GDP of $250 billion in 2025 (13 Mega Cities in 2011 and 25 Mega Cities in 2025) MEGA REGIONS Cities combining with suburbs or other neighboring cities to form regions (Population over 15 million) MEGA CORRIDORS The corridors connecting two major cities or Mega Regions (60 km or more apart, and with a combined population of 25 million or more) MEGA SLUMS 1 million urban poor live in an area measuring just 1.5 square miles EXAMPLE: Lagos and Eko Atlantic City Region EXAMPLE: North-South Corridor EXAMPLE: Kibera, Cacuaco Four Main Trends in Urbanisation: Development of Mega Cities, Mega Regions, Mega Corridors and Mega Slums Source: Frost and Sullivan.
  • 13. 13 Building the fact foundation Frost & Sullivan’s strategic approach to geographic expansion 1 Shortlisting Shortlisted markets for deep-dive analyses Planning Workshop Market-entry strategy Deep-dive analyses Output 2 3 Market entry options Market entry strategy and strategic roadmap Well-rounded integration Integration and strategic alignment 4 Internal Capabilities Assessment Shortlisting the 54 African markets to the top attractive markets based on a combination of direct and proxy indicators Growth Opportunity Workshop Detailed analysis of the top markets with a focus on: • Market size, structure and growth • Market and legislative dynamics Opportunity Identification Identifying the top target countries for market entry strategy development Business Case Development • Commercial • Operational • Financial Strategic Options Workshop Market Entry Options • Green Fields • Brown Fields • Merger & Acquisition • Strategic Partnerships • Joint VentureMacro- economic factors & manufacturing industry factors Business Case Approval Implementation Framework Manage the Change Range: 20 to 25k Euro Range: 80 to 100k Euro Range: 70 to 120k Euro TBD