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WORKING DRAFT
Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Eastern Standard Time
Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 W. Europe Standard Time
WORKING DRAFT
                                                  Last Modified 14/02/2011 13:30:24 W. Europe Standard Time
                                                  Printed 2/11/2011 9:32:35 AM Pacific Standard Time




mHealth: A Gli
  H lth Glimpse i t th
                   into the
Future Business and Technology
of mHealth
 f H lh


Alessio Ascari, Lisa Ellis
McKinsey & Company



February 14th, 2011


CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY
Any use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited
Need is there…                                                … demand is strong …

Healthcare spend - increasingly unsustainable                 Significant interest in mHealth products
Projected healthcare spend as percentage of                   % respondents indicating “extremely” or “very”
GDP                        2030       2050                    interested
                 2005

                                            25           37




                                                                                                                  Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
         USA                   15
                                                              Phone doctor                              68
                                                                                  57
         Sweden            10           15          22                                      26




                                                                                                                                   ast
         Korea             6           10          15




                                                                                                                                                         1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
                                                              Drug delivery
                                                                                                        58
                                                                                            30
Lack of access to basic healthcare                                                14
Mortality rate per 1 000 population
                   1,000




                                                                                                                                                                                2/2011 13:11:02
     5x                               400
   mortality                                                  Health watch                              59
                                                   221                            35        36
                       152
        78

                                                                                USA       Brazil      India
   Western         Latam            Africa1      Asia
   Europe
 1 Excludes South Africa
                                                                                         McKinsey & Company | 2
… Technology is available…                 … and the business model works


             67%     ▪ Mobile phone         Disguised example business case P & L
Telecom                penetration

            >30%     ▪ Smartphone
                       adoption in




                                                                                              Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
                       mature markets
                     ▪ Existing




                                                                                                               ast
                       technologies
                       adequate




                                                                                                                                     1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
Medical              ▪ Glocaps
Devices              ▪ SIM Pill
                                           Revenue   Opex   EBITDA     Dep
                                                                       Dep-         EBIT
                     ▪ Bluetooth BP




                                                                                                                                                            2/2011 13:11:02
                                                                       reciation
                       monitor

                                              Our work has indicated a positive NPV
                                              for mHealth services, with some even
             >10     ▪ Triage algorithms          providing double digit returns
Software    years      in use

            > 5000
                     ▪ M di l apps on
                       Medical
                       the iTunes store
                                                                     McKinsey & Company | 3
…no wonders pilots are sprouting around the world                                                                        NOT EXHAUSTIVE




                                                                                  Vitaphone:
                         Remote chronic                                           24-hour healthcare
                         disease care                                             monitoring and
  Integrated care                                                                 ECG analysi
  solution,
  solution with
  web-based                                                    Chronic
  health manager                                               Disease




                                                                                                                                                    Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
                                                               Remote Mgmt




                                                                                                                                                                     ast
                                                                                                         Innovative emergency
                                                                                                         response model

                                                    Health                             Health tips and
                                                    watch for                          Q&A via SMS




                                                                                                                                                                                           1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
                                                    epilepsy
 Audio and visual                                   children                                                                    Remote advice
 alerts
                                                                                                                                and mobile care
                                                                                                                                solution
 Remote
                                             Drug
 triage/referral
     g                                                                                                                          SMS-based
                                             authentication




                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2/2011 13:11:02
                                                                                                                                vaccination
                                             (partnering
                    mHealth                                                                                                     planning
                                             with Telcos)
                    info                                                                                                        reminders
                                                              HIV/AIDS
                                                                                       Prevention of                            Patients in rural
                                                              awareness
                    SMS                                       via SMS                  drug shortages                           areas connected
                    reminders                                                                                                   via satellite




                                                   Real-time weighing and            Medication adherence          Remote doctor
                       Healthcare
                                                   diagnosis                         solution
                       worker trainings
                          k t i i                                                                                  services i
                                                                                                                       i    in
                                                                                                                   Bangladesh
                                                                                                                   & Pakistan

                                                                                                                 McKinsey & Company | 4
SOURCE: McKinsey presentation from the 2010 World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos
Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
                 ast                   1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
                                                              2/2011 13:11:02
                                                                                McKinsey & Company | 5
           mHealth from
            taking off?
            So what is
             stopping
             H lth f
1 A complex ecosystem with multiple stakeholders playing critical roles
  and with economic incentives not always aligned

 Regulators




                                                                                                             Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
                              MNO service




                                                                                                                              ast
     Payor                                                                             Healthcare
                                                                                    storage/ analytics
                                                                                         server




                                                                                                                                                    1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
                                                  Authentication/
                                                                          MNO
                                                   Encryption
    Device                                                                server




                                                                                                                                                                           2/2011 13:11:02
  Manufacturer                Remote                                       Data
                              monitoring device                     transmission



                   Data                                              Intervention
                 collection


    Patient                                                                             Physician
                                                                                    McKinsey & Company | 6
2   Shared standards and regulations not always in place



Adoption




                                                                                    Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11
                                                                                                     a
                                                      Railways
    Tipping         Standards and
                                                                            ?



                                                                                                                             1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
    point            regulations




                                                                                                                                                    2/2011 13:11:02
                                   Time
                                                   3D Digital Media



                                                           McKinsey & Company | 7
3 Above all, the cultural change required for several parties involved


 From                                      . . . to




                                                                                      Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02
                                                                                                       a                       1                      2
                                                             McKinsey & Company | 8
Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11
                 a                       1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
                                                                2/2011 13:11:02
                                                                                  McKinsey & Company | 9
                         Where are we
                              i ?
                           going?
Healthcare 2015: our vision for the near future



              Patient calls caregiver at his/her convenience any time of day/week as
              soon as symptoms begin




                                                                                                   Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
              Physician speaks to patient over phone relying also on data from
                                               phone,




                                                                                                                    ast
              biometric sensors (m-stethoscope, smartphone-based ultrasound, etc.)




                                                                                                                                          1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
              SMS reminders ensure that patient takes medicine as prescribed; can
              report side effects, etc. in real time




                                                                                                                                                                 2/2011 13:11:02
              Patient can be monitored remotely and advised if conditions worsen
              or if lifestyle elements negatively impact the situation



              Patient can access global medical expertise in a connected world


                                                                         McKinsey & Company | 10
The core mHealth contributors to the vision

 Remote Doctor Services                            Remote Health Monitoring
 Doctors / specialists triage and offer medical    Providers remotely monitor chronically-ill
 advice to patients or healthcare p
           p                       professionals   p
                                                   patients and manage treatments accordingly
                                                                     g                        gy
 over the phone / video




                                                                                                          Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
                                                                                                                           ast
 Drug authentication and compliance
 D       h i i         d     li                    Information / Health & Wellness offerings
                                                   I f     i     H l h W ll         ff i
 Patients check drug authenticity and health       Patients and health workers access
 workers monitor medication prescription           information repositories directly
 remotely




                                                                                                                                                 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
 Centralized resource scheduling                   Assisted-care support
 Mobile and automated workflow applications        Frail and elderly patients will receive




                                                                                                                                                                        2/2011 13:11:02
 will enable real-time scheduling and              optimized home-based care
 notification to improve system utilization

 Telediagnostics                                   Electronic/mobile Health Records
 Patients from remote locations will be able to    Clinical and administrative data will be stored
 get a diagnosis from the best specialists far     in a centralized data repository
 away

                                                                                McKinsey & Company | 11
Three mHealth services will be widespread, leveraging core eHealth
enablers




                                                                                                       Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
                 Remote doctor                   Remote health
                 services                        monitoring




                                                                                                                        ast
                 ▪   Addresses ~80% of           ▪   Addresses ~70% of            ▪   Easy to
                     world population                HC costs                         launch
                 ▪   Works with existing         ▪   Enhances providers
                                                                                  ▪   Minimal




                                                                                                                                              1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
                     technology                                                       investment
                                                     value proposition
                                                                                  ▪   Compliment
                 ▪   Proven business             ▪   Improves lifestyle as            ary to other
                     model                           well as costs                    services




                                                                                                                                                                     2/2011 13:11:02
                                  SMS-based
                                  SMS based services

                           Centralized resource scheduling

                               Electronic health records
                               El t    i h lth        d

                                                                             McKinsey & Company | 12
mHealth benefits


                                              Macroeconomic
     Social and lifestyle
                                              ▪ US$200 Bn per year of savings in




                                                                                                   Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
                                                healthcare systems costs through RHM
     ▪ 150,000 lives saved per year
                                              ▪ (example OECD+BRIC)
     ▪ 2 5 Million DALY saved per year
       2.5




                                                                                                                    ast
     ▪ (example sub-Saharan Africa)




                                                                                                                                          1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
                             Financial

                             ▪ Double digit EBIT margin at steady




                                                                                                                                                                 2/2011 13:11:02
                               state
                             ▪ Increased customer loyalty resulting in
                               reduced customer churn
                             ▪ New revenue streams and players



                                                                         McKinsey & Company | 13
mHealth provides a market opportunity for a variety of players        REMOTE DOCTOR
                                                                            EXAMPLE

                                                                                Details
                                                                                follow

                              Mobile operators




                                                                                          Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11
                                                                                                           a
  Healthcare service
      providers                                          Systems integrators




                                                                                                                                   1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02
                                                                                                                                                          2
                Device OEMs                      Software vendors


                                                                McKinsey & Company | 14
Mobile operators: core assets to leverage and potential roles to play


  Assets
                                                       Connectivity

 ▪ Proven micro billing infrastructure
          micro-billing




                                                                                              Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11
 ▪ Reliable communication channels




                                                                                                               ast
 ▪ Authentication and secure storage
                                           Hosting /
                                           Billing
 ▪ Distribution channels close to end




                                                                                                                                     1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02
   users

 ▪ Experience with both B2C and B2B




                                                                                                                                                            2/2011 13:11:02
 ▪ Brand recognition critical for
   launching new innovative services

 ▪ Trusted relationships with regulators
   and governments                                       mHealth
                                                         services

                                                                    McKinsey & Company | 15
Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02
                             a                       1                      2
                                                                                              McKinsey & Company | 16
Thank you
WORKING DRAFT
Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Eastern Standard Time
Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 W. Europe Standard Time
WORKING DRAFT
Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Eastern Standard Time
Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 W. Europe Standard Time
WORKING DRAFT
Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Eastern Standard Time
Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 W. Europe Standard Time

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A Glimpse into the Future Business and Technology of mHealth

  • 1. WORKING DRAFT Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Eastern Standard Time Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 W. Europe Standard Time
  • 2. WORKING DRAFT Last Modified 14/02/2011 13:30:24 W. Europe Standard Time Printed 2/11/2011 9:32:35 AM Pacific Standard Time mHealth: A Gli H lth Glimpse i t th into the Future Business and Technology of mHealth f H lh Alessio Ascari, Lisa Ellis McKinsey & Company February 14th, 2011 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY Any use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited
  • 3. Need is there… … demand is strong … Healthcare spend - increasingly unsustainable Significant interest in mHealth products Projected healthcare spend as percentage of % respondents indicating “extremely” or “very” GDP 2030 2050 interested 2005 25 37 Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 USA 15 Phone doctor 68 57 Sweden 10 15 22 26 ast Korea 6 10 15 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 Drug delivery 58 30 Lack of access to basic healthcare 14 Mortality rate per 1 000 population 1,000 2/2011 13:11:02 5x 400 mortality Health watch 59 221 35 36 152 78 USA Brazil India Western Latam Africa1 Asia Europe 1 Excludes South Africa McKinsey & Company | 2
  • 4. … Technology is available… … and the business model works 67% ▪ Mobile phone Disguised example business case P & L Telecom penetration >30% ▪ Smartphone adoption in Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 mature markets ▪ Existing ast technologies adequate 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 Medical ▪ Glocaps Devices ▪ SIM Pill Revenue Opex EBITDA Dep Dep- EBIT ▪ Bluetooth BP 2/2011 13:11:02 reciation monitor Our work has indicated a positive NPV for mHealth services, with some even >10 ▪ Triage algorithms providing double digit returns Software years in use > 5000 ▪ M di l apps on Medical the iTunes store McKinsey & Company | 3
  • 5. …no wonders pilots are sprouting around the world NOT EXHAUSTIVE Vitaphone: Remote chronic 24-hour healthcare disease care monitoring and Integrated care ECG analysi solution, solution with web-based Chronic health manager Disease Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 Remote Mgmt ast Innovative emergency response model Health Health tips and watch for Q&A via SMS 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 epilepsy Audio and visual children Remote advice alerts and mobile care solution Remote Drug triage/referral g SMS-based authentication 2/2011 13:11:02 vaccination (partnering mHealth planning with Telcos) info reminders HIV/AIDS Prevention of Patients in rural awareness SMS via SMS drug shortages areas connected reminders via satellite Real-time weighing and Medication adherence Remote doctor Healthcare diagnosis solution worker trainings k t i i services i i in Bangladesh & Pakistan McKinsey & Company | 4 SOURCE: McKinsey presentation from the 2010 World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos
  • 6. Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 ast 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 2/2011 13:11:02 McKinsey & Company | 5 mHealth from taking off? So what is stopping H lth f
  • 7. 1 A complex ecosystem with multiple stakeholders playing critical roles and with economic incentives not always aligned Regulators Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 MNO service ast Payor Healthcare storage/ analytics server 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 Authentication/ MNO Encryption Device server 2/2011 13:11:02 Manufacturer Remote Data monitoring device transmission Data Intervention collection Patient Physician McKinsey & Company | 6
  • 8. 2 Shared standards and regulations not always in place Adoption Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11 a Railways Tipping Standards and ? 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 point regulations 2/2011 13:11:02 Time 3D Digital Media McKinsey & Company | 7
  • 9. 3 Above all, the cultural change required for several parties involved From . . . to Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 a 1 2 McKinsey & Company | 8
  • 10. Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11 a 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 2/2011 13:11:02 McKinsey & Company | 9 Where are we i ? going?
  • 11. Healthcare 2015: our vision for the near future Patient calls caregiver at his/her convenience any time of day/week as soon as symptoms begin Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 Physician speaks to patient over phone relying also on data from phone, ast biometric sensors (m-stethoscope, smartphone-based ultrasound, etc.) 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 SMS reminders ensure that patient takes medicine as prescribed; can report side effects, etc. in real time 2/2011 13:11:02 Patient can be monitored remotely and advised if conditions worsen or if lifestyle elements negatively impact the situation Patient can access global medical expertise in a connected world McKinsey & Company | 10
  • 12. The core mHealth contributors to the vision Remote Doctor Services Remote Health Monitoring Doctors / specialists triage and offer medical Providers remotely monitor chronically-ill advice to patients or healthcare p p professionals p patients and manage treatments accordingly g gy over the phone / video Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 ast Drug authentication and compliance D h i i d li Information / Health & Wellness offerings I f i H l h W ll ff i Patients check drug authenticity and health Patients and health workers access workers monitor medication prescription information repositories directly remotely 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 Centralized resource scheduling Assisted-care support Mobile and automated workflow applications Frail and elderly patients will receive 2/2011 13:11:02 will enable real-time scheduling and optimized home-based care notification to improve system utilization Telediagnostics Electronic/mobile Health Records Patients from remote locations will be able to Clinical and administrative data will be stored get a diagnosis from the best specialists far in a centralized data repository away McKinsey & Company | 11
  • 13. Three mHealth services will be widespread, leveraging core eHealth enablers Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 Remote doctor Remote health services monitoring ast ▪ Addresses ~80% of ▪ Addresses ~70% of ▪ Easy to world population HC costs launch ▪ Works with existing ▪ Enhances providers ▪ Minimal 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 technology investment value proposition ▪ Compliment ▪ Proven business ▪ Improves lifestyle as ary to other model well as costs services 2/2011 13:11:02 SMS-based SMS based services Centralized resource scheduling Electronic health records El t i h lth d McKinsey & Company | 12
  • 14. mHealth benefits Macroeconomic Social and lifestyle ▪ US$200 Bn per year of savings in Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 healthcare systems costs through RHM ▪ 150,000 lives saved per year ▪ (example OECD+BRIC) ▪ 2 5 Million DALY saved per year 2.5 ast ▪ (example sub-Saharan Africa) 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 Financial ▪ Double digit EBIT margin at steady 2/2011 13:11:02 state ▪ Increased customer loyalty resulting in reduced customer churn ▪ New revenue streams and players McKinsey & Company | 13
  • 15. mHealth provides a market opportunity for a variety of players REMOTE DOCTOR EXAMPLE Details follow Mobile operators Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11 a Healthcare service providers Systems integrators 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 2 Device OEMs Software vendors McKinsey & Company | 14
  • 16. Mobile operators: core assets to leverage and potential roles to play Assets Connectivity ▪ Proven micro billing infrastructure micro-billing Working Draft - La Modified 2/10/2011 11 ▪ Reliable communication channels ast ▪ Authentication and secure storage Hosting / Billing ▪ Distribution channels close to end 1:53:36 PM Printed 10/02 users ▪ Experience with both B2C and B2B 2/2011 13:11:02 ▪ Brand recognition critical for launching new innovative services ▪ Trusted relationships with regulators and governments mHealth services McKinsey & Company | 15
  • 17. Working Draft - Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 a 1 2 McKinsey & Company | 16 Thank you
  • 18. WORKING DRAFT Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Eastern Standard Time Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 W. Europe Standard Time
  • 19. WORKING DRAFT Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Eastern Standard Time Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 W. Europe Standard Time
  • 20. WORKING DRAFT Last Modified 2/10/2011 11:53:36 PM Eastern Standard Time Printed 10/02/2011 13:11:02 W. Europe Standard Time