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A brief introduction to those
Complex Systems Phenomena known to exist within
major organisations, large social groups and complex
projects & programs which have the potential to either
promote or neutralise material risks.
Also referred to as;
The Eight Habits of Highly Complex Systems
Complex Systems Phenomenon #1
“The Butterfly Effect”
States that a seemingly insignificant change in one area of
a complex system can ripple and compound to create
momentous, possibly even uncontrollable, impacts
elsewhere within the system
Complex Systems Phenomenon #2
“The Edge of Chaos”
States that a complex system is at all times no more
than a transition or two away from descending into
wild disorder (chaos) and thus should be considered to
be an inherently chaotic entity
Complex Systems Phenomenon #3
“Sum of Parts”
States that a complex system is a highly integrated
entity whose behavioural outcomes are so much
more momentous and impactful than the total
contribution of each individual part
Complex Systems Phenomenon #4
“Emergence”
States that a highly complex system will create new
emergent behaviours, properties and characteristics
that are not an outcome of design
Complex Systems Phenomenon #5
“Strange Attractors”
States that the primary contributing agents which
exist within a complex system, will not necessarily
engage with each other through logical means of
attraction (i.e. cause & effect)
Complex Systems Phenomenon #6
“Fractals”
States that although numerous repeatable patterns
and relationships may exist within a complex
system, their behavioural outcomes will rarely be
consistent, logical or repeatable
Complex Systems Phenomenon #7
“Non-linearity”
States that a complex system is a highly
dynamic, evolutionary and unpredictable entity
and thus past performance is not a reliable
indicator of future performance
Complex Systems Phenomenon #8
“Signals”
States that complex systems are driven by the
signals which are generated by their internal
contributing components continually interacting
with and adapting to each other, and their
surrounding environment
So what?
Complex systems simply do not behave in the same
manner as rational ordered systems and for this
reason conventional risk management practices
need to evolve so as to meet the challenges of a
significantly more complex world
Once you look at risk with a
complex systems mindset, you will never look
at risk any other way, ever again
ComplexusIntelligent Risk Thinking
CC
C CC
Welcome to the world of
www.complexus.com.au

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A brief introduction to known complex systems phenomena which influence risk

  • 1. A brief introduction to those Complex Systems Phenomena known to exist within major organisations, large social groups and complex projects & programs which have the potential to either promote or neutralise material risks. Also referred to as; The Eight Habits of Highly Complex Systems
  • 2. Complex Systems Phenomenon #1 “The Butterfly Effect” States that a seemingly insignificant change in one area of a complex system can ripple and compound to create momentous, possibly even uncontrollable, impacts elsewhere within the system
  • 3. Complex Systems Phenomenon #2 “The Edge of Chaos” States that a complex system is at all times no more than a transition or two away from descending into wild disorder (chaos) and thus should be considered to be an inherently chaotic entity
  • 4. Complex Systems Phenomenon #3 “Sum of Parts” States that a complex system is a highly integrated entity whose behavioural outcomes are so much more momentous and impactful than the total contribution of each individual part
  • 5. Complex Systems Phenomenon #4 “Emergence” States that a highly complex system will create new emergent behaviours, properties and characteristics that are not an outcome of design
  • 6. Complex Systems Phenomenon #5 “Strange Attractors” States that the primary contributing agents which exist within a complex system, will not necessarily engage with each other through logical means of attraction (i.e. cause & effect)
  • 7. Complex Systems Phenomenon #6 “Fractals” States that although numerous repeatable patterns and relationships may exist within a complex system, their behavioural outcomes will rarely be consistent, logical or repeatable
  • 8. Complex Systems Phenomenon #7 “Non-linearity” States that a complex system is a highly dynamic, evolutionary and unpredictable entity and thus past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance
  • 9. Complex Systems Phenomenon #8 “Signals” States that complex systems are driven by the signals which are generated by their internal contributing components continually interacting with and adapting to each other, and their surrounding environment
  • 10. So what? Complex systems simply do not behave in the same manner as rational ordered systems and for this reason conventional risk management practices need to evolve so as to meet the challenges of a significantly more complex world
  • 11. Once you look at risk with a complex systems mindset, you will never look at risk any other way, ever again ComplexusIntelligent Risk Thinking CC C CC Welcome to the world of www.complexus.com.au