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4.5 For the 23 space shuttle flights before the Challenger mission disaster in 1986 , Table 4.6
and the shuttle data file at the text website shows the temperature (F) Table 4.6 Data for Exercise
4.5 on space shuttle. Note: Ft= flight no., Temp= temperature, TD= thermal distress (1= yes, 0=
no ). Source: Data based on Table 1 in J. Amer. Statist. Assoc, 84: 945-957 (1989), by S.R.
Dalal, E.B. Fowlkes, and B. Hoadley. Reprinted with permission from the J. Amer. Statist.
Assoc.
at the time of the flight and whether at least one primary O-ring suffered thermal distress. a. Use
logistic regression to model the effect of temperature on the probability of thermal distress.
Interpret the effect. b. Estimate the probability of thermal distress at 31, the temperature at the
time of the Challenger flight. c. At what temperature does the estimated probability equal 0.50?
At that temperature, give a linear approximation for the change in the estimated probability per
degree increase in temperature. d. Interpret the effect of temperature on the odds of thermal
distress. e. Test the hypothesis that temperature has no effect.

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