SlideShare a Scribd company logo
GSIT Writeup (Done by Dennis)
Market cap: 199M
EV/Revenue: 2.66
Insider ownership: 36%
Gross profit margin: 61%
Quick ratio: 8.2
Current Ratio 8.9
Thesis:
GSIT is a technology company based in Silicon Valley that has a core business selling high
performance memory products such as SRAM (static random access memory) and is currently
self funding their own Artificial Intelligence (AI) roadmap, which if successful, would lead to
tremendous upside. They have also been Included in the Russell 3000 index recently, which
explains the recent uptick in stock prices recently. The key thing to understand about this
company is that there are currently 3 key catalysts set in place that would propel the company
to higher valuation in the near future (nearest by summer of 2019).
1. Introducing Rad-hard chip and Rad-Tolerant chip for aerospace and defense in 2019
(Critical testing successfully completed & management stated that they are
anticipating shipping the RadHard Chip later in 2019)
2. Development of their APU which is an in-place associative computing technology for
artificial intelligence and machine learning applications. These is also where they
spend 100% of their R&D budget on. (Management said that Calendar year 2020 is
when they anticipate the APU1 launch during the Roth conference in 2019 March )
3. Likely beneficiary from trade war as Nokia continues to be a top customer and there
may be higher demand from them in the next few quarters as a result of Huawei
sanctions.
The company has a clean balance sheet with no debt, no cash burn and a profitable core
business which provides ample downside protection. It is trading at EV/Revenue of 2.66x,
with 2 near term catalysts on the horizon. Thus making this an extremely asymmetric bet.
What did the market missed:
I believe that the reason that the market is neglecting this stock is probably because this is a
microcap with nothing much to show for in its income statement (at least currently), and the
technology that the company is developing is pretty hard to understand for investors who are
not experts in the industry. Also, it has only 1 analyst covering it (according to yahoo finance).
Business:
GSIT a fabless semiconductor company that designs, develops and markets static random
access memories, or SRAMs, that operate at speeds of less than 10 nanoseconds (aka Very
Fast SRAMs), and low latency dynamic random access memories (or LLDRAMs), primarily for
the networking and telecommunications markets.
Date of publish: 24 May 2019
Their core business involves achieving design wins with leading OEMs in the networking and
telecommunications markets. Their customers are big names such as BAE Systems, Ciena,
Cisco Systems, General Dynamics, Honeywell, Lockheed, Nokia, Raytheon, Rockwell. The
gross margin for current product line is around 61%. The only reason why this company has
negative net income is due to its cost related to the R&D of the development of APU. The
company is also in the process of expanding their product line and will they will be ready for
commercialization very soon.
Current product line: IP ports, low latency DRAMS, QUAD SRAMS, DDR SRAMS, SYNCBURST
SRAMS, NBT SRAMS, specialty SRAMS, asynchronous SRAMS.
Expected product line: In-place associative computing (APU), Rad Hard SRAMS (Rad Hard)
Main business:
The company had relatively stronger results for their core business when issues arose with
ZTE last year. It appears a similar setup is occurring with Huawei, whereby their customers
will now need to shift purchases to Nokia and subsequently that will impact GSI positively.
Nokia is by far their largest customer.
Expected product line expansion:
1. Rad Hard SRAMs (radiation hardening)
Radiation hardening is the act of making electronic components and systems resistant
to damage or malfunctions caused by ionizing radiation. These are normally used in
outer space and high-altitude flight, around nuclear reactors and particle accelerators,
or during nuclear accidents or nuclear warfare. The reason why they are used is that
most semiconductor electronic components are susceptible to radiation damage.
Management has stated that critical testing successfully completed & management
stated that they are anticipating shipping the RadHard Chip later in 2019. In effect, the
product will have a gross margin of 85% with average selling price of $30k. They will
be used for satellites, missiles and high altitude flights.
According to Verified Market Research, the Radiation-Hardened Electronics Market
was valued at $1007 Million in 2018 and is projected to reach USD 1,405.43 Million by
2026 over the forecast period at a CAGR of 4.23%. However, that is for the electronics
segment as a whole and include a lot of other products, the addressable market for
radhard chips is likely to be around $50 million.
According to a representative of GSIT that I talked to, competition is unlikely to be a
big issue as eventhough competitors are currently offering radiation hardened chips,
they are not at the speed and capacity of GSI’s. GSI’s will be the fastest, least power
hungry and most capable chip, and is compatible with the chip slots that competitors
chips plug into, so no customer hardware reconfiguration is needed.
2. APU (in-place associative computing)
GSI is also entering another market with a new model for AI Chip design. Now this is
the real elephant in the room that management is betting their chips on. They are now
spending 100% of their R&D budget on the APU and R&D budget is not expecting to
increase. The TLDR is that currently the traditional computing system is based on the
Von Neumann architecture is too inefficient in today’s data driven world. This hinders
technology from progressing. For example, under the Van Neumann architecture,
computation is too slow and requires too much power for big data, self-driving cars
require too much power to run and accuracy is too low, cheminformatic &
bioinformatics for drug discovery is too slow, and visual search is too slow and
accuracy is limited. With the APU, the input/output bottleneck between traditional
GPU and memory can be greatly reduced.
Potential customer demographics for APU
According to the management team, these are the demographics of potential customers
1. cheminformatics à smaller customers, but a larger amount of customers. The
company has already collaborated with the Weizmann institute (public research
university in Israel) in order to significantly reduce the time and costs of drug discovery.
Simulation with the GSI's APU for this application have shown to improve search speed
by orders of magnitude with the reductions in clearing time from as much as 10
minutes to as little as 300 milliseconds.
2. ecommerce à some large and some small players.
3. facial recognition à small players and also government entities
GSI currently holds 20 patents and 23 pending patents for the APU.
Competition
According to Allied market research, the Artificial Intelligence Chip Market is expected to
reach $91.19 Bn, Globally, by 2025 at 45.4% CAGR. This is what the CEO Lee-Lean Shu has to
say about competition “We, okay, so APU is a very, very good in the similarity search. Okay,
so at this moment in the market, competing solution, we don't see anything close to our
solution.” Thus, if what the CEO said is true, it is likely that GSIT will be a strategic acquisition
target by one of the big boys in the tech industry since none of the big boys are able to achieve
results as good as APU1 in terms of similarity search.
While there may be the possibility of other companies looking to compete in AI similarity
search (because it’s impossible to know for sure). What’s important to understand is that the
performance gains demonstrated by GSI’s APU are due to GSI’s architecture, which is unique
and patented.
To read more about similarity search:
https://medium.com/gsi-technology/the-apu-novel-hardware-for-accelerated-similarity-
search-beaef9b19b97
Timeline for commercialization of APU:
• Current – ongoing sample evaluation
• Summer 2019 – demo boards to alpha and limited beta customers. Alpha customers
plays a key role in connecting with the concept behind a product, adopting &
validating that product. Beta customers is like an early customer, but not a tester.
• 2020 – anticipate launch of APU1
An investor friend of mine managed to speak to the management team several days ago and
he gave me an update on the commercialization of APU. “First spin had two major bugs.
Second spin is finished. One major bug was fixed, the second was mostly. They'll begin testing
it this summer and open that up to anyone that wants to. A third spin is likely later this year.
By 2020, they'll be ready to commercialize but they do not know what that will look like and
do not want to guess just yet. (Takeaway: Everything where it should be here with APU).”
According to a representative of the company that I spoke to, “GSI plans on having demo
boards available this summer. GSI’s AI team has been in dialog with visual and similarity
search teams at Google, eBay, Walmart Labs, Wayfair and the AI visual search platform
developer Clarifi. They have also be in dialog about these applications in space with NASA and
the companies that would develop space-based AI. In Cheminformatics/drug discovery they
have been involved with the Israeli-based Weissman institute, who is the research arm for
many U.S. and European big pharma companies.”
A short write up won’t be able to cover everything about this technology, so to learn more you
can read the white papers below:
For a short summary: https://www.gsitechnology.com/APU
For more detailed explanations:
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1lttOoZA6Qfu_cuaMcFOlfD5rRslrn5Wu?usp=sharing
Risks:
1. Products fail to launch or someone else beat them to launching the product.
2. Their core business has significant customer concentration risk as they derive most of
our revenues from their sale to Nokia. Purchases by Nokia represented approximately
36%, 41% and 32% of their net revenues in fiscal 2018, 2017 and 2016, respectively.
(but this is also a potential upside due to the Huawei ban)
3. Cyclical nature of networking and communications market.
Upsides and downside:
Upside
Looking at the valuation of past deals in the AI chip industry. The closest comparison to GSIT
is graphcore and it is valued at $1.7 billion. They managed to raise 200 mil from the latest
round of funding from BMW, Microsoft, Atomico, Merian Chrysalis, Investment Company
Limited, Sofina, and Sequoia. Similar interests could be generated if the commercialization of
APU by GSIT is successful. The exact valuation could be anyone’s guess and the use of financial
metrics is pretty much meaningless for a company like GSIT. However, if GSIT is to trade at
these levels, it would be likely to at least double in price in the near term and potentially be
a multi bagger in the long term, and that is without taking into account the current core
business.
Downside
The downside is that both products fail to launch, in which case it should trade back down to
the valuation of a normal SRAM company. However, even if you were to add back their R&D
expenses, it will be trading at PE of 7.7x which is also relatively cheap for a memory chip
company. The mean EV/Rev of a memory chip company is 3.75x while GSIT is trading at 2.66x.
Thus, it seems to me that the main business itself is also undervalued. I am unable to
quantitatively determine a potential downside to this investment, though it is likely that the
confidence of investors would fall in the short term if their expansion plans falls through
Conclusion
Going forward, I would like the management team to take part in more stock promotion
activities so that investors know about the story that is transparent in the company over the
next few quarters. To end it all off, I will quote what the representative answered me when I
said that the company seemed too good to be true, “Anything is possible, but remember
Nvidia was a gaming chip company before some university students wrote a white paper in
the early 2000’s on how the GPU could be used for processing deep learning neural networks.
At that time nobody thought Nvidia would become the company that is has today (a decade
later).” Only time will tell whether this works out well, but I am currently very bullish on this
stock.
Any forward-looking opinions, assumptions, assessments, or similar statements constitute
only subjective views. This information should not be relied on for investment decisions
and is subject to change due many factors, including fluctuating market conditions and
economic factors. Such Statements involve inherent risks, many of which cannot be
predicted or quantified and are beyond our control. Future evidence and actual results
could differ materially from those set forth in, contemplated by, or underlying these
Statements, which are subject to change without notice. In light of the foregoing, there can
be no assurance and no representation is given that these Statements are now, or will prove
to be, accurate or complete. We undertake no responsibility or obligation to revise or
update such Statements.

More Related Content

What's hot

Prepare to be disrupted
Prepare to be disruptedPrepare to be disrupted
Prepare to be disrupted
Mark Albala
 
Cb insights state-of-artificial-intelligence-2018
Cb insights state-of-artificial-intelligence-2018Cb insights state-of-artificial-intelligence-2018
Cb insights state-of-artificial-intelligence-2018
BioPharma Strategy Advisors
 
2017 Technology Predictions - GP.Bullhound
2017 Technology Predictions - GP.Bullhound2017 Technology Predictions - GP.Bullhound
2017 Technology Predictions - GP.Bullhound
FrenchWeb.fr
 
Move out from your comfort zone!
Move out from your comfort zone!Move out from your comfort zone!
Move out from your comfort zone!
Osaka University
 
Turkish Public Cloud Services Market 2014
Turkish Public Cloud Services Market 2014Turkish Public Cloud Services Market 2014
Turkish Public Cloud Services Market 2014
Mehmet Cetin
 
The 1,219% increase shows both profit and the impact of the chip crisis on th...
The 1,219% increase shows both profit and the impact of the chip crisis on th...The 1,219% increase shows both profit and the impact of the chip crisis on th...
The 1,219% increase shows both profit and the impact of the chip crisis on th...
aditi agarwal
 
Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Predictions 2021
Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Predictions 2021Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Predictions 2021
Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Predictions 2021
aakash malhotra
 
IoT 1-H 2014 Forecast OnV1F 1-5KCg
IoT 1-H 2014 Forecast  OnV1F 1-5KCgIoT 1-H 2014 Forecast  OnV1F 1-5KCg
IoT 1-H 2014 Forecast OnV1F 1-5KCgDennis Ward
 
Blue room pitch final
Blue room pitch finalBlue room pitch final
Blue room pitch final
Chris Hamby
 
Internet: Platform Revolution
Internet: Platform RevolutionInternet: Platform Revolution
Internet: Platform Revolution
Jeehyun Moon
 
Internet trends 2015.05.27 | KPCB Internet trends 2015
Internet trends 2015.05.27 | KPCB Internet trends 2015Internet trends 2015.05.27 | KPCB Internet trends 2015
Internet trends 2015.05.27 | KPCB Internet trends 2015
Dmytro Lysiuk
 
Us wireless market_q3_2012_update_nov_2012_chetan_sharma_consulting
Us wireless market_q3_2012_update_nov_2012_chetan_sharma_consultingUs wireless market_q3_2012_update_nov_2012_chetan_sharma_consulting
Us wireless market_q3_2012_update_nov_2012_chetan_sharma_consultingGustavo Kahil
 
The Amazing Ways YouTube Uses Artificial Intelligence And Machine Learning
The Amazing Ways YouTube Uses Artificial Intelligence And Machine LearningThe Amazing Ways YouTube Uses Artificial Intelligence And Machine Learning
The Amazing Ways YouTube Uses Artificial Intelligence And Machine Learning
Bernard Marr
 
Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit
Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit
Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit
William Barney
 
Mobile, video, gaming convergence brings opportunities
Mobile, video, gaming convergence brings opportunitiesMobile, video, gaming convergence brings opportunities
Mobile, video, gaming convergence brings opportunities
Bloomberg LP
 
Detecon Trend Report Robotics
Detecon Trend Report RoboticsDetecon Trend Report Robotics
Detecon Trend Report Robotics
Philipp Schett
 
2018 TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS. Trends & innovations shaping the global tech se...
2018  TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS. Trends & innovations shaping the global tech se...2018  TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS. Trends & innovations shaping the global tech se...
2018 TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS. Trends & innovations shaping the global tech se...
eraser Juan José Calderón
 
[Smart Grid Market Research] Smart Grid Marketplace: Where Are We Now? - Zpry...
[Smart Grid Market Research] Smart Grid Marketplace: Where Are We Now? - Zpry...[Smart Grid Market Research] Smart Grid Marketplace: Where Are We Now? - Zpry...
[Smart Grid Market Research] Smart Grid Marketplace: Where Are We Now? - Zpry...
Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC
 
CES 2019 technology trends
CES 2019 technology trendsCES 2019 technology trends
CES 2019 technology trends
Jason England
 
Stephanie Llamas (SuperData): XR by the Numbers: What the Data Tells Us
Stephanie Llamas (SuperData): XR by the Numbers: What the Data Tells UsStephanie Llamas (SuperData): XR by the Numbers: What the Data Tells Us
Stephanie Llamas (SuperData): XR by the Numbers: What the Data Tells Us
AugmentedWorldExpo
 

What's hot (20)

Prepare to be disrupted
Prepare to be disruptedPrepare to be disrupted
Prepare to be disrupted
 
Cb insights state-of-artificial-intelligence-2018
Cb insights state-of-artificial-intelligence-2018Cb insights state-of-artificial-intelligence-2018
Cb insights state-of-artificial-intelligence-2018
 
2017 Technology Predictions - GP.Bullhound
2017 Technology Predictions - GP.Bullhound2017 Technology Predictions - GP.Bullhound
2017 Technology Predictions - GP.Bullhound
 
Move out from your comfort zone!
Move out from your comfort zone!Move out from your comfort zone!
Move out from your comfort zone!
 
Turkish Public Cloud Services Market 2014
Turkish Public Cloud Services Market 2014Turkish Public Cloud Services Market 2014
Turkish Public Cloud Services Market 2014
 
The 1,219% increase shows both profit and the impact of the chip crisis on th...
The 1,219% increase shows both profit and the impact of the chip crisis on th...The 1,219% increase shows both profit and the impact of the chip crisis on th...
The 1,219% increase shows both profit and the impact of the chip crisis on th...
 
Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Predictions 2021
Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Predictions 2021Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Predictions 2021
Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Predictions 2021
 
IoT 1-H 2014 Forecast OnV1F 1-5KCg
IoT 1-H 2014 Forecast  OnV1F 1-5KCgIoT 1-H 2014 Forecast  OnV1F 1-5KCg
IoT 1-H 2014 Forecast OnV1F 1-5KCg
 
Blue room pitch final
Blue room pitch finalBlue room pitch final
Blue room pitch final
 
Internet: Platform Revolution
Internet: Platform RevolutionInternet: Platform Revolution
Internet: Platform Revolution
 
Internet trends 2015.05.27 | KPCB Internet trends 2015
Internet trends 2015.05.27 | KPCB Internet trends 2015Internet trends 2015.05.27 | KPCB Internet trends 2015
Internet trends 2015.05.27 | KPCB Internet trends 2015
 
Us wireless market_q3_2012_update_nov_2012_chetan_sharma_consulting
Us wireless market_q3_2012_update_nov_2012_chetan_sharma_consultingUs wireless market_q3_2012_update_nov_2012_chetan_sharma_consulting
Us wireless market_q3_2012_update_nov_2012_chetan_sharma_consulting
 
The Amazing Ways YouTube Uses Artificial Intelligence And Machine Learning
The Amazing Ways YouTube Uses Artificial Intelligence And Machine LearningThe Amazing Ways YouTube Uses Artificial Intelligence And Machine Learning
The Amazing Ways YouTube Uses Artificial Intelligence And Machine Learning
 
Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit
Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit
Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit
 
Mobile, video, gaming convergence brings opportunities
Mobile, video, gaming convergence brings opportunitiesMobile, video, gaming convergence brings opportunities
Mobile, video, gaming convergence brings opportunities
 
Detecon Trend Report Robotics
Detecon Trend Report RoboticsDetecon Trend Report Robotics
Detecon Trend Report Robotics
 
2018 TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS. Trends & innovations shaping the global tech se...
2018  TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS. Trends & innovations shaping the global tech se...2018  TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS. Trends & innovations shaping the global tech se...
2018 TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS. Trends & innovations shaping the global tech se...
 
[Smart Grid Market Research] Smart Grid Marketplace: Where Are We Now? - Zpry...
[Smart Grid Market Research] Smart Grid Marketplace: Where Are We Now? - Zpry...[Smart Grid Market Research] Smart Grid Marketplace: Where Are We Now? - Zpry...
[Smart Grid Market Research] Smart Grid Marketplace: Where Are We Now? - Zpry...
 
CES 2019 technology trends
CES 2019 technology trendsCES 2019 technology trends
CES 2019 technology trends
 
Stephanie Llamas (SuperData): XR by the Numbers: What the Data Tells Us
Stephanie Llamas (SuperData): XR by the Numbers: What the Data Tells UsStephanie Llamas (SuperData): XR by the Numbers: What the Data Tells Us
Stephanie Llamas (SuperData): XR by the Numbers: What the Data Tells Us
 

Similar to 3. gsit (24 may 2019)

Artificial Neural Network Market.pdf
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdfArtificial Neural Network Market.pdf
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdf
sagarsingh443888
 
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdf
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdfArtificial Neural Network Market.pdf
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdf
sagarsingh443888
 
Augmented & Mixed Reality Opportunity Snapshot
Augmented & Mixed Reality Opportunity SnapshotAugmented & Mixed Reality Opportunity Snapshot
Augmented & Mixed Reality Opportunity Snapshot
Harbor Research
 
Autonomous Data Platform Market.pdf
Autonomous Data Platform Market.pdfAutonomous Data Platform Market.pdf
Autonomous Data Platform Market.pdf
sagarsingh443888
 
Portfolio-Mang_TECH_Fall-2016
Portfolio-Mang_TECH_Fall-2016Portfolio-Mang_TECH_Fall-2016
Portfolio-Mang_TECH_Fall-2016Jason Wyman
 
docPDF-17.pdf
docPDF-17.pdfdocPDF-17.pdf
docPDF-17.pdf
FauziAbdurrohim
 
Forecast of Global Semiconductor Inspection Equipment Players Market 2023
Forecast of Global Semiconductor Inspection Equipment Players Market 2023Forecast of Global Semiconductor Inspection Equipment Players Market 2023
Forecast of Global Semiconductor Inspection Equipment Players Market 2023
Market Research Reports, Inc.
 
Jakarta presentation
Jakarta presentationJakarta presentation
Jakarta presentationGil Brown
 
AMD_Stock Pitch Report_final
AMD_Stock Pitch Report_finalAMD_Stock Pitch Report_final
AMD_Stock Pitch Report_finalXitong Zhou
 
Commercialization of AI 3.0
Commercialization of AI 3.0Commercialization of AI 3.0
Commercialization of AI 3.0
APPANION
 
Smart Data Module 6 d drive the future
Smart Data Module 6 d drive the futureSmart Data Module 6 d drive the future
Smart Data Module 6 d drive the future
caniceconsulting
 
Amid heightened competition to sell data analysis software, closel.docx
Amid heightened competition to sell data analysis software, closel.docxAmid heightened competition to sell data analysis software, closel.docx
Amid heightened competition to sell data analysis software, closel.docx
daniahendric
 
AI in Business - Key drivers and future value
AI in Business - Key drivers and future valueAI in Business - Key drivers and future value
AI in Business - Key drivers and future value
APPANION
 
Global technology 2016 outlook
Global technology 2016 outlookGlobal technology 2016 outlook
Global technology 2016 outlook
Bloomberg LP
 
Machine Learning.docx.pdf
Machine Learning.docx.pdfMachine Learning.docx.pdf
Machine Learning.docx.pdf
DevDeshpande2
 
Future of Big Data
Future of Big DataFuture of Big Data
Future of Big Data
IRJET Journal
 
Artificial intelligence in manufacturing
Artificial intelligence in manufacturingArtificial intelligence in manufacturing
Artificial intelligence in manufacturing
Ashutosh Sable
 
Technology| Canada and the World
Technology| Canada and the World Technology| Canada and the World
Technology| Canada and the World
paul young cpa, cga
 
Technical Illustration Software Market.pdf
Technical Illustration Software Market.pdfTechnical Illustration Software Market.pdf
Technical Illustration Software Market.pdf
sagarsingh443888
 

Similar to 3. gsit (24 may 2019) (20)

Artificial Neural Network Market.pdf
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdfArtificial Neural Network Market.pdf
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdf
 
semiconductor_industry
semiconductor_industrysemiconductor_industry
semiconductor_industry
 
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdf
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdfArtificial Neural Network Market.pdf
Artificial Neural Network Market.pdf
 
Augmented & Mixed Reality Opportunity Snapshot
Augmented & Mixed Reality Opportunity SnapshotAugmented & Mixed Reality Opportunity Snapshot
Augmented & Mixed Reality Opportunity Snapshot
 
Autonomous Data Platform Market.pdf
Autonomous Data Platform Market.pdfAutonomous Data Platform Market.pdf
Autonomous Data Platform Market.pdf
 
Portfolio-Mang_TECH_Fall-2016
Portfolio-Mang_TECH_Fall-2016Portfolio-Mang_TECH_Fall-2016
Portfolio-Mang_TECH_Fall-2016
 
docPDF-17.pdf
docPDF-17.pdfdocPDF-17.pdf
docPDF-17.pdf
 
Forecast of Global Semiconductor Inspection Equipment Players Market 2023
Forecast of Global Semiconductor Inspection Equipment Players Market 2023Forecast of Global Semiconductor Inspection Equipment Players Market 2023
Forecast of Global Semiconductor Inspection Equipment Players Market 2023
 
Jakarta presentation
Jakarta presentationJakarta presentation
Jakarta presentation
 
AMD_Stock Pitch Report_final
AMD_Stock Pitch Report_finalAMD_Stock Pitch Report_final
AMD_Stock Pitch Report_final
 
Commercialization of AI 3.0
Commercialization of AI 3.0Commercialization of AI 3.0
Commercialization of AI 3.0
 
Smart Data Module 6 d drive the future
Smart Data Module 6 d drive the futureSmart Data Module 6 d drive the future
Smart Data Module 6 d drive the future
 
Amid heightened competition to sell data analysis software, closel.docx
Amid heightened competition to sell data analysis software, closel.docxAmid heightened competition to sell data analysis software, closel.docx
Amid heightened competition to sell data analysis software, closel.docx
 
AI in Business - Key drivers and future value
AI in Business - Key drivers and future valueAI in Business - Key drivers and future value
AI in Business - Key drivers and future value
 
Global technology 2016 outlook
Global technology 2016 outlookGlobal technology 2016 outlook
Global technology 2016 outlook
 
Machine Learning.docx.pdf
Machine Learning.docx.pdfMachine Learning.docx.pdf
Machine Learning.docx.pdf
 
Future of Big Data
Future of Big DataFuture of Big Data
Future of Big Data
 
Artificial intelligence in manufacturing
Artificial intelligence in manufacturingArtificial intelligence in manufacturing
Artificial intelligence in manufacturing
 
Technology| Canada and the World
Technology| Canada and the World Technology| Canada and the World
Technology| Canada and the World
 
Technical Illustration Software Market.pdf
Technical Illustration Software Market.pdfTechnical Illustration Software Market.pdf
Technical Illustration Software Market.pdf
 

Recently uploaded

FIA officials brutally tortured innocent and snatched 200 Bitcoins of worth 4...
FIA officials brutally tortured innocent and snatched 200 Bitcoins of worth 4...FIA officials brutally tortured innocent and snatched 200 Bitcoins of worth 4...
FIA officials brutally tortured innocent and snatched 200 Bitcoins of worth 4...
jamalseoexpert1978
 
Chapter 7 Final business management sciences .ppt
Chapter 7 Final business management sciences .pptChapter 7 Final business management sciences .ppt
Chapter 7 Final business management sciences .ppt
ssuser567e2d
 
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Top Forex Brokers Review
 
Auditing study material for b.com final year students
Auditing study material for b.com final year  studentsAuditing study material for b.com final year  students
Auditing study material for b.com final year students
narasimhamurthyh4
 
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
dylandmeas
 
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and TemplatesDigital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Aurelien Domont, MBA
 
Recruiting in the Digital Age: A Social Media Masterclass
Recruiting in the Digital Age: A Social Media MasterclassRecruiting in the Digital Age: A Social Media Masterclass
Recruiting in the Digital Age: A Social Media Masterclass
LuanWise
 
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_dog-alogue_digital.pdf
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_dog-alogue_digital.pdfikea_woodgreen_petscharity_dog-alogue_digital.pdf
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_dog-alogue_digital.pdf
agatadrynko
 
Brand Analysis for an artist named Struan
Brand Analysis for an artist named StruanBrand Analysis for an artist named Struan
Brand Analysis for an artist named Struan
sarahvanessa51503
 
The 10 Most Influential Leaders Guiding Corporate Evolution, 2024.pdf
The 10 Most Influential Leaders Guiding Corporate Evolution, 2024.pdfThe 10 Most Influential Leaders Guiding Corporate Evolution, 2024.pdf
The 10 Most Influential Leaders Guiding Corporate Evolution, 2024.pdf
thesiliconleaders
 
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptxIn the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
Adani case
 
Tata Group Dials Taiwan for Its Chipmaking Ambition in Gujarat’s Dholera
Tata Group Dials Taiwan for Its Chipmaking Ambition in Gujarat’s DholeraTata Group Dials Taiwan for Its Chipmaking Ambition in Gujarat’s Dholera
Tata Group Dials Taiwan for Its Chipmaking Ambition in Gujarat’s Dholera
Avirahi City Dholera
 
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
balatucanapplelovely
 
Project File Report BBA 6th semester.pdf
Project File Report BBA 6th semester.pdfProject File Report BBA 6th semester.pdf
Project File Report BBA 6th semester.pdf
RajPriye
 
Maksym Vyshnivetskyi: PMO Quality Management (UA)
Maksym Vyshnivetskyi: PMO Quality Management (UA)Maksym Vyshnivetskyi: PMO Quality Management (UA)
Maksym Vyshnivetskyi: PMO Quality Management (UA)
Lviv Startup Club
 
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
Adam Smith
 
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
tanyjahb
 
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challengesEvent Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Holger Mueller
 
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnapMastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Norma Mushkat Gaffin
 
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
ecamare2
 

Recently uploaded (20)

FIA officials brutally tortured innocent and snatched 200 Bitcoins of worth 4...
FIA officials brutally tortured innocent and snatched 200 Bitcoins of worth 4...FIA officials brutally tortured innocent and snatched 200 Bitcoins of worth 4...
FIA officials brutally tortured innocent and snatched 200 Bitcoins of worth 4...
 
Chapter 7 Final business management sciences .ppt
Chapter 7 Final business management sciences .pptChapter 7 Final business management sciences .ppt
Chapter 7 Final business management sciences .ppt
 
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
 
Auditing study material for b.com final year students
Auditing study material for b.com final year  studentsAuditing study material for b.com final year  students
Auditing study material for b.com final year students
 
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...
 
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and TemplatesDigital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and Templates
 
Recruiting in the Digital Age: A Social Media Masterclass
Recruiting in the Digital Age: A Social Media MasterclassRecruiting in the Digital Age: A Social Media Masterclass
Recruiting in the Digital Age: A Social Media Masterclass
 
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_dog-alogue_digital.pdf
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_dog-alogue_digital.pdfikea_woodgreen_petscharity_dog-alogue_digital.pdf
ikea_woodgreen_petscharity_dog-alogue_digital.pdf
 
Brand Analysis for an artist named Struan
Brand Analysis for an artist named StruanBrand Analysis for an artist named Struan
Brand Analysis for an artist named Struan
 
The 10 Most Influential Leaders Guiding Corporate Evolution, 2024.pdf
The 10 Most Influential Leaders Guiding Corporate Evolution, 2024.pdfThe 10 Most Influential Leaders Guiding Corporate Evolution, 2024.pdf
The 10 Most Influential Leaders Guiding Corporate Evolution, 2024.pdf
 
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptxIn the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
In the Adani-Hindenburg case, what is SEBI investigating.pptx
 
Tata Group Dials Taiwan for Its Chipmaking Ambition in Gujarat’s Dholera
Tata Group Dials Taiwan for Its Chipmaking Ambition in Gujarat’s DholeraTata Group Dials Taiwan for Its Chipmaking Ambition in Gujarat’s Dholera
Tata Group Dials Taiwan for Its Chipmaking Ambition in Gujarat’s Dholera
 
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
 
Project File Report BBA 6th semester.pdf
Project File Report BBA 6th semester.pdfProject File Report BBA 6th semester.pdf
Project File Report BBA 6th semester.pdf
 
Maksym Vyshnivetskyi: PMO Quality Management (UA)
Maksym Vyshnivetskyi: PMO Quality Management (UA)Maksym Vyshnivetskyi: PMO Quality Management (UA)
Maksym Vyshnivetskyi: PMO Quality Management (UA)
 
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
 
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptx
 
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challengesEvent Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
 
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnapMastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
Mastering B2B Payments Webinar from BlueSnap
 
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
 

3. gsit (24 may 2019)

  • 1. GSIT Writeup (Done by Dennis) Market cap: 199M EV/Revenue: 2.66 Insider ownership: 36% Gross profit margin: 61% Quick ratio: 8.2 Current Ratio 8.9 Thesis: GSIT is a technology company based in Silicon Valley that has a core business selling high performance memory products such as SRAM (static random access memory) and is currently self funding their own Artificial Intelligence (AI) roadmap, which if successful, would lead to tremendous upside. They have also been Included in the Russell 3000 index recently, which explains the recent uptick in stock prices recently. The key thing to understand about this company is that there are currently 3 key catalysts set in place that would propel the company to higher valuation in the near future (nearest by summer of 2019). 1. Introducing Rad-hard chip and Rad-Tolerant chip for aerospace and defense in 2019 (Critical testing successfully completed & management stated that they are anticipating shipping the RadHard Chip later in 2019) 2. Development of their APU which is an in-place associative computing technology for artificial intelligence and machine learning applications. These is also where they spend 100% of their R&D budget on. (Management said that Calendar year 2020 is when they anticipate the APU1 launch during the Roth conference in 2019 March ) 3. Likely beneficiary from trade war as Nokia continues to be a top customer and there may be higher demand from them in the next few quarters as a result of Huawei sanctions. The company has a clean balance sheet with no debt, no cash burn and a profitable core business which provides ample downside protection. It is trading at EV/Revenue of 2.66x, with 2 near term catalysts on the horizon. Thus making this an extremely asymmetric bet. What did the market missed: I believe that the reason that the market is neglecting this stock is probably because this is a microcap with nothing much to show for in its income statement (at least currently), and the technology that the company is developing is pretty hard to understand for investors who are not experts in the industry. Also, it has only 1 analyst covering it (according to yahoo finance). Business: GSIT a fabless semiconductor company that designs, develops and markets static random access memories, or SRAMs, that operate at speeds of less than 10 nanoseconds (aka Very Fast SRAMs), and low latency dynamic random access memories (or LLDRAMs), primarily for the networking and telecommunications markets. Date of publish: 24 May 2019
  • 2. Their core business involves achieving design wins with leading OEMs in the networking and telecommunications markets. Their customers are big names such as BAE Systems, Ciena, Cisco Systems, General Dynamics, Honeywell, Lockheed, Nokia, Raytheon, Rockwell. The gross margin for current product line is around 61%. The only reason why this company has negative net income is due to its cost related to the R&D of the development of APU. The company is also in the process of expanding their product line and will they will be ready for commercialization very soon. Current product line: IP ports, low latency DRAMS, QUAD SRAMS, DDR SRAMS, SYNCBURST SRAMS, NBT SRAMS, specialty SRAMS, asynchronous SRAMS. Expected product line: In-place associative computing (APU), Rad Hard SRAMS (Rad Hard) Main business: The company had relatively stronger results for their core business when issues arose with ZTE last year. It appears a similar setup is occurring with Huawei, whereby their customers will now need to shift purchases to Nokia and subsequently that will impact GSI positively. Nokia is by far their largest customer. Expected product line expansion: 1. Rad Hard SRAMs (radiation hardening) Radiation hardening is the act of making electronic components and systems resistant to damage or malfunctions caused by ionizing radiation. These are normally used in outer space and high-altitude flight, around nuclear reactors and particle accelerators, or during nuclear accidents or nuclear warfare. The reason why they are used is that most semiconductor electronic components are susceptible to radiation damage. Management has stated that critical testing successfully completed & management stated that they are anticipating shipping the RadHard Chip later in 2019. In effect, the product will have a gross margin of 85% with average selling price of $30k. They will be used for satellites, missiles and high altitude flights. According to Verified Market Research, the Radiation-Hardened Electronics Market was valued at $1007 Million in 2018 and is projected to reach USD 1,405.43 Million by 2026 over the forecast period at a CAGR of 4.23%. However, that is for the electronics segment as a whole and include a lot of other products, the addressable market for radhard chips is likely to be around $50 million. According to a representative of GSIT that I talked to, competition is unlikely to be a big issue as eventhough competitors are currently offering radiation hardened chips, they are not at the speed and capacity of GSI’s. GSI’s will be the fastest, least power hungry and most capable chip, and is compatible with the chip slots that competitors chips plug into, so no customer hardware reconfiguration is needed. 2. APU (in-place associative computing) GSI is also entering another market with a new model for AI Chip design. Now this is the real elephant in the room that management is betting their chips on. They are now spending 100% of their R&D budget on the APU and R&D budget is not expecting to
  • 3. increase. The TLDR is that currently the traditional computing system is based on the Von Neumann architecture is too inefficient in today’s data driven world. This hinders technology from progressing. For example, under the Van Neumann architecture, computation is too slow and requires too much power for big data, self-driving cars require too much power to run and accuracy is too low, cheminformatic & bioinformatics for drug discovery is too slow, and visual search is too slow and accuracy is limited. With the APU, the input/output bottleneck between traditional GPU and memory can be greatly reduced.
  • 4. Potential customer demographics for APU According to the management team, these are the demographics of potential customers 1. cheminformatics à smaller customers, but a larger amount of customers. The company has already collaborated with the Weizmann institute (public research university in Israel) in order to significantly reduce the time and costs of drug discovery. Simulation with the GSI's APU for this application have shown to improve search speed by orders of magnitude with the reductions in clearing time from as much as 10 minutes to as little as 300 milliseconds. 2. ecommerce à some large and some small players. 3. facial recognition à small players and also government entities GSI currently holds 20 patents and 23 pending patents for the APU.
  • 5. Competition According to Allied market research, the Artificial Intelligence Chip Market is expected to reach $91.19 Bn, Globally, by 2025 at 45.4% CAGR. This is what the CEO Lee-Lean Shu has to say about competition “We, okay, so APU is a very, very good in the similarity search. Okay, so at this moment in the market, competing solution, we don't see anything close to our solution.” Thus, if what the CEO said is true, it is likely that GSIT will be a strategic acquisition target by one of the big boys in the tech industry since none of the big boys are able to achieve results as good as APU1 in terms of similarity search. While there may be the possibility of other companies looking to compete in AI similarity search (because it’s impossible to know for sure). What’s important to understand is that the performance gains demonstrated by GSI’s APU are due to GSI’s architecture, which is unique and patented. To read more about similarity search: https://medium.com/gsi-technology/the-apu-novel-hardware-for-accelerated-similarity- search-beaef9b19b97 Timeline for commercialization of APU: • Current – ongoing sample evaluation • Summer 2019 – demo boards to alpha and limited beta customers. Alpha customers plays a key role in connecting with the concept behind a product, adopting & validating that product. Beta customers is like an early customer, but not a tester. • 2020 – anticipate launch of APU1
  • 6. An investor friend of mine managed to speak to the management team several days ago and he gave me an update on the commercialization of APU. “First spin had two major bugs. Second spin is finished. One major bug was fixed, the second was mostly. They'll begin testing it this summer and open that up to anyone that wants to. A third spin is likely later this year. By 2020, they'll be ready to commercialize but they do not know what that will look like and do not want to guess just yet. (Takeaway: Everything where it should be here with APU).” According to a representative of the company that I spoke to, “GSI plans on having demo boards available this summer. GSI’s AI team has been in dialog with visual and similarity search teams at Google, eBay, Walmart Labs, Wayfair and the AI visual search platform developer Clarifi. They have also be in dialog about these applications in space with NASA and the companies that would develop space-based AI. In Cheminformatics/drug discovery they have been involved with the Israeli-based Weissman institute, who is the research arm for many U.S. and European big pharma companies.” A short write up won’t be able to cover everything about this technology, so to learn more you can read the white papers below: For a short summary: https://www.gsitechnology.com/APU For more detailed explanations: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1lttOoZA6Qfu_cuaMcFOlfD5rRslrn5Wu?usp=sharing Risks: 1. Products fail to launch or someone else beat them to launching the product. 2. Their core business has significant customer concentration risk as they derive most of our revenues from their sale to Nokia. Purchases by Nokia represented approximately 36%, 41% and 32% of their net revenues in fiscal 2018, 2017 and 2016, respectively. (but this is also a potential upside due to the Huawei ban) 3. Cyclical nature of networking and communications market. Upsides and downside: Upside Looking at the valuation of past deals in the AI chip industry. The closest comparison to GSIT is graphcore and it is valued at $1.7 billion. They managed to raise 200 mil from the latest round of funding from BMW, Microsoft, Atomico, Merian Chrysalis, Investment Company Limited, Sofina, and Sequoia. Similar interests could be generated if the commercialization of APU by GSIT is successful. The exact valuation could be anyone’s guess and the use of financial metrics is pretty much meaningless for a company like GSIT. However, if GSIT is to trade at these levels, it would be likely to at least double in price in the near term and potentially be a multi bagger in the long term, and that is without taking into account the current core business.
  • 7. Downside The downside is that both products fail to launch, in which case it should trade back down to the valuation of a normal SRAM company. However, even if you were to add back their R&D expenses, it will be trading at PE of 7.7x which is also relatively cheap for a memory chip company. The mean EV/Rev of a memory chip company is 3.75x while GSIT is trading at 2.66x. Thus, it seems to me that the main business itself is also undervalued. I am unable to quantitatively determine a potential downside to this investment, though it is likely that the confidence of investors would fall in the short term if their expansion plans falls through Conclusion Going forward, I would like the management team to take part in more stock promotion activities so that investors know about the story that is transparent in the company over the next few quarters. To end it all off, I will quote what the representative answered me when I said that the company seemed too good to be true, “Anything is possible, but remember Nvidia was a gaming chip company before some university students wrote a white paper in the early 2000’s on how the GPU could be used for processing deep learning neural networks. At that time nobody thought Nvidia would become the company that is has today (a decade later).” Only time will tell whether this works out well, but I am currently very bullish on this stock. Any forward-looking opinions, assumptions, assessments, or similar statements constitute only subjective views. This information should not be relied on for investment decisions and is subject to change due many factors, including fluctuating market conditions and economic factors. Such Statements involve inherent risks, many of which cannot be predicted or quantified and are beyond our control. Future evidence and actual results could differ materially from those set forth in, contemplated by, or underlying these Statements, which are subject to change without notice. In light of the foregoing, there can be no assurance and no representation is given that these Statements are now, or will prove to be, accurate or complete. We undertake no responsibility or obligation to revise or update such Statements.