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Senior Research Fellow
IFPRI
What does transforming food systems
actually mean?
John M. Ulimwengu
#2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE
Understanding Food
Systems
Source: Ericksen (2008)
#2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE
On the state of
African food
system: Outcomes
• Africa is not on track to meet the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 2.
• Progress towards achieving the nutrition targets by 2025 remains unacceptably slow.
• About 280 million people on the continent, over one-fifth of the population, face hunger.
• Millions of Africans suffer from widespread micronutrient deficiencies.
• Poor diet is becoming the main contributor to the burden of disease.
• Poor nutrition can lead to reduced earning potential and increased costs for healthcare.
• Individuals and families are locked into inter-generational cycles of poverty and
deprivation.
• Overweight and obesity are already significant public health concerns in many countries.
#2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE
The urgency of food system
transformation is now irrefutable
(Webb et al., 2020)
• Food systems are already operating beyond some planetary boundaries (Steffen et al., 2015; . Sterner et al.,
2019).
• Agriculture and its associated land-use changes account for roughly 21% of anthropomorphic greenhouse gas
emissions between 2007 and 2016 (IPCC, 2019).
• Pressures placed on natural resources by food production have left 25% of the globe’s cultivated land area
degraded.
• Deforestation for agriculture and the intensification of agricultural landscapes are major contributors to
biodiversity loss (Daskalova et al., 2020).
• Environmental damage caused by the current management of food systems amplifies disruption — extreme
weather events precipitate forced migration, exacerbate tensions around the use of scarce freshwater or fish
stocks, and can fuel political instability (OECD, 2018)
• the United Nations Food Systems Summit (UNFSS) called for a transformation of food systems that guarantees
equitable access to affordable, healthy, and safe food, produced in fair and environment-friendly ways.
#2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE
Food System Transformation:
Finding the right entry point!
• What specific elements of the ‘system’ actually need to be transformed?
• Separating the food system activities (the ‘what we do’) from the outcomes (the
‘what we get’) helps to identify what specifically needs to be transformed.
• Certain individuals may have a particular interest in specific activities (which are
normally related to livelihood activities, for example, farmers in farming).
• From a societal-level viewpoint the aim is to transform (that is, improve) overall food
system outcomes, rather than enhance the efficiency or equitability of individual
activities.
• Food and nutrition security is one of the highly valued features in a society (Walker et
al., 2020).
#2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE
Food System Transformation:
Objective
• The objective of food system transformation is to transform food system outcomes
from sub-optimal (state A) to more optimal (state B) (Ingram and Thornton, 2022).
 Poor diet outcomes to better diet outcomes,
 Poor food safety to better food safety,
 Poor working conditions to fairer conditions,
 Insufficient shareholder returns to increased returns,
 Unsustainable to more sustainable environmental outcomes
 Poor animal welfare to better animal welfare
• The specific goal(s) will depend on local context and view of what is important
• Trade-offs between conflicting goals will need to be addressed.
#2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE
Food System Transformation:
Requires significant behavioral
changes
• Food system outcomes will not transform spontaneously but only as the result of a
food system actor changing behavior, that is, adapting behavior from state A to state
B.
 Individuals adapting their diet from excess calorific intake to sufficient intake to better manage
health outcomes.
 food processors adapting food hygiene techniques and the introduction of new technologies to
reduce food-borne disease outbreaks.
 Substantially transforming the food system outcome of obesity could be achieved by radically
reducing consumption behavior of high-energy foods.
 Adapting food formulation to reduce high-energy content while also adapting consumption
behavior.
#2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE
Food System Transformation:
Actors must respond to the
signals!
• Food system activities will not adapt spontaneously, but only by their respective actors responding to a
signal.
• The signals are the social, economic, cultural, technological, political and environmental drivers that
influence the ways in which food system actors undertake their activities.
• These can be internal within the set of food system activities or external, such as a public health
message influencing consumption patterns.
• Either way, signals can be seen as an opportunity or a threat:
• a new hospitality outlet opening seeking more vegetable-based ingredients leading to a grower
adapting their production system
• an upcoming change in pesticide legislation that would require a farmer to adapt their crop
management).
• To transform food system outcomes, food system actors need to adapt their activities in response to
ever-changing signals, and it is incumbent on policymakers to be continually reassessing the way in
which policy is affecting, and can affect, the signals that drive food system actor behavior.
#2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE
Food System Transformation:
Putting all together!
Ingram and Thornton (2022)
#2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE
Food systems transformation
requires science–policy–society
interfaces (Singh et al., 2023)
• Efficient science–policy interfaces (SPIs) that effectively bridge all components of food systems in a
coordinated way will be key to transformation.
• Effective SPIs need to support six key functions: forecasting and monitoring, capacity building, data
collection, independent assessment, engagement and advocacy.
• Achieving a sustainable food system transformation requires an inter-linked ecosystem of ‘science–
policy–society’ interfaces (SPSIs) that embody participation, legitimacy, accountability, transparency,
rigor, capacity and empowerment.
• SPSIs will ensure ground-truthing of scientific evidence in multiple local contexts to engage with food
traditions and holders of traditional knowledge, industry and commercial food players.
THANK YOU

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John Ulimwengu_2023 AGRODEP Annual Conference - Plenary Session III

  • 1. Senior Research Fellow IFPRI What does transforming food systems actually mean? John M. Ulimwengu
  • 2. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Understanding Food Systems Source: Ericksen (2008)
  • 3. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE On the state of African food system: Outcomes • Africa is not on track to meet the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 2. • Progress towards achieving the nutrition targets by 2025 remains unacceptably slow. • About 280 million people on the continent, over one-fifth of the population, face hunger. • Millions of Africans suffer from widespread micronutrient deficiencies. • Poor diet is becoming the main contributor to the burden of disease. • Poor nutrition can lead to reduced earning potential and increased costs for healthcare. • Individuals and families are locked into inter-generational cycles of poverty and deprivation. • Overweight and obesity are already significant public health concerns in many countries.
  • 4. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE The urgency of food system transformation is now irrefutable (Webb et al., 2020) • Food systems are already operating beyond some planetary boundaries (Steffen et al., 2015; . Sterner et al., 2019). • Agriculture and its associated land-use changes account for roughly 21% of anthropomorphic greenhouse gas emissions between 2007 and 2016 (IPCC, 2019). • Pressures placed on natural resources by food production have left 25% of the globe’s cultivated land area degraded. • Deforestation for agriculture and the intensification of agricultural landscapes are major contributors to biodiversity loss (Daskalova et al., 2020). • Environmental damage caused by the current management of food systems amplifies disruption — extreme weather events precipitate forced migration, exacerbate tensions around the use of scarce freshwater or fish stocks, and can fuel political instability (OECD, 2018) • the United Nations Food Systems Summit (UNFSS) called for a transformation of food systems that guarantees equitable access to affordable, healthy, and safe food, produced in fair and environment-friendly ways.
  • 5. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Food System Transformation: Finding the right entry point! • What specific elements of the ‘system’ actually need to be transformed? • Separating the food system activities (the ‘what we do’) from the outcomes (the ‘what we get’) helps to identify what specifically needs to be transformed. • Certain individuals may have a particular interest in specific activities (which are normally related to livelihood activities, for example, farmers in farming). • From a societal-level viewpoint the aim is to transform (that is, improve) overall food system outcomes, rather than enhance the efficiency or equitability of individual activities. • Food and nutrition security is one of the highly valued features in a society (Walker et al., 2020).
  • 6. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Food System Transformation: Objective • The objective of food system transformation is to transform food system outcomes from sub-optimal (state A) to more optimal (state B) (Ingram and Thornton, 2022).  Poor diet outcomes to better diet outcomes,  Poor food safety to better food safety,  Poor working conditions to fairer conditions,  Insufficient shareholder returns to increased returns,  Unsustainable to more sustainable environmental outcomes  Poor animal welfare to better animal welfare • The specific goal(s) will depend on local context and view of what is important • Trade-offs between conflicting goals will need to be addressed.
  • 7. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Food System Transformation: Requires significant behavioral changes • Food system outcomes will not transform spontaneously but only as the result of a food system actor changing behavior, that is, adapting behavior from state A to state B.  Individuals adapting their diet from excess calorific intake to sufficient intake to better manage health outcomes.  food processors adapting food hygiene techniques and the introduction of new technologies to reduce food-borne disease outbreaks.  Substantially transforming the food system outcome of obesity could be achieved by radically reducing consumption behavior of high-energy foods.  Adapting food formulation to reduce high-energy content while also adapting consumption behavior.
  • 8. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Food System Transformation: Actors must respond to the signals! • Food system activities will not adapt spontaneously, but only by their respective actors responding to a signal. • The signals are the social, economic, cultural, technological, political and environmental drivers that influence the ways in which food system actors undertake their activities. • These can be internal within the set of food system activities or external, such as a public health message influencing consumption patterns. • Either way, signals can be seen as an opportunity or a threat: • a new hospitality outlet opening seeking more vegetable-based ingredients leading to a grower adapting their production system • an upcoming change in pesticide legislation that would require a farmer to adapt their crop management). • To transform food system outcomes, food system actors need to adapt their activities in response to ever-changing signals, and it is incumbent on policymakers to be continually reassessing the way in which policy is affecting, and can affect, the signals that drive food system actor behavior.
  • 9. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Food System Transformation: Putting all together! Ingram and Thornton (2022)
  • 10. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Food systems transformation requires science–policy–society interfaces (Singh et al., 2023) • Efficient science–policy interfaces (SPIs) that effectively bridge all components of food systems in a coordinated way will be key to transformation. • Effective SPIs need to support six key functions: forecasting and monitoring, capacity building, data collection, independent assessment, engagement and advocacy. • Achieving a sustainable food system transformation requires an inter-linked ecosystem of ‘science– policy–society’ interfaces (SPSIs) that embody participation, legitimacy, accountability, transparency, rigor, capacity and empowerment. • SPSIs will ensure ground-truthing of scientific evidence in multiple local contexts to engage with food traditions and holders of traditional knowledge, industry and commercial food players.