Deliver Mechanisms to Accelerate Dissemination: Building BridgesHillary Hanson
Scientific and Technical Partnerships in Africa: Technologies, Platforms, and Partnerships in support of the African agricultural science agenda, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire, April 4&5, 2017
Deliver Mechanisms to Accelerate Dissemination: Building BridgesHillary Hanson
Scientific and Technical Partnerships in Africa: Technologies, Platforms, and Partnerships in support of the African agricultural science agenda, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire, April 4&5, 2017
Beyond agriculture: Measuring agri-food system GDP and employmentIFPRI-PIM
Webinar with James Thurlow (IFPRI/CGIAR-PIM) presenting a new approach for measuring agri-food system GDP and employment. (Recorded on April 8, 2021)
More info and full recording: https://bit.ly/mafsGDP
Assessment of the sectoral effects of selected CGIAR technologiesHillary Hanson
Scientific and Technical Partnerships in Africa: Technologies, Platforms, and Partnerships in support of the African agricultural science agenda, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire, April 4&5, 2017
Climate change and agriculture in Central America and the Andean regionIFPRI-PIM
PIM Webinar, January 29, 2020.
Climate change poses a threat to food security and nutrition, largely through its impacts on agricultural production. To help developing countries identify where adaptation measures are most needed, IFPRI, with support from the CGIAR Research Programs on Policy, Institutions, and Markets (PIM) and Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS), conducted a multiyear study to assess the potential impact of climate change on the agriculture sector through 2050, taking into account the likely landscape of political and economic challenges that policy makers will face. The study integrated results from climate and economic models, and included detailed biophysical and bioeconomic analyses of Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Costa Rica in Central America and Colombia and Peru in the Andean region of South America.
Presenters and panelists:
Timothy Thomas, Research Fellow, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Deissy Martínez Barón, Regional Program Coordinator for Latin America, CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS)
Ana R. Rios, Natural Resources and Climate Change Senior Specialist, Inter-American Development Bank
More at http://bit.ly/ClimateChangeAgWebinar
MaMo-AfDB's "High level policy innovation through evidence and dialogue in ag...Malabo-Montpellier-Panel
Dr Debisi Araba presented and discussed Africa's surge of interest in irrigation among small-scale farmers as climate change brings more erratic weather. Currently, only 6 percent of arable land in Africa is irrigated, compared to 14 and 37 percent in Latin America and Asia respectively. At the same time, a growing population across the continent demands more, reliable and continuous supply of food. It is estimated that without additional investment in irrigation, the share of people at risk of hunger could increase by 5 percent by 2030 and 12 percent by 2050. Elevating irrigation to a top policy priority and bringing irrigation to scale could help ensure the continent’s food security in the face of more extreme weather conditions and be an engine of agricultural transformation. The Malabo Montpellier Panel’s third report, Water-Wise: Smart Irrigation Strategies for Africa, summarizes the key findings of a systematic analysis of what six African countries at the forefront of progress on irrigation have done right. The report has identified a set of policies and practices which, if brought to scale, could significantly improve the resilience and livelihoods of rural communities and spur overall agricultural growth and transformation in Africa. By adapting these lessons to countries’ specific contexts and scaling them up across the continent, African governments can meet their national and international commitments to agricultural growth and transformation.
IFPRI's flagship report reviews the major food policy issues, developments, and decisions of 2017, and highlights challenges and opportunities for 2018 at the global and regional levels. This year's report looks at the impacts of greater global integration—including the movement of goods, investment, people, and knowledge—and the threat of current antiglobalization pressures. Drawing on recent research, IFPRI researchers and other distinguished food policy experts consider a range of timely topics:
■ How can the global food system deliver food security for all in the face of the radical changes taking place today?
■ What is the role of trade in improving food security, nutrition, and sustainability?
■ How can international investment best contribute to local food security and better food systems in developing countries?
■ Do voluntary and involuntary migration increase or decrease food security in source countries and host countries?
■ What opportunities does greater data availability open up for improving agriculture and food security?
■ How does reform of developed-country farm support policies affect global food security?
■ How can global governance structures better address problems of food security and nutrition?
■ What major trends and events affected food security and nutrition across the globe in 2017?
The 2018 Global Food Policy Report also presents data tables and visualizations for several key food policy indicators, including country-level data on hunger, agricultural spending and research investment, and projections for future agricultural production and consumption. In addition to illustrative figures, tables, and a timeline of food policy events in 2017, the report includes the results of a global opinion poll on globalization and the current state of food policy.
Asian Current and Emerging Trends for Transforming Food SystemsFrancois Stepman
Presentation by Prof. Ki Hee Ryu, Institute of Green Bio Science and Technology, Seoul National University, Korea
2 June, 2021. Global Dialogue of Higher Education, Research and Advisory Services Networks and selected Actors by RUFORUM
IFPRI South Asia researchers Devesh Roy, Ruchira Boss, Mamata Pradhan and Manmeet Ajmani presented ‘Understanding the landscape of pulse policy in India and implications for trade’ to the Global Pulse Federation. The paper examines Indian policy around production, consumption and trade. The need for pulse trade policy in India to be supportive of Domestic priorities focused on serving interest of both India’s farmers and consumers.
The role of the Partnership for Aflatoxin Control in Africa (PACA)Francois Stepman
The role of the Partnership for Aflatoxin Control in Africa (PACA)
Amare Ayelew , Program Manager, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Roundtable of aflatoxin experts on
“Building a multi-stakeholder approach to mitigate aflatoxin contamination of food and feed”
Brussels, Monday 25th January 2016
The International Food Policy Research Institute – South Asia Regional Office (IFPRI-SAR) has extensively worked in Nepal on a wide range of policy issues in collaboration with the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development, Government of Nepal. The key outputs from this engagement have been published in a book, Agricultural Transformation in Nepal: Trends, Prospects and Policy Options. The book addresses some of the key strategic agricultural policy questions on major contemporary developments and emerging challenges in Nepal. The book also covers on issues leading to the changing role of agriculture with economic growth, structural transformation and poverty reduction, improvement in nutritional outcomes, as well as challenges of tackling climate change.
RBM for climate change adaptation and mitigation.
Presented in January 2015, by Bruce Campbell, Phil Thornton, Ana María Loboguerrero and Pramod Aggarwal.
CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS).
Rob Vos
SEMINAR
Virtual Event --Discussion of the 2020 Global Food Policy Report
Co-Organized by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Government of the Netherlands, IFPRI, and Food & Business Knowledge Platform
APR 28, 2020 - 10:00 AM TO 11:15 AM EDT
Changing farm structure and rural transformation in AfricaIFPRI-PIM
This presentation by Prof. Thomas Jayne from Michigan State University (MSU) recorded during the PIM Webinar/IFPRI seminar on Oct. 24, 2019, explores if and how the medium-scale farms are driving rural transformation in Africa.
Prevention and control of aflatoxin contamination in value chains: Contrib...Francois Stepman
25th January 2016. Roundtable of aflatoxin experts on “Building a multi-stakeholder approach to mitigate aflatoxin contamination of food and feed”.
Background: Food losses, issue of aflatoxin, challenges, abbreviations followed by GIZ project activities:
Promotion of value chains and reduction of risk of aflatoxin contamination: by the “Green Innovation Centres for the Agriculture and Food Sector”, commissioned by BMZ Special Initiative “ONEWORLD – No Hunger!”.
Further (planned) activities to reduce post-harvest losses and possible aflatoxin contamination: by various projects worldwide
Aflasafe technology in Zambia: Upscaling and dissemination in other countries in Africa: by IITA/CGIAR - CCAFS, GIZ/ITAACC, Bill&Melinda Gates Foundation, USDA, PACA and other partners
Aflatoxin risk assessment as part of the Rapid Food Loss Assessment Tool (RLAT): by Sector Project Sustainable Agriculture (SV NAREN)
Report Presentation
Sheryl Hendriks, Professor of Food Security, Department of Agricultural Economics, Extension and Rural Development, University of Pretoria
Beyond agriculture: Measuring agri-food system GDP and employmentIFPRI-PIM
Webinar with James Thurlow (IFPRI/CGIAR-PIM) presenting a new approach for measuring agri-food system GDP and employment. (Recorded on April 8, 2021)
More info and full recording: https://bit.ly/mafsGDP
Assessment of the sectoral effects of selected CGIAR technologiesHillary Hanson
Scientific and Technical Partnerships in Africa: Technologies, Platforms, and Partnerships in support of the African agricultural science agenda, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire, April 4&5, 2017
Climate change and agriculture in Central America and the Andean regionIFPRI-PIM
PIM Webinar, January 29, 2020.
Climate change poses a threat to food security and nutrition, largely through its impacts on agricultural production. To help developing countries identify where adaptation measures are most needed, IFPRI, with support from the CGIAR Research Programs on Policy, Institutions, and Markets (PIM) and Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS), conducted a multiyear study to assess the potential impact of climate change on the agriculture sector through 2050, taking into account the likely landscape of political and economic challenges that policy makers will face. The study integrated results from climate and economic models, and included detailed biophysical and bioeconomic analyses of Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Costa Rica in Central America and Colombia and Peru in the Andean region of South America.
Presenters and panelists:
Timothy Thomas, Research Fellow, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Deissy Martínez Barón, Regional Program Coordinator for Latin America, CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS)
Ana R. Rios, Natural Resources and Climate Change Senior Specialist, Inter-American Development Bank
More at http://bit.ly/ClimateChangeAgWebinar
MaMo-AfDB's "High level policy innovation through evidence and dialogue in ag...Malabo-Montpellier-Panel
Dr Debisi Araba presented and discussed Africa's surge of interest in irrigation among small-scale farmers as climate change brings more erratic weather. Currently, only 6 percent of arable land in Africa is irrigated, compared to 14 and 37 percent in Latin America and Asia respectively. At the same time, a growing population across the continent demands more, reliable and continuous supply of food. It is estimated that without additional investment in irrigation, the share of people at risk of hunger could increase by 5 percent by 2030 and 12 percent by 2050. Elevating irrigation to a top policy priority and bringing irrigation to scale could help ensure the continent’s food security in the face of more extreme weather conditions and be an engine of agricultural transformation. The Malabo Montpellier Panel’s third report, Water-Wise: Smart Irrigation Strategies for Africa, summarizes the key findings of a systematic analysis of what six African countries at the forefront of progress on irrigation have done right. The report has identified a set of policies and practices which, if brought to scale, could significantly improve the resilience and livelihoods of rural communities and spur overall agricultural growth and transformation in Africa. By adapting these lessons to countries’ specific contexts and scaling them up across the continent, African governments can meet their national and international commitments to agricultural growth and transformation.
IFPRI's flagship report reviews the major food policy issues, developments, and decisions of 2017, and highlights challenges and opportunities for 2018 at the global and regional levels. This year's report looks at the impacts of greater global integration—including the movement of goods, investment, people, and knowledge—and the threat of current antiglobalization pressures. Drawing on recent research, IFPRI researchers and other distinguished food policy experts consider a range of timely topics:
■ How can the global food system deliver food security for all in the face of the radical changes taking place today?
■ What is the role of trade in improving food security, nutrition, and sustainability?
■ How can international investment best contribute to local food security and better food systems in developing countries?
■ Do voluntary and involuntary migration increase or decrease food security in source countries and host countries?
■ What opportunities does greater data availability open up for improving agriculture and food security?
■ How does reform of developed-country farm support policies affect global food security?
■ How can global governance structures better address problems of food security and nutrition?
■ What major trends and events affected food security and nutrition across the globe in 2017?
The 2018 Global Food Policy Report also presents data tables and visualizations for several key food policy indicators, including country-level data on hunger, agricultural spending and research investment, and projections for future agricultural production and consumption. In addition to illustrative figures, tables, and a timeline of food policy events in 2017, the report includes the results of a global opinion poll on globalization and the current state of food policy.
Asian Current and Emerging Trends for Transforming Food SystemsFrancois Stepman
Presentation by Prof. Ki Hee Ryu, Institute of Green Bio Science and Technology, Seoul National University, Korea
2 June, 2021. Global Dialogue of Higher Education, Research and Advisory Services Networks and selected Actors by RUFORUM
IFPRI South Asia researchers Devesh Roy, Ruchira Boss, Mamata Pradhan and Manmeet Ajmani presented ‘Understanding the landscape of pulse policy in India and implications for trade’ to the Global Pulse Federation. The paper examines Indian policy around production, consumption and trade. The need for pulse trade policy in India to be supportive of Domestic priorities focused on serving interest of both India’s farmers and consumers.
The role of the Partnership for Aflatoxin Control in Africa (PACA)Francois Stepman
The role of the Partnership for Aflatoxin Control in Africa (PACA)
Amare Ayelew , Program Manager, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Roundtable of aflatoxin experts on
“Building a multi-stakeholder approach to mitigate aflatoxin contamination of food and feed”
Brussels, Monday 25th January 2016
The International Food Policy Research Institute – South Asia Regional Office (IFPRI-SAR) has extensively worked in Nepal on a wide range of policy issues in collaboration with the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development, Government of Nepal. The key outputs from this engagement have been published in a book, Agricultural Transformation in Nepal: Trends, Prospects and Policy Options. The book addresses some of the key strategic agricultural policy questions on major contemporary developments and emerging challenges in Nepal. The book also covers on issues leading to the changing role of agriculture with economic growth, structural transformation and poverty reduction, improvement in nutritional outcomes, as well as challenges of tackling climate change.
RBM for climate change adaptation and mitigation.
Presented in January 2015, by Bruce Campbell, Phil Thornton, Ana María Loboguerrero and Pramod Aggarwal.
CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS).
Rob Vos
SEMINAR
Virtual Event --Discussion of the 2020 Global Food Policy Report
Co-Organized by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Government of the Netherlands, IFPRI, and Food & Business Knowledge Platform
APR 28, 2020 - 10:00 AM TO 11:15 AM EDT
Changing farm structure and rural transformation in AfricaIFPRI-PIM
This presentation by Prof. Thomas Jayne from Michigan State University (MSU) recorded during the PIM Webinar/IFPRI seminar on Oct. 24, 2019, explores if and how the medium-scale farms are driving rural transformation in Africa.
Prevention and control of aflatoxin contamination in value chains: Contrib...Francois Stepman
25th January 2016. Roundtable of aflatoxin experts on “Building a multi-stakeholder approach to mitigate aflatoxin contamination of food and feed”.
Background: Food losses, issue of aflatoxin, challenges, abbreviations followed by GIZ project activities:
Promotion of value chains and reduction of risk of aflatoxin contamination: by the “Green Innovation Centres for the Agriculture and Food Sector”, commissioned by BMZ Special Initiative “ONEWORLD – No Hunger!”.
Further (planned) activities to reduce post-harvest losses and possible aflatoxin contamination: by various projects worldwide
Aflasafe technology in Zambia: Upscaling and dissemination in other countries in Africa: by IITA/CGIAR - CCAFS, GIZ/ITAACC, Bill&Melinda Gates Foundation, USDA, PACA and other partners
Aflatoxin risk assessment as part of the Rapid Food Loss Assessment Tool (RLAT): by Sector Project Sustainable Agriculture (SV NAREN)
Report Presentation
Sheryl Hendriks, Professor of Food Security, Department of Agricultural Economics, Extension and Rural Development, University of Pretoria
ICRISAT Global Planning Meeting 2019: Impact Assessment @ ICRISAT by Kizito M...ICRISAT
The outputs from impact assessment studies provide essential insights and feedback to the research and development process at ICRISAT. The majority of ex-post impact assessment studies at ICRISAT have focused on the impacts of genetic improvement of mandate crops. ICRISAT has moved with expanded agenda of Impact Assessment (IA) research
Mel Oluch
SPECIAL EVENT
UNFSS Independent Dialogue: The Critical Role of Agricultural Extension in Advancing the 2030 Agenda: Lessons from the Field and Empirical Evidence
Co-Organized by IFPRI and Sasakawa Africa Association (SAA)
Progress and achievement of Africa RISING (Phase II) in the Ethiopian highlandsafrica-rising
Presented by Kindu Mekonnen at the Training of Trainers on Multi-Stakeholder Platform Facilitation, Gender, and Data Management, ILRI, Addis Ababa, 20-21 November 2019
kibrom abay ag foresight closing workshop 2022.03.14Ahmed Ali
This Closing Workshop presents the output produced under the project. Modelling, analysis, and training activities’ results will be discussed and presentations will provide a walk-through of the spatial database, including both the modeling work that took place in the background as well as the online platform built to host the data in a user-friendly manner.
Workstream 1: Technology Platform: Case StudiesHillary Hanson
Scientific and Technical Partnerships in Africa: Technologies, Platforms, and Partnerships in support of the African agricultural science agenda, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire, April 4&5, 2017
Investigating food insecurity, health and environment‑related factors, and ag...Olutosin Ademola Otekunrin
Hunger and food insecurity remained some of the serious challenges facing our world in present time with great concerns from Sub-Saharan Africa especially countries like Nigeria. This study investigates food insecurity (FI), health and environment-related factors, and agricultural commercialization among smallholder farm households. This study was conducted in Southwestern Nigeria utilizing cross-sectional survey data from 352 farm households and employed multi-stage sampling procedure. The household FI levels was determined using food insecurity access scale (HFIAS), crop commercialization index (CCI) was used to compute each household’s CCI (four levels), while ordered logit model was used to analyse factors influencing FI. Health and environment-related factors’ access were assessed across each FI category. The results indicated that about 13% of cassava farm households are non-participant in the marketing of their produce. The findings revealed that less than 20%, 30%. and 40% of households in all four FI categories had access to piped water, improved toilet facilities, and electricity respectively. The ordered logit regression analysis indicated that age, gender, education level, farm experience, nonfarm income, and ownership of motorcycle significantly influencing FI in the study areas. Therefore, this study stressed the implementation of policy actions capable of promoting rural infrastructure development that will lead to increased agricultural production, marketing, and improved quality of life of rural dwellers.
KRI Brown Bag Seminar #2 - Malaysia : Current Scenario and Way Forward for th...KhazanahResearchInstitute
On 18 May 2017, guest speaker Dr. Mohd Desa Hassim, CEO of International Tropical Fruits Network (TFNet), presented at the second KRI Brown Bag Seminar on a topic titled “Malaysia: Current Scenario and Way Forward for the Fruit Industry”.
Dr. Mohd Desa started the session by discussing the importance of tropical fruit industry and current scenario in Malaysia, followed by the industry’s position in the global fruit trade. He then addressed the issues and challenges faced by the industry and wrapped up the discourse with suggestions on how to improve the industry moving forward.
A presentation by Dr. Benjamin Davis, Director, Inclusive Rural Transformation and Gender Equality Division, Food and Agriculture
Organization of the United Nations (FAO)
A presentation by Dr. John Ulimwengu, ReSAKSS Africawide Coordinator, Senior Research Fellow, Africa Region, International
Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
#2021ReSAKSS - Plenary Session I – presentation by Dr. Eliane Ubalijoro, Executive Director, Sustainability in The Digital Age, Global Hub Director, Canada, Future
Earth, and Co-editor of the 2021 Annual Trends and Outlook Report (ATOR)
African countries have diversified both their exports and trade partners over the last decade, African agricultural trade still suffers from structural problems as well as exogenous shocks. Against this backdrop, the 2021 Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor (AATM) analyzes continental and regional trends in African agricultural trade flows and policies. The report finds that many African countries continue to enjoy the most success in global markets with cash crops and niche products. At the intra-African level, countries are becoming more interconnected in trade of key commodities, but there remain many potential but unexploited trade relationships. The report examines the livestock sector in detail, finding that despite its important role in Africa, the sector is concentrated in low value- added products that are informally traded. The report also examines trade integration in the Arab Maghreb Union (AMU), which remains limited due to factors including tariffs, nontariff measures, poor transport infrastructure, and weak institutions. Finally, the report discusses the implications of two major events affecting African trade in 2020 and 2021: the COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).
Explore our comprehensive data analysis project presentation on predicting product ad campaign performance. Learn how data-driven insights can optimize your marketing strategies and enhance campaign effectiveness. Perfect for professionals and students looking to understand the power of data analysis in advertising. for more details visit: https://bostoninstituteofanalytics.org/data-science-and-artificial-intelligence/
Levelwise PageRank with Loop-Based Dead End Handling Strategy : SHORT REPORT ...Subhajit Sahu
Abstract — Levelwise PageRank is an alternative method of PageRank computation which decomposes the input graph into a directed acyclic block-graph of strongly connected components, and processes them in topological order, one level at a time. This enables calculation for ranks in a distributed fashion without per-iteration communication, unlike the standard method where all vertices are processed in each iteration. It however comes with a precondition of the absence of dead ends in the input graph. Here, the native non-distributed performance of Levelwise PageRank was compared against Monolithic PageRank on a CPU as well as a GPU. To ensure a fair comparison, Monolithic PageRank was also performed on a graph where vertices were split by components. Results indicate that Levelwise PageRank is about as fast as Monolithic PageRank on the CPU, but quite a bit slower on the GPU. Slowdown on the GPU is likely caused by a large submission of small workloads, and expected to be non-issue when the computation is performed on massive graphs.
StarCompliance is a leading firm specializing in the recovery of stolen cryptocurrency. Our comprehensive services are designed to assist individuals and organizations in navigating the complex process of fraud reporting, investigation, and fund recovery. We combine cutting-edge technology with expert legal support to provide a robust solution for victims of crypto theft.
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Opendatabay - Open Data Marketplace.pptxOpendatabay
Opendatabay.com unlocks the power of data for everyone. Open Data Marketplace fosters a collaborative hub for data enthusiasts to explore, share, and contribute to a vast collection of datasets.
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Leverage these privacy-preserving datasets for training and testing AI models without compromising sensitive information. Opendatabay prioritizes transparency by providing detailed metadata, provenance information, and usage guidelines for each dataset, ensuring users have a comprehensive understanding of the data they're working with. By leveraging a powerful combination of distributed ledger technology and rigorous third-party audits Opendatabay ensures the authenticity and reliability of every dataset. Security is at the core of Opendatabay. Marketplace implements stringent security measures, including encryption, access controls, and regular vulnerability assessments, to safeguard your data and protect your privacy.
2. Remote Sensing and Machine Learning for
.
Food Crop Production Data in Africa
.
Post-COVID-19
Racine Ly(*), Khadim Dia(*), Mariam Diallo(*)
(*)AKADEMIYA2063
3. Key Messages
1. The African agricultural sector is facing several threats; there is a need for good planning and
tools to navigate through uncertainties.
2. COVID-19 showed us the importance of robust statistical systems and the need for reliable,
timely, sustainable, and disaggregated data.
3. Conventional data gathering techniques alone are inadequate to help solve crisis that are
spatially heterogeneous; Quality, massive, frequent, and disaggregated data are needed for
preparedness.
4. Remote sensing can help reduce the data gap and machine learning allows to learn the data
patterns for predictions.
5. The outputs produced in this chapter are available in the Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa)
platform: www.aagwa.org.
4. Chapter motivations & outputs
• The COVID-19 impacts food crop production in different ways: late reception and use of ag. inputs,
labor scarcity due to mobility restriction measures.
• The COVID-19 and inadequate growing conditions push countries at the blink of a major food crisis.
• Crisis are time-sensitive and cannot wait for data availability and processing for action.
• An indication of likely ag. production would allow planning and early interventions.
• The AfCP model is built to provide stakeholders a tool for planning and decision and policymaking in
food production.
The chapter uses remote sensing and machine learning to develop the Africa
Crop Production (AfCP) model. The model produces predictions of ag.
production and yield at the pixel level.
5. Methodology (Crop selection)
• The crop selection for a country was based on its importance.
• The crop importance criteria was determined by the combination of food crop production quantities
and the food self-sufficiency for a country.
• Two rankings: (i) 10 most produced food, (ii) ranking by self-sufficiency ratio.
• The most predominant crops after the two rankings were considered.
African Regions (# countries) Food Crops
Number of
countries where
the selected
food crop
appears in the
top five
Eastern Africa (14 countries)
Maize 8
Cassava 8
Sugar cane 9
Central Africa (7 countries) Cassava 5
Southern Africa (5 countries) Maize 3
Northern Africa (5 countries) Wheat 4
Western Africa (16 countries)
Cassava 8
Rice 9
Maize 7
Table 1. List of selected
food crop by African
region.
6. Methodology (The AfCP model)
• The model uses remote sensing data during crop growing periods.
• A data processing stage produced the cleaned machine learning dataset for the predictive modeling
work (cf. chapter appendix. Description of preprocessing steps).
• An artificial neural network was used to build the relationship between input and response variables
for each African countries.
• The model was run on a test dataset for accuracy assessment (average RMSE of 0.04).
• The predictions were mapped and compared with 2017 data (a year without COVID-19).
Input Parameters Dataset ID
Spatial
resolution
(km)
Temporal
Resolution (days)
Temporal extent
(period)
NDVI MOD13A2 1 16 2000 - now
LST-day MOD11A2 1 8 2000 - now
Rainfall Africa_monthly 5.55 30 1981 – Dec 2020
Evapotranspiration MOD16A2 0.5 8 2000 - now
Production P 10 - 2000, 2005, 2010, 2017
Table 2. Inputs
parameters for the food
crop production model
with their spatial and
temporal characteristics.
7. Findings (West Africa)
Figure 1. The 2020 predicted rice production as a share of the 2017 production
for western Africa.
• A rice production decrease is
expected in western Africa by
12%.
• Sharpest decline in Benin,
Burkina Faso, and Côte
d’Ivoire.
8. Findings (North Africa)
Figure 2. The 2020 predicted wheat production as a share of
the 2017 production for northern Africa.
• 2017 production better than
2020 for Libya, Tunisia,
Morocco, and Algeria.
• Sudan and Egypt show an
increase of 3.5% and 2.8%
respectively.
9. Findings (Central Africa Region)
Figure 3. The 2020 predicted cassava production as a share of
the 2017 production for central Africa region.
• A production of 47 million MT
(2017) vs. close to 60 million
MT (2020).
• 2017: DRC (66.6%), Angola
(17.9%), Cameroon (10.2%).
• 2020: DRC (increase of 10%),
Angola (same), Cameroon
(decrease of 5.6%) compared
to 2017 shares.
10. Findings (East Africa)
Figure 4. The 2020 predicted maize production as a share of the 2017 production
for southern Africa.
• An overall decrease of 1.6% of
maize production in east
African region.
• Increase in maize production
Ethiopia (0.8%), Zimbabwe
(13.2%), Uganda (4.6%), and
Zambia (3.8%).
11. Findings (South Africa)
Figure 5. The 2020 predicted maize production as a share of the 2017 production
for southern Africa.
• Decrease of maize production
by close to 19% in 2020
compared to 2017.
• Decrease in production for
South Africa (30%), Lesotho
(20%), Eswatini (4.9%), and
Namibia (0.7%) in 2020
compared to 2017.
12. Concluding remarks
• The COVID-19 came with the suggestion to build better statistical systems for better decision-
making, intervention planning, and increase our level of preparedness.
• Remote sensing is a good alternative / complement for collecting crop data and beyond.
• Machine learning as a predictive modeling framework allow to make the invisible become blurry for
navigation through uncertainties. The availability of the most likely scenarios reduces the effects of
uncertainties.
• Capacity building on emerging technologies need to be institutionalized; And the outputs to be
produced closer to the decision-making circle.
• The adoption of emerging technologies and data gathering tools could be faster.