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2018 San Diego Quickway Presentation
- 1. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING The Quickway Proposal A Rapid Transit Strategy Optimized for San Diego OCTOBER 2018
- 2. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Why are we planning to invest over $20 billion in transit projects? Shape Regional Growth Reduce Pressure on Parking, Roads
- 3. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Shape Regional Growth Reduce Pressure on Parking, Roads For transit to shape future growth, it must first effectively serve the city as it is today.
- 4. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Shape Regional Growth Reduce Pressure on Parking, Roads What Matters Most? 1. Travel time (door to door) 2. Wait time 3. Station design 4. How close to destinations?
- 5. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING San Diego’s adopted regional transit plan looks extensive. What’s the problem?
- 6. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Plans are expressions of strategies. What are our current strategies, and how are they working?
- 7. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 1. Build out a light rail spine. 2. Run “Rapid Buses” on major arterials. 3. Add Express buses to the airport. 4. Build HOV and managed lanes. Current Transit Strategy
- 8. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING How well is this working?
- 9. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 1. The Trolley is not attracting large numbers of people from their cars. 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1995 2003 % of Trolley Riders Who “Had an Auto Available” for Their Trip 2009 Source: SANDAG Why? 1. Trolley trips still take too long. 2. Stations are often not conveniently located. 3. The overall customer experience is lacking. 2015* *Beginning with 2015, SANDAG changed the question; results are interpolated.
- 10. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 2. The Trolley is not attracting the middle-income market. Source: SANDAG, “Results of the 2009 Onboard Transit Passenger Survey for the San Diego Region,” (February, 2011). The San Diego Trolley (light rail) attracts the identical low- income market of the MTS Bus. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Below $15k $15k - <$25k $25k - <$50k $50k - <$75k $75k - <$100k $100k and Up MTS Bus Trolley Commuter Rail Freeway Bus Household Income
- 11. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 3. Too many land uses are not well-served. ¼ Mile Radius around Trolley Station Office Employment Mission Valley Though Mission Valley is one of the region’s largest office markets, the vast majority of office jobs are distant from a Trolley station.
- 12. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 4. No mode of commuting has decreased more than carpooling. -4.3% -0.7% -1/3 -1/5
- 13. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Transit = FAIL! When the freeway is blocked: 5. The system lacks resilience & back-up.
- 14. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 1. Get closer to more people, especially in denser, walkable, mixed use neighborhoods. 2. Get a lot closer to a lot more jobs. 3. Make transit as fast and direct as possible to minimize travel times. 4. Minimize wait times. 5. Design stations to provide better protection from the elements (sun, wind, and rain), moving vehicles, and other people. How to Maximize Ridership
- 15. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING The Quickway Strategy 1. Market Research. Understand what attracts transit riders. 2. Optimized System. Design your “ideal” network to maximize perceived consumer value. 3. Replicate that System. Using electric Rapid Buses, begin implementing that network. 4. Build Infrastructure. Direct capital $ to create a flexible infrastructure that cuts travel time or otherwise creates a sustainable competitive advantage. 5. Upgrade. Upgrade modes over time as feasible.
- 16. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING San Diego Quickway Proposal© 2015 by Alan Hoffman 22 So we like stations that feel like real stations, with live information announcing arrivals, full overhead protection from sun and rain, and sliding glass doors that match up to the doors on the transit vehicle. Regardless of mode—rail or bus—you should have the same consistent experience. Mode shouldn’t matter. 1 2 3 4 Vehicledeparts San Diego Quickway Proposal© 2015 by Alan Hoffman 21 So we like stations that feel like real stations, with live information announcing arrivals, full overhead protection from sun and rain, and sliding glass doors that match up to the doors on the transit vehicle. Regardless of mode—rail or bus—you should have the same consistent experience. Mode shouldn’t matter. 1 2 3 4 Boardvehicle San Diego Quickway Proposal© 2015 by Alan Hoffman 19 So we like stations that feel like real stations, with live information announcing arrivals, full overhead protection from sun and rain, and sliding glass doors that match up to the doors on the transit vehicle. Regardless of mode—rail or bus—you should have the same consistent experience. Mode shouldn’t matter. 1 2 3 4 Waitingfor vehicle San Diego Quickway Proposal© 2015 by Alan Hoffman 20 So we like stations that feel like real stations, with live information announcing arrivals, full overhead protection from sun and rain, and sliding glass doors that match up to the doors on the transit vehicle. Regardless of mode—rail or bus—you should have the same consistent experience. Mode shouldn’t matter. 1 2 3 4 Vehiclearrives
- 17. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING San Diego: Household Density Households per Acre The Trolley largely avoids areas of high population density. And though Downtown has developed a lot of new housing, Trolley boardings in Downtown haven’t reflected that growth.
- 18. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Quickways: A Flexible Infrastructure While most people think of rail—light rail or metro—when thinking Rapid Transit, there are real advantages to creating a grade-separated infrastructure for rubber-tired vehicles. Transitways such as Quickways can support a larger range of routes than rail, handle a far steeper grade, and can also be used by emergency services vehicles such as ambulances.
- 19. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONINGBrisbane: The Quickway Model “Brisbane is now at the leading edge in urban mass transit… the new busway… will attract international attention for the level of quality and customer focus that [has been] incorporated.” — Hans Rat, Secretary General International Public Transport Association (IUTP)
- 20. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING This two-lane Quickway in Australia moves more people in the peak hour than the busiest light rail line in all of North America—and over seven times as many riders as the busiest section of the San Diego Trolley!
- 21. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING
- 22. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING The use of grade separations allows this Quickway to locate stations in optimal locations, like this one literally built into a major hospital.
- 23. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 140% 120% 160% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 2003 2009 + 60% Brisbane: Ridership Growth 2008 Ridership: Rail: 60 million Busway: 50 million 2010 Ridership: Busway: 72 million Brisbane increased transit ridership by 60% in six years on the basis of 13 miles of grade-separated Quickways, while ridership on their rail network remained flat.
- 24. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Long-Term Evolution Quickway segment & station Quickway segment & station
- 25. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Uncongested roadwayQuickway segment & station Quickway segment & station Long-Term Evolution
- 26. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Quickway segment & station Quickway segment & station Long-Term Evolution
- 27. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Quickway segment & station Quickway segment & station Long-Term Evolution
- 28. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING The first generation of autonomous transit vehicles is already commercially available.
- 29. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING What About Stations?
- 30. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Cities all over the world have created attractive Rapid Transit systems using buses. This station in Venezuela is an example.
- 31. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING This station mock-up is from Cape Town, South Africa.
- 32. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING This station is from the Rea Vaya BRT network in Johannesburg, South Africa
- 33. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING What a great way to arrive at a destination!
- 34. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING The global standard is to use sliding doors or gates to protect children from moving vehicles.
- 35. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Phase I: The San Diego Connected INTEGRATED GREEN INFRASTRUCTURE Demonstration Project What does a Quickway system look like for San Diego? The first three phases have been identified.
- 36. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING UNDERGROUND SEGMENT MISSION VALLEY QUICKWAY SURFACE/ELEVATED SEGMENT UPTOWN QUICKWAY UNDERGROUND SEGMENT FreewayDeck ParkingGarage 6th AveTransit Corridor AutoUnderpass BicycleSpiral Canyon Restoration& Landscapingwith BikewayBakedIn Joint Quickway/ GreenwayStructure THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING © 2017 by The Center for Advanced Urban Visioning. All rights reserved. HistoricStreetcar “Streetcar” Routes, upgradabletorail Rapid Bus Quickway SuperStation Trolley Streetcar STATION TYPES: Quickway Bus Lanes (Surface) Rapid Bus Route Bicycle Greenway Road Tunnel Streetcar Trackless Streetcar INFRASTRUCTURE: Integrated Green Infrastructure 30th Street Streetcar Corridor NORTH PARK SuperStation HILLCREST CENTER SuperStation WASHINGTON STREET SuperStation FASHION VALLEY SuperStation San Diego Connected is a $2.2 billion first phase (same budget as the Mid-Coast Light Rail Project). It is designed to slash travel time to/from the new light rail line, as well as make transit competitive in the core areas of the region. In addition to Quickways, it includes world- class bicycle facilities, streetcars, and canyon restoration.
- 37. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING UNDERGROUND SEGMENT SURFACE/ELEVATED SEGMENT UNDERGROUND SEGMENT Quickways Grade-Separated Transit Integrated Green Infrastructure HILLCREST CENTER FASHION VALLEY Mercy NORTH PARK Uptown District 28th Esteban Bahena Albatross UCSD Hillcrest Hotel Circle Frazee Friars Mission Ctr This phase I project includes the first 5.5 miles of Quickway in three segments, of which 2.5 miles of which is underground, 1.5 miles elevated, and the rest surface. Together, these Quickways serve 4 SuperStations, 7 Quickway stations, and 3 “satellite” station entrances.
- 38. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING HILLCREST CENTER MERCY ALBATROSS Tunnel Surface Elevated Auto Tunnel Trolley Shuttle Lane Bicycle Greenway LEGEND Hillcrest is served with a mostly underground infrastructure that is integrated with bicycle and road improvements.
- 39. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING FIVE POINTS WASHINGTON ST RENTAL CAR Tunnel Surface Elevated Bus Lanes Trolley Existing Transitway Rapid Bus Routes LEGEND Middletown (Five Points) sees an upgrade of the Washington Street station to a SuperStation, the primary link to the Mid-Coast Trolley line.
- 40. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING NORTH PARK PSA WABASH NORTH PARK SUPERSTATION Future Streetcar Tunnel on 30th St Bilevel Station Two Surface Stations ~4 Minute Travel Time Savings at Rush Hour Tunnel Busway Elevated Bus Lanes Trolley Existing Busway Rapid Bus Routes LEGEND
- 41. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING UNDERGROUND SEGMENT SURFACE/ELEVATED SEGMENT UNDERGROUND SEGMENT Quickways Grade-Separated Transit Integrated Green Infrastructure HILLCREST CENTER FASHION VALLEY Mercy NORTH PARK Uptown District 28th Esteban Bahena Albatross UCSD Hillcrest Hotel Circle Frazee Friars Mission Ctr Integrated Green Infrastructure PILOT PROJECT Rapid Bus Routes A large set of electric Rapid Bus routes use all or part of the new Quickway infrastructure, producing real time savings.
- 42. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 58th College& University Aragon Yale Parks LaMesa Springs Kroc Ctr LaMesa CivicCtr Acacia LaMesa Blvd LaMesa Village College Euclid BankersHill CORTEZPLAZA/ DOWNTOWN GATEWAY Old Globe/ Museum of Man Plazade Panama BALBOA PARK 5thAVE Gaslamp Central GASLAMP/ CONVENTIONCTR Petco Park PSA Wabash Cherokee Zoo / Balboa Park Naval Hospital Mission Hills ALBATROSS WASHINGTON ST Comstock Ulric Tait E Genesee Mary Birch Sharp Memorial Children’s Juvenile Court Mesa College Allied Health Kearny HS Arizona UPTOWN DISTRICT Texas 30th & El Cajon 35th Monroe University Hts Trolley Barn Pk Oregon 32nd Normal Hts 35th EMtn View NORTH PARK CITY HEIGHTS BOULEVARD Laurel / BalboaPark Quince Upas Winona 54th College Van Dyke City Hts Village RosaParks Manzanita Olive Old Town Morena/ LindaVista Hazard Center Mission Valley Center Rio Vista Fenton Parkway Qualcomm Stadium Mission San Diego Mission Valley Rd Via Alta Civita Rio Bonito River Run HILLCREST CENTER FASHION VALLEY Polk Kensington Aldine Collwood Aztec I-15 & Adams SANTAFE DEPOT SDSU Library Tony Gwynn Fault Line GSt Police HQ 16th 22nd 25th 28th Beech Cedar Grape Juniper Redwood Landis MyrtlePershing Hawthorne County Park CruiseShip Terminal Harbor Island Terminal 1 Terminal 2 SANDIEGO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT MERCY UCSD HILLCREST HOTEL CIRCLE FRAZEE Park & Howard Park & University Mission Center Rd Avenida del Rio Siesta Camino del Rio N Centerside ESTEBAN BAHENA I-15 UNIVERSITY AVE ADAMS AVE Hilton Sheraton Scottish Rite Camino del Rio S 805 Mission City Scheidler Kearny Mesa/ I-15 to Escondido 7thHorton Plaza Justice Grantville EL CAJON BLVD COLLEGEAVE CAMINO DEL RIO SOUTH CAMINO DE LA REINA CAMINO DEL RIO NORTH RIO SAN DIEGO DR CIVITA BLVD 30THST PARKBLVD P BICYCLE GREENWAY THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING © 2017 by The Center for Advanced Urban Visioning. All rights reserved. ESt CITY COLLEGE Antique Row Rental Car Express to Airport West of Van Dyke Station, stops only at SuperStationsFIVE POINTS Kearny Mesa National City and ChulaVista Friars Mission Ctr La Mesa Village This map depicts the electric Rapid Bus (and street- car) routes that would use the new Quickways (light yellow background). Significant travel time savings and improved stations together make the network far more attractive and useful to potential riders. Connections to the Airport, UTC/UCSD, Downtown, and Mission Valley are especially improved.
- 43. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING CORTEZPLAZA/ DOWNTOWN GATEWAY 5thAVE HILLCREST CENTER SANTAFE DEPOT P Terminal 1 Terminal 2 SANDIEGO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT 58th College& University Aragon Yale Parks LaMesa Springs Kroc Ctr LaMesa CivicCtr Acacia LaMesa Blvd LaMesa VillageEuclid City Hts Village Van DykeNORTH PARK MIRAMARCOLLEGE Mira Mesa / ScrippsRanch SABRESPRINGS/ PEÑASQUITOS RANCHOBERNARDO DELLAGO Westfield North County ESCONDIDOTRANSITCTR/ SPRINTER 8thSTREET PLAZABONITA HSTREET Downtown National City St. Matthew’s 4th & Highland Division Delta Plaza& Highland 18th & Highland 24th & Highland 30th & Highland Brisbane D& 4th Rindone/ CivicCtr Downtown ChulaVista Sweetwater Cypress Broadway & H ChulaVistaCtr / Scripps County South Justice Horton Plaza Laurel / BalboaPk CITY HTS BOULEVARD WASHINGTON STREET FASHION VALLEY Kearny Mesa Harbor Island Rental Car In addition to new electric Rapid Bus routes, new MetroXpress routes connects the I-15 corridor, Kearny Mesa, La Mesa/East County, and the South Bay with destinations in the core zone, including the airport.
- 44. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Upon completion of the first three phases of the Quickway Proposal, the proposed MetroXpress route connecting La Mesa with Mid-City, North Park, Hillcrest, the Mid-Coast Trolley, and the Airport will feature extensive grade separation, dramatically slashing travel time.
- 45. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Rapid Bus Station Quickway Station SuperStation Connect to Trolley Quickway Bus Lanes (Surface) Rapid Bus Route Bicycle Greenway Road Tunnel INFRASTRUCTURE: STATION TYPES: CONNECT TO MID-COAST The existing Rapid Bus route from Escondido to Downtown could take advantage of the new Quickways to serve destinations in Mission Valley and Hillcrest, all while saving travel time.
- 46. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING BicycleCenter THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING © 2017 by The Center for Advanced Urban Visioning. All rights reserved. Integrated Green Infrastructure Greenways Landscaped Bikeways with Gentle Grades and Minimal Auto/Pedestrian ConflictsA proposed network of bicycle greenways, built to global standards (maximum sustained grade of 3%, 7.5’ lanes, minimal conflict points), would make bicycling a far safer and easier alternative for many thousands of people.
- 47. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING © 2017 by The Center for Advanced Urban Visioning. All rights reserved. Integrated Green Infrastructure PILOT PROJECT To Airport To Kensington North Park 30th Street Streetcar NetworkThe North Park Street Car Network connects North Park’s 30th Street corridor with University Heights, Normal Heights, Kensington, South Park, Golden Hill, the East Village, Downtown, the Waterfront, and the Airport. It would use a combination of rubber-tired and steel-wheeled streetcars.
- 48. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Bicycle Greenway Cortez Plaza Transit & Streetcar Lanes Rapid Bus and Streetcar Routes Transit Station Transit Lanes The “Mend the Bend” effort to cap I-5 with new parklands is integrated into the Phase I projects. A new transit station, public plaza, parking structure, and civic buildings combine to create an active and useful new addition to Downtown.
- 49. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING GASLAMP CENTRAL E STREET Horton Plaza / Balboa Theatre 5TH AVE TROLLEY ASH ST GASLAMP / CONVENTION CTR Petco Park Broadway Transit Corridor 6th Avenue Transit Spine CORTEZ PLAZA / DOWNTOWN GATEWAY 6th Avenue Downtown, like 30th Street in North Park, is budgeted for a complete rebuild to accommodate new transit lanes, enhanced sidewalks, new landscaping, new transit stations, and new parking facilities.
- 50. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Phase II: The Mid-Coast Supportive Projects The Phase II projects link the new Mid-Coast Trolley line with communities to its west.
- 51. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING A combination of Quickway infrastructure, transit lanes, and other treatments slash transit travel times to the Trolley from OB, Mission Beach, and Pacific Beach, as well as better connecting these communities with areas served by Phase I projects. New rapid routes are depicted by dashed lines.
- 52. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Core Transitways Bus Lanes Trolley Rapid Bus Routes LEGEND SuperStation Station Rapid Bus Station Trolley Station This map depicts rapid transit routes and infrastruc- ture in the core urban zones following the completion of Phases I and II.
- 53. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Phase III: The Sails to Trails Corridor The “Sails to Trails” corridor is San Diego’s historic growth corridor, extending from Downtown to Mission Trails via El Cajon Boulevard. Once Phases I and II are completed, this corridor is slated for massive improvements.
- 54. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONINGAfter Phases I and II are completed, this is what North Park and Western Mid-City look like: some infrastructure, but mostly opportunity.
- 55. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONINGTHE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 1 2 3 4 A series of projects, including road improvements, gradually extends the benefits of grade separation along major sections of El Cajon Boulevard and University Avenue.
- 56. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Once completed, grade separations (in black) will produce transit travel times faster than driving for an important set of transit links.
- 57. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING little transit infrastructureserves these communities. The “Rapid Bus” Route 215 connects SDSU with downtown via College Ave, El Cajon Blvd and Park Blvd, though peak-period travel speeds make this bus only marginally principal east/west arterials from getting onto the I-15 busway, mandating transfers for anyone heading north or south. There are no current rapid or semi-rapid connections into Mission Valley. On the surface, with some traffic diverted and some replaced with transit trips, a linear park can be developed running down the middle of El Cajon Boulevard, similar to this example from Copenhagen.
- 58. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING TBD TBD TBD A “Strategic Investment Zone” extending perhaps 600’ on either side of the proposed transit and park improvements (which include a major new “Great Park of North Park” and new Mid City Park), can be defined by a “Form-Based Code” developed in consultation with the community to organize and concentrate new development around transit, bicycling, and parks.
- 59. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Following completion of the first three phases of Quickway development, the core of the region will feature significant transit infrastructure capable of slashing travel times, improving the customer experience, and making transit competitive for a large set of trips that today require a car. Future extensions would feed off of and into this base network.
- 60. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING This map depicts the draft infrastructure of the Quickway Proposal for Central and South County.
- 61. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING This map depicts the draft infrastructure of the Quickway Proposal for North County.
- 62. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING At build-out, the Quickway Proposal would support an extensive network of Mainline (all-stops) and MetroXpress routes that reach into much of the region and that makes transit fully competitive with driving for many trips.
- 63. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Outcomes “Outcomes” means “results.” How does the Quickway Proposal compare as a plan with San Diego’s current adopted plan?
- 64. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING SanDiegoQuickwayProposal –AssemblyDistrict 77© 2015 byAlanHoffman 150 EstimatedCapital Costs ($Billions) $- $5 $10 $15 $20 Quickway Proposal Existing2050 Plan $14 $20 $Billions Note: Figures are from 2008 and will need to be updated. Estimated Capital Costs (2008) ($ Billions) The first complete draft of the Quickway Proposal was priced at $14 billion, over 25% cheaper to build than the current plan. Costs today have risen, but they have risen for both plans.
- 65. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING SanDiegoQuickwayProposal –AssemblyDistrict 77© 2015 byAlanHoffman 151 ProjectedOperatingSubsidiesthrough2050($ Billions) $11 $14 $19 $- $5 $10 $15 $20 Quickway Proposal: LOW Quickway Proposal: HIGH Current 2050 Plan $Billions Projected Operating Subsidies through 2050 ($ Billions) The Quickway Proposal is far more efficient to operate than our current plans.
- 66. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING What About Ridership? Base Projections Using 2006 population and trip patterns: > 240% Adjusting for 2050 projected population and trip patterns: ~ 400-500% ? …But even our model did not capture or measure some of the things we’ve done to maximize ridership.
- 67. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING What About Ridership? Precedents An independent analysis by URS (now part of AECom) of a similar strategy developed for the Metro Atlanta Region found that, compared to their adopted Transit Plan, the market-focused plan: Doubled Ridership per Invested Dollar and also: Significantly reduced automotive congestion.
- 68. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Comparative Performance This final series of maps compares the Quickway Proposal (and, in some cases, just the Phase I projects!) with the current transit plan for area coverage (areas within ¼ mile of a station) and travel time.
- 69. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING UPTOWN/NORTH PARK/CITY HEIGHTS RTP 2050 Rapid & Semi-Rapid Transit Area within ¼ mile radius of: Rapid Transit station Semi-Rapid station within 3 stops of becoming Rapid Transit Semi-Rapid Transit Station Streetcar stop At build-out, the 2050 Regional Transportation Plan (RTP) calls for light rail along El Cajon Boulevard, rapid buses along University Avenue, Adams Avenue/Park Boulevard, and Bachman Drive, and streetcars on 30th Street and making a Hillcrest loop with downtown via Balboa Park. Since streetcar is generally a slow mode, it is not counted as rapid or even semi-rapid transit. While most residents of these communities will have access to at least semi-rapid transit, relatively few will have access to true Rapid Transit, and for those traveling to places like Mission Valley or the beach communities, travel times will still be excessive. AC2 LIGHT RAIL SURFACE BUSWAY STREETCAR RAPID BUS
- 70. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING UPTOWN/NORTH PARK/CITY HEIGHTS Quickway 2025 Rapid & Semi-Rapid Transit Area within ¼ mile radius of: Rapid Transit station Semi-Rapid station within 3 stops of becoming Rapid Transit Semi-Rapid Transit Station Streetcar stop The first phase of the Quickway Proposal anticipates the construction of transit tunnels and other right of way serving the heart of North Park and connecting the center of Hillcrest with Mission Valley (Fashion Valley). These infrastructure pieces make several Rapid Bus lines feasible, due to the time savings and enhanced customer facilities. True Rapid Transit infrastructure and stations now serve the major trip attractors (the two key hospitals as well as the centers of both North Park and Hillcrest). Connections to the Trolley are vastly improved, as well as to much of Mission Valley. The vast majority of residents have access to at least semi-rapid transit. AC3 TUNNEL SURFACE BUSWAY ELEVATED
- 71. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING UPTOWN/NORTH PARK/CITY HEIGHTS Quickway 2050 Rapid & Semi-Rapid Transit Area within ¼ mile radius of: Rapid Transit station Semi-Rapid station within 3 stops of becoming Rapid Transit Semi-Rapid Transit Station Streetcar stop In the Quickway Proposal, the majority of the residents of these densely populated communities now enjoy access to true Rapid Transit with routes branching to many key destinations throughout the region. Movement within these communities is also facilitated. A prime innovation in this network is the use of automated, self-guiding shuttles to extend the reach of many Rapid Transit stations with super-high frequency connections; the design goal is to treat these as “horizontal elevators” leading directly into stations. Designed effectively, these are a very low-cost means of significantly improving the effectiveness and attractiveness of Rapid Transit services to residents and visitors alike. AC4
- 72. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING CITY OF SAN DIEGO DISTRICT 7 / KEARNY MESA / LINDA VISTA / CLAIREMONT RTP 2050 Rapid & Semi-Rapid Transit Area within ¼ mile radius of: Rapid Transit station Semi-Rapid station within 3 stops of becoming Rapid Transit Semi-Rapid Transit Station Streetcar stop This area is subject to significant new Rapid Transit and semi-rapid transit in the RTP. Three Trolley lines are anticipated to converge in Kearny Mesa. Still, Mission Valley receives practically no improvements, and relatively few new Rapid Transit stations serve residents. While service is improved relative to existing services, it still falls far short of being useful for most residents. AC6
- 73. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING CITY OF SAN DIEGO DISTRICT 7 / KEARNY MESA / LINDA VISTA / CLAIREMONT Quickway 2050 Rapid & Semi-Rapid Transit Area within ¼ mile radius of: Rapid Transit station Semi-Rapid station within 3 stops of becoming Rapid Transit Semi-Rapid Transit Station Streetcar stop The full Quickway Proposal for this zone shows extensive coverage; virtually all of Mission Valley and Kearny Mesa enjoy access to Rapid Transit, as well as enhanced portions of Clairemont and Tierrasanta, while other communities enjoy more extensive access to semi-rapid transit that is well-integrated with the Rapid Transit network. Large numbers of residents have access to this system. AC8
- 74. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING NATIONAL CITY & SOUTHEAST COMMUNITIES RTP 2050 Rapid & Semi-Rapid Transit Area within ¼ mile radius of: Rapid Transit station Semi-Rapid station within 3 stops of becoming Rapid Transit Semi-Rapid Transit Station Streetcar stop A new light rail line, the Purple Line, is proposed by SANDAG to run through the heart of the South Bay cities, through Mid- City San Diego, and into Kearny Mesa. Access to Rapid or Semi-Rapid Transit still remains somewhat limited, and the Purple Line will not make travel to points west easy or quick. AC15
- 75. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING NATIONAL CITY & SOUTHEAST COMMUNITIES Quickway 2050 Rapid & Semi-Rapid Transit Area within ¼ mile radius of: Rapid Transit station Semi-Rapid station within 3 stops of becoming Rapid Transit Semi-Rapid Transit Station Streetcar stop The Quickway Proposal anticipates a more flexible set of infrastructure investments that about double effective access to Rapid or semi-rapid transit. Travel times to many key destinations are significantly improved in the Quickway Proposal, easing access to far more of the region’s job opportunities. AC16
- 76. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING NATIONAL CITY & SOUTHEAST COMMUNITIES RTP 2050 Rapid & Semi-Rapid Transit Area within ¼ mile radius of: Rapid Transit station Semi-Rapid station within 3 stops of becoming Rapid Transit Semi-Rapid Transit Station Streetcar stop The RTP anticipates a new Trolley line, the Purple Line, traveling through the heart of Chula Vista, and a new Rapid Bus line on the H Street corridor. Though both will be useful additions compared to current services, most residents remain beyond walking access from Rapid or semi-rapid transit. AC18
- 77. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING NATIONAL CITY & SOUTHEAST COMMUNITIES Quickway 2050 Rapid & Semi-Rapid Transit Area within ¼ mile radius of: Rapid Transit station Semi-Rapid station within 3 stops of becoming Rapid Transit Semi-Rapid Transit Station Streetcar stop Compared to the RTP, the Quickway Proposal extends access to both Rapid and semi-rapid Transit to a much larger share of Chula Vista’s residents and destinations. Travel times within Chula Vista are improved, as well as access to regional destinations, most of which will be brought much closer to Chula Vista. AC19
- 78. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Base map: “2050 Housing and Employment Densities and Urban Area Transit Strategy Boundary” (SANDAG, San Diego Forward: The Regional Plan, 2016, p. 37). RTP 2050 Stations within of Fashion Valley Matched to 2050 Employment & Housing Densities CENTRAL SAN DIEGO While many of the stations that are within 30 minutes by transit of Fashion Valley in the RTP are surrounded by jobs, they represent only a small portion of the jobs in the central zone. TT7
- 79. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Base map: “2050 Housing and Employment Densities and Urban Area Transit Strategy Boundary” (SANDAG, San Diego Forward: The Regional Plan, 2016, p. 37). Quickway Stations within of Fashion Valley Matched to 2050 Employment & Housing Densities CENTRAL SAN DIEGO The Quickway Proposal brings many more jobs and residences closer to Fashion Valley than the RTP. Similar results may be expected for most locations in the region. Why wouldn’t we pursue a strategy that provides superior connectivity? TT8
- 80. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING PLEASE NOTE: THESE MAPS ARE APPROXIMATE DEPICTIONS. 2050 RTP PLEASE NOTE: THESE MAPS ARE APPROXIMATE DEPICTIONS. TRAVEL TIMES CALCULATED FOR WEEKDAY COMMUTE, ARRIVAL BY 8:30 AM. TT9 MISSION VALLEY RTP 2050 Stations within 10 Minutes of Fashion Valley The only real improvements planned for Mission Valley in the RTP are Rapid Bus lines to Linda Vista and Hillcrest. Otherwise, most of Mission Valley, including most office employment and most residents, are not directly served. Travel times to Fashion Valley during the AM commute were calculated for both the RTP and the Quickway Proposal. Fashion Valley was chosen as a destination due to its centrality in the region and its importance as a transfer center.
- 81. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING 2050 RTP PLEASE NOTE: THESE MAPS ARE APPROXIMATE DEPICTIONS. TRAVEL TIMES CALCULATED FOR WEEKDAY COMMUTE, ARRIVAL BY 8:30 AM. TT11 MISSION VALLEY RTP 2050 Stations within of Fashion Valley Very few additional stations are brought within 20 minutes of Fashion Valley compared to 10 minutes in the RTP 2050 Transit Plan. Most of the office jobs and residences in Mission Valley are not within ¼ mile of Rapid or semi-rapid transit. Travel times to Fashion Valley during the AM commute were calculated for both the RTP and the Quickway Proposal. Fashion Valley was chosen as a destination due to its centrality in the region and its importance as a transfer center.
- 82. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Quickway Proposal PLEASE NOTE: THESE MAPS ARE APPROXIMATE DEPICTIONS. TRAVEL TIMES CALCULATED FOR WEEKDAY COMMUTE, ARRIVAL BY 8:30 AM. 10MINUTES TT10 MISSION VALLEY Quickway 2050 Stations within 10 Minutes of Fashion Valley The Quickway Proposal specifies infrastructure to speed transit services into, out of, and through Mission Valley. Large areas of both Mission Valley and surrounding communities (North Park, Hillcrest, and Linda Vista) and brought wihin 10 minutes of Fashion Valley. Travel times to Fashion Valley during the AM commute were calculated for both the RTP and the Quickway Proposal. Fashion Valley was chosen as a destination due to its centrality in the region and its importance as a transfer center.
- 83. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Quickway Proposal PLEASE NOTE: THESE MAPS ARE APPROXIMATE DEPICTIONS. TRAVEL TIMES CALCULATED FOR WEEKDAY COMMUTE, ARRIVAL BY 8:30 AM. TT12 MISSION VALLEY Quickway 2050 Stations within of Fashion Valley The vast majority of Mission Valley is within 20 minutes of Fashion Valley in the Quickway Proposal, as well as much of North Park, University Heights, Normal Heights, Linda Vista, and other nearby communities. The combination of faster travel times and much broader area coverage make the Quickway network more useful to more people. Travel times to Fashion Valley during the AM commute were calculated for both the RTP and the Quickway Proposal. Fashion Valley was chosen as a destination due to its centrality in the region and its importance as a transfer center. 20MINUTES
- 84. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Kearny Mesa QUICKWAY PROPOSAL From no part of Kearny Mesa does rapid or semi-rapid transit get you to Fashion Valley in 10 minutes or less during the AM commute. The Sharp Hospital District, much of Convoy, and even Clairemont Mesa Boulevard are within 10 minutes of Fashion Valley. SANDAG RTP 2050 PLAN Areas within 10MINUTES by Rapid or Semi- Rapid Transit of the Fashion Valley Transit Station PLEASE NOTE: THESE MAPS ARE APPROXIMATE DEPICTIONS. TRAVEL TIMES CALCULATED FOR WEEKDAY COMMUTE, ARRIVAL BY 8:30 AM. KEARNY MESA Station Areas within 10 minutes of Fashion Valley: SANDAG 2050 RTP Plan vs the Quickway Proposal TT14
- 85. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Most of Kearny Mesa, parts of Clairemont and Serra Mesa, and Mesa College are all within 20 minutes of Fashion Valley. The northern part of the Sharp Hospital District and a busy corner in Kearny Mesa are within 20 minutes of Fashion Valley. Kearny Mesa QUICKWAY PROPOSALSANDAG RTP 2050 PLAN Areas within by Rapid or Semi- Rapid Transit of the Fashion Valley Transit Station PLEASE NOTE: THESE MAPS ARE APPROXIMATE DEPICTIONS. TRAVEL TIMES CALCULATED FOR WEEKDAY COMMUTE, ARRIVAL BY 8:30 AM. KEARNY MESA Station Areas within of Fashion Valley: SANDAG 2050 RTP Plan vs the Quickway Proposal TT15
- 86. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Kearny Mesa QUICKWAY PROPOSAL Some locations in Kearny Mesa are now within a 30 minute rapid or semi- rapid transit trip of Fashion Valley. Most of the rest of Kearny Mesa is now served. SANDAG RTP 2050 PLAN Areas within by Rapid or Semi- Rapid Transit of the Fashion Valley Transit Station PLEASE NOTE: THESE MAPS ARE APPROXIMATE DEPICTIONS. TRAVEL TIMES CALCULATED FOR WEEKDAY COMMUTE, ARRIVAL BY 8:30 AM. KEARNY MESA Station Areas within of Fashion Valley: SANDAG 2050 RTP Plan vs the Quickway Proposal TT16
- 87. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Travel Times NORTH COUNTY 78 6 75 8 22 9 62 29 17 8 49 15 92 13 88 9 28 11 66 17 51 26 74 34 41 27 35 1264 26 Average Travel Times: CURRENT TRANSIT: 56.1Mins. QUICKWAY TRANSIT: 16.7 Mins. Travel time savings in North County average 70%, though in some cases this is because of the lack of current transit options. Even so, many transit times become competitive with driving under the Quickway Proposal. NORTH COUNTY Quickway Proposal Projected Travel Times vs Current Transit Travel TImes TT17 Please note: Travel times calculated in 2014. Ongoing improvements to both the current network and the Quickway Proposal may have shifted some times (for example, current travel time from the Escondido Transit Center to Sorrento Mesa has been reduced from 62 to 61 minutes).
- 88. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Travel Times (Minutes) 21 8 5 2 19 12 44 10 10 4 21 7 29 11 7 3 12 529 13 3 3 33 5 7 524 14 46 9 20 12 32 14 15 14 17 17 18 5 19 4 14 8 26 12 12 8 22 9 21 7 11 4 12 4 25 15 54 20 38 13 QUICKWAY TRANSIT: 9.1 Mins. CURRENT TRANSIT: 22.2Mins. 18 5 39 18 22 9 CENTRAL Average Travel Times: CENTRAL & EAST COUNTY Quickway Proposal Projected Travel Times vs Current Transit Travel TImes TT18
- 89. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Travel Times SOUTH BAY 9 7 7 8 12 20 6 2 6 12 7 15 7 20 13 16 55 7 18 22 35 19 41 45 29 44 66 12 Average Travel Times: CURRENT TRANSIT: 30.1Mins. QUICKWAY TRANSIT: 9.9 Mins. BEST DRIVING TIME: 9.1 Mins. SOUTH COUNTY Quickway Proposal Projected Travel Times vs Current Transit Travel TImes TT19
- 90. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Ridership Compared to the RTP, the Quickway Proposal is designed to attract higher ridership by creating more value for more people. The QP connects many more people with many more likely destinations more directly in far less time and with a more customer-friendly station-based interface. The QP is designed to attract far more “Transit-Oriented Development” than the RTP by placing transit infrastructure and services precisely in areas with high market demand. Parallel world-class bicycle Greenways further enhance modal shift from cars.
- 91. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING Conclusion The combo of higher ridership + more TOD = significant reductions in ghg emissions relative to the auto-centric RTP. Because the benefits of Quickways extend many miles from the actual guideways, more of the region can be connected more effectively in less time for the same level of resources. By maximizing consumer value, the QP can better use value capture mechanisms such as IFDs to help finance the program. Modal shift to bicycling, transit, and walking, is significant. Total capital costs of the QP are likely lower than the RTP, but return on investment is much higher. Any rejection of the QP due to costs is not based on transparent and fair analysis.
- 92. THE CENTER FOR ADVANCED URBAN VISIONING TO SUPPORT OUR WORK, PLEASE VISIT: www.GoFundMe.com/Quickwaywww.GoFundMe.com/Quickway