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Money and Banking
                                            Introduction


                                            Chahir Zaki

                                         FEPS, Cairo University


                                       Second semester, 2012




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)        Money and Banking     Second semester, 2012   1 / 23
1    Introduction


2    Financial Markets


3    Banking


4    Money




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   2 / 23
Outline



1    Introduction


2    Financial Markets


3    Banking


4    Money




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   3 / 23
Introduction




        To examine how financial markets such as bond, stock and foreign
        exchange markets work
        To examine how financial institutions such as banks and insurance
        companies work
        To examine the role of money in the economy




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   4 / 23
Outline



1    Introduction


2    Financial Markets


3    Banking


4    Money




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   5 / 23
Financial Markets




        Financial markets: markets in which funds are transferred from people
        who have an excess of available funds to people who have a shortage
        of funds.
        Financial markets improve the allocation of capital by channeling
        funds to entities which use capital most productive. This increases
        capital productivity and economic efficiency. Hence well-functioning
        financial markets help accelerate economic growth.




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   6 / 23
Financial Markets




        A bond: is a debt security that promises to make payments
        periodically for a specified period of time
        An interest rate: is the cost of borrowing or the price paid for the
        rental of funds
        Common stock: represents a share of ownership in a corporation. A
        share of stock is a claim on the earnings and assets of the corporation




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking    Second semester, 2012   7 / 23
Stock market: the Egyptian case

EGX 30 index, previously named CASE 30 includes the top 30 companies
in terms of liquidity and activity.

                    8,000
                    7,000
                    6,000
                    5,000
                    4,000
                    3,000
                    2,000
                    1,000
                        0
                             1/12/2010
                             8/12/2010
                            14/12/2010
                            20/12/2010
                            26/12/2010
                            30/12/2010
                              5/1/2011
                             12/1/2011
                            18/01/2011
                            24/01/2011
                            24/03/2011
                            30/03/2011
                              5/4/2011
                             11/4/2011
                            17/04/2011
                            21/04/2011
                              2/5/2011
                              8/5/2011
                             12/5/2011
                            18/05/2011
                            24/05/2011
Source: Constructed by the author using the stock market data.

Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   8 / 23
Foreign exchange market




        The foreign exchange market: is where funds are converted from one
        currency into another.
        The foreign exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of
        another currency
        The foreign exchange market determines the foreign exchange rate




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   9 / 23
Foreign Exchange Market


          7,00

          6,00
                                                                                   ER
          5,00

          4,00

          3,00

          2,00

          1,00

          0,00
                                      juin-99




                                                                     juin-00




                                                                                                     juin-01




                                                                                                                                    juin-02




                                                                                                                                                                   juin-03




                                                                                                                                                                                                  juin-04
                 oct.-98




                                                oct.-99




                                                                               oct.-00




                                                                                                               oct.-01




                                                                                                                                              oct.-02




                                                                                                                                                                             oct.-03




                                                                                                                                                                                                            oct.-04
                           févr.-99




                                                          févr.-00




                                                                                          févr.-01




                                                                                                                         févr.-02




                                                                                                                                                        févr.-03




                                                                                                                                                                                       févr.-04
Source: Selim (2010)




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)                                                     Money and Banking                                                           Second semester, 2012                            10 / 23
Principal currencies


                                             1998      2001    2004    2007       2010
             US dollar                       86.8      89.9     88.0    85.6       84.9
             Euro                              ...     37.9     37.4    37.0      39.1
             Deutsche mark                    30.5      ...      ...     ...        ...
             French franc                     5.0       ...      ...     ...        ...
             ECU and other EMS currencies    16.8       ...      ...     ...        ...
             Slovak koruna                     ...      0.0      0.0    0.1         ...
             Japanese yen                    21.7      23.5     20.8    17.2       19.0
             Pound sterling                  11.0      13.0     16.5    14.9       12.9
             Australian dollar                3.0       4.3      6.0     6.6       7.6
             Swiss franc                      7.1       6.0      6.0     6.8        6.4
             Canadian dollar                  3.5       4.5      4.2     4.3       5.3
             Hong Kong dollar                 1.0       2.2      1.8     2.7       2.4
             Swedish krona                    0.3       2.5      2.2     2.7       2.2
             Other                           13.3      16.1     17.0   22.0        20.5
             Total                           200.0     200.0   200.0   200.0      200.0




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)    Money and Banking              Second semester, 2012   11 / 23
Outline



1    Introduction


2    Financial Markets


3    Banking


4    Money




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   12 / 23
Banking




        Financial Intermediaries: institutions that borrow funds from people
        who have saved and make loans to other people
        Banks: institutions that accept deposits and make loans
        Other Financial Institutions: insurance companies, finance companies,
        pension funds, mutual funds and investment banks
        Financial Innovation: in particular, the advent of the information age
        and e-finance




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   13 / 23
Banking sector: the Egyptian case


                                                                                              Number of Banks
                                                                                            and Banking Density

                                      End of June                                             2004+          2005   2006    2007       2008      2009

      Total Number of Banks Operating in Egypt                                                  61           52**   43***   41***     40***      39***
      Total Number of Branches                                                                 2783          2841   2944    3056      3297       3443
      Banking Density+                                                                         24.9          24.8    24.5    24.2      22.9       22.3

      Number of Public Sector Banks                                                             7             7      7       6          6         5
      Number of Branches of Public Sector Banks                                                2153          2185   2222    2074       2089      2088

      Number of Private Sector Banks                                                            35           34      29      28         27        27
      Number of Branches of Private Sector Banks                                                571          607     674     930       1145      1270

      Number of Private and Joint venture Banks                                                  19           11     7       7          7         7
      Number of Branches of Private and Joint venture Banks                                      59           49     48      52         63        85
      *Population in thousand / Banking unit.
      + Egyptian banks abroad are not included , also two banks established under private laws and are not
        registered with CBE :the Arab International Bank,and Nasser Social Bank .
      ** The decrease was because seven branches of foreign banks ended their
      business.
      *** The decrease was because seven branches of foreign banks ended their
      business.




Source: CBE (2011)




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)                                                    Money and Banking                      Second semester, 2012     14 / 23
Outline



1    Introduction


2    Financial Markets


3    Banking


4    Money




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   15 / 23
Money and Monetary policy




        Evidence suggests that money plays an important role in generating
        business cycles. Recessions (unemployment) and booms (inflation)
        affect all of us
        Monetary Theory ties changes in the money supply to changes in
        aggregate economic activity and the price level.
        The government uses monetary policy to influence economic
        aggregates.




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   16 / 23
Monetary Policy and Inflation




        The aggregate price level is the average price of goods and services in
        an economy
        A continual rise in the price level (inflation) affects all economic
        players
        Data shows a connection between the money supply and the price
        level
        Interest rates are the price of money




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   17 / 23
Money and Monetary policy


                          900000
                          800000
                          700000
                          600000
                          500000
                     M2




                          400000
                          300000
                          200000
                          100000
                                0
                                    0   100          200          300   400           500
                                                           CPI



Source: Constructed by the author using the CBE data.




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)          Money and Banking               Second semester, 2012   18 / 23
58
Banking sector: the Egyptian case
   Central Bank of Egypt – Annual Report 2009/2010



                      Annual CPI and Price Index of Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages
                                                  (Urban)
               %

          24
          20
          16
          12
           8
           4
                 09




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                                All Items              Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages

     Source: CAPMAS
Source: CBE (2011)
             The inflation of food and non-alcoholic beverages accelerated to 18.5 percent
    in the reporting year (from 12.2 percent in the previous FY). In spite of the fall in
    international food prices by 4.8 percent in the reporting year, it did not curb the rise
    in inflation rate at the domestic level, indicating the weak response of local2012
Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)     Money and Banking            Second semester, markets / 23
                                                                                             19
Bankingreporting yearof(fromEgyptian in thebeverages accelerated to of thepercent
         The inflation  food and non-alcoholic
   in the sector: the 12.2 percent case        previous FY). In spite
                                                                      18.5
                                                                           fall in
     international food prices by 4.8 percent in the reporting year, it did not curb the rise
     in inflation rate at the domestic level, indicating the weak response of local markets
     to the changes in international food prices, especially when they take a downturn.
                 %    International and Domestic Prices of Food (Change Rate)

             20.0
             15.0
             10.0
              5.0
              0.0
              -5.0
             -10.0
             -15.0                                       International Prices
             -20.0                                       Domestic Prices
             -25.0
             -30.0
                      Q1      Q2      Q3       Q4      Q1       Q2         Q3   Q4

                               2008/2009                         2009/2010
        Source: IMF
Source: CBE (2011)
              The rise in the share of food and non-alcoholic beverages was ascribed to
       stronger contributions of most subgroups, especially vegetables (3.9 percentage
       points against 1.7 point) and meat and poultry (2.8 points against 1.5 point).
       However, declines were observed Money and Bankingof fish (-0.2 point against 0.7 point) / 23
Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)
                                         in the groups                  Second semester, 2012 20
Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy



        Monetary policy:
               is the management of the money supply and interest rates
               Conducted in Egypt by the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE)
        Fiscal policy
               is government spending and taxation
               Budget deficit is the excess of expenditures over revenues for a
               particular year
               Budget surplus is the excess of revenues over expenditures for a
               particular year
               Any deficit must be financed by borrowing




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking         Second semester, 2012   21 / 23
billion and 6.9 percent a year earlier. Such developments reflect the increasing ratio
Fiscal policy low as 3.5 percent byto mention that the afiscal policy aimsdecreasing
   of overall deficit/GDP. It is worthy
   such ratio to as                        FY 2014/2015, as prerequisite for
                                                                               to reduce

   the ratio of domestic public debt/ GDP.

                      Ratios of Expenditures, Revenues & Overall Deficit / GDP
          %
        40.0

        35.0

        30.0

        25.0

        20.0

        15.0

        10.0

          5.0

          0.0
                   2005/2006           2006/2007       2007/2008       2008/2009             2009/2010
                               Revenues                Expenditures                Deficit



                Hereunder is a follow-up of the execution of the consolidated fiscal operations
Source: the general government in FY 2009/2010, according to the preliminary actual data
    of CBE (2011)
      of the Ministry of Finance:
Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)               Money and Banking                  Second semester, 2012   22 / 23
References




        Mishkin, Introduction
        Mishkin, chapter 1.
        Central Bank of Egypt.




Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University)   Money and Banking   Second semester, 2012   23 / 23

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1 introduction

  • 1. Money and Banking Introduction Chahir Zaki FEPS, Cairo University Second semester, 2012 Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 1 / 23
  • 2. 1 Introduction 2 Financial Markets 3 Banking 4 Money Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 2 / 23
  • 3. Outline 1 Introduction 2 Financial Markets 3 Banking 4 Money Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 3 / 23
  • 4. Introduction To examine how financial markets such as bond, stock and foreign exchange markets work To examine how financial institutions such as banks and insurance companies work To examine the role of money in the economy Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 4 / 23
  • 5. Outline 1 Introduction 2 Financial Markets 3 Banking 4 Money Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 5 / 23
  • 6. Financial Markets Financial markets: markets in which funds are transferred from people who have an excess of available funds to people who have a shortage of funds. Financial markets improve the allocation of capital by channeling funds to entities which use capital most productive. This increases capital productivity and economic efficiency. Hence well-functioning financial markets help accelerate economic growth. Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 6 / 23
  • 7. Financial Markets A bond: is a debt security that promises to make payments periodically for a specified period of time An interest rate: is the cost of borrowing or the price paid for the rental of funds Common stock: represents a share of ownership in a corporation. A share of stock is a claim on the earnings and assets of the corporation Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 7 / 23
  • 8. Stock market: the Egyptian case EGX 30 index, previously named CASE 30 includes the top 30 companies in terms of liquidity and activity. 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1/12/2010 8/12/2010 14/12/2010 20/12/2010 26/12/2010 30/12/2010 5/1/2011 12/1/2011 18/01/2011 24/01/2011 24/03/2011 30/03/2011 5/4/2011 11/4/2011 17/04/2011 21/04/2011 2/5/2011 8/5/2011 12/5/2011 18/05/2011 24/05/2011 Source: Constructed by the author using the stock market data. Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 8 / 23
  • 9. Foreign exchange market The foreign exchange market: is where funds are converted from one currency into another. The foreign exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another currency The foreign exchange market determines the foreign exchange rate Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 9 / 23
  • 10. Foreign Exchange Market 7,00 6,00 ER 5,00 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00 juin-99 juin-00 juin-01 juin-02 juin-03 juin-04 oct.-98 oct.-99 oct.-00 oct.-01 oct.-02 oct.-03 oct.-04 févr.-99 févr.-00 févr.-01 févr.-02 févr.-03 févr.-04 Source: Selim (2010) Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 10 / 23
  • 11. Principal currencies 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 US dollar 86.8 89.9 88.0 85.6 84.9 Euro ... 37.9 37.4 37.0 39.1 Deutsche mark 30.5 ... ... ... ... French franc 5.0 ... ... ... ... ECU and other EMS currencies 16.8 ... ... ... ... Slovak koruna ... 0.0 0.0 0.1 ... Japanese yen 21.7 23.5 20.8 17.2 19.0 Pound sterling 11.0 13.0 16.5 14.9 12.9 Australian dollar 3.0 4.3 6.0 6.6 7.6 Swiss franc 7.1 6.0 6.0 6.8 6.4 Canadian dollar 3.5 4.5 4.2 4.3 5.3 Hong Kong dollar 1.0 2.2 1.8 2.7 2.4 Swedish krona 0.3 2.5 2.2 2.7 2.2 Other 13.3 16.1 17.0 22.0 20.5 Total 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 11 / 23
  • 12. Outline 1 Introduction 2 Financial Markets 3 Banking 4 Money Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 12 / 23
  • 13. Banking Financial Intermediaries: institutions that borrow funds from people who have saved and make loans to other people Banks: institutions that accept deposits and make loans Other Financial Institutions: insurance companies, finance companies, pension funds, mutual funds and investment banks Financial Innovation: in particular, the advent of the information age and e-finance Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 13 / 23
  • 14. Banking sector: the Egyptian case Number of Banks and Banking Density End of June 2004+ 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total Number of Banks Operating in Egypt 61 52** 43*** 41*** 40*** 39*** Total Number of Branches 2783 2841 2944 3056 3297 3443 Banking Density+ 24.9 24.8 24.5 24.2 22.9 22.3 Number of Public Sector Banks 7 7 7 6 6 5 Number of Branches of Public Sector Banks 2153 2185 2222 2074 2089 2088 Number of Private Sector Banks 35 34 29 28 27 27 Number of Branches of Private Sector Banks 571 607 674 930 1145 1270 Number of Private and Joint venture Banks 19 11 7 7 7 7 Number of Branches of Private and Joint venture Banks 59 49 48 52 63 85 *Population in thousand / Banking unit. + Egyptian banks abroad are not included , also two banks established under private laws and are not registered with CBE :the Arab International Bank,and Nasser Social Bank . ** The decrease was because seven branches of foreign banks ended their business. *** The decrease was because seven branches of foreign banks ended their business. Source: CBE (2011) Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 14 / 23
  • 15. Outline 1 Introduction 2 Financial Markets 3 Banking 4 Money Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 15 / 23
  • 16. Money and Monetary policy Evidence suggests that money plays an important role in generating business cycles. Recessions (unemployment) and booms (inflation) affect all of us Monetary Theory ties changes in the money supply to changes in aggregate economic activity and the price level. The government uses monetary policy to influence economic aggregates. Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 16 / 23
  • 17. Monetary Policy and Inflation The aggregate price level is the average price of goods and services in an economy A continual rise in the price level (inflation) affects all economic players Data shows a connection between the money supply and the price level Interest rates are the price of money Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 17 / 23
  • 18. Money and Monetary policy 900000 800000 700000 600000 500000 M2 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 CPI Source: Constructed by the author using the CBE data. Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 18 / 23
  • 19. 58 Banking sector: the Egyptian case Central Bank of Egypt – Annual Report 2009/2010 Annual CPI and Price Index of Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (Urban) % 24 20 16 12 8 4 09 10 v. ly n. g. p. c. r. ay b. . . ar ct Ap Ju No 20 Ja 20 Au Se De Fe M O M n. n. Ju Ju All Items Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages Source: CAPMAS Source: CBE (2011) The inflation of food and non-alcoholic beverages accelerated to 18.5 percent in the reporting year (from 12.2 percent in the previous FY). In spite of the fall in international food prices by 4.8 percent in the reporting year, it did not curb the rise in inflation rate at the domestic level, indicating the weak response of local2012 Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, markets / 23 19
  • 20. Bankingreporting yearof(fromEgyptian in thebeverages accelerated to of thepercent The inflation food and non-alcoholic in the sector: the 12.2 percent case previous FY). In spite 18.5 fall in international food prices by 4.8 percent in the reporting year, it did not curb the rise in inflation rate at the domestic level, indicating the weak response of local markets to the changes in international food prices, especially when they take a downturn. % International and Domestic Prices of Food (Change Rate) 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0 -15.0 International Prices -20.0 Domestic Prices -25.0 -30.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008/2009 2009/2010 Source: IMF Source: CBE (2011) The rise in the share of food and non-alcoholic beverages was ascribed to stronger contributions of most subgroups, especially vegetables (3.9 percentage points against 1.7 point) and meat and poultry (2.8 points against 1.5 point). However, declines were observed Money and Bankingof fish (-0.2 point against 0.7 point) / 23 Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) in the groups Second semester, 2012 20
  • 21. Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy Monetary policy: is the management of the money supply and interest rates Conducted in Egypt by the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) Fiscal policy is government spending and taxation Budget deficit is the excess of expenditures over revenues for a particular year Budget surplus is the excess of revenues over expenditures for a particular year Any deficit must be financed by borrowing Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 21 / 23
  • 22. billion and 6.9 percent a year earlier. Such developments reflect the increasing ratio Fiscal policy low as 3.5 percent byto mention that the afiscal policy aimsdecreasing of overall deficit/GDP. It is worthy such ratio to as FY 2014/2015, as prerequisite for to reduce the ratio of domestic public debt/ GDP. Ratios of Expenditures, Revenues & Overall Deficit / GDP % 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 Revenues Expenditures Deficit Hereunder is a follow-up of the execution of the consolidated fiscal operations Source: the general government in FY 2009/2010, according to the preliminary actual data of CBE (2011) of the Ministry of Finance: Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 22 / 23
  • 23. References Mishkin, Introduction Mishkin, chapter 1. Central Bank of Egypt. Chahir Zaki (FEPS, Cairo University) Money and Banking Second semester, 2012 23 / 23