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INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Engineering Probability & Statistic
ISE Department Lecturer: Phan Nguyễn Kỳ Phúc
--------------------o0o------------------
06 Sampling 1
SAMPLING
1. Population Mean Estimation
When sampling a sample, 3 following parameters can be obtained from a sample
 Sample size: n
 Mean of sample: x
 Standard deviation of sample: s
Following table summarizes situations which can be met in sampling
std (σ) of population is given std (σ) of population is not given
Sample size: n Small sample size (n<30) Large sample size (n≥30)
Distribution of x z-distribution:
2
,x
n
 
 
 
t-distribution:
2
,
s
x
n
 
 
 
, 1dof n  z-distribution:
2
,
s
x
n
 
 
 
Confident interval
of population mean 2
x z
n



, 1
2
n
s
x t
n



2
s
x z
n

2. Population Proportion Estimation
When sampling a sample corresponding to proportion case, 3 following parameters can be obtained from a sample
 Sample size: n
 Sample proportion: p
 Standard deviation of sample:    , where (1 )s pq q p  
INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Engineering Probability & Statistic
ISE Department Lecturer: Phan Nguyễn Kỳ Phúc
--------------------o0o------------------
06 Sampling 2
Population Proportion Estimation (cont.)
std (σ) of population is given
Sample size: n
Distribution of p z-distribution: 
 
,
pq
p
n
 
  
 
CI of population
proportion
 
2
pq
x z
n

3. The Chi-Square χ2
Distribution & Population Variance Estimation
 The chi-square distribution is NOT SYMMETRIC
 The chi-square distribution is used to TEST the VARIANCE
 The chi-square distribution requires the DEGREE OF FREEDOM (dof)
std (σ) of population is given
Sample size: n
Distribution of
2
2
( 1)n s


χ2
-distribution: 1dof n 
CI of population variance
2 2
2 2
, 1 1 , 1
2 2
( 1) ( 1)
,
n n
n s n s
  
  
 
  
 
  
4. Sample Size Determination
We want to increase the accuracy in estimating the populations mean up to certain level =>
decrease the width of CI
Width of CI:
2
2 2z B
n


 
So given a bound B, MINIMUM SAMPLE SIZE must satisfy:
2 2
/2
2
2
z
z B n
Bn



  
INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Engineering Probability & Statistic
ISE Department Lecturer: Phan Nguyễn Kỳ Phúc
--------------------o0o------------------
06 Sampling 3
Assignments
Question 1: Suppose you are sampling from a population with mean µ= 1,065 and standard
deviation σ = 500. The sample size is n=100. What are the expected value and the variance of
the sample mean ?
Question 2: Suppose you are sampling from a population with population variance σ2
=
1,000,000. You want the standard deviation of the sample mean to be at most 25. What is the
minimum sample size you should use?
Question 3: When sampling is from a population with mean 53 and standard deviation 10, using
a sample of size 400, what are the expected value and the standard deviation of the sample mean?
Question 4: What are the expected value and the standard deviation of the sample
proportion if the true population proportion is 0.2 and the sample size is n= 90.
Question 5: Häagen-Dazs ice cream produces a frozen yogurt aimed at health-conscious ice
cream lovers. Before marketing the product in 2007, the company wanted to estimate the
proportion of grocery stores currently selling Häagen-Dazs ice cream that would sell the new
product. If 60% of the grocery stores would sell the product and a random sample of 200 stores
is selected, what is the probability that the percentage in the sample will deviate from the
population percentage by no more than 7 percentage points?
Question 6: Japan’s birthrate is believed to be 1.57 per woman. Assume that the population
standard deviation is 0.4. If a random sample of 200 women is selected, what is the probability
that the sample mean will fall between 1.52 and 1.62?
Question 7: A real estate agent needs to estimate the average value of a residential property of a
given size in a certain area. The real estate agent believes that the standard deviation of the
property values is σ = $5,500.00 and that property values are approximately normally distributed.
A random sample of 16 units gives a sample mean of $89,673.12. Give a 95% confidence
interval for the average value of all properties of this kind.
Question 8: An astronomer wants to measure the distance from her observatory to a distant star.
However, due to atmospheric disturbances, any measurement will not yield the exact distance d.
As a result, the astronomer has decided to make a series of measurements and then use their
average value as an estimate of the actual distance. If the astronomer believes that the values of
the successive measurements are independent random variables with a mean of d light years and
a standard deviation of 2 light years, how many measurements need she make to be at least 95
percent certain that her estimate is accurate to within ± .5 light years?

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06 sampling

  • 1. INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Engineering Probability & Statistic ISE Department Lecturer: Phan Nguyễn Kỳ Phúc --------------------o0o------------------ 06 Sampling 1 SAMPLING 1. Population Mean Estimation When sampling a sample, 3 following parameters can be obtained from a sample  Sample size: n  Mean of sample: x  Standard deviation of sample: s Following table summarizes situations which can be met in sampling std (σ) of population is given std (σ) of population is not given Sample size: n Small sample size (n<30) Large sample size (n≥30) Distribution of x z-distribution: 2 ,x n       t-distribution: 2 , s x n       , 1dof n  z-distribution: 2 , s x n       Confident interval of population mean 2 x z n    , 1 2 n s x t n    2 s x z n  2. Population Proportion Estimation When sampling a sample corresponding to proportion case, 3 following parameters can be obtained from a sample  Sample size: n  Sample proportion: p  Standard deviation of sample:    , where (1 )s pq q p  
  • 2. INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Engineering Probability & Statistic ISE Department Lecturer: Phan Nguyễn Kỳ Phúc --------------------o0o------------------ 06 Sampling 2 Population Proportion Estimation (cont.) std (σ) of population is given Sample size: n Distribution of p z-distribution:    , pq p n        CI of population proportion   2 pq x z n  3. The Chi-Square χ2 Distribution & Population Variance Estimation  The chi-square distribution is NOT SYMMETRIC  The chi-square distribution is used to TEST the VARIANCE  The chi-square distribution requires the DEGREE OF FREEDOM (dof) std (σ) of population is given Sample size: n Distribution of 2 2 ( 1)n s   χ2 -distribution: 1dof n  CI of population variance 2 2 2 2 , 1 1 , 1 2 2 ( 1) ( 1) , n n n s n s                 4. Sample Size Determination We want to increase the accuracy in estimating the populations mean up to certain level => decrease the width of CI Width of CI: 2 2 2z B n     So given a bound B, MINIMUM SAMPLE SIZE must satisfy: 2 2 /2 2 2 z z B n Bn      
  • 3. INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Engineering Probability & Statistic ISE Department Lecturer: Phan Nguyễn Kỳ Phúc --------------------o0o------------------ 06 Sampling 3 Assignments Question 1: Suppose you are sampling from a population with mean µ= 1,065 and standard deviation σ = 500. The sample size is n=100. What are the expected value and the variance of the sample mean ? Question 2: Suppose you are sampling from a population with population variance σ2 = 1,000,000. You want the standard deviation of the sample mean to be at most 25. What is the minimum sample size you should use? Question 3: When sampling is from a population with mean 53 and standard deviation 10, using a sample of size 400, what are the expected value and the standard deviation of the sample mean? Question 4: What are the expected value and the standard deviation of the sample proportion if the true population proportion is 0.2 and the sample size is n= 90. Question 5: Häagen-Dazs ice cream produces a frozen yogurt aimed at health-conscious ice cream lovers. Before marketing the product in 2007, the company wanted to estimate the proportion of grocery stores currently selling Häagen-Dazs ice cream that would sell the new product. If 60% of the grocery stores would sell the product and a random sample of 200 stores is selected, what is the probability that the percentage in the sample will deviate from the population percentage by no more than 7 percentage points? Question 6: Japan’s birthrate is believed to be 1.57 per woman. Assume that the population standard deviation is 0.4. If a random sample of 200 women is selected, what is the probability that the sample mean will fall between 1.52 and 1.62? Question 7: A real estate agent needs to estimate the average value of a residential property of a given size in a certain area. The real estate agent believes that the standard deviation of the property values is σ = $5,500.00 and that property values are approximately normally distributed. A random sample of 16 units gives a sample mean of $89,673.12. Give a 95% confidence interval for the average value of all properties of this kind. Question 8: An astronomer wants to measure the distance from her observatory to a distant star. However, due to atmospheric disturbances, any measurement will not yield the exact distance d. As a result, the astronomer has decided to make a series of measurements and then use their average value as an estimate of the actual distance. If the astronomer believes that the values of the successive measurements are independent random variables with a mean of d light years and a standard deviation of 2 light years, how many measurements need she make to be at least 95 percent certain that her estimate is accurate to within ± .5 light years?