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PROGRAMME OVERVIEW
2015 DHI UK & IRELAND SYMPOSIUM
MACDONALD ANSTY HALL, WARWICKSHIRE, UK
Day 1 - Tuesday 21 April 2015
08:45 - 09:30 Registration and Coffee
09:30 - 09.50
Welcome to the Symposium!
Erland Rasmussen (Executive Vice President, MIKE Powered by DHI), Steve Flood (UK & Ireland Software Manager) & Nick
Elderfield (Managing Director, DHI Water Environments (UK) Ltd)
09.50 - 10.30
Release 2016 News & Views in the Marine, Urban and Water Resources areas
Poul Kronborg (Business Area Manager, Coast and Sea, MIKE Powered by DHI) & Torben Strange Jensen (Business Area
Manager, Water Resources, MIKE Powered by DHI)
10:30 - 11:00
KEYNOTE: Use of MIKE 21/3 in the Hydraulic Analysis for the Dublin Port ABR Project
Adrian Bell (RPS)
11:00 - 11:20
Environmental Impact Assessment of the SW Quadrant of Lekki Free Zone, Nigeria
Sandeep Bomminayuni (Waterco)
11:20 - 11:40 Coffee & cakes!
11:40 - 12:00
River Carron Wave Propagation and Engineering Assessment
Daniel Rodger (JBA)
12:00 - 12:20
Morphological Modelling of Braided Processes: Technology for Flooding and Erosion Management
Kazi Iqbal Hassan (Heriot Watt University)
12:20 - 12:40
A Regional Coastal Modelling System for the North West – from Wales to Scotland
Samantha Mullan (Intertek)
12:40 - 13:00
Birds, Bats and Beyond – What’s that got to do with Water?
Nick Elderfield (DHI)
13:00 - 14:00 Lunch and plenty of time for informal chats and discussions!
14:00 - 14:30
KEYNOTE: Operational Real Time Control and Warning System for Urban Areas and Receiving Waters
Henrik Frier (Aarhusvand)
14:30 - 14:50
3D Thermal Dispersion Modelling in the Caspian Sea
Tom Ashby (WSP)
14:50 - 15:00
Using Agent Based Modelling to Understand the Impact of Human Behavioural Change in Flood Risk Management
Linda Geaves (Oxford University)
15:00 - 15:20
Investigating the Environmental Impact of Aquaculture on Marine Waters
Ted Schlicke (SEPA)
15:20 - 15:40 Tea & biscuits!
15:40 - 16:00
Towards a British Isles Strategy for Tidal Range and Coastal Adaptation
Stuart Anderson (Conwy CBC)
16:00 - 16:20
Modelling of Extreme Conditions for Wave Overtopping at Weymouth Bay
Oliver Way (Hyder Consulting)
16:20 - 16:40
Hydropower on the Zambezi
Alan Forster (AECOM)
16:40 - 16:50 Wrap-up and introduction to Day 2
19:30 - Dinner at the venue
21
APRIL
22
APRIL
USER AND DHI PRESENTATIONS
TRAINING AND INNOVATION SEMINARS
PROGRAMME OVERVIEW (CONT.)
Day 2 - Wednesday 22 April 2015
09:00 - 09:30 Registration and welcome coffee
Marine Focus Group
Lead Trainer:
Poul Kronborg (Business Area
Manager, Coast and Sea, DHI)
Water Resources Focus Group
Lead Trainer:
Torben S. Jensen (Business Area
Manager, Water Resources, DHI)
Forecasting Technologies Focus Group
Lead Trainer:
Ole Larsen (Business Development
Manager, DHI)
09:30 - 11:00
The New Shoreline Model—Part 1:
Starts with a brief description of coastal
zone processes to underline the need for
a new model followed by a general
description of the MIKE 21 FM Shoreline
Model and some simple examples
Kasper Kærgaard (DHI)
Beyond Hydrodynamics: Flood Waters
are Not Blue
Part 1: ISIS to MIKE 11—1D model
conversion
Mark Bailes (DHI)
Part 2: MIKE 11 to MIKE FLOOD
conversion—when and how to add a 2D
component plus an introduction to
meshing
Torben S. Jensen (DHI)
Forecasting for All: A Workshop on MIKE
Customisable Technologies
Part 1: Introduction
Ole Larsen (DHI)
Part 2: Slow response runoff modelling
and 'real time' simulations—A Swedish
perspective
Andy Wilson (DHI)
Part 3: Urban Flood Forecasting —
including use of total catchment hydrology
(MIKE SHE) and Rainfall Radar integration
(city-wide urban forecasting)
Ole Larsen (DHI)
11.00 - 11.20 Coffee & cakes!
11:20 - 12:30
The New Shoreline Model—Part 2:
Description of inputs to new model and
how to generate them plus an in-depth
example from Queensland and
optimisation of model run times
Kasper Kærgaard (DHI)
Part 3: MIKE FLOOD vs MIKE 21
FMHD—when and how to change your
MIKE FLOOD model to a fully 2D model
Mark Britton (DHI)
Part 4: A User’s Perspective—My
experiences with MIKE 21 FM
Matt Travis (Enzygo)
Part 4: Building a modular, on-line riverine
flood forecasting system—live
demonstration!
Jesper Overgaard (DHI)
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
14:00 - 15:00
Some Mindblowing Marine Innovation!
A sneak peak at new and promising
marine R&D. Learn about some of the
technologies that will be at the core of
DHI’s software and services in the
coming years and get blown away!
Poul Kronborg (DHI)
Part 5: Tools—a short overview of a
variety of easy add-ons and tools for
enhancing your results and simplifying
interpretation
Mark Bailes (DHI)
Part 4 (cont.): Building a modular, on-line
riverine flood forecasting system (equally
applicable to urban networks)
Jesper Overgaard (DHI)
15:00 - 15:20 Tea & biscuits!
15:20 - 16:30
ECOLab—Up Close and Personal!
Expert direction on the uses of MIKE’s
environmental module
Michael Potthoff (DHI)
Part 6: Beyond Hydrodynamics—
sediment transport and advection
dispersion
Torben S. Jensen & Mark Britton (DHI)
Part 5: Scalability of MIKE CUSTOMISED
technology—with an introduction to IMS
(extending use of data from other models)
Ole Larsen (DHI)
Part 6: Innovative flood forecasting
technologies—including probabilistic
forecasting with stochastic structures in
quasi-2D networks (MIKE 1D) and fast 2D
solvers (simplified numerical schemes and
high performance computing)
Johan Hartnack (DHI)
16:30 - 16:45 Wrap up, goodbye - and see you next year!
DHI Water Environments (UK) Ltd
Ocean Village Innovation Centre
Ocean Way
Southampton
SO14 3JZ
United Kingdom
Telephone +44 (0)2380 381961
mikebydhi.uk@dhigroup.com
www.dhi-uk.info/symposium
www.dhigroup.com
THE ACADEMY BY DHI
THE ACADEMY offers a palette of courses and capacity building packages designed to fit your
needs and challenges. We offer standard and/or tailored training.
MIKE Powered by DHI courses focus on practical skills, hands-on exercises and teaching you
how to get the most out of your software. These courses also enable you to understand the
power of the MIKE tools for building decision support systems.
Thematic courses allow you to apply concepts, applications and decision support principles to
the entire business process within current areas: aquaculture & agriculture, energy, climate
change, flooding, coast & marine, surface & groundwater, urban water, industry, environment &
ecosystems, product safety & environmental risk, etc.
Our trainers are experienced professionals, many of whom are recognised international
experts in their fields. The use of highly skilled trainers guarantees the quality of THE
ACADEMY courses.
ABSTRACTS
KEYNOTE: Use of MIKE 21/3 in the Hydraulic Analysis for the Dublin Port ABR Project
Adrian Bell (RPS), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 10:30 - 11:00
This project essentially looked at the stability of a deepened approach channel and examined the impact of the dredging and
disposal for the scheme in support of a public planning hearing. The modelling used coupled MIKE 21 FM HD-SW-ST models as
well as well as MIKE 21 and MIKE 3 FM HD and MT models.
Environmental Impact Assessment of the SW Quadrant of Lekki Free Zone, Nigeria
Sandeep Bomminayuni (Waterco), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 11:00 - 11:20
This talk presents an overview of the flood risk and water quality assessment studies carried out for the SW Quadrant of Lekki
Free Zone, a huge developmental area (30 sqkm.) located in Lagos, Nigeria. Hydrodynamic modelling of the proposed manmade
watercourses was performed to assess flood risk for the present day and climate change scenarios. Modelling of several water
quality parameters was performed using the MIKE 21 ECO Lab module to assess the impact of pollutants discharged through
urban runoff on the watercourses and environment. The model results show that the development would not be at risk of flooding
for the scenarios considered, however, the water quality in the manmade courses could potentially be inferior to the adjacent
Lekki Lagoon especially following rainfall events.
River Carron Wave Propagation and Engineering Assessment
Daniel Rodger (JBA Consulting), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 11:40 - 12:00
The coastal town Stonehaven Aberdeenshire UK, is located between the River Carron and the North Sea. The area is exposed
to a number of complex coastal and fluvial risk processes and during extreme sea levels and specific wave conditions, waves
can enter the waterway channel and propagate upstream to create a unique flood risk. A numerical modelling study was
undertaken to quantify the effect of the channel waves, and to allow robust design of future flood defences on the lower stretches
of the River Carron. Following a joint probability analysis of offshore extreme waves and water levels to develop a range of return
period scenarios for the study, a spectral wave model was used to assess the wave transformation processes between the
offshore and nearshore region and then a Boussinesq wave model was used to investigate the behaviour of individual waves in
the river mouth and channel. The Boussinesq wave model was found to support local observations that the waves transform into
a soliton-like form, leading to higher water levels as they propagate upstream. Several engineering mitigation strategies were
considered using the model, including a nearshore breakwater, channel realignment and upstream wall raising.
Morphological Modelling of Braided Processes: Technology for Flooding and Erosion Management
Kazi Iqbal Hassan (Heriot Watt University), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 12:00 - 12:20
This paper describes a two dimensional (2D) morphological model of one the world’s most dynamic rivers, the Brahmaputra. The
2D morphological model of the Brahmaputra was validated against ADCP measured velocities across the braided channels and
with historical annual sediment load. The 2D model predicted short-term to medium term bank erosion for planning of river
training works, assessed effectiveness and impact of the existing training works, and provided hydraulic and morphological
design variables for future training works.
A Regional Coastal Modelling System for the North West – from Wales to Scotland
Samantha Mullan (Intertek), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 12:20 - 12:40
Intertek has developed a regional coastal modelling system for United Utilities. This modelling system covers UU’s entire area of
interest and stretches from the north Wales coast to the southeast coast of Scotland, including complex and dynamic
environments such as the Ribble Estuary, Morecambe Bay and the Solway Firth. To develop an efficient and practical system
that provides the client with an assessment and management tool that meets their requirements, with sufficient resolution in all
areas of interest over such a large and varied region, has been challenging. The presentation will provide an overview of the
modelling system, including the techniques employed, and some of the difficulties experienced.
Birds, Bats and Beyond – What’s that got to do with Water?
Nick Elderfield (DHI), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 12:40 - 13:00
Innovation in modelling water environments is what DHI has been about for over 50 years. A detailed understanding of the
controlling physical conditions, coupled with a behavioural knowledge of critical species dependant on the water environment,
provides a scientifically robust approach to assessing historic and future change spatially and temporally. Our habitat modelling
approach has been successfully applied on a number of projects in the UK and the wider North Sea region, combining expertise
in water environments with the critical issues for today’s projects. Models always rely on data and, to this end, DHI have
developed sensing technologies from low cost, web-ready devices to integrated observation systems for birds and mammals.
KEYNOTE: Operational Real Time Control and Warning System for Urban Areas and Receiving Waters
Henrik Frier (Aarhusvand), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 14:00 - 14:30
Experience gained during five years of design, development and implementation of a full scale real time urban water monitoring,
modelling and control and warning system is described, focussing on how to transit from desktop models and design plans to a
robust live operational system. The system uses volumes in the combined sewer system more efficiently by real time control of
valves, gates and pumps, thereby minimising the amount of untreated wastewater reaching the receiving waters during rain.
Further, a warning system forecasts deteriorated water quality in the receiving waters based on automatic operation of a series of
integrated numerical models of the urban drainage system and the receiving waters. The models use real time information from
the waste water treatment plants and the sewer systems and forecasted rainfall information from a Local Area Weather Radar.
ABSTRACTS
3D Thermal Dispersion Modelling in the Caspian Sea
Tom Ashby (WSP), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 14:30 - 14:50
Assessing the dispersion of a thermal plume from a seawater cooling plant outfall in the Caspian Sea. Driving a MIKE 3 FM HD
model using a MIKE 21 SW model to generate current conditions. Complications and things to watch out for.
Using Agent Based Modelling to Understand the Impact of Human Behavioural Change in Flood Risk Management
Linda Geaves (Oxford University), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 14:50 - 15:00
Linda has been looking at the long term costs for householders of different flood insurance scenarios in England using agent
based modelling. Agent based models provide a novel way of looking at the flood problem because they apply both human
behaviour and probabilistic physical outcomes to solve complex problems, while creating more socially reasonable model
outcomes. Linda’s model is backed up with data that she has collected from over 30 communities across the UK.
Investigating the Environmental Impact of Aquaculture on Marine Waters
Ted Schlicke (SEPA), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 15:00 - 15:20
Ted will speak about SEPA’s use of MIKE 21 FM PT to quantify benthic deposition and connectivity between different fish farms
to establish the cumulative effect of medicines and fish waste.
Towards a British Isles Strategy for Tidal Range and Coastal Adaptation
Stuart Anderson (Conwy County Borough Council), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 15:40 - 16:00
Stuart has a long history with tides on the North Wales coast, working with a number of high level, and high profile, projects
including MAREN2. He will present his thoughts and experiences on works carried out and proposed for combining coastal
protection with tidal range schemes.
Modelling of Extreme Conditions for Wave Overtopping at Weymouth Bay
Oliver Way (Hyder Consulting), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 16:00 - 16:20
A wave model study of Weymouth Bay was undertaken for Weymouth and Portland Borough Council to investigate flooding in
the historical centre of Weymouth which is understood to be caused by tidal and fluvial waters overtopping flood defences,
groundwater rising above ground level in response to high tides and heavy rain and wave overtopping along the open coast /
Esplanade. The wave modelling results in this study are used to provide input conditions to the overtopping calculations which
will in turn be used as inputs to the models of overland flow to provide flood extents. MIKE 21 SW was applied to simulate
extreme wave conditions with combined extreme water levels. The model domain extends from Chesil Beach in the west to
Lulworth Cove in the east. Extreme water level data were supplied by the Environment Agency for Weymouth from the Coastal
flood boundary conditions for UK mainland and islands report (Environment Agency, 2012). Extreme wave values were also
obtained from this Environment Agency report at offshore locations on the model boundary. Extreme wave conditions were
considered for three directional sectors: south west, south and south east. A joint probability approach was applied for a range of
return periods and climate change epochs. Wave data were extracted at nearshore locations along the beach front of Weymouth
Bay. These data were used as input conditions for wave overtopping calculations (EurOtop) at site specific points along the
beach to determine overtopping discharge rates along the beach front.
Hydropower on the Zambezi
Alan Forster (AECOM), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 16:20 - 16:40
Alan will talk about the modelling undertaken to support a feasibility study for a hydropower scheme on the Zambezi. The project
required a more detailed understanding of the flow regime within the river close to the intake structure. He will describe some of
the difficulties encountered whilst developing a 2-dimensional MIKE 21 FM HD model. Alan will identify the acknowledged
limitations of the model and explain that it has still proved to be advantageous to the decision process and therefore justified for
the project.
Slow response runoff modelling and 'real time' simulations - A Swedish perspective
Andy Wilson (DHI), Wednesday 22 April 2015 at 10:00 - 10:20
Andy Wilson (from DHI Sweden but a native of Scotland) will give an update to a presentation he delivered at the CIWEM Urban
Drainage Group in November 2014. Andy will talk about modelling of slow response runoff, in particular focusing on long term/
continuous simulation (rather than event based hydrology). Andy will illustrate his presentation with applications from both
Sweden and Scotland and will talk about the use the Rainfall Dependent Infiltration (RDI) model (a component of MIKE URBAN).
My Experiences with MIKE 21 FM
Matt Travis (Enzygo), Wednesday 22 April 2015 at 12:10 - 12:30
Matt will present on his experiences with MIKE 21 Flexible Mesh for inland applications. He will describe some recent projects
he has undertaken including Rain on Grid modelling and Hazard Mapping and describe some of the challenges he has
encountered along the way.

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DHI UK and Ireland Symposium 2015

  • 1. PROGRAMME OVERVIEW 2015 DHI UK & IRELAND SYMPOSIUM MACDONALD ANSTY HALL, WARWICKSHIRE, UK Day 1 - Tuesday 21 April 2015 08:45 - 09:30 Registration and Coffee 09:30 - 09.50 Welcome to the Symposium! Erland Rasmussen (Executive Vice President, MIKE Powered by DHI), Steve Flood (UK & Ireland Software Manager) & Nick Elderfield (Managing Director, DHI Water Environments (UK) Ltd) 09.50 - 10.30 Release 2016 News & Views in the Marine, Urban and Water Resources areas Poul Kronborg (Business Area Manager, Coast and Sea, MIKE Powered by DHI) & Torben Strange Jensen (Business Area Manager, Water Resources, MIKE Powered by DHI) 10:30 - 11:00 KEYNOTE: Use of MIKE 21/3 in the Hydraulic Analysis for the Dublin Port ABR Project Adrian Bell (RPS) 11:00 - 11:20 Environmental Impact Assessment of the SW Quadrant of Lekki Free Zone, Nigeria Sandeep Bomminayuni (Waterco) 11:20 - 11:40 Coffee & cakes! 11:40 - 12:00 River Carron Wave Propagation and Engineering Assessment Daniel Rodger (JBA) 12:00 - 12:20 Morphological Modelling of Braided Processes: Technology for Flooding and Erosion Management Kazi Iqbal Hassan (Heriot Watt University) 12:20 - 12:40 A Regional Coastal Modelling System for the North West – from Wales to Scotland Samantha Mullan (Intertek) 12:40 - 13:00 Birds, Bats and Beyond – What’s that got to do with Water? Nick Elderfield (DHI) 13:00 - 14:00 Lunch and plenty of time for informal chats and discussions! 14:00 - 14:30 KEYNOTE: Operational Real Time Control and Warning System for Urban Areas and Receiving Waters Henrik Frier (Aarhusvand) 14:30 - 14:50 3D Thermal Dispersion Modelling in the Caspian Sea Tom Ashby (WSP) 14:50 - 15:00 Using Agent Based Modelling to Understand the Impact of Human Behavioural Change in Flood Risk Management Linda Geaves (Oxford University) 15:00 - 15:20 Investigating the Environmental Impact of Aquaculture on Marine Waters Ted Schlicke (SEPA) 15:20 - 15:40 Tea & biscuits! 15:40 - 16:00 Towards a British Isles Strategy for Tidal Range and Coastal Adaptation Stuart Anderson (Conwy CBC) 16:00 - 16:20 Modelling of Extreme Conditions for Wave Overtopping at Weymouth Bay Oliver Way (Hyder Consulting) 16:20 - 16:40 Hydropower on the Zambezi Alan Forster (AECOM) 16:40 - 16:50 Wrap-up and introduction to Day 2 19:30 - Dinner at the venue 21 APRIL 22 APRIL USER AND DHI PRESENTATIONS TRAINING AND INNOVATION SEMINARS
  • 2. PROGRAMME OVERVIEW (CONT.) Day 2 - Wednesday 22 April 2015 09:00 - 09:30 Registration and welcome coffee Marine Focus Group Lead Trainer: Poul Kronborg (Business Area Manager, Coast and Sea, DHI) Water Resources Focus Group Lead Trainer: Torben S. Jensen (Business Area Manager, Water Resources, DHI) Forecasting Technologies Focus Group Lead Trainer: Ole Larsen (Business Development Manager, DHI) 09:30 - 11:00 The New Shoreline Model—Part 1: Starts with a brief description of coastal zone processes to underline the need for a new model followed by a general description of the MIKE 21 FM Shoreline Model and some simple examples Kasper Kærgaard (DHI) Beyond Hydrodynamics: Flood Waters are Not Blue Part 1: ISIS to MIKE 11—1D model conversion Mark Bailes (DHI) Part 2: MIKE 11 to MIKE FLOOD conversion—when and how to add a 2D component plus an introduction to meshing Torben S. Jensen (DHI) Forecasting for All: A Workshop on MIKE Customisable Technologies Part 1: Introduction Ole Larsen (DHI) Part 2: Slow response runoff modelling and 'real time' simulations—A Swedish perspective Andy Wilson (DHI) Part 3: Urban Flood Forecasting — including use of total catchment hydrology (MIKE SHE) and Rainfall Radar integration (city-wide urban forecasting) Ole Larsen (DHI) 11.00 - 11.20 Coffee & cakes! 11:20 - 12:30 The New Shoreline Model—Part 2: Description of inputs to new model and how to generate them plus an in-depth example from Queensland and optimisation of model run times Kasper Kærgaard (DHI) Part 3: MIKE FLOOD vs MIKE 21 FMHD—when and how to change your MIKE FLOOD model to a fully 2D model Mark Britton (DHI) Part 4: A User’s Perspective—My experiences with MIKE 21 FM Matt Travis (Enzygo) Part 4: Building a modular, on-line riverine flood forecasting system—live demonstration! Jesper Overgaard (DHI) 12:30 - 14:00 Lunch 14:00 - 15:00 Some Mindblowing Marine Innovation! A sneak peak at new and promising marine R&D. Learn about some of the technologies that will be at the core of DHI’s software and services in the coming years and get blown away! Poul Kronborg (DHI) Part 5: Tools—a short overview of a variety of easy add-ons and tools for enhancing your results and simplifying interpretation Mark Bailes (DHI) Part 4 (cont.): Building a modular, on-line riverine flood forecasting system (equally applicable to urban networks) Jesper Overgaard (DHI) 15:00 - 15:20 Tea & biscuits! 15:20 - 16:30 ECOLab—Up Close and Personal! Expert direction on the uses of MIKE’s environmental module Michael Potthoff (DHI) Part 6: Beyond Hydrodynamics— sediment transport and advection dispersion Torben S. Jensen & Mark Britton (DHI) Part 5: Scalability of MIKE CUSTOMISED technology—with an introduction to IMS (extending use of data from other models) Ole Larsen (DHI) Part 6: Innovative flood forecasting technologies—including probabilistic forecasting with stochastic structures in quasi-2D networks (MIKE 1D) and fast 2D solvers (simplified numerical schemes and high performance computing) Johan Hartnack (DHI) 16:30 - 16:45 Wrap up, goodbye - and see you next year! DHI Water Environments (UK) Ltd Ocean Village Innovation Centre Ocean Way Southampton SO14 3JZ United Kingdom Telephone +44 (0)2380 381961 mikebydhi.uk@dhigroup.com www.dhi-uk.info/symposium www.dhigroup.com THE ACADEMY BY DHI THE ACADEMY offers a palette of courses and capacity building packages designed to fit your needs and challenges. We offer standard and/or tailored training. MIKE Powered by DHI courses focus on practical skills, hands-on exercises and teaching you how to get the most out of your software. These courses also enable you to understand the power of the MIKE tools for building decision support systems. Thematic courses allow you to apply concepts, applications and decision support principles to the entire business process within current areas: aquaculture & agriculture, energy, climate change, flooding, coast & marine, surface & groundwater, urban water, industry, environment & ecosystems, product safety & environmental risk, etc. Our trainers are experienced professionals, many of whom are recognised international experts in their fields. The use of highly skilled trainers guarantees the quality of THE ACADEMY courses.
  • 3. ABSTRACTS KEYNOTE: Use of MIKE 21/3 in the Hydraulic Analysis for the Dublin Port ABR Project Adrian Bell (RPS), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 10:30 - 11:00 This project essentially looked at the stability of a deepened approach channel and examined the impact of the dredging and disposal for the scheme in support of a public planning hearing. The modelling used coupled MIKE 21 FM HD-SW-ST models as well as well as MIKE 21 and MIKE 3 FM HD and MT models. Environmental Impact Assessment of the SW Quadrant of Lekki Free Zone, Nigeria Sandeep Bomminayuni (Waterco), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 11:00 - 11:20 This talk presents an overview of the flood risk and water quality assessment studies carried out for the SW Quadrant of Lekki Free Zone, a huge developmental area (30 sqkm.) located in Lagos, Nigeria. Hydrodynamic modelling of the proposed manmade watercourses was performed to assess flood risk for the present day and climate change scenarios. Modelling of several water quality parameters was performed using the MIKE 21 ECO Lab module to assess the impact of pollutants discharged through urban runoff on the watercourses and environment. The model results show that the development would not be at risk of flooding for the scenarios considered, however, the water quality in the manmade courses could potentially be inferior to the adjacent Lekki Lagoon especially following rainfall events. River Carron Wave Propagation and Engineering Assessment Daniel Rodger (JBA Consulting), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 11:40 - 12:00 The coastal town Stonehaven Aberdeenshire UK, is located between the River Carron and the North Sea. The area is exposed to a number of complex coastal and fluvial risk processes and during extreme sea levels and specific wave conditions, waves can enter the waterway channel and propagate upstream to create a unique flood risk. A numerical modelling study was undertaken to quantify the effect of the channel waves, and to allow robust design of future flood defences on the lower stretches of the River Carron. Following a joint probability analysis of offshore extreme waves and water levels to develop a range of return period scenarios for the study, a spectral wave model was used to assess the wave transformation processes between the offshore and nearshore region and then a Boussinesq wave model was used to investigate the behaviour of individual waves in the river mouth and channel. The Boussinesq wave model was found to support local observations that the waves transform into a soliton-like form, leading to higher water levels as they propagate upstream. Several engineering mitigation strategies were considered using the model, including a nearshore breakwater, channel realignment and upstream wall raising. Morphological Modelling of Braided Processes: Technology for Flooding and Erosion Management Kazi Iqbal Hassan (Heriot Watt University), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 12:00 - 12:20 This paper describes a two dimensional (2D) morphological model of one the world’s most dynamic rivers, the Brahmaputra. The 2D morphological model of the Brahmaputra was validated against ADCP measured velocities across the braided channels and with historical annual sediment load. The 2D model predicted short-term to medium term bank erosion for planning of river training works, assessed effectiveness and impact of the existing training works, and provided hydraulic and morphological design variables for future training works. A Regional Coastal Modelling System for the North West – from Wales to Scotland Samantha Mullan (Intertek), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 12:20 - 12:40 Intertek has developed a regional coastal modelling system for United Utilities. This modelling system covers UU’s entire area of interest and stretches from the north Wales coast to the southeast coast of Scotland, including complex and dynamic environments such as the Ribble Estuary, Morecambe Bay and the Solway Firth. To develop an efficient and practical system that provides the client with an assessment and management tool that meets their requirements, with sufficient resolution in all areas of interest over such a large and varied region, has been challenging. The presentation will provide an overview of the modelling system, including the techniques employed, and some of the difficulties experienced. Birds, Bats and Beyond – What’s that got to do with Water? Nick Elderfield (DHI), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 12:40 - 13:00 Innovation in modelling water environments is what DHI has been about for over 50 years. A detailed understanding of the controlling physical conditions, coupled with a behavioural knowledge of critical species dependant on the water environment, provides a scientifically robust approach to assessing historic and future change spatially and temporally. Our habitat modelling approach has been successfully applied on a number of projects in the UK and the wider North Sea region, combining expertise in water environments with the critical issues for today’s projects. Models always rely on data and, to this end, DHI have developed sensing technologies from low cost, web-ready devices to integrated observation systems for birds and mammals. KEYNOTE: Operational Real Time Control and Warning System for Urban Areas and Receiving Waters Henrik Frier (Aarhusvand), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 14:00 - 14:30 Experience gained during five years of design, development and implementation of a full scale real time urban water monitoring, modelling and control and warning system is described, focussing on how to transit from desktop models and design plans to a robust live operational system. The system uses volumes in the combined sewer system more efficiently by real time control of valves, gates and pumps, thereby minimising the amount of untreated wastewater reaching the receiving waters during rain. Further, a warning system forecasts deteriorated water quality in the receiving waters based on automatic operation of a series of integrated numerical models of the urban drainage system and the receiving waters. The models use real time information from the waste water treatment plants and the sewer systems and forecasted rainfall information from a Local Area Weather Radar.
  • 4. ABSTRACTS 3D Thermal Dispersion Modelling in the Caspian Sea Tom Ashby (WSP), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 14:30 - 14:50 Assessing the dispersion of a thermal plume from a seawater cooling plant outfall in the Caspian Sea. Driving a MIKE 3 FM HD model using a MIKE 21 SW model to generate current conditions. Complications and things to watch out for. Using Agent Based Modelling to Understand the Impact of Human Behavioural Change in Flood Risk Management Linda Geaves (Oxford University), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 14:50 - 15:00 Linda has been looking at the long term costs for householders of different flood insurance scenarios in England using agent based modelling. Agent based models provide a novel way of looking at the flood problem because they apply both human behaviour and probabilistic physical outcomes to solve complex problems, while creating more socially reasonable model outcomes. Linda’s model is backed up with data that she has collected from over 30 communities across the UK. Investigating the Environmental Impact of Aquaculture on Marine Waters Ted Schlicke (SEPA), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 15:00 - 15:20 Ted will speak about SEPA’s use of MIKE 21 FM PT to quantify benthic deposition and connectivity between different fish farms to establish the cumulative effect of medicines and fish waste. Towards a British Isles Strategy for Tidal Range and Coastal Adaptation Stuart Anderson (Conwy County Borough Council), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 15:40 - 16:00 Stuart has a long history with tides on the North Wales coast, working with a number of high level, and high profile, projects including MAREN2. He will present his thoughts and experiences on works carried out and proposed for combining coastal protection with tidal range schemes. Modelling of Extreme Conditions for Wave Overtopping at Weymouth Bay Oliver Way (Hyder Consulting), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 16:00 - 16:20 A wave model study of Weymouth Bay was undertaken for Weymouth and Portland Borough Council to investigate flooding in the historical centre of Weymouth which is understood to be caused by tidal and fluvial waters overtopping flood defences, groundwater rising above ground level in response to high tides and heavy rain and wave overtopping along the open coast / Esplanade. The wave modelling results in this study are used to provide input conditions to the overtopping calculations which will in turn be used as inputs to the models of overland flow to provide flood extents. MIKE 21 SW was applied to simulate extreme wave conditions with combined extreme water levels. The model domain extends from Chesil Beach in the west to Lulworth Cove in the east. Extreme water level data were supplied by the Environment Agency for Weymouth from the Coastal flood boundary conditions for UK mainland and islands report (Environment Agency, 2012). Extreme wave values were also obtained from this Environment Agency report at offshore locations on the model boundary. Extreme wave conditions were considered for three directional sectors: south west, south and south east. A joint probability approach was applied for a range of return periods and climate change epochs. Wave data were extracted at nearshore locations along the beach front of Weymouth Bay. These data were used as input conditions for wave overtopping calculations (EurOtop) at site specific points along the beach to determine overtopping discharge rates along the beach front. Hydropower on the Zambezi Alan Forster (AECOM), Tuesday 21 April 2015 at 16:20 - 16:40 Alan will talk about the modelling undertaken to support a feasibility study for a hydropower scheme on the Zambezi. The project required a more detailed understanding of the flow regime within the river close to the intake structure. He will describe some of the difficulties encountered whilst developing a 2-dimensional MIKE 21 FM HD model. Alan will identify the acknowledged limitations of the model and explain that it has still proved to be advantageous to the decision process and therefore justified for the project. Slow response runoff modelling and 'real time' simulations - A Swedish perspective Andy Wilson (DHI), Wednesday 22 April 2015 at 10:00 - 10:20 Andy Wilson (from DHI Sweden but a native of Scotland) will give an update to a presentation he delivered at the CIWEM Urban Drainage Group in November 2014. Andy will talk about modelling of slow response runoff, in particular focusing on long term/ continuous simulation (rather than event based hydrology). Andy will illustrate his presentation with applications from both Sweden and Scotland and will talk about the use the Rainfall Dependent Infiltration (RDI) model (a component of MIKE URBAN). My Experiences with MIKE 21 FM Matt Travis (Enzygo), Wednesday 22 April 2015 at 12:10 - 12:30 Matt will present on his experiences with MIKE 21 Flexible Mesh for inland applications. He will describe some recent projects he has undertaken including Rain on Grid modelling and Hazard Mapping and describe some of the challenges he has encountered along the way.