Updated Situation on Russia's Invasion on Ukraine

1. Ukraine Crisis Updates
Kan Yuenyong
(as of February 24, 2022, GMT+7)

2. https://
www.understandingwar.org/
map/russian-force-posture-
around-ukraine-btgs-
january-25-2022

4. https://mobile.twitter.com/BradLitwin1/status/1495805983460896773

5. Russian military deployment in Belarus (Maxer), per Reuters
https://mobile.twitter.com/Reuters/status/1496312691530649606

6. Former Stratfor’s assessment in Russia full scale invasion (Mar, 2015)
Scenario 1: (minimum invasion), Land Bridge Scenario
https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/gaming-russian-offensive

7. Former Stratfor’s assessment in Russia full scale invasion (Mar, 2015)
Scenario 2: (moderate invasion), Coastal Scenario
https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/gaming-russian-offensive

8. Former Stratfor’s assessment in Russia full scale invasion (Mar, 2015)
Scenario 3: (maximum invasion), Eastern Ukraine Scenario
https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/gaming-russian-offensive

9. US intelligence’s assessment on Russian invasion
https://mobile.twitter.com/IndoPac_Info/status/1496655057600724993

10. Possible invasion route alleged by Bild and CSIS

11. https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/23-february-video-uploaded-2-hours-ago-shows-a-single-tank
A
C
B
Real Ukraine invasion (ongoing situation)

14. https://www.pngitem.com/middle/Jmmhmo_ukraine-presidential-dec-2004-vote-a-ukraine-gdp/
Ukraine Political Divide

15. https://eurasiaca.wordpress.com/2013/12/11/ukraine-trapped-between-two-worlds/
Ukraine GDP per capita by region

17. Timeline (brief)
• (July 12, 2021) Article by Vladimir Putin “On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians”, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/
president/news/66181
• (December 17, 2021) Russia’s initial negotiation: (1) Agreement on measures to ensure the security of The Russian Federation
and member States of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization https://mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/rso/nato/1790803/?lang=en, and
(2) Treaty between The United States of America and the Russian Federation on security guarantees https://mid.ru/ru/
foreign_policy/rso/nato/1790818/?lang=en
• (January 26, 2022) US and NATO reject Russia’s demand, the centrality of the debates is at “NATO’s open door policy”, and
revive back to pre-1997 status.
• (February 21, 2022) Putin’s address to the public, and Russia to recognize DNR and LNR, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/
president/news/67828
• (February 22, 2022) Putin submits proposal to Federation Council to approve resolution authorising use of Armed Forces
abroad. The council endorsed the proposal
• (February 23-24, 2022) UNSC and UNAG debate on the situation in the temporarily occupied territories of #Ukraine
• (February 24, 2022) DNR and LNR’s proposal to seek military support from Russia, Russia to invade Ukraine
• See more at: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_war_in_Donbas_(2022)

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