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Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Royal Dutch Shell plc
November 8, 2016
North America Investor Day 2016
Re-shaping Shell,
to create a world-class investment case
“Let’s make the future”
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Ben van Beurden
Chief Executive Officer
Royal Dutch Shell plc
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 3
Definitions &
cautionary note
Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves.
Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of
Petroleum Engineers (SPE) 2P + 2C definitions.
Discovered and prospective resources: Our use of the term “discovered and prospective resources” are consistent with SPE 2P + 2C + 2U definitions.
Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing impact.
Shales: Our use of the term ‘shales’ refers to tight, shale and coal bed methane oil and gas acreage.
Underlying operating cost is defined as operating cost less identified items. A reconciliation can be found in the quarterly results announcement.
The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this release “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used
for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to
those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell
companies” as used in this release refer to companies over which Royal Dutch Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. Entities and unincorporated arrangements over which Shell has joint
control are generally referred to as “joint ventures” and “joint operations” respectively. Entities over which Shell has significant influence but neither control nor joint control are referred to as
“associates”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-
party interest.
This release contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact
are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions
and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-
looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs,
estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’,
‘‘goals’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘risks’’, “schedule”, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of
factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this release,
including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves
estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets,
and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and
regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the
risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs;
and (m) changes in trading conditions. There can be no assurance that future dividend payments will match or exceed previous dividend payments. All forward-looking statements contained in this
release are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2015 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ).
These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward looking statements contained in this release and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date
of this release, November 8, 2016. Neither Royal Dutch Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new
information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this
release.
With respect to operating costs synergies indicated, such savings and efficiencies in procurement spend include economies of scale, specification standardisation and operating efficiencies across
operating, capital and raw material cost areas.
We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this release that United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S.
Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov.
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 4
Breakout Q&A
panels
Shell Midstream Partners - SHLX
 John Hollowell – CEO Shell Midstream Partners
 Susan Ward – CFO Shell Midstream Partners
Andrew Brown
Maarten Wetselaar
Harry Brekelmans
John Abbott Graham van ‘t Hoff
De La Rey Venter
John Hollowell
Steve Hill
Susan Ward
Integrated Gas
 Maarten Wetselaar – Integrated Gas & New Energies
Director
 De La Rey Venter – EVP Integrated Gas Ventures
 Steve Hill – EVP Gas and Energy Marketing & Trading
Upstream + Projects & Technology
 Andrew Brown – Upstream Director
 Harry Brekelmans – Projects & Technology Director
Downstream
 John Abbott – Downstream Director
 Graham van ‘t Hoff – EVP Chemicals
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 5
Key messages
 Cash engines
 today’s free cash flow
 Growth priorities
 deep water and
chemicals
 Future opportunities
 2020+ shales and new
energies
 Create a world class
investment case
 Grow free cash flow per
share, higher ROCE
 More resilient and more
focused company
RE-SHAPING
SHELL
MANAGING THE
DOWN-CYCLE
PORTFOLIO
PRIORITIES
 Pulling levers to manage
financial framework
 Re-set our costs
 Reduce debt
BG acquisition enables and accelerates change
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
HSSE
performance
2016 includes BG
Injuries – TRCF/million working hours
Goal Zero on safety
Energy Intensity Index (EEITM)
Energy intensity – refineries
Volume in thousand tonnes
Spills - operational
Number of incidents
Process safety
 HSSE priority
 Performance + transparency
Working hours (RHS)TRCF
2016
Q3
Tier 1 incidents Tier 2 incidents
million working hours
6
2016
Q3
2016
Q3
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 7
Industry context
Substantial +
long lasting
shifts in energy
landscape
$
From 7 to 9 billion by 2050
75% will live in cities
Global energy demand to
double between 2000 & 2050
World needs more energy;
less CO2
New sources
New energy carriers
New business models
OPEC, shales, shorter price cycles Requires new value creation
models
Global population Growth in oil & gas demand Energy system in transition
Customer choice Continued oil price volatility Changing resources access
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Strategy
“Let’s make
the future” STRATEGIC
 Focus portfolio on resilient positions
 Invest in advantaged projects
 Value chain integration
OPERATIONAL
 Reset cost and capital spending
 First class execution projects
and operations
 Unrelenting focus on HSSE and
licence to operate
Leader: value +
influence
Reducing our
carbon intensity
Shared value
with society
World-class
investment case
 FCF/share + ROCE growth
 Conservative financial
management
8
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Strong free cash flow and returns
Re-shape Shell
Driving strategy
in multiple time
horizons
CONVENTIONAL
OIL + GAS
CHEMICALS
OIL
PRODUCTS
DEEP WATERINTEGRATED
GAS
OIL SANDS
MINING
SHALES NEW
ENERGIES
Cash engines:
today
Growth priorities:
2016+
Future opportunities:
2020+
Competitive + resilient
Funds dividends + balance sheet
FCF + ROACE pathway
Affordable growth in
advantaged positions
Material value + upside
Managed exposure
Path to profitability
Cash engines 2020+
Relentless portfolio high-grading
9
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 10
Re-shape Shell
Capital
allocation
Excludes BG acquisition in 2016
Historical BG Capital investment is based on BG’s published 2014 Annual Report
Future
opportunities
Growth
priorities
Cash
engines
$ billion
Capital investment
-$18 billion
Shell BG
30
25
$ billion 2016E 2017-18
Oil products 4 3-4
Conventional
oil + gas
5 5-6
Integrated gas 5 4-5
Oil sands mining <1 <1
Deep water 10 6-7
Chemicals 3 3-4
Shales 2 2-3
New energies <1 <1
Total 29 25-30
 Reducing capital investment
 More predictable
development flow
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 11
Re-shape Shell
Cash engines
Conventional oil + gas
Integrated Gas
Oil Products
Oil sands mining
 High grade portfolio
 Exploration to maintain running room
 Moderate capacity growth rate
 Prioritise for cash delivery
 Strengthen the retained core
 Selective marketing growth
 Improve macro resilience
 Capture price upside
Name
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 12
Re-shape Shell
Growth priorities
Thousand boe per day
Deep water
 Growth in advantaged geology
 Brazil + GOM in focus
 Multi-billion barrels potential
Deep water production
Million tonnes per annum, ethylene
Chemicals capacity
Chemicals
 Advantaged feedstock + growth markets
 USA + China growth
Growth outlook driven
by discovered oil & gas
and established
chemicals positions
Under constructionOn-stream FEED Under constructionOn-stream
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 13
Growth Priority
Deep water
 FPSO 7 + 8 on-stream (Shell 25%)
 Each FPSO 150kboe/d capacity
 Significant ramp-up in Brazil pre-salt volumes
Brazil pre-salt Gulf of Mexico Appomattox
 Host ~40% complete
 Well cost savings ~20% cost reduction since FID
 175 kboe/d potential, Shell 79% (operator)
 ~650 million boe resources + upside
Growth outlook driven by
discovered oil & gas
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 14
Growth priority
Chemicals Million metric tonnes Ethylene and Propylene
Geographic balance
North America
Asia Pacific & Middle East
Europe2016
Gas
Liquid
2016
Million metric tonnes Ethylene and Propylene
Feedstock balance
 Strengthening our core
 Growing our footprint
 Crackers + derivatives
Under construction
Geismar, USA
Nanhai, China
Pennsylvania, USA
 425,000 tonnes additional
Alpha Olefins capacity
 New liquids cracker and
derivatives units
 Capacity: ~1.2 million
tonnes ethylene per year
 50/50 JV CNOOC
 Greenfield FID 2016
 Capacity: ~1.5 million
tonnes ethylene and
polyethylene derivatives
per year
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 15
Re-shape Shell
Future
opportunities
Shales
New energies
 ~12 billion boe discovered + prospective
resources
 Mature to ‘growth priority’
 Energy transition themes
 Explore + invest for longer term
Discovered + prospective resources shown at year end 2015
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 16
Maturing a new growth
option 2020+
Americas shales
 Material discovered +
prospective resources ~12
billion boe
 25% liquids, 75% gas
 Reducing costs + improving
capital efficiency
~12 billion boe
Resources
Thousand boe per day
2P reserves
Contingent resources - other
Contingent resources -
development pending
Prospective resources
Production
+55%
Liquids Gas
Western Canada
 Dry gas
 Maximize existing
infrastructure
Western Canada
 Liquids rich shales
 465k net acres
 Premier Duvernay
position
Permian
 Liquids rich shales
 280k net acres
 Low cost + high quality
Wolfcamp position
Appalachia
 Dry gas
 Positive exploration
success
Haynesville
 Dry gas
 Non-operated
Argentina
 Liquids rich shales
 168k net acres
 Early stage exploration
Discovered + prospective resources shown at year end 2015; consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers 2P (Proved + Probable Reserves) , 2C (Contingent Resources) and 2U (Prospective
Resources) definitions
Production excludes divested assets (2013-14) and includes BG Haynesville/Appalachia addition (2016)
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 17
Exploring new opportunities
New energies
 Cleaner transportation
 Biofuels + hydrogen
 NL + USA wind
 Solar for EOR Oman
 Connected mobility
 Connected energy
Established credentials:
exploring options
New fuels Integrated energy
solutions
Connected customer
Integrated
energy
solutions
New fuels
Connected
customer
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 18
Re-shape Shell
Expectation:
end of decade
2013-15 ~$90
Capital
employed
($ bln end ‘15)
Free
cash flow
($ bln p.a)
ROACE
(%)
Oil products 5 12
Conventional oil + gas -1 13
Integrated gas 4 13
Oil sands mining 0 1
Cash engines ~65% 8 12
Deep water -1 10
Chemicals 1 15
Growth priorities ~20% 0 11
Shales -4 -12
New energies - -
Future opportunities ~5% -4 -12
Organic FCF 5
Divestments 7
Total (incl. Corporate) 223 12 8
2019-21 ~$60
Capital
employed
($ bln)
Free
cash flow
($ bln p.a.)
ROACE
(%)
>5 ~15
~5 ~10
>5 ~10
~1 ~5
~65% 15-20 ~10
~5 ~10
~0 ~10
~25% ~5 ~10
~0 <5
~0 <5
~5% ~0 <5
20-25
~5
270-290 20-30 ~10
GROWTH PRIORITIES
Deep water delivering
free cash flow; Chemicals
continues to grow
CASH ENGINES
Stable portfolio + step up
in financial performance
FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES
Transitioning to
growth businesses
2019-21: 2016 RT $60 scenario, mid-cycle Downstream
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Maarten Wetselaar
Integrated Gas & New Energies Director
Royal Dutch Shell plc
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 20
Integrated Gas
+ new energies
Cash engine
 Focus on:
 Cash + returns
 Create + secure new
demand
 Selective growth
 New energies opportunities
Integrated Gas New energies
Future opportunities
Oil + gas production
Liquefaction
Regasification
Gas-to-Liquids
Marketing & trading
 IOC leadership in growing market
 BG integration benefits
 Selective growth
Qatargas 4
Muscat LNG
Pearl GTL
Sakhalin LNG
Hazira India
LNG
 Operational excellence
 Building GTL product premium
 Energy transition
 Leverage adjacencies
 Explore + invest
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Integrated Gas
Financial
performance
Earnings and ROACE on CCS basis, excluding identified items
$ billion
Earnings
$ billion
Cash flow + ROACE
$88 billion as at Q3 2016
Capital employed
%
LNG plant availability
%
In service
Under construction
Cash flow
ROACE (RHS)
21
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 22
LNG supply +
demand Million tonnes per annum
Global LNG supply + demand outlook Overview of LNG FIDs
In operation Under construction Demand forecasts
Million tonnes per annum
Shell BG Peers
 2015-20: >100 mtpa supply growth
 Predominantly contracted volumes
 Supply driven market until end of decade
 2020 to 2030
 Asian demand continues as main growth area
 Declining European indigenous gas production providing LNG demand growth area
 Majority of new supplies from North America and potentially East Africa
 Supply gap emerging early 2020s
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 23
LNG supply +
demand Million tonnes
LNG – Supply development
Million tonnes
LNG – Demand
 Supply growth led by
Australia
 New buyers
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 24
Global LNG
footprint
Million tonnes per annum
LNG volumes
LNG Peru
QG-4
Atlantic LNG
Oman
Sakhalin
Malaysia
Sabine Pass
Equatorial
Guinea
Pluto
NWS
Brunei
QCLNG
Gorgon
LNG liquefaction volumesLNG sales volumes
 IOC leadership position
 Global footprint
 Value from optionality
Liquefaction capacity
Nigeria
Equity capacity
Long-term offtake agreement
Spot offtake in 2015-16 YTD
Deliveries in 2015-16 YTD
Million tonnes per annum
Existing Under construction
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 25
LNG pricing
Million tonnes per annum (2015 basis, Shell +BG)
Shell LNG sales + pricing linkage
$ per mmbtu
Regional gas prices
Short-term ‘spot’
Gas hubs (e.g. NBP, HH)
Oil linked: 3-6 months lag
Term contracts
(2-20 years)
~80%
 Continued demand for oil +
gas hub linked LNG pricing
 Oil-price linkage reinforced Japan landed LNG price
National balancing point (UK)
Henry hub (US)
Brent
Sources Deliveries
Term purchase
Liquefaction volumes
Spot purchase
2016 Q3
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 26
Example: LNG
pricing
Oil prices quoted in volumetric terms ($/bbl) and gas prices in calorific terms ($/MMBtu). A barrel of oil contains roughly 5.8 MMBtu of energy content.
Illustrative only and not representative of Shell’s outlook.
$/MMBtu
Oil-parity slopes
$/MMBtu
Oil linked with S-curve
$/MMBtu
Oil and HH indexed prices
 LNG is often sold at a discount to a
complete oil-parity of 17% x oil price
 Includes a constant for costs such as
shipping
 S-curves beyond agreed oil prices
(called kink points) could be set to
mitigate high or low oil price risk
for the counterparties
 Attractiveness Henry Hub indexed
price dependent on oil price
 Risk management tools to manage
cross commodity price exposure
Typical Asia LNG contract (oil-indexed)
Complete oil-parity
$/bbl $/bbl
Floor at $40/bbl and ceiling at $80/bbl
Typical Asian LNG contract (oil-indexed)
$/bbl
Typical Asian LNG contract (oil-indexed)
Henry Hub-indexed at $3/MMBtu and
$5/MMBtu
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 27
Developing new gas &
LNG markets
Gibraltar Growing and diversifying Asian market
 Marketing LNG to new
customers
 Infrastructure development
 Downstream LNG
LNG truck re-fuelling station Rotterdam,
Netherlands
Existing capacity rights
Business development
Downstream LNG
Under construction
Japan
Korea
Taiwan
India
China
Indonesia
Malaysia
Others
Million tonnes per annum
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 28
Downstream LNG
LNG to transport
 Economic and environmental benefits
 Cleaner than diesel and heavy fuel oil
 Reduce well-to-wheel GHG emissions
 Offers a compelling case to customers
 Working across value chain to unlock demand
Marine Heavy-duty road transport
Long run potential
LNG truck re-fuelling station Rotterdam,
Netherlands
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 29
Opportunity funnel
Selective LNG
growth
*offtake rights
 Reduce FID pace
 Focus on project cost
competitiveness
FEEDOptions Under construction
9 MTPA
Lake Charles
LNG Canada
Browse
Sakhalin T3
Abadi
NLNG T7
Tanzania LNG
Baltic LNG
Option recycled
Prelude
Gorgon
Gorgon T3
Prelude
Sabine Pass T3-4*
Elba*
Others*
Prelude
LNG liquefaction volumes
on stream
29 MTPA (2016E)
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Simon Henry
Chief Financial Officer
Royal Dutch Shell plc
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
CFFO + Divestments
Attractiveness,
resilience
Dividends +
Buybacks
0 – 30% gearing
through cycle
31
Financial
framework Cash Performance
InvestmentPay-out
Balance Sheet
 Creating value for shareholders through cycle
 Pulling levers today to manage the financial
framework
 Multi-year timescales and planning
 Positioning to cover dividends in down-cycle,
and generate excess free cash flow in up-cycle
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 32
Integration with BG
BG portfolio
is delivering
Thousand boe per day
Increasing production
$ billion
Synergies BG
LNG Deep waterConventional oil + gas
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015
+26%
ExplorationCosts
2.5
4.0
4.5
Q2 Q3
2016
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 33
Manage down-cycle
Cash flow
priorities 2016-18
Priorities
for cash
Debt reduction Dividends
Buybacks
& capital
investment
1 2 3
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 34
2016 RT $60 oil price scenario 2018
Capital investment excludes BG acquisition
Manage down-cycle
Pulling levers to
manage
financial
framework
$ billion
2015 baseline:
Shell + BG
2016
2017-2018
potential
Operating costs 46
Trend to 40
(underlying)
Multi-billion p.a.
Capital investment 36 29 25-30
Divestments 6 + 5
6-8
in progress
30 over
2016-18
Projects start-up post-2014
(CFFO)
n/a ~2
~10
by 2018*
Divestments
Reduce
capital investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver
new projects
2016-18 levers
 Reducing our cash break-
even
 Further options available
 +/- $10 Brent = ~$5 billion
CFFO
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 35
Manage down-cycle
Divestments
Integrated gas split out from Upstream from 2011 onwards
All values for deals announced are approximates. Closing provisions may impact proceeds received.
$ billion
Divestment program
 $30 billion 2016-18
 Progressing $6-8 billion
2016
 5-10 countries;
~10% of production
Divestments
Reduce
capital investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver
new projects
Downstream/Corporate High grading ‘tail’
Infrastructure + mature positions
Refocus portfolio
Upstream
Integrated Gas
2016-2018 completed + announced $ billion
MLP
Denmark marketing
N.Z.: Maui pipeline
MGL IPO
Others
0.8
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.3
Total Completed 1.7
Showa Shell
Western Canada shales
Brutus/Glider
PSPC IPO
Various:
- Malaysia & Denmark refining
- North Sabah EOR PSC
- Anasuria cluster
1.4
1.0
0.4
0.3
0.2
Total Announced 3.3
Total 5.0
In progress:
- Motiva JV end
- N.Z.: Upstream strategic review
- Thailand strategic review
- Argentina Downstream strategic review
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 36
SHLX
Leveraging the
midstream
EBITDA annualized for year 2014
 MLP focus:
 Fee-based, predictable cash flows
 Insulated from commodity price exposure
 High growth
 $2.2 billion sold into the MLP in 2015 - 2016
 10-15% of divestment target from MLP
MLP is a natural vehicle for
infrastructure divestments
Shell Midstream Partners assets
RDS-owned NA infrastructure assets
EBITDA
$ million
4Q rolling
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 37
Manage down-cycle
Lower & more
predictable
capital
investment
Excludes BG acquisition in 2016
$ billion
Capital investment
Growth options/explorationBase + short cycle Committed growth projects BG
$25-30 billion
58
47
36
29
-35%
Divestments
Reduce
capital investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver
new projects
Shell + BG C.I. on a cash basis
~25
4Q rolling
 Planning for $25-$30 billion range
 $30 billion/year ceiling
 Confirming $29 billion for 2016
 2017 around $25 billion
 Options to further reduce below $25 billion if warranted
28
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 38
Manage down-cycle
Reduce
operating cost
$ billion
 Substantial reductions delivered
 “Lower for ever” mindset + BG synergies
 Staff, supply chain + contractors
 Divestments, growth, FX impacts
Underlying operating cost
Divestments
Reduce
capital investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver
new projects
Shell BG
4Q rolling4Q rolling
-$ 9
billion
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 39
Manage down-cycle
Deliver new
projects
 Significant oil & gas + chemicals production
under construction
 Capex to free cash flow
 High margin / price upside barrels
* BG organic growth from 1.1.2016 ; LNG volume includes offtake
 Cash operating cost
<$15/boe
 Tax rate ~35%
Million tonnes per annumThousand boe per day*
2016-17 start-ups
2014-15 start-ups
LNG volume (RHS)
2018+ start-ups
Divestments
Reduce
capital investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver
new projects
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 40
Deliver new projects
2016-17 start-ups
2016 start-up production: once fully ramped-up
 2016 start-ups: >250 kboe/d ; 3.9 mtpa LNG
Divestments
Reduce
capital investment
Reduce
operating costs
Deliver
new projects
BC-10 Ph3
 Shell 50%
Gorgon start-up
 15.6 mtpa LNG
 Shell 25%
Kashagan
 300 kboe/d
 Shell 17%
Stones
 50 kboe/d
 Shell 100%
8th FPSO – ‘Saquarema’
 150 kboe/d
 Shell 25%
9th FPSO – ‘Caraguatauba’
 100 kboe/d
 Shell 30%
ML South start-up
 35 kboe/d
 Shell 35%
7th FPSO 1st oil – ‘Maricá’
 150 kboe/d
 Shell 25% 



 Start-up



Forcados Yokri
 50 kboe/d
 Shell 30%
Gbaran Ubie ph2
 150 kboe/d
 Shell 30%
Geismar AO4
 425 ktpa alpha olephins
 Shell 100%
Malikai
 60 kboe/d
 Shell 35%
Pernis – Solvent deasphalting
 7.2 kbpd
 Shell 100%
Schiehallion redevelopment
 125 kboe/d
 Shell 55%
Scotford HCU debottleneck
 14 kbpd
 Shell 100%
10th FPSO – Lula South’
 150 kboe/d
 Shell 25%
11th FPSO – Lula North’
 150 kboe/d
 Shell 25%
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Ben van Beurden
Chief Executive Officer
Royal Dutch Shell plc
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Transformation
CREATE A
WORLD CLASS
INVESTMENT CASE
Improved capital
efficiency: reduced
investment/FCF ratio
Energy transition:
CO2 footprint & new
energies strategy
Simpler company: Exit
~10% production;
5-10 countries
Less cost + fewer
people with BG than
Shell stand-alone:
12,500 fewer staff
Capital efficiency:
2013 spending
halved & $45 billion
mitigated
Improving our metrics:
FCF/share; ROCE;
net debt
$30bn divestments:
Innovative deals like
the MLP
Portfolio growth:
1 mboe/d adds
$10 bln cash flow
2019-2021
average
2013-2015
average
Brent
ROACE
~$60
~10%
~$90
8%
Organic free cash flow $20-25 billion p.a.$5 billion p.a.
42
2019-21: 2016 RT $60 scenario, mid-cycle Downstream
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Questions & Answers
Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016
Royal Dutch Shell plc
November 8, 2016
North America Investor Day 2016
Re-shaping Shell,
to create a world-class investment case
“Let’s make the future”

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Royal Dutch Shell plc 2016 Management Day

  • 1. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Royal Dutch Shell plc November 8, 2016 North America Investor Day 2016 Re-shaping Shell, to create a world-class investment case “Let’s make the future”
  • 2. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Ben van Beurden Chief Executive Officer Royal Dutch Shell plc
  • 3. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 3 Definitions & cautionary note Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) 2P + 2C definitions. Discovered and prospective resources: Our use of the term “discovered and prospective resources” are consistent with SPE 2P + 2C + 2U definitions. Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing impact. Shales: Our use of the term ‘shales’ refers to tight, shale and coal bed methane oil and gas acreage. Underlying operating cost is defined as operating cost less identified items. A reconciliation can be found in the quarterly results announcement. The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this release “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this release refer to companies over which Royal Dutch Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. Entities and unincorporated arrangements over which Shell has joint control are generally referred to as “joint ventures” and “joint operations” respectively. Entities over which Shell has significant influence but neither control nor joint control are referred to as “associates”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third- party interest. This release contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward- looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘risks’’, “schedule”, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this release, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. There can be no assurance that future dividend payments will match or exceed previous dividend payments. All forward-looking statements contained in this release are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2015 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward looking statements contained in this release and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this release, November 8, 2016. Neither Royal Dutch Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this release. With respect to operating costs synergies indicated, such savings and efficiencies in procurement spend include economies of scale, specification standardisation and operating efficiencies across operating, capital and raw material cost areas. We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this release that United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov.
  • 4. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 4 Breakout Q&A panels Shell Midstream Partners - SHLX  John Hollowell – CEO Shell Midstream Partners  Susan Ward – CFO Shell Midstream Partners Andrew Brown Maarten Wetselaar Harry Brekelmans John Abbott Graham van ‘t Hoff De La Rey Venter John Hollowell Steve Hill Susan Ward Integrated Gas  Maarten Wetselaar – Integrated Gas & New Energies Director  De La Rey Venter – EVP Integrated Gas Ventures  Steve Hill – EVP Gas and Energy Marketing & Trading Upstream + Projects & Technology  Andrew Brown – Upstream Director  Harry Brekelmans – Projects & Technology Director Downstream  John Abbott – Downstream Director  Graham van ‘t Hoff – EVP Chemicals
  • 5. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 5 Key messages  Cash engines  today’s free cash flow  Growth priorities  deep water and chemicals  Future opportunities  2020+ shales and new energies  Create a world class investment case  Grow free cash flow per share, higher ROCE  More resilient and more focused company RE-SHAPING SHELL MANAGING THE DOWN-CYCLE PORTFOLIO PRIORITIES  Pulling levers to manage financial framework  Re-set our costs  Reduce debt BG acquisition enables and accelerates change
  • 6. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 HSSE performance 2016 includes BG Injuries – TRCF/million working hours Goal Zero on safety Energy Intensity Index (EEITM) Energy intensity – refineries Volume in thousand tonnes Spills - operational Number of incidents Process safety  HSSE priority  Performance + transparency Working hours (RHS)TRCF 2016 Q3 Tier 1 incidents Tier 2 incidents million working hours 6 2016 Q3 2016 Q3
  • 7. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 7 Industry context Substantial + long lasting shifts in energy landscape $ From 7 to 9 billion by 2050 75% will live in cities Global energy demand to double between 2000 & 2050 World needs more energy; less CO2 New sources New energy carriers New business models OPEC, shales, shorter price cycles Requires new value creation models Global population Growth in oil & gas demand Energy system in transition Customer choice Continued oil price volatility Changing resources access
  • 8. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Strategy “Let’s make the future” STRATEGIC  Focus portfolio on resilient positions  Invest in advantaged projects  Value chain integration OPERATIONAL  Reset cost and capital spending  First class execution projects and operations  Unrelenting focus on HSSE and licence to operate Leader: value + influence Reducing our carbon intensity Shared value with society World-class investment case  FCF/share + ROCE growth  Conservative financial management 8
  • 9. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Strong free cash flow and returns Re-shape Shell Driving strategy in multiple time horizons CONVENTIONAL OIL + GAS CHEMICALS OIL PRODUCTS DEEP WATERINTEGRATED GAS OIL SANDS MINING SHALES NEW ENERGIES Cash engines: today Growth priorities: 2016+ Future opportunities: 2020+ Competitive + resilient Funds dividends + balance sheet FCF + ROACE pathway Affordable growth in advantaged positions Material value + upside Managed exposure Path to profitability Cash engines 2020+ Relentless portfolio high-grading 9
  • 10. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 10 Re-shape Shell Capital allocation Excludes BG acquisition in 2016 Historical BG Capital investment is based on BG’s published 2014 Annual Report Future opportunities Growth priorities Cash engines $ billion Capital investment -$18 billion Shell BG 30 25 $ billion 2016E 2017-18 Oil products 4 3-4 Conventional oil + gas 5 5-6 Integrated gas 5 4-5 Oil sands mining <1 <1 Deep water 10 6-7 Chemicals 3 3-4 Shales 2 2-3 New energies <1 <1 Total 29 25-30  Reducing capital investment  More predictable development flow
  • 11. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 11 Re-shape Shell Cash engines Conventional oil + gas Integrated Gas Oil Products Oil sands mining  High grade portfolio  Exploration to maintain running room  Moderate capacity growth rate  Prioritise for cash delivery  Strengthen the retained core  Selective marketing growth  Improve macro resilience  Capture price upside Name
  • 12. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 12 Re-shape Shell Growth priorities Thousand boe per day Deep water  Growth in advantaged geology  Brazil + GOM in focus  Multi-billion barrels potential Deep water production Million tonnes per annum, ethylene Chemicals capacity Chemicals  Advantaged feedstock + growth markets  USA + China growth Growth outlook driven by discovered oil & gas and established chemicals positions Under constructionOn-stream FEED Under constructionOn-stream
  • 13. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 13 Growth Priority Deep water  FPSO 7 + 8 on-stream (Shell 25%)  Each FPSO 150kboe/d capacity  Significant ramp-up in Brazil pre-salt volumes Brazil pre-salt Gulf of Mexico Appomattox  Host ~40% complete  Well cost savings ~20% cost reduction since FID  175 kboe/d potential, Shell 79% (operator)  ~650 million boe resources + upside Growth outlook driven by discovered oil & gas
  • 14. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 14 Growth priority Chemicals Million metric tonnes Ethylene and Propylene Geographic balance North America Asia Pacific & Middle East Europe2016 Gas Liquid 2016 Million metric tonnes Ethylene and Propylene Feedstock balance  Strengthening our core  Growing our footprint  Crackers + derivatives Under construction Geismar, USA Nanhai, China Pennsylvania, USA  425,000 tonnes additional Alpha Olefins capacity  New liquids cracker and derivatives units  Capacity: ~1.2 million tonnes ethylene per year  50/50 JV CNOOC  Greenfield FID 2016  Capacity: ~1.5 million tonnes ethylene and polyethylene derivatives per year
  • 15. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 15 Re-shape Shell Future opportunities Shales New energies  ~12 billion boe discovered + prospective resources  Mature to ‘growth priority’  Energy transition themes  Explore + invest for longer term Discovered + prospective resources shown at year end 2015
  • 16. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 16 Maturing a new growth option 2020+ Americas shales  Material discovered + prospective resources ~12 billion boe  25% liquids, 75% gas  Reducing costs + improving capital efficiency ~12 billion boe Resources Thousand boe per day 2P reserves Contingent resources - other Contingent resources - development pending Prospective resources Production +55% Liquids Gas Western Canada  Dry gas  Maximize existing infrastructure Western Canada  Liquids rich shales  465k net acres  Premier Duvernay position Permian  Liquids rich shales  280k net acres  Low cost + high quality Wolfcamp position Appalachia  Dry gas  Positive exploration success Haynesville  Dry gas  Non-operated Argentina  Liquids rich shales  168k net acres  Early stage exploration Discovered + prospective resources shown at year end 2015; consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers 2P (Proved + Probable Reserves) , 2C (Contingent Resources) and 2U (Prospective Resources) definitions Production excludes divested assets (2013-14) and includes BG Haynesville/Appalachia addition (2016)
  • 17. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 17 Exploring new opportunities New energies  Cleaner transportation  Biofuels + hydrogen  NL + USA wind  Solar for EOR Oman  Connected mobility  Connected energy Established credentials: exploring options New fuels Integrated energy solutions Connected customer Integrated energy solutions New fuels Connected customer
  • 18. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 18 Re-shape Shell Expectation: end of decade 2013-15 ~$90 Capital employed ($ bln end ‘15) Free cash flow ($ bln p.a) ROACE (%) Oil products 5 12 Conventional oil + gas -1 13 Integrated gas 4 13 Oil sands mining 0 1 Cash engines ~65% 8 12 Deep water -1 10 Chemicals 1 15 Growth priorities ~20% 0 11 Shales -4 -12 New energies - - Future opportunities ~5% -4 -12 Organic FCF 5 Divestments 7 Total (incl. Corporate) 223 12 8 2019-21 ~$60 Capital employed ($ bln) Free cash flow ($ bln p.a.) ROACE (%) >5 ~15 ~5 ~10 >5 ~10 ~1 ~5 ~65% 15-20 ~10 ~5 ~10 ~0 ~10 ~25% ~5 ~10 ~0 <5 ~0 <5 ~5% ~0 <5 20-25 ~5 270-290 20-30 ~10 GROWTH PRIORITIES Deep water delivering free cash flow; Chemicals continues to grow CASH ENGINES Stable portfolio + step up in financial performance FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES Transitioning to growth businesses 2019-21: 2016 RT $60 scenario, mid-cycle Downstream
  • 19. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Maarten Wetselaar Integrated Gas & New Energies Director Royal Dutch Shell plc
  • 20. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 20 Integrated Gas + new energies Cash engine  Focus on:  Cash + returns  Create + secure new demand  Selective growth  New energies opportunities Integrated Gas New energies Future opportunities Oil + gas production Liquefaction Regasification Gas-to-Liquids Marketing & trading  IOC leadership in growing market  BG integration benefits  Selective growth Qatargas 4 Muscat LNG Pearl GTL Sakhalin LNG Hazira India LNG  Operational excellence  Building GTL product premium  Energy transition  Leverage adjacencies  Explore + invest
  • 21. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Integrated Gas Financial performance Earnings and ROACE on CCS basis, excluding identified items $ billion Earnings $ billion Cash flow + ROACE $88 billion as at Q3 2016 Capital employed % LNG plant availability % In service Under construction Cash flow ROACE (RHS) 21
  • 22. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 22 LNG supply + demand Million tonnes per annum Global LNG supply + demand outlook Overview of LNG FIDs In operation Under construction Demand forecasts Million tonnes per annum Shell BG Peers  2015-20: >100 mtpa supply growth  Predominantly contracted volumes  Supply driven market until end of decade  2020 to 2030  Asian demand continues as main growth area  Declining European indigenous gas production providing LNG demand growth area  Majority of new supplies from North America and potentially East Africa  Supply gap emerging early 2020s
  • 23. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 23 LNG supply + demand Million tonnes LNG – Supply development Million tonnes LNG – Demand  Supply growth led by Australia  New buyers
  • 24. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 24 Global LNG footprint Million tonnes per annum LNG volumes LNG Peru QG-4 Atlantic LNG Oman Sakhalin Malaysia Sabine Pass Equatorial Guinea Pluto NWS Brunei QCLNG Gorgon LNG liquefaction volumesLNG sales volumes  IOC leadership position  Global footprint  Value from optionality Liquefaction capacity Nigeria Equity capacity Long-term offtake agreement Spot offtake in 2015-16 YTD Deliveries in 2015-16 YTD Million tonnes per annum Existing Under construction
  • 25. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 25 LNG pricing Million tonnes per annum (2015 basis, Shell +BG) Shell LNG sales + pricing linkage $ per mmbtu Regional gas prices Short-term ‘spot’ Gas hubs (e.g. NBP, HH) Oil linked: 3-6 months lag Term contracts (2-20 years) ~80%  Continued demand for oil + gas hub linked LNG pricing  Oil-price linkage reinforced Japan landed LNG price National balancing point (UK) Henry hub (US) Brent Sources Deliveries Term purchase Liquefaction volumes Spot purchase 2016 Q3
  • 26. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 26 Example: LNG pricing Oil prices quoted in volumetric terms ($/bbl) and gas prices in calorific terms ($/MMBtu). A barrel of oil contains roughly 5.8 MMBtu of energy content. Illustrative only and not representative of Shell’s outlook. $/MMBtu Oil-parity slopes $/MMBtu Oil linked with S-curve $/MMBtu Oil and HH indexed prices  LNG is often sold at a discount to a complete oil-parity of 17% x oil price  Includes a constant for costs such as shipping  S-curves beyond agreed oil prices (called kink points) could be set to mitigate high or low oil price risk for the counterparties  Attractiveness Henry Hub indexed price dependent on oil price  Risk management tools to manage cross commodity price exposure Typical Asia LNG contract (oil-indexed) Complete oil-parity $/bbl $/bbl Floor at $40/bbl and ceiling at $80/bbl Typical Asian LNG contract (oil-indexed) $/bbl Typical Asian LNG contract (oil-indexed) Henry Hub-indexed at $3/MMBtu and $5/MMBtu
  • 27. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 27 Developing new gas & LNG markets Gibraltar Growing and diversifying Asian market  Marketing LNG to new customers  Infrastructure development  Downstream LNG LNG truck re-fuelling station Rotterdam, Netherlands Existing capacity rights Business development Downstream LNG Under construction Japan Korea Taiwan India China Indonesia Malaysia Others Million tonnes per annum
  • 28. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 28 Downstream LNG LNG to transport  Economic and environmental benefits  Cleaner than diesel and heavy fuel oil  Reduce well-to-wheel GHG emissions  Offers a compelling case to customers  Working across value chain to unlock demand Marine Heavy-duty road transport Long run potential LNG truck re-fuelling station Rotterdam, Netherlands
  • 29. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 29 Opportunity funnel Selective LNG growth *offtake rights  Reduce FID pace  Focus on project cost competitiveness FEEDOptions Under construction 9 MTPA Lake Charles LNG Canada Browse Sakhalin T3 Abadi NLNG T7 Tanzania LNG Baltic LNG Option recycled Prelude Gorgon Gorgon T3 Prelude Sabine Pass T3-4* Elba* Others* Prelude LNG liquefaction volumes on stream 29 MTPA (2016E)
  • 30. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Simon Henry Chief Financial Officer Royal Dutch Shell plc
  • 31. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 CFFO + Divestments Attractiveness, resilience Dividends + Buybacks 0 – 30% gearing through cycle 31 Financial framework Cash Performance InvestmentPay-out Balance Sheet  Creating value for shareholders through cycle  Pulling levers today to manage the financial framework  Multi-year timescales and planning  Positioning to cover dividends in down-cycle, and generate excess free cash flow in up-cycle
  • 32. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 32 Integration with BG BG portfolio is delivering Thousand boe per day Increasing production $ billion Synergies BG LNG Deep waterConventional oil + gas Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 +26% ExplorationCosts 2.5 4.0 4.5 Q2 Q3 2016
  • 33. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 33 Manage down-cycle Cash flow priorities 2016-18 Priorities for cash Debt reduction Dividends Buybacks & capital investment 1 2 3
  • 34. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 34 2016 RT $60 oil price scenario 2018 Capital investment excludes BG acquisition Manage down-cycle Pulling levers to manage financial framework $ billion 2015 baseline: Shell + BG 2016 2017-2018 potential Operating costs 46 Trend to 40 (underlying) Multi-billion p.a. Capital investment 36 29 25-30 Divestments 6 + 5 6-8 in progress 30 over 2016-18 Projects start-up post-2014 (CFFO) n/a ~2 ~10 by 2018* Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects 2016-18 levers  Reducing our cash break- even  Further options available  +/- $10 Brent = ~$5 billion CFFO
  • 35. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 35 Manage down-cycle Divestments Integrated gas split out from Upstream from 2011 onwards All values for deals announced are approximates. Closing provisions may impact proceeds received. $ billion Divestment program  $30 billion 2016-18  Progressing $6-8 billion 2016  5-10 countries; ~10% of production Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects Downstream/Corporate High grading ‘tail’ Infrastructure + mature positions Refocus portfolio Upstream Integrated Gas 2016-2018 completed + announced $ billion MLP Denmark marketing N.Z.: Maui pipeline MGL IPO Others 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 Total Completed 1.7 Showa Shell Western Canada shales Brutus/Glider PSPC IPO Various: - Malaysia & Denmark refining - North Sabah EOR PSC - Anasuria cluster 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 Total Announced 3.3 Total 5.0 In progress: - Motiva JV end - N.Z.: Upstream strategic review - Thailand strategic review - Argentina Downstream strategic review
  • 36. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 36 SHLX Leveraging the midstream EBITDA annualized for year 2014  MLP focus:  Fee-based, predictable cash flows  Insulated from commodity price exposure  High growth  $2.2 billion sold into the MLP in 2015 - 2016  10-15% of divestment target from MLP MLP is a natural vehicle for infrastructure divestments Shell Midstream Partners assets RDS-owned NA infrastructure assets EBITDA $ million 4Q rolling
  • 37. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 37 Manage down-cycle Lower & more predictable capital investment Excludes BG acquisition in 2016 $ billion Capital investment Growth options/explorationBase + short cycle Committed growth projects BG $25-30 billion 58 47 36 29 -35% Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects Shell + BG C.I. on a cash basis ~25 4Q rolling  Planning for $25-$30 billion range  $30 billion/year ceiling  Confirming $29 billion for 2016  2017 around $25 billion  Options to further reduce below $25 billion if warranted 28
  • 38. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 38 Manage down-cycle Reduce operating cost $ billion  Substantial reductions delivered  “Lower for ever” mindset + BG synergies  Staff, supply chain + contractors  Divestments, growth, FX impacts Underlying operating cost Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects Shell BG 4Q rolling4Q rolling -$ 9 billion
  • 39. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 39 Manage down-cycle Deliver new projects  Significant oil & gas + chemicals production under construction  Capex to free cash flow  High margin / price upside barrels * BG organic growth from 1.1.2016 ; LNG volume includes offtake  Cash operating cost <$15/boe  Tax rate ~35% Million tonnes per annumThousand boe per day* 2016-17 start-ups 2014-15 start-ups LNG volume (RHS) 2018+ start-ups Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects
  • 40. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 40 Deliver new projects 2016-17 start-ups 2016 start-up production: once fully ramped-up  2016 start-ups: >250 kboe/d ; 3.9 mtpa LNG Divestments Reduce capital investment Reduce operating costs Deliver new projects BC-10 Ph3  Shell 50% Gorgon start-up  15.6 mtpa LNG  Shell 25% Kashagan  300 kboe/d  Shell 17% Stones  50 kboe/d  Shell 100% 8th FPSO – ‘Saquarema’  150 kboe/d  Shell 25% 9th FPSO – ‘Caraguatauba’  100 kboe/d  Shell 30% ML South start-up  35 kboe/d  Shell 35% 7th FPSO 1st oil – ‘Maricá’  150 kboe/d  Shell 25%      Start-up    Forcados Yokri  50 kboe/d  Shell 30% Gbaran Ubie ph2  150 kboe/d  Shell 30% Geismar AO4  425 ktpa alpha olephins  Shell 100% Malikai  60 kboe/d  Shell 35% Pernis – Solvent deasphalting  7.2 kbpd  Shell 100% Schiehallion redevelopment  125 kboe/d  Shell 55% Scotford HCU debottleneck  14 kbpd  Shell 100% 10th FPSO – Lula South’  150 kboe/d  Shell 25% 11th FPSO – Lula North’  150 kboe/d  Shell 25%
  • 41. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Ben van Beurden Chief Executive Officer Royal Dutch Shell plc
  • 42. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Transformation CREATE A WORLD CLASS INVESTMENT CASE Improved capital efficiency: reduced investment/FCF ratio Energy transition: CO2 footprint & new energies strategy Simpler company: Exit ~10% production; 5-10 countries Less cost + fewer people with BG than Shell stand-alone: 12,500 fewer staff Capital efficiency: 2013 spending halved & $45 billion mitigated Improving our metrics: FCF/share; ROCE; net debt $30bn divestments: Innovative deals like the MLP Portfolio growth: 1 mboe/d adds $10 bln cash flow 2019-2021 average 2013-2015 average Brent ROACE ~$60 ~10% ~$90 8% Organic free cash flow $20-25 billion p.a.$5 billion p.a. 42 2019-21: 2016 RT $60 scenario, mid-cycle Downstream
  • 43. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Questions & Answers
  • 44. Royal Dutch Shell November 8, 2016 Royal Dutch Shell plc November 8, 2016 North America Investor Day 2016 Re-shaping Shell, to create a world-class investment case “Let’s make the future”