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CHAPTER 7
INTEREST RATES AND BOND VALUATION
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6.1
Define important bond features and types of bond
Explain bond values and yields and why they fluctuate
Describe bond ratings and what they mean
Outline the impact of inflation on interest rates
Illustrate the term structure of interest rates and the
determinants of bond yields
Key Concepts and Skills
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6.2
Remember, as with any asset, the value of a bond is simply the
present value of its future cash flows.
Bonds and Bond Valuation
More about Bond Features
Bond Ratings
Some Different Types of Bonds
Bond Markets
Inflation and Interest Rates
Determinants of Bond Yields
Chapter Outline
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Par value (face value) = principal amount, repaid at maturity
Coupon = stated interest payment
Coupon rate = annual coupon divided by face value
Maturity date
Yield or Yield to maturity = rate of return required in the
market for the bond
Bond Definitions
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6.4
Section 7.1 (A)
Although the coupon is typically paid in cash, examples exist of
firms paying investors with product.
Yield to maturity, required return, and market rate are used
interchangeably.
Bond Value = PV of coupons + PV of par
Bond Value = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum
As interest rates increase, present values decrease.
So, as interest rates increase, bond prices decrease and vice
versa.
Present Value of Cash Flows
as Rates Change
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Section 7.1 (B)
6.5
Consider a bond with a coupon rate of 10% and annual coupons.
The par value is $1,000, and the bond has 5 years to maturity.
The yield to maturity is 11%. What is the value of the bond?
Using the formula:
B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum
B = 100[1 – 1/(1.11)5] / .11 + 1,000 / (1.11)5
B = 369.59 + 593.45 = 963.04
Using the calculator:
N = 5; I/Y = 11; PMT = 100; FV = 1,000
CPT PV = -963.04
Valuing a Discount Bond with Annual Coupons
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6.6
Section 7.1 (B)
Remember the sign convention on the calculator. The easy way
to remember it with bonds is we pay the PV (-) so that we can
receive the PMT (+) and the FV(+).
Slide 7.9 discusses why this bond sells at less than par
Lecture Tip: You may wish to stress the issue that the coupon
rate and the face value are fixed by the bond indenture when the
bond is issued (except for floating-rate bonds). Therefore, the
expected cash flows don’t change during the life of the bond.
However, the bond price will change as interest rates change
and as the bond approaches maturity.
Lecture Tip: You may wish to further explore the loss in value
of $115 in the example in the book. You should remind the class
that when the 8% bond was issued, bonds of similar risk and
maturity were yielding 8%. The coupon rate was set so that the
bond would sell at par value; therefore, the coupons were set at
$80 per year. One year later, the ten-year bond has nine years
remaining to maturity. However, bonds of similar risk and nine
years to maturity are being issued to yield 10%, so they have
coupons of $100 per year. The bond we are looking at only pays
$80 per year. Consequently, the old bond will sell for less than
$1,000. The mathematical reason for that is discussed in the
text. However, many students can intuitively grasp that you
wouldn’t be willing to pay as much for a bond that only pays
$80 per year for 9 years as you would for a bond that pays $100
per year for 9 years.
Suppose you are reviewing a bond that has a 10% annual
coupon and a face value of $1000. There are 20 years to
maturity, and the yield to maturity is 8%. What is the price of
this bond?
Using the formula:
B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum
B = 100[1 – 1/(1.08)20] / .08 + 1000 / (1.08)20
B = 981.81 + 214.55 = 1196.36
Using the calculator:
N = 20; I/Y = 8; PMT = 100; FV = 1000
CPT PV = -1,196.36
Valuing a Premium Bond with Annual Coupons
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Section 7.1 (B)
6.7
Graphical Relationship Between Price and Yield-to-maturity
(YTM)
Yield-to-maturity (YTM)
Bond characteristics:
10 year maturity, 8% coupon rate, $1,000 par value
Yield-to-Maturity (YTM)
Bond Price, in dollars
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6.8
Section 7.1 (B)
Bond characteristics: Coupon rate = 8% with annual coupons;
Par value = $1,000; Maturity = 10 years
Bond Value 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 7.0000000000000007E-2
0.08 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.12 1426.51 1324.44
1231.6500000000001 1147.2 1070.24 1000 935.82
877.11 823.32 773.99 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06
7.0000000000000007E-2 0.08 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.03
0.04 0.05 0.06 7.0000000000000007E-2 0.08 0.09 0.1
0.11 0.12 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 7.0000000000000007E-2
0.08 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.12
If YTM = coupon rate, then par value = bond price
If YTM > coupon rate, then par value > bond price
Why? The discount provides yield above coupon rate.
Price below par value, called a discount bond
If YTM < coupon rate, then par value < bond price
Why? Higher coupon rate causes value above par.
Price above par value, called a premium bond
Bond Prices: Relationship Between Coupon and Yield
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6.9
Section 7.1 (B)
There are the purely mechanical reasons for these results.
We know that present values decrease as rates increase.
Therefore, if we increase our yield above the coupon, the
present value (price) must decrease below par. On the other
hand, if we decrease our yield below the coupon, the present
value (price) must increase above par.
There are also more intuitive ways to explain this relationship.
Explain that the yield to maturity is the interest rate on newly
issued debt of the same risk and that debt would be issued so
that the coupon = yield. Then, suppose that the coupon rate is
8% and the yield is 9%. Ask the students which bond they
would be willing to pay more for. Most will say that they would
pay more for the new bond. Since it is priced to sell at $1,000,
the 8% bond must sell for less than $1,000. The same logic
works if the new bond has a yield and coupon less than 8%.
Another way to look at it is that return = “dividend yield” +
capital gains yield. The “dividend yield” in this case is just the
coupon rate. The capital gains yield has to make up the
difference to reach the yield to maturity. Therefore, if the
coupon rate is 8% and the YTM is 9%, the capital gains yield
must equal approximately 1%. The only way to have a capital
gains yield of 1% is if the bond is selling for less than par
value. (If price = par, there is no capital gain.) Technically, it is
the current yield, not the coupon rate + capital gains yield, but
from an intuitive standpoint, this helps some students remember
the relationship and current yields and coupon rates are
normally reasonably close.
The Bond Pricing Equation
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6.10
Section 7.1 (B)
This formalizes the calculations we have been doing.
If an ordinary bond has a coupon rate of 14 percent, then the
owner will get a total of $140 per year, but this $140 will come
in two payments of $70 each. The yield to maturity is quoted at
16 percent. The bond matures in seven years.
Note: Bond yields are quoted like APRs; the quoted rate is
equal to the actual rate per period multiplied by the number of
periods.
Example 7.1
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Section 7.1 (B)
6.11
How many coupon payments are there?
What is the semiannual coupon payment?
What is the semiannual yield?
What is the bond price?
B = 70[1 – 1/(1.08)14] / .08 + 1,000 / (1.08)14 = 917.56
Or PMT = 70; N = 14; I/Y = 8; FV = 1,000; CPT PV = -917.56
Example 7.1 (ctd.)
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6.12
Section 7.1 (B)
The students can read the example in the book. The basic
information is as follows:
Coupon rate = 14%, semiannual coupons
YTM = 16%
Maturity = 7 years
Par value = $1,000
Price Risk
Change in price due to changes in interest rates
Long-term bonds have more price risk than short-term bonds.
Low coupon rate bonds have more price risk than high coupon
rate bonds.
Reinvestment Rate Risk
Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash flows can be
reinvested
Short-term bonds have more reinvestment rate risk than long-
term bonds.
High coupon rate bonds have more reinvestment rate risk than
low coupon rate bonds.
Interest Rate Risk
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6.13
Section 7.1 (C)
Real-World Tip: Upon learning the concept of interest rate risk,
students sometimes conclude that bonds with low interest-rate
risk (i.e. high coupon bonds) are necessarily “safer” than
otherwise identical bonds with lower coupons. In reality, the
contrary may be true: increasing interest rate volatility over the
last two decades has greatly increased the importance of interest
rate risk in bond valuation. The days when bonds represented a
“widows and orphans” investment are long gone.
You may wish to point out that one potentially undesirable
feature of high-coupon bonds is the required reinvestment of
coupons at the computed yield-to-maturity if one is to actually
earn that yield. Those who purchased bonds in the early 1980s
(when even high-grade corporate bonds had coupons over 11%)
found, to their dismay, that interest payments could not be
reinvested at similar rates a few years later without taking
greater risk. A good example of the trade-off between interest
rate risk and reinvestment risk is the purchase of a zero-coupon
bond – one eliminates reinvestment risk but maximizes interest-
rate risk.
Figure 7.2
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6.14
Section 7.1 (C)
Yield to Maturity (YTM) is the rate implied by the current bond
price.
Finding the YTM requires trial and error if you do not have a
financial calculator and is similar to the process for finding r
with an annuity.
If you have a financial calculator, enter N, PV, PMT, and FV,
remembering the sign convention (PMT and FV need to have the
same sign, PV the opposite sign.)
Computing Yield to Maturity
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Section 7.1 (D)
6.15
Consider a bond with a 10% annual coupon rate, 15 years to
maturity, and a par value of $1,000. The current price is
$928.09.
Will the yield be more or less than 10%?
N = 15; PV = -928.09; FV = 1,000; PMT = 100; CPT I/Y = 11%
YTM with Annual Coupons
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6.16
Section 7.1 (D)
The students should be able to recognize that the YTM is more
than the coupon since the price is less than par.
Suppose a bond with a 10% coupon rate and semiannual
coupons, has a face value of $1,000, 20 years to maturity and is
selling for $1,197.93.
Is the YTM more or less than 10%?
What is the semiannual coupon payment?
How many periods are there?
N = 40; PV = -1,197.93; PMT = 50; FV = 1,000; CPT I/Y = 4%
(Is this the YTM?)
YTM = 4% × 2 = 8%
YTM with Semiannual Coupons
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Section 7.1 (D)
The 4% value is the 6-month interest rate. YTM is an annual
rate.
6.17
Table 7.1
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Section 7.1 (D)
6.18
Current Yield = annual coupon / price
Yield to maturity = current yield + capital gains yield
Example: 10% coupon bond, with semiannual coupons, face
value of 1,000, 20 years to maturity, $1,197.93 price
Current yield = 100 / 1,197.93 = .0835 = 8.35%
Price in one year, assuming no change in YTM = 1,193.68
Capital gain yield = (1,193.68 – 1,197.93) / 1,197.93 = -.0035 =
-.35%
YTM = 8.35 - .35 = 8%, which is the same YTM computed
earlier
Current Yield vs. Yield to Maturity
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6.19
Section 7.1 (D)
This is the same information as the YTM calculation on slide
7.17. The YTM computed on that slide was 8%
Lecture Tip: You may wish to discuss the components of
required returns for bonds in a fashion analogous to the stock
return discussion in the next chapter. As with common stocks,
the required return on a bond can be decomposed into current
income and capital gains components. The yield-to-maturity
(YTM) equals the current yield plus the capital gains yield.
Bonds of similar risk (and maturity) will be priced to yield
about the same return, regardless of the coupon rate.
If you know the price of one bond, you can estimate its YTM
and use that to find the price of the second bond.
This is a useful concept that can be transferred to valuing assets
other than bonds.
Bond Pricing Theorems
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Section 7.1 (D)
6.20
There is a specific formula for finding bond prices on a
spreadsheet.
PRICE(Settlement,Maturity,Rate,Yld,Redemption,
Frequency,Basis)
YIELD(Settlement,Maturity,Rate,Pr,Redemption,
Frequency,Basis)
Settlement and maturity need to be actual dates.
The redemption and Pr need to be input as % of par value.
Click on the Excel icon for an example.
Bond Prices with a Spreadsheet
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6.21
Section 7.1 (D)
Please note that you must have the analysis tool pack add-ins
installed to access the PRICE and YIELD functions. If you do
not have these installed on your computer, you can use the PV
and the RATE functions to compute price and yield as well.
Click on the TVM tab to find these calculations.
Debt
Not an ownership interest
Creditors do not have voting rights
Interest is considered a cost of doing business and is tax
deductible
Creditors have legal recourse if interest or principal payments
are missed
Excess debt can lead to financial distress and bankruptcy
Equity
Ownership interest
Common stockholders vote for the board of directors and other
issues
Dividends are not considered a cost of doing business and are
not tax deductible
Dividends are not a liability of the firm, and stockholders have
no legal recourse if dividends are not paid
An all equity firm can not go bankrupt merely due to debt since
it has no debt
Differences Between
Debt and Equity
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6.22
Section 7.2
Contract between the company and the bondholders that
includes:
The basic terms of the bonds
The total amount of bonds issued
A description of property used as security, if applicable
Sinking fund provisions
Call provisions
Details of protective covenants
The Bond Indenture
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Section 7.2 (C)
6.23
Registered vs. Bearer Forms
Security
Collateral – secured by financial securities
Mortgage – secured by real property, normally land or buildings
Debentures – unsecured
Notes – unsecured debt with original maturity less than 10 years
Seniority
Bond Classifications
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6.24
Section 7.2 (C)
This is standard terminology in the US – but it may not transfer
to other countries. For example, debentures are secured debt in
the United Kingdom.
Lecture Tip: Domestically issued bearer bonds will become
obsolete in the near future. Since bearer bonds are not
registered with the corporation, it is easier for bondholders to
receive interest payments without reporting them on their
income tax returns. In an attempt to eliminate this potential for
tax evasion, all bonds issued in the US after July 1983 must be
in registered form. It is still legal to offer bearer bonds in some
other nations, however. Some foreign bonds are popular among
international investors particularly due to their bearer status.
Lecture Tip: Although the majority of corporate bonds have a
$1,000 face value, there are an increasing number of “baby
bonds” outstanding, i.e., bonds with face values less than
$1,000. The use of the term “baby bond” goes back at least as
far as 1970, when it was used in connection with AT&T’s
announcement of the intent to issue bonds with low face values.
It was also used in describing Merrill Lynch’s 1983 program to
issue bonds with $25 face values. More recently, the term has
come to mean bonds issued in lieu of interest payments by firms
unable to make the payments in cash. Baby bonds issued under
these circumstances are also called “PIK” (payment-in-kind)
bonds, or “bunny” bonds, because they tend to proliferate in
LBO circumstances.
The coupon rate depends on the risk characteristics of the bond
when issued.
Which bonds will have the higher coupon, all else equal?
Secured debt versus a debenture
Subordinated debenture versus senior debt
A bond with a sinking fund versus one without
A callable bond versus a non-callable bond
Bond Characteristics and Required Returns
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6.25
Section 7.2 (C)
Debenture: secured debt is less risky because the income from
the security is used to pay it off first
Subordinated debenture: will be paid after the senior debt
Bond without sinking fund: company has to come up with
substantial cash at maturity to retire debt, and this is riskier
than systematic retirement of debt through time
Callable – bondholders bear the risk of the bond being called
early, usually when rates are lower. They don’t receive all of
the expected coupons and they have to reinvest at lower rates.
High Grade
Moody’s Aaa and S&P AAA – capacity to pay is extremely
strong
Moody’s Aa and S&P AA – capacity to pay is very strong
Medium Grade
Moody’s A and S&P A – capacity to pay is strong, but more
susceptible to changes in circumstances
Moody’s Baa and S&P BBB – capacity to pay is adequate,
adverse conditions will have more impact on the firm’s ability
to pay
Bond Ratings –
Investment Quality
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6.26
Section 7.3
Lecture Tip: The question sometimes arises as to why a
potential issuer would be willing to pay rating agencies tens of
thousands of dollars in order to receive a rating, especially
given the possibility that the resulting rating could be less
favorable than expected. This is a good place to remind students
about the pervasive nature of agency costs and point out a real-
world example of their effects on firm value. You may also wish
to use this issue to discuss some of the consequences of
information asymmetries in financial markets.
Low Grade
Moody’s Ba and B
S&P BB and B
Considered possible that the capacity to pay will degenerate.
Very Low Grade
Moody’s C (and below) and S&P C (and below)
income bonds with no interest being paid, or
in default with principal and interest in arrears
Bond Ratings –
Speculative Grade
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6.27
Section 7.3
It is a good exercise to ask students which bonds will have the
highest yield to maturity (lowest price) all else equal.
Treasury Securities
Federal government debt
T-bills – pure discount bonds with original maturity of one year
or less
T-notes – coupon debt with original maturity between one and
ten years
T-bonds – coupon debt with original maturity greater than ten
years
Municipal Securities
Debt of state and local governments
Varying degrees of default risk, rated similar to corporate debt
Interest received is tax-exempt at the federal level.
Government Bonds
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Section 7.4 (A)
6.28
A taxable bond has a yield of 8%, and a municipal bond has a
yield of 6%.
If you are in a 30% tax bracket, which bond do you prefer?
8%(1 - .3) = 5.6%
The after-tax return on the corporate bond is 5.6%, compared to
a 6% return on the municipal
At what tax rate would you be indifferent between the two
bonds?
8%(1 – T) = 6%
T = 25%
Example 7.4
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6.29
Section 7.4 (A)
You should be willing to accept a lower stated yield on
municipals because you do not have to pay taxes on the interest
received. You will want to make sure the students understand
why you are willing to accept a lower rate of interest. It may be
helpful to take the example and illustrate the indifference point
using dollars instead of just percentages. The discount you are
willing to accept depends on your tax bracket. However, The
new tax cuts will make municipal bonds relatively less
attractive, potentially reducing values across this asset class.
Consider a taxable bond with a yield of 8% and a tax-exempt
municipal bond with a yield of 6%.
Suppose you own one $1,000 bond in each and both bonds are
selling at par. You receive $80 per year from the corporate and
$60 per year from the municipal. How much do you have after
taxes if you are in the 30% tax bracket? Corporate: 80 – 80(.3)
= 56; Municipal = 60
Why should the federal government exempt munis from
taxation? It provides an incentive for local governments to raise
capital on their own.
Make no periodic interest payments
(coupon rate = 0%)
The entire yield-to-maturity comes from the difference between
the purchase price and the par value.
Cannot sell for more than par value
Sometimes called zeroes, deep discount bonds, or original issue
discount bonds (OIDs)
Treasury Bills and principal-only Treasury strips are good
examples of zeroes.
Zero Coupon Bonds
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6.30
Section 7.4 (B)
Most students are familiar with Series EE savings bonds. Point
out that these are actually zero coupon bonds. The investor pays
one-half of the face value and must hold the bond for a given
number of years before the face value is realized. As with any
other zero-coupon bond, reinvestment risk is eliminated, but an
additional benefit of EE bonds is that, unlike corporate zeroes,
the investor need not pay taxes on the accrued interest until the
bond is redeemed. Further, it should be noted that interest on
these bonds is exempt from state income taxes. And, savings
bonds yields are indexed to Treasury rates.
Coupon rate floats depending on some index value
Examples – adjustable rate mortgages and inflation-linked
Treasuries
There is less price risk with floating rate bonds.
The coupon floats, so it is less likely to differ substantially
from the yield-to-maturity.
Coupons may have a “collar” – the rate cannot go above a
specified “ceiling” or below a specified “floor”.
Floating-Rate Bonds
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6.31
Section 7.4 (C)
Lecture Tip: Imagine this scenario: General Motors receives
cash from a lender in return for the promise to make periodic
interest payments that “float” with the general level of market
rates. Sounds like a floating-rate bond, doesn’t it? Well, it is,
except that if you replace “General Motors” with “Joe Smith,”
you have just described an adjustable-rate mortgage.
Whereas there is less price risk, there is greater reinvestment
(or refinancing) risk.
Catastrophe bonds
Income bonds
Convertible bonds
Put bonds
There are many other types of provisions that can be added to a
bond and many bonds have several provisions – it is important
to recognize how these provisions affect required returns
Other Bond Types
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6.32
Section 7.4 (D)
It is a useful exercise to ask the students if these bonds will
tend to have higher or lower required returns compared to bonds
without these specific provisions.
Catastrophe bonds – issued by property and casualty companies.
Pay interest and principal as usual unless claims reach a certain
threshold for a single disaster. At that point, bondholders may
lose all remaining payments. Higher required return
Income bonds – coupon payments depend on level of corporate
income. If earnings are not enough to cover the interest
payment, it is not owed. Higher required return
Convertible bonds – bonds can be converted into shares of
common stock at the bondholders discretion. Lower required
return
Put bond – bondholder can force the company to buy the bond
back prior to maturity. Lower required return
Sukuk are bonds that have been created to meet a demand for
assets that comply with Shariah, or Islamic law.
Shariah does not permit the charging or paying of interest.
Sukuk are typically bought and held to maturity, and they are
extremely illiquid.
Sukuk
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Section 7.4 (E)
6.33
Primarily over-the-counter transactions with dealers connected
electronically
Extremely large number of bond issues, but generally low daily
volume in single issues
Makes getting up-to-date prices difficult, particularly on small
company or municipal issues
Treasury securities are an exception.
Bond Markets
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
6.34
Section 7.5 (A)
The reported volume of bonds traded is not indicative of total
activity due to off exchange transactions.
Bond quotes are available online.
One good site is FINRA’s Market Data Center.
Go to the site, choose a company, enter it in the Issuer Name
bar, choose Corporate, and see what you can find!
Work the Web Example
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
Section 7.5 (A)
6.35
Highlighted quote in Figure 7.4
Maturity Coupon Bid Asked Chg
Asked Yield
2/15/2036 4.500 128.0781 128.1406 0.7031
2.618
What is the coupon rate on the bond?
When does the bond mature?
What is the bid price? What does this mean?
What is the ask price? What does this mean?
How much did the price change from the previous day?
What is the yield based on the ask price?
Treasury Quotations
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
6.36
Section 7.5 (B)
The difference between the bid and ask prices is called the bid-
ask spread and it is how the dealer makes money.
Clean price: quoted price
Dirty price: price actually paid = quoted price plus accrued
interest
Example: Consider a T-bond with a 4% semiannual yield and a
clean price of $1,282.50:
Number of days since last coupon = 61
Number of days in the coupon period = 184
Accrued interest = (61/184)(.04*1000) = $13.26
Dirty price = $1,282.50 + $13.26 = $1,295.76
So, you would actually pay $ 1,295.76 for the bond.
Clean vs. Dirty Prices
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
6.37
Section 7.5 (C)
Assuming that the November maturity is November 15, then the
coupon dates would be November 15 and May 15. Therefore,
July 15 would be 16 + 30 + 15 = 61 days since the last coupon.
The number of days in the coupon period would be 16 + 30 + 31
+ 31 + 30 + 31 + 15 = 184.
Real rate of interest – change in purchasing power
Nominal rate of interest – quoted rate of interest, change in
actual number of dollars
The ex ante nominal rate of interest includes our desired real
rate of return plus an adjustment for expected inflation.
Inflation and Interest Rates
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
6.38
Section 7.6 (A)
Be sure to ask the students to define inflation to make sure they
understand what it is.
For computations, students need to insure that they are
matching real rates with real dollars or nominal rates with
nominal dollars.
The Fisher Effect defines the relationship between real rates,
nominal rates, and inflation.
(1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h), where
R = nominal rate
r = real rate
h = expected inflation rate
Approximation
R = r + h
The Fisher Effect
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
6.39
Section 7.6 (B)
The approximation works pretty well with “normal” real rates of
interest and expected inflation. If the expected inflation rate is
high, then there can be a substantial difference.
If we require a 10% real return and we expect inflation to be
8%, what is the nominal rate?
R = (1.1)(1.08) – 1 = .188 = 18.8%
Approximation: R = 10% + 8% = 18%
Because the real return and expected inflation are relatively
high, there is significant difference between the actual Fisher
Effect and the approximation.
Example 7.5
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
6.40
Section 7.6 (B)
Lecture Tip: In late 1997 and early 1998 there was a great deal
of talk about the effects of deflation among financial pundits,
due in large part to the combined effects of continuing
decreases in energy prices, as well as the upheaval in Asian
economies and the subsequent devaluation of several currencies.
How might this affect observed yields? According to the Fisher
Effect, we should observe lower nominal rates and higher real
rates and that is roughly what happened. The opposite situation,
however, occurred in and around 2008.
Term structure is the relationship between time to maturity and
yields, all else equal.
It is important to recognize that we pull out the effect of default
risk, different coupons, etc.
Yield curve – graphical representation of the term structure
Normal – upward-sloping; long-term yields are higher than
short-term yields
Inverted – downward-sloping; long-term yields are lower than
short-term yields
Term Structure of Interest Rates
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
Section 7.7 (A)
6.41
Figure 7.6 – Upward-Sloping Yield Curve
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
Section 7.7 (A)
6.42
Figure 7.6 – Downward-Sloping Yield Curve
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
Section 7.7 (A)
6.43
Figure 7.7
Current yield curve
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
6.44
Section 7.7 (A)
www: Click on the link to go to Bloomberg to get the current
Treasury yield curve
Real rate of interest
Expected future inflation premium
Interest rate risk premium
Default risk premium
Taxability premium
Liquidity premium
Factors Affecting
Bond Yields
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
Section 7.7 (B)
6.45
How do you find the value of a bond, and why do bond prices
change?
What is a bond indenture, and what are some of the important
features?
What are bond ratings, and why are they important?
How does inflation affect interest rates?
What is the term structure of interest rates?
What factors determine the required return on bonds?
Quick Quiz
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
Section 7.8
6.46
In 1996, allegations were made against Moody’s that it was
issuing ratings on bonds it had not been hired to rate, in order to
pressure issuers to pay for their service.
The government conducted an inquiry, but charges of antitrust
violations were dropped. Even though no legal action was taken,
does an ethical issue exist?
Ethics Issues
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
6.47
What is the price of a $1,000 par value bond with a 6% coupon
rate paid semiannually, if the bond is priced to yield 5% and it
has 9 years to maturity?
What would be the price of the bond if the yield rose to 7%.
What is the current yield on the bond if the YTM is 7%?
Comprehensive Problem
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
6.48
Section 7.8
5% YTM: 18 N; 2.5 I/Y; 30 PMT; 1,000 FV; CPT PV =
1,071.77
7% YTM: 18 N; 3.5 I/Y; 30 PMT; 1,000 FV; CPT PV = 934.05
Current yield = 60/934.05 = 6.42%
End of Chapter
Chapter 7
Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
7-‹#›
7-‹#›
t
t
r)(1
FV
r
r)(1
1
-1
C Value Bond
Bond PriceYou are looking at a bond that has 25 years to
maturity. The coupon rate is 9% and coupons are paid
semiannually. The yield-to-maturity is 8%. What is the current
price?Settlement Date:03/15/04(Choose a date)Maturity
Date:03/15/29(Choose a date 25 years after settlement)Coupon
Rate:9%(Same as .09, needs to be annual rate)YTM:8%(Same as
.08, needs to be annual rate)Face Value (% of par):100Coupons
per year:2Price(% of
par):110.7410923083Formula:=PRICE(B3,B4,B5,B6,B7,B8)
YieldYou are looking at a bond that has 25 years to maturity.
The coupon rate is 9% and coupons are paid semiannually. The
current price is $950. What is the yield to maturity?Settlement
Date:03/15/04(Choose a date)Maturity Date:03/15/29(Choose a
date 25 years after settlement)Coupon Rate:9%(Same as .09,
needs to be annual rate)Bond Price (% of par):95Face Value (%
of par):100Coupons per year:2Yield to maturity:9.53%(The
answer is returned as a decimal; format the cell to get a
percent.)Formula:=YIELD(B3,B4,B5,B6,B7,B8)
TVMYou are looking at a bond that has 25 years to maturity.
The coupon rate is 9% and coupons are paid semiannually. The
yield-to-maturity is 8%. What is the current
price?RATE4.00%(8%/2)NPER50(25*2)PMT4.5(9%*100/2)FV1
00(Using 100 par so that PV will give price as % of
par)Price$110.74Formula: -PV(B3,B4,B5,B6)You are looking at
a bond that has 25 years to maturity. The coupon rate is 9% and
coupons are paid semiannually. The current price is $950. What
is the yield to maturity?NPER50(25*2)PMT4.5(9%*100/2)PV-
95(Entered as a % of par and negative for sign
convention)FV100YTM9.53%(Returns as a whole percent,
format to get decimal
places)Formula:=2*RATE(B11,B12,B13,B14)(Have to multiply
by 2 because it returns a semiannual rate)

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CHAPTER 7INTEREST RATES AND BOND VALUATIONCopyright © 2019 M.docx

  • 1. CHAPTER 7 INTEREST RATES AND BOND VALUATION Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.1 Define important bond features and types of bond Explain bond values and yields and why they fluctuate Describe bond ratings and what they mean Outline the impact of inflation on interest rates Illustrate the term structure of interest rates and the determinants of bond yields Key Concepts and Skills
  • 2. Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.2 Remember, as with any asset, the value of a bond is simply the present value of its future cash flows. Bonds and Bond Valuation More about Bond Features Bond Ratings Some Different Types of Bonds Bond Markets Inflation and Interest Rates Determinants of Bond Yields Chapter Outline Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#›
  • 3. Par value (face value) = principal amount, repaid at maturity Coupon = stated interest payment Coupon rate = annual coupon divided by face value Maturity date Yield or Yield to maturity = rate of return required in the market for the bond Bond Definitions Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.4 Section 7.1 (A) Although the coupon is typically paid in cash, examples exist of firms paying investors with product. Yield to maturity, required return, and market rate are used interchangeably. Bond Value = PV of coupons + PV of par Bond Value = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum As interest rates increase, present values decrease. So, as interest rates increase, bond prices decrease and vice versa.
  • 4. Present Value of Cash Flows as Rates Change Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.1 (B) 6.5 Consider a bond with a coupon rate of 10% and annual coupons. The par value is $1,000, and the bond has 5 years to maturity. The yield to maturity is 11%. What is the value of the bond? Using the formula: B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum B = 100[1 – 1/(1.11)5] / .11 + 1,000 / (1.11)5 B = 369.59 + 593.45 = 963.04 Using the calculator: N = 5; I/Y = 11; PMT = 100; FV = 1,000 CPT PV = -963.04 Valuing a Discount Bond with Annual Coupons Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#›
  • 5. 6.6 Section 7.1 (B) Remember the sign convention on the calculator. The easy way to remember it with bonds is we pay the PV (-) so that we can receive the PMT (+) and the FV(+). Slide 7.9 discusses why this bond sells at less than par Lecture Tip: You may wish to stress the issue that the coupon rate and the face value are fixed by the bond indenture when the bond is issued (except for floating-rate bonds). Therefore, the expected cash flows don’t change during the life of the bond. However, the bond price will change as interest rates change and as the bond approaches maturity. Lecture Tip: You may wish to further explore the loss in value of $115 in the example in the book. You should remind the class that when the 8% bond was issued, bonds of similar risk and maturity were yielding 8%. The coupon rate was set so that the bond would sell at par value; therefore, the coupons were set at $80 per year. One year later, the ten-year bond has nine years remaining to maturity. However, bonds of similar risk and nine years to maturity are being issued to yield 10%, so they have coupons of $100 per year. The bond we are looking at only pays $80 per year. Consequently, the old bond will sell for less than $1,000. The mathematical reason for that is discussed in the text. However, many students can intuitively grasp that you wouldn’t be willing to pay as much for a bond that only pays $80 per year for 9 years as you would for a bond that pays $100 per year for 9 years. Suppose you are reviewing a bond that has a 10% annual coupon and a face value of $1000. There are 20 years to maturity, and the yield to maturity is 8%. What is the price of this bond?
  • 6. Using the formula: B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum B = 100[1 – 1/(1.08)20] / .08 + 1000 / (1.08)20 B = 981.81 + 214.55 = 1196.36 Using the calculator: N = 20; I/Y = 8; PMT = 100; FV = 1000 CPT PV = -1,196.36 Valuing a Premium Bond with Annual Coupons Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.1 (B) 6.7 Graphical Relationship Between Price and Yield-to-maturity (YTM) Yield-to-maturity (YTM) Bond characteristics: 10 year maturity, 8% coupon rate, $1,000 par value Yield-to-Maturity (YTM) Bond Price, in dollars Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
  • 7. 7-‹#› 6.8 Section 7.1 (B) Bond characteristics: Coupon rate = 8% with annual coupons; Par value = $1,000; Maturity = 10 years Bond Value 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 7.0000000000000007E-2 0.08 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.12 1426.51 1324.44 1231.6500000000001 1147.2 1070.24 1000 935.82 877.11 823.32 773.99 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 7.0000000000000007E-2 0.08 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 7.0000000000000007E-2 0.08 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 7.0000000000000007E-2 0.08 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.12 If YTM = coupon rate, then par value = bond price If YTM > coupon rate, then par value > bond price Why? The discount provides yield above coupon rate. Price below par value, called a discount bond If YTM < coupon rate, then par value < bond price Why? Higher coupon rate causes value above par. Price above par value, called a premium bond Bond Prices: Relationship Between Coupon and Yield Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
  • 8. 7-‹#› 6.9 Section 7.1 (B) There are the purely mechanical reasons for these results. We know that present values decrease as rates increase. Therefore, if we increase our yield above the coupon, the present value (price) must decrease below par. On the other hand, if we decrease our yield below the coupon, the present value (price) must increase above par. There are also more intuitive ways to explain this relationship. Explain that the yield to maturity is the interest rate on newly issued debt of the same risk and that debt would be issued so that the coupon = yield. Then, suppose that the coupon rate is 8% and the yield is 9%. Ask the students which bond they would be willing to pay more for. Most will say that they would pay more for the new bond. Since it is priced to sell at $1,000, the 8% bond must sell for less than $1,000. The same logic works if the new bond has a yield and coupon less than 8%. Another way to look at it is that return = “dividend yield” + capital gains yield. The “dividend yield” in this case is just the coupon rate. The capital gains yield has to make up the difference to reach the yield to maturity. Therefore, if the coupon rate is 8% and the YTM is 9%, the capital gains yield must equal approximately 1%. The only way to have a capital gains yield of 1% is if the bond is selling for less than par value. (If price = par, there is no capital gain.) Technically, it is the current yield, not the coupon rate + capital gains yield, but from an intuitive standpoint, this helps some students remember
  • 9. the relationship and current yields and coupon rates are normally reasonably close. The Bond Pricing Equation Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.10 Section 7.1 (B) This formalizes the calculations we have been doing. If an ordinary bond has a coupon rate of 14 percent, then the owner will get a total of $140 per year, but this $140 will come in two payments of $70 each. The yield to maturity is quoted at 16 percent. The bond matures in seven years. Note: Bond yields are quoted like APRs; the quoted rate is equal to the actual rate per period multiplied by the number of periods. Example 7.1 Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
  • 10. 7-‹#› Section 7.1 (B) 6.11 How many coupon payments are there? What is the semiannual coupon payment? What is the semiannual yield? What is the bond price? B = 70[1 – 1/(1.08)14] / .08 + 1,000 / (1.08)14 = 917.56 Or PMT = 70; N = 14; I/Y = 8; FV = 1,000; CPT PV = -917.56 Example 7.1 (ctd.) Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.12 Section 7.1 (B) The students can read the example in the book. The basic information is as follows: Coupon rate = 14%, semiannual coupons YTM = 16% Maturity = 7 years
  • 11. Par value = $1,000 Price Risk Change in price due to changes in interest rates Long-term bonds have more price risk than short-term bonds. Low coupon rate bonds have more price risk than high coupon rate bonds. Reinvestment Rate Risk Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash flows can be reinvested Short-term bonds have more reinvestment rate risk than long- term bonds. High coupon rate bonds have more reinvestment rate risk than low coupon rate bonds. Interest Rate Risk Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.13 Section 7.1 (C) Real-World Tip: Upon learning the concept of interest rate risk, students sometimes conclude that bonds with low interest-rate risk (i.e. high coupon bonds) are necessarily “safer” than otherwise identical bonds with lower coupons. In reality, the contrary may be true: increasing interest rate volatility over the last two decades has greatly increased the importance of interest rate risk in bond valuation. The days when bonds represented a “widows and orphans” investment are long gone.
  • 12. You may wish to point out that one potentially undesirable feature of high-coupon bonds is the required reinvestment of coupons at the computed yield-to-maturity if one is to actually earn that yield. Those who purchased bonds in the early 1980s (when even high-grade corporate bonds had coupons over 11%) found, to their dismay, that interest payments could not be reinvested at similar rates a few years later without taking greater risk. A good example of the trade-off between interest rate risk and reinvestment risk is the purchase of a zero-coupon bond – one eliminates reinvestment risk but maximizes interest- rate risk. Figure 7.2 Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.14 Section 7.1 (C) Yield to Maturity (YTM) is the rate implied by the current bond price. Finding the YTM requires trial and error if you do not have a financial calculator and is similar to the process for finding r with an annuity. If you have a financial calculator, enter N, PV, PMT, and FV,
  • 13. remembering the sign convention (PMT and FV need to have the same sign, PV the opposite sign.) Computing Yield to Maturity Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.1 (D) 6.15 Consider a bond with a 10% annual coupon rate, 15 years to maturity, and a par value of $1,000. The current price is $928.09. Will the yield be more or less than 10%? N = 15; PV = -928.09; FV = 1,000; PMT = 100; CPT I/Y = 11% YTM with Annual Coupons Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.16 Section 7.1 (D) The students should be able to recognize that the YTM is more
  • 14. than the coupon since the price is less than par. Suppose a bond with a 10% coupon rate and semiannual coupons, has a face value of $1,000, 20 years to maturity and is selling for $1,197.93. Is the YTM more or less than 10%? What is the semiannual coupon payment? How many periods are there? N = 40; PV = -1,197.93; PMT = 50; FV = 1,000; CPT I/Y = 4% (Is this the YTM?) YTM = 4% × 2 = 8% YTM with Semiannual Coupons Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.1 (D) The 4% value is the 6-month interest rate. YTM is an annual rate. 6.17 Table 7.1 Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
  • 15. consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.1 (D) 6.18 Current Yield = annual coupon / price Yield to maturity = current yield + capital gains yield Example: 10% coupon bond, with semiannual coupons, face value of 1,000, 20 years to maturity, $1,197.93 price Current yield = 100 / 1,197.93 = .0835 = 8.35% Price in one year, assuming no change in YTM = 1,193.68 Capital gain yield = (1,193.68 – 1,197.93) / 1,197.93 = -.0035 = -.35% YTM = 8.35 - .35 = 8%, which is the same YTM computed earlier Current Yield vs. Yield to Maturity Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.19
  • 16. Section 7.1 (D) This is the same information as the YTM calculation on slide 7.17. The YTM computed on that slide was 8% Lecture Tip: You may wish to discuss the components of required returns for bonds in a fashion analogous to the stock return discussion in the next chapter. As with common stocks, the required return on a bond can be decomposed into current income and capital gains components. The yield-to-maturity (YTM) equals the current yield plus the capital gains yield. Bonds of similar risk (and maturity) will be priced to yield about the same return, regardless of the coupon rate. If you know the price of one bond, you can estimate its YTM and use that to find the price of the second bond. This is a useful concept that can be transferred to valuing assets other than bonds. Bond Pricing Theorems Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.1 (D) 6.20 There is a specific formula for finding bond prices on a
  • 17. spreadsheet. PRICE(Settlement,Maturity,Rate,Yld,Redemption, Frequency,Basis) YIELD(Settlement,Maturity,Rate,Pr,Redemption, Frequency,Basis) Settlement and maturity need to be actual dates. The redemption and Pr need to be input as % of par value. Click on the Excel icon for an example. Bond Prices with a Spreadsheet Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.21 Section 7.1 (D) Please note that you must have the analysis tool pack add-ins installed to access the PRICE and YIELD functions. If you do not have these installed on your computer, you can use the PV and the RATE functions to compute price and yield as well. Click on the TVM tab to find these calculations. Debt Not an ownership interest Creditors do not have voting rights Interest is considered a cost of doing business and is tax deductible Creditors have legal recourse if interest or principal payments
  • 18. are missed Excess debt can lead to financial distress and bankruptcy Equity Ownership interest Common stockholders vote for the board of directors and other issues Dividends are not considered a cost of doing business and are not tax deductible Dividends are not a liability of the firm, and stockholders have no legal recourse if dividends are not paid An all equity firm can not go bankrupt merely due to debt since it has no debt Differences Between Debt and Equity Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.22 Section 7.2 Contract between the company and the bondholders that includes: The basic terms of the bonds The total amount of bonds issued A description of property used as security, if applicable Sinking fund provisions Call provisions Details of protective covenants The Bond Indenture
  • 19. Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.2 (C) 6.23 Registered vs. Bearer Forms Security Collateral – secured by financial securities Mortgage – secured by real property, normally land or buildings Debentures – unsecured Notes – unsecured debt with original maturity less than 10 years Seniority Bond Classifications Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.24 Section 7.2 (C) This is standard terminology in the US – but it may not transfer to other countries. For example, debentures are secured debt in
  • 20. the United Kingdom. Lecture Tip: Domestically issued bearer bonds will become obsolete in the near future. Since bearer bonds are not registered with the corporation, it is easier for bondholders to receive interest payments without reporting them on their income tax returns. In an attempt to eliminate this potential for tax evasion, all bonds issued in the US after July 1983 must be in registered form. It is still legal to offer bearer bonds in some other nations, however. Some foreign bonds are popular among international investors particularly due to their bearer status. Lecture Tip: Although the majority of corporate bonds have a $1,000 face value, there are an increasing number of “baby bonds” outstanding, i.e., bonds with face values less than $1,000. The use of the term “baby bond” goes back at least as far as 1970, when it was used in connection with AT&T’s announcement of the intent to issue bonds with low face values. It was also used in describing Merrill Lynch’s 1983 program to issue bonds with $25 face values. More recently, the term has come to mean bonds issued in lieu of interest payments by firms unable to make the payments in cash. Baby bonds issued under these circumstances are also called “PIK” (payment-in-kind) bonds, or “bunny” bonds, because they tend to proliferate in LBO circumstances. The coupon rate depends on the risk characteristics of the bond when issued. Which bonds will have the higher coupon, all else equal? Secured debt versus a debenture Subordinated debenture versus senior debt A bond with a sinking fund versus one without A callable bond versus a non-callable bond Bond Characteristics and Required Returns Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
  • 21. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.25 Section 7.2 (C) Debenture: secured debt is less risky because the income from the security is used to pay it off first Subordinated debenture: will be paid after the senior debt Bond without sinking fund: company has to come up with substantial cash at maturity to retire debt, and this is riskier than systematic retirement of debt through time Callable – bondholders bear the risk of the bond being called early, usually when rates are lower. They don’t receive all of the expected coupons and they have to reinvest at lower rates. High Grade Moody’s Aaa and S&P AAA – capacity to pay is extremely strong Moody’s Aa and S&P AA – capacity to pay is very strong Medium Grade Moody’s A and S&P A – capacity to pay is strong, but more susceptible to changes in circumstances Moody’s Baa and S&P BBB – capacity to pay is adequate, adverse conditions will have more impact on the firm’s ability to pay Bond Ratings –
  • 22. Investment Quality Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.26 Section 7.3 Lecture Tip: The question sometimes arises as to why a potential issuer would be willing to pay rating agencies tens of thousands of dollars in order to receive a rating, especially given the possibility that the resulting rating could be less favorable than expected. This is a good place to remind students about the pervasive nature of agency costs and point out a real- world example of their effects on firm value. You may also wish to use this issue to discuss some of the consequences of information asymmetries in financial markets. Low Grade Moody’s Ba and B S&P BB and B Considered possible that the capacity to pay will degenerate. Very Low Grade Moody’s C (and below) and S&P C (and below) income bonds with no interest being paid, or in default with principal and interest in arrears Bond Ratings – Speculative Grade Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
  • 23. consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.27 Section 7.3 It is a good exercise to ask students which bonds will have the highest yield to maturity (lowest price) all else equal. Treasury Securities Federal government debt T-bills – pure discount bonds with original maturity of one year or less T-notes – coupon debt with original maturity between one and ten years T-bonds – coupon debt with original maturity greater than ten years Municipal Securities Debt of state and local governments Varying degrees of default risk, rated similar to corporate debt Interest received is tax-exempt at the federal level. Government Bonds Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#›
  • 24. Section 7.4 (A) 6.28 A taxable bond has a yield of 8%, and a municipal bond has a yield of 6%. If you are in a 30% tax bracket, which bond do you prefer? 8%(1 - .3) = 5.6% The after-tax return on the corporate bond is 5.6%, compared to a 6% return on the municipal At what tax rate would you be indifferent between the two bonds? 8%(1 – T) = 6% T = 25% Example 7.4 Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.29 Section 7.4 (A) You should be willing to accept a lower stated yield on municipals because you do not have to pay taxes on the interest received. You will want to make sure the students understand why you are willing to accept a lower rate of interest. It may be helpful to take the example and illustrate the indifference point using dollars instead of just percentages. The discount you are willing to accept depends on your tax bracket. However, The new tax cuts will make municipal bonds relatively less
  • 25. attractive, potentially reducing values across this asset class. Consider a taxable bond with a yield of 8% and a tax-exempt municipal bond with a yield of 6%. Suppose you own one $1,000 bond in each and both bonds are selling at par. You receive $80 per year from the corporate and $60 per year from the municipal. How much do you have after taxes if you are in the 30% tax bracket? Corporate: 80 – 80(.3) = 56; Municipal = 60 Why should the federal government exempt munis from taxation? It provides an incentive for local governments to raise capital on their own. Make no periodic interest payments (coupon rate = 0%) The entire yield-to-maturity comes from the difference between the purchase price and the par value. Cannot sell for more than par value Sometimes called zeroes, deep discount bonds, or original issue discount bonds (OIDs) Treasury Bills and principal-only Treasury strips are good examples of zeroes. Zero Coupon Bonds Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
  • 26. 7-‹#› 6.30 Section 7.4 (B) Most students are familiar with Series EE savings bonds. Point out that these are actually zero coupon bonds. The investor pays one-half of the face value and must hold the bond for a given number of years before the face value is realized. As with any other zero-coupon bond, reinvestment risk is eliminated, but an additional benefit of EE bonds is that, unlike corporate zeroes, the investor need not pay taxes on the accrued interest until the bond is redeemed. Further, it should be noted that interest on these bonds is exempt from state income taxes. And, savings bonds yields are indexed to Treasury rates. Coupon rate floats depending on some index value Examples – adjustable rate mortgages and inflation-linked Treasuries There is less price risk with floating rate bonds. The coupon floats, so it is less likely to differ substantially from the yield-to-maturity. Coupons may have a “collar” – the rate cannot go above a specified “ceiling” or below a specified “floor”. Floating-Rate Bonds Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
  • 27. 7-‹#› 6.31 Section 7.4 (C) Lecture Tip: Imagine this scenario: General Motors receives cash from a lender in return for the promise to make periodic interest payments that “float” with the general level of market rates. Sounds like a floating-rate bond, doesn’t it? Well, it is, except that if you replace “General Motors” with “Joe Smith,” you have just described an adjustable-rate mortgage. Whereas there is less price risk, there is greater reinvestment (or refinancing) risk. Catastrophe bonds Income bonds Convertible bonds Put bonds There are many other types of provisions that can be added to a bond and many bonds have several provisions – it is important to recognize how these provisions affect required returns Other Bond Types Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#›
  • 28. 6.32 Section 7.4 (D) It is a useful exercise to ask the students if these bonds will tend to have higher or lower required returns compared to bonds without these specific provisions. Catastrophe bonds – issued by property and casualty companies. Pay interest and principal as usual unless claims reach a certain threshold for a single disaster. At that point, bondholders may lose all remaining payments. Higher required return Income bonds – coupon payments depend on level of corporate income. If earnings are not enough to cover the interest payment, it is not owed. Higher required return Convertible bonds – bonds can be converted into shares of common stock at the bondholders discretion. Lower required return Put bond – bondholder can force the company to buy the bond back prior to maturity. Lower required return Sukuk are bonds that have been created to meet a demand for assets that comply with Shariah, or Islamic law. Shariah does not permit the charging or paying of interest. Sukuk are typically bought and held to maturity, and they are extremely illiquid. Sukuk Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
  • 29. consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.4 (E) 6.33 Primarily over-the-counter transactions with dealers connected electronically Extremely large number of bond issues, but generally low daily volume in single issues Makes getting up-to-date prices difficult, particularly on small company or municipal issues Treasury securities are an exception. Bond Markets Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.34 Section 7.5 (A) The reported volume of bonds traded is not indicative of total activity due to off exchange transactions.
  • 30. Bond quotes are available online. One good site is FINRA’s Market Data Center. Go to the site, choose a company, enter it in the Issuer Name bar, choose Corporate, and see what you can find! Work the Web Example Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.5 (A) 6.35 Highlighted quote in Figure 7.4 Maturity Coupon Bid Asked Chg Asked Yield 2/15/2036 4.500 128.0781 128.1406 0.7031 2.618 What is the coupon rate on the bond? When does the bond mature? What is the bid price? What does this mean? What is the ask price? What does this mean? How much did the price change from the previous day?
  • 31. What is the yield based on the ask price? Treasury Quotations Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.36 Section 7.5 (B) The difference between the bid and ask prices is called the bid- ask spread and it is how the dealer makes money. Clean price: quoted price Dirty price: price actually paid = quoted price plus accrued interest Example: Consider a T-bond with a 4% semiannual yield and a clean price of $1,282.50: Number of days since last coupon = 61 Number of days in the coupon period = 184 Accrued interest = (61/184)(.04*1000) = $13.26 Dirty price = $1,282.50 + $13.26 = $1,295.76 So, you would actually pay $ 1,295.76 for the bond. Clean vs. Dirty Prices Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
  • 32. 7-‹#› 6.37 Section 7.5 (C) Assuming that the November maturity is November 15, then the coupon dates would be November 15 and May 15. Therefore, July 15 would be 16 + 30 + 15 = 61 days since the last coupon. The number of days in the coupon period would be 16 + 30 + 31 + 31 + 30 + 31 + 15 = 184. Real rate of interest – change in purchasing power Nominal rate of interest – quoted rate of interest, change in actual number of dollars The ex ante nominal rate of interest includes our desired real rate of return plus an adjustment for expected inflation. Inflation and Interest Rates Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.38 Section 7.6 (A)
  • 33. Be sure to ask the students to define inflation to make sure they understand what it is. For computations, students need to insure that they are matching real rates with real dollars or nominal rates with nominal dollars. The Fisher Effect defines the relationship between real rates, nominal rates, and inflation. (1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h), where R = nominal rate r = real rate h = expected inflation rate Approximation R = r + h The Fisher Effect Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.39 Section 7.6 (B) The approximation works pretty well with “normal” real rates of interest and expected inflation. If the expected inflation rate is high, then there can be a substantial difference. If we require a 10% real return and we expect inflation to be 8%, what is the nominal rate?
  • 34. R = (1.1)(1.08) – 1 = .188 = 18.8% Approximation: R = 10% + 8% = 18% Because the real return and expected inflation are relatively high, there is significant difference between the actual Fisher Effect and the approximation. Example 7.5 Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.40 Section 7.6 (B) Lecture Tip: In late 1997 and early 1998 there was a great deal of talk about the effects of deflation among financial pundits, due in large part to the combined effects of continuing decreases in energy prices, as well as the upheaval in Asian economies and the subsequent devaluation of several currencies. How might this affect observed yields? According to the Fisher Effect, we should observe lower nominal rates and higher real rates and that is roughly what happened. The opposite situation, however, occurred in and around 2008. Term structure is the relationship between time to maturity and yields, all else equal. It is important to recognize that we pull out the effect of default risk, different coupons, etc.
  • 35. Yield curve – graphical representation of the term structure Normal – upward-sloping; long-term yields are higher than short-term yields Inverted – downward-sloping; long-term yields are lower than short-term yields Term Structure of Interest Rates Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.7 (A) 6.41 Figure 7.6 – Upward-Sloping Yield Curve Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.7 (A) 6.42
  • 36. Figure 7.6 – Downward-Sloping Yield Curve Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.7 (A) 6.43 Figure 7.7 Current yield curve Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.44 Section 7.7 (A) www: Click on the link to go to Bloomberg to get the current Treasury yield curve Real rate of interest Expected future inflation premium
  • 37. Interest rate risk premium Default risk premium Taxability premium Liquidity premium Factors Affecting Bond Yields Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.7 (B) 6.45 How do you find the value of a bond, and why do bond prices change? What is a bond indenture, and what are some of the important features? What are bond ratings, and why are they important? How does inflation affect interest rates? What is the term structure of interest rates? What factors determine the required return on bonds? Quick Quiz
  • 38. Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› Section 7.8 6.46 In 1996, allegations were made against Moody’s that it was issuing ratings on bonds it had not been hired to rate, in order to pressure issuers to pay for their service. The government conducted an inquiry, but charges of antitrust violations were dropped. Even though no legal action was taken, does an ethical issue exist? Ethics Issues Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.47 What is the price of a $1,000 par value bond with a 6% coupon rate paid semiannually, if the bond is priced to yield 5% and it has 9 years to maturity?
  • 39. What would be the price of the bond if the yield rose to 7%. What is the current yield on the bond if the YTM is 7%? Comprehensive Problem Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#› 6.48 Section 7.8 5% YTM: 18 N; 2.5 I/Y; 30 PMT; 1,000 FV; CPT PV = 1,071.77 7% YTM: 18 N; 3.5 I/Y; 30 PMT; 1,000 FV; CPT PV = 934.05 Current yield = 60/934.05 = 6.42% End of Chapter Chapter 7 Copyright © 2019 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 7-‹#›
  • 40. 7-‹#› t t r)(1 FV r r)(1 1 -1 C Value Bond Bond PriceYou are looking at a bond that has 25 years to maturity. The coupon rate is 9% and coupons are paid semiannually. The yield-to-maturity is 8%. What is the current price?Settlement Date:03/15/04(Choose a date)Maturity Date:03/15/29(Choose a date 25 years after settlement)Coupon Rate:9%(Same as .09, needs to be annual rate)YTM:8%(Same as .08, needs to be annual rate)Face Value (% of par):100Coupons per year:2Price(% of
  • 41. par):110.7410923083Formula:=PRICE(B3,B4,B5,B6,B7,B8) YieldYou are looking at a bond that has 25 years to maturity. The coupon rate is 9% and coupons are paid semiannually. The current price is $950. What is the yield to maturity?Settlement Date:03/15/04(Choose a date)Maturity Date:03/15/29(Choose a date 25 years after settlement)Coupon Rate:9%(Same as .09, needs to be annual rate)Bond Price (% of par):95Face Value (% of par):100Coupons per year:2Yield to maturity:9.53%(The answer is returned as a decimal; format the cell to get a percent.)Formula:=YIELD(B3,B4,B5,B6,B7,B8) TVMYou are looking at a bond that has 25 years to maturity. The coupon rate is 9% and coupons are paid semiannually. The yield-to-maturity is 8%. What is the current price?RATE4.00%(8%/2)NPER50(25*2)PMT4.5(9%*100/2)FV1 00(Using 100 par so that PV will give price as % of par)Price$110.74Formula: -PV(B3,B4,B5,B6)You are looking at a bond that has 25 years to maturity. The coupon rate is 9% and coupons are paid semiannually. The current price is $950. What is the yield to maturity?NPER50(25*2)PMT4.5(9%*100/2)PV- 95(Entered as a % of par and negative for sign convention)FV100YTM9.53%(Returns as a whole percent, format to get decimal places)Formula:=2*RATE(B11,B12,B13,B14)(Have to multiply by 2 because it returns a semiannual rate)