1.You have $24,435.78 in a brokerage account, and you plan to deposit an additional $6,000 at the end of every future year until your account totals $240,000. You expect to earn 12% annually on the account. How many years will it take to reach your goal? Round your answer to two decimal places at the end of the calculations.
years
2.Time for a lump sum to double
If you deposit money today in an account that pays 5.5% annual interest, how long will it take to double your money? Round your answer to two decimal places.
years
3.Present and future values of a cash flow stream
An investment will pay $150 at the end of each of the next 3 years, $250 at the end of Year 4, $300 at the end of Year 5, and $600 at the end of Year 6.
a. If other investments of equal risk earn 4% annually, what is its present value? Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
b. If other investments of equal risk earn 4% annually, what is its future value? Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
Problem 5-14
Future value of an annuity
Find the future values of these ordinary annuities. Compounding occurs once a year. Round your answers to the nearest cent.
a. $1,000 per year for 10 years at 6%.
$
b. $500 per year for 5 years at 3%.
$
c. $1,000 per year for 16 years at 0%.
$
Rework previous parts assuming that they are annuities due. Round your answers to the nearest cent.
d. $1,000 per year for 10 years at 6%.
$
e. $500 per year for 5 years at 3%.
$
f. $1,000 per year for 16 years at 0%.
$
Problem 5-9
Present and future values for different periods
Find the following values using the equations and then a financial calculator. Compounding/discounting occurs annually. Round your answers to the nearest cent.
a. An initial $500 compounded for 1 year at 8%.
$
b. An initial $500 compounded for 2 years at 8%.
$
c. The present value of $500 due in 1 year at a discount rate of 8%.
$
d. The present value of $500 due in 2 years at a discount rate of 8%.
$
Problem 6-1
Yield Curves
TERM
RATE
6 months
5.03%
1 year
5.41%
2 years
5.65%
3 years
5.79%
4 years
5.87%
5 years
6.1%
10 years
6.35%
20 years
6.63%
30 years
6.76%
a. Plot a yield curve based on these data.
The correct sketch is A, B, C, D
.
b. What type of yield curve is shown?
1. The yield curve is abnormal
2.upward sloping
3. curve is flat
4. downward sloping
5. inverted
c. What information does this graph tell you?
1. In general the rate of inflation is expected to increase and the maturity risk premium is less than zero
2. In general the rate of inflation is expected to decrease and the maturity risk premium is less than zero
3. In genera the rate of inflation is expected to increase and the maturity risk premium is greater than zero
4. The shape of the yield curve depends only on expectations about future inflation which is expected to increase
5. In general the rate of inflation is expected to decrease and the maturity risk premium is greater than zero
d. Based on this y ...
1.You have $24,435.78 in a brokerage account, and you plan to depo.docx
1. 1.You have $24,435.78 in a brokerage account, and you plan to
deposit an additional $6,000 at the end of every future year
until your account totals $240,000. You expect to earn 12%
annually on the account. How many years will it take to reach
your goal? Round your answer to two decimal places at the end
of the calculations.
years
2.Time for a lump sum to double
If you deposit money today in an account that pays 5.5% annual
interest, how long will it take to double your money? Round
your answer to two decimal places.
years
3.Present and future values of a cash flow stream
An investment will pay $150 at the end of each of the next 3
years, $250 at the end of Year 4, $300 at the end of Year 5, and
$600 at the end of Year 6.
a. If other investments of equal risk earn 4% annually, what is
its present value? Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
b. If other investments of equal risk earn 4% annually, what is
its future value? Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
Problem 5-14
Future value of an annuity
Find the future values of these ordinary annuities. Compounding
occurs once a year. Round your answers to the nearest cent.
a. $1,000 per year for 10 years at 6%.
$
b. $500 per year for 5 years at 3%.
$
c. $1,000 per year for 16 years at 0%.
$
Rework previous parts assuming that they are annuities due.
Round your answers to the nearest cent.
2. d. $1,000 per year for 10 years at 6%.
$
e. $500 per year for 5 years at 3%.
$
f. $1,000 per year for 16 years at 0%.
$
Problem 5-9
Present and future values for different periods
Find the following values using the equations and then a
financial calculator. Compounding/discounting occurs annually.
Round your answers to the nearest cent.
a. An initial $500 compounded for 1 year at 8%.
$
b. An initial $500 compounded for 2 years at 8%.
$
c. The present value of $500 due in 1 year at a discount rate of
8%.
$
d. The present value of $500 due in 2 years at a discount rate of
8%.
$
Problem 6-1
Yield Curves
TERM
RATE
6 months
5.03%
1 year
5.41%
2 years
5.65%
3 years
5.79%
3. 4 years
5.87%
5 years
6.1%
10 years
6.35%
20 years
6.63%
30 years
6.76%
a. Plot a yield curve based on these data.
The correct sketch is A, B, C, D
.
b. What type of yield curve is shown?
1. The yield curve is abnormal
2.upward sloping
3. curve is flat
4. downward sloping
5. inverted
c. What information does this graph tell you?
1. In general the rate of inflation is expected to increase and the
maturity risk premium is less than zero
2. In general the rate of inflation is expected to decrease and the
maturity risk premium is less than zero
3. In genera the rate of inflation is expected to increase and the
maturity risk premium is greater than zero
4. The shape of the yield curve depends only on expectations
about future inflation which is expected to increase
4. 5. In general the rate of inflation is expected to decrease and the
maturity risk premium is greater than zero
d. Based on this yield curve, if you needed to borrow money for
longer than one year, would it make sense for you to borrow
short term and renew the loan or borrow long term? Explain. I,
II, III, IV or V
I. Even though the borrower renews the loan at increasing short-
term rates, those rates are still below the long-term rate, but
what makes the higher long-term rate attractive is the rollover
risk that may possibly occur if the short-term rates go even
higher than the long-term rate (and that could be for a long
time!).
II. Generally, it would make sense to borrow short term because
each year the loan is renewed the interest rate would be higher.
III. Generally, it would make sense to borrow short term
because each year the loan is renewed the interest rate would be
lower.
IV. Generally, it would make sense to borrow long term because
each year the loan is renewed the interest rate would be lower.
V. Differences in yields that may exist between the short term
and long term cannot be explained by the forces of supply and
demand in each market.
Problem 5-19
Future value of an annuity
Your client is 23 years old; and she wants to begin saving for
retirement, with the first payment to come one year from now.
She can save $13,000 per year; and you advise her to invest it in
the stock market, which you expect to provide an average return
of 9% in the future.
a. If she follows your advice, how much money will she have at
65? Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
5. b. How much will she have at 70? Round your answer to the
nearest cent.
$
c. She expects to live for 20 years if she retires at 65 and for 15
years if she retires at 70. If her investments continue to earn the
same rate, how much will she be able to withdraw at the end of
each year after retirement at each retirement age? Round your
answers to the nearest cent.
Annual withdrawals if she retires at 65 $
Annual withdrawals if she retires at 70 $
Problem 5-3
Finding the required interest rate
Your parents will retire in 26 years. They currently have
$390,000, and they think they will need $2,150,000 at
retirement. What annual interest rate must they earn to reach
their goal, assuming they don't save any additional funds?
Round your answer to two decimal places.
%
Problem 5-8
Loan amortization and EAR
You want to buy a car, and a local bank will lend you $20,000.
The loan will be fully amortized over 5 years (60 months), and
the nominal interest rate will be 6% with interest paid monthly.
a. What will be the monthly loan payment? Round your answer
to the nearest cent.
$
b. What will be the loan's EAR? Round your answer to two
decimal places.
%
Problem 5-6
Future value: annuity versus annuity due
a. What's the future value of a 7%, 5-year ordinary annuity that
pays $600 each year? Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
b. If this was an annuity due, what would its future value be?
6. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
Problem 5-1
Future value
If you deposit $5,000 in a bank account that pays 8% interest
annually, how much would be in your account after 5 years?
Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
Problem 5-34
Amortization schedule
a. Set up an amortization schedule for a $12,000 loan to be
repaid in equal installments at the end of each of the next 3
years. The interest rate is 9% compounded annually. Round all
answers to the nearest cent.
Beginning
Remaining
Year
Balance
Payment
Balance
1
$
$
$
2
$
$
$
3
$
$
$
b. What percentage of the payment represents interest and what
percentage represents principal for each of the 3 years? Round
7. all answers to two decimal places.
% Interest
% Principal
Year 1:
%
%
Year 2:
%
%
Year 3:
%
%
c. Why do these percentages change over time?
I. These percentages change over time because even though the
total payment is constant the amount of interest paid each year
is declining as the balance declines.
II. These percentages change over time because even though the
total payment is constant the amount of interest paid each year
is increasing as the balance declines.
III. These percentages change over time because even though
the total payment is constant the amount of interest paid each
year is declining as the balance increases.
IV. These percentages change over time because even though
the total payment is constant the amount of interest paid each
year is increasing as the balance increases.
V. These percentages do not change over time; interest and
principal are each a constant percentage of the total payment.
Present value Problem 5-2
What is the present value of a security that will pay $11,000 in
20 years if securities of equal risk pay 12% annually? Round
your answer to the nearest cent.
Problem 5-26
8. PV and loan eligibility
You have saved $3,000 for a down payment on a new car. The
largest monthly payment you can afford is $400. The loan will
have a 9% APR based on end-of-month payments.
a. What is the most expensive car you could afford if you
finance it for 48 months? Round your answer to the nearest
cent.
$
b. What is the most expensive car you could afford if you
finance it for 60 months? Round your answer to the nearest
cent.
$
c. Problem 6-9
Expected Interest Rate
d. The real risk-free rate is 2.3%. Inflation is expected to be 3%
this year, 4.95% next year, and then 2.45% thereafter. The
maturity risk premium is estimated to be 0.05(t - 1)%, where t =
number of years to maturity. What is the yield on a 7-year
Treasury note? Round your answer to two decimal places.
e. %
Problem 6-11
Default Risk Premium
A company's 5-year bonds are yielding 8% per year. Treasury
bonds with the same maturity are yielding 5.3% per year, and
the real risk-free rate (r*) is 2.45%. The average inflation
premium is 2.45%, and the maturity risk premium is estimated
to be 0.1(t - 1)%, where t = number of years to maturity. If the
liquidity premium is 1.4%, what is the default risk premium on
the corporate bonds? Round your answer to two decimal places.
%
Problem 6-5
Maturity Risk Premium
The real risk-free rate is 2%, and inflation is expected to be 3%
for the next 2 years. A 2-year Treasury security yields 8.75%.
9. What is the maturity risk premium for the 2-year security?
Round your answer to two decimal places.
%
Problem 5-22
Loan amortization
Jan sold her house on December 31 and took a $50,000
mortgage as part of the payment. The 10-year mortgage has a
9% nominal interest rate, but it calls for semiannual payments
beginning next June 30. Next year Jan must report on Schedule
B of her IRS Form 1040 the amount of interest that was
included in the two payments she received during the year.
a. What is the dollar amount of each payment Jan receives?
Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
How much interest was included in the first payment? Round
your answer to the nearest cent.
$
How much repayment of principal was included? Round your
answer to the nearest cent.
$
How do these values change for the second payment? I, II, III,
IV or V
I. The portion of the payment that is applied to interest
declines, while the portion of the payment that is applied to
principal increases.
II. The portion of the payment that is applied to interest
increases, while the portion of the payment that is applied to
principal decreases.
III. The portion of the payment that is applied to interest and
the portion of the payment that is applied to principal remains
the same throughout the life of the loan.
IV. The portion of the payment that is applied to interest
declines, while the portion of the payment that is applied to
principal also declines.
V. The portion of the payment that is applied to interest
10. increases, while the portion of the payment that is applied to
principal also increases.
first year? Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
Her interest income will increase in each successive year
Her interest income will remain the same in each successive
year
She will not receive interest income only a return of capital
Her interest income will decline in each successive year
She will receive interest only when the mortgage is paid off in
10 years
payments are constant, why does the amount of
interest income change over time? I, II, III, IV or V
I. As the loan is amortized (paid off), the beginning balance,
hence the interest charge, increases and the repayment of
principal increases.
II. As the loan is amortized (paid off), the beginning balance,
hence the interest charge, declines and the repayment of
principal increases.
III. As the loan is amortized (paid off), the beginning balance,
hence the interest charge, declines and the repayment of
principal declines.
IV. As the loan is amortized (paid off), the beginning balance,
hence the interest charge, increases and the repayment of
principal declines.
V. As the loan is amortized (paid off), the beginning balance
declines, but the interest charge and the repayment of principal
remain the same.
11. Communication/Media
From the BP oil spill and the Egyptian revolution to the Haitian
earthquake and the Australian
floods, social media has proven its power to unite, coalesce,
support, champion, and save
lives. Presenting cutting-edge media communication solutions,
The Four Stages of Highly
Effective Crisis Management explains how to choose the
appropriate language and media
outlet to properly convey your message during and after a crisis.
Unveiling the secrets of how to manage the media in a crisis,
the book examines how rapidly
evolving social media and Web 2.0 technologies have changed
the crisis management
landscape. It illustrates the four distinct stages of media
reporting during a crisis and details
the information that must be provided. The author provides
readers with a wealth of helpful
tips and tools—including guidelines, checklists, and case
studies that illustrate best practices
in crisis media management. Divided into five sections, the
book:
• Examines how the kingdom of news has changed and considers
the new hybrid model
that is emerging
• Identifies the four distinct stages in which both old and new
media report a crisis
• Addresses the use of spokespeople according to the four
12. stages, as well as when
to use the chief executive officer
• Discusses media interviews, including how to handle news
conferences, bloggers,
and the importance of media training
• Considers the communication aspects of crisis management—
including how to
harness the power of Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Digg,
Wikipedia, Flickr, and
social media releases
The book’s resource-rich appendices include a checklist for
briefing a spokesperson, sample
media release, a step-by-step flowchart for creating a crisis
communication plan, and social
media policy guidelines. Complete with a detailed guide on
what tools to use and when to
use them, this book provides the techniques and understanding
required to communicate
effectively and avoid any potential bad press and embarrassment
that could result from
information mismanagement.
About the Author:
Jane Jordan-Meier is a former journalist with more than 25
years of experience in the media
and communication management. Working at the forefront of
media training developing
powerful methodologies in crisis media management, she has
worked at the highest level
in strategic planning and communication including the
Australian bicentennial celebrations
13. and the Sydney Olympic Games.
Visit www.crisismanagementbook.com for more information.
ISBN: 978-1-4398-5373-3
9 781439 853733
90000
K12481
w w w . c r c p r e s s . c o m
www.crcpress.com
T
h
e
F
o
u
r S
ta
g
e
s o
f H
ig
h
ly E
16. reproduced in this publication and apologize to
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been obtained. If any copyright material has
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27. powerhouse has also
cemented its influence among mainstream media. Facebook is
now the
number one source for journalists to research their stories.
According to
the “2010 Journalist Survey on Media Relations Practices,”* a
staggering
73.4% of journalists used Facebook for such research!
YouTube? Now part of “Lord” Google’s empire, YouTube is
local-
ized across 22 countries in 24 different languages. It has almost
double
the prime-time audience of all three major U.S. broadcast
networks com-
bined! It is simply a fact that social media can disseminate
information
faster than any newsroom ever could.
We have moved from the power-of-one to the power-of-many.
And
look at us, “we the people.” We own the news. We have little, if
any,
loyalty to any one media outlet; and we surf, swap, and share
from mul-
tiple platforms. Billions of ears and eyes watching and, in some
cases,
waiting like the powerful Mommy bloggers to jump to the
defense of
the cause.
The audience has taken control. They are the truth filters. No
longer
can you claim how they have (the old media) “butchered this
story.” Secrets
are ousted—typically they always were, but now any citizen can
29. This book is an example of much of what happens today—how
much
we aggregate, monitor, and share whatever we want, whenever
we want,
and wherever the spirit takes us.
In writing this book, I have been both curator and aggregator—
select-
ing case studies, examples, and articles to present the best of
the best and the
worst of the worst, and pulling together principles, trends, and
guidelines.
Today, there is little original reporting—typically still the
domain
of the traditional newspaper. Secondary sources abound. These
second-
ary sources have been credited and sourced to the best of my
ability. You
will find many references in this book to articles, research
papers, and
white papers from Europe, the United States, and Australia, to
name a
few. Also, like any good newspaper reporter, I have sought out
original
sources. I have interviewed working journalists, professors, and
consul-
tants alike to present their views and insights regarding this
brave new
world, bringing crisis media management into the digital age.
I have taken the new media principles of engagement, speed,
trust,
and accountability and applied them to the prevailing norms of
how tra-
31. 2.0 era.
In Section I, we will look at the role of the media in reporting a
cri-
sis, the trends in reportage, and how the roles of the new and
the old are
enmeshed. A crisis is defined and discussed. And I take an in-
depth look
at Twitter’s role in a crisis. Media ethics are also examined.
In Section II, you will learn about the four stages that the media
report
in a crisis, the characteristics of each stage, and what this
means for deci-
sion making in a crisis.
Section III deals with spokespeople, according to the four
stages, plus
the vexed question of whether and when to use the chief
executive officer
(CEO). I also discuss the CEO’s interaction with social media
and intro-
duce you to the role of the frontline staff as well as policy
guidelines.
Media interviews are discussed in detail in Section IV—
everything
from phone interviews to e-mail and print, and how to stage and
manage
a news conference, to dealing with bloggers. Media training,
including
who to train for which stage, is also discussed. And finally, you
will find
guidelines for social media policy.
Section V covers the communication aspects of crisis media
33. He has put up with late nights, early starts, and general
upheaval as the
book spread from room to room! I have appreciated his valuable
insights,
suggestions, and edits. His extensive experience in disaster
recovery and
emergency and crisis management, not to mention business
continuity,
plus our many discussions about the all-too-frequent crises,
have been
invaluable in helping to shape this book.
This book would not have been possible without the 15-year
support of
my business partner, Susan Templeman, as we forged a solid
media train-
ing business partnership. The rigor of the Media Skills’ training
methods,
combined with the tools and techniques that we teach our
clients, form
the basis of this book. I am grateful too for the insights that I
have gained
from my many clients in many different industries and in
different coun-
tries during my career in public relations and crisis media
training and
coaching. I thank them all for their trust and high-stakes candor
as we
shared many a situation together. They have been an inspiration.
Templeman and my husband have read almost every word I have
written and taken the time to provide feedback and comments. I
am enor-
mously grateful. What a journey!
Acknowledgment must also go to my Media Skills colleagues—
35. Danish-based Mindjumpers, for case studies; Scotland’s Craig
McGill for
blogging tips; Australians Jeff Bullas, for many excellent tips
and tools,
and Robyn Sefiani, for her Queenwood case study; plus U.S.
consultants
Erik Deckers, Gerard Braud, and Paul Gillin among others for
their wis-
dom, tips, and analyses. I have enjoyed and appreciated
Sefiani’s friend-
ship and professional support for many years. Thank you to you
all.
Thanks also to Kris Olson from Innovis for her story about
using social
media during the North Dakota floods, and Mediascape for
research and
the Victorian bushfire case study. Craig Pearce back in my
home country
of Australia was also very helpful with comments, contacts, and
an excel-
lent paper on social media and crisis communication. And
thanks also to
student Matthew Kaskavitch at the University of Wisconsin,
Stout. His
interview and information on Facebook dark groups was
excellent.
The many journalists with whom I have worked over the years
have
been an inspiration with their reporting skills and insights into
the pat-
terns of reporting—so predictable in so many ways. My thanks
to all of
you, and in particular, to those interviewed whose views you
will see
36. in this book. Chris O’Brien, Brian Stelter, and Julio Ojeda-
Zapata are but
three to be mentioned. Thanks to Bernard O’Riordan, a favorite
journalist
in Australia, for his encouragement and support with articles
and com-
ments; and to Neil McMahon for the Macquarie Bank case study
and
paper on social media and crises in Australia.
There have been many academics whose time, knowledge, and
insights I have valued. Thank you to Kirsten Mogensen,
Associate
Professor at Roskilde University in Denmark. Mogensen was an
enlight-
ening interview subject and generous with her research.
Professors and
lecturers at Pennsylvania State University, too; Shyam Sundar
and Renae
Nichols, whose early interviews provided a fundamental
framework and
basis. Thanks to Liz Meier-King for helping make that possible.
Thanks
to Dr. Fiona Martin, former journalist and now lecturer in
online media
at the University of Sydney, Australia, for her insightful
interview and for
reviewing copy. Many other fine academics are quoted and
cited—thank
you all for your contributions to the book.
To all my colleagues and friends in the International
Association of
Business Communicators (IABC), particularly the San Francisco
chap-
ter, thank you for all your support and encouragement,
38. enced throughout the book. Look also for white papers in the
appendices.
IABC also provided me with incredible resources in the form of
copy
editing and all-around writing support and advice. A huge thank
you
goes to Marcus Gonzales, a San Francisco–based writer and
editor, for his
mammoth efforts in not only editing the final manuscript but for
keeping
me on track. Another big thank you to Sally Salay, whose initial
edits and
feedback put me on the right path of this journey. Their
patience and skill
were only too evident and enormously helpful for this novice
author. My
acknowledgments also to Adrian Granzella Larssen for helping
with a
few last-minute efforts.
Don Karecki from K&M Publishers is the reason that this book
got off the ground. After being a keynote speaker and
conducting a
“Managing the Media in a Crisis” workshop at the Business
Continuity
Conference in New Orleans during my first year of living in the
United
States, when I was overwhelmed by everything and everyone, he
sug-
gested that I put the content of my workshop into a book. His
patience
and understanding when life took a sharp U-turn is appreciated.
I hope
that I have done justice to the unswerving confidence and faith
that he
40. corporations, government depart-
ments, and nonprofit agencies in North
America, Australia, and New Zealand.
She is recognized as one of the world’s
top media and crisis management
experts.
Throughout her career, Jordan-
Meier has worked at the highest level
of strategic planning and communica-
tion, including the Australian bicentennial celebrations and the
Sydney
Olympic Games. Her clients range from experienced chief
executive offi-
cers (CEOs) of global corporations to those doing their first
media inter-
views. She works with organizations in crisis as well as those
wishing to
raise their profile with positive media interviews. Many of her
programs
and training have won awards from her peers in the public
relations and
communication professions.
In the 1990s, recognizing the need for executives to be highly
skilled
in handling the media, Jordan-Meier co-established Media
Skills, a media
training consultancy. With former journalist Susan Templeman,
she cre-
ated a suite of methods for developing and delivering strategic
media
messages. This led to the development of a unique approach to
managing
crisis communication. The methodology has been licensed and
used by a
43. The Internet is at the heart of the change. It’s where the action
is. In
a crisis—read big news—that’s where we congregate—online.
We’ll swap
links in e-mails; post news stories onto our Facebook pages;
we’ll tweet
our horror, our support, our eyewitness accounts, and retweet
others’ sto-
ries; and we’ll highlight and spread news stories that matter to
us wher-
ever and whenever we can. We’ll haggle over the meaning of
events in
blogs, discussion groups, and forums.
No surprise then that every @tom, @dick, and @harry has an
opin-
ion today and has the means to express it anywhere, anytime. As
noted
Internet expert, writer, and author, Clay Shirky, who is also
Adjunct
Professor at New York University, says, we are experiencing
“the largest
increase in expressive capability in the history of the human
race.”*
It is also no surprise that you are just as likely to be interviewed
on
Twitter or Skype as you are by a TV reporter with a video
camera or a
radio reporter with a microphone in your face.
How do you—the crisis media manager—survive and help your
orga-
nization survive in this digital age? Very simply, your
organization’s crisis
plan is incomplete without a comprehensive digital strategy.
44. You must incorporate social media into your plans. People are
get-
ting their news in multiple formats, on multiple platforms, from
a myriad
of devices, so your crisis plan must adapt to this new reality.
Your plan
will need to accommodate this “golden age” for news consumers
who can
access—at will—the best (or worst) stories from around the
world when-
ever the spirit moves them. They have that capacity at their
fingertips.
What capacity and capability do you have at your fingertips in a
crisis?
In this section, we will examine the following:
• The habits of today’s news consumer
• The trends in news consumption
• How the new media—read social media—are impacting news
gathering, particularly in a crisis
• How the traditional mainstream media—read old media—are
plunging into social media territory
• The role of the media in a crisis and whether it has changed
• The role of citizen journalists
* Clay Shirky, Here Comes everybody: the Power of organizing
without organizations (London:
Penguin Press), 2008, p. 106.
seCtIon I
46. Mostly because
it does something wrong, illegal, unethical, or immoral and tries
to hide
it. Think Enron, Toyota, and quite possibly BP, which at the
time of writ-
ing was managing potentially the worst oil spill in world
history, rivaling
the infamous 1989 Exxon disaster. Certainly Tiger Woods,
seemingly “Mr.
Nice Guy” with a carefully crafted family image, fell into this
category
when news broke of the sordid tale of his multiple affairs.
UNFOLDING CRISIS
A crisis unfolds something like this:
• An issue has been brewing for a while, say a bad or shady deal
that had been swept under the carpet some months or years
before
(a smoldering issue).
• A disgruntled employee leaks compromising details of said
bad
deal to the media—big names, big players, big dollars = big
news
story (the trigger).
• Front-page news ensues, immediately attracting attention of
local
and federal officials, regulators, and various law enforcement
agencies = bigger news story.
* Dr. Henry Kissinger as quoted in Peter Ruff and Khalid Aziz,
managing Communications
in a Crisis (England/United States: Gower Publishing England),
48. issue hidden
or unfixed.
Take Toyota or BP. As Ian I. Mitroff, professor at Alliant
International
University, San Francisco, and a senior investigator in the
Center for
Catastrophic Risk Management at University of California,
Berkeley, says,
“The costs of prevention pale in comparison to the full costs of
a crisis.Ӡ
If Toyota and BP had spent the necessary monies—a tiny
fraction of the
cost of the recall and cleanup, not to mention profits—then we
could save
lives, inflict less environmental damage to our fragile planet,
and gener-
ally have less stress on already stretched government budgets.
United Airlines and Sigg, the Swiss-based makers of reusable
water
bottles, are two other examples that ignored smoldering issues.
Both expe-
rienced very public and pointed lessons on how not to handle a
crisis.
Sigg, which proudly marketed itself as eco-friendly, knew the
warn-
ings about the use of bisphenol A (BPA), a toxic chemical, in
the lining of
its trendy and expensive reusable water bottles. Despite the
warning, Sigg
waited three years before disclosing that its liner contained
BPA. Their
customers were outraged at what they saw as deception. After a
torrent of
50. rhythm, harmony, rhyme, not to mention some wicked humor,
and their
4-minute, 37-second complaint, “United Breaks Guitars,”
racking up more
than 8.3 million views (as of May 26, 2010) on YouTube. That’s
more than
twice the population of New Zealand or Ireland.
CASE STUDY 1.1
The Boy and Boeing
Here is how Boeing averted a crisis, or at least some very
negative public-
ity, with some good old-fashioned, honest, and speedy
communication.
In early May 2010, eight-year-old Harry Winsor (son of John
Winsor, Chief Executive Officer of the U.S. ad agency Victors
and
Spoils) decided to send Boeing one of his concept designs for a
new
plane, done in crayon. The result was a crash course in social
media
for the plane manufacturer. Boeing sent a standard rejection
letter
to Harry. Dad posted comments on his blog. Twitter fired up
and
blasted Boeing with a how could you (treat “a creative and
engaged
child like that”).
For a suited-up type of company, Boeing learned their lesson
well
and quickly. Instead of defending their position, they acted fast
with
a very personal touch. A Boeing engineer sent Harry a long and
52. environment,
or organization. It results in national news media coverage and
is, inevitably,
a situation where the public needs information to make better
decisions.
A crisis is a single point in time that is a show-stopping,
company-stop-
ping, people-stopping, country-stopping event. It is a triggering
event that
stops business, alarms or threatens people, and puts your
reputation at
risk. The Institute for Crisis Management defines a crisis as “a
significant
business disruption which stimulates extensive news media
coverage.
The resulting public scrutiny will affect the organization’s
normal busi-
ness operations and could also have a political, legal, financial,
and gov-
ernment impact on business.”*
A crisis will most certainly cause people to panic, taking them
out
of their “passive state” and propelling them into action, as seen
in the
violent aftermath of the deadly officer-involved shooting at a
Bay Area
Rapid Transit (BART) station in northern California in early
2009, when
thousands took to the streets protesting and rioting: unintended
con-
sequences certainly for BART—but clearly smoldering racial
issues for
northern California and many other parts of the United States
and around
53. the world, all of which focused on BART.
Whatever the crisis, you will feel the heat of public opinion,
increas-
ingly online as well as with the traditional legacy media like
CNN, the
BBC, usa today, the economist, the wall street Journal, or the
financial
times. The San Francisco Zoo felt such heat when a tiger
escaped her cage
and attacked and killed a man on Christmas Day 2007.
By any definition, the New Year’s shooting at the Oakland
BART sta-
tion and the tiger mauling at the San Francisco Zoo were
business inter-
ruptions—true crises that will scar reputations for years to
come, if not
forever. Take the Exxon Valdez oil spill in 1989. The
mishandling of that
oil spill—considered one of the most devastating human-caused
environ-
mental disasters ever—is forever etched into our minds and into
the pages
of textbooks, speeches, and presentations on how not to handle
a crisis. As
Shel Holtz describes crises, they are “reputation killers.”
I like Shel Holtz’s airline example for defining a crisis. Holtz, a
vet-
eran communication consultant specializing in the use of online
and social
* Institute of Crisis Management, “Crisis Definitions,”
www.crisisexperts.com.
55. No wonder we have such crises. Sadly, the majority of
companies fail
to plan. According to Geibel
Solution
s Marketing, fewer than 20 percent
of businesses have crisis communication plans, or if they do
have a plan,
they fail to effectively exercise and drill that plan.†
Case in Point: Virginia Tech
Much has been written about what happened at the Virginia
Polytechnic
Institute and State University (Virginia Tech) campus and what
the school
could have done differently to prevent the 2007 shooting
tragedy. They
had a plan and you can still find that plan on the Internet! Their
biggest
problem was that they did not have a step-by-step process that
adequately
addressed what to do. Nor did they appreciate the impact of
social media
56. on their student population.
Crisis communication expert Gerard Braud, said that Virginia
Tech’s
lack of preparedness made him “very angry” and that a good
communi-
cation plan could have saved lives.‡
The communication vacuum and lack of prompt action resulted
in 32
lives being lost. The story was etched forever in our memories
by the chill-
ing vision and sound that was broadcast seemingly ad infinitum
on CNN
* Shel Holtz and John C. Havens, “Business & Economics,”
tactical transparency: How
leaders Can leverage social media to maximize value and Build
their Brand (New York: John
Wiley and Sons), 2008.
† Jeffrey Geibel, GEIBEL