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Manufacturing Sector –
Canada – June 2019
Paul Young CPA, CGA
August 20, 2019.
Contoso
S u i t e s
Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Financial Solutions
• SME – Business Process Changes
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• Academia – Advance Accounting, Public Finance
and Advanced Management Systems
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
Contoso
S u i t e s
Agenda
• PMI Index – USA and Canada
• EPIC failures with Manufacturing
• Manufacturing by key Sector
• Manufacturing by Province
• Competitiveness
• Automotive
• Class 8 Truck
• AG Equipment
• Housing
• Steel Production
• Unifor
• Taxation vs Subsidy blog
• Blog – Near Shoring
• Manufacturing Blog
• Solutions
Contoso
S u i t e s
4
Introduction
4
Contoso
S u i t e s
Source - https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/business-confidence or
https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/manufacturing-pmi
5
PMI Index
USA PMI Index Canada PMI Index
Contoso
S u i t e s
Source - https://qz.com/1269172/the-epic-mistake-about-manufacturing-thats-cost-americans-millions-of-jobs/ 6
Epic mistake by Manufacturing
• Unions fought automation as it meant less
union jobs
• Robotics have played key role with
manufacturing
• More and more manufacturers are moving to
3-D Printing. Market size potential is $33B -
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-
releases/world-3d-printing-in-digital-
manufacturing-market-outlook-2018-2023---
3d-printing-is-one-of-the-cornerstones-of-
industry-4-0-and-will-facilitate-evolution-of-
supplydemand-economics-300715302.html
• AI continues to help streamline manufacturing
processes - https://supplychainbeyond.com/7-
ways-ai-and-automation-are-driving-the-future-
of-manufacturing/
6
Contoso
S u i t e s
Manufacturing Sales by Sector
Source – Stats Canada - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190820/t002a-eng.htm
7
Contoso
S u i t e s
Source – BMO, RBC, Stats Canada, Scotiabank 8
Housing - Construction
8
Contoso
S u i t e s
Manufacturing Sales by Province
Source – Stats Canada - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190820/t002a-eng.htm
9
Contoso
S u i t e s
Source - http://cme-mec.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Doc_Industrie-2030_Manufacturing-a-Competitive-Business-
Environment-in-Canada.pdf
10
Competitiveness
I have been saying the following for since
Liberals took office in 2015
• Low taxes free up money to reinvest in
new capital and advanced technologies
• A strategic taxation policy can reward
companies for growing
• An easy-to-navigate regulatory
environment reduces the cost of doing
business in Canada and makes
domestic companies more competitive
Strategic government spending on
economic and trade-related
infrastructure improves productivity
and Canada’s ability to compete in
foreign markets
Note:
Many thanks to Deloitte for providing a
similar view to mine in terms of solutions.
10
Contoso
S u i t e s
Source - https://www.spencerfernando.com/2018/11/15/dias-bias-union-representing-thousands-of-canadian-journalists-
calls-themselves-resistance-against-scheer/
11
Unifor / Jerry Dias • Dias never speaks out against bad policies like high hydro
rates, carbon taxation, excessive regulations, etc.
• Unifor is defending media which is only a small percentage
of his base https://www.unifor.org/en/unifor-numbers-
across-canada
• Unifor is not looking out for its members. Unifor almost
cost CAMI their jobs -
https://business.financialpost.com/transportation/autos/g
m-strike
• Unions have a place but Dias approach is always
confrontation.
• Harper had a bill that shut down by the liberals that would
have provided oversight -
https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2012/12/12/prime
_minister_stephen_harpers_government_passes_bill_forci
ng_unions_to_open_their_books.html
• Unions spend part of the dues on election campaigns -
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/union-backed-
group-fights-ontario-rules-on-election-advertising-
1.4501104
Dias says little on
other sectors which
account for 95% of the
jobs right?
11
Contoso
S u i t e s
Automotive Sector
Source - http://www.gbm.scotiabank.com/scpt/gbm/scotiaeconomics63/autoflash.pdf
12
Contoso
S u i t e s
13
Class 8 Truck Production
Key Changes
• Driverless Trucks - https://singularityhub.com/2018/10/11/no-safety-driver-here-volvos-new-
driverless-truck-cuts-the-cab/
• Electrical Vehicle - https://electrek.co/2018/05/02/peterbilt-truck-maker-all-electric-class-8-tesla-
semi/
• Uber and Transportation - https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/15/convoy-flexport-automating-the-
shipping-industry.html
• Plug-in station - https://www.plugshare.com/location/15209
• Technology Changes – IoT- https://www.logisticsbureau.com/6-key-supply-chain-and-logistics-trends-
to-watch-in-2017/
13
Contoso
S u i t e s
Steel
Production
• Steel production continues to face challenges -
https://www.financialexpress.com/market/commodities/steel-
industry-looking-at-brighter-prospects-in-2018/1035442/
• Steel producers are concerns with tariffs -
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/steel-tariff-zekelman-freeland-
1.4869440?fbclid=IwAR29Hosw-7ZZGSPihTnTdPt4xp1mOblaSfkCx-
CFYi5-axDFHqwbtLw2AXg
14
Contoso
S u i t e s
Source – association of equipment manufacturers 15
Agriculture Equipment - Trends
15
Contoso
S u i t e s
• Exports / Canola
•
• https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/canola-china-export-1.5043182
•
• @jimcarr_wpg are you going to act on Canola or not?
https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/canola-china-export-1.5043182
@PierrePoilievre @MichelleRempel
I have never see a govt that sits on their hands when things are imploding!
@emilia_suze
16
Canola and China
16
Contoso
S u i t e s
Source – KPMG 17
2019 Manufacturing Outlook
17
Contoso
S u i t e s
• Douglas Gray No it does not! Oil pays their taxes and gets their tax deduction. Clean Tech gets R&D and/other
deductions like Oil and Gas. Clean Tech loses money which means they do not pay corporate taxation as there is no
taxable income. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-corporate-and-business-taxation-flows-to-government
• The liberals are handling grant money out to clean tech via SDTC - https://www.sdtc.ca/en/
• My advice to you is stop taking comments from people that have never done a corporate tax return in their life.
18
Blog – Taxation vs Subsidy
18
Contoso
S u i t e s
• https://www.mhlnews.com/global-supply-chain/75-companies-missing-growth-opportunities-supply-chain?NL=IW-
09&Issue=IW-09_20190715_IW-
09_348&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_1&utm_rid=CPG03000003273915&utm_campaign=35965&utm_medium=email&el
q2=076b32e2b6b14736b7ae302421a5ea3f&oly_enc_id= - Based on a survey of 1,350 business executives, the report
"From Inventory to Influence: The Mover Becomes the Shaker" reveals that more than three-quarters (78%) of
executives and their companies — named the “Laggards”— are missing opportunities to leverage the power of the
supply chain as a driver of revenue growth.
• https://www.atkearney.com/operations-performance-transformation/us-reshoring-index
• I am all for supporting merchandise trade, but trade must be fair. The problem is the WTO needs to be reformed to
ensure emerging markets follow rules.
• WTO Reforms - https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/G-20-summit-Osaka/G-20-leaders-agree-to-speed-up-WTO-reforms2. I call the WTO
out numerous times - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/world-trade-organisation-wto-and-trade-disputes
• Tariffs never work as all they do is make items more expensive.
• China has seen deterioration as many countries pushed back at China’s unfair trade policies -
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-12/singapore-s-economy-contracts-sharply-as-manufacturing-slumps
19
Blog – Manufacturing – July 2019
19
Contoso
S u i t e s
• https://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/drop-in-autos-leads-surprise-decline-in-canadian-
manufacturing?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR0h1-FUqH9t7ArreYiTVxFIl1e72lut4mUIJ4czm6kNtou57-
_JZzCH0as#Echobox=1560880341
• Trump gets it about the economy unlike Trudeau who thinks the private sector is his own instant teller machine. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/manufacturing-
employment-in-the-us-is-at-the-same-level-of-69-years-ago-2019-01-04?mod=mw_share_facebook&fbclid=IwAR2SQq6EWaK-
OxnNXJdcJ_VSgFVwqu5WCY9SxhC_wj6c26U15LRRgvScTAM
• https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-manufacturing-canada-april-2019
• Canada has become less competitive due to excessive regulations and taxes
• Hydro rates are a big issue
• Zero emissions have a carbon footprint
• 20% of the power generation in Canada is from non-clean sources - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-power-geneation-canada-march-2019
• Near Shoring - https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__app.link.pentonmanufacturing.com_e_er-3Fs-3D893956921-26lid-3D264282-26elqTrackId-
3D9737e8674da84df0a0c7ecd0ffc8e57d-26elq-3De623d9fb8e12407284ecfffe0ef3f967-26elqaid-3D35869-26elqat-3D1-26utm-5Frid-3DCPG03000003273915-26utm-
5Fcampaign-3D35869-26utm-5Fmedium-3Demail-26elq2-3De623d9fb8e12407284ecfffe0ef3f967-26oly-5Fenc-5Fid-3D&d=DwMCaQ&c=jf_iaSHvJObTbx-siA1ZOg&r=-
jdq6iV4dQJQo01vxt-OMsPRLAz4KWhUHwAxRjDtksM&m=94zypWvlHILTKxiV8zG9rHQvRTcAUUoqkZvxV17REKo&s=Qp-
PJklo8euzuP_wsWKVuH_0mgycxc4hiXTUEicvkHI&e=
• USA MFG - https://www.industryweek.com/economy/manufacturing-s-potentially-ominous-future?NL=IW-07&Issue=IW-07_20190715_IW-
07_503&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_1_b&utm_rid=CPG03000003273915&utm_campaign=35967&utm_medium=email&elq2=0ade1006ff574a94894fa8c335535fc7&
oly_enc_id=
• Smarter Manufacturing - https://www.industryweek.com/operations/smart-manufacturing-institute-announces-new-project?NL=IW-07&Issue=IW-07_20190722_IW-
07_929&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_2_b&utm_rid=CPG03000001519274&utm_campaign=36103&utm_medium=email&elq2=16a2b29bf2ff4ca4906fafd2dcd88085&o
ly_enc_id=
• USA https://www.industryweek.com/industryweek-us-500/iw-us-500-tariffs-make-their-mark?NL=IW-07&Issue=IW-07_20190813_IW-
07_862&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_2_b&utm_rid=CPG03000001519274&utm_campaign=36550&utm_medium=email&elq2=2c5f775a977246a49e9fc329d398ac86&
oly_enc_id=
20
Blog – August 2019 - Manufacturing
20
Contoso
S u i t e s
Solutions
• Canada’s manufacturing is at a crossroads as such
needs to have a new strategy. The Liberals decision
to impose carbon tax, more regulations (C69), failure
to make critical investments in export related
infrastructure, small business tax changes, etc. have
made Canada less competitive
• Canada needs an integrated strategy that involves all
level of government, education and private sector as
part re-visiting incubation centers. Government role
is not to pick winners and losers but to support
policies that will allow equal access to every
business.
• Provinces need a partner in Ottawa that is not about
more tax and excessive regulations (C69)
• Provinces need to get their policies in check
including hydro rates, taxation and labor reforms
21

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2019 Election| Manufacturing| Canada | June 2019

  • 1. Manufacturing Sector – Canada – June 2019 Paul Young CPA, CGA August 20, 2019.
  • 2. Contoso S u i t e s Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Financial Solutions • SME – Business Process Changes • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Supply Chain Management • Academia – Advance Accounting, Public Finance and Advanced Management Systems Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
  • 3. Contoso S u i t e s Agenda • PMI Index – USA and Canada • EPIC failures with Manufacturing • Manufacturing by key Sector • Manufacturing by Province • Competitiveness • Automotive • Class 8 Truck • AG Equipment • Housing • Steel Production • Unifor • Taxation vs Subsidy blog • Blog – Near Shoring • Manufacturing Blog • Solutions
  • 4. Contoso S u i t e s 4 Introduction 4
  • 5. Contoso S u i t e s Source - https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/business-confidence or https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/manufacturing-pmi 5 PMI Index USA PMI Index Canada PMI Index
  • 6. Contoso S u i t e s Source - https://qz.com/1269172/the-epic-mistake-about-manufacturing-thats-cost-americans-millions-of-jobs/ 6 Epic mistake by Manufacturing • Unions fought automation as it meant less union jobs • Robotics have played key role with manufacturing • More and more manufacturers are moving to 3-D Printing. Market size potential is $33B - https://www.prnewswire.com/news- releases/world-3d-printing-in-digital- manufacturing-market-outlook-2018-2023--- 3d-printing-is-one-of-the-cornerstones-of- industry-4-0-and-will-facilitate-evolution-of- supplydemand-economics-300715302.html • AI continues to help streamline manufacturing processes - https://supplychainbeyond.com/7- ways-ai-and-automation-are-driving-the-future- of-manufacturing/ 6
  • 7. Contoso S u i t e s Manufacturing Sales by Sector Source – Stats Canada - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190820/t002a-eng.htm 7
  • 8. Contoso S u i t e s Source – BMO, RBC, Stats Canada, Scotiabank 8 Housing - Construction 8
  • 9. Contoso S u i t e s Manufacturing Sales by Province Source – Stats Canada - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190820/t002a-eng.htm 9
  • 10. Contoso S u i t e s Source - http://cme-mec.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Doc_Industrie-2030_Manufacturing-a-Competitive-Business- Environment-in-Canada.pdf 10 Competitiveness I have been saying the following for since Liberals took office in 2015 • Low taxes free up money to reinvest in new capital and advanced technologies • A strategic taxation policy can reward companies for growing • An easy-to-navigate regulatory environment reduces the cost of doing business in Canada and makes domestic companies more competitive Strategic government spending on economic and trade-related infrastructure improves productivity and Canada’s ability to compete in foreign markets Note: Many thanks to Deloitte for providing a similar view to mine in terms of solutions. 10
  • 11. Contoso S u i t e s Source - https://www.spencerfernando.com/2018/11/15/dias-bias-union-representing-thousands-of-canadian-journalists- calls-themselves-resistance-against-scheer/ 11 Unifor / Jerry Dias • Dias never speaks out against bad policies like high hydro rates, carbon taxation, excessive regulations, etc. • Unifor is defending media which is only a small percentage of his base https://www.unifor.org/en/unifor-numbers- across-canada • Unifor is not looking out for its members. Unifor almost cost CAMI their jobs - https://business.financialpost.com/transportation/autos/g m-strike • Unions have a place but Dias approach is always confrontation. • Harper had a bill that shut down by the liberals that would have provided oversight - https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2012/12/12/prime _minister_stephen_harpers_government_passes_bill_forci ng_unions_to_open_their_books.html • Unions spend part of the dues on election campaigns - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/union-backed- group-fights-ontario-rules-on-election-advertising- 1.4501104 Dias says little on other sectors which account for 95% of the jobs right? 11
  • 12. Contoso S u i t e s Automotive Sector Source - http://www.gbm.scotiabank.com/scpt/gbm/scotiaeconomics63/autoflash.pdf 12
  • 13. Contoso S u i t e s 13 Class 8 Truck Production Key Changes • Driverless Trucks - https://singularityhub.com/2018/10/11/no-safety-driver-here-volvos-new- driverless-truck-cuts-the-cab/ • Electrical Vehicle - https://electrek.co/2018/05/02/peterbilt-truck-maker-all-electric-class-8-tesla- semi/ • Uber and Transportation - https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/15/convoy-flexport-automating-the- shipping-industry.html • Plug-in station - https://www.plugshare.com/location/15209 • Technology Changes – IoT- https://www.logisticsbureau.com/6-key-supply-chain-and-logistics-trends- to-watch-in-2017/ 13
  • 14. Contoso S u i t e s Steel Production • Steel production continues to face challenges - https://www.financialexpress.com/market/commodities/steel- industry-looking-at-brighter-prospects-in-2018/1035442/ • Steel producers are concerns with tariffs - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/steel-tariff-zekelman-freeland- 1.4869440?fbclid=IwAR29Hosw-7ZZGSPihTnTdPt4xp1mOblaSfkCx- CFYi5-axDFHqwbtLw2AXg 14
  • 15. Contoso S u i t e s Source – association of equipment manufacturers 15 Agriculture Equipment - Trends 15
  • 16. Contoso S u i t e s • Exports / Canola • • https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/canola-china-export-1.5043182 • • @jimcarr_wpg are you going to act on Canola or not? https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/canola-china-export-1.5043182 @PierrePoilievre @MichelleRempel I have never see a govt that sits on their hands when things are imploding! @emilia_suze 16 Canola and China 16
  • 17. Contoso S u i t e s Source – KPMG 17 2019 Manufacturing Outlook 17
  • 18. Contoso S u i t e s • Douglas Gray No it does not! Oil pays their taxes and gets their tax deduction. Clean Tech gets R&D and/other deductions like Oil and Gas. Clean Tech loses money which means they do not pay corporate taxation as there is no taxable income. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-corporate-and-business-taxation-flows-to-government • The liberals are handling grant money out to clean tech via SDTC - https://www.sdtc.ca/en/ • My advice to you is stop taking comments from people that have never done a corporate tax return in their life. 18 Blog – Taxation vs Subsidy 18
  • 19. Contoso S u i t e s • https://www.mhlnews.com/global-supply-chain/75-companies-missing-growth-opportunities-supply-chain?NL=IW- 09&Issue=IW-09_20190715_IW- 09_348&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_1&utm_rid=CPG03000003273915&utm_campaign=35965&utm_medium=email&el q2=076b32e2b6b14736b7ae302421a5ea3f&oly_enc_id= - Based on a survey of 1,350 business executives, the report "From Inventory to Influence: The Mover Becomes the Shaker" reveals that more than three-quarters (78%) of executives and their companies — named the “Laggards”— are missing opportunities to leverage the power of the supply chain as a driver of revenue growth. • https://www.atkearney.com/operations-performance-transformation/us-reshoring-index • I am all for supporting merchandise trade, but trade must be fair. The problem is the WTO needs to be reformed to ensure emerging markets follow rules. • WTO Reforms - https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/G-20-summit-Osaka/G-20-leaders-agree-to-speed-up-WTO-reforms2. I call the WTO out numerous times - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/world-trade-organisation-wto-and-trade-disputes • Tariffs never work as all they do is make items more expensive. • China has seen deterioration as many countries pushed back at China’s unfair trade policies - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-12/singapore-s-economy-contracts-sharply-as-manufacturing-slumps 19 Blog – Manufacturing – July 2019 19
  • 20. Contoso S u i t e s • https://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/drop-in-autos-leads-surprise-decline-in-canadian- manufacturing?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR0h1-FUqH9t7ArreYiTVxFIl1e72lut4mUIJ4czm6kNtou57- _JZzCH0as#Echobox=1560880341 • Trump gets it about the economy unlike Trudeau who thinks the private sector is his own instant teller machine. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/manufacturing- employment-in-the-us-is-at-the-same-level-of-69-years-ago-2019-01-04?mod=mw_share_facebook&fbclid=IwAR2SQq6EWaK- OxnNXJdcJ_VSgFVwqu5WCY9SxhC_wj6c26U15LRRgvScTAM • https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-manufacturing-canada-april-2019 • Canada has become less competitive due to excessive regulations and taxes • Hydro rates are a big issue • Zero emissions have a carbon footprint • 20% of the power generation in Canada is from non-clean sources - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-power-geneation-canada-march-2019 • Near Shoring - https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__app.link.pentonmanufacturing.com_e_er-3Fs-3D893956921-26lid-3D264282-26elqTrackId- 3D9737e8674da84df0a0c7ecd0ffc8e57d-26elq-3De623d9fb8e12407284ecfffe0ef3f967-26elqaid-3D35869-26elqat-3D1-26utm-5Frid-3DCPG03000003273915-26utm- 5Fcampaign-3D35869-26utm-5Fmedium-3Demail-26elq2-3De623d9fb8e12407284ecfffe0ef3f967-26oly-5Fenc-5Fid-3D&d=DwMCaQ&c=jf_iaSHvJObTbx-siA1ZOg&r=- jdq6iV4dQJQo01vxt-OMsPRLAz4KWhUHwAxRjDtksM&m=94zypWvlHILTKxiV8zG9rHQvRTcAUUoqkZvxV17REKo&s=Qp- PJklo8euzuP_wsWKVuH_0mgycxc4hiXTUEicvkHI&e= • USA MFG - https://www.industryweek.com/economy/manufacturing-s-potentially-ominous-future?NL=IW-07&Issue=IW-07_20190715_IW- 07_503&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_1_b&utm_rid=CPG03000003273915&utm_campaign=35967&utm_medium=email&elq2=0ade1006ff574a94894fa8c335535fc7& oly_enc_id= • Smarter Manufacturing - https://www.industryweek.com/operations/smart-manufacturing-institute-announces-new-project?NL=IW-07&Issue=IW-07_20190722_IW- 07_929&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_2_b&utm_rid=CPG03000001519274&utm_campaign=36103&utm_medium=email&elq2=16a2b29bf2ff4ca4906fafd2dcd88085&o ly_enc_id= • USA https://www.industryweek.com/industryweek-us-500/iw-us-500-tariffs-make-their-mark?NL=IW-07&Issue=IW-07_20190813_IW- 07_862&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_2_b&utm_rid=CPG03000001519274&utm_campaign=36550&utm_medium=email&elq2=2c5f775a977246a49e9fc329d398ac86& oly_enc_id= 20 Blog – August 2019 - Manufacturing 20
  • 21. Contoso S u i t e s Solutions • Canada’s manufacturing is at a crossroads as such needs to have a new strategy. The Liberals decision to impose carbon tax, more regulations (C69), failure to make critical investments in export related infrastructure, small business tax changes, etc. have made Canada less competitive • Canada needs an integrated strategy that involves all level of government, education and private sector as part re-visiting incubation centers. Government role is not to pick winners and losers but to support policies that will allow equal access to every business. • Provinces need a partner in Ottawa that is not about more tax and excessive regulations (C69) • Provinces need to get their policies in check including hydro rates, taxation and labor reforms 21