Blog – Stock Market Analysis for the week-ending April 7, 2023
Summary:
Dow Jones futures will reopen Sunday evening. Futures rose slightly Friday while Treasury yields jumped after the March jobs report showed slowing hiring and wage growth but also declining unemployment. Meanwhile, Tesla (TSLA) cut U.S. prices on all its electric vehicles.
U.S. stock markets were closed Friday. The major indexes held up well in a holiday-shortened trading week, with midweek pullbacks looking healthy and normal. But many sectors and leading stocks sold off hard, including Tesla stock.
Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL) broke out Thursday. China e-commerce giant Alibaba (BABA) flashed an aggressive entry.
The video embedded in this article discusses the weekly market action and analyzed Google, BABA stock and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG).
Jobs Report
The Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by 236,000, just below estimates for 240,000. That's down from February's revised 326,000.
Private payrolls rose just 189,000, well below views for 223,000. Manufacturing jobs unexpectedly dipped 1,000.
The jobless rate also surprised, dipping to 3.5%, back to long-term lows. However, the labor force participation rate climbed to a post-Covid high 62.6%.
Hourly earnings rose 0.3% vs. February, in line. The annual gain cooled to 4.2%, below views for 4.3% and the lowest in years. The three-month annualized wage gain slowed to 3.2%.
The average workweek unexpectedly shortened, to 34.4 hours.
Despite the slower wage gains and private hiring, the odds of a Fed rate hike in May jumped to 67% Thursday from 49% on Wednesday.
Source - https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-futures-jobs-report-tesla-cuts-u-s-ev-prices-again/
Additional sources:
Lithium - https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/ev-investing-april2023 or https://www.motorbiscuit.com/not-so-green-the-rivian-hogs-enough-lithium-to-build-20-phevs/
Manufacturing - https://www.thehindu.com/business/Industry/manufacturing-pmi-at-three-month-high-in-march-sp-global-pmi/article66693993.ece
LNG outlook - https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/natural-gas-forecast-us-lng-exports-rise-as-gas-flows-to-export-plants-increase-1328042
Oil Production - https://oilmanmagazine.com/opec-announces-production-cuts-sending-oil-price-upward/
Food Prices - https://www.euronews.com/2023/04/07/global-food-prices-drop-by-a-fifth-but-still-remain-too-high
Housing market - https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2023/04/07/eceh-a07.html or https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/the-worlds-largest-3d-printed-neighbourhood-launches-in-texas/ss-AA19BW4j#image=6 or https://www.newsweek.com/big-short-investor-warns-new-disaster-housing-market-1793235
Global debt - https://speculatorsanonymous.com/articles/wall-of-corporate-debt-maturing/
Agriculture - https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/AG/news/business-inputs/article/2023/04/06/can-farmers-feed-world-2050
What is up with the Stock Market for WE - April 8 2023.pptx
1. WHAT IS UP
WITH THE
STOCK MARKET
Presenter Name:
Paul Young CPA
CGA
Date: April 8, 2023
2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
Contact information email: paul.young_cga@outlook.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
CPA, CGA
(1996)
Academia (PF1,
FA4, FN2, MU1.
and MS2)
SME –
Customer
Success
Management
SME – Risk
Management
SME – Close,
Consolidate and
Reporting
SME – Public
Policy
SME –
Emerging
Technology
SME – Business
Process Change
SME – Financial
Solutions
SME –
Macro/Micro
Indicators
SME – Supply
Chain
Management
SME – Data, AI,
Security, and
Platform
SME – Internal
Controls and
Auditing
SME –
Sustainability
and ESG
Reporting
3. AGENDA
• Commodities (Key)
• TSX – Canada
• United States Market
• Audit
• Corporate Reporting
• Automation
• Threats of geopolitical risks and events
• Canada and USA scorecards
• New Zealand and Australia
• Asia
• Middle East and Africa
• South America
• Key Blogs
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 3
11. AUDIT
Blog – A new eye on audit quality using Data and AI - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-new-eye-
audit-quality-using-data-ai-paul-young/?published=t
2/11/20XX 11
12. CORPORATE REPORTING CHALLENGES
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 12
Here is my work on close, consolidate, and reporting -
https://ibm.box.com/s/i7efp948qvb5l8bt96y8sigsup8yes2u
Here is my work on ESG - https://ibm.box.com/s/vmyitcackqevvm1hcxv7wke6gudrpnce
13. CRISIS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 13
How Data and AI can help better safeguard assets through better
Emergency and Crisis Management Planning and Reporting
Emergency and Crisis Management planning and reporting are
growing important as both public and private sectors look at
better ways to safeguard their assets. This presentation discusses
how organizations can embrace Industry 4.0, monitoring, Data,
and AI as part of defining their policies and procedures when it
comes to business continuity and disaster planning and
reporting.
My video - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyMy6Fnsbcw
My presentation:
https://ibm.box.com/s/oi8wxfsbwea7xfiiy076ki7qrafirobr
14. AUTOMATION /
BUSINESSES
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 14
Here is my latest look at automation including the use of robots and Robotic Process Automation
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/automation-robots-and-machine-learning
Blog – How to ensure structural integrity of buildings using better risk management -
https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0
Blog - Cobots lead the future of the global industrial robotics market - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-cobots-
lead-future-global-industrial-robotics-market-young/?published=t
Blog - Almost all workers will be required to learn new digital skills in the next decade -
By the time we hit 2030, almost all workers in the UK (90 percent) will be required to learn new digital skills to do their
jobs, a new report from CRM provider Salesforce and analyst firm IDC argues.
Blog – How to Reform STEM – Education and Training - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/how-reform-stem-education-
training-paul-young/?published=t
How to improve job quality - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-best-to-improve-job-quality-for-canadians
15. ESG REPORTING
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 15
Blog - Materiality Question Dogs SEC’s ESG Disclosure Project -
“When it comes to disclosure, investors have told us what they want,” Gensler tweeted in early August. “It’s now time for the
commission to take the baton.”
However, it would be practically impossible for the SEC to require all the above-listed information in one expansive rule. In
addition, though it might please climate change activists, it would alienate issuers and bring heaps of scorn from the business
lobby. More importantly, though, it could violate a bedrock principle of SEC disclosure mandates: materiality.
Disclosures are material when they are reasonably likely to impact a company’s financial condition or operating performance.
Therefore, they are the most important to investors, to use the definition of the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board.
https://www.cfo.com/regulation/2021/08/materiality-question-dogs-secs-esg-disclosure-project/
Here is my work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/introductory-to-esg-and-sustainability-reportingpptx
16. ESG REPORTING
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 16
Blog – Sustainability and ESG Reporting – How best to Manage the Supply Chain to Achieve Net Zero - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-
055632b_4-steps-supply-chain-leaders-can-take-now-activity-7038135133589176320-_CHz?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
Supply chain is critical aspect of day to day lives. The supply chain itself has many variables as part of taking the goods out of the ground and then getting
the finished product to market.
Here are key challenges that is facing the supply chain management as part of moving to net zero
1.Map your supply chain
2.Identified strategic suppliers
3.Build collaboration between suppliers and business partners partners
4.Align KPIS to a sustainability set
https://www.gep.com/blog/strategy/net-zero-emissions-supply-chain-sustainability
https://www.edie.net/nine-top-tips-for-making-your-supply-chains-more-sustainable-and-resilient/
Additional Links:
Blog - Sustainability and ESG Reporting - Developing key Policies related to Waste and Pollution - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-
055632b_waste-management-critical-for-businesses-activity-7038127159349039104-
66VS?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
17. ESG
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 17
Blog – Sustainability and ESG Reporting – How best to be a leader in Resource Stewardship -
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_resource-stewardship-activity-7038124098052382720-
JjNS?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
Biodiversity - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_what-is-biodiversity-and-how-does-it-
affect-activity-7038115093066223617-CUHj?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
GRI
https://w ww.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_data-collection-for-gri-biodiversity-standard-activity-
7037785203137789952-4gxk?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
Data Management - https://ibm.box.com/s/9ywac1v9au8txdb5u95ey51qcfsz5jwf
ESG and Sustainability Reporting - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_survey-details-data-
officers-priorities-activity-7035607408462749696-_bXQ?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
Supply chain - https://ibm.box.com/s/0lwsz1703mzbdnk2yu0lbs3lxvfbbhuj
18. 4/8/2023 18
I have done work on risk and compliance including discussing regulatory challenges like sustainability -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/strengthen-internal-controls-and-compliance-through-data-and-ai-as-part-
of-the-regulatory-and-corporate-reporting-cyclepptx
19. GEOPOLITICAL RISKS
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 19
Blog – How best to manage Geopolitical Events as part of Safeguarding Assets.
Geopolitical risks are nothing new for the public and private sectors as geopolitical risks have been around for
decades. AI and Data can be used as part of mitigating geopolitical risks for both the public and private sectors.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-mitigate-geopolitical-risks-as-part-of-safeguarding-your-assets
1. Troop withdrawal from Afghanistan
2. Water shortages
3. Political stability
4. Rise of Cybersecurity attacks
5. Mitigating against future pandemics
6. Rise of inflation
7. Supply chain disruption
8. Iran elections
9. Adjusting to the new normal
10.Ukraine invasion by Russia
11.Development of natural resources in a sustainable way
20. WORKING WITH WEATHER SERVICES AND
ANALYTICS
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 20
Blog – Weather Services and Analytics integration with Data and AI
The role of weather data will continue to play a key role with private and public sector forecasting, budgeting, and
reporting cycles. This link discusses weather analytics and services as part of integrating those areas with Data and
AI as part of better managing climate change-related issues.
https://ibm.box.com/s/p9yzecfcp956l2d7jh25uflo3q8uof6j
21. SCORECARDS – CANADA AND UNITED
STATES
Here is my latest work - Blog – Canada – Economic and Fiscal Scorecard –
- High inflation here to stay for a while.
- High cost of housing (lack of affordable options.
- Issues with getting goods out of the ground to market.
- Risk of a brain drain.
- Inability of all levels of government to build a resilient supply chain
- Government stability
- Trade protectionism / trade wars
- Labor shortages
Additional Links:
Canada - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/fiscal-and-economic-scorecard-canada-february-2023-and-
january-2023pptx
USA - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/scorecard-key-metrics-the-united-states-january-2023-and-
february-2023pptx
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 21
22. AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 22
The S&P/ASX 200 closed 18 points lower, down -0.25%.
An eight day winning streak comes to an end, defensive sectors like Healthcare, Utilities and Staples manage to close green, Australia's trade surplus
widens as imports tumble, China's services PMI hits a 28 month high and broker takes on the RBA, copper and automotives.
Markets
A little bit of house keeping before we jump into things. The Morning and Evening Wraps will be taking a break over Easter (Friday and next Monday).
Today's Wrap will also not include the usual Latest News and Market Insights segments. Hope you all have a fabulous Easter break. US markets are
closed on Friday but open next Monday so hopefully we don't return to an ugly surprise.
The ASX 200 had its first red day in eight sessions, marking an end to a rather powerful 4.1% post banking crisis rally. In previous wraps, we noted
how the market's started to fell fatigued after such a bounce. The question is, as we pull back - What kind of pullback do we get? Will the market hold
onto the recent gains? Or was this just another bear market bounce?
Defensive sectors were the only green pockets of the market, in-line with the defensive shift on Wall Street and Dow outperformance
Technology stocks led to the downside amid a risk-off mood for markets
We're starting to see a rotation into defensives, an all too familiar narrative from last year, where the blue-chip Dow would drastically outperform the
S&P 500. It's only been one day, but will this theme gather more momentum? Especially in the face of all the gloomy economic data that we've seen in
the past 2-3 days.
Economy
Australia’s trade surplus grew to $13.9bn in February from $11.3bn in the previous month and well-above consensus expectations of $11.1bn. Largest
trade surplus since June 2022
Exports fell 2.9% month-on-month to $57.0bn but imports fell much more, down 9.1% to $43.2bn
24. CHINA GDP
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 24
The Chief Asia-Pacific Economist of S&P Global Ratings says the agency has adjusted its forecast for the
China's GDP growth this year from 4-point-8 percent to 5-point-5 percent. He told CGTN reporter Yang
Shanshan the move comes amid a recovery led by consumption and services.
YANG SHANSHAN, Beijing "Why do you decide to adjust China's GDP growth forecast to 5.5% this year?"
LOUIS KUIJS, Asia Pacific Chief Economist, S&P Global Ratings "So last time we did our forecast was last
November of 2022. At that time, we didn't know what the government would do with the COVID policy and how
the reopening would look like. So now, we have more information with that, it looks like from the data we have
seen the first part of this year, that this is a pretty decent recovery. You know it's still early, we felt that on the
whole, we want to raise our forecast a bit, reflecting that data from the first part of this year and what we expect
to see in terms of consumption and the other part of the economy."
29. SOUTH AMERICA
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 29
Latin America’s economies held up well last year despite the shocks from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
and global interest rate hikes. In 2022, the region’s economy expanded by nearly 4 percent,
employment recovered strongly, and the service sector rebounded from the damage caused by the
pandemic.
Inflationary pressures are receding in many countries due to the early and determined efforts of central
banks as well as lower global prices of food and energy. However, core inflation (that is, excluding food
and energy), remains high at around 8 percent in Brazil, Mexico, and Chile (and somewhat higher in
Colombia but lower in Peru).
30. 1. Blog - Data Breaches Cost Companies $4.24M Per Incident On Average https://www.cfo.com/cyber-security-technology/2021/07/data-breaches-cost-companies-4-24m-per-incident-on-
average/ I have done many blogs on data privacy, protection, security, and data governance: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_what-is-data-fabric-activity-
6826126720932941824-08Zb
2. SEC may require climate risk disclosures in expanded 10-Ks: Gensler -
https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:ugcPost:6826481598666567681?updateEntityUrn=urn%3Ali%3Afs_feedUpdate%3A%28*%2Curn%3Ali%3AugcPost%3A682648159866656
7681%29
3. Blog – What is new for regulatory reporting and the accounting standards - https://ibm.box.com/s/x973uioy6ozwkzw7yvqaa07wdldp8gld
4. Blog – Insurance and Climate Change - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_how-do-you-insure-yourself-against-climate-activity-6823919255478792192-Zq7f
5. Blog - Top 8 Supply Chain Technology Trends for 2021 - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_top-8-supply-chain-technology-trends-for-activity-
6826091811476516864-dvAx
1. Hyperautomation
2. Digital Supply Chain Twin (DSCT)
3. Immersive Experience and Applications
4. Edge Ecosystems
5. Supply Chain Security
6. Environmental Social Governance (ESG)
7. Embedded AI and Analytics
8. Augmented Data Intelligence
6. Blog - Cyber Attackers Could Weaponize Operational Tech to Harm Humans - Companies can reduce risk by implementing a security control framework.
https://www.mhlnews.com/global-supply-chain/article/21170603/cyber-attackers-could-weaponize-operational-tech-to-harm-
humans?utm_source=IY+IW+QM+News&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=CPS210723103&o_eid=7930I4506489J2B&rdx.ident=%5Bobject+Object%5D&oly_enc_id=7930I45064
89J2B
1. Blog - Improving cybersecurity means understanding how cyberattacks affect both governments and civilians - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-improving-cybersecurity-
means-understanding-how-paul-young/?published=t
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 30
31. SUMMARY
• Summary
• Concerns over housing debt and affordable
housing are driving down markets
• Access to critical metals has become a
growing concerns for countries trying to shift to
cleaner economic policies
• Lack of focus on systemic issues with inflation
• Supply chain disruptions continue to plague
global supply chains
• High inflation is challenge for global central
banks
• Threat of recession continues to rise each
week
• Bear market could lead to issues with pension
solvency
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 31
Blog – Stock Market Analysis for the week-ending April 7, 2023
Summary:
Dow Jones futures will reopen Sunday evening. Futures rose slightly Friday while T
reasury yields jumped
after the March jobs report showed slowing hiring and wage growth but also declining unemployment.
Meanwhile, T
esla (TSLA) cut U.S. prices on all its electric vehicles.
U.S. stock markets were closed Friday
. The major indexes held up well in a holiday-shortened trading
week, with midweek pullbacks looking healthy and normal. But many sectors and leading stocks sold off
hard, including T
esla stock.
Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL) broke out Thursday
. China e-commerce giant Alibaba (BABA) flashed
an aggressive entry
.
The video embedded in this art
i cle discusses the weekly market act
i on and analyzed Google, BABA stock
and Intuit
i ve Surgical (ISRG).
Jobs Report
The Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by 236,000, just below est
i mates for
240,000. That's down from February's revised 326,000.
Private payrolls rose just 189,000, well below views for 223,000. Manufacturing jobs unexpectedly
dipped 1,000.
The jobless rate also surprised, dipping to 3.5%, back to long-term lows. However
, the labor force
part
i cipat
i on rate climbed to a post-Covid high 62.6%.
Hourly earnings rose 0.3% vs. February
, in line. The annual gain cooled to 4.2%, below views for 4.3%
and the lowest in years. The three-month annualized wage gain slowed to 3.2%.
The average workweek unexpectedly shortened, to 34.4 hours.
Despite the slower wage gains and private hiring, the odds of a Fed rate hike in May jumped to 67%
Thursday from 49% on Wednesday
.
Source - https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com or https://publicsectornetwork.co/insight/5-ways-to-reimagine-procurement-in-the-new-normal/ or https://www.foreignbrief.com/