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Silicon Valley
Startups, VCs and venture spirit




                     Allan Martinson
                       MTVP & Kurat.com
My startup (and not so startup) life




                              Baltic
Beginners guide to                                            Known locations of

          Silicon Valley
                                                    S.F.
                                            Restaurants, gigs,
                                          gays, liberals and the
                                                                       #estonianmafia
                                            hippiest startups
                         SFO
                       The gates                                   S.J.
                                                            Please wake me up
                                   Palo Alto                when I’m finished
                                   „The Capital“
    Sand Hill Rd
   Money lives here
                                                             No evil here. Seriously

                                                           Stanford Uni.
                                                            „The brains“

                                                                   Apples here
After $100m exit you
    will live here                                 The Zuck Country
Valley of Death



Forget Silicon Valley.
 Lets start from
Death Valley
A startup is a human institution
designed to deliver a new product or
service under conditions of extreme
             uncertainty


                Eric Ries
                Founder, the Lean Startup Methodology
                Theleanstartup.com
The Art of the Start
 Six lessons for your stupid little startup
How does a startup start?
Lesson 1: It’s all about people
It does not start from a business idea

It starts from                Skeptic   2 founder rule
    people       Leader




   Incubation
   takes years
                                        Multi-skilled
                          Team &          talents
                           Values
Lesson 2: The birth of an idea
This does not happen
Three origins of great startups
• Copycats: Copy existing business
  model to new markets

• Evolutionary: Seek better solution
  to existing problems

• Revolutionary: Seek unknown
  solution to unknown problems

  The best ideas come on cross-roads
       of trends and disciplines
The What

    • The 30-seconds pitch:
      tell your granny
       – Who is your customer
       – What does your
         company do for this
         customer
       – Why are you better than
         competition
    • Do you pass the “Google
      test”?
Lesson 3: The art of pivot
Pivot, explained




„I am not leaving you… I am pivoting to another man“
The life of any startup can
be divided into two parts –
before product/market fit
and after product/market fit


                 Marc Andreessen
                 Founder, Netscape
                 Partner, Andreessen Horowitz
Why pivot?

    Not a single great company
    follows its original business
                 idea


  Failure is not a problem

     Slow failure is a
         problem
The importance of milestones
• MVP (Minimum Viable Product): 48 hrs – 3
  months
• Initial customer validation: 1 week – 6 months
• One million something (users, $$$, etc): 1-2
  years

• You shall pivot if:
   – Your solution seeks a problem, not vice versa
   – Nobody wants to use your product – even you
   – You have ceased to believe into your company for >1
     month
Lesson 4: The Need For Speed
Why speed?
    • Startups, by very
      definition, are
      probabilistic

    • Success seems
      intentional only in
      retrospective –
      impossible to compute
In unpredictable environments
        speed and focus
are the best boosters of success rate

   And hunger is the best factor
        contributing to it
The ultimate example of being focused
    “I was too busy, I didn’t do
    things like that… I just didn’t go
    and meet new people who
    were involved in investments.”


                     Bill Gates
                     Founder, Microsoft
                     on refusing to meet Warren Buffet
Lesson 5: Importance of right signals
Silicon Valley is a
mental state
Being Estonian is
 a full-time job
Lesson 6: Where to find smart investors
Raising venture capital is the
art of younger men seducing
older men
               - Anonymous
Typical lifecycle of a high-tech company



+


0



-
                                 18-24 mo
                       9-18 mo




                                                    2-3 Y




                                                            3-7 Y
    2          10        50                   200                   500   employees

    FFF             A-round         B-round                          IPO or
    $10-500K        $1-10m          $5-50m                           exit
Typical life cycle in figures
Year                                1           2            3           4             5             6
Phase                             Startup        Early growth                 Growth                Exit
Revenues ($m)                             0          1           4            10             20            30
Growth %                                                     300%        150%          100%           50%
Investment phase                  Angel       A-round                 B-round

Pre-money / exit valuation ($m)         0,5          3                        40                   150
Investment ($m)                         0,4         2,5                       25
Post-money valuation ($m)               0,9         5,5                       65                         150
Post-money ownership of
    founders                         56%         30%                         19%                      19%
Value of founders’ stake ($m)           0,5         1,7                      12,1                     28,0


IRR to angel investors              124%                  Money-back, angel            56         times
IRR to A-round investors            102%                  Money-back, A-round          17         times
IRR to B-round investors             52%                  Money-back, B-round          2,3        times
What shall you know about VCs
• Venture capital (LPs) and venture capitalists
  (GPs) are not the same
• VCs are in the business of saying NO and then
  making money
• You can divorce your wife but you cannot
  divorce a VC
• You shall like, but not love each other
• If in doubt, pick the smartest
Thank you!

 allan.martinson@mtvp.ee
allan.martinson@kurat.com

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Silicon Valley, Startups and Entreprenurs

  • 1. Silicon Valley Startups, VCs and venture spirit Allan Martinson MTVP & Kurat.com
  • 2. My startup (and not so startup) life Baltic
  • 3. Beginners guide to Known locations of Silicon Valley S.F. Restaurants, gigs, gays, liberals and the #estonianmafia hippiest startups SFO The gates S.J. Please wake me up Palo Alto when I’m finished „The Capital“ Sand Hill Rd Money lives here No evil here. Seriously Stanford Uni. „The brains“ Apples here After $100m exit you will live here The Zuck Country
  • 4. Valley of Death Forget Silicon Valley. Lets start from Death Valley
  • 5. A startup is a human institution designed to deliver a new product or service under conditions of extreme uncertainty Eric Ries Founder, the Lean Startup Methodology Theleanstartup.com
  • 6. The Art of the Start Six lessons for your stupid little startup
  • 7. How does a startup start?
  • 8. Lesson 1: It’s all about people
  • 9. It does not start from a business idea It starts from Skeptic 2 founder rule people Leader Incubation takes years Multi-skilled Team & talents Values
  • 10. Lesson 2: The birth of an idea
  • 11. This does not happen
  • 12. Three origins of great startups • Copycats: Copy existing business model to new markets • Evolutionary: Seek better solution to existing problems • Revolutionary: Seek unknown solution to unknown problems The best ideas come on cross-roads of trends and disciplines
  • 13. The What • The 30-seconds pitch: tell your granny – Who is your customer – What does your company do for this customer – Why are you better than competition • Do you pass the “Google test”?
  • 14. Lesson 3: The art of pivot
  • 15. Pivot, explained „I am not leaving you… I am pivoting to another man“
  • 16. The life of any startup can be divided into two parts – before product/market fit and after product/market fit Marc Andreessen Founder, Netscape Partner, Andreessen Horowitz
  • 17. Why pivot? Not a single great company follows its original business idea Failure is not a problem Slow failure is a problem
  • 18. The importance of milestones • MVP (Minimum Viable Product): 48 hrs – 3 months • Initial customer validation: 1 week – 6 months • One million something (users, $$$, etc): 1-2 years • You shall pivot if: – Your solution seeks a problem, not vice versa – Nobody wants to use your product – even you – You have ceased to believe into your company for >1 month
  • 19. Lesson 4: The Need For Speed
  • 20. Why speed? • Startups, by very definition, are probabilistic • Success seems intentional only in retrospective – impossible to compute
  • 21. In unpredictable environments speed and focus are the best boosters of success rate And hunger is the best factor contributing to it
  • 22. The ultimate example of being focused “I was too busy, I didn’t do things like that… I just didn’t go and meet new people who were involved in investments.” Bill Gates Founder, Microsoft on refusing to meet Warren Buffet
  • 23. Lesson 5: Importance of right signals
  • 24. Silicon Valley is a mental state
  • 25. Being Estonian is a full-time job
  • 26. Lesson 6: Where to find smart investors
  • 27. Raising venture capital is the art of younger men seducing older men - Anonymous
  • 28. Typical lifecycle of a high-tech company + 0 - 18-24 mo 9-18 mo 2-3 Y 3-7 Y 2 10 50 200 500 employees FFF A-round B-round IPO or $10-500K $1-10m $5-50m exit
  • 29. Typical life cycle in figures Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 Phase Startup Early growth Growth Exit Revenues ($m) 0 1 4 10 20 30 Growth % 300% 150% 100% 50% Investment phase Angel A-round B-round Pre-money / exit valuation ($m) 0,5 3 40 150 Investment ($m) 0,4 2,5 25 Post-money valuation ($m) 0,9 5,5 65 150 Post-money ownership of founders 56% 30% 19% 19% Value of founders’ stake ($m) 0,5 1,7 12,1 28,0 IRR to angel investors 124% Money-back, angel 56 times IRR to A-round investors 102% Money-back, A-round 17 times IRR to B-round investors 52% Money-back, B-round 2,3 times
  • 30. What shall you know about VCs • Venture capital (LPs) and venture capitalists (GPs) are not the same • VCs are in the business of saying NO and then making money • You can divorce your wife but you cannot divorce a VC • You shall like, but not love each other • If in doubt, pick the smartest

Editor's Notes

  1. Et teiega samast asjast räägiks, siis mis on startup. SurmaorgMiljon midagi