1. Pak economy
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2. Source; economic
survey (2007-08) & SBP
second quarterly report
for FY09
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3. SUB SECTORS
AGRICULTURE
INDUSTRY
SERVICES
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4. Importance of agriculture
1. Large share in GDP
2. Employment
3. Provision of raw material
4. Provision of food
5. Live stock
6. Demand generation
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5. Agriculture sector
Agriculture sector consists upon four
sub sectors.
1. Crops
2. Live stock
3. Fishing
4. Forestry
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6. Performance of Agriculture sector
All indications are that agricultural growth will be
reasonably good during FY09, despite 18.5 percent
decline in sugarcane output during kharif FY09.
This assessment is based on an anticipated record
wheat harvest (that would significantly improve the
contribution by major crops), above target
performance of minor crops and a reasonably good
outturn by the livestock sub-sector.
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7. Crops sector
 There are two types of crops.
1. major crops 33.9%
2. Minor crops 11.1%
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8. Performance of cropping sector
 Despite many adversities in FY09, the country has
already recorded its highest-ever rice production and
wheat harvest is also expected to reach a record high.
Both these bumper harvests resulted from increases in
the area under cultivation as well as higher yields
amidst expectations of higher prices. This effect is
most visible in the wheat crop, where the government
announced a 52 percent increase in the support price,
well ahead of the sowing season.
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12. Performance of minor crops
 A shortfall in domestic production relative to
consumption was embedded in FY09 production targets
for most of the minor crops . In addition, substitution of
area under potatoes for wheat and damage to onions was
due to unfavorable weather, and would probably lead to
below target production of these two important
vegetables in current season. However, overall
performance of minor crops is likely to be reasonable
during reasonable during FY09 given substantial
improvements in plantation of oil seeds, mung pulse and
other vegetables and fruits.
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13. Production and consumption of
minor crops
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14. Oil seeds production prospects in
pakistan
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15. Fertilizer off – take(jul-jan)
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16. IRRIGATION WATER AVAILABILITY
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17. Forestry
 Forestry shows negative growth last five years .
 however, only 5.01 percent of total land area is
under forest ranking it under Low Forest Cover
Countries.
 Of this total forest area, commercial
forest is just one-third (32.8%) and the rest
(67.2%) is under protection forests performing soil
conservation, watershed protection and climatic
functions.
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18. Types of forests
 Major forest types existing in Pakistan
are
1. temperate and subtropical conifer forests,
2. scrubforest
3. riverine forests irrigated plantation,
4. Liner plantations (roadside, canal-side)
5. mangrove forests.
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19. The target is to increase forest cover
1.
from 5.01 to 6.0 percent by 2015.
2. During the year 2007-08 forests have
contributed 74 thousand cubic meters of
timber and 20 thousand cubic meters of
firewood as compared to 100 thousand
cubic meters timber and 225thousand
cubic meters firewood in 2006-07.
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20. Continue……
During the tree planting campaign, all the
1.
Government Departments, Private
Organizations, Defence Organizations and
NGOs are involved in planting activities.
During spring and monsoon season year
2.
2007, 95.14 million saplings (spring 61.48 million
and monsoon 33.66 million) were planted.
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21. Live stock
It is important to note that
livestock accounts for 52.2 percent
of agricultural value added,
contributes 11 percent to GDP
 affects the lives of 30 – 35 million
people in rural areas.
.
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22. Live stock Production
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23. Milk and meat production
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24. Fisheries
 The share of fisheries in GDP, though small.
 During the period July-March 2007-08, the total
marine and inland fish production was estimated to
be 640,000 M. tons. Out of which share of marine
fish is 390,000 M. tons and inland contributed is
250,000 M. tons. The production for the year
2006-07 was estimated to be 578,000 M. tons in
which 353,000 M. tons was from marine and the
remaining was 225,000 M. tons was produced by
inland fishery sector.
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25. Main buyers
 Main buyers of fish and fish preparations are
Japan, USA Middle East, SriLanka, and China etc.
 Pakistan earned US$ 188.5
million during July-March (2007-08) and over
100,000 M. tons of fish and fishery products were
exported.
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26. 2. Services
 Sub sectors of service sector.
 Whole sale &retail trade.
 Transport storage & communication .
 Finance & insurance .
 Owner ship of dwellings.
 Public administration & defense.
 Community , social and personal services.
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27. Sectoral share in GDP(%)
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28.  It is evident from half yearly data on
key indicators of the services sector
that though FY09 growth has
decelerated,
Deceleration in services sector is not a
surprise, as seen from the fact that the
6.1 percent FY09 target growth had
been set substantially lower than the
8.2 percent achieved in the previous
year.
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29. Expectations of slow down based
on
Decline in import growth .
1.
Decline in LSM growth,
2.
Lower profitability of commercial banks.
3.
slowdown is more pronounced in
4.
wholesale & retail trade sub-sector during
the first half of FY09.
5. slowdown in credit off-take .
6. decline in FDI.
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30. most indicators suggest that the
transport, storage &
communication sub-sector is
likely to exhibit an improvement
in growth performance during
FY09 relative to FY08 .
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31. THESE EXPECTATION BASED ON
1. sharp decline in oil prices,
2. increased production of light
commercial vehicles (LCVs),
3. increased credit off-take.
4. positive growth in FDI,
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32.  profitability of commercial banks decelerated
during H1-FY09, central bank’s profits (transferred
to government) increased by 52 percent in this
period.
 Despite fiscal consolidation efforts, administrative
& defense related spending during the current fiscal
year
 Similarly, value addition by community & social
services is expected to benefit from increased public
spending towards social safety nets
 Resultantly, this sub-sector is expected to exhibit
strong growth in FY09.
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33. 33

34. Mining and Quarrying
 The government is fully committed to
making the mineral sector in Pakistan one of the most
profitable for the country as during the current fiscal year
the mining and quarrying sector has registered a growth
rate of 5.6 percent as against 4.58 percent last year.
 Development of Thar coalfield, one of the largest
good quality lignite deposits in the world, on completion,
would provide additional source of energy.
Share in GDP is 2.9%
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35. Large-scale manufacturing registered a negative growth of
5.35% in July-January 2008-09 as against reasonable
positive growth of 5.7% in the comparable period of last
year.
The LSM growth is adversely impacted by a sharp
reduction in demand from both domestic and
international factors. There was negative growth all around
in all major groups with one or two exceptions.
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36. 1. Shortage Of Electricity
2. Increase The Prices
3. Depreciation Of Rupees
4. Global Recession
5. Law &Order Situation
6. High Interest Rates
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38.  Economic Establishments: 3.2 million (99%
SMEs)
 Value Addition in Manufacturing: 35%
 Contribution to GDP: 30%
 Share in Manufactured Exports: 25%
 Contribution in Employment: 78% (Non-
Agriculture Sector)
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39. ORGANIZATIONS IPR SERVICES
(Intellectual property right)
 Technical facilitation on patent search
PCSIR and legal advices to ensure best
(Pakistan Council for Scientific and protection
Industrial Research)  Full payment of fee of 200 local applications
filing and 10 foreign applications filing.
awareness in the form of
IP
SMEDA
Workshops and Seminars
(Small & Medium Enterprise
Technical facilitation of patent
Development Authority)
drafting and legal advice on IP
matters
Patent Help Lines
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40. Program for link aging and
Outreach
IPO-Pakistan leveraging internal and external
(Intellectual Property Organization constituencies.
of Pakistan) Patent help-lines for guidance of the
researcher’s community.
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41. Share in gross domestic
product(GDP)
 Small scale enterprises 4.4% of GDP
 Construction 2.7% of GDP
 Electricity$ Gas Distribution 1.7% of GDP
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42. Over view of real sector
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43. Agriculture
Al most 5th part of GDP
21% share in GDP
44% of the labour force is employed
It is expected that agriculture growth will be
reasonably good during Fy 09
Industry
25.9% share in GDP
Share of manufacturing in GDP 18.9%
1.LSM is 13.3% 2. SME is 4.4
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44. Services
53.2% share in GDP
Its growth is declined from 8.2% to 6.1%
It consists of following sub sectors
1. Wholesale & retail trade
2. Transport & communication
3. Finance & insurance
4. Owner ship of dwellings
5. Public administration and defense
6. Other services
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45. As we told you that over all growth of agriculture ,
industry and services is declined due to
many reasons like energy
and water crisis , global recession ,
Depreciation of rupee and high industrial
out put prices etc.
Now it is responsibility of Govt.
to reduce all these factors which has
Bad impact on real sector and the whole economy.
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