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Future Earth in Asia and the Pacific
1. Future Earth in Asia and the Pacific
Nordin Hasan FASc
Director ICSU Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific
5th ICSU Regional Consultation in Asia and the Pacific 26 & 27 November 2013
1
2. Introduction
• ICSU ROAP engagement with Future Earth?
• Main viewpoints?
• What can we gain from it?
2
3. ICSU ROAP engagement with Future Earth
• Participant in the visioning process
• Providing regional input to Transition Team
• Organisers and participants in national,
regional (including sub-regional) and
international workshops on Future Earth
4. ROAP engaged with visioning of Future Earth
2006
2009
Review of GEC
programmes
2011
Visioning
process
2013
Initial design of Future
Earth
Future Earth approved
by the 30th ICSU GA
Interim operating
phase
The Transition Team
delivers its report
4
5. Regional Workshop for Future Earth in Asia and
the Pacific November 2012
51 participants; 21 countries
7. FUTURE EARTH MEETINGS IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC
SINCE KUALA LUMPUR REGIONAL WORKSHOP
1.
International Symposium on Future Asia , RIHN, Kyoto
December 2012
2.
APL - SATREPS Symposium Living in the changing planet:
Future Earth Designed by Simulation, JAMSTEC, Tokyo,
Japan
Brain-storming session on Future Asia; Academia Sinica,
Chinese Taipei.
February 2013
12th Pacific Science Inter-Congress, University of the South
Pacific, Laucala Bay Campus, Suva, Fiji
July 2013
3.
4.
April 2013
5.
MAIRS Future Earth in Asia Strategic Plan Drafting
Workshop The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
August 2013
6.
ISIS-ICSU Roundtable on Future Earth: Pathways to
sustainability. Kuala Lumpur
August 2013
7.
Coordinating Workshop on Future Earth: Developing a
Science Technology and Innovation (STI) Agenda for Sri
Lanka towards Future Earth. Colombo
September 2013
8.
Future Earth in China
September 2013
8. 14 – 15 November
Bidders Conference; Paris
19 – 21 November
Future Earth Science Committee Meeting; Johannesburg
22 – 23 November
Future Earth Alliance Meeting
25 – 26 November
World Science Forum
9 – 12 January 2014
Future Earth in India, Hyderabad (in conjunction with
Golden Jubilee celebrations, IGU)
18 – 19 June 2014
Science Council of Asia-Academy of Sciences Malaysia
International Conference on Future Earth
10. Fundamental questions
• How and why the region is changing
• What are likely future changes
• What are the implications to human development and the
diversity of life on earth (biodiversity and ecosystem services)
• What opportunities are there to reduce risks and
vulnerabilities, enhance resilience, and create
transformations to prosperous and equitable futures
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11. Summary of sustainability challenges in AsiaPacific
• Common issues identified at workshops
– Climate variability and extremes, and related hazards and
disasters from typhoons, floods and landslides etc
– Pressures of urbanization – megacities, health, pollution;
– Values and lifestyles - social pressures, rapid growth
(economic, population, production, consumption, global
connectivity)
– Biodiversity loss and unvalued/undervalued ecosystem
services
– Food, water, energy, land security nexus
– Resilience, vulnerability, productivity of coastal, marine
and terrestrial biomes
12.
13.
14. Super typhoon Haiyan
SUPER TYPHOON HAIYAN
UN estimates:
19 million people affected
1.9million losing homes
15. Summary of sustainability challenges in AsiaPacific
• Common issues identified at workshops
– Climate variability and extremes, and related hazards and
disasters from typhoons, floods and landslides etc
– Pressures of urbanization – megacities, health, pollution;
– Values and lifestyles - social pressures, rapid growth
(economic, population, production, consumption, global
connectivity)
– Biodiversity loss and unvalued/undervalued ecosystem
services
– Food, water, energy, land security nexus
– Resilience, vulnerability, productivity of coastal, marine
and terrestrial biomes
16. Sea-level rise
Fossil-fuel use
Extreme
weather events
Global warming
Typhoons
Floods
Forest clearing
Damage to
industrial
infrastructure
Biodiversity loss
Landslides
Loss of lives and
property
18. Sea-level rise
Extreme
weather events
Global warming
Fossil-fuel
use
Damage to coastal
infrastructure
Typhoons
Floods
Forest clearing
Damage to
industrial
infrastructure
Biodiversity loss
Landslides
Loss of lives
and property
Policy response
Diagram 3 – Feedback added
19. South Pacific sub-region – key issues raised
• Global change impacts, associated risks, adaptation and
community resilience
• Urbanization and associated challenges potentially driven
by environmental refugees
• Integrating indigenous and traditional knowledge and
modern science
• Ecosystem management and biodiversity
• Renewable energy systems
• The need for a “Future Ocean”, reflecting strong emphasis
on the ocean
• USP role in organizing Future Earth
20.
21. The University of the South Pacific
Cook Islands, Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Niue, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tokelau,
Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu
23. Change-action on 3 fronts
• 1st front
– Supplying and equipping research community
with intellectual and material support
• 2nd front
– Building capacity for research integration and codesign
• 3rd front
– Managing change and changing management
(systems and institutions)
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25. Major challenge of the Future Earth “ambition”
• Working with society – i.e. bringing various practitioners,
policy and decision-makers, actors from civil society, and the
private sector in co-design, co-production and co-delivery of
knowledge, policy and practice
– Multiple sources of relevant expertise
– Plurality of perspectives to be harnessed
– At different times actors are both producers and
consumers of knowledge
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26. Development of crosscutting capabilities
•
•
•
•
•
•
Observation and data
Analysis and theory
Integrated assessment modeling
Communications
Education and capacity building
Networking and collaborative frameworks
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27. Need to facilitate research convergence and
collaboration
Promote research to develop an understanding of what
sustainability means at the national and sub-national levels
Promote research on sustainability indicators to guide
sustainability at the national and sub-national levels
Create alliances of integrated research projects and groups
to build long-term strength
Foster and nurture networks of scientists across disciplinary
fields and with different stakeholders.
28. Need to develop capacity
Publish examples of best practices of inter- and
transdisciplinary research on sustainability
Develop guidelines on how to do co-design and coproduction of research
Increase human capacity development opportunities
through training workshops, research fellowships and
Professorial Chairs
Develop mentoring of young scientists in least developed
countries by more experienced researchers in the region 28
29. Need to enhance science-policy-stakeholder
interface
Research effective points of entry into the policy arena are
Develop approaches and programmes to bring into dialogue groups of
people who do not normally talk to each other
Translate and share models on how to influence policy
Create or identify science-policy-stakeholder platforms that
effectively inform and engage
Engage local communities and local knowledge systems in generating
and nurturing knowledge societies
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30. Concluding Remarks
• There is no magic wand in achieving the goals
of Future Earth in Asia-Pacific
• Sustainability must be continuously assessed
and retooled to meet the changing exigencies
of human development and planetary change.
– Transition management, adaptive management
– A continuous process of learning and
understanding the issues is needed to ensure the
best match between reality on the ground and the
solutions we offer.
31. Future Earth: Research for global
sustainability in Asia
Thank you for your attention
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