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1
Chapter 4 Randomized Blocks, Latin
Squares, and Related Designs
2
4.1 The Randomized Complete
Block Design
• Nuisance factor: a design factor that probably has
an effect on the response, but we are not interested
in that factor.
• If the nuisance variable is known and
controllable, we use blocking
• If the nuisance factor is known and
uncontrollable, sometimes we can use the
analysis of covariance (see Chapter 14) to
remove the effect of the nuisance factor from the
analysis
3
• If the nuisance factor is unknown and
uncontrollable (a “lurking” variable), we hope
that randomization balances out its impact across
the experiment
• Sometimes several sources of variability are
combined in a block, so the block becomes an
aggregate variable
4
• We wish to determine whether 4 different tips
produce different (mean) hardness reading on a
Rockwell hardness tester
• Assignment of the tips to an experimental unit;
that is, a test coupon
• Structure of a completely randomized experiment
• The test coupons are a source of nuisance
variability
• Alternatively, the experimenter may want to test
the tips across coupons of various hardness levels
• The need for blocking
5
• To conduct this experiment as a RCBD, assign all
4 tips to each coupon
• Each coupon is called a “block”; that is, it’s a
more homogenous experimental unit on which to
test the tips
• Variability between blocks can be large,
variability within a block should be relatively
small
• In general, a block is a specific level of the
nuisance factor
• A complete replicate of the basic experiment is
conducted in each block
• A block represents a restriction on
randomization
• All runs within a block are randomized
6
• Suppose that we use b = 4 blocks:
• Once again, we are interested in testing the
equality of treatment means, but now we have to
remove the variability associated with the
nuisance factor (the blocks)
7
Statistical Analysis of the RCBD
• Suppose that there are a treatments (factor levels)
and b blocks
• A statistical model (effects model) for the RCBD
is
–  is an overall mean, i is the effect of the ith
treatment, and j is the effect of the jth block
– ij ~ NID(0,2)
–
1,2,...,
1,2,...,
ij i j ij
i a
y
j b
   


    


0
,
0
1
1

 
 

k
j
j
a
i
i 

8
• Means model for the RCBD
• The relevant (fixed effects) hypotheses are
• An equivalent way for the above hypothesis
• Notations:
j
i
ij
ij
ij
ij
y 




 



 ,
0 1 2 1
: where (1/ ) ( )
b
a i i j i
j
H b
        

       

0
: 2
1
0 


 a
H 

 
N
y
y
a
y
y
b
y
y
y
y
y
y
b
j
y
y
a
i
y
y
j
j
i
i
a
i
i
b
j
j
a
i
b
j
ij
a
i
ij
j
b
j
ij
i
/
,
/
,
/
,...,
1
,
,...,
1
,
1
1
1 1
1
1












 





















9
• ANOVA partitioning of total variability:
2
.. . .. . ..
1 1 1 1
2
. . ..
2 2
. .. . ..
1 1
2
. . ..
1 1
( ) [( ) ( )
( )]
( ) ( )
( )
a b a b
ij i j
i j i j
ij i j
a b
i j
i j
a b
ij i j
i j
T Treatments Blocks E
y y y y y y
y y y y
b y y a y y
y y y y
SS SS SS SS
   
 
 
    
   
   
   
  
 
 

10
SST = SSTreatment + SSBlocks + SSE
• Total N = ab observations, SST has N – 1 degrees
of freedom.
• a treatments and b blocks, SSTreatment and SSBlocks
have a – 1 and b – 1 degrees of freedom.
• SSE has ab – 1 – (a – 1) – (b – 1) = (a – 1)(b – 1)
degrees of freedom.
• From Theorem 3.1, SSTreatment /2, SSBlocks / 2 and
SSE / 2 are independently chi-square
distributions.
11
• The expected values of mean squares:
• For testing the equality of treatment means,
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
)
(
1
)
(
1
)
(
















E
b
j
j
Blocks
a
i
i
Treatment
MS
E
b
a
MS
E
a
b
MS
E
)
1
)(
1
(
,
1
0 ~ 


 b
a
a
E
Treatments
F
MS
MS
F
12
• The ANOVA table
• Another computing formulas:
Blocks
Treatments
T
E
b
j
j
Blocks
a
i
i
Treatments
a
i
b
j
ij
T
SS
SS
SS
SS
N
y
y
a
SS
N
y
y
b
SS
N
y
y
SS



















 



,
1
1
,
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
1 1
2
13
• Example 4.1
4.1.2 Model Adequacy Checking
• Residual Analysis
• Residual:
• Basic residual plots indicate that normality,
constant variance assumptions are satisfied
• No obvious problems with randomization



 




 y
y
y
y
y
y
e j
i
ij
ij
ij
ij
ˆ
14
ESIGN-EXPERT Plot
ardness
Residual
Norm
al
%
probability
Normal plot of residuals
-1 -0.375 0.25 0.875 1.5
1
5
10
20
30
50
70
80
90
95
99
15
EXPERT Plot
2
2
2
2
Predicted
Res
iduals
Residuals vs. Predicted
-1
-0.375
0.25
0.875
1.5
-2.75 -0.31 2.13 4.56 7.00
DESIGN-EXPERT Plot
Hardness
Run Number
Res
iduals
Residuals vs. Run
-1
-0.375
0.25
0.875
1.5
1 4 7 10 13 16
16
• Can also plot residuals versus the type of tip
(residuals by factor) and versus the blocks. Also
plot residuals v.s. the fitted values. Figure 4.5 and
4.6 in Page 137
• These plots provide more information about the
constant variance assumption, possible outliers
4.1.3 Some Other Aspects of the Randomized
Complete Block Design
• The model for RCBD is complete additive.
1,2,...,
1,2,...,
ij i j ij
i a
y
j b
   


    


17
• Interactions?
• For example:
• The treatments and blocks are random.
• Choice of sample size:
– Number of blocks , the number of replicates
and the number of error degrees of freedom 
–
j
i
ij
j
i
ij y
E
y
E 



 ln
ln
ln
)
(
ln
)
( 




2
1
2
2


a
b
a
i
i




18
• Estimating miss values:
– Approximate analysis: estimate the missing
values and then do ANOVA.
– Assume the missing value is x. Minimize SSE to
find x
– Table 4.8
– Exact analysis
)
1
)(
1
(
'
'
'









b
a
y
by
ay
x
j
i
19
4.1.4 Estimating Model Parameters and the General
Regression Significance Test
• The linear statistical model
• The normal equations
1,2,...,
1,2,...,
ij i j ij
i a
y
j b
   


    


b
b
a
a
a
b
a
b
b
a
y
a
a
y
a
a
y
b
b
y
b
b
y
a
a
b
b
ab






















































ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
















20
• Under the constraints,
the solution is
and the fitted values,
• The sum of squares for fitting the full model:
• The error sum of squares
0
ˆ
,
0
ˆ
1
1

 
 

b
j
j
a
i
i 








 



 y
y
y
y
y j
j
i
i 

 ˆ
,
ˆ
,
ˆ



 




 y
y
y
y j
i
j
i
ij 

 ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ab
y
a
y
b
y
y
y
y
R
b
j
j
a
i
i
b
j
j
j
a
i
i
i
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
)
,
,
( 










 




 


 





 
2
1 1
1 1
2
)
,
,
( 
  




 






a
i
b
j
j
i
ij
a
i
b
j
ij
E y
y
y
y
R
y
SS 


21
• The sum of squares due to treatments:
ab
y
b
y
R
a
i
i
2
1
2
)
,
|
( 




 



22
4.2 The Latin Square Design
• RCBD removes a known and controllable
nuisance variable.
• Example: the effects of five different formulations
of a rocket propellant used in aircrew escape
systems on the observed burning rate.
– Remove two nuisance factors: batches of raw
material and operators
• Latin square design: rows and columns are
orthogonal to treatments.
23
• The Latin square design is used to eliminate two
nuisance sources, and allows blocking in two
directions (rows and columns)
• Usually Latin Square is a p  p squares, and each
cell contains one of the p letters that corresponds
to the treatments, and each letter occurs once and
only once in each row and column.
• See Page 145
24
• The statistical (effects) model is
– yijk is the observation in the ith row and kth
column for the jth treatment,  is the overall
mean, i is the ith row effect, j is the jth
treatment effect, k is the kth column effect and
ijk is the random error.
– This model is completely additive.
– Only two of three subscripts are needed to
denote a particular observation.
1,2,...,
1,2,...,
1,2,...,
ijk i j k ijk
i p
y j p
k p
    



     

 

25
• Sum of squares:
SST = SSRows + SSColumns + SSTreatments + SSE
• The degrees of freedom:
p2 – 1 = p – 1 + p – 1 + p – 1 + (p – 2)(p – 1)
• The appropriate statistic for testing for no
differences in treatment means is
• ANOVA table (Table 4-10) (Page 146)
• Example 4.3
)
1
)(
2
(
,
1
0 ~ 


 p
p
p
E
Treatments
F
MS
MS
F
26
• The residuals
• Table 4.13
• If one observation is missing,
• Replication of Latin Squares:
– Three different cases
– See Table 4.14, 4.15 and 4.16
• Crossover design: Pages 150 and 151








 





 y
y
y
y
y
y
y
e k
j
i
ijk
ijk
ijk
ijk 2
ˆ
)
1
)(
2
(
2
)
( '
'
'
'















p
p
y
y
y
y
p
y
k
j
i
ijk
27
4.3 The Graeco-Latin Square Design
• Graeco-Latin square:
– Two Latin Squares
– One is Greek letter and the other is Latin letter.
– Two Latin Squares are orthogonal
– Table 4.18
– Block in three directions
– Four factors (row, column, Latin letter and
Greek letter)
– Each factor has p levels. Total p2 runs
28
• The statistical model:
– yijkl is the observation in the ith row and lth
column for Latin letter j, and Greek letter k
–  is the overall mean, i is the ith row effect, j
is the effect of Latin letter treatment j , k is the
effect of Greek letter treatment k, l is the
effect of column l.
– ANOVA table (Table 4.19)
– Under H0, the testing statistic is Fp-1,(p-3)(p-1)
distribution.
• Example 4.4
p
l
k
j
i
y ijkl
l
k
j
i
ijkl ,
,
1
,
,
,
, 







 




29
4.4 Balance Incomplete Block
Designs
• May not run all the treatment combinations in
each block.
• Randomized incomplete block design (BIBD)
• Any two treatments appear together an equal
number of times.
• There are a treatments and each block can hold
exactly k (k < a) treatments.
• For example: A chemical process is a function of
the type of catalyst employed. See Table 4.22
30
4.4.1 Statistical Analysis of the BIBD
• a treatments and b blocks. Each block contains k
treatments, and each treatment occurs r times.
There are N = ar = bk total observations. The
number of times each pairs of treatments appears
in the same block is
• The statistical model for the BIBD is
)
1
(
)
1
(



a
k
r

ij
j
i
ij
y 


 



31
• The sum of squares
Blocks
adjusted
Treatments
T
E
b
j
j
ij
i
i
a
i
i
adjusted
Treatments
b
j
j
Blocks
i j
ij
T
E
Blocks
Treatments
T
SS
SS
SS
SS
y
n
k
y
Q
a
Q
k
SS
N
y
y
k
SS
N
y
y
SS
SS
SS
SS
SS



























)
(
1
1
2
)
(
2
1
2
2
2
1
,
/
1
/

32
• The degree of freedom:
– Treatments(adjusted): a – 1
– Error: N – a – b – 1
• The testing statistic for testing equality of the
treatment effects:
• ANOVA table (see Table 4.23)
• Example 4.5
E
adjusted
Treatments
MS
MS
F
)
(
0 
33
4.4.2 Least Squares Estimation of the Parameters
• The least squares normal equations:
• Under the constrains,
we have
j
j
a
i
i
ij
j
i
b
j
j
ij
i
i
b
j
j
a
i
i
y
k
n
k
y
n
r
r
y
k
r
N


































ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
:
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
:
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
:
1
1
1
1
0
ˆ
,
0
ˆ
1
1

 
 

b
j
j
a
i
i 



 y
̂
34
• For the treatment effects,
a
i
a
kQ
kQ
k
r
i
i
i
a
i
p
p
p
i
,
,
2
,
1
,
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
)
1
(
,
1





 







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RBD design.ppt

  • 1. 1 Chapter 4 Randomized Blocks, Latin Squares, and Related Designs
  • 2. 2 4.1 The Randomized Complete Block Design • Nuisance factor: a design factor that probably has an effect on the response, but we are not interested in that factor. • If the nuisance variable is known and controllable, we use blocking • If the nuisance factor is known and uncontrollable, sometimes we can use the analysis of covariance (see Chapter 14) to remove the effect of the nuisance factor from the analysis
  • 3. 3 • If the nuisance factor is unknown and uncontrollable (a “lurking” variable), we hope that randomization balances out its impact across the experiment • Sometimes several sources of variability are combined in a block, so the block becomes an aggregate variable
  • 4. 4 • We wish to determine whether 4 different tips produce different (mean) hardness reading on a Rockwell hardness tester • Assignment of the tips to an experimental unit; that is, a test coupon • Structure of a completely randomized experiment • The test coupons are a source of nuisance variability • Alternatively, the experimenter may want to test the tips across coupons of various hardness levels • The need for blocking
  • 5. 5 • To conduct this experiment as a RCBD, assign all 4 tips to each coupon • Each coupon is called a “block”; that is, it’s a more homogenous experimental unit on which to test the tips • Variability between blocks can be large, variability within a block should be relatively small • In general, a block is a specific level of the nuisance factor • A complete replicate of the basic experiment is conducted in each block • A block represents a restriction on randomization • All runs within a block are randomized
  • 6. 6 • Suppose that we use b = 4 blocks: • Once again, we are interested in testing the equality of treatment means, but now we have to remove the variability associated with the nuisance factor (the blocks)
  • 7. 7 Statistical Analysis of the RCBD • Suppose that there are a treatments (factor levels) and b blocks • A statistical model (effects model) for the RCBD is –  is an overall mean, i is the effect of the ith treatment, and j is the effect of the jth block – ij ~ NID(0,2) – 1,2,..., 1,2,..., ij i j ij i a y j b              0 , 0 1 1       k j j a i i  
  • 8. 8 • Means model for the RCBD • The relevant (fixed effects) hypotheses are • An equivalent way for the above hypothesis • Notations: j i ij ij ij ij y            , 0 1 2 1 : where (1/ ) ( ) b a i i j i j H b                    0 : 2 1 0     a H     N y y a y y b y y y y y y b j y y a i y y j j i i a i i b j j a i b j ij a i ij j b j ij i / , / , / ,..., 1 , ,..., 1 , 1 1 1 1 1 1                                   
  • 9. 9 • ANOVA partitioning of total variability: 2 .. . .. . .. 1 1 1 1 2 . . .. 2 2 . .. . .. 1 1 2 . . .. 1 1 ( ) [( ) ( ) ( )] ( ) ( ) ( ) a b a b ij i j i j i j ij i j a b i j i j a b ij i j i j T Treatments Blocks E y y y y y y y y y y b y y a y y y y y y SS SS SS SS                                 
  • 10. 10 SST = SSTreatment + SSBlocks + SSE • Total N = ab observations, SST has N – 1 degrees of freedom. • a treatments and b blocks, SSTreatment and SSBlocks have a – 1 and b – 1 degrees of freedom. • SSE has ab – 1 – (a – 1) – (b – 1) = (a – 1)(b – 1) degrees of freedom. • From Theorem 3.1, SSTreatment /2, SSBlocks / 2 and SSE / 2 are independently chi-square distributions.
  • 11. 11 • The expected values of mean squares: • For testing the equality of treatment means, 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 ) ( 1 ) ( 1 ) (                 E b j j Blocks a i i Treatment MS E b a MS E a b MS E ) 1 )( 1 ( , 1 0 ~     b a a E Treatments F MS MS F
  • 12. 12 • The ANOVA table • Another computing formulas: Blocks Treatments T E b j j Blocks a i i Treatments a i b j ij T SS SS SS SS N y y a SS N y y b SS N y y SS                         , 1 1 , 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 2
  • 13. 13 • Example 4.1 4.1.2 Model Adequacy Checking • Residual Analysis • Residual: • Basic residual plots indicate that normality, constant variance assumptions are satisfied • No obvious problems with randomization           y y y y y y e j i ij ij ij ij ˆ
  • 14. 14 ESIGN-EXPERT Plot ardness Residual Norm al % probability Normal plot of residuals -1 -0.375 0.25 0.875 1.5 1 5 10 20 30 50 70 80 90 95 99
  • 15. 15 EXPERT Plot 2 2 2 2 Predicted Res iduals Residuals vs. Predicted -1 -0.375 0.25 0.875 1.5 -2.75 -0.31 2.13 4.56 7.00 DESIGN-EXPERT Plot Hardness Run Number Res iduals Residuals vs. Run -1 -0.375 0.25 0.875 1.5 1 4 7 10 13 16
  • 16. 16 • Can also plot residuals versus the type of tip (residuals by factor) and versus the blocks. Also plot residuals v.s. the fitted values. Figure 4.5 and 4.6 in Page 137 • These plots provide more information about the constant variance assumption, possible outliers 4.1.3 Some Other Aspects of the Randomized Complete Block Design • The model for RCBD is complete additive. 1,2,..., 1,2,..., ij i j ij i a y j b             
  • 17. 17 • Interactions? • For example: • The treatments and blocks are random. • Choice of sample size: – Number of blocks , the number of replicates and the number of error degrees of freedom  – j i ij j i ij y E y E      ln ln ln ) ( ln ) (      2 1 2 2   a b a i i    
  • 18. 18 • Estimating miss values: – Approximate analysis: estimate the missing values and then do ANOVA. – Assume the missing value is x. Minimize SSE to find x – Table 4.8 – Exact analysis ) 1 )( 1 ( ' ' '          b a y by ay x j i
  • 19. 19 4.1.4 Estimating Model Parameters and the General Regression Significance Test • The linear statistical model • The normal equations 1,2,..., 1,2,..., ij i j ij i a y j b              b b a a a b a b b a y a a y a a y b b y b b y a a b b ab                                                       ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1                
  • 20. 20 • Under the constraints, the solution is and the fitted values, • The sum of squares for fitting the full model: • The error sum of squares 0 ˆ , 0 ˆ 1 1       b j j a i i                y y y y y j j i i    ˆ , ˆ , ˆ           y y y y j i j i ij    ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ab y a y b y y y y R b j j a i i b j j j a i i i 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 ˆ ˆ ˆ ) , , (                               2 1 1 1 1 2 ) , , (                 a i b j j i ij a i b j ij E y y y y R y SS   
  • 21. 21 • The sum of squares due to treatments: ab y b y R a i i 2 1 2 ) , | (          
  • 22. 22 4.2 The Latin Square Design • RCBD removes a known and controllable nuisance variable. • Example: the effects of five different formulations of a rocket propellant used in aircrew escape systems on the observed burning rate. – Remove two nuisance factors: batches of raw material and operators • Latin square design: rows and columns are orthogonal to treatments.
  • 23. 23 • The Latin square design is used to eliminate two nuisance sources, and allows blocking in two directions (rows and columns) • Usually Latin Square is a p  p squares, and each cell contains one of the p letters that corresponds to the treatments, and each letter occurs once and only once in each row and column. • See Page 145
  • 24. 24 • The statistical (effects) model is – yijk is the observation in the ith row and kth column for the jth treatment,  is the overall mean, i is the ith row effect, j is the jth treatment effect, k is the kth column effect and ijk is the random error. – This model is completely additive. – Only two of three subscripts are needed to denote a particular observation. 1,2,..., 1,2,..., 1,2,..., ijk i j k ijk i p y j p k p                  
  • 25. 25 • Sum of squares: SST = SSRows + SSColumns + SSTreatments + SSE • The degrees of freedom: p2 – 1 = p – 1 + p – 1 + p – 1 + (p – 2)(p – 1) • The appropriate statistic for testing for no differences in treatment means is • ANOVA table (Table 4-10) (Page 146) • Example 4.3 ) 1 )( 2 ( , 1 0 ~     p p p E Treatments F MS MS F
  • 26. 26 • The residuals • Table 4.13 • If one observation is missing, • Replication of Latin Squares: – Three different cases – See Table 4.14, 4.15 and 4.16 • Crossover design: Pages 150 and 151                 y y y y y y y e k j i ijk ijk ijk ijk 2 ˆ ) 1 )( 2 ( 2 ) ( ' ' ' '                p p y y y y p y k j i ijk
  • 27. 27 4.3 The Graeco-Latin Square Design • Graeco-Latin square: – Two Latin Squares – One is Greek letter and the other is Latin letter. – Two Latin Squares are orthogonal – Table 4.18 – Block in three directions – Four factors (row, column, Latin letter and Greek letter) – Each factor has p levels. Total p2 runs
  • 28. 28 • The statistical model: – yijkl is the observation in the ith row and lth column for Latin letter j, and Greek letter k –  is the overall mean, i is the ith row effect, j is the effect of Latin letter treatment j , k is the effect of Greek letter treatment k, l is the effect of column l. – ANOVA table (Table 4.19) – Under H0, the testing statistic is Fp-1,(p-3)(p-1) distribution. • Example 4.4 p l k j i y ijkl l k j i ijkl , , 1 , , , ,              
  • 29. 29 4.4 Balance Incomplete Block Designs • May not run all the treatment combinations in each block. • Randomized incomplete block design (BIBD) • Any two treatments appear together an equal number of times. • There are a treatments and each block can hold exactly k (k < a) treatments. • For example: A chemical process is a function of the type of catalyst employed. See Table 4.22
  • 30. 30 4.4.1 Statistical Analysis of the BIBD • a treatments and b blocks. Each block contains k treatments, and each treatment occurs r times. There are N = ar = bk total observations. The number of times each pairs of treatments appears in the same block is • The statistical model for the BIBD is ) 1 ( ) 1 (    a k r  ij j i ij y        
  • 31. 31 • The sum of squares Blocks adjusted Treatments T E b j j ij i i a i i adjusted Treatments b j j Blocks i j ij T E Blocks Treatments T SS SS SS SS y n k y Q a Q k SS N y y k SS N y y SS SS SS SS SS                            ) ( 1 1 2 ) ( 2 1 2 2 2 1 , / 1 / 
  • 32. 32 • The degree of freedom: – Treatments(adjusted): a – 1 – Error: N – a – b – 1 • The testing statistic for testing equality of the treatment effects: • ANOVA table (see Table 4.23) • Example 4.5 E adjusted Treatments MS MS F ) ( 0 
  • 33. 33 4.4.2 Least Squares Estimation of the Parameters • The least squares normal equations: • Under the constrains, we have j j a i i ij j i b j j ij i i b j j a i i y k n k y n r r y k r N                                   ˆ ˆ ˆ : ˆ ˆ ˆ : ˆ ˆ ˆ : 1 1 1 1 0 ˆ , 0 ˆ 1 1       b j j a i i      y ̂
  • 34. 34 • For the treatment effects, a i a kQ kQ k r i i i a i p p p i , , 2 , 1 , ˆ ˆ ˆ ) 1 ( , 1             