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Ferreting Out Tunneling: An Application to Indian Business
Groups
Author(s): Marianne Bertrand, Paras Mehta and Sendhil
Mullainathan
Reviewed work(s):
Source: The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 117, No. 1
(Feb., 2002), pp. 121-148
Published by: Oxford University Press
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2696484 .
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FERRETING OUT TUNNELING: AN APPLICATION TO
INDIAN BUSINESS GROUPS*
MARIANNE BERTRAND
PARAS MEHTA
SENDHIL MULLAINATHAN
Owners of business groups are often accused of expropriating
minority share-
holders by tunneling resources from firms where they have low
cash flow rights to
firms where they have high cash flow rights. In this paper we
propose a general
methodology to measure the extent of tunneling activities. The
methodology rests
on isolating and then testing the distinctive implications of the
tunneling hypothe-
sis for the propagation of earnings shocks across firms within a
group. When we
apply our methodology to data on Indian business groups, we
find a significant
amount of tunneling, much of it occurring via nonoperating
components of profit.
I. INTRODUCTION
Weak corporate law and lax enforcement mechanisms raise
fears of expropriation for minority shareholders around the
world. These fears seem especially warranted in the presence of
business groups, a common organizational form in many devel-
oped and developing countries. In a business group, a single
shareholder (or a family) completely controls several indepen-
dently traded firms and yet has significant cash flow rights in
only a few of them.' This discrepancy in cash flow rights
between
the different firms he controls creates strong incentives to
expro-
priate. The controlling shareholder will want to transfer, or tun-
nel, profits across firms, moving them from firms where he has
* We thank Abhijit Baneijee, Simon Johnson, Tarun Khanna,
Jayendra
Nayak, Ajay Shah, Susan Thomas, two anonymous referees, the
editor (Edward
Glaeser), and seminar participants at the MIT Development and
Public Finance
Lunches, the Harvard/MIT Development Seminar, the NBER-
NCAER Conference
on Reforms, the Harvard Business School Conference on
Emerging Markets, the
University of Michigan, the London Business School, the
London School of Eco-
nomics, the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business,
and Princeton
University for their useful comments. The second author is also
grateful for
financial support from a National Science Foundation Graduate
Fellowship.
1. In many cases, control is maintained through indirect
ownership. For
example, the ultimate owner may own firm A, which in turn
owns firm B, which
in turn owns firm C. Such ownership structures, which are quite
common accord-
ing to La Porta, Lopez-d-Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny [1999],
are called pyramids.
It is the chain of ownership in pyramids that generates the sharp
divergence
between control and cash flow rights. Dual class shares are
another way to
generate such a divergence. In India, the country we study
below, dual class
shares have not been allowed so far, although recent legislation
has attempted to
change this.
? 2002 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the
Massachusetts Institute of
Technology.
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, February 2002
121
122 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
low cash flow rights to firms where he has high cash flow
rights.2
Cash can be transferred in many ways: the firms can give each
other high (or low) interest rate loans, manipulate transfer
prices,
or sell assets to each other at above or below market prices, to
list
just a few. If prevalent, tunneling may have serious conse-
quences. By reducing the returns to being an outside
shareholder,
it can hinder equity market growth and overall financial devel-
opment. Illicit profit transfers may also reduce the transparency
of the entire economy, clouding the accounting numbers and
complicating any inference about firms' health. In fact, several
observers argued that tunneling made it hard to assess solvency
during the emerging market crises of 1997-1998, and possibly
exacerbated the crisiS.3
Anecdotes of tunneling are easy to find. In India, for example,
one group firm, Kalyani Steels, had more than two-thirds of its
net worth invested in other companies in its group. Yet these
investments yielded less than a 1 percent rate of return, fueling
speculation that they were merely a way to tunnel profits out of
Kalyani Steels. However, hard evidence of tunneling beyond an-
ecdotes of this kind remains scarce, perhaps because of the
illicit
nature of this activity. The strongest statistical evidence so far
is
cross-sectional: group firms where the controlling shareholder
has higher cash flow rights have higher q-ratios and greater
profitability.4 While informative, this cross-sectional
relationship
is not a test of tunneling since it could also result from
differences
in preexisting efficiency or any number of other unobservable
factors.
This paper introduces a general procedure to quantify tun-
neling. It is based on tracing the propagation of earnings shocks
2. Johnson, La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer [2000]
argue that the
expropriation threat is especially big in business groups.
Bebchuk, Kraakman,
and Triantis [20001, Wolfenzon [19991, and Shleifer and
Wolfenzon [20001 provide
theoretical models of various forms of tunneling. In the United
States something
akin to business groups existed historically, although
cartelization was the major
issue surrounding them. In modem times, expropriation of
shareholders in large
U. S. firms is thought to occur through poor decision making
[Berle and Means
1934; Jensen and Meckling 19761 or high executive
compensation [Bertrand and
Mullainathan 2000, 20011.
3. Johnson, Boone, Breach, and Friedman [2000] show that
countries with
better legal protection against tunneling were less affected by
the crisis.
4. Examples of papers that have documented such correlations
include Bian-
chi, Bianco, and Enriques [19991, Claessens, Djankov, Fan, and
Lang [1999], and
Claessens, Djankov, and Lang [2000]. A broader literature has
studied groups
more generally [Khanna and Palepu 2000; Hoshi, Kashyap, and
Scharfstein
1991]. Other papers have documented differences in the price of
voting and
nonvoting shares [Zingales 1995; Nenova 19991.
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 123
through a business group. Consider a group with two firms: firm
H, where the controlling shareholder has high cash flow rights,
and firm L, where he has low cash flow rights. Suppose that
firm
L experiences a shock that would (in the absence of tunneling)
cause its profits to rise by 100 dollars. Because some of this
increase will be tunneled out of firm L, the actual profits of
firm
L will rise by less than 100 dollars, with the shortfall measuring
the amount of diversion. Since the shortfall is being tunneled to
H, we would also expect H to respond to L's shock even though
H
is not directly affected by it. Moreover, we would not expect
this
pattern if instead H were to receive the shock: there is no incen-
tive to tunnel from a high- to a low-cash-flow-right firm.5 We
develop a general set of tests based on these observations and
use
variation in mean industry performance as a source of profit
shocks.6
As an illustration, we apply this test to a panel of Indian
firms. We find evidence for the full set of predictions implied
by
tunneling. Other results suggest that these findings are not due
to mismeasurement of a firm's industry, simple coinsurance
within groups or internal capital markets. Moreover, the magni-
tudes of the effects we find are large: more than 25 percent of
the
marginal rupee of profits in low-cash-flow-right firms appears
to
be dissipated.7
Our procedure further allows us to examine the mechanics of
tunneling. Indian groups appear to tunnel by manipulating non-
operating components of profits (such as miscellaneous and
non-
recurring items). In fact, there is no evidence of tunneling on
operating profits alone. Rather, nonoperating losses and gains
seem to be used to offset real profit shocks or transfer cash
from
other firms. Finally, we examine whether market prices incorpo-
rate tunneling. We find that high market-to-book firms are more
5. This asymmetry is important. Money flows only from low- to
high-cash-
flow-right firms, not vice versa. As we will see, this is a crucial
distinction between
tunneling and other theories of why shocks might propagate
through a group,
most notably risk sharing.
6. Other papers have used shocks in a related way. Blanchard,
Lopez-de-
Silanes, and Shleifer [19941 examine how U. S. firms respond
to windfalls (win-
ning a law suit) to assess agency models. Lamont [1997] uses
the oil shock to
assess the effects of cash flow on investment. Bertrand and
Mullainathan [20011
use several shock measures to assess the effects of luck on CEO
pay.
7. It is worth noting that business groups may add social value
in other ways
that offset the social costs they may impose through tunneling.
They might help
reduce transaction costs, solve external market failures, or
provide reputational
capital for their members. We will not, therefore, be attempting
to test whether
groups are on net bad but merely whether, and if so how much,
they tunnel.
124 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
sensitive to both their own shock and shocks to the other firms
in
their group. Firms whose group has a high market-to-book are
also more sensitive to their own shock, but are not significantly
more sensitive to the group's shock. This suggests that the stock
market at least partly penalizes tunneling activities.
II. A TEST FOR TUNNELING
We begin by describing the exact implications of tunneling
for the propagation of shocks.8 Let us return to the fictional
example of two group firms, high-cash-flow-right firm H and
low-cash-flow-right firm L. Consider again a 100-dollar profits
shock affecting firm L. Because the controlling shareholder
would
benefit more if these 100 dollars were in H, he will look for a
way
to divert them out of L. This gives the first prediction: group
firms
should on average underrespond to shocks to their own profits.
Of course, since tunneling may be costly (either because of
resource dissipation or because of a risk of being caught), the
controlling shareholder may transfer only some of the 100
dollars
out of firm L. How much he transfers will be a function of his
cash
flow rights in L. The less his cash flow rights in L, the less he
values the extra dollar left in L and the more of the profits he
will
want to tunnel out of L. This gives the second prediction: the
underresponse to shocks to own profits should be larger in low-
cash-flow-right firms.
The cash tunneled from firm L eventually ends up in firm H.
So H will appear to respond to L's shock even though H is not
directly affected by L's shock. This gives the third prediction:
group firms will on average be sensitive to shocks affecting
other
firms in the group.9
We know from above that when cash flow rights in firm L are
low, more money will be tunneled out of L. But this also
implies
that more money will be tunneled into H when cash flow rights
in
L are low. This gives the fourth prediction: group firms will be
more sensitive to shocks affecting low-cash-flow-right firms in
their group than to shocks affecting high-cash-flow-right firms.
8. Bertrand, Mehta, and Mullainathan [2000] present a model
that formal-
izes these implications.
9. This prediction distinguishes tunneling from a pure
mismanagement in-
terpretation of the profits shortfall. The first two predictions
could simply reflect
a dissipation of resources through inefficient operation rather
than a diversion to
other group firms.
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 125
Finally, suppose that a 100-dollar shock were now to affect
firm H instead of firm L. Since the controlling shareholder has
more cash flow rights in H than in L, he will have no incentives
to tunnel from H to L. This means that H will respond one for
one
to its own shock, which is just another way to understand the
second prediction above. It also means that L will not be
sensitive
to H's shock. A more general version of this observation gives
the
fifth prediction: low-cash-flow-right firms will be less sensitive
to
shocks affecting other firms in their group.
To transform these general predictions into testable implica-
tions, we need to isolate specific shocks using available data.
Industry shocks provide an ideal candidate since they affect in-
dividual firms but are to a large extent beyond the control of
individual firms. Some notation will be helpful in defining these
mean industry movements. Let perfktI be a level measure of
reported performance for firm k in industry I at time t (in our
case
profits before depreciation, interest, and taxes). AktI be a
measure
of the firm k's assets (in our case, total book value of assets),
and
rktI = perfktIIAktI be a measure of return on assets for that
firm.
To isolate the industry shock, we compute the asset-weighted
average return for all firms in industry I: rIt = 4* AktIrktII
>k AtI.'0 Given this industry return, we can predict what firm
k's performance ought to be in the absence of tunneling by
calcu-
lating predktI = AtI rt
Our empirical test will then consist of regressing a firm's
actual reported performance on its predicted performance and
on
the predicted performance of other firms in its group." More
specifically, we can test the five implications above: (1) group
firms should be less sensitive to shocks to their industry than
nongroup (stand-alone) firms; (2) low-cash-flow-right group
firms
will show smaller sensitivities to shocks to their industry than
high-cash-flow-right ones; (3) group firms should be sensitive
to
industry shocks affecting other firms in their group; (4) group
firms should be especially sensitive to shocks affecting the low
cash-flow-right firms in their group; (5) low-cash-flow-right
group
10. A mechanical correlation arises if we include a firm itself in
estimating its
industry return and then use that industry return to predict the
firm's own
return. To prevent this, we exclude, for every firm, the firm
itself in computing its
industry return. In this sense, PI, should actually be indexed by
k, but we drop this
subscript for simplicity.
11. Given that this is a predicted level of performance, our
terminology of
shocks may seem inappropriate. But since we include firm fixed
effects, we will in
fact be identifying the effect of industry shocks.
126 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
firms should show smaller sensitivities in predictions 3 and 4.
These five predictions form a simple test of tunneling, one that
requires only firm-level data on earnings, industry, group mem-
bership, and ownership structure.'2
III. AN APPLICATION TO INDIAN BUSINESS GROUPS
We now apply this test to Indian data. As in many other
countries, group firms in India are often linked together through
the ownership of equity shares. In most cases, the controlling
shareholder is a family; among the best-known business families
in India are Tata, Bajaj, Birla, Oberoi, and Mahindra.'3
Nominally, corporate governance laws in India are quite
good, consistent with its English colonial past and its common
law heritage [Sarkar and Sarkar 1999]. In reality, however, cor-
ruption makes these laws difficult to enforce and shareholder
expropriation a major concern in India. In recent years the role
of
corporate governance in financial development has received sig-
nificant attention from the Indian business press and central
government. Business groups have come under particular scru-
tiny for advancing their private interests at the expense of out-
side shareholders.'4 Tunneling is also allegedly a problem.'5 In-
deed, greater oversight of related party transactions was one of
12. A notable feature of these tests is their symmetry. One
might have
thought that there should be no tunneling for negative groups.
This is in fact not
clear. For example, suppose that an industry earns a 10 percent
natural rate of
return and a negative shock reduces it to 5 percent. Since this
reduces the amount
that can be tunneled out, we will see just as much sensitivity to
this shock (for
example, among high-cash-flow-right group firms) as to a
positive one. Rather
than asymmetry in changes, one might expect that below some
nominal rate of
return, tunneling would cease. A priori, it is unclear where this
threshold lies. We
tried some thresholds (e.g., zero nominal rate of return) and
found standard errors
that were too large to reject either linearity or significant
nonlinearity. Johnson
and Friedman [2000] provide further discussion of asymmetry.
13. Piramal [1996] and Dutta [1997] provide accounts of groups
in India.
14. One Financial Times Asia article charges that the "boards of
Indian
companies, especially the family-owned ones, are prime
examples of crony capi-
talism. They are invariably filled with family members and
friends.... In such an
environment, the promoter can operate to further his own
interests even as he
takes the other shareholders for a ride.",
15. A 1998 Financial Times Asia article reports that
"[c]hanneling funds to
subsidiaries and group companies in the form of low or nil
interest loans or
low-yield investments is not new. Such a lockup of costly funds
often results in
poor financial performance. JCT, Kalyani Steels, Bombay
Burmah Trading Com-
pany; and DCM Shriram Industries are examples. JCT's average
return over the
last four years on outstanding loans and advances of Rs. 270
crores is is just 4
percent. Similarly Kalyani Steels' 1996-97 investments in group
companies was
worth Rs. 196.80 crores-more than two-thirds its net worth-
while the company
earned just 1.45 crores as dividends."
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 127
the specific recommendations made by a government committee
organized to study corporate governance.16 Thus, with its weak
corporate governance and allegations of impropriety, India pro-
vides an ideal location to test for tunneling.
Ill.A. Data Source
We use Prowess, a publicly available database maintained by
the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). Prowess in-
cludes annual report information for companies in India
between
1989 and 1999. It provides much of the information needed for
this analysis: financial statements, industry information, group
affiliation for each firm, and some corporate ownership data.
We
exclude state-owned and foreign-owned firms from our sample
since these may not be comparable to the private sector
domestic
firms that interest us. Our sample contains about 18,500 firm-
year observations, although sample sizes vary because of
missing
variables for some firms.17
We rely on CMIE classification of firms into group and non-
group firms, and of group firms into specific group affiliation.
CMIE classification is based on a "continuous monitoring of
com-
pany announcements and a qualitative understanding of the
groupwise behavior of individual companies" (Prowess Users'
Manual, v.2, p.4). Note also that CMIE assigns each company to
a unique ownership group, based on the group most closely
asso-
ciated with that company. Conversations with local experts cor-
roborate these classifications; which group a firm belongs to is
WiTid 1v kLinon.Tn
16. The Kumar Mangalam Committee recommended measures to
strengthen
the board of directors' role in "reduc[ing] potential conflict
between the specific
interests of management and the wider interests of the company
and shareholders
including misuse of corporate assets and abuse in related party
transactions."
These measures included guidelines for strengthening the
independence of boards
and for the establishment of an audit committee by the board of
directors to
review, among other things, "[a]ny related party transactions,
i.e. transactions of
the company of material nature with promoters or the
management, their sub-
sidiaries or relatives, etc. that may have potential conflict with
the interests of the
company at large."
17. Prowess does not use consolidated accounting data, which
implies that
our findings are not caused by accounting mechanics. In fact,
during the sample
period under study, Indian accounting standards did not require
disclosing con-
solidated accounts for group firms. Very few firms used
consolidated financial
statements in practice [Price, Waterhouse & Co. 1999].
128 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
III.B. Measurement of Controlling Shareholder's Cash Flow
Rights
A key variable in our analysis is the cash flow rights of the
controlling shareholder in a particular firm. There are two com-
ponents to cash flow rights. First are direct rights, which are
derived from shares that the controlling shareholder (or his fam-
ily) has in the company. Second are indirect rights, which are
derived from shares held by another company in which the con-
trolling shareholder has some shares.
Prowess provides two reasonable proxies for direct cash flow
rights. Both are derived from data on equity holding patterns,
which is available for about 60 percent of firms (all of them
publicly traded). For these firms, CMIE reports the shares of
equity held by foreigners, directors, various financial
institutions,
banks, various governmental bodies, the top fifty shareholders,
corporate bodies, and others.18
As in many countries, Indian families typically control the
firms they have financial stakes in by appointing family
members
or family friends to the board of directors and to top managerial
positions. Since the company shares held by these board
members
benefit the controlling shareholder in some sense, the
information
on director ownership provides a first proxy for direct cash flow
rights.19
The equity held by "other shareholders," where others are
defined as shareholders that are neither directors, nor banks, nor
foreigners, not financial institutions, nor government bodies,
nor
corporate bodies, nor the top fifty shareholders, provides a
second
proxy. By measuring the shares held by small, minority share-
18. The exact ownership categories reported by CMIE are
Foreigners, Insur-
ance Companies, Life Insurance Corporation, General Insurance
Corporation,
Mutual Funds, Unit Trust of India, Financial Institutions
(Industrial Financial
Corporation of India, Industrial Development Bank of India,
Industrial Credit
and Investment Bank of India, Industrial Credit and Investment
Corporation,
Commercial Banks), Government Companies (Central
Government Companies,
State Government Companies), State Finance Corporation,
Other Government
Organizations, Corporate Bodies, Directors, Top Fifty
Shareholders, and Others.
19. For example, the Financial Times Asia reports that "the
boards of Indian
companies ... are invariably filled with family members and
friends, whether or
not they are qualified for the position" [Financial Times Asia
Intelligence Wire,
October 10, 1999]. The article goes on to say: "In such an
environment, the
promoter can operate to further his own interests even as he
takes the other
shareholders for a ride." Of course, if some of the directors are
not family members
or friends, this proxy will overstate the direct cash flow rights.
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 129
holders, it captures the amount of cash flow rights the family
does
not own.20
Although both variables are good proxies for direct cash flow
rights, they do little to capture indirect cash flow rights.
Because
Prowess only provides information by ownership category, it is
impossible to back out of such indirect cash flow rights.2'
Conse-
quently, our ranking of firms (in terms of cash flow rights)
within
a group is noisy. For example, suppose that the ultimate owner
owns 10 percent of firms A and B and firm B owns 40 percent
in
firm A. The ultimate owner seemingly has a 10 percent direct
cash stake in both firms but actually has a 14 percent stake in
firm A. If we modify the example so that the direct ownership
stake in firm A is actually 9 percent, then adding indirect cash
flow rights reverses the ranking.22
Three points should be noted about this important measure-
ment issue. First, indirect cash flow rights by their very nature
should be smaller than direct rights because they are diminished
as they pass through the chain of ownership. In the above exam-
ple, despite the large indirect ownership of A by B (40 percent),
the final difference is only 4 percent since A has only a 10
percent
direct stake in B. Moreover, when our ranking of firms was
wrong
in the second example above, this was because both B and A
were
very close in terms of direct cash flow rights (10 percent versus
9
percent).23 Second, to the extent that any significant error is
introduced into our rankings of firms, there will be an
attenuation
bias. This will bias our estimates toward zero, raise standard
errors, and make it more difficult to find evidence of tunneling.
Finally, although these imperfect measures may make the CMIE
20. The two measures, the equity stake of directors and the
equity stake held
by minority shareholders, correlate negatively. The correlation
is imperfect, how-
ever, (about -.35 for group firms), suggesting that these are not
redundant
proxies. Besides measuring the absolute level of director and
other equity hold-
ings, we also measure their relative levels within each group.
Finally, because we
use within-group differences in director and other ownership
levels to identify the
direction and magnitude of money flows across firms in a
business group, we
exclude from the sample all groups where there is no difference
between the
maximum and the minimum level of direct ownership or
between the maximum
and minimum level of other ownership.
21. Indian disclosure laws do not mandate release of this
information. We
have attempted to gather this information in many other ways,
from investment
bankers to the groups themselves; our attempts have been
fruitless.
22. We are grateful to an anonymous referee for providing
variants of these
examples.
23. This is not to say that one cannot construct examples where
indicted
ownership matters, but rather that because of the multiplication
by the direct
ownership in firms, indirect ownership will have on average a
smaller effect on
cash flow rights.
130 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
data a less than perfect place to apply our test, it is highly
representative of the typical data available to implement our test
in most countries. Detailed data on ownership between firms are
usually hard to get, whereas many countries have readily avail-
able categorical ownership data of the kind provided by CMIE.
III. C. Measurement of Performance
The CMIE data were collected with a focus on accounting
numbers. Consequently, we cannot use it to compute reliable
annual stock return measures for many firms between 1989 and
1999. More specifically, we lack dividend data for many
observa-
tions, which is especially troubling since dividend payments
would be the most direct way for a controlling shareholder to
affect final returns.24 Moreover, comparisons with both
aggregate
data and data on specific firms from the Bombay Stock
Exchange
show that the stock prices reported on CMIE are themselves
noisy. In several cases, the returns we computed lagged or led
true returns.25 These problems constrain us to use the more
reliable "profits before depreciation, interest and tax" as our
specific performance measure, perfk,I. Our asset measure, As-
setsk1I, is total assets. Each firm's industry comes from CMIE's
classification of firms into industries. Our sample contains 134
different "four-digit" industries.26
III.D. Summary Statistics
Table I reports summary statistics for the full sample and for
group and nongroup firms separately. In this table, and through-
out the remainder of the paper, nongroup firms are referred to
as
"stand-alones." Group firms and stand-alones, respectively, ac-
count for about 7,500 and 11,000 of the observations in our full
sample. All nominal variables in the sample are deflated using
24. By examining the firms with some, not necessarily reliable
dividend data,
we see that dividends are a sizable fraction of returns.
25. Despite the noisiness, we did estimate the regressions below
using mar-
ket value as a dependent variable, and the results are quite
similar. But, because
of ths noisiness of the data, we do not have great faith in these
results. They are
available as Table B in the unpublished appendix, available
from the authors
upon request. The average level of market capitalization appears
much more
reliable, however, and we use it in subsection IV.B. to relate q
ratios to the extent
of tunneling.
26. They can be found in Table A of the appendix available
from the authors
upon request. The breakdown is at roughly the level of the four-
digit SIC code in
the United States.
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 131
TABLE I
SUMMARY STATISTICS
Sample: All Groups Stand-alones
Total assets 131.80 252.76 49.69
(525.91) (741.6) (272.66)
Total sales 94.39 188.16 30.73
(305.66) (459.77) (57.84)
Profit before depreciation, interest, and 16.84 32.90 5.94
taxes (63.84) (90.99) (30.48)
Ratio of PBDIT to total assets .126 .142 .115
(.128) (.115) (.134)
Ratio of operating profit to total assets .284 .328 .254
(.285) (.312) (.261)
Ratio of nonoperating profit to total assets -.157 -.186 -1.38
(.259) (.288) (.235)
q ratio .537 .645 .447
(.818) (.916) (.714)
Year of incorporation 1974.55 1967.51 1979.33
(20.03) (22.89) (16.18)
Director equity 16.70 7.45 22.99
(18.33) (13.05) (18.72)
Other ownership 29.90 27.57 31.48
(17.39) (16.06) (18.07)
Director equity spread 15.19
(14.88)
Other ownership spread 33.31
(21.66)
Sample size 18600 7521 11079
a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy
(CMIE), for the years 1989-1999. All
monetary variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore
represents 10 million.
b. Standard deviations are in parentheses.
c. "Operating profit" refers to manufacturing sales revenue
minus total raw material expenses, energy
expenses, and wages and salaries. "q ratio" is the ratio of
market valuation to total assets. "Director equity
spread" is the difference between the minimum and maximum
level of director equity in a group; "Other
ownership spread" is the difference between the minimum and
maximum level of other ownership in a group.
Ownership and ownership spread variables are measured in
percentages and so range from 0 to 100.
the Consumer Price Index series from the International
Financial
Statistics of the International Monetary Fund (1995 = 100).
The average group firm in the sample belongs to a group with
fifteen firms. Many groups in our data, however, consist of two
or
three firms.27 Group firms are, on average, twelve years older
than nongroup firms: the typical group firm was created in
1967,
27. Some ownership groups have several smaller companies that
are set up
for taxation or retail business purposes. It is much more
difficult for CMIE to get
access to the annual reports of these smaller companies. CMIE
also tracks sub-
132 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE II
SENSITIVITY TO OWN SHOCK: GROUP VERSUS STAND-
ALONE
DEPENDENT VARIABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Own shock 1.05 .10 -4.58 -5.10
(.02) (.05) (.48) (.47)
Own shock* -.30 -.30 -.26 -.27
group (.02) (.02) (.02) (.02)
Ln assets .16 2.98 -.33 2.47
(.32) (.34) (.33) (.34)
Own shock* In - .10 1.0
assets (.00) (.01)
Own shock* - .003 .003
year of incorp. (.000) (.000)
Sample size 18600 18600 18588 18588
Adjusted R2 .93 .93 .93 .93
a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian
Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary
variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore
represents 10 million. Sample includes both stand-
alone and group firms.
b. All regressions also include year fixed effect and firm fixed
effects.
c. Standard errors are in parentheses.
the typical stand-alone firm in 1979. More importantly, group
firms tend to be much larger than stand-alones. The average
group firm has total assets of Rs. 253 crores, while the average
stand-alone has total assets of Rs. 52 crores. Stand-alones also
have lower levels of sales and profits. We will control for these
size and age differences in our analysis.
The average level of director ownership among group firms is
7.5 percent. The average level of ownership by other
shareholders
is 27.5 percent. The gap in director ownership between the top
and bottom of a group (i.e., the gap between the firm with the
highest level of director ownership and the firm with the lowest
level of director ownership) is 15 percent on average. The
average
gap in other ownership is 33 percent.
III.E. Sensitivity to Own Shock
In Table II we test the first prediction of tunneling: group
firms should be less sensitive to shocks to their own industry
than
stand-alones. We estimate
sidiary companies with small turnover but does not include
them in the database
we use in this paper.
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 133
(1) perfk, = a + b(predkt) + c(groupk * predkt)
+ d(controlskt) + FirMk + Timet,
where groupk is a dummy variable for whether firm k is in a
group or not, controlskt are other variables that might affect
firm
performance (specifically age and log assets), Firmk are firm
fixed
effects, and Timet are time dummies.28 The coefficient b mea-
sures the general sensitivity of firms to industry performance;
the
interaction term groupk * predk t captures the differential sensi-
tivity of group firms. If group firms are less sensitive, as
tunnel-
ing would predict, then c should be negative. Note that because
the regression is expressed in performance levels, the magnitude
of the effects can easily be interpreted.
Column (1) displays our basic result. A one-rupee shock leads
to about a one-rupee (1.05) increase in earnings for a stand-
alone
firm. For a group firm, it leads to .3 rupee smaller increase, or
only a .75 rupee increase.29 This suggests that 30 percent of all
the money placed into a group firm is somehow dissipated.
In Table I we saw that stand-alone firms are smaller and
older on average than group firms. This could confound our
esti-
mate of the effect of group affiliation if size or age affects a
firm's
responsiveness to shocks. In column (2) we include an
interaction
between the logarithm of total assets and the industry shock. In
column (3) we do the same for age. In column (4) we include
both
interactions simultaneously. The direct effects are always in-
cluded. From these, it is clear that both size and age do affect
the
responsiveness to shocks. But it is also clear that the difference
between group and stand-alone firms remains significant even in
the presence of additional controls.30 In short, the data support
the first prediction.
28. The inclusion of firm fixed effects deals with several issues.
First, even
though we are using level of predicted performance, we are
identifying off of
changes in predicted performance, hence our use of the term
"shocks" throughout
the paper. Second, the fixed effects account for any inherent,
fixed differences
between firms. Third, because firms do not change groups in our
sample, the firm
fixed effects also account for any fixed differences between
groups.
29. We have also estimated this and all regressions below
excluding small
groups, which we define as groups with less than five firms in
the CMIE data. The
results were not affected when we restrict ourselves to that
subsample.
30. We have also attempted more flexible specifications by
allowing for more
nonlinear terms for size and age in the interaction. These
produced identical
results.
134 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The second prediction provides a more stringent test: within-
group firms, high-cash-flow-right firms should show greater
sen-
sitivity to own shocks. We estimate for the set of group firms
(2) perfkt = a + b(predkt) + c(cashk * predkt)
+ d(controlskt) + Firmk + Timet,
where cashk is the cash flow rights of the controlling party in
firm
k, measured either with director or other ownership. The inter-
action term, cashk * predkt, measures differential sensitivity by
level of cash flow rights. Under the tunneling hypothesis, we
would expect c > 0.31
Panel A of Table III uses director equity as the proxy for cash
flow rights. Column (1) shows that group firms where director
equity is higher are more sensitive to their own industry shock.
Each one-percentage point increase in director equity increases
the sensitivity to a one-rupee industry shock by .03 rupee.
Recall
that among group firms, the average difference in director own-
ership between the firm with the greatest and the firm with the
lowest director ownership was about 15. Thus, for each rupee of
industry shock, the typical firm with the highest director owner-
ship is .45 rupee more sensitive than the typical firm with the
lowest director ownership. This suggests that group firms with
high controlling party's cash flow rights may be as sensitive to
the
marginal rupee as stand-alone firms. The magnitude of this
effect
is striking and suggests that ownership plays a large role in the
extent of the sensitivity.
To assess whether the findings in column (1) capture some
aspects of director ownership that are unrelated to group mem-
bership, we reestimate equation (2) in column (3) on the sub-
sample of stand-alone firms. We find that director ownership
also
increases the responsiveness to shocks for stand-alone firms.
The
effect, however, is quantitatively much smaller, only a sixth of
the
size of the effect for group firms (.004 versus .025 for group
firms).
In columns (2) and (4) we allow for the effect of own industry
shock to differ by firm size and firm age. These additional
controls
do not alter the estimated coefficient on "Own shock - director
equity" for the sample of group firms (column (2)). They do,
however, lead to an increase in the coefficient on "Own shock -
31. When we use "Other ownership" in the interaction, we
expect a negative
term since this measure is negatively related to cash flow rights.
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 135
TABLE III
SENSITIVITY TO OWN SHOCK BY DIRECTOR AND OTHER
OWNERSHIP
DEPENDENT VARIABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT
Panel A: Director equity
Sample:
Stand- Stand-
Groups Groups alones alones
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Own shock .713 -5.075 1.058 -4.316
(.009) (.742) (.006) (.518)
Own shock * director
equity .025 .030 .004 .019
(.003) (.003) (.001) (.001)
Ln assets .052 4.261 -.590 1.568
(.733) (.807) (.176) (.178)
Own shock * In assets .118 .201
(.008) (.006)
Own shock * year of incorp. .002 .002
(.000) (.000)
Sample size 7521 7510 11079 11078
Adjusted R2 .92 .93 .95 .96
Panel B: Other ownership
Sample:
Stand- Stand-
Groups Groups alones alones
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Own shock .919 -5.764 1.033 -3.983
(.023) (.743) (.052) (.603)
Own shock * other ownership -.007 -.007 .001 .002
(.001) (.001) (.000) (.000)
Ln assets 1.616 5.189 -.292 2.049
(.724) (.806) (.166) (.180)
Own shock * In assets .103 .154
(.008) (.006)
Own shock * year of incorp. .003 .002
(.003) (.000)
Sample size 7521 7510 11079 11078
Adjusted R2 .92 .93 .95 .96
a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian
Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary
variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore
represents 10 million.
b. All regressions also include year fixed effect and firm fixed
effects.
c. Standard errors are in parentheses.
136 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
director equity" in the sample of stand-alone firms (.019 instead
of
.004). Because standard errors are relatively small, we can still
reject that the effect of director ownership on industry shock
sensitivity is the same between group firms and stand-alone
firms. More director equity increases the responsiveness of a
firm
to its own industry shock, and this effect is significantly larger
among group firms.
In Panel B of Table III we use our other proxy for direct
cash flow rights, the ownership stake of other small sharehold-
ers. As predicted, we find that the sensitivity of a group firm to
its own industry shock decreases with its level of other own-
ership. A one-percentage point increase in other ownership
decreases the responsiveness of a group firm to a one-rupee
shock by about .01 rupee (column (1)). Given that the average
spread between highest and lowest other ownership among
group firms is about 33, the implied magnitude of the effect is
the same as in Panel A. Among stand-alone firms (column (3))
the effect of other ownership is of the opposite sign and eco-
nomically small. Finally, note that the coefficient on "Own
shock * other ownership" is roughly unaffected by the inclusion
of controls for firm age and firm size interacted with own
industry shock (columns (2) and (4) for group and stand-alone
firms, respectively).
In summary, these results in Table III are consistent with
the idea that fewer resources are tunneled out of the group firms
where the promoting family has higher equity stakes and where
there are fewer minority shareholders to expropriate. In fact,
group firms where the controlling party has a large stake show
the same sensitivity to their own industry shocks as stand-alone
firms.
III.F. Sensitivity to Group Shocks
We now examine whether a firm responds to shocks affecting
other firms in its group (prediction 3). We estimate
(3) perfkt= a + b(predkt) + c(opredkt) + d(controlskt)
+ Firmk + Timet,
where opredkl = 2j#k predj0v the sum being over all other firms
in the same business group (excluding the firm itself). A
positive
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 137
TABLE IV
SENSITIVITY OF GROUP FIRMS TO GROUP AND
SUBGROUP SHOCKS
DEPENDENT VARIABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Own shock .730 .732 .732 .732 .732
(.009) (.009) (.009) (.009) (.009)
Group shock .011
(.001)
Shock below median .016
(director equity) (.002)
Shock above median -.002
(director equity) (.005)
Shock below 66th pctile .015
(director equity) (.002)
Shock above 66th pctile -.001
(director equity) (.001)
Shock above median .014
(other ownership) (.002)
Shock below median - .007
(other ownership) (.004)
Shock above 33rd pctile .017
(other ownership) (.002)
Shock below 33rd pctile -.002
(other ownership) (.004)
Sample size 7521 7521 7521 7521 7521
Adjusted R2 .93 .92 .92 .92 .92
a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian
Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary
variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore
represents 10 million.
b. Sample is group firms only.
c. "Shock below median (director equity)" is a variable that
sums the industry shocks to all the firms in
the same group (excluding the firm itself) that have below
median level of director ownership in their group.
All the other subgroup shocks are defined accordingly.
d. Also included in each regression are the logarithm of total
assets, year fixed effects, and firm fixed
effects.
e. Standard errors are in parentheses.
coefficient on opredkt suggests that firms within a group are in
fact sensitive to each other's shocks.32
In column (1) of Table IV we find a moderate response of
group firms to each other's shocks. The coefficient on "Group
shock" of .011 suggests that for each rupee earned by the group,
an average firm in the group receives .011 rupee. Since we
know
that group firms underreact by about 1 - .73 = .27 rupee to a
32. Note that we control for the firm's own shock, predkt. This
control means
that we do not confuse an overlap of industry between firms in
the same group
with a flow of cash within that group.
138 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
one-rupee shock and since there are about fifteen firms in each
group, this coefficient implies that about 61 percent of the
money
that is tunneled out reappears elsewhere in the group.33
The next prediction of tunneling (prediction 4) is that the
source of the shock matters: firms should respond more to
groups
affecting low-cash-flow-right firms than to groups affecting
high-
cash-flow-right firms. We study this prediction in columns (2)
to
(5). We define Hopredkt as the sum of shocks affecting all high
cash-flow-right firms in k's group and Lopredkt as the
equivalent
sum for low-cash-flow-right firms. We then estimate
(4) perfkt= a + b(predkt) + cL(Lopredkt) + CH(Hopredkt)
+ d(controlskt) + Firmk + Timet.
If group firms are in fact more sensitive to groups to the firms
with low cash flow rights, we should find that CL > CH.
In column (2) we classify a group's firms as low- or high-cash-
flow-right using the median director equity in that group as a
threshold. We find that firms show greater sensitivity to shocks
affecting the low-cash-flow-right firms in their group. A one-
rupee
shock to firms below group median in terms of director
ownership
increases the average group firm's earnings by .02 rupee. By
contrast, the average group firm's earnings do not respond to
industry shocks to firms in the high-cash-flow-right group. Col-
umn (3) instead contrasts shocks to firms below and above the
sixty-sixth percentile of director equity in their group. This iso-
lates a smaller group of firms in the high-cash-flow-right group
and allows resources to be equally skimmed from a larger
number
of firms. The results are very similar.
In column (4) we classify a group's firms as low- or high-cash-
flow-right using the median other shareholders' equity in that
group as a threshold. In this case, we find that the average
group
firm is equally sensitive to shocks to the two subgroups. In col-
umn (5) we isolate a larger set of firms with low cash flow
rights
by using the thirty-third percentile of other shareholders' equity
as the breaking point. The results suggest that few to no re-
sources are transferred from the subgroup of firms with low
levels
of other equity. In contrast, the coefficient on the shock to firms
33. The remaining 39 percent may be a dissipation factor,
suggesting real
costs of redistribution. Alternatively, it may reflect
redistribution to firms that are
not in our sample. Most notably, tunneling may occur through
nonpublic firms
such as holding companies, which are not represented in our
data set.
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 139
TABLE V
SENSITWITY TO GROUP SHOCK BY LEVEL OF DIRECTOR
OWNERSHIP IN GROUP
DEPENDENT VARLABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)
Below topmost
Level in group: Lower 2/3 Top 1/3 firm Topmost firm
Own shock .62 .89 .63 .63 .63 1.01 1.01 1.01
(.01) (.02) (.01) (.01) (.01) (.02) (.02) (.02)
Group shock .013 .010 .012 - .020 -
(.002) (.002) (.001) (.008)
Shock below 66th pctile - - .015 - - .032
(director equity) (.002) (.012)
Shock above 66th pctile - - .003 - .007
(director equity) (.006) (.018)
Shock below 33rd pctile - - - - -.000 - -.013
(other ownership) (.004) (.025)
Shock above 33rd pctile - - - .017 - .034
(other ownership) (.002) (.011)
Sample size 4905 2616 5780 5780 5780 1741 1741 1741
Adjusted R2 .90 .95 .90 .97 .97 .97 .97 .97
a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian
Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary
variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore
represents 10 million.
b. Firms are separated into different "Level in group" based on
their within-group level of director equity.
For example, "Topmost Firm" are the set of firms that have the
highest level of director ownership in their
group.
c. Also included in each regression are the logarithm of total
assets, year fixed effects, and firm fixed
effects.
d. Standard errors are in parentheses.
with high levels of other equity is large (about .02) and statisti-
cally significant. These results complement the findings in
Table
III: not only are more resources "disappearing" from low-cash-
flow right firms, these resources are also the ones more likely to
"'show up" elsewhere in the group.
III. G. Does Money Go to the Top?
In Table V we test the final prediction of tunneling: resources
should disproportionately flow toward high-cash-flow-right
firms.
We rank firms based on their within-group level of director
equity
and construct four different subsamples: firms with below the
sixty-sixth percentile of director equity in their group, firms
with
above the sixty-sixth percentile of director equity in their
group,
firms with strictly less than the highest level of director equity
in
their group, and firms with the highest level of director equity
in
their group. We compare sensitivity to group shocks and sub-
140 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
group shocks for firms in the four different samples by
reestimat-
ing equations (3) and (4) separately for these samples. In
addition
to the variables reported in the table, each regression includes
the
logarithm of total assets, year fixed effects, and firm fixed
effects.
The dependent variable in all regressions is still profit before
depreciation, interest, and taxes.
When we contrast firms above and below the sixty-sixth
percentile in director equity (columns (1) and (2)), we find no
statistically significant differences in their sensitivity to the
over-
all group shock. In fact, the point estimate on "Group shock" is
higher for firms with low levels of director ownership (.013
versus
.010).34 In columns (3) to (6), we contrast the sensitivity to the
group shock for the firms with the highest level of director own-
ership in their group compared with that for all other firms in
the
group. With this split of the data, the theoretically expected
patterns emerge. Firms at the very top gain about .02 rupee for
every one-rupee shock to their group (column (6)). All the other
firms gain only .012 rupee for the same one-rupee shock
(column
(3)). Because standard errors are rather large in column (6),
however, these two estimates are not statistically different.
Interestingly, when we break down the overall group shock
into two subshocks, the results become even more suggestive.
We
find that top firms gain between .032 and .034 rupee for every
one-rupee shock to group firms either below the sixty-sixth per-
centile in terms of director equity or above the thirty-third per-
centile in terms of other ownership (columns (7) and (8)). All
the
other firms gain between .015 and .017 rupee on average for the
same subshocks (columns (4) and (5)). To summarize, these re-
sults give some evidence that the firms with the highest level of
director equity in their group seem to benefit most from shocks
to
the rest of the group. Moreover, these firms benefit the most
from
shocks to firms with low director equity or higher other share-
holders' ownership.
III.H. Alternative Explanations
Although these findings match the predictions of the tunnel-
ing hypothesis, other possible explanations need to be consid-
ered.35 First, suppose that group firms are more diversified than
34. Similar results follow if we use median cutoffs.
35. A purely mechanical explanation could be that cross-
ownership between
firms generate dividend payments that look like tunneling. This
effect, however,
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 141
stand-alones and low-cash-flow-right ones are more diversified
than high-cash-flow-right ones. Then the reduced sensitivity to
the industry shock could reflect mismeasurement of these firms'
industries. We investigate these questions directly by using de-
tailed product data to construct diversification measures. For
these measures, we find no difference between group and non-
group firms. Nor do we find any difference between high- and
low-cash-flow-right group firms in the extent of their
diversifica-
tion. This suggests that differences in industry mismeasurement
do not drive our findings.36
Another possibility is that coinsurance between group firms
generates both reduced sensitivity to own shock and redistribu-
tion between firms. Such coinsurance may be common in coun-
tries such as India, where capital markets are still nascent
[Khanna and Palepu 2000]. Insurance may also take a financing
form in which a rich group firm invests in other firms' products,
essentially forming a groupwide internal capital market. A sim-
ple coinsurance scheme, however, could not generate all of our
results. Specifically, why do high-cash-flow-right firms
systemati-
cally receive less insurance or financing? More generally, why
does cash flow in only one direction, from low- to high-cash-
flow-
right firms?
For an insurance story to accommodate our findings, high-
cash-flow-right firms within a group would have to be better
providers of insurance or financing. We test this hypothesis in
several ways and find no evidence for it. First, we find no
differ-
ence in cash richness (a proxy for ease of insurance provision)
between high- and low-cash-flow-right group firms. Second, we
find that adding an interaction of industry cash richness with
the
various shock measures does not affect the results. Finally, to
examine the possibility that these results reflect internal capital
markets, we control for the extent of borrowing between firms
in
a group. This also does not affect the results. As a whole, we
find
little support for these alternative explanations.
would be too small to explain our results. Moreover, our results
do not change
when we exclude "earnings from dividends" from our measure
of earnings.
36. All the results in this section are described in detail in
Bertrand, Mehta,
and Mullainathan [2000] as well as in Tables C and D of the
unpublished
appendix.
142 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VI
SHOCK SENSITIVITY: AN ACCOUNTING DECOMPOSITION
Panel A: Sensitivity to own shock
Sample: Groups Stand-alones
Dep. variable:
Operating profits 1.22 1.17
(.018) (.009)
Nonoperating profits -.478 -.103
(.014) (.006)
Panel B: Sensitivity to own shock by director ownership
Sample: Groups Stand-alones
Dep. variable:
Operating profits .0123 .0082
(.0056) (.0013)
Nonoperating profits .0131 -0.0038
(.0043) (.0008)
Panel C: Sensitivity to group shock by level of director
ownership in group
Sample: Topmost firm Below topmost firm
Dep. variable:
Operating profits .0066 .0114
(.0128) (.0026)
Nonoperating profits .0134 .0006
(.0078) (.0020)
a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian
Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary
variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore
represents 10 million.
b. Each coefficient contains the result of a separate regression
in which the dependent variable is either
operating profits or nonoperating profits, as indicated. In Panel
A the reported coefficient is the coefficient on
"Own shock." In Panel B the reported coefficient is the
coefficient on "Own shock * director equity." In Panel
C, the reported coefficient is the coefficient on "Group Shock."
Also indicated in each regression are the
logarithm of total assets, year fixed effects, firm fixed effects,
and "Own shock" (Panels B and C).
c. In Panel C the subsamples are for group firms only. Topmost
firm and below topmost firms are defined
using director's equity. For example, 'Topmost firm" are the set
of firms that have the highest level of director
ownership in their group.
d. Standard errors are in parentheses.
IV. OTHER RESULTS
IV.A. An Accounting Decomposition
If business groups in India are indeed tunneling resources, as
the evidence so far strongly suggests, how are they doing it? We
address this question in Table VI where we replicate the
previous
analysis but replace our standard profits measure with other
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 143
balance sheet items. More formally, we decompose profits into
two components. Profits = Operating Profits + Nonoperating
Profits. Operating profits are defined as sales minus total raw
material expenses minus energy expenses minus wages and sal-
aries.37 Nonoperating profits are the "residual." They include
such diverse items as write-offs for bad debts, interest income,
amortization, extraordinary items, and unspecified items.
Panel A of Table VI compares the sensitivity of group and
stand-alone firms to their own shock for these two measures (as
in
Table II). Each entry in this panel is the coefficient on "Own
shock" from a separate regression. We see in the first row that
group firms' operating profits are, if anything, more sensitive to
their own industry shock.38 It is on nonoperating profits that
group firms are far less sensitive to their own shock. More spe-
cifically, nonoperating profits seem to fall when there is a
positive
shock to a firm's industry. Although nonoperating profits
decline
moderately in stand-alone firms, the fall is much larger for
group
firms.
In Panel B we examine the differential sensitivity to own
industry shock by the controlling party's cash flow rights (as in
Table III). Each entry in this panel belongs to a separate regres-
sion. For simplicity, we only report in this table the coefficient
on
"Own shock * director equity." Each regression also includes
the
logarithm of total assets, firm fixed effects, year fixed effects,
and
the direct effect of "Own shock." As a benchmark, we report in
the
second column the equivalent regressions for stand-alone firms.
The first row shows that there is little evidence of tunneling in
operating profits. While group firms' sensitivity rises with
direc-
tor equity, stand-alone firms show a nearly equivalent rise. The
difference is only about .004. In the second row, however, we
see
a much greater effect on nonoperating profits. The difference
between group and stand-alone firms is around .017, or four
times
the difference on operating profits.
In Panel C we examine how each of the two profit measures
respond to the group shock (as in Table V). Each entry
represents
the coefficient on "Group shock" from a separate regression
which
includes year and firm fixed effects, the logarithm of total
assets,
37. Total raw material expenses include raw material expenses,
stores and
spares, packaging expenses, and purchase of finished goods for
resale.
38. In all regressions in Table VI, the shock measure relates as
before to total
industry profits (operating and nonoperating). So, the shock
measures have not
changed, only the dependent variables have.
144 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
and own shock. These results complement those of Panels A and
B since they tell us about the mechanisms for tunneling money
into a firm. We find a pattern very similar to that in Panels A
and
B. Much of the differential sensitivity of high- and low-cash-
flow-
right firms to the group shock occurs on nonoperating profits.
Hence, according to the findings in Table VI, the tunneling of
money both into and out of firms in India occurs through nonop-
erating profits.39 This implies that transfer pricing (which
would
affect operating profits) is not an important source of tunneling
in
India. Moreover, it suggests that nonoperating profits may be a
force that moves in the opposite direction of operating profits
and
serves to dampen final earnings. In unreported regressions, we
examine this by simply regressing a firm's nonoperating profits
on its operating profits, while controlling for size, year
dummies,
and firm fixed effects. As expected, we find a strong negative
coefficient. When we interact operating profits in this
regression
with a variety of variables, we find results quite similar to our
tunneling findings. Group firms show a much more negative
relationship between operating and nonoperating profits. Also,
among group firms, the ones with low cash flow rights show the
most negative relationship. This evidence reinforces the view
that
manipulation of nonoperating profits is a primary means of re-
moving cash from and placing cash into group firms in India.
IV.B. Market Valuation
Given our findings so far, it is natural to ask whether stock
prices reflect the extent of this tunneling. Does the market pe-
nalize firms or groups which show more evidence of tunneling?
To
address this issue, we compute for each firms an average "q"
ratio. We do this by first regressing standard firm level market-
to-book ratios on log(total assets), year fixed effects, industry
fixed effects, and firm fixed effects. The value of the firm fixed
effect in this regression is the variable we call "Firm Q." Our q
measure is, therefore, the market premium for the firm relative
to
other firms in its industry, size class, and year. We also
compute
an average q ratio for each group. To do this, we estimate a
similar regression at the firm level but include group fixed
effects
instead of firm fixed effects. The group fixed effects from these
39. We have attempted further decomposition of nonoperating
profits and
found no consistent pattern. No one subcomponent of
nonoperating profits is
systematically more important. This may be because different
firms tunnel in
different waqvq
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 145
TABLE VII
SENSITRVITY TO OWN AND GROUP SHOCK BY FIRM
AND GROUP Q RATIOS
DEPENDENT VARIABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Own shock -.046 .388 .600 .049
(.056) (.027) (.017) (.060)
Own shock * firm Q .178 - .143
(.013) (.016)
Own shock * relative Q .143
(.011)
Own shock * group Q .414 .171
(.037) (.044)
Group shock -.008 .010 .011 -.008
(.003) (.002) (.003) (.004)
Group shock * firm Q .012 .012
(.001) (.001)
Group shock * relative Q .008
(.001)
Group shock * group Q - .006 -.001
(.007) (.006)
Adjusted 2 .94 .94 .93 .94
a. a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian
Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary
variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore
represents 10 million.
b. Sample is group firms only.
c. 'Firm Q" is a variable that represents the estimated firm fixed
effects in a regression of firm-level q
ratios (market valuation over total assets) on log(total assets),
year fixed effects, industry fixed effects, and
firm fixed effects. "Group Q" is a variable that represents the
estimated group fixed effects in a regression of
firm-level q ratios on log(total assets), year fixed effects,
industry fixed effects, and group fixed effects.
"Relative Q" is the difference between "Firm Q" and the mean
of "Firm Q" within groups.
d. Also included in each regression are the logarithm of total
assets, year fixed effects, and firm fixed
effects.
e. Standard errors are in parentheses.
regressions define the variable we call "Group Q." Finally, we
form a "Relative Q" measure for each firm, which equals its
own
q minus its group q, and captures a firm's performance relative
to
the rest of the group.
In Table VII we examine how these new variables influence
the sensitivity of a firm to its own shock and to the group
shock.
In column (1) we show that firms with higher q are more
sensitive
to both their own shock and to the group shock. Under the
tunneling interpretation, this suggests that firms that have more
money transferred to them and less money taken away from
them
have higher q ratios. In column (3) we see the same pattern for
relative q. In column (3) we see that the groups with the highest
q ratios are those with firms that show higher sensitivity to their
own shock, and thus have less money taken away from them.
The
146 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
coefficient on group shock interacted with "Group Q" is
positive
but insignificant. In column (4) we include interactions of the
shock measures with both "Firm Q" and "Group Q." The results
are qualitatively similar.
The findings in this section suggest that the stock market (at
least partly) recognizes tunneling and incorporates it into
pricing.
Firms that have more resources tunneled to them are valued
more by the market. Firms that have less money tunneled away
from them are also valued more. Finally, groups that tunnel less
money are valued more. These results complement previous em-
pirical findings that market valuations positively correlate with
the controlling shareholders' cash flow rights.40
V. CONCLUSION
We have developed a fairly general empirical methodology
for quantifying tunneling in business groups. We examined
whether shocks propagate between firms in a business group in
accord with the controlling shareholder's ownership in each
firm.
We applied the methodology in Indian data and found
significant
amounts of tunneling, mostly via nonoperating components of
profits. We also found that market prices partly incorporate
tunneling.
These results raise some questions. If groups expropriate
minority shareholders so much, how do they persist? WVhy do
minority shareholders buy into them in the first place? We feel
that there are three broad possibilities. First, groups may grow
through acquisitions. If this is the case, and markets are
efficient,
then the act of takeover would generate a one-time drop in share
price amounting to the extent of tunneling. Second,
shareholders
may not recognize the extent of tunneling that takes place in
groups. For example, the lack of detailed ownership information
may make it difficult for shareholders to figure out with great
reliability which group firms are high- and which are low-cash-
flow-right firms. Finally, groups may provide other benefits,
which offset the costs imposed by tunneling. To cite one
example,
they may provide important political contacts, which are quite
40. For example, Bianchi, Bianco, and Enriques [1999],
Claessens, Djankov,
Fan, and Lang [1999], and Claessens, Djankov, and Lang
[2000]). In the Indian
data we find that firms with a higher level of other equity
within a group have a
lower q ratio. We do not, however, find a significant
relationship between level of
director ownership and q ratio within groups.
FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 147
valuable in a heavily regulated economy. Given the extent of
tunneling found here, assessing the relevance of each of these
possibilities appears to be an important direction for future
research.
UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO GRADUATE SCHOOL OF
BUSINESS, NATIONAL BUREAU OF
ECONOMIC RESEARCH, AND CENTRE FOR ECONOMIC
AND POLICY RESEARCH
MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY AND
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC
RESEARCH
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Article Contentsp. 121p. 122p. 123p. 124p. 125p. 126p. 127p.
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148Issue Table of ContentsThe Quarterly Journal of Economics,
Vol. 117, No. 1 (Feb., 2002), pp. 1-377Front MatterThe
Regulation of Entry [pp. 1 - 37]Relational Contracts and the
Theory of the Firm [pp. 39 - 84]Integration versus Outsourcing
in Industry Equilibrium [pp. 85 - 120]Ferreting Out Tunneling:
An Application to Indian Business Groups [pp. 121 - 148]Do
Liquidity Constraints and Interest Rates Matter for Consumer
Behavior? Evidence from Credit Card Data [pp. 149 -
185]Monotone Comparative Statics under Uncertainty [pp. 187
- 223]The Schooling of Southern Blacks: The Roles of Legal
Activism and Private Philanthropy, 1910-1960 [pp. 225 -
268]Junior Can't Borrow: A New Perspective on the Equity
Premium Puzzle [pp. 269 - 296]Technological Acceleration,
Skill Transferability, and the Rise in Residual Inequality [pp.
297 - 338]Information Technology, Workplace Organization,
and the Demand for Skilled Labor: Firm-Level Evidence [pp.
339 - 376]Erratum: The Power of Suggestion: Inertia in 401(k)
Participation and Savings Behavior [p. 377]Back Matter
THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE • VOL. LXIV, NO. 4 • AUGUST
2009
Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies
RONALD W. MASULIS, CONG WANG, and FEI XIE∗
ABSTRACT
Using a sample of U.S. dual-class companies, we examine how
divergence between
insider voting and cash f low rights affects managerial
extraction of private bene-
fits of control. We find that as this divergence widens,
corporate cash holdings are
worth less to outside shareholders, CEOs receive higher
compensation, managers
make shareholder value-destroying acquisitions more often, and
capital expenditures
contribute less to shareholder value. These findings support the
agency hypothesis
that managers with greater excess control rights over cash f low
rights are more prone
to pursue private benefits at shareholders’ expense, and help
explain why firm value
is decreasing in insider excess control rights.
THE SEPARATION OF OWNERSHIP and control has long been
recognized as the
source of the agency problem between managers and
shareholders at public
corporations (Berle and Means (1932), Jensen and Meckling
(1976)), and its
shareholder-value ramification has been the subject of an
extensive literature.1
While most of this research focuses on firms in which voting or
control rights and
cash f low rights are largely aligned, recently some researchers
have started to
examine companies with alternative ownership schemes such as
cross-holding,
pyramidal, and dual-class structures. These alternative
ownership arrange-
ments, which are common in much of the world, often result in
a significant
divergence between insider voting rights and cash f low rights.
This divergence
aggravates the agency conf licts between managers and
shareholders, since in-
siders controlling disproportionally more voting rights than cash
f low rights
bear a smaller proportion of the financial consequences of their
decisions while
∗ Ronald W. Masulis is from the Owen Graduate School of
Management, Vanderbilt University;
Cong Wang is from the Faculty of Business Administration,
Chinese University of Hong Kong; and
Fei Xie is from the School of Management, George Mason
University. We thank Paul Gompers, Joy
Ishii, and Andrew Metrick for generously sharing data on dual-
class companies. We also thank
Cam Harvey (the editor), an anonymous associate editor, an
anonymous referee, Harry DeAngelo,
Mara Faccio, Wi-Saeng Kim, Michael King, Lily Qiu, Anil
Shivdasani, and seminar participants at
Chinese University of Hong Kong, City University of Hong
Kong, Nanyang Technological Univer-
sity, Peking University, San Diego State University, Vanderbilt
University, the 2nd International
Conference on Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, the 13th Mitsui
Life Symposium on Global Financial
Markets, 2007 FMA Annual Meeting, and 2007 European FMA
Meeting for valuable comments.
Cong Wang also acknowledges the financial support of a Direct
Allocation Grant at CUHK (project
ID: 2070391, 07-08).
1 Early studies include Demsetz and Lehn (1985), Morck,
Shleifer, and Vishny (1988), and
McConnell and Servaes (1990). Becht, Bolton, and Roell (2003)
and Morck, Wolfenzon, and Yeung
(2005) provide comprehensive reviews of the literature.
1697
1698 The Journal of Finance R©
having a greater ability to forestall, if not block, changes in
corporate con-
trol that could threaten their private benefits and continued
employment at
the company. Consistent with this intuition, Claessens et al.
(2002), Lemmon
and Lins (2003), Lins (2003), Harvey, Lins, and Roper (2004),
and Gompers,
Ishii, and Metrick (GIM (2009)) document that firm value and
stock returns
are lower as corporate insiders control more voting rights
relative to cash f low
rights.
An important question left unaddressed by prior studies relates
to the chan-
nels through which insider control rights–cash f low rights
divergence leads to
lower shareholder value. Anecdotal evidence suggests that
managerial expro-
priation of outside shareholders may be at work (see the
examples in Johnson
et al. (2000a, 2000b)), but there is no systematic evidence
linking managerial
extraction of private benefits to the control rights–cash f low
rights divergence.
In addition, the examples in Johnson et al. represent rather
blatant expropri-
ations of outside shareholders in countries with poor investor
protection. It
remains to be seen whether acts of managerial malfeasance are
observable in
countries with strong investor protection such as the United
States, and if so,
in what forms they take place. Our study aims to answer these
questions by
analyzing a sample of U.S. dual-class companies. Using both a
ratio measure
and a wedge measure to capture the voting rights–cash f low
rights divergence,
we find four distinctive sets of evidence supporting the
hypothesis that man-
agers with greater control rights in excess of cash f low rights
are more likely
to pursue private benefits at the expense of outside
shareholders.
First, we examine how control rights–cash f low rights
divergence impacts
a firm’s efficiency in utilizing an important corporate resource,
namely, cash
reserves. Cash generally represents a significant proportion of a
firm’s total
assets.2 In the presence of asymmetric information, corporate
cash holding
contributes to firm value by alleviating the underinvestment
problem when
external financing is costly. However, since it is the most liquid
among all cor-
porate assets, cash also provides managers with the most
latitude as to how and
when to spend it, and its value is the most likely to be inf
luenced by agency con-
f licts between managers and shareholders. In other words, a
dollar of corporate
cash holding may not be worth a dollar to outside shareholders,
since managers
may spend part or all of it on the pursuit of private benefits
such as perquisite
consumption, empire building, excessive compensation, and
subsidizing and
sustaining unprofitable projects or divisions.
We use the methodology developed by Faulkender and Wang
(2006) to ana-
lyze the contribution of one extra dollar of cash to firm value,
and find that the
marginal value of cash is decreasing in the divergence between
insider voting
rights and cash f low rights. This is consistent with the
argument that share-
holders anticipate that corporate cash holdings are more likely
to be misused
at companies where insider voting rights are disproportionately
greater than
cash f low rights, and therefore place a lower value on these
highly fungible
corporate assets.
2 The average ratio of cash to the book value of total assets is
over 12% in our sample companies.
Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies 1699
In our second avenue of inquiry, we analyze how insider control
rights–cash
f low rights divergence affects the level of CEO compensation.
Executive com-
pensation is among the central issues in the current debate over
the effects
of weak corporate governance, and exorbitant CEO pay
packages have been
widely regarded as a major form of private benefits and a
symbol of bad gover-
nance. Excessive CEO compensation is also a direct way of
shifting wealth from
shareholders to managers. Consistent with our evidence on the
market value
of cash, we find that ceteris paribus, excess CEO pay is
significantly higher
at companies with a wider divergence between insider voting
and cash f low
rights.
In a third line of analysis, we evaluate the acquisition decisions
made by
dual-class companies. Corporate acquisitions represent an ideal
setting for our
analysis, because they are among the largest firm investments
and can lead to
heightened conf licts of interest between managers and
shareholders. It is well
documented that managers sometimes use acquisitions as a
channel to extract
private benefits at the expense of shareholders.3 In a
multivariate regression
framework, we find that as insider control rights–cash f low
rights divergence
widens, acquiring companies experience lower announcement-
period abnormal
stock returns, are more likely to experience negative
announcement-period ab-
normal stock returns, and are less likely to withdraw
acquisitions that the
stock market perceives as shareholder value destroying.4 These
results sug-
gest that as insiders control more voting rights relative to cash f
low rights,
they are more likely to make shareholder value-destroying
acquisitions that
benefit themselves.
Finally, we examine firms’ capital expenditure decisions as
another channel
of empire building and private benefits extraction. We study
how insider control
rights–cash f low rights divergence affects the contribution of
capital expendi-
tures to shareholder value. We focus on large capital
expenditure increases,
and evaluate their shareholder wealth effects using the same
framework we
employed for the analysis of the market value of cash. We find
that ceteris
paribus, capital expenditures contribute significantly less to
shareholder value
at firms with a greater divergence between insider voting rights
and cash f low
rights, suggesting that managers at these companies are more
likely to make
large capital investments to advance their own interests.
We make two major contributions to the literature. First, our
results shed
direct light on the issue of how insider control rights–cash f low
rights diver-
gence leads to lower shareholder value. We show that misusing
corporate cash
reserves, demanding excessive remuneration, engaging in
shareholder value-
destroying acquisitions, and making poor capital expenditure
decisions are four
possible avenues for corporate insiders to secure private
benefits at the expense
3 See Jensen and Ruback (1983), Jarrell, Brickley, and Netter
(1988), and Andrade, Mitchell,
and Stafford (2001) for comprehensive reviews of the literature
at various stages.
4 We measure the announcement-period cumulative abnormal
return (CAR) experienced by each
acquirer’s inferior-class stock, because the CAR experienced by
the superior-class stock is con-
founded by the private benefits of control that holders of
superior-class shares enjoy. Besides, most
superior-class stocks are not publicly traded.
1700 The Journal of Finance R©
of outside shareholders. By bridging the gap between ownership
structure and
firm value through examining specific corporate decisions and
policies, our
study helps alleviate the often raised concern about spurious
correlation in the
documented relations between ownership structure and firm
value proxied by
either Tobin’s Q or stock returns (Claessens et al. (2002),
Lemmon and Lins
(2003), Lins (2003), Harvey et al. (2004), GIM (2009)).
Second, our results further our understanding of why superior-
voting shares
command a premium in the marketplace over inferior-voting
shares. The pre-
vailing explanation is that insiders controlling the voting rights
extract pri-
vate benefits from the companies they run (Lease, McConnell,
and Mikkelson
(1983), DeAngelo and DeAngelo (1985), Zingales (1995),
Nenova (2003), Dyck
and Zingales (2004)), but there is no substantive evidence to
support the claim.
The findings we present in the paper fill this void.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section I
describes the
sample of dual-class companies used in this study. Sections II,
III, IV, and V
present our analyses of the market value of cash, CEO
compensation, acquisi-
tion decisions, and the market value of large capital
expenditures, respectively.
Section VI reports results from additional tests including a
subsample analy-
sis where insiders hold high voting rights, corrections for
sample selection and
endogeneity, an analysis of voting premium, and a comparison
of agency prob-
lems between dual-class companies and single-class companies.
Section VII
concludes.
I. Dual-Class Sample Description
We obtain a comprehensive list of dual-class companies that
GIM (2009) con-
struct from the universe of U.S. public firms over the 1994–
2002 period. More
than 6% of firms covered by Compustat have a dual-class
structure, and they
represent about 8% of the total market capitalization of
Compustat firms. A
typical dual-class company has two classes of stock: the
superior class, which
has multiple votes per share and is not publicly traded, and the
inferior class,
which has one vote per share and is generally publicly traded.
For each class
of stock, GIM collect information on the voting rights per share,
the dividend
rights per share, the number of shares outstanding, and the
number of shares
held by officers and directors, that is, insiders, as a group. They
use this in-
formation to calculate the percentages of voting rights and cash
f low rights
controlled by insiders in each company.
We experiment with two measures to capture the divergence
between in-
sider voting rights and cash f low rights, or excess control
rights hereafter for
brevity. The first measure comes from Lemmon and Lins
(2003), Lins (2003),
and Harvey et al. (2004), and is equal to the ratio of the
percentage of a firm’s
voting rights controlled by insiders to the percentage of cash f
low rights con-
trolled by insiders. The second measure is used in studies by
Claessens et al.
(2002), Villalonga and Amit (2006), and GIM (2009), and is
defined as the dif-
ference between the insider-controlled percentages of voting
rights and cash
f low rights. Both measures increase with insider voting rights
and decrease
Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies 1701
with insider cash f low rights, and thus positively capture the
degree of the sep-
aration of ownership and control due to the dual-class structure.
The larger the
two measures, the greater the incentives of insiders to extract
private benefits.5
Since the two measures give us very similar results throughout
our analysis,
we only present the evidence based on the ratio measure.6
II. Analysis of the Market Value of Corporate Cash Holdings
A. Model Specification and Variable Definitions
To examine how excess control rights affect the contribution of
cash to firm
value, we build on the framework developed by Faulkender and
Wang (2006),
who study the relation between the marginal value of cash and
corporate fi-
nancial policies. They find that the value of an extra dollar of
cash decreases
with a firm’s cash position and leverage, but increases with a
firm’s financial
constraints. We augment their model by introducing the excess
control rights
measure. Specifically, our regression equation is specified as
follows:
ri,t − R Bi,t = β0 + β1 ×
�Cashi,t
Mktcapi,t−1
+ β2 × Excess control rightsi,t−1 × �Cashi,tMktcapi,t−1
+ β3 × Excess control rightsi,t−1 + γ ′ X + εi,t . (1)
The dependent variable in equation (1) is the excess return of a
firm’s inferior-
class stock over fiscal year t. Faulkender and Wang calculate
excess returns by
subtracting the Fama–French size and book-to-market portfolio
returns (R Bi,t )
from the raw returns of the inferior-class stock (ri,t ). A
potential problem with
this approach is that a firm’s market-to-book ratio is
endogenous, which could
affect the interpretation of our results.7 Therefore, we
alternatively compute
excess returns by subtracting the value-weighted industry
returns from the
raw returns of the inferior-class stock, where industries are
defined based on
the Fama–French (1997) 48-industry classification (see the
Appendix for defi-
nitions of all variables).
On the right-hand side of equation (1), �Cashi,t is a firm’s
unexpected change
in cash from year t − 1 to t, with the firm’s cash position at the
end of year
t − 1 taken to be its expected cash level in year t. Since
�Cashi,t is scaled by
the market value of equity at the end of year t − 1 (Mktcapi,t
−1), its coefficient
β1 measures the dollar change in shareholder wealth for a one-
dollar change in
corporate cash holdings. To test whether excess control rights
affect the market
valuation of a firm’s cash holdings, we interact excess control
rights with scaled
�Cashi,t and include the interaction term as an explanatory
variable. We expect
5 An implicit assumption commonly made in the insider voting
and cash f low rights literature, at
least since Morck et al. (1988), is that insiders act as a
homogenous unit. Although this assumption
is very plausible for most situations, it is possible that insiders
can at times have conf licting
objectives. This risk can create incentives for some insiders to
hold larger voting blocks.
6 See our earlier working paper (available at SSRN:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=961158) for parallel
evidence based on the wedge between insider voting rights and
cash f low rights.
7 We thank the referee for pointing this out and suggesting the
alternative approach that follows.
1702 The Journal of Finance R©
the coefficient of the interaction term, β2, to be negative, since
excess control
rights can exacerbate the manager–shareholder conf lict and
lead to inefficient
use of cash. We also include excess control rights as a separate
control variable
to make sure that the interaction term does not merely pick up
the effect of
excess control rights itself.
As in Faulkender and Wang (2006), the vector X comprises
firm-specific char-
acteristics that can be simultaneously correlated with changes in
cash and ex-
cess stock returns. These variables measure a firm’s financial
and investment
policies during the past fiscal year, including net financing over
year t − 1 to
t, changes in earnings before extraordinary items plus interest,
deferred tax
credits, and investment tax credits, changes in total assets net of
cash, changes
in R&D, changes in interest expense, and changes in
dividends.8 We also fol-
low Faulkender and Wang by including two interaction terms as
explanatory
variables. The first interaction is between changes in cash and a
firm’s prior
cash position, and the second is between the change in cash and
firm leverage.
Faulkender and Wang find that the marginal value of cash
decreases with both
a company’s prior cash holdings and its leverage.
Similar to Dittmar and Mahrt-Smith (2007), we introduce a third
interaction
term between the change in cash and the degree of a firm’s
financial constraints,
since Faulkender and Wang show that the marginal value of
cash increases with
the degree of financial constraint. Following prior studies
(Almeida, Campello,
and Weisbach (2004), Faulkender and Wang (2006), Dittmar
and Mahrt-Smith
(2007)), we use a firm’s total payout ratio to measure the degree
to which a firm
is financially constrained. Total payout is defined as the sum of
dividends and
stock repurchases scaled by book value of total assets.
Following Grullon and
Michaely (2002), stock repurchases are calculated as the dollar
amount spent
on the purchase of common and preferred stocks minus any
decrease in the
redemption value of the preferred stock. We create an indicator
variable that
is equal to 1 if a firm’s total payout ratio is below the annual
sample median,
and interact it with change in cash.
B. Regression Results
We match the dual-class sample of GIM (2009) to the
Compustat and CRSP
databases to obtain annual financial statement and daily stock
return infor-
mation. Daily stock returns over an entire fiscal year are
required to compute
annual excess returns. Two consecutive fiscal years of financial
statement data
are required to construct many of the explanatory variables in
equation (1).
The final sample consists of 2,440 firm-year observations from
1995 to 2003
for 503 dual-class companies. Table I presents the summary
statistics for this
sample. Insiders hold on average 66.8% of voting rights and
only 39.4% of cash
f low rights, resulting in a significant divergence between their
voting rights
and cash f low rights. Indeed, the mean ratio of insider voting
rights to cash
8 Similar to the change in cash, these variables are also scaled
by the firm’s market capitalization
at the beginning of the fiscal year.
Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies 1703
Table I
Summary Statistics—Analysis of the Market Value of Cash
Holdings
The sample consists of 2,440 firm-years for 503 dual-class
companies from 1995 to 2003. Variable
definitions are given in the Appendix.
Mean Std. Q1 Median Q3
Firm ownership structure
Insiders’ cash f low rights 0.394 0.215 0.228 0.366 0.541
Insiders’ voting rights 0.668 0.235 0.508 0.699 0.862
Ratio 2.208 2.064 1.309 1.669 2.342
Excess stock returns of inferior class during the fiscal year
(r − RB) 0.029 0.771 −0.328 −0.055 0.226
Firm characteristics
Total assets (in $ millions) 2,181 7,148 161 500 1,438
Leverage 0.228 0.207 0.038 0.179 0.365
Cash/Total assets 0.123 0.161 0.016 0.053 0.171
(The variables below are scaled by the market value of equity of
the inferior class at the end
of fiscal year t − 1.)
Casht −1 0.321 0.533 0.034 0.116 0.354
�Casht 0.035 0.440 −0.035 0.002 0.054
�Earningst 0.017 0.351 −0.049 0.010 0.065
�NetAssetst 0.240 1.157 −0.049 0.080 0.367
�R&Dt −0.002 0.019 0 0 0
�Interestt 0.011 0.061 −0.003 0 0.012
�Dividendst −0.002 0.020 0 0 0.001
NetFinancingt 0.123 0.576 −0.053 0 0.141
f low rights is 2.208, and the median is 1.669.9 The change in
cash scaled by
beginning-of-year market value of equity has a mean (median)
of 3.5% (0.2%).
Consistent with Faulkender and Wang (2006), we also find that
annual excess
stock returns are right skewed, with a mean of 2.9% and a
median of −5.5%.
There is also a substantial variation in excess returns in our
sample, as evi-
denced by the large standard deviation and interquartile range.
Table II presents the regression results of the value-of-cash
analysis. The
dependent variable is alternatively defined as excess returns
adjusted by in-
dustry in column (1) and excess returns adjusted by size and
market-to-book in
column (2). We control for year and industry fixed effects in
both regressions,
where industries are defined based on the Fama–French (1997)
48-industry
classification. Figures in parentheses are p-values based on
standard errors ad-
justed for heteroskedasticity (White (1980)) and firm-level
clustering (Peterson
(2009)). We find that the interaction term between excess
control rights and
the change in cash has a negative and significant coefficient in
both columns.
This result is consistent with our hypothesis that when insiders
control more
9 The difference between insiders’ voting rights and cash f low
rights has a mean of 27.4% and
a median of 26.3%. These summary statistics are very similar to
those reported by GIM (2009) for
their entire dual-class sample.
1704 The Journal of Finance R©
Table II
OLS Regression Analysis of the Market Value of Cash Holdings
The sample consists of 2,440 dual-class firm-years from 1995 to
2003. In column (1), the dependent
variable is the industry-adjusted excess returns of the inferior-
class stock during fiscal year t, and
in column (2), it is the size and market-to-book adjusted excess
returns of the inferior-class stock
during fiscal year t. Variable definitions are given in the
Appendix. Financial variables, except
leverage, are scaled by the market capitalization of the inferior-
class stock at the end of fiscal
year t − 1. In parentheses are p-values based on standard errors
adjusted for heteroskedasticity
(White (1980)) and firm clustering (Peterson (2009)). The
symbols a, b, and c stand for statistical
significance based on two-sided tests at the 1, 5, and 10%
levels, respectively. All regressions control
for year and industry fixed effects, whose coefficient estimates
are suppressed. The coefficient on
the intercept is also suppressed.
Dependent Variable:
Annual Excess Stock Returns
(1) (2)
�Casht 1.106a 1.054a
(0.008) (0.010)
Ratiot −1 × �Casht −0.037c −0.040c
(0.067) (0.072)
Ratiot −1 −0.007 −0.009
(0.490) (0.393)
Casht −1 × �Casht −0.275a −0.262a
(0.000) (0.001)
Leveraget × �Casht −0.652c −0.609
(0.063) (0.105)
Constrained (dummy) × �Casht −0.130 −0.098
(0.704) (0.773)
Casht −1 0.089c 0.078
(0.089) (0.142)
Leveraget −0.724a −0.782a
(0.000) (0.000)
�Earningst 0.281a 0.296a
(0.000) (0.000)
�NetAssetst 0.033 0.034
(0.107) (0.121)
�R&Dt 2.217 2.412
(0.133) (0.105)
�Interestt −0.240 −0.147
(0.543) (0.708)
�Dividendst −0.095 −0.063
(0.382) (0.588)
NetFinancingt 0.067 0.081c
(0.132) (0.076)
Year fixed effects Yes Yes
Industry fixed effects Yes Yes
Number of obs. 2,440 2,440
Adjusted R2 15.40% 14.63%
Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies 1705
voting rights relative to cash f low rights, corporate cash
holdings are more apt
to be diverted to private benefits and thus are valued less by
shareholders. More
specifically, based on the coefficient estimates in column (1),
ceteris paribus, the
marginal value of cash decreases by $0.08 per one-standard-
deviation increase
in the ratio of insider control rights to cash f low rights. Our
finding is in line
with the evidence in Dittmar and Mahrt-Smith (2007) that an
extra dollar
of cash is less valuable to shareholders at companies with more
antitakeover
provisions and lower institutional ownership, and the evidence
in Pinkowitz,
Stulz, and Williamson (2006) that the contribution of corporate
cash holdings
to firm value is lower in countries with poor investor
protection. Both studies
attribute their findings to managers extracting private benefits
from corporate
cash holdings at poorly governed firms.
For the control variables, the signs and statistical significances
are generally
consistent with those reported in Faulkender and Wang (2006).
For example,
we also find negative and significant coefficients for the
interaction between
cash level and change in cash and the interaction between
leverage and change
in cash.
III. Analysis of CEO Compensation
A. Sample and Variable Description
To test whether a rise in excess control rights leads to greater
CEO pay,
we match the dual-class firm sample with the ExecuComp
database, which
provides information on CEO compensation. We exclude firm-
year observations
in which CEOs have been in office for less than 1 year, since
the compensation to
these CEOs is for only part of a fiscal year. We also require
firms to have stock
return data from CRSP and accounting data from Compustat for
each fiscal
year with CEO compensation data. The final sample consists of
791 firm-year
observations of 150 dual-class companies during the period
from 1995 to 2003.
Following prior studies such as Aggarwal and Samwick (1999),
Core,
Holthausen, and Larcker (1999), and Bertrand and Mullainathan
(1999), we
use the level of CEO total compensation (ExecuComp variable:
TDC1) as the
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Ferreting Out Tunneling An Application to Indian Business Gro.docx

  • 1. Ferreting Out Tunneling: An Application to Indian Business Groups Author(s): Marianne Bertrand, Paras Mehta and Sendhil Mullainathan Reviewed work(s): Source: The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 117, No. 1 (Feb., 2002), pp. 121-148 Published by: Oxford University Press Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2696484 . Accessed: 15/06/2012 23:48 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected] Oxford University Press is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Quarterly Journal of Economics. http://www.jstor.org http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=oup http://www.jstor.org/stable/2696484?origin=JSTOR-pdf http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp
  • 2. FERRETING OUT TUNNELING: AN APPLICATION TO INDIAN BUSINESS GROUPS* MARIANNE BERTRAND PARAS MEHTA SENDHIL MULLAINATHAN Owners of business groups are often accused of expropriating minority share- holders by tunneling resources from firms where they have low cash flow rights to firms where they have high cash flow rights. In this paper we propose a general methodology to measure the extent of tunneling activities. The methodology rests on isolating and then testing the distinctive implications of the tunneling hypothe- sis for the propagation of earnings shocks across firms within a group. When we apply our methodology to data on Indian business groups, we find a significant amount of tunneling, much of it occurring via nonoperating components of profit. I. INTRODUCTION Weak corporate law and lax enforcement mechanisms raise fears of expropriation for minority shareholders around the world. These fears seem especially warranted in the presence of business groups, a common organizational form in many devel- oped and developing countries. In a business group, a single shareholder (or a family) completely controls several indepen- dently traded firms and yet has significant cash flow rights in
  • 3. only a few of them.' This discrepancy in cash flow rights between the different firms he controls creates strong incentives to expro- priate. The controlling shareholder will want to transfer, or tun- nel, profits across firms, moving them from firms where he has * We thank Abhijit Baneijee, Simon Johnson, Tarun Khanna, Jayendra Nayak, Ajay Shah, Susan Thomas, two anonymous referees, the editor (Edward Glaeser), and seminar participants at the MIT Development and Public Finance Lunches, the Harvard/MIT Development Seminar, the NBER- NCAER Conference on Reforms, the Harvard Business School Conference on Emerging Markets, the University of Michigan, the London Business School, the London School of Eco- nomics, the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business, and Princeton University for their useful comments. The second author is also grateful for financial support from a National Science Foundation Graduate Fellowship. 1. In many cases, control is maintained through indirect ownership. For example, the ultimate owner may own firm A, which in turn owns firm B, which in turn owns firm C. Such ownership structures, which are quite common accord- ing to La Porta, Lopez-d-Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny [1999], are called pyramids. It is the chain of ownership in pyramids that generates the sharp divergence
  • 4. between control and cash flow rights. Dual class shares are another way to generate such a divergence. In India, the country we study below, dual class shares have not been allowed so far, although recent legislation has attempted to change this. ? 2002 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, February 2002 121 122 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS low cash flow rights to firms where he has high cash flow rights.2 Cash can be transferred in many ways: the firms can give each other high (or low) interest rate loans, manipulate transfer prices, or sell assets to each other at above or below market prices, to list just a few. If prevalent, tunneling may have serious conse- quences. By reducing the returns to being an outside shareholder, it can hinder equity market growth and overall financial devel- opment. Illicit profit transfers may also reduce the transparency of the entire economy, clouding the accounting numbers and complicating any inference about firms' health. In fact, several observers argued that tunneling made it hard to assess solvency during the emerging market crises of 1997-1998, and possibly exacerbated the crisiS.3
  • 5. Anecdotes of tunneling are easy to find. In India, for example, one group firm, Kalyani Steels, had more than two-thirds of its net worth invested in other companies in its group. Yet these investments yielded less than a 1 percent rate of return, fueling speculation that they were merely a way to tunnel profits out of Kalyani Steels. However, hard evidence of tunneling beyond an- ecdotes of this kind remains scarce, perhaps because of the illicit nature of this activity. The strongest statistical evidence so far is cross-sectional: group firms where the controlling shareholder has higher cash flow rights have higher q-ratios and greater profitability.4 While informative, this cross-sectional relationship is not a test of tunneling since it could also result from differences in preexisting efficiency or any number of other unobservable factors. This paper introduces a general procedure to quantify tun- neling. It is based on tracing the propagation of earnings shocks 2. Johnson, La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer [2000] argue that the expropriation threat is especially big in business groups. Bebchuk, Kraakman, and Triantis [20001, Wolfenzon [19991, and Shleifer and Wolfenzon [20001 provide theoretical models of various forms of tunneling. In the United States something akin to business groups existed historically, although cartelization was the major issue surrounding them. In modem times, expropriation of shareholders in large U. S. firms is thought to occur through poor decision making
  • 6. [Berle and Means 1934; Jensen and Meckling 19761 or high executive compensation [Bertrand and Mullainathan 2000, 20011. 3. Johnson, Boone, Breach, and Friedman [2000] show that countries with better legal protection against tunneling were less affected by the crisis. 4. Examples of papers that have documented such correlations include Bian- chi, Bianco, and Enriques [19991, Claessens, Djankov, Fan, and Lang [1999], and Claessens, Djankov, and Lang [2000]. A broader literature has studied groups more generally [Khanna and Palepu 2000; Hoshi, Kashyap, and Scharfstein 1991]. Other papers have documented differences in the price of voting and nonvoting shares [Zingales 1995; Nenova 19991. FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 123 through a business group. Consider a group with two firms: firm H, where the controlling shareholder has high cash flow rights, and firm L, where he has low cash flow rights. Suppose that firm L experiences a shock that would (in the absence of tunneling) cause its profits to rise by 100 dollars. Because some of this increase will be tunneled out of firm L, the actual profits of firm L will rise by less than 100 dollars, with the shortfall measuring the amount of diversion. Since the shortfall is being tunneled to
  • 7. H, we would also expect H to respond to L's shock even though H is not directly affected by it. Moreover, we would not expect this pattern if instead H were to receive the shock: there is no incen- tive to tunnel from a high- to a low-cash-flow-right firm.5 We develop a general set of tests based on these observations and use variation in mean industry performance as a source of profit shocks.6 As an illustration, we apply this test to a panel of Indian firms. We find evidence for the full set of predictions implied by tunneling. Other results suggest that these findings are not due to mismeasurement of a firm's industry, simple coinsurance within groups or internal capital markets. Moreover, the magni- tudes of the effects we find are large: more than 25 percent of the marginal rupee of profits in low-cash-flow-right firms appears to be dissipated.7 Our procedure further allows us to examine the mechanics of tunneling. Indian groups appear to tunnel by manipulating non- operating components of profits (such as miscellaneous and non- recurring items). In fact, there is no evidence of tunneling on operating profits alone. Rather, nonoperating losses and gains seem to be used to offset real profit shocks or transfer cash from other firms. Finally, we examine whether market prices incorpo- rate tunneling. We find that high market-to-book firms are more 5. This asymmetry is important. Money flows only from low- to high-cash-
  • 8. flow-right firms, not vice versa. As we will see, this is a crucial distinction between tunneling and other theories of why shocks might propagate through a group, most notably risk sharing. 6. Other papers have used shocks in a related way. Blanchard, Lopez-de- Silanes, and Shleifer [19941 examine how U. S. firms respond to windfalls (win- ning a law suit) to assess agency models. Lamont [1997] uses the oil shock to assess the effects of cash flow on investment. Bertrand and Mullainathan [20011 use several shock measures to assess the effects of luck on CEO pay. 7. It is worth noting that business groups may add social value in other ways that offset the social costs they may impose through tunneling. They might help reduce transaction costs, solve external market failures, or provide reputational capital for their members. We will not, therefore, be attempting to test whether groups are on net bad but merely whether, and if so how much, they tunnel. 124 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS sensitive to both their own shock and shocks to the other firms in their group. Firms whose group has a high market-to-book are also more sensitive to their own shock, but are not significantly
  • 9. more sensitive to the group's shock. This suggests that the stock market at least partly penalizes tunneling activities. II. A TEST FOR TUNNELING We begin by describing the exact implications of tunneling for the propagation of shocks.8 Let us return to the fictional example of two group firms, high-cash-flow-right firm H and low-cash-flow-right firm L. Consider again a 100-dollar profits shock affecting firm L. Because the controlling shareholder would benefit more if these 100 dollars were in H, he will look for a way to divert them out of L. This gives the first prediction: group firms should on average underrespond to shocks to their own profits. Of course, since tunneling may be costly (either because of resource dissipation or because of a risk of being caught), the controlling shareholder may transfer only some of the 100 dollars out of firm L. How much he transfers will be a function of his cash flow rights in L. The less his cash flow rights in L, the less he values the extra dollar left in L and the more of the profits he will want to tunnel out of L. This gives the second prediction: the underresponse to shocks to own profits should be larger in low- cash-flow-right firms. The cash tunneled from firm L eventually ends up in firm H. So H will appear to respond to L's shock even though H is not directly affected by L's shock. This gives the third prediction: group firms will on average be sensitive to shocks affecting other firms in the group.9
  • 10. We know from above that when cash flow rights in firm L are low, more money will be tunneled out of L. But this also implies that more money will be tunneled into H when cash flow rights in L are low. This gives the fourth prediction: group firms will be more sensitive to shocks affecting low-cash-flow-right firms in their group than to shocks affecting high-cash-flow-right firms. 8. Bertrand, Mehta, and Mullainathan [2000] present a model that formal- izes these implications. 9. This prediction distinguishes tunneling from a pure mismanagement in- terpretation of the profits shortfall. The first two predictions could simply reflect a dissipation of resources through inefficient operation rather than a diversion to other group firms. FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 125 Finally, suppose that a 100-dollar shock were now to affect firm H instead of firm L. Since the controlling shareholder has more cash flow rights in H than in L, he will have no incentives to tunnel from H to L. This means that H will respond one for one to its own shock, which is just another way to understand the second prediction above. It also means that L will not be sensitive to H's shock. A more general version of this observation gives the
  • 11. fifth prediction: low-cash-flow-right firms will be less sensitive to shocks affecting other firms in their group. To transform these general predictions into testable implica- tions, we need to isolate specific shocks using available data. Industry shocks provide an ideal candidate since they affect in- dividual firms but are to a large extent beyond the control of individual firms. Some notation will be helpful in defining these mean industry movements. Let perfktI be a level measure of reported performance for firm k in industry I at time t (in our case profits before depreciation, interest, and taxes). AktI be a measure of the firm k's assets (in our case, total book value of assets), and rktI = perfktIIAktI be a measure of return on assets for that firm. To isolate the industry shock, we compute the asset-weighted average return for all firms in industry I: rIt = 4* AktIrktII >k AtI.'0 Given this industry return, we can predict what firm k's performance ought to be in the absence of tunneling by calcu- lating predktI = AtI rt Our empirical test will then consist of regressing a firm's actual reported performance on its predicted performance and on the predicted performance of other firms in its group." More specifically, we can test the five implications above: (1) group firms should be less sensitive to shocks to their industry than nongroup (stand-alone) firms; (2) low-cash-flow-right group firms will show smaller sensitivities to shocks to their industry than high-cash-flow-right ones; (3) group firms should be sensitive to
  • 12. industry shocks affecting other firms in their group; (4) group firms should be especially sensitive to shocks affecting the low cash-flow-right firms in their group; (5) low-cash-flow-right group 10. A mechanical correlation arises if we include a firm itself in estimating its industry return and then use that industry return to predict the firm's own return. To prevent this, we exclude, for every firm, the firm itself in computing its industry return. In this sense, PI, should actually be indexed by k, but we drop this subscript for simplicity. 11. Given that this is a predicted level of performance, our terminology of shocks may seem inappropriate. But since we include firm fixed effects, we will in fact be identifying the effect of industry shocks. 126 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS firms should show smaller sensitivities in predictions 3 and 4. These five predictions form a simple test of tunneling, one that requires only firm-level data on earnings, industry, group mem- bership, and ownership structure.'2 III. AN APPLICATION TO INDIAN BUSINESS GROUPS We now apply this test to Indian data. As in many other countries, group firms in India are often linked together through the ownership of equity shares. In most cases, the controlling shareholder is a family; among the best-known business families
  • 13. in India are Tata, Bajaj, Birla, Oberoi, and Mahindra.'3 Nominally, corporate governance laws in India are quite good, consistent with its English colonial past and its common law heritage [Sarkar and Sarkar 1999]. In reality, however, cor- ruption makes these laws difficult to enforce and shareholder expropriation a major concern in India. In recent years the role of corporate governance in financial development has received sig- nificant attention from the Indian business press and central government. Business groups have come under particular scru- tiny for advancing their private interests at the expense of out- side shareholders.'4 Tunneling is also allegedly a problem.'5 In- deed, greater oversight of related party transactions was one of 12. A notable feature of these tests is their symmetry. One might have thought that there should be no tunneling for negative groups. This is in fact not clear. For example, suppose that an industry earns a 10 percent natural rate of return and a negative shock reduces it to 5 percent. Since this reduces the amount that can be tunneled out, we will see just as much sensitivity to this shock (for example, among high-cash-flow-right group firms) as to a positive one. Rather than asymmetry in changes, one might expect that below some nominal rate of return, tunneling would cease. A priori, it is unclear where this threshold lies. We tried some thresholds (e.g., zero nominal rate of return) and found standard errors that were too large to reject either linearity or significant nonlinearity. Johnson and Friedman [2000] provide further discussion of asymmetry.
  • 14. 13. Piramal [1996] and Dutta [1997] provide accounts of groups in India. 14. One Financial Times Asia article charges that the "boards of Indian companies, especially the family-owned ones, are prime examples of crony capi- talism. They are invariably filled with family members and friends.... In such an environment, the promoter can operate to further his own interests even as he takes the other shareholders for a ride.", 15. A 1998 Financial Times Asia article reports that "[c]hanneling funds to subsidiaries and group companies in the form of low or nil interest loans or low-yield investments is not new. Such a lockup of costly funds often results in poor financial performance. JCT, Kalyani Steels, Bombay Burmah Trading Com- pany; and DCM Shriram Industries are examples. JCT's average return over the last four years on outstanding loans and advances of Rs. 270 crores is is just 4 percent. Similarly Kalyani Steels' 1996-97 investments in group companies was worth Rs. 196.80 crores-more than two-thirds its net worth- while the company earned just 1.45 crores as dividends." FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 127
  • 15. the specific recommendations made by a government committee organized to study corporate governance.16 Thus, with its weak corporate governance and allegations of impropriety, India pro- vides an ideal location to test for tunneling. Ill.A. Data Source We use Prowess, a publicly available database maintained by the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). Prowess in- cludes annual report information for companies in India between 1989 and 1999. It provides much of the information needed for this analysis: financial statements, industry information, group affiliation for each firm, and some corporate ownership data. We exclude state-owned and foreign-owned firms from our sample since these may not be comparable to the private sector domestic firms that interest us. Our sample contains about 18,500 firm- year observations, although sample sizes vary because of missing variables for some firms.17 We rely on CMIE classification of firms into group and non- group firms, and of group firms into specific group affiliation. CMIE classification is based on a "continuous monitoring of com- pany announcements and a qualitative understanding of the groupwise behavior of individual companies" (Prowess Users' Manual, v.2, p.4). Note also that CMIE assigns each company to a unique ownership group, based on the group most closely asso- ciated with that company. Conversations with local experts cor- roborate these classifications; which group a firm belongs to is WiTid 1v kLinon.Tn
  • 16. 16. The Kumar Mangalam Committee recommended measures to strengthen the board of directors' role in "reduc[ing] potential conflict between the specific interests of management and the wider interests of the company and shareholders including misuse of corporate assets and abuse in related party transactions." These measures included guidelines for strengthening the independence of boards and for the establishment of an audit committee by the board of directors to review, among other things, "[a]ny related party transactions, i.e. transactions of the company of material nature with promoters or the management, their sub- sidiaries or relatives, etc. that may have potential conflict with the interests of the company at large." 17. Prowess does not use consolidated accounting data, which implies that our findings are not caused by accounting mechanics. In fact, during the sample period under study, Indian accounting standards did not require disclosing con- solidated accounts for group firms. Very few firms used consolidated financial statements in practice [Price, Waterhouse & Co. 1999]. 128 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS III.B. Measurement of Controlling Shareholder's Cash Flow Rights
  • 17. A key variable in our analysis is the cash flow rights of the controlling shareholder in a particular firm. There are two com- ponents to cash flow rights. First are direct rights, which are derived from shares that the controlling shareholder (or his fam- ily) has in the company. Second are indirect rights, which are derived from shares held by another company in which the con- trolling shareholder has some shares. Prowess provides two reasonable proxies for direct cash flow rights. Both are derived from data on equity holding patterns, which is available for about 60 percent of firms (all of them publicly traded). For these firms, CMIE reports the shares of equity held by foreigners, directors, various financial institutions, banks, various governmental bodies, the top fifty shareholders, corporate bodies, and others.18 As in many countries, Indian families typically control the firms they have financial stakes in by appointing family members or family friends to the board of directors and to top managerial positions. Since the company shares held by these board members benefit the controlling shareholder in some sense, the information on director ownership provides a first proxy for direct cash flow rights.19 The equity held by "other shareholders," where others are defined as shareholders that are neither directors, nor banks, nor foreigners, not financial institutions, nor government bodies, nor corporate bodies, nor the top fifty shareholders, provides a second proxy. By measuring the shares held by small, minority share-
  • 18. 18. The exact ownership categories reported by CMIE are Foreigners, Insur- ance Companies, Life Insurance Corporation, General Insurance Corporation, Mutual Funds, Unit Trust of India, Financial Institutions (Industrial Financial Corporation of India, Industrial Development Bank of India, Industrial Credit and Investment Bank of India, Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation, Commercial Banks), Government Companies (Central Government Companies, State Government Companies), State Finance Corporation, Other Government Organizations, Corporate Bodies, Directors, Top Fifty Shareholders, and Others. 19. For example, the Financial Times Asia reports that "the boards of Indian companies ... are invariably filled with family members and friends, whether or not they are qualified for the position" [Financial Times Asia Intelligence Wire, October 10, 1999]. The article goes on to say: "In such an environment, the promoter can operate to further his own interests even as he takes the other shareholders for a ride." Of course, if some of the directors are not family members or friends, this proxy will overstate the direct cash flow rights. FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 129
  • 19. holders, it captures the amount of cash flow rights the family does not own.20 Although both variables are good proxies for direct cash flow rights, they do little to capture indirect cash flow rights. Because Prowess only provides information by ownership category, it is impossible to back out of such indirect cash flow rights.2' Conse- quently, our ranking of firms (in terms of cash flow rights) within a group is noisy. For example, suppose that the ultimate owner owns 10 percent of firms A and B and firm B owns 40 percent in firm A. The ultimate owner seemingly has a 10 percent direct cash stake in both firms but actually has a 14 percent stake in firm A. If we modify the example so that the direct ownership stake in firm A is actually 9 percent, then adding indirect cash flow rights reverses the ranking.22 Three points should be noted about this important measure- ment issue. First, indirect cash flow rights by their very nature should be smaller than direct rights because they are diminished as they pass through the chain of ownership. In the above exam- ple, despite the large indirect ownership of A by B (40 percent), the final difference is only 4 percent since A has only a 10 percent direct stake in B. Moreover, when our ranking of firms was wrong in the second example above, this was because both B and A were very close in terms of direct cash flow rights (10 percent versus 9 percent).23 Second, to the extent that any significant error is introduced into our rankings of firms, there will be an
  • 20. attenuation bias. This will bias our estimates toward zero, raise standard errors, and make it more difficult to find evidence of tunneling. Finally, although these imperfect measures may make the CMIE 20. The two measures, the equity stake of directors and the equity stake held by minority shareholders, correlate negatively. The correlation is imperfect, how- ever, (about -.35 for group firms), suggesting that these are not redundant proxies. Besides measuring the absolute level of director and other equity hold- ings, we also measure their relative levels within each group. Finally, because we use within-group differences in director and other ownership levels to identify the direction and magnitude of money flows across firms in a business group, we exclude from the sample all groups where there is no difference between the maximum and the minimum level of direct ownership or between the maximum and minimum level of other ownership. 21. Indian disclosure laws do not mandate release of this information. We have attempted to gather this information in many other ways, from investment bankers to the groups themselves; our attempts have been fruitless. 22. We are grateful to an anonymous referee for providing variants of these examples.
  • 21. 23. This is not to say that one cannot construct examples where indicted ownership matters, but rather that because of the multiplication by the direct ownership in firms, indirect ownership will have on average a smaller effect on cash flow rights. 130 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS data a less than perfect place to apply our test, it is highly representative of the typical data available to implement our test in most countries. Detailed data on ownership between firms are usually hard to get, whereas many countries have readily avail- able categorical ownership data of the kind provided by CMIE. III. C. Measurement of Performance The CMIE data were collected with a focus on accounting numbers. Consequently, we cannot use it to compute reliable annual stock return measures for many firms between 1989 and 1999. More specifically, we lack dividend data for many observa- tions, which is especially troubling since dividend payments would be the most direct way for a controlling shareholder to affect final returns.24 Moreover, comparisons with both aggregate data and data on specific firms from the Bombay Stock Exchange show that the stock prices reported on CMIE are themselves noisy. In several cases, the returns we computed lagged or led true returns.25 These problems constrain us to use the more reliable "profits before depreciation, interest and tax" as our specific performance measure, perfk,I. Our asset measure, As-
  • 22. setsk1I, is total assets. Each firm's industry comes from CMIE's classification of firms into industries. Our sample contains 134 different "four-digit" industries.26 III.D. Summary Statistics Table I reports summary statistics for the full sample and for group and nongroup firms separately. In this table, and through- out the remainder of the paper, nongroup firms are referred to as "stand-alones." Group firms and stand-alones, respectively, ac- count for about 7,500 and 11,000 of the observations in our full sample. All nominal variables in the sample are deflated using 24. By examining the firms with some, not necessarily reliable dividend data, we see that dividends are a sizable fraction of returns. 25. Despite the noisiness, we did estimate the regressions below using mar- ket value as a dependent variable, and the results are quite similar. But, because of ths noisiness of the data, we do not have great faith in these results. They are available as Table B in the unpublished appendix, available from the authors upon request. The average level of market capitalization appears much more reliable, however, and we use it in subsection IV.B. to relate q ratios to the extent of tunneling. 26. They can be found in Table A of the appendix available from the authors upon request. The breakdown is at roughly the level of the four-
  • 23. digit SIC code in the United States. FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 131 TABLE I SUMMARY STATISTICS Sample: All Groups Stand-alones Total assets 131.80 252.76 49.69 (525.91) (741.6) (272.66) Total sales 94.39 188.16 30.73 (305.66) (459.77) (57.84) Profit before depreciation, interest, and 16.84 32.90 5.94 taxes (63.84) (90.99) (30.48) Ratio of PBDIT to total assets .126 .142 .115 (.128) (.115) (.134) Ratio of operating profit to total assets .284 .328 .254 (.285) (.312) (.261) Ratio of nonoperating profit to total assets -.157 -.186 -1.38 (.259) (.288) (.235) q ratio .537 .645 .447 (.818) (.916) (.714) Year of incorporation 1974.55 1967.51 1979.33 (20.03) (22.89) (16.18)
  • 24. Director equity 16.70 7.45 22.99 (18.33) (13.05) (18.72) Other ownership 29.90 27.57 31.48 (17.39) (16.06) (18.07) Director equity spread 15.19 (14.88) Other ownership spread 33.31 (21.66) Sample size 18600 7521 11079 a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE), for the years 1989-1999. All monetary variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore represents 10 million. b. Standard deviations are in parentheses. c. "Operating profit" refers to manufacturing sales revenue minus total raw material expenses, energy expenses, and wages and salaries. "q ratio" is the ratio of market valuation to total assets. "Director equity spread" is the difference between the minimum and maximum level of director equity in a group; "Other ownership spread" is the difference between the minimum and maximum level of other ownership in a group. Ownership and ownership spread variables are measured in percentages and so range from 0 to 100. the Consumer Price Index series from the International Financial Statistics of the International Monetary Fund (1995 = 100).
  • 25. The average group firm in the sample belongs to a group with fifteen firms. Many groups in our data, however, consist of two or three firms.27 Group firms are, on average, twelve years older than nongroup firms: the typical group firm was created in 1967, 27. Some ownership groups have several smaller companies that are set up for taxation or retail business purposes. It is much more difficult for CMIE to get access to the annual reports of these smaller companies. CMIE also tracks sub- 132 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS TABLE II SENSITIVITY TO OWN SHOCK: GROUP VERSUS STAND- ALONE DEPENDENT VARIABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT (1) (2) (3) (4) Own shock 1.05 .10 -4.58 -5.10 (.02) (.05) (.48) (.47) Own shock* -.30 -.30 -.26 -.27 group (.02) (.02) (.02) (.02) Ln assets .16 2.98 -.33 2.47 (.32) (.34) (.33) (.34) Own shock* In - .10 1.0
  • 26. assets (.00) (.01) Own shock* - .003 .003 year of incorp. (.000) (.000) Sample size 18600 18600 18588 18588 Adjusted R2 .93 .93 .93 .93 a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore represents 10 million. Sample includes both stand- alone and group firms. b. All regressions also include year fixed effect and firm fixed effects. c. Standard errors are in parentheses. the typical stand-alone firm in 1979. More importantly, group firms tend to be much larger than stand-alones. The average group firm has total assets of Rs. 253 crores, while the average stand-alone has total assets of Rs. 52 crores. Stand-alones also have lower levels of sales and profits. We will control for these size and age differences in our analysis. The average level of director ownership among group firms is 7.5 percent. The average level of ownership by other shareholders is 27.5 percent. The gap in director ownership between the top and bottom of a group (i.e., the gap between the firm with the highest level of director ownership and the firm with the lowest level of director ownership) is 15 percent on average. The average gap in other ownership is 33 percent. III.E. Sensitivity to Own Shock
  • 27. In Table II we test the first prediction of tunneling: group firms should be less sensitive to shocks to their own industry than stand-alones. We estimate sidiary companies with small turnover but does not include them in the database we use in this paper. FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 133 (1) perfk, = a + b(predkt) + c(groupk * predkt) + d(controlskt) + FirMk + Timet, where groupk is a dummy variable for whether firm k is in a group or not, controlskt are other variables that might affect firm performance (specifically age and log assets), Firmk are firm fixed effects, and Timet are time dummies.28 The coefficient b mea- sures the general sensitivity of firms to industry performance; the interaction term groupk * predk t captures the differential sensi- tivity of group firms. If group firms are less sensitive, as tunnel- ing would predict, then c should be negative. Note that because the regression is expressed in performance levels, the magnitude of the effects can easily be interpreted. Column (1) displays our basic result. A one-rupee shock leads to about a one-rupee (1.05) increase in earnings for a stand- alone
  • 28. firm. For a group firm, it leads to .3 rupee smaller increase, or only a .75 rupee increase.29 This suggests that 30 percent of all the money placed into a group firm is somehow dissipated. In Table I we saw that stand-alone firms are smaller and older on average than group firms. This could confound our esti- mate of the effect of group affiliation if size or age affects a firm's responsiveness to shocks. In column (2) we include an interaction between the logarithm of total assets and the industry shock. In column (3) we do the same for age. In column (4) we include both interactions simultaneously. The direct effects are always in- cluded. From these, it is clear that both size and age do affect the responsiveness to shocks. But it is also clear that the difference between group and stand-alone firms remains significant even in the presence of additional controls.30 In short, the data support the first prediction. 28. The inclusion of firm fixed effects deals with several issues. First, even though we are using level of predicted performance, we are identifying off of changes in predicted performance, hence our use of the term "shocks" throughout the paper. Second, the fixed effects account for any inherent, fixed differences between firms. Third, because firms do not change groups in our sample, the firm fixed effects also account for any fixed differences between groups. 29. We have also estimated this and all regressions below
  • 29. excluding small groups, which we define as groups with less than five firms in the CMIE data. The results were not affected when we restrict ourselves to that subsample. 30. We have also attempted more flexible specifications by allowing for more nonlinear terms for size and age in the interaction. These produced identical results. 134 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS The second prediction provides a more stringent test: within- group firms, high-cash-flow-right firms should show greater sen- sitivity to own shocks. We estimate for the set of group firms (2) perfkt = a + b(predkt) + c(cashk * predkt) + d(controlskt) + Firmk + Timet, where cashk is the cash flow rights of the controlling party in firm k, measured either with director or other ownership. The inter- action term, cashk * predkt, measures differential sensitivity by level of cash flow rights. Under the tunneling hypothesis, we would expect c > 0.31 Panel A of Table III uses director equity as the proxy for cash flow rights. Column (1) shows that group firms where director equity is higher are more sensitive to their own industry shock. Each one-percentage point increase in director equity increases
  • 30. the sensitivity to a one-rupee industry shock by .03 rupee. Recall that among group firms, the average difference in director own- ership between the firm with the greatest and the firm with the lowest director ownership was about 15. Thus, for each rupee of industry shock, the typical firm with the highest director owner- ship is .45 rupee more sensitive than the typical firm with the lowest director ownership. This suggests that group firms with high controlling party's cash flow rights may be as sensitive to the marginal rupee as stand-alone firms. The magnitude of this effect is striking and suggests that ownership plays a large role in the extent of the sensitivity. To assess whether the findings in column (1) capture some aspects of director ownership that are unrelated to group mem- bership, we reestimate equation (2) in column (3) on the sub- sample of stand-alone firms. We find that director ownership also increases the responsiveness to shocks for stand-alone firms. The effect, however, is quantitatively much smaller, only a sixth of the size of the effect for group firms (.004 versus .025 for group firms). In columns (2) and (4) we allow for the effect of own industry shock to differ by firm size and firm age. These additional controls do not alter the estimated coefficient on "Own shock - director equity" for the sample of group firms (column (2)). They do, however, lead to an increase in the coefficient on "Own shock - 31. When we use "Other ownership" in the interaction, we expect a negative
  • 31. term since this measure is negatively related to cash flow rights. FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 135 TABLE III SENSITIVITY TO OWN SHOCK BY DIRECTOR AND OTHER OWNERSHIP DEPENDENT VARIABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT Panel A: Director equity Sample: Stand- Stand- Groups Groups alones alones (1) (2) (3) (4) Own shock .713 -5.075 1.058 -4.316 (.009) (.742) (.006) (.518) Own shock * director equity .025 .030 .004 .019 (.003) (.003) (.001) (.001) Ln assets .052 4.261 -.590 1.568 (.733) (.807) (.176) (.178) Own shock * In assets .118 .201 (.008) (.006) Own shock * year of incorp. .002 .002 (.000) (.000)
  • 32. Sample size 7521 7510 11079 11078 Adjusted R2 .92 .93 .95 .96 Panel B: Other ownership Sample: Stand- Stand- Groups Groups alones alones (1) (2) (3) (4) Own shock .919 -5.764 1.033 -3.983 (.023) (.743) (.052) (.603) Own shock * other ownership -.007 -.007 .001 .002 (.001) (.001) (.000) (.000) Ln assets 1.616 5.189 -.292 2.049 (.724) (.806) (.166) (.180) Own shock * In assets .103 .154 (.008) (.006) Own shock * year of incorp. .003 .002 (.003) (.000) Sample size 7521 7510 11079 11078 Adjusted R2 .92 .93 .95 .96 a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore represents 10 million. b. All regressions also include year fixed effect and firm fixed effects.
  • 33. c. Standard errors are in parentheses. 136 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS director equity" in the sample of stand-alone firms (.019 instead of .004). Because standard errors are relatively small, we can still reject that the effect of director ownership on industry shock sensitivity is the same between group firms and stand-alone firms. More director equity increases the responsiveness of a firm to its own industry shock, and this effect is significantly larger among group firms. In Panel B of Table III we use our other proxy for direct cash flow rights, the ownership stake of other small sharehold- ers. As predicted, we find that the sensitivity of a group firm to its own industry shock decreases with its level of other own- ership. A one-percentage point increase in other ownership decreases the responsiveness of a group firm to a one-rupee shock by about .01 rupee (column (1)). Given that the average spread between highest and lowest other ownership among group firms is about 33, the implied magnitude of the effect is the same as in Panel A. Among stand-alone firms (column (3)) the effect of other ownership is of the opposite sign and eco- nomically small. Finally, note that the coefficient on "Own shock * other ownership" is roughly unaffected by the inclusion of controls for firm age and firm size interacted with own industry shock (columns (2) and (4) for group and stand-alone firms, respectively). In summary, these results in Table III are consistent with the idea that fewer resources are tunneled out of the group firms where the promoting family has higher equity stakes and where
  • 34. there are fewer minority shareholders to expropriate. In fact, group firms where the controlling party has a large stake show the same sensitivity to their own industry shocks as stand-alone firms. III.F. Sensitivity to Group Shocks We now examine whether a firm responds to shocks affecting other firms in its group (prediction 3). We estimate (3) perfkt= a + b(predkt) + c(opredkt) + d(controlskt) + Firmk + Timet, where opredkl = 2j#k predj0v the sum being over all other firms in the same business group (excluding the firm itself). A positive FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 137 TABLE IV SENSITIVITY OF GROUP FIRMS TO GROUP AND SUBGROUP SHOCKS DEPENDENT VARIABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Own shock .730 .732 .732 .732 .732 (.009) (.009) (.009) (.009) (.009) Group shock .011 (.001)
  • 35. Shock below median .016 (director equity) (.002) Shock above median -.002 (director equity) (.005) Shock below 66th pctile .015 (director equity) (.002) Shock above 66th pctile -.001 (director equity) (.001) Shock above median .014 (other ownership) (.002) Shock below median - .007 (other ownership) (.004) Shock above 33rd pctile .017 (other ownership) (.002) Shock below 33rd pctile -.002 (other ownership) (.004) Sample size 7521 7521 7521 7521 7521 Adjusted R2 .93 .92 .92 .92 .92 a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore represents 10 million. b. Sample is group firms only. c. "Shock below median (director equity)" is a variable that sums the industry shocks to all the firms in
  • 36. the same group (excluding the firm itself) that have below median level of director ownership in their group. All the other subgroup shocks are defined accordingly. d. Also included in each regression are the logarithm of total assets, year fixed effects, and firm fixed effects. e. Standard errors are in parentheses. coefficient on opredkt suggests that firms within a group are in fact sensitive to each other's shocks.32 In column (1) of Table IV we find a moderate response of group firms to each other's shocks. The coefficient on "Group shock" of .011 suggests that for each rupee earned by the group, an average firm in the group receives .011 rupee. Since we know that group firms underreact by about 1 - .73 = .27 rupee to a 32. Note that we control for the firm's own shock, predkt. This control means that we do not confuse an overlap of industry between firms in the same group with a flow of cash within that group. 138 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS one-rupee shock and since there are about fifteen firms in each group, this coefficient implies that about 61 percent of the money that is tunneled out reappears elsewhere in the group.33 The next prediction of tunneling (prediction 4) is that the
  • 37. source of the shock matters: firms should respond more to groups affecting low-cash-flow-right firms than to groups affecting high- cash-flow-right firms. We study this prediction in columns (2) to (5). We define Hopredkt as the sum of shocks affecting all high cash-flow-right firms in k's group and Lopredkt as the equivalent sum for low-cash-flow-right firms. We then estimate (4) perfkt= a + b(predkt) + cL(Lopredkt) + CH(Hopredkt) + d(controlskt) + Firmk + Timet. If group firms are in fact more sensitive to groups to the firms with low cash flow rights, we should find that CL > CH. In column (2) we classify a group's firms as low- or high-cash- flow-right using the median director equity in that group as a threshold. We find that firms show greater sensitivity to shocks affecting the low-cash-flow-right firms in their group. A one- rupee shock to firms below group median in terms of director ownership increases the average group firm's earnings by .02 rupee. By contrast, the average group firm's earnings do not respond to industry shocks to firms in the high-cash-flow-right group. Col- umn (3) instead contrasts shocks to firms below and above the sixty-sixth percentile of director equity in their group. This iso- lates a smaller group of firms in the high-cash-flow-right group and allows resources to be equally skimmed from a larger number of firms. The results are very similar. In column (4) we classify a group's firms as low- or high-cash-
  • 38. flow-right using the median other shareholders' equity in that group as a threshold. In this case, we find that the average group firm is equally sensitive to shocks to the two subgroups. In col- umn (5) we isolate a larger set of firms with low cash flow rights by using the thirty-third percentile of other shareholders' equity as the breaking point. The results suggest that few to no re- sources are transferred from the subgroup of firms with low levels of other equity. In contrast, the coefficient on the shock to firms 33. The remaining 39 percent may be a dissipation factor, suggesting real costs of redistribution. Alternatively, it may reflect redistribution to firms that are not in our sample. Most notably, tunneling may occur through nonpublic firms such as holding companies, which are not represented in our data set. FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 139 TABLE V SENSITWITY TO GROUP SHOCK BY LEVEL OF DIRECTOR OWNERSHIP IN GROUP DEPENDENT VARLABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Below topmost Level in group: Lower 2/3 Top 1/3 firm Topmost firm
  • 39. Own shock .62 .89 .63 .63 .63 1.01 1.01 1.01 (.01) (.02) (.01) (.01) (.01) (.02) (.02) (.02) Group shock .013 .010 .012 - .020 - (.002) (.002) (.001) (.008) Shock below 66th pctile - - .015 - - .032 (director equity) (.002) (.012) Shock above 66th pctile - - .003 - .007 (director equity) (.006) (.018) Shock below 33rd pctile - - - - -.000 - -.013 (other ownership) (.004) (.025) Shock above 33rd pctile - - - .017 - .034 (other ownership) (.002) (.011) Sample size 4905 2616 5780 5780 5780 1741 1741 1741 Adjusted R2 .90 .95 .90 .97 .97 .97 .97 .97 a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore represents 10 million. b. Firms are separated into different "Level in group" based on their within-group level of director equity. For example, "Topmost Firm" are the set of firms that have the highest level of director ownership in their group. c. Also included in each regression are the logarithm of total assets, year fixed effects, and firm fixed effects.
  • 40. d. Standard errors are in parentheses. with high levels of other equity is large (about .02) and statisti- cally significant. These results complement the findings in Table III: not only are more resources "disappearing" from low-cash- flow right firms, these resources are also the ones more likely to "'show up" elsewhere in the group. III. G. Does Money Go to the Top? In Table V we test the final prediction of tunneling: resources should disproportionately flow toward high-cash-flow-right firms. We rank firms based on their within-group level of director equity and construct four different subsamples: firms with below the sixty-sixth percentile of director equity in their group, firms with above the sixty-sixth percentile of director equity in their group, firms with strictly less than the highest level of director equity in their group, and firms with the highest level of director equity in their group. We compare sensitivity to group shocks and sub- 140 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS group shocks for firms in the four different samples by reestimat- ing equations (3) and (4) separately for these samples. In addition to the variables reported in the table, each regression includes
  • 41. the logarithm of total assets, year fixed effects, and firm fixed effects. The dependent variable in all regressions is still profit before depreciation, interest, and taxes. When we contrast firms above and below the sixty-sixth percentile in director equity (columns (1) and (2)), we find no statistically significant differences in their sensitivity to the over- all group shock. In fact, the point estimate on "Group shock" is higher for firms with low levels of director ownership (.013 versus .010).34 In columns (3) to (6), we contrast the sensitivity to the group shock for the firms with the highest level of director own- ership in their group compared with that for all other firms in the group. With this split of the data, the theoretically expected patterns emerge. Firms at the very top gain about .02 rupee for every one-rupee shock to their group (column (6)). All the other firms gain only .012 rupee for the same one-rupee shock (column (3)). Because standard errors are rather large in column (6), however, these two estimates are not statistically different. Interestingly, when we break down the overall group shock into two subshocks, the results become even more suggestive. We find that top firms gain between .032 and .034 rupee for every one-rupee shock to group firms either below the sixty-sixth per- centile in terms of director equity or above the thirty-third per- centile in terms of other ownership (columns (7) and (8)). All the other firms gain between .015 and .017 rupee on average for the same subshocks (columns (4) and (5)). To summarize, these re- sults give some evidence that the firms with the highest level of
  • 42. director equity in their group seem to benefit most from shocks to the rest of the group. Moreover, these firms benefit the most from shocks to firms with low director equity or higher other share- holders' ownership. III.H. Alternative Explanations Although these findings match the predictions of the tunnel- ing hypothesis, other possible explanations need to be consid- ered.35 First, suppose that group firms are more diversified than 34. Similar results follow if we use median cutoffs. 35. A purely mechanical explanation could be that cross- ownership between firms generate dividend payments that look like tunneling. This effect, however, FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 141 stand-alones and low-cash-flow-right ones are more diversified than high-cash-flow-right ones. Then the reduced sensitivity to the industry shock could reflect mismeasurement of these firms' industries. We investigate these questions directly by using de- tailed product data to construct diversification measures. For these measures, we find no difference between group and non- group firms. Nor do we find any difference between high- and low-cash-flow-right group firms in the extent of their diversifica- tion. This suggests that differences in industry mismeasurement do not drive our findings.36
  • 43. Another possibility is that coinsurance between group firms generates both reduced sensitivity to own shock and redistribu- tion between firms. Such coinsurance may be common in coun- tries such as India, where capital markets are still nascent [Khanna and Palepu 2000]. Insurance may also take a financing form in which a rich group firm invests in other firms' products, essentially forming a groupwide internal capital market. A sim- ple coinsurance scheme, however, could not generate all of our results. Specifically, why do high-cash-flow-right firms systemati- cally receive less insurance or financing? More generally, why does cash flow in only one direction, from low- to high-cash- flow- right firms? For an insurance story to accommodate our findings, high- cash-flow-right firms within a group would have to be better providers of insurance or financing. We test this hypothesis in several ways and find no evidence for it. First, we find no differ- ence in cash richness (a proxy for ease of insurance provision) between high- and low-cash-flow-right group firms. Second, we find that adding an interaction of industry cash richness with the various shock measures does not affect the results. Finally, to examine the possibility that these results reflect internal capital markets, we control for the extent of borrowing between firms in a group. This also does not affect the results. As a whole, we find little support for these alternative explanations. would be too small to explain our results. Moreover, our results do not change when we exclude "earnings from dividends" from our measure of earnings.
  • 44. 36. All the results in this section are described in detail in Bertrand, Mehta, and Mullainathan [2000] as well as in Tables C and D of the unpublished appendix. 142 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS TABLE VI SHOCK SENSITIVITY: AN ACCOUNTING DECOMPOSITION Panel A: Sensitivity to own shock Sample: Groups Stand-alones Dep. variable: Operating profits 1.22 1.17 (.018) (.009) Nonoperating profits -.478 -.103 (.014) (.006) Panel B: Sensitivity to own shock by director ownership Sample: Groups Stand-alones Dep. variable: Operating profits .0123 .0082 (.0056) (.0013) Nonoperating profits .0131 -0.0038
  • 45. (.0043) (.0008) Panel C: Sensitivity to group shock by level of director ownership in group Sample: Topmost firm Below topmost firm Dep. variable: Operating profits .0066 .0114 (.0128) (.0026) Nonoperating profits .0134 .0006 (.0078) (.0020) a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore represents 10 million. b. Each coefficient contains the result of a separate regression in which the dependent variable is either operating profits or nonoperating profits, as indicated. In Panel A the reported coefficient is the coefficient on "Own shock." In Panel B the reported coefficient is the coefficient on "Own shock * director equity." In Panel C, the reported coefficient is the coefficient on "Group Shock." Also indicated in each regression are the logarithm of total assets, year fixed effects, firm fixed effects, and "Own shock" (Panels B and C). c. In Panel C the subsamples are for group firms only. Topmost firm and below topmost firms are defined using director's equity. For example, 'Topmost firm" are the set of firms that have the highest level of director ownership in their group.
  • 46. d. Standard errors are in parentheses. IV. OTHER RESULTS IV.A. An Accounting Decomposition If business groups in India are indeed tunneling resources, as the evidence so far strongly suggests, how are they doing it? We address this question in Table VI where we replicate the previous analysis but replace our standard profits measure with other FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 143 balance sheet items. More formally, we decompose profits into two components. Profits = Operating Profits + Nonoperating Profits. Operating profits are defined as sales minus total raw material expenses minus energy expenses minus wages and sal- aries.37 Nonoperating profits are the "residual." They include such diverse items as write-offs for bad debts, interest income, amortization, extraordinary items, and unspecified items. Panel A of Table VI compares the sensitivity of group and stand-alone firms to their own shock for these two measures (as in Table II). Each entry in this panel is the coefficient on "Own shock" from a separate regression. We see in the first row that group firms' operating profits are, if anything, more sensitive to their own industry shock.38 It is on nonoperating profits that group firms are far less sensitive to their own shock. More spe- cifically, nonoperating profits seem to fall when there is a positive shock to a firm's industry. Although nonoperating profits
  • 47. decline moderately in stand-alone firms, the fall is much larger for group firms. In Panel B we examine the differential sensitivity to own industry shock by the controlling party's cash flow rights (as in Table III). Each entry in this panel belongs to a separate regres- sion. For simplicity, we only report in this table the coefficient on "Own shock * director equity." Each regression also includes the logarithm of total assets, firm fixed effects, year fixed effects, and the direct effect of "Own shock." As a benchmark, we report in the second column the equivalent regressions for stand-alone firms. The first row shows that there is little evidence of tunneling in operating profits. While group firms' sensitivity rises with direc- tor equity, stand-alone firms show a nearly equivalent rise. The difference is only about .004. In the second row, however, we see a much greater effect on nonoperating profits. The difference between group and stand-alone firms is around .017, or four times the difference on operating profits. In Panel C we examine how each of the two profit measures respond to the group shock (as in Table V). Each entry represents the coefficient on "Group shock" from a separate regression which includes year and firm fixed effects, the logarithm of total assets,
  • 48. 37. Total raw material expenses include raw material expenses, stores and spares, packaging expenses, and purchase of finished goods for resale. 38. In all regressions in Table VI, the shock measure relates as before to total industry profits (operating and nonoperating). So, the shock measures have not changed, only the dependent variables have. 144 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS and own shock. These results complement those of Panels A and B since they tell us about the mechanisms for tunneling money into a firm. We find a pattern very similar to that in Panels A and B. Much of the differential sensitivity of high- and low-cash- flow- right firms to the group shock occurs on nonoperating profits. Hence, according to the findings in Table VI, the tunneling of money both into and out of firms in India occurs through nonop- erating profits.39 This implies that transfer pricing (which would affect operating profits) is not an important source of tunneling in India. Moreover, it suggests that nonoperating profits may be a force that moves in the opposite direction of operating profits and serves to dampen final earnings. In unreported regressions, we examine this by simply regressing a firm's nonoperating profits on its operating profits, while controlling for size, year dummies,
  • 49. and firm fixed effects. As expected, we find a strong negative coefficient. When we interact operating profits in this regression with a variety of variables, we find results quite similar to our tunneling findings. Group firms show a much more negative relationship between operating and nonoperating profits. Also, among group firms, the ones with low cash flow rights show the most negative relationship. This evidence reinforces the view that manipulation of nonoperating profits is a primary means of re- moving cash from and placing cash into group firms in India. IV.B. Market Valuation Given our findings so far, it is natural to ask whether stock prices reflect the extent of this tunneling. Does the market pe- nalize firms or groups which show more evidence of tunneling? To address this issue, we compute for each firms an average "q" ratio. We do this by first regressing standard firm level market- to-book ratios on log(total assets), year fixed effects, industry fixed effects, and firm fixed effects. The value of the firm fixed effect in this regression is the variable we call "Firm Q." Our q measure is, therefore, the market premium for the firm relative to other firms in its industry, size class, and year. We also compute an average q ratio for each group. To do this, we estimate a similar regression at the firm level but include group fixed effects instead of firm fixed effects. The group fixed effects from these 39. We have attempted further decomposition of nonoperating profits and found no consistent pattern. No one subcomponent of nonoperating profits is
  • 50. systematically more important. This may be because different firms tunnel in different waqvq FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 145 TABLE VII SENSITRVITY TO OWN AND GROUP SHOCK BY FIRM AND GROUP Q RATIOS DEPENDENT VARIABLE: PROFIT BEFORE DIT (1) (2) (3) (4) Own shock -.046 .388 .600 .049 (.056) (.027) (.017) (.060) Own shock * firm Q .178 - .143 (.013) (.016) Own shock * relative Q .143 (.011) Own shock * group Q .414 .171 (.037) (.044) Group shock -.008 .010 .011 -.008 (.003) (.002) (.003) (.004) Group shock * firm Q .012 .012 (.001) (.001) Group shock * relative Q .008 (.001)
  • 51. Group shock * group Q - .006 -.001 (.007) (.006) Adjusted 2 .94 .94 .93 .94 a. a. Data Source: Prowess, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, for years 1989-1999. All monetary variables are expressed in 1995 Rs. crore, where crore represents 10 million. b. Sample is group firms only. c. 'Firm Q" is a variable that represents the estimated firm fixed effects in a regression of firm-level q ratios (market valuation over total assets) on log(total assets), year fixed effects, industry fixed effects, and firm fixed effects. "Group Q" is a variable that represents the estimated group fixed effects in a regression of firm-level q ratios on log(total assets), year fixed effects, industry fixed effects, and group fixed effects. "Relative Q" is the difference between "Firm Q" and the mean of "Firm Q" within groups. d. Also included in each regression are the logarithm of total assets, year fixed effects, and firm fixed effects. e. Standard errors are in parentheses. regressions define the variable we call "Group Q." Finally, we form a "Relative Q" measure for each firm, which equals its own q minus its group q, and captures a firm's performance relative to the rest of the group.
  • 52. In Table VII we examine how these new variables influence the sensitivity of a firm to its own shock and to the group shock. In column (1) we show that firms with higher q are more sensitive to both their own shock and to the group shock. Under the tunneling interpretation, this suggests that firms that have more money transferred to them and less money taken away from them have higher q ratios. In column (3) we see the same pattern for relative q. In column (3) we see that the groups with the highest q ratios are those with firms that show higher sensitivity to their own shock, and thus have less money taken away from them. The 146 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS coefficient on group shock interacted with "Group Q" is positive but insignificant. In column (4) we include interactions of the shock measures with both "Firm Q" and "Group Q." The results are qualitatively similar. The findings in this section suggest that the stock market (at least partly) recognizes tunneling and incorporates it into pricing. Firms that have more resources tunneled to them are valued more by the market. Firms that have less money tunneled away from them are also valued more. Finally, groups that tunnel less money are valued more. These results complement previous em- pirical findings that market valuations positively correlate with the controlling shareholders' cash flow rights.40
  • 53. V. CONCLUSION We have developed a fairly general empirical methodology for quantifying tunneling in business groups. We examined whether shocks propagate between firms in a business group in accord with the controlling shareholder's ownership in each firm. We applied the methodology in Indian data and found significant amounts of tunneling, mostly via nonoperating components of profits. We also found that market prices partly incorporate tunneling. These results raise some questions. If groups expropriate minority shareholders so much, how do they persist? WVhy do minority shareholders buy into them in the first place? We feel that there are three broad possibilities. First, groups may grow through acquisitions. If this is the case, and markets are efficient, then the act of takeover would generate a one-time drop in share price amounting to the extent of tunneling. Second, shareholders may not recognize the extent of tunneling that takes place in groups. For example, the lack of detailed ownership information may make it difficult for shareholders to figure out with great reliability which group firms are high- and which are low-cash- flow-right firms. Finally, groups may provide other benefits, which offset the costs imposed by tunneling. To cite one example, they may provide important political contacts, which are quite 40. For example, Bianchi, Bianco, and Enriques [1999], Claessens, Djankov, Fan, and Lang [1999], and Claessens, Djankov, and Lang [2000]). In the Indian data we find that firms with a higher level of other equity
  • 54. within a group have a lower q ratio. We do not, however, find a significant relationship between level of director ownership and q ratio within groups. FERRETING OUT TUNNELING 147 valuable in a heavily regulated economy. Given the extent of tunneling found here, assessing the relevance of each of these possibilities appears to be an important direction for future research. UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS, NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, AND CENTRE FOR ECONOMIC AND POLICY RESEARCH MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY AND NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH REFERENCES Bebchuk, Lucian, R. Kraakman, and G. Triantis, "Stock Pyramids, Cross-Owner- ship, and Dual Class Equity: The Mechanisms and Agency Costs of Separat- ing Control from Cash Flow Rights," in Concentrated Corporate Ownership, A National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report. R. Morck, editor
  • 55. (Chicago, IL: University of Chicago, 2000). Berle, A., and G. Means, The Modern Corporation and Private Property (New York, NY: Macmillan, 1934). Bertrand, Marianne, and Sendhil Mullainathan, "Agents with and without Prin- cipals," American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, XC (2000), 203-208. Bertrand, Marianne, and Sendhil Mullainathan, "Are CEOs Rewarded for Luck? The Ones without Principals Are," Quarterly Journal of Economics, CXVI (2001), 901-932. Bertrand, Marianne, Paras Mehta, and Sendhil Mullainathan, "Ferreting out Tunneling: An Application to Indian Business Groups," National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 7952, 2000. Bianchi, M., M. Bianco, and L. Enriques, "Pyramidal Groups and the Separation between Ownership and Control in Italy," mimeo, Bank of Italy, 1999. Blanchard, Olivier, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer, "What Do Firms Do with Cash Windfalls," Journal of Financial Economics, XXXVI (1994), 337-360. Claessens, Stijn, Simeon Djankov, and Harry Lang, "The
  • 56. Separation of Owner- ship and Control in East Asian Countries," mimeo, World Bank, 2000. Claessens, Stijn, Simeon Djankov, Joseph Fan, and Harry Lang, "Expropriation of Minority Shareholders: Evidence from East Asia," Policy Research Paper No. 2088, World Bank, 1999. Dutta, Sudipt, Family Business in India (New Delhi: Response Books, Sage Publications, 1997). Hoshi, Takeo, Anil Kashyap, and David Scharfstein, "Corporate Structure, Li- quidity, and Investment: Evidence from Japanese Industrial Groups," Quar- terly Journal of Economics, CVI (1991), 33-60. Jensen, Michael, and William Meckling, "Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behav- ior, Agency Costs, and Ownership Structure," Journal of Financial Econom- ics, III (1976), 305-360. Johnson, Simon, P. Boone, A. Breach, and E. Friedman, "Corporate Governance in the Asian Financial Crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, LVIII (2000), 141-186. Johnson, Simon, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer, "Tunneling," American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings,
  • 57. XC (2000), 22-27. Johnson, Simon, and Eric Friedman, "Tunneling and Propping," MIT Working Paper, 2000. Khanna, Tarun, and Krishna Palepu, "Is Group Membership Profitable in Emerg- ing Markets? An Analysis of Diversified Indian Business Groups," Journal of Finance, LV (2000), 867-891. 148 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS Lamont, Owen, "Capital Flows and Investment: Evidence from the Internal Capi- tal Markets," Journal of Finance, LII (1997), 83-109. La Porta, Rafael, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny, "Corporate Ownership around the World," Journal of Finance, LIV (1999), 471-517. Nenova, Tatiana, "The Value of a Corporate Vote and Private Benefits: Cross- Country Analysis," mimeo, Department of Economics, Harvard University, 1999. Piramal, G. Business Maharajas (Bombay: Viking Press, 1996). Price, Waterhouse & Co., Doing Business in India (New York: Price Waterhouse,
  • 58. 1999). Sarkar, Jayati, and Subrata Sarkar, "The Governance of Indian Corporates," India Development Report, 1999-2000, Kirit S. Parikh, editor (New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1999). Shleifer, Andrei, and Daniel Wolfenzon, "Investor Protection and Equity Mar- kets," National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 7974, 2000. Wolfenzon, Daniel, "A Theory of Pyramidal Ownership," mimeo, Department of Economics, Harvard University, 1999. Zingales, Luigi, "What Determines the Value of Corporate Votes," Quarterly Journal of Economics, CX (1995), 1047-1073. Article Contentsp. 121p. 122p. 123p. 124p. 125p. 126p. 127p. 128p. 129p. 130p. 131p. 132p. 133p. 134p. 135p. 136p. 137p. 138p. 139p. 140p. 141p. 142p. 143p. 144p. 145p. 146p. 147p. 148Issue Table of ContentsThe Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 117, No. 1 (Feb., 2002), pp. 1-377Front MatterThe Regulation of Entry [pp. 1 - 37]Relational Contracts and the Theory of the Firm [pp. 39 - 84]Integration versus Outsourcing in Industry Equilibrium [pp. 85 - 120]Ferreting Out Tunneling: An Application to Indian Business Groups [pp. 121 - 148]Do Liquidity Constraints and Interest Rates Matter for Consumer Behavior? Evidence from Credit Card Data [pp. 149 - 185]Monotone Comparative Statics under Uncertainty [pp. 187 - 223]The Schooling of Southern Blacks: The Roles of Legal Activism and Private Philanthropy, 1910-1960 [pp. 225 - 268]Junior Can't Borrow: A New Perspective on the Equity Premium Puzzle [pp. 269 - 296]Technological Acceleration,
  • 59. Skill Transferability, and the Rise in Residual Inequality [pp. 297 - 338]Information Technology, Workplace Organization, and the Demand for Skilled Labor: Firm-Level Evidence [pp. 339 - 376]Erratum: The Power of Suggestion: Inertia in 401(k) Participation and Savings Behavior [p. 377]Back Matter THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE • VOL. LXIV, NO. 4 • AUGUST 2009 Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies RONALD W. MASULIS, CONG WANG, and FEI XIE∗ ABSTRACT Using a sample of U.S. dual-class companies, we examine how divergence between insider voting and cash f low rights affects managerial extraction of private bene- fits of control. We find that as this divergence widens, corporate cash holdings are worth less to outside shareholders, CEOs receive higher compensation, managers make shareholder value-destroying acquisitions more often, and capital expenditures contribute less to shareholder value. These findings support the agency hypothesis that managers with greater excess control rights over cash f low rights are more prone to pursue private benefits at shareholders’ expense, and help explain why firm value is decreasing in insider excess control rights. THE SEPARATION OF OWNERSHIP and control has long been
  • 60. recognized as the source of the agency problem between managers and shareholders at public corporations (Berle and Means (1932), Jensen and Meckling (1976)), and its shareholder-value ramification has been the subject of an extensive literature.1 While most of this research focuses on firms in which voting or control rights and cash f low rights are largely aligned, recently some researchers have started to examine companies with alternative ownership schemes such as cross-holding, pyramidal, and dual-class structures. These alternative ownership arrange- ments, which are common in much of the world, often result in a significant divergence between insider voting rights and cash f low rights. This divergence aggravates the agency conf licts between managers and shareholders, since in- siders controlling disproportionally more voting rights than cash f low rights bear a smaller proportion of the financial consequences of their decisions while ∗ Ronald W. Masulis is from the Owen Graduate School of Management, Vanderbilt University; Cong Wang is from the Faculty of Business Administration, Chinese University of Hong Kong; and Fei Xie is from the School of Management, George Mason University. We thank Paul Gompers, Joy Ishii, and Andrew Metrick for generously sharing data on dual- class companies. We also thank Cam Harvey (the editor), an anonymous associate editor, an
  • 61. anonymous referee, Harry DeAngelo, Mara Faccio, Wi-Saeng Kim, Michael King, Lily Qiu, Anil Shivdasani, and seminar participants at Chinese University of Hong Kong, City University of Hong Kong, Nanyang Technological Univer- sity, Peking University, San Diego State University, Vanderbilt University, the 2nd International Conference on Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, the 13th Mitsui Life Symposium on Global Financial Markets, 2007 FMA Annual Meeting, and 2007 European FMA Meeting for valuable comments. Cong Wang also acknowledges the financial support of a Direct Allocation Grant at CUHK (project ID: 2070391, 07-08). 1 Early studies include Demsetz and Lehn (1985), Morck, Shleifer, and Vishny (1988), and McConnell and Servaes (1990). Becht, Bolton, and Roell (2003) and Morck, Wolfenzon, and Yeung (2005) provide comprehensive reviews of the literature. 1697 1698 The Journal of Finance R© having a greater ability to forestall, if not block, changes in corporate con- trol that could threaten their private benefits and continued employment at the company. Consistent with this intuition, Claessens et al. (2002), Lemmon and Lins (2003), Lins (2003), Harvey, Lins, and Roper (2004), and Gompers, Ishii, and Metrick (GIM (2009)) document that firm value and
  • 62. stock returns are lower as corporate insiders control more voting rights relative to cash f low rights. An important question left unaddressed by prior studies relates to the chan- nels through which insider control rights–cash f low rights divergence leads to lower shareholder value. Anecdotal evidence suggests that managerial expro- priation of outside shareholders may be at work (see the examples in Johnson et al. (2000a, 2000b)), but there is no systematic evidence linking managerial extraction of private benefits to the control rights–cash f low rights divergence. In addition, the examples in Johnson et al. represent rather blatant expropri- ations of outside shareholders in countries with poor investor protection. It remains to be seen whether acts of managerial malfeasance are observable in countries with strong investor protection such as the United States, and if so, in what forms they take place. Our study aims to answer these questions by analyzing a sample of U.S. dual-class companies. Using both a ratio measure and a wedge measure to capture the voting rights–cash f low rights divergence, we find four distinctive sets of evidence supporting the hypothesis that man- agers with greater control rights in excess of cash f low rights are more likely to pursue private benefits at the expense of outside
  • 63. shareholders. First, we examine how control rights–cash f low rights divergence impacts a firm’s efficiency in utilizing an important corporate resource, namely, cash reserves. Cash generally represents a significant proportion of a firm’s total assets.2 In the presence of asymmetric information, corporate cash holding contributes to firm value by alleviating the underinvestment problem when external financing is costly. However, since it is the most liquid among all cor- porate assets, cash also provides managers with the most latitude as to how and when to spend it, and its value is the most likely to be inf luenced by agency con- f licts between managers and shareholders. In other words, a dollar of corporate cash holding may not be worth a dollar to outside shareholders, since managers may spend part or all of it on the pursuit of private benefits such as perquisite consumption, empire building, excessive compensation, and subsidizing and sustaining unprofitable projects or divisions. We use the methodology developed by Faulkender and Wang (2006) to ana- lyze the contribution of one extra dollar of cash to firm value, and find that the marginal value of cash is decreasing in the divergence between insider voting rights and cash f low rights. This is consistent with the argument that share-
  • 64. holders anticipate that corporate cash holdings are more likely to be misused at companies where insider voting rights are disproportionately greater than cash f low rights, and therefore place a lower value on these highly fungible corporate assets. 2 The average ratio of cash to the book value of total assets is over 12% in our sample companies. Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies 1699 In our second avenue of inquiry, we analyze how insider control rights–cash f low rights divergence affects the level of CEO compensation. Executive com- pensation is among the central issues in the current debate over the effects of weak corporate governance, and exorbitant CEO pay packages have been widely regarded as a major form of private benefits and a symbol of bad gover- nance. Excessive CEO compensation is also a direct way of shifting wealth from shareholders to managers. Consistent with our evidence on the market value of cash, we find that ceteris paribus, excess CEO pay is significantly higher at companies with a wider divergence between insider voting and cash f low rights. In a third line of analysis, we evaluate the acquisition decisions
  • 65. made by dual-class companies. Corporate acquisitions represent an ideal setting for our analysis, because they are among the largest firm investments and can lead to heightened conf licts of interest between managers and shareholders. It is well documented that managers sometimes use acquisitions as a channel to extract private benefits at the expense of shareholders.3 In a multivariate regression framework, we find that as insider control rights–cash f low rights divergence widens, acquiring companies experience lower announcement- period abnormal stock returns, are more likely to experience negative announcement-period ab- normal stock returns, and are less likely to withdraw acquisitions that the stock market perceives as shareholder value destroying.4 These results sug- gest that as insiders control more voting rights relative to cash f low rights, they are more likely to make shareholder value-destroying acquisitions that benefit themselves. Finally, we examine firms’ capital expenditure decisions as another channel of empire building and private benefits extraction. We study how insider control rights–cash f low rights divergence affects the contribution of capital expendi- tures to shareholder value. We focus on large capital expenditure increases, and evaluate their shareholder wealth effects using the same
  • 66. framework we employed for the analysis of the market value of cash. We find that ceteris paribus, capital expenditures contribute significantly less to shareholder value at firms with a greater divergence between insider voting rights and cash f low rights, suggesting that managers at these companies are more likely to make large capital investments to advance their own interests. We make two major contributions to the literature. First, our results shed direct light on the issue of how insider control rights–cash f low rights diver- gence leads to lower shareholder value. We show that misusing corporate cash reserves, demanding excessive remuneration, engaging in shareholder value- destroying acquisitions, and making poor capital expenditure decisions are four possible avenues for corporate insiders to secure private benefits at the expense 3 See Jensen and Ruback (1983), Jarrell, Brickley, and Netter (1988), and Andrade, Mitchell, and Stafford (2001) for comprehensive reviews of the literature at various stages. 4 We measure the announcement-period cumulative abnormal return (CAR) experienced by each acquirer’s inferior-class stock, because the CAR experienced by the superior-class stock is con- founded by the private benefits of control that holders of superior-class shares enjoy. Besides, most superior-class stocks are not publicly traded.
  • 67. 1700 The Journal of Finance R© of outside shareholders. By bridging the gap between ownership structure and firm value through examining specific corporate decisions and policies, our study helps alleviate the often raised concern about spurious correlation in the documented relations between ownership structure and firm value proxied by either Tobin’s Q or stock returns (Claessens et al. (2002), Lemmon and Lins (2003), Lins (2003), Harvey et al. (2004), GIM (2009)). Second, our results further our understanding of why superior- voting shares command a premium in the marketplace over inferior-voting shares. The pre- vailing explanation is that insiders controlling the voting rights extract pri- vate benefits from the companies they run (Lease, McConnell, and Mikkelson (1983), DeAngelo and DeAngelo (1985), Zingales (1995), Nenova (2003), Dyck and Zingales (2004)), but there is no substantive evidence to support the claim. The findings we present in the paper fill this void. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section I describes the sample of dual-class companies used in this study. Sections II, III, IV, and V present our analyses of the market value of cash, CEO
  • 68. compensation, acquisi- tion decisions, and the market value of large capital expenditures, respectively. Section VI reports results from additional tests including a subsample analy- sis where insiders hold high voting rights, corrections for sample selection and endogeneity, an analysis of voting premium, and a comparison of agency prob- lems between dual-class companies and single-class companies. Section VII concludes. I. Dual-Class Sample Description We obtain a comprehensive list of dual-class companies that GIM (2009) con- struct from the universe of U.S. public firms over the 1994– 2002 period. More than 6% of firms covered by Compustat have a dual-class structure, and they represent about 8% of the total market capitalization of Compustat firms. A typical dual-class company has two classes of stock: the superior class, which has multiple votes per share and is not publicly traded, and the inferior class, which has one vote per share and is generally publicly traded. For each class of stock, GIM collect information on the voting rights per share, the dividend rights per share, the number of shares outstanding, and the number of shares held by officers and directors, that is, insiders, as a group. They use this in- formation to calculate the percentages of voting rights and cash
  • 69. f low rights controlled by insiders in each company. We experiment with two measures to capture the divergence between in- sider voting rights and cash f low rights, or excess control rights hereafter for brevity. The first measure comes from Lemmon and Lins (2003), Lins (2003), and Harvey et al. (2004), and is equal to the ratio of the percentage of a firm’s voting rights controlled by insiders to the percentage of cash f low rights con- trolled by insiders. The second measure is used in studies by Claessens et al. (2002), Villalonga and Amit (2006), and GIM (2009), and is defined as the dif- ference between the insider-controlled percentages of voting rights and cash f low rights. Both measures increase with insider voting rights and decrease Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies 1701 with insider cash f low rights, and thus positively capture the degree of the sep- aration of ownership and control due to the dual-class structure. The larger the two measures, the greater the incentives of insiders to extract private benefits.5 Since the two measures give us very similar results throughout our analysis, we only present the evidence based on the ratio measure.6
  • 70. II. Analysis of the Market Value of Corporate Cash Holdings A. Model Specification and Variable Definitions To examine how excess control rights affect the contribution of cash to firm value, we build on the framework developed by Faulkender and Wang (2006), who study the relation between the marginal value of cash and corporate fi- nancial policies. They find that the value of an extra dollar of cash decreases with a firm’s cash position and leverage, but increases with a firm’s financial constraints. We augment their model by introducing the excess control rights measure. Specifically, our regression equation is specified as follows: ri,t − R Bi,t = β0 + β1 × �Cashi,t Mktcapi,t−1 + β2 × Excess control rightsi,t−1 × �Cashi,tMktcapi,t−1 + β3 × Excess control rightsi,t−1 + γ ′ X + εi,t . (1) The dependent variable in equation (1) is the excess return of a firm’s inferior- class stock over fiscal year t. Faulkender and Wang calculate excess returns by subtracting the Fama–French size and book-to-market portfolio returns (R Bi,t ) from the raw returns of the inferior-class stock (ri,t ). A potential problem with
  • 71. this approach is that a firm’s market-to-book ratio is endogenous, which could affect the interpretation of our results.7 Therefore, we alternatively compute excess returns by subtracting the value-weighted industry returns from the raw returns of the inferior-class stock, where industries are defined based on the Fama–French (1997) 48-industry classification (see the Appendix for defi- nitions of all variables). On the right-hand side of equation (1), �Cashi,t is a firm’s unexpected change in cash from year t − 1 to t, with the firm’s cash position at the end of year t − 1 taken to be its expected cash level in year t. Since �Cashi,t is scaled by the market value of equity at the end of year t − 1 (Mktcapi,t −1), its coefficient β1 measures the dollar change in shareholder wealth for a one- dollar change in corporate cash holdings. To test whether excess control rights affect the market valuation of a firm’s cash holdings, we interact excess control rights with scaled �Cashi,t and include the interaction term as an explanatory variable. We expect 5 An implicit assumption commonly made in the insider voting and cash f low rights literature, at least since Morck et al. (1988), is that insiders act as a homogenous unit. Although this assumption is very plausible for most situations, it is possible that insiders can at times have conf licting objectives. This risk can create incentives for some insiders to
  • 72. hold larger voting blocks. 6 See our earlier working paper (available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=961158) for parallel evidence based on the wedge between insider voting rights and cash f low rights. 7 We thank the referee for pointing this out and suggesting the alternative approach that follows. 1702 The Journal of Finance R© the coefficient of the interaction term, β2, to be negative, since excess control rights can exacerbate the manager–shareholder conf lict and lead to inefficient use of cash. We also include excess control rights as a separate control variable to make sure that the interaction term does not merely pick up the effect of excess control rights itself. As in Faulkender and Wang (2006), the vector X comprises firm-specific char- acteristics that can be simultaneously correlated with changes in cash and ex- cess stock returns. These variables measure a firm’s financial and investment policies during the past fiscal year, including net financing over year t − 1 to t, changes in earnings before extraordinary items plus interest, deferred tax credits, and investment tax credits, changes in total assets net of cash, changes
  • 73. in R&D, changes in interest expense, and changes in dividends.8 We also fol- low Faulkender and Wang by including two interaction terms as explanatory variables. The first interaction is between changes in cash and a firm’s prior cash position, and the second is between the change in cash and firm leverage. Faulkender and Wang find that the marginal value of cash decreases with both a company’s prior cash holdings and its leverage. Similar to Dittmar and Mahrt-Smith (2007), we introduce a third interaction term between the change in cash and the degree of a firm’s financial constraints, since Faulkender and Wang show that the marginal value of cash increases with the degree of financial constraint. Following prior studies (Almeida, Campello, and Weisbach (2004), Faulkender and Wang (2006), Dittmar and Mahrt-Smith (2007)), we use a firm’s total payout ratio to measure the degree to which a firm is financially constrained. Total payout is defined as the sum of dividends and stock repurchases scaled by book value of total assets. Following Grullon and Michaely (2002), stock repurchases are calculated as the dollar amount spent on the purchase of common and preferred stocks minus any decrease in the redemption value of the preferred stock. We create an indicator variable that is equal to 1 if a firm’s total payout ratio is below the annual sample median,
  • 74. and interact it with change in cash. B. Regression Results We match the dual-class sample of GIM (2009) to the Compustat and CRSP databases to obtain annual financial statement and daily stock return infor- mation. Daily stock returns over an entire fiscal year are required to compute annual excess returns. Two consecutive fiscal years of financial statement data are required to construct many of the explanatory variables in equation (1). The final sample consists of 2,440 firm-year observations from 1995 to 2003 for 503 dual-class companies. Table I presents the summary statistics for this sample. Insiders hold on average 66.8% of voting rights and only 39.4% of cash f low rights, resulting in a significant divergence between their voting rights and cash f low rights. Indeed, the mean ratio of insider voting rights to cash 8 Similar to the change in cash, these variables are also scaled by the firm’s market capitalization at the beginning of the fiscal year. Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies 1703 Table I Summary Statistics—Analysis of the Market Value of Cash Holdings
  • 75. The sample consists of 2,440 firm-years for 503 dual-class companies from 1995 to 2003. Variable definitions are given in the Appendix. Mean Std. Q1 Median Q3 Firm ownership structure Insiders’ cash f low rights 0.394 0.215 0.228 0.366 0.541 Insiders’ voting rights 0.668 0.235 0.508 0.699 0.862 Ratio 2.208 2.064 1.309 1.669 2.342 Excess stock returns of inferior class during the fiscal year (r − RB) 0.029 0.771 −0.328 −0.055 0.226 Firm characteristics Total assets (in $ millions) 2,181 7,148 161 500 1,438 Leverage 0.228 0.207 0.038 0.179 0.365 Cash/Total assets 0.123 0.161 0.016 0.053 0.171 (The variables below are scaled by the market value of equity of the inferior class at the end of fiscal year t − 1.) Casht −1 0.321 0.533 0.034 0.116 0.354 �Casht 0.035 0.440 −0.035 0.002 0.054 �Earningst 0.017 0.351 −0.049 0.010 0.065 �NetAssetst 0.240 1.157 −0.049 0.080 0.367 �R&Dt −0.002 0.019 0 0 0 �Interestt 0.011 0.061 −0.003 0 0.012 �Dividendst −0.002 0.020 0 0 0.001 NetFinancingt 0.123 0.576 −0.053 0 0.141 f low rights is 2.208, and the median is 1.669.9 The change in cash scaled by beginning-of-year market value of equity has a mean (median) of 3.5% (0.2%).
  • 76. Consistent with Faulkender and Wang (2006), we also find that annual excess stock returns are right skewed, with a mean of 2.9% and a median of −5.5%. There is also a substantial variation in excess returns in our sample, as evi- denced by the large standard deviation and interquartile range. Table II presents the regression results of the value-of-cash analysis. The dependent variable is alternatively defined as excess returns adjusted by in- dustry in column (1) and excess returns adjusted by size and market-to-book in column (2). We control for year and industry fixed effects in both regressions, where industries are defined based on the Fama–French (1997) 48-industry classification. Figures in parentheses are p-values based on standard errors ad- justed for heteroskedasticity (White (1980)) and firm-level clustering (Peterson (2009)). We find that the interaction term between excess control rights and the change in cash has a negative and significant coefficient in both columns. This result is consistent with our hypothesis that when insiders control more 9 The difference between insiders’ voting rights and cash f low rights has a mean of 27.4% and a median of 26.3%. These summary statistics are very similar to those reported by GIM (2009) for their entire dual-class sample.
  • 77. 1704 The Journal of Finance R© Table II OLS Regression Analysis of the Market Value of Cash Holdings The sample consists of 2,440 dual-class firm-years from 1995 to 2003. In column (1), the dependent variable is the industry-adjusted excess returns of the inferior- class stock during fiscal year t, and in column (2), it is the size and market-to-book adjusted excess returns of the inferior-class stock during fiscal year t. Variable definitions are given in the Appendix. Financial variables, except leverage, are scaled by the market capitalization of the inferior- class stock at the end of fiscal year t − 1. In parentheses are p-values based on standard errors adjusted for heteroskedasticity (White (1980)) and firm clustering (Peterson (2009)). The symbols a, b, and c stand for statistical significance based on two-sided tests at the 1, 5, and 10% levels, respectively. All regressions control for year and industry fixed effects, whose coefficient estimates are suppressed. The coefficient on the intercept is also suppressed. Dependent Variable: Annual Excess Stock Returns (1) (2) �Casht 1.106a 1.054a (0.008) (0.010) Ratiot −1 × �Casht −0.037c −0.040c
  • 78. (0.067) (0.072) Ratiot −1 −0.007 −0.009 (0.490) (0.393) Casht −1 × �Casht −0.275a −0.262a (0.000) (0.001) Leveraget × �Casht −0.652c −0.609 (0.063) (0.105) Constrained (dummy) × �Casht −0.130 −0.098 (0.704) (0.773) Casht −1 0.089c 0.078 (0.089) (0.142) Leveraget −0.724a −0.782a (0.000) (0.000) �Earningst 0.281a 0.296a (0.000) (0.000) �NetAssetst 0.033 0.034 (0.107) (0.121) �R&Dt 2.217 2.412 (0.133) (0.105) �Interestt −0.240 −0.147 (0.543) (0.708) �Dividendst −0.095 −0.063 (0.382) (0.588) NetFinancingt 0.067 0.081c
  • 79. (0.132) (0.076) Year fixed effects Yes Yes Industry fixed effects Yes Yes Number of obs. 2,440 2,440 Adjusted R2 15.40% 14.63% Agency Problems at Dual-Class Companies 1705 voting rights relative to cash f low rights, corporate cash holdings are more apt to be diverted to private benefits and thus are valued less by shareholders. More specifically, based on the coefficient estimates in column (1), ceteris paribus, the marginal value of cash decreases by $0.08 per one-standard- deviation increase in the ratio of insider control rights to cash f low rights. Our finding is in line with the evidence in Dittmar and Mahrt-Smith (2007) that an extra dollar of cash is less valuable to shareholders at companies with more antitakeover provisions and lower institutional ownership, and the evidence in Pinkowitz, Stulz, and Williamson (2006) that the contribution of corporate cash holdings to firm value is lower in countries with poor investor protection. Both studies attribute their findings to managers extracting private benefits from corporate cash holdings at poorly governed firms. For the control variables, the signs and statistical significances
  • 80. are generally consistent with those reported in Faulkender and Wang (2006). For example, we also find negative and significant coefficients for the interaction between cash level and change in cash and the interaction between leverage and change in cash. III. Analysis of CEO Compensation A. Sample and Variable Description To test whether a rise in excess control rights leads to greater CEO pay, we match the dual-class firm sample with the ExecuComp database, which provides information on CEO compensation. We exclude firm- year observations in which CEOs have been in office for less than 1 year, since the compensation to these CEOs is for only part of a fiscal year. We also require firms to have stock return data from CRSP and accounting data from Compustat for each fiscal year with CEO compensation data. The final sample consists of 791 firm-year observations of 150 dual-class companies during the period from 1995 to 2003. Following prior studies such as Aggarwal and Samwick (1999), Core, Holthausen, and Larcker (1999), and Bertrand and Mullainathan (1999), we use the level of CEO total compensation (ExecuComp variable: TDC1) as the