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Species Distribution Models for Great
Smoky Mountains N.P.
Tanner Jessel
School of Information Sciences
The University of Tennessee
ATBI Mapping Program
• Discover Life in America (DLIA)
• National Park Service (NPS)
• The University of Tennessee (UTK)
– College of Engineering, Dept. of Electrical
Engineering and Computer Science (EECS)
• National Institute for Mathematical and
Biological Synthesis (NIMBios)
Collaboration
Source: Global Biodiversity Information Facility
Where do all the species live?
274,120 occurrence records
Food „Fir‟ Thought
Where Does Fraser Fir Live?
Where Does Fraser Fir Live?
Source: LANDSAT program
Remote Sensing
Satellite image of Great Smoky Mountains
Source: ATBI Database
Physical Inventory
Visualization of Fraser fir record locations
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Predictive Modelling
Predictive model of Fraser Fir (Abies fraseri)
Environmental Variables
• Continuous
– Digital Elevation
Model
– Solar radiation
– Topographic
convergence index
• Categorical
– Bedrock geology
– Soil organic type
– Slope in degrees
– Terrain shape index
– Leaf on canopy cover
– Understory density
– Vegetation classes
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Digital Elevation Model
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Solar input
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Slope in degrees
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Bedrock Geology
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Soil organic type
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Topographic convergence index
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Terrain shape index
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Vegetation class
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Understory density
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Environmental Variables
Leaf-on canopy cover
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Number Crunching
Contributions of environmental layers to model
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
Red Oak
N. Red Oak (Quercus rubra), 5,606 specimens
Source: Alltaxa Web Interface
White Oak
White Oak (Quercus alba), 2,200 specimens
Source: Raw data, unpublished model output
All Oaks (Quercus spp.)
All oaks (12 species in ATBI database)
Applications
Source: Raw data, unpublished model output
All Ground-nesting birds
All ground-nesting birds
Applications
Source: Raw data, unpublished model output
All wood warblers
All wood warblers (Family Parulidae)
Source: Raw data, unpublished model output
All Trees At-risk to Invasive Beetle
All “preferred” host trees of Asian long-horned beetle
Current Holdings
• Existing
– 733 SDMs
• 6 Salamanders
• 62 Birds
• 7 Diatoms
• 2 Fishes
• 167 Invertebrates
• 4 Mammals
• 484 Plants
• 1 Slime Mold
• Upcoming
– 1,420 SDMs
– 2 new environmental
variables
• Temperature
• Soil pH
– New taxa
• Reptiles
1024 Cores, can run the MaxEnt Java program (Titan cannot)
Parallel Processing
Nautilus: Single System Image Supercomputer
Next Steps
• Workflow
– More automation
• Web services
– Engage “Non-
traditional” HPC users
• Access
– Advanced
• Raw data output
– Intermediate
• Map interface
• Synthesized data
products
– Casual
• Exploratory use
Next Steps
Next Steps
Next Steps?
Questions?
• https://tiny.utk.edu/atbi

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ATBI Mapping Program: Species Distribution Models for Great Smoky Mountains National Park

Editor's Notes

  1. 274,120 results
  2. What comes to mind when you think of Fraser fir? What’s your “mental model” of where it lives?
  3. 274,120 results
  4. 274,120 results
  5. 274,120 results
  6. That’s rad.
  7. Steep, vertical drops
  8. Bedrock geology
  9. soils
  10. Essentially, streams
  11. Effect of landforms on tree height
  12. Vegetation class.
  13. Where’s the rhododendron?
  14. Leaf on, leaf off.
  15. 88.8% contribution from the digital elevation model. Who’d have guessed?
  16. 2158 localities contributing to model.
  17. 941 localities contributing to model.
  18. “the oaks are one of the very important genera of trees in the park, susceptible to gypsy moth and more recently Sudden Oak death, should either invade our region” Keith Langdon, Park Biolgist, retired
  19. Sudden oak death. http://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/futures/reports/draft/images/Chapter%2016-5.gif; http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/morgantown/4557/gmoth/spread/nosts.jpg
  20. Red Oak
  21. Fire ants on a quail egg. Photo by Brad Dabbert,labelled CC-BYhttp://bugmugs.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/quail4_dabbert.jpg, Wildfire in Smokies: Photo: Joe Strickland.
  22. “the Wood warblers are neo-tropical migrants who have undergone declines as a group, monitoring is underway internationally, but now we are starting to understand where they occur in GRSM” –Keith Langdon, NPS
  23. “Anoplophora is the Asian long-horned beetle, which has recently invaded North America, mostly in cities to our north, I used literature to assess the most preferred tree species of this voracious pest, and then overlaid them in the park.  These areas would perhaps be the best place to monitor for their initial invasion in our area.” – Keith Langdon, Retired Park Biologist
  24. Data quality will continue to change.
  25. My other computer is a supercomputer. “Running MaxEnt for 500 species on a PC implementation of MaxEnt has been estimated to take about 90 hours (human or “wall-clock” time). Research reported in 2012 demonstrated the MaxEnt Java program can be deployed on a single-system-image supercomputer to decrease processing time for MaxEnt runs. Parallel processing translated to 25 minutes of “wall-clock time” on the supercomputer to make the runs.”