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DRAFT




                                       The blank t-shirt company.
                                            Equity research done for:




June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                       Business model
     • Vertical integration and international
       operations.
     • manufacture basic, non-fashion, frequent-
       replenishment products:
              – T-shirt
              – Fleece
              – Sox
     • Cost leadership based on high
       volume, capacity and supply chain efficiency.

June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                 Global T-shirt company
    Manufacturing plant :
    Pakistan                                                  Head office: Montreal
    Bangladesh                                                Sales and marketing: Barbados
    Caribbean                                                 Retail distribution centre: South Carolina
    Honduras (Rio Nance)
    Nicaragua




Distribution:
Australia      Germany       Norway
Austria        Greece        Poland
Belgium        Guadeloupe    Portugal
Brazil         Holland       Puerto Rico
Canada         Hong King     Spain
China Cyprus   Hungary       Suriname
Czech Republic Iceland       Sweden
Denmark        Ireland       Taiwan           Heavy CAPEX in Honduras to refurbish existing
Dominican      Italy         United Kingdom
Republic       Japan         USA              plant. GIL has shifted production to low cost
Finland        Mexico
June 2012 | Summum Zealand | Mo Yang
France         New Capital                    geographics to ensure cost advantage.
DRAFT
                               Textile/apparel Industry
     Gildan Brands                     Strategic partners   Competitors
                                                            Public:




                                                            Privately held:




June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                       What do they sell?
             T-Shirt                        Fleece                      Sox                           Underwear




                                          Cost effective, unbranded, frequently changed clothing.
                                  Average retail price of items ~ $10. Most business are generated through
                                              screenprinter which are really t-shirt decorators.

                                          At 1.7B of sales, that represents 170M items sold yearly.


June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
      Retail and print wear has more potential for growth but also a lot
                       smaller market than screen print




                                                                                       Sox fabricated
                          Distribtion/wholesaler              Gildan direct web site
                                                                                       under license




                               Decorate the
                                white label          Retail stores                        Licensor
                                 product




            Corporate (uniform, organization brand
                                                                     Consumer
                    apparel, sportswear )



                 Screenprint business (75%)                  Retail / print wear business (25%)
              The bigger higher margin business             The smaller, less profitable business
June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                                       Performance highlight
                                            Sales per region 2009-2011




                                                              12% growth
                                    2,500

                                                                             1920
           Sales in millions of $




                                    2,000                                                  Europe and other
                                                                1726
                                                                                           Canada
                                    1,500              1311
                                                                                           United states
                                    1,000
                                              1037

                                     500

                                       0
                                              2009     2010      2011        2012E




      Main customer 2011                                                                                      PPE per region 2011


                                                                                                                                                          Canada   Other
                                                                           Customer A                                                           Bangladesh 1%       2%
                                                                              19%                                                                  2%
                                                                                                                                    United States
                                                                                                                                         15%




                                                                                     Customer B
                                                                                        12%

                                                                                                                                                                            Honduras
                                                                                                                             Caribbean Basin                                  59%
                                               Other                                                                               21%
                                               69%



        Gildan sales dependant on the economic situation of their big accounts.                                Higher Capex in Bangladesh expected to remain competitive.



June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                                 Historical results
    (in millions of $)                 2012                             2011                                                  2010
                               Q2              Q1       Q4       Q3             Q2           Q1            Q4           Q3            Q2              Q1
    Sales                     483              304     482      530            383          331           369          395           327             220
    COS                       397              297     383      380            274          250           268          288           236             155
    Gross margin               86               7       99      150            109           81           101          107            91              65
    %                         18%              2%      21%      28%            28%          24%           27%          27%           28%             30%

    Selling and admin          56              51       35      36             51            42           27            25            23              20

    Earning before tax         28              -47      40      91             57            38           54            63            50              29

    EBITDA adjustment
    Interest                    3               2        2       1              0            3             0             0             0               0
    Depreciation               21              18       22      22             39            15           17            17            16              16



    EBITDA                   51.54            -26.52   63.58   113.92          96.2         56.1         71.28        79.73          66.07           45.14
    %                         11%              -9%      13%     21%            25%          17%           19%          20%            20%             21%

                                                                      Sales of T-shirt fabricated with high cost cotton purchased in 2011 when
    Average gross margin                      23.4%                   cotton reached plateau of $200 cents per pound and decrease in selling price
    Average EBITDA margin                      16%                    due to adjustment to current price of ~100 cents per pound.




June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                       Stock risk
     Risk are anything that can reduce earnings:
     • Cotton price;
     • Economy /consumption;
     • Foreign currency risk exposure;
     • Transportation cost, petroleum price;
     • Defined benefit plan;
     • Negative publicity caused by sweatshop
       practice.

June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                The one single biggest production cost risk: Cotton price
     • Cotton and polyester fibers are the primary raw materials used in the manufacture of Gildan’s products.
     • Chemicals, dyestuffs and trims purchased from a variety of suppliers also affect directly production cost.
       Cotton fibers is affected by:
       – Consumer demand;
       – Weather;
       – Speculation on the commodities market;
       – The relative valuations;
       – Fluctuations of the currencies of producer the one of the purchaser.
     • Operations are also affected by fluctuations in crude oil and petroleum prices, which can also influence
       transportation costs and the cost of related items used in our business, such as polyester fibers, chemicals,
       dyestuffs and trims.
                                                Cotton price vs. GIL stock price


                                                                         250
                                       Cotton price in cents per pound




                                                                         200
                                                                                                                                                         Cotton price and stock price
                                                                                                                                          Cotton price
                                                                         150
                                                                                                                                          Stock price
                                                                                                                                                         uncorrelated due :
                                                                         100                                                                             1- Forward on cotton
                                                                                                                                                         2- GIL ability to adjust selling
                                                                         50
                                                                                                                                                            price
                                                                          0                                                                              3- Expensive cotton shirt only
                                                                           Jan/09   Jul/09   Jan/10   Jul/10   Jan/11   Jul/11   Jan/12                     sold much later due to
           Cotton price correlation until July 10 2010                                                                                                      inventory build-up. Impact is
June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang                                                                                                                        often delayed by 3-6 months.
DRAFT
                              Sales seasonality exist in the fashion
                                        clothing industry
                                                                           Sales seasonality exist:
                                                                           • Low demand in Q1 due to lower demand for
                               700                                           T-shirt.
                               600                                         • Highest demand in Q3. Client stock up for
      Sales in million of $




                                                                  2012
                               500
                                                                  2011
                                                                             peak summer season and back to school
                               400
                                                                             season stock up.
                               300                                2010
                               200                                         • Historical seasonality factor: Q1: Nil, Q2:
                               100                                           40%, Q3: 38%, Q4: -13%.
                                 0                                         • Management guidance is 1.9B in sales for
                                     Q1      Q2   Q3        Q4               2012.




                              Q1 (bottom)              Q2                 Q3 (peak)                      Q4
                              Nov Dec Jan         Feb Mar April          June July Aug            Sept Oct Nov
                                     +- 0%             +40%                 +38%                       -13%


June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                 Valuation and multiples
          Strong balance sheet:                                                         Attractive multiple:
          •   Enterprise value = ~ 3.53B                                                •    EBITDA margin: 11.5%
          •   Revenue: 1.8B                                                             •    EV/Revenue = 1.96
          •   Debt to equity: 26.12%                                                    •    P/S: 1.80
          •   EV/EBITDA = 16.93                                                         •    EPS: 1.32$
          •   P/B: 2.53                                                                 •    PE: 20.57x


        GIL vs. peers
            Co.     Price    Ticker Currency   Sales      Yield %   Market cap Net debt/ total cap   Gross margin   P/S    P/B     ROE       Trailing PE   Trailing EPS
           Gildan     27      GIL     USD      1.80B       1.14%      3.22B         16.50%              27.0%       1.84   2.59   12.22%       26.34           1.00
          Others:
           Delta      14     DLA       USD     0.492B     0.00%       0.117B         113.50%            24.0%       0.24   0.89    0.95%       92.25          0.15
        Hanesbrand 27        HBI       USD     4.51B      0.00%        2.6B          82.30%             33.4%       0.57   4.02   30.00%       13.77          1.94
           Ennis     14.9    EBF       USD     0.516B     4.80%       3.82B          22.20%             25.0%       0.76   1.09    6.67%       16.08          0.92
          VF Corp 135        VFC       USD     10.06B     2.10%       14.81B         17.00%             43.0%       1.51    3.4   21.08%       16.76          8.07
        Competitor Average                                                           58.75%            31.35%       0.77   2.35   14.68%       34.715         2.77
                     Unspectacular yield with payout of             Lowest leverage but probably not the optional          Based on target PE 23x, stock should be
                                   30%                                             capital structure.                                  trading at $30.
                                                                    Gross Margin is 435bps below industry average
June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
            What explain 2011 35% growth and is it
                         sustainable?
     • Acquisition of Golden Toe in Q2 2011, added 280$ of revenues.
       Organic growth was 10%.

     • Goldentoe was acquired for $350M.

     • Acquisition of Anvil Holding in Q2 2012 for $88M:

              – Reason for acquisition: solidify US distribution network and entry into
                the organic and eco-responsible business;
              – Increase sales by $200M;
              – EBITDA margin of 8.5%;
              – Increase EPS by 20 cents, thus accretive.



June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                       Opportunity
     • Improve margins by further improving vertical
       integration.
     • Growth of direct consumer market.
     • Profit from lower commodities price in Q3 and
       Q4.
     • Improved margin due to use of lower cost
       cotton and decrease in transportation cost
       (overall bearish commodity market).

June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                  2012 Earning estimate
                                       Q1     Q2           Q3             Q4             Total
  Mgmt guidance                        -.38   .23          .80            .66            1.31
  Consensus EPS trend                  -.39   .21          .78            .80            1.40
  Mo                                   -.38   .22          .77            .68            1.29
  Earning surprise                     none   9.5%



  Peak cost cotton used in COGS and              Mo’s assumption: Cotton price, lower
  customer lower order (operating on             fuel price, higher interest, higher Anvil
  lower level of stock) due to destocking        sales at 8.5% margin. Organic growth of
  season.                                        8% and seasonality effect.



  Management forecast growth of 12% yearly to boost sales from $1.7B to 1.9B.




June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                Very positive outlook by Bay and Wall
                                Street
                                                     Explanation:
 Consensus
 Mean consensus                        OUTPERFORM    EPS is strongly correlated with stock price, thus
 # of analysts                                  16   expected strong second half of the year will
                                                     bring sales to $1.9B which represent growth of
 Average price traget                           30
                                                     12%.
 Last close price                               27
                                                     Better growth perspective with acquisition of
                                                     Anvil which will solidify US supply and sales
                                                     channel and strategic t-shirt market.




June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                       Looking forward

     • Gildan will have to continue to invest in manufacturing in
       low cost countries such as Bangladesh to remain
       competitive in the long-term.
     • Bangladesh offers a capable labor force at a very lost cost
       as well as offers duty free access to Europe, Canada, China,
       Japan and Australia amongst others.
     • Moreover negotiations are under way between the US and
       Bangladesh to import BGD goods into the US duty free.
     • Also considering the increased operational costs in Central
       America, Gildan should pursue an aggressive investment
       plan in Asia notably in BGD, India and Pakistan.


June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
DRAFT
                                                Conclusion
     •      We believe GIL.TO represent a solid stock priced correctly by the market
             – Low leverage
             – Trading range should be between 24$ - 30$ based on PE and potential growth
               of 12% yearly.
             – Overall, analysts are positive and consensus target is of $30

     •      How to increase current EP:
              –     GIL has to increase margin its operating margin to match its peers ~33%
              –     Profit from lower commodities cost
              –     Develop European market and Asian market



     •      Q3 earning call : first week of August 2012. Q3 Mgmt guidance EPS: 0.80 and YTD
            sales of $1.9B




June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang

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Gildan Equity Research

  • 1. DRAFT The blank t-shirt company. Equity research done for: June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 2. DRAFT Business model • Vertical integration and international operations. • manufacture basic, non-fashion, frequent- replenishment products: – T-shirt – Fleece – Sox • Cost leadership based on high volume, capacity and supply chain efficiency. June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 3. DRAFT Global T-shirt company Manufacturing plant : Pakistan Head office: Montreal Bangladesh Sales and marketing: Barbados Caribbean Retail distribution centre: South Carolina Honduras (Rio Nance) Nicaragua Distribution: Australia Germany Norway Austria Greece Poland Belgium Guadeloupe Portugal Brazil Holland Puerto Rico Canada Hong King Spain China Cyprus Hungary Suriname Czech Republic Iceland Sweden Denmark Ireland Taiwan Heavy CAPEX in Honduras to refurbish existing Dominican Italy United Kingdom Republic Japan USA plant. GIL has shifted production to low cost Finland Mexico June 2012 | Summum Zealand | Mo Yang France New Capital geographics to ensure cost advantage.
  • 4. DRAFT Textile/apparel Industry Gildan Brands Strategic partners Competitors Public: Privately held: June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 5. DRAFT What do they sell? T-Shirt Fleece Sox Underwear Cost effective, unbranded, frequently changed clothing. Average retail price of items ~ $10. Most business are generated through screenprinter which are really t-shirt decorators. At 1.7B of sales, that represents 170M items sold yearly. June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 6. DRAFT Retail and print wear has more potential for growth but also a lot smaller market than screen print Sox fabricated Distribtion/wholesaler Gildan direct web site under license Decorate the white label Retail stores Licensor product Corporate (uniform, organization brand Consumer apparel, sportswear ) Screenprint business (75%) Retail / print wear business (25%) The bigger higher margin business The smaller, less profitable business June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 7. DRAFT Performance highlight Sales per region 2009-2011 12% growth 2,500 1920 Sales in millions of $ 2,000 Europe and other 1726 Canada 1,500 1311 United states 1,000 1037 500 0 2009 2010 2011 2012E Main customer 2011 PPE per region 2011 Canada Other Customer A Bangladesh 1% 2% 19% 2% United States 15% Customer B 12% Honduras Caribbean Basin 59% Other 21% 69% Gildan sales dependant on the economic situation of their big accounts. Higher Capex in Bangladesh expected to remain competitive. June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 8. DRAFT Historical results (in millions of $) 2012 2011 2010 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Sales 483 304 482 530 383 331 369 395 327 220 COS 397 297 383 380 274 250 268 288 236 155 Gross margin 86 7 99 150 109 81 101 107 91 65 % 18% 2% 21% 28% 28% 24% 27% 27% 28% 30% Selling and admin 56 51 35 36 51 42 27 25 23 20 Earning before tax 28 -47 40 91 57 38 54 63 50 29 EBITDA adjustment Interest 3 2 2 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 Depreciation 21 18 22 22 39 15 17 17 16 16 EBITDA 51.54 -26.52 63.58 113.92 96.2 56.1 71.28 79.73 66.07 45.14 % 11% -9% 13% 21% 25% 17% 19% 20% 20% 21% Sales of T-shirt fabricated with high cost cotton purchased in 2011 when Average gross margin 23.4% cotton reached plateau of $200 cents per pound and decrease in selling price Average EBITDA margin 16% due to adjustment to current price of ~100 cents per pound. June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 9. DRAFT Stock risk Risk are anything that can reduce earnings: • Cotton price; • Economy /consumption; • Foreign currency risk exposure; • Transportation cost, petroleum price; • Defined benefit plan; • Negative publicity caused by sweatshop practice. June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 10. DRAFT The one single biggest production cost risk: Cotton price • Cotton and polyester fibers are the primary raw materials used in the manufacture of Gildan’s products. • Chemicals, dyestuffs and trims purchased from a variety of suppliers also affect directly production cost. Cotton fibers is affected by: – Consumer demand; – Weather; – Speculation on the commodities market; – The relative valuations; – Fluctuations of the currencies of producer the one of the purchaser. • Operations are also affected by fluctuations in crude oil and petroleum prices, which can also influence transportation costs and the cost of related items used in our business, such as polyester fibers, chemicals, dyestuffs and trims. Cotton price vs. GIL stock price 250 Cotton price in cents per pound 200 Cotton price and stock price Cotton price 150 Stock price uncorrelated due : 100 1- Forward on cotton 2- GIL ability to adjust selling 50 price 0 3- Expensive cotton shirt only Jan/09 Jul/09 Jan/10 Jul/10 Jan/11 Jul/11 Jan/12 sold much later due to Cotton price correlation until July 10 2010 inventory build-up. Impact is June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang often delayed by 3-6 months.
  • 11. DRAFT Sales seasonality exist in the fashion clothing industry Sales seasonality exist: • Low demand in Q1 due to lower demand for 700 T-shirt. 600 • Highest demand in Q3. Client stock up for Sales in million of $ 2012 500 2011 peak summer season and back to school 400 season stock up. 300 2010 200 • Historical seasonality factor: Q1: Nil, Q2: 100 40%, Q3: 38%, Q4: -13%. 0 • Management guidance is 1.9B in sales for Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012. Q1 (bottom) Q2 Q3 (peak) Q4 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar April June July Aug Sept Oct Nov +- 0% +40% +38% -13% June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 12. DRAFT Valuation and multiples Strong balance sheet: Attractive multiple: • Enterprise value = ~ 3.53B • EBITDA margin: 11.5% • Revenue: 1.8B • EV/Revenue = 1.96 • Debt to equity: 26.12% • P/S: 1.80 • EV/EBITDA = 16.93 • EPS: 1.32$ • P/B: 2.53 • PE: 20.57x GIL vs. peers Co. Price Ticker Currency Sales Yield % Market cap Net debt/ total cap Gross margin P/S P/B ROE Trailing PE Trailing EPS Gildan 27 GIL USD 1.80B 1.14% 3.22B 16.50% 27.0% 1.84 2.59 12.22% 26.34 1.00 Others: Delta 14 DLA USD 0.492B 0.00% 0.117B 113.50% 24.0% 0.24 0.89 0.95% 92.25 0.15 Hanesbrand 27 HBI USD 4.51B 0.00% 2.6B 82.30% 33.4% 0.57 4.02 30.00% 13.77 1.94 Ennis 14.9 EBF USD 0.516B 4.80% 3.82B 22.20% 25.0% 0.76 1.09 6.67% 16.08 0.92 VF Corp 135 VFC USD 10.06B 2.10% 14.81B 17.00% 43.0% 1.51 3.4 21.08% 16.76 8.07 Competitor Average 58.75% 31.35% 0.77 2.35 14.68% 34.715 2.77 Unspectacular yield with payout of Lowest leverage but probably not the optional Based on target PE 23x, stock should be 30% capital structure. trading at $30. Gross Margin is 435bps below industry average June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 13. DRAFT What explain 2011 35% growth and is it sustainable? • Acquisition of Golden Toe in Q2 2011, added 280$ of revenues. Organic growth was 10%. • Goldentoe was acquired for $350M. • Acquisition of Anvil Holding in Q2 2012 for $88M: – Reason for acquisition: solidify US distribution network and entry into the organic and eco-responsible business; – Increase sales by $200M; – EBITDA margin of 8.5%; – Increase EPS by 20 cents, thus accretive. June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 14. DRAFT Opportunity • Improve margins by further improving vertical integration. • Growth of direct consumer market. • Profit from lower commodities price in Q3 and Q4. • Improved margin due to use of lower cost cotton and decrease in transportation cost (overall bearish commodity market). June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 15. DRAFT 2012 Earning estimate Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total Mgmt guidance -.38 .23 .80 .66 1.31 Consensus EPS trend -.39 .21 .78 .80 1.40 Mo -.38 .22 .77 .68 1.29 Earning surprise none 9.5% Peak cost cotton used in COGS and Mo’s assumption: Cotton price, lower customer lower order (operating on fuel price, higher interest, higher Anvil lower level of stock) due to destocking sales at 8.5% margin. Organic growth of season. 8% and seasonality effect. Management forecast growth of 12% yearly to boost sales from $1.7B to 1.9B. June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 16. DRAFT Very positive outlook by Bay and Wall Street Explanation: Consensus Mean consensus OUTPERFORM EPS is strongly correlated with stock price, thus # of analysts 16 expected strong second half of the year will bring sales to $1.9B which represent growth of Average price traget 30 12%. Last close price 27 Better growth perspective with acquisition of Anvil which will solidify US supply and sales channel and strategic t-shirt market. June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 17. DRAFT Looking forward • Gildan will have to continue to invest in manufacturing in low cost countries such as Bangladesh to remain competitive in the long-term. • Bangladesh offers a capable labor force at a very lost cost as well as offers duty free access to Europe, Canada, China, Japan and Australia amongst others. • Moreover negotiations are under way between the US and Bangladesh to import BGD goods into the US duty free. • Also considering the increased operational costs in Central America, Gildan should pursue an aggressive investment plan in Asia notably in BGD, India and Pakistan. June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang
  • 18. DRAFT Conclusion • We believe GIL.TO represent a solid stock priced correctly by the market – Low leverage – Trading range should be between 24$ - 30$ based on PE and potential growth of 12% yearly. – Overall, analysts are positive and consensus target is of $30 • How to increase current EP: – GIL has to increase margin its operating margin to match its peers ~33% – Profit from lower commodities cost – Develop European market and Asian market • Q3 earning call : first week of August 2012. Q3 Mgmt guidance EPS: 0.80 and YTD sales of $1.9B June 2012 | Summum Capital | Mo Yang