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National Infrastructure Simulation and Analysis Center (NISAC): Economics
How economics fits into the broader NISAC analyses
Homeland security is moving from critical infrastructure protection (CIP) to critical infrastructure resilience (CIR) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The economic criticality of commodities and assets within the Chemical Sector Critical Infrastructure is driving federal regulations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Increased resilience and decreased criticality require  value chain modeling at the appropriate level of resolution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Macro/Nation Micro/Firms Meso/Markets
What mesoeconomic value chains look like: sales and shipments
What mesoeconomic value chains look like: buyer behavior
Essential value chain modeling units ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Value chain analysis: impacts of a pandemic on the manufactured food value chain: regional markets
Value chain analysis: impacts of a pandemic on the manufactured food value chain: commodity flows
Value chain analysis: impacts of a pandemic on the  manufactured food value chain: results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Value chain analysis: what are the impacts of   stopping chlorine shipments during elevated threat levels? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Value chain example: milk & milk products: Hurricane Katrina ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],a  Red = truck shipments Milk & milk products transportation  a
Supply chain example: Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],GYT&R transportation a a Blue = rail shipments; red = truck shipments
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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INFORMS Presentation

Editor's Notes

  1. Simulations were conducted of the intra-and inter-firm economic impacts to 3,300 chlorine-related firms of disruptions to chlorine rail transport. After a disruption, larger firms are affected more than small, and regional market power for sellers is large, creating strong competition between buyers. A potential management-based policy of optionally expediting rail cars would decrease in-transit inventories of chlorine by 40%, significantly reducing the potential of chlorine railcars being used as weapons of mass destruction.