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on Steve Jobs
- When asked what market research went into
the iPad, Mr. Jobs replied: ‘None. It’s not the
consumers’ job to know what they want.’
(NYTimes, 6 okt. 2011)
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Slovenian survey
Numbers of
books bought
1998 2014
>20 Books 3% 1%
11–20 Books 7% 4%
4–10 Books 19% 22%
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Slovenian survey (cont’d)
Reasons for
not buying
books
1998 2014
Books are not
interesting
2% 29%
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Book sales in the Netherlands (in millions of units)
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Resolving the paradox
- People read differently in term of
- Price: free (gratis) online content such as
- News, fan fiction, ‘long reads’, classics and
public domain texts (and illegal e-books!)
- New text forms like texting, blogs, social
media, email
- Different distribution channels
- Outside the paid channels (book trade,
newspapers, magazines)
- Through ‘marginal’ channels of newcomers
• Amazon
• E-book ventures of all sorts
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Essay competition
organised by the Book
trade association of the
Netherlands in 1845:
‘Is the book trade
declining?’
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Similarities C19 and C21
- Price, content and channels
- For example:
- C21: Amazon
- C19: A. Eichler, syndicator over most of
Europe, with Nick Carter, Buffalo Bill, and
Raffles series
- Difficulty in identifying the needs of the new
audience
- Different mentalities of book trade and
customers
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Differences C19 and C21
- Nineteenth century more socially than
technologically driven
- Extension chiefly at the bottom of the market
- Role of education
- Hierarchical society: desire for upward mobility
- (As well as ‘secret’ interest in the ‘lower’ culture)
- Rotary presses: cheaper, larger print runs
- Twentieth century more technologically than
socially driven
- Extension at the bottom of the market +
changes in the existing market
- Primary driver: digitisation
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Who are the ‘new readers’?
- The ‘Online generation’
- [NB: additional!]
- Online 24/7
• Communication
• Media consumption
• Products and services
- Instantaneousness
- Democratic, two-way traffic
• Equality of producer and consumer
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How are expectations different?
- The ‘Online mentality’
- Instant gratification
- Content is free (or virtually so)
- Access to content is self-filtered:
• Setting preferences
• Creating profiles
• Listening to peers
- Access is more important than ownership
- ‘If something doesn’t reach me, it’s probably
not important to me’
- ‘What can be done online, must be done
online’
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Primary technological properties
- The computer is
1. A ‘Universal machine’
2. A digital–electronic device
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Salient technological properties
Paper Digital screen
Fixed / stable / permanent Fluid / unstable / impermanent
Offline Online (hyperlinking)
Material and tangible Immaterial and intangible
Text=substrate Substrate takes any text
Product (economic scarcity) ‘Service’ (inexhaustible)
One-way (author > reader)
Two-way networking (Web
2.0)
Duo-modal Multimodal
Machine readable (searchable)
Technological and
economic length limitations
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Example mentality shift 1
- News needs to be free
- Citizen journalism; User-Generated Content
- Consumers settle for ‘good enough’
- Enabled by two-way networking in Web 2.0
form
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Example mentality shift 2
- Digital text has less value
- Research by
• R. Ackerman and M. Goldsmith, ‘Metacognitive
regulation of text learning’ (2011)
• Ziming Liu, ‘Reading behavior in the digital
environment’ (2006)
• Jacob Nielsen, ‘F-shaped pattern for reading Web
content’ (2006)
- Price perception: lesser preparedness to pay
for texts than for games, films, music?
- NB: Role of Open Access
- Enabled by non-materiality and fluidity
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Example mentality shift 3
- Access is more important than ownership
- Cf. ideological ‘movement’ towards not owning
cars, tools, clothes
- The web is an access technology, it offers
services rather than products
- Subscription models for e-books
- Cf. ‘mass media’ and music
- Importance of the device (paid; relatively
expensive) vs. content (cheap or even free)
- Enabled by non-materiality and service
nature
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Sociotechnical development
Technological properties
and
affordances
➡
Actions/uses
➡
Social effects
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NB
- Intended vs unintended effects
- Technology has no agency, but inherent
characteristics
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Sociotechnical development
Technological properties
and
affordances
➡
Actions/uses
➡
Social effects
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Immateriality
- Salient technological property
- Immateriality
- Actions/uses (technological effects)
- E.g., favours access rather than ownership
models
- Social effects
- E.g., change in price perception
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Two-way networking
- Salient technological property
- Two-way networking
- Actions/uses (technological effects)
- E.g., availability of information about customer
behaviour
- Social effects
- E.g., change in (attitude to) privacy
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Sieghart Review Key Conclusions
The interests of publishers and booksellers must be
protected by building in frictions that set 21st-
century versions of the limits to supply which are
inherent in the physical loans market (and where
possible, opportunities for purchase should be
encouraged). These frictions include [1] lending of
each digital copy to one reader at a time, that [2]
digital books could be securely removed after
lending and that [3] digital books would deteriorate
after a number of loans. The exact nature of these
frictions should evolve over time to accommodate
changes in technology and the market.
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Limited control over technology
- No agency, but inherent characteristics
- Cf. seeds tended by human gardener (genetic
modification)
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Concentration of economic power
!
Ideologies like ‘openness’, ‘sharing’
are being appropriated by the
commercial web
!
The ‘long tail’ is a myth
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‘[T]his book will look at the role of IT
as a driver of [income] inequality’ (p. 3)