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Finance 311 1
Chapter 4
Evaluation of
Financial
Performance
Finance 311 2
Introduction
 This chapter introduces financial
statement analysis techniques that are
used to accurately evaluate a
company’s performance. We will
assume that the financial statements
are fairly and accurately presented.
Finance 311 3
Financial Ratios
Are Used By
 Management for planning and evaluating
 Credit managers and bankers to estimate
the riskiness of potential borrowers
 Investors to evaluate corporate securities
 Managers to identify and assess potential
merger candidates
 Widely used and accepted technique
 Use started in the 1920s
Finance 311 4
Ratio Analysis
 Many, many ratios
 Choose the ones that are most relevant for
you
 Must be compared with a standard and
also the past (three years, for example)
 A financial ratio is only an indicator
 One can possibly manipulate ratios
 Accounting differences in firms
 WorldCom (MCI), ENRON, HealthSouth,
Ahold, Tyco, etc.
Finance 311 5
Ratio Classifications
 Liquidity
 Asset management
 Financial leverage management
 Profitability
 Market-based
 Dividend policy
Finance 311 6
Major Financial
Statements Balance sheet
 Common-sized balance sheet shows
assets, liabilities, and equity as a % of total
assets
 Income statement
 Common-sized income statement
shows income and expense items as a %
of net sales
 Statement of cash flows
Finance 311 7
Common-Sized Statements
 Publicly-owned firms must publish
financial statements quarterly and
annually
 Widely used in banking and investments
Finance 311 8
Liquidity Ratios
 Current ratio = Current assets
Current liabilities
 Quick ratio = Current assets - Inventories
Current liabilities
Aging Schedule for Accounts Receivable
Finance 311 9
Asset Management
Ratios
 Average collection period =
Accounts receivable
Annual credit sales/ 365
 Inventory turnover = Cost of sales
Average inventory
 Fixed-asset turnover = Sales
Net fixed assets
 Total asset turnover = Sales
Total assets
Finance 311 10
Financial Leverage
Management
 Debt ratio = Total debt
Total assets
 Debt-to-equity ratio = Total debt
Total equity
 Times interest earned = EBIT
Interest charges
 Fixed charge coverage = EBIT + Lease payments
Interest + Lease payment +
P/S div before tax+ Before-tax
sinking fund
Finance 311 11
Profitability Ratios
 Gross profit margin =
Sales - Cost of sales
Sales
 Net profit margin = EAT
Sales
 ROI = EAT
Total Assets
 ROE = EAT
Stockholders equity
Finance 311 12
Market-Based
Ratios
 P/E ratio = Market price per share
Current earnings per share
 Market to book ratio =
Market price per share
Book value per share
Stock Price/ Free Cash Flow
Finance 311 13
Dividend Policy
Ratios
 Payout ratio = Dividends per share
Earnings per share
 Dividend yield =
Expected dividends per share
Stock price
Finance 311 14
Relationships Among
Ratios
 ROI = EAT x Sales = EAT
Sales Total assets Total assets
 ROE = EAT x Sales x Total assets
Sales Total assets Equity
 ROE = Net Profit Margin x Total Asset
Turnover x Equity Multiplier
Finance 311 15
Dupont Analysis
 Widely used in industry
 Shows impacts that operating changes
can have on returns
Finance 311 16
Financial Ratio Analysis
 Trend analysis 2002 2003 2004
XYZ current ratio 1.9 2.2 2.3
 Cross-sectional analysis 2004
XYZ current ratio 2.3
Industry norms 2.5
 Both simultaneously 2002 2003 2004
XYZ current ratio 1.9 2.2 2.3
Industry norms 2.5 2.4 2.5
Finance 311 17
Some Sources of
Information
 Trading Room (406 Sirrine
Hall)
 Bridge (Telerate)
 Bloomberg
 Reuters
 General Business File of
Cooper Library
 Factiva
 Mergent Database
 TableBase
 Reuters Business Insight
 RMA Annual Statement
Studies
 Reserves on 2nd
Floor
 Visit Index Table 3 in
Library
 Annual reports
 10K’s - SEC EDGAR
Corporate Database
 Standard and Poor’s
 Value Line
 Industry Norms and
Key Business Ratios
 The Internet
Finance 311 18
A Few of the Sources of
Information on the Web
 http://www.bloomberg.com/
 http://www.sec.gov/
 http://finance.yahoo.com/
 http://www.dnbcorp.com/
 http://www.rmahq.org/
 http://www.moodys.com/
 http://www.hoovers.com/
 But, please be careful. Remember you get
what you pay for…
Finance 311 19
Quality of a firm’s earnings is
positively related to the proportion of cash earnings to
total earnings and to the proportion of recurring income to
total income.
Large non-cash component in the earnings
Significant non-recurring transactions in the income figure
Quality of a firm’s balance sheet is
positively related to the ratio of the market value of the
firm’s assets to book value of assets and inversely
related to the amount of its hidden liabilities.
Presence of obsolete inventories and charging off
assets
Hidden assets
Assets have market values significantly below book values
Finance 311 20
Problems in Reporting
 Time of revenue recognition
 Pension Fund Earnings Assumptions
 Amortization of intangible assets
 Including all losses and debt
 Off-Balance-Sheet Financing - ENRON
Finance 311 21
Ratios Can Be Misleading
 Differing accounting practices
 Might be significant dispersion in the
ratio for the industry
 Many firms operate in more than one
industry - Industry classification
 Financial ratios provide a historical
record of performance
Finance 311 22
The Bridge System
 Turn on Monitor
 Log on
 Click on Telerate
 Double Click on the background
 Go to Analytics Page
 Type: /LU/Company for Ticker Symbol
 Type: the Ticker Symbol/CF
 CF = Corporate Fundamentals
 Scroll through the Corporate Fundamentals
 Type: the Ticker Symbol[Beta
Finance 311 23
To Obtain the Latest
Corporate News
 Tab to another page in Telerate
 Double click on the background
 Go to News Watch
 Right Click then Search by Ticker Symbol
 Type in the Ticker Symbol
 Then double click on any headline story to
bring up the entire story.
 You can print out the story or possibly save it
to a disk.
Finance 311 24
Analysis Based on the
Market Value of the
Firm
 Market value added ( MVA ) = Total
Market value – Total Capital
MVA is the market value of debt, preferred
stock, and common equity less the Capital
raised by investors or Retained Earnings.
The capital market’s assessment of the
accumulated NPV of all of the firm’s past
and present projected investment projects.
Finance 311 25
Economic Value Added (EVA)
 Economic value added ( EVA ) = [ Return
on total capital (r) – Cost of Capital (k )] x
Capital
 EVA = EBIT(1 – Corporate tax rate) –
(Operating Capital)(k)
 r = net operating profits after taxes divided by
beginning of year capital (Return on Capital)
 k = Weighted After-Tax Cost of Capital
Finance 311 26
EVA - Continued
The yearly contribution of a firm’s operations
to the creation of MVA.
 EVA measures the extent to which the firm
has increased shareholder value in a given
year.
 EVA represents the residual value that
remains after the cost of all capital, including
equity capital has been deducted.
Finance 311 27
Increase Economic Value
Added (EVA)
 Increase operating efficiency
 Commit new resources that promise a
high return
 Redirect resources to more productive
uses
 Make prudent use of tax benefits of
debt financing
Finance 311 28
Problems Caused by
Inflation Inventory profit as a result of timing of
price increases
 Inventory valuation methods
( LIFO ) ( FIFO )
 Rising interest rates causes a decline in
the value of long term debt
 Differences in the reporting of earnings
 Understatement of fixed assets
 Recognition of sales
Finance 311 29
The Cash Flow
Concept
 Accounting income Vs Cash flow
 Cash flow is the relevant source of value for the
firm
 ATCF = EAT + Noncash charges
 ATCF = EAT + Depreciation + Deferred taxes
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) = EBIT(1 – T) – Net
Investment in operating capital
 FCF = (EBIT(1 – T) + Depreciation) – Gross
investment in operating capital
Finance 311 30
Statement of Cash
Flows
 Presents the net cash provided by
operating, investing, or financing
activities
 Direct method presents the net cash
provided by operating, investing, or
financing activities
 Indirect method presents the adjustments
to net income to show net cash provided
Used for public financial reports
 The final results are identical
Finance 311 31
Complex International
Aspects of Financial
Statement Analysis
 Influenced by fluctuating exchange
rates
 SFAS No. 52 deals with foreign
currency translation
Finance 311 32
Accuracy of Financial
Statements
 External auditor
 Generally accepted accounting
principles
 People pose for a picture like a
corporation poses for a financial
statement
 Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
Finance 311 33
Conclusion
 Financial Statements
 Balance Sheet
 Income Statement
 Statement of Cash
Flows
 Common-sized
 Sarbanes-Oxley Act
 Ratios
 Liquidity
 Asset management
 Financial leverage
 Profitability
 Market-based
 Dividend policy
 DuPont Analysis
 Sources of
information
 Market Value Added
 Economic Value
Added

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Fm chapter 4

  • 1. Finance 311 1 Chapter 4 Evaluation of Financial Performance
  • 2. Finance 311 2 Introduction  This chapter introduces financial statement analysis techniques that are used to accurately evaluate a company’s performance. We will assume that the financial statements are fairly and accurately presented.
  • 3. Finance 311 3 Financial Ratios Are Used By  Management for planning and evaluating  Credit managers and bankers to estimate the riskiness of potential borrowers  Investors to evaluate corporate securities  Managers to identify and assess potential merger candidates  Widely used and accepted technique  Use started in the 1920s
  • 4. Finance 311 4 Ratio Analysis  Many, many ratios  Choose the ones that are most relevant for you  Must be compared with a standard and also the past (three years, for example)  A financial ratio is only an indicator  One can possibly manipulate ratios  Accounting differences in firms  WorldCom (MCI), ENRON, HealthSouth, Ahold, Tyco, etc.
  • 5. Finance 311 5 Ratio Classifications  Liquidity  Asset management  Financial leverage management  Profitability  Market-based  Dividend policy
  • 6. Finance 311 6 Major Financial Statements Balance sheet  Common-sized balance sheet shows assets, liabilities, and equity as a % of total assets  Income statement  Common-sized income statement shows income and expense items as a % of net sales  Statement of cash flows
  • 7. Finance 311 7 Common-Sized Statements  Publicly-owned firms must publish financial statements quarterly and annually  Widely used in banking and investments
  • 8. Finance 311 8 Liquidity Ratios  Current ratio = Current assets Current liabilities  Quick ratio = Current assets - Inventories Current liabilities Aging Schedule for Accounts Receivable
  • 9. Finance 311 9 Asset Management Ratios  Average collection period = Accounts receivable Annual credit sales/ 365  Inventory turnover = Cost of sales Average inventory  Fixed-asset turnover = Sales Net fixed assets  Total asset turnover = Sales Total assets
  • 10. Finance 311 10 Financial Leverage Management  Debt ratio = Total debt Total assets  Debt-to-equity ratio = Total debt Total equity  Times interest earned = EBIT Interest charges  Fixed charge coverage = EBIT + Lease payments Interest + Lease payment + P/S div before tax+ Before-tax sinking fund
  • 11. Finance 311 11 Profitability Ratios  Gross profit margin = Sales - Cost of sales Sales  Net profit margin = EAT Sales  ROI = EAT Total Assets  ROE = EAT Stockholders equity
  • 12. Finance 311 12 Market-Based Ratios  P/E ratio = Market price per share Current earnings per share  Market to book ratio = Market price per share Book value per share Stock Price/ Free Cash Flow
  • 13. Finance 311 13 Dividend Policy Ratios  Payout ratio = Dividends per share Earnings per share  Dividend yield = Expected dividends per share Stock price
  • 14. Finance 311 14 Relationships Among Ratios  ROI = EAT x Sales = EAT Sales Total assets Total assets  ROE = EAT x Sales x Total assets Sales Total assets Equity  ROE = Net Profit Margin x Total Asset Turnover x Equity Multiplier
  • 15. Finance 311 15 Dupont Analysis  Widely used in industry  Shows impacts that operating changes can have on returns
  • 16. Finance 311 16 Financial Ratio Analysis  Trend analysis 2002 2003 2004 XYZ current ratio 1.9 2.2 2.3  Cross-sectional analysis 2004 XYZ current ratio 2.3 Industry norms 2.5  Both simultaneously 2002 2003 2004 XYZ current ratio 1.9 2.2 2.3 Industry norms 2.5 2.4 2.5
  • 17. Finance 311 17 Some Sources of Information  Trading Room (406 Sirrine Hall)  Bridge (Telerate)  Bloomberg  Reuters  General Business File of Cooper Library  Factiva  Mergent Database  TableBase  Reuters Business Insight  RMA Annual Statement Studies  Reserves on 2nd Floor  Visit Index Table 3 in Library  Annual reports  10K’s - SEC EDGAR Corporate Database  Standard and Poor’s  Value Line  Industry Norms and Key Business Ratios  The Internet
  • 18. Finance 311 18 A Few of the Sources of Information on the Web  http://www.bloomberg.com/  http://www.sec.gov/  http://finance.yahoo.com/  http://www.dnbcorp.com/  http://www.rmahq.org/  http://www.moodys.com/  http://www.hoovers.com/  But, please be careful. Remember you get what you pay for…
  • 19. Finance 311 19 Quality of a firm’s earnings is positively related to the proportion of cash earnings to total earnings and to the proportion of recurring income to total income. Large non-cash component in the earnings Significant non-recurring transactions in the income figure Quality of a firm’s balance sheet is positively related to the ratio of the market value of the firm’s assets to book value of assets and inversely related to the amount of its hidden liabilities. Presence of obsolete inventories and charging off assets Hidden assets Assets have market values significantly below book values
  • 20. Finance 311 20 Problems in Reporting  Time of revenue recognition  Pension Fund Earnings Assumptions  Amortization of intangible assets  Including all losses and debt  Off-Balance-Sheet Financing - ENRON
  • 21. Finance 311 21 Ratios Can Be Misleading  Differing accounting practices  Might be significant dispersion in the ratio for the industry  Many firms operate in more than one industry - Industry classification  Financial ratios provide a historical record of performance
  • 22. Finance 311 22 The Bridge System  Turn on Monitor  Log on  Click on Telerate  Double Click on the background  Go to Analytics Page  Type: /LU/Company for Ticker Symbol  Type: the Ticker Symbol/CF  CF = Corporate Fundamentals  Scroll through the Corporate Fundamentals  Type: the Ticker Symbol[Beta
  • 23. Finance 311 23 To Obtain the Latest Corporate News  Tab to another page in Telerate  Double click on the background  Go to News Watch  Right Click then Search by Ticker Symbol  Type in the Ticker Symbol  Then double click on any headline story to bring up the entire story.  You can print out the story or possibly save it to a disk.
  • 24. Finance 311 24 Analysis Based on the Market Value of the Firm  Market value added ( MVA ) = Total Market value – Total Capital MVA is the market value of debt, preferred stock, and common equity less the Capital raised by investors or Retained Earnings. The capital market’s assessment of the accumulated NPV of all of the firm’s past and present projected investment projects.
  • 25. Finance 311 25 Economic Value Added (EVA)  Economic value added ( EVA ) = [ Return on total capital (r) – Cost of Capital (k )] x Capital  EVA = EBIT(1 – Corporate tax rate) – (Operating Capital)(k)  r = net operating profits after taxes divided by beginning of year capital (Return on Capital)  k = Weighted After-Tax Cost of Capital
  • 26. Finance 311 26 EVA - Continued The yearly contribution of a firm’s operations to the creation of MVA.  EVA measures the extent to which the firm has increased shareholder value in a given year.  EVA represents the residual value that remains after the cost of all capital, including equity capital has been deducted.
  • 27. Finance 311 27 Increase Economic Value Added (EVA)  Increase operating efficiency  Commit new resources that promise a high return  Redirect resources to more productive uses  Make prudent use of tax benefits of debt financing
  • 28. Finance 311 28 Problems Caused by Inflation Inventory profit as a result of timing of price increases  Inventory valuation methods ( LIFO ) ( FIFO )  Rising interest rates causes a decline in the value of long term debt  Differences in the reporting of earnings  Understatement of fixed assets  Recognition of sales
  • 29. Finance 311 29 The Cash Flow Concept  Accounting income Vs Cash flow  Cash flow is the relevant source of value for the firm  ATCF = EAT + Noncash charges  ATCF = EAT + Depreciation + Deferred taxes  Free Cash Flow (FCF) = EBIT(1 – T) – Net Investment in operating capital  FCF = (EBIT(1 – T) + Depreciation) – Gross investment in operating capital
  • 30. Finance 311 30 Statement of Cash Flows  Presents the net cash provided by operating, investing, or financing activities  Direct method presents the net cash provided by operating, investing, or financing activities  Indirect method presents the adjustments to net income to show net cash provided Used for public financial reports  The final results are identical
  • 31. Finance 311 31 Complex International Aspects of Financial Statement Analysis  Influenced by fluctuating exchange rates  SFAS No. 52 deals with foreign currency translation
  • 32. Finance 311 32 Accuracy of Financial Statements  External auditor  Generally accepted accounting principles  People pose for a picture like a corporation poses for a financial statement  Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
  • 33. Finance 311 33 Conclusion  Financial Statements  Balance Sheet  Income Statement  Statement of Cash Flows  Common-sized  Sarbanes-Oxley Act  Ratios  Liquidity  Asset management  Financial leverage  Profitability  Market-based  Dividend policy  DuPont Analysis  Sources of information  Market Value Added  Economic Value Added