Machine learning, biotechnology and blockchain technology will change the world in the coming decades, making it an ever safer, more rational and business-friendly place.

1. Blockchain Outlook
12th November 2019

2. Introduction
Read on to discover what our robot, Athena, has found on the future of this
topic and act accordingly for you, your family and organization in the years
ahead
Or, click any link to read the evidence she found from forecasts she gleaned
from reports, articles and PowerPoints from the Web and Social Media in a few
seconds
If you are new to foresight, we recommend you view this slide presentation
first to get the best out of this report
Analysis
For more detailed explanation of the graphics used in this presentation
please click here. All outlooks based on 2025 unless otherwise stated
Speaker notes are also provided on every page to assist you in interpreting the
slides and you can hear Athena speak these if you click the speaker button on
each page
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3. Driving
Forces
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Machine learning, biotechnology
and blockchain technology will
change the world in the coming
decades, making it an ever safer,
more rational and business-
friendly place

4. Trends
By 2023, blockchain inspired
technology will support the
global movement and tracking of
$2 trillion of goods and services
annually
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5. Causes
Blockchain Market size is
expected to cross USD16 billion
mark by 2024; The increasing
investment by the venture
capitalists in the blockchain
technology is a significant factor
propelling the market growth
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6. Consequences
Global custody has yet to wake
up to the fact that the threat
facing it from Blockchain and
other FinTech innovations is a life
or death one
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7. Global custody has yet to wake
up to the fact that the threat
facing it from The pace at
which it is moving is
unprecedented and 2018 will
see the first mainstream
applications of truly global
Blockchain solutions affecting
many food producers,
processors, importers and
retailers
The Global Blockchain IoT Market is
expected to grow with a significant rate
during the forecast period 2019-2025,
owing to higher adoption of blockchain
solutions for smart contracts and digital
identity
Solutions
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8. Cloud
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Blockchain applications are
creating entirely new types of
value and collaboration
opportunities

9. Systems
Map
The shift from centrally-backed
paper currency to a decentralized,
digital currency backed by the
immutable proofs of blockchain
will change our world in ways not
even imagined
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10. Radar
Blockchain technology will
enable banks to track the
progressive history of every
transaction on their systems to
ensure that the origin, ultimate
destination and use of funds is
clear and traceable
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11. Graph-It
But, blockchain’s life in the sun
may be short-lived as experts
predict that while its likelihood of
adoption is very high in a few
sectors its relevance to others
will be only secondary
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12. Trend Waves
From small beginnings four years ago the Blockchain market has
exploded into life. But the rush will likely be over by 2028. From
2019-2070, the top five topics underpinning the future of this topic
are entertainment, clothing, truth, trade and conflict at a 95%
confidence level. The most trending topics are banking, clothing,
collaboration and climate in the year 2020, 2021 and 2033
respectively
Four years ago
Now

13. Sentiment
As might be expected, positive sentiment towards Blockchain
is extraordinarily high. Top four positives are property and
device tracking, fraud control and better regulation. Negative
sentiments are mainly about fear of job losses
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Influencers
China and the USA lead in Blockchain
developments. Banking is the top
focus

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Pie Chart
The Tipping Point for public
acceptance of Blockchain in
everyday life is likely around 2043
with the effects of this new
technology manifesting themselves
throughout the rest of the 21st
Century.
Probability of occurrence is now
almost certain with billions of
dollars now associated with this
technology

16. Geographies
Blockchain adoption has now spread to many countries with
China, the USA, Russia, India and Spain the leading users
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17. Heatmap
This chart clearly shows the dominant focus on Blockchain in
Financial Services with very few efforts elsewhere. It remains
to be seen if other countries and sectors will adopt Blockchain
at scale for uses other than Banking in the future
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18. Challenges
While the impact (Intensity) of
Blockchain is high, its tipping
point is predicted to be far
further out than other pronising
technologies. This is perhaps why
countries and sectors show less
interest in developing this
technology while other lower
hanging fruit presents itself.
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19. Alternative
Futures
The four alternate futures mehods suggest that
most of the Blockchain arena is managerial,
systemic and obvious in nature with large
growth opportunities.
However, Entrepreneurs and Leaders will
change existing paradigms in profound ways,
some businesses will collapse, and myths will
be exploded towards very different futures. To
remain agile and resilient in this VUCA world
organizations need to determine their path
forward through futures exercises that give
them and entrepreneurial and leadership edge
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Contact us to develop alternative futures that help you remain resilient and agile into the future.
Our digital methods above can deliver robust results in hours rather than the months and years
of effort required by traditional consultancy projects
VUCA is an acronym used by the American Military. It stands for Volatile, Uncertain, Complex and
Ambiguous.
Foresight Methods - Donuts

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Potential
shocks!
• By 2027, quantum
computing could pose a risk
to blockchain as it may be
powerful enough to crack
blockchain encryption or
mount a 51% attack.

21. SWOT
However, most pundits and experts have a very positive view
of the future of blockchain. If your business involves mass
agreements, contracts and asset controls then this is a
technology to explore in-depth now while your rivals are
focused elsewhere
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Strengths | Weaknesses | Opportunities | Threats (To access click the presented Forecasts button and then your selection - subscribers only)

22. Questions for you to
consider
Blockchain beyond the hype: What is the
strategic business value?
What advantages does blockchain offer over
conventional methods?
Where is blockchain a potentially good
business fit?
“People usually overestimate the change that will
occur in the next two years and underestimate the
change that will occur in the next ten.” - Bill Gates
Take a least a medium term, not a short-term view
when considering these questions
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23. Potential Responses
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24. Sources
Athena used the top sources
shown here as the ones to
create this report and
determined which
embedded forecasts are
included in this Trend Alert.
She found 2,184 forecasts in
seconds on 12th November
2019 to allow us to publish
this report in less than one
hour
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25. Evidence
• Search term: blockchain. Use
this search term to explore
Shaping Tomorrow’s
extensive database for more
knowledge and wisdom and
latest data and information
on the topic.
• To view the latest forecasts,
click here
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Latest forecasts

26. Athena
I do show duplicates to aid your
understanding of themes as well as
contradictory forecasts. I may also show
near-duplicates. You can speed read past
the duplicates and near-duplicates if you
wish, though the latter may show additional
information. You can use the contradictory,
and likely uncertain forecasts she finds to
imagine different scenarios. The future is
unpredictable, but we can examine the
possibilities and choose our preferable
future from the choices I present.
I’m apolitical. I report forecasts from
different viewpoints however distasteful
that might be to our own values.
However, my news algorithm does not allow
me to show fake or hate news. But, i can
show you highlighted rumours or
controversies that may turn out to come
true.
Wearing rose-colored glasses is not my
purpose; reporting potential futures is. So, I
recommend you check my veracity before
responding to the extracted forecasts.
Just like humans, I can be
fallible. Do recognize that you and
your associates are biased too.
But whereas you tire, make
mistakes and only recognize what
interests you, I do not. I might
miss or misinterpret as you do,
but with far less frequency and I'll
take uncomfortable truths and
alternative ideas in my stride. But,
please let us know if you feel my
bias can be reduced. We want to
do our best for you. And, as with
any research, you should check
and triangulate my findings for
yourself.
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methods

27. Keep up to date You can stay up-to-date on this
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The Shaping Tomorrow team.
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We hope you will now take
positive action on the
issues that affect you, your
family, your organization
and society at large for the
benefit of all
"If you don't know where
you're going, any road will
take you there."
George Harrison

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"Leaders keep their eyes on the
horizon, not just on the bottom
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