Intelligent Transportation Trends chpt.9 - Prospective and Implications
The term Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) was coined over two decades ago to designate applications of information and communication technologies to the operational management of transportation networks. The main promise of ITS has been very consistent over that period: network capacity can be freed up by optimizing traffic controls and empowering users with accurate travel information. It can be debated how much faith practitioners and policy makers have placed in technology by investing their resources, as well as the extent to which Intelligent Transportation Systems have delivered on their promise. However, there is no question that steady and sometimes spectacular advances in computing technologies and usage trickle down to transportation applications in important ways. As a result, new products and services emerge continuously. They include systems that address the direct needs of networks managers, as well as others that are developed in tangential markets (e.g. automotive) or even through non-market mechanisms (e.g. many mobile web applications). This talk presentation reviews major trends in information and communication technologies and demonstrate how each of them is driving innovative transportation services. We attempt to envision how those trends might develop in the future, so that we can finally examine some of their implications for travel demand and network management. There lie both challenges and opportunities for transportation engineers and planners, but either way, profound changes appear inevitable.
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Intelligent Transportation Trends chpt.9 - Prospective and Implications
- 1. Intelligent Transportation J.D. Margulici Trends and Perspectives jdm@novavia.us 2011 www.novaviasolutions.com Chapter 9: Prospective and Implications Note to copyright owners: all third-party materials contained in this presentation were obtained from publicly available sources. However, they are reproduced here without explicit permission from their owners. Novavia Solutions will gladly remove any such material at the owner’s request.
- 2. ITS primer and brief history Intelligent Transportation State of the art Trends and Perspectives 2011 Information technology trends Prospective and implications J.D. Margulici jdm@novavia.us www.novaviasolutions.com
- 3. ITS Applications in 2020 Traffic Operations (monitoring, dispatch…) Advanced Traffic Management Systems Advanced Traveler Information Systems Public Transit Operations Tolling / Enforcement Commercial Vehicle Operations Intelligent Vehicles Infrastructure-side Active Safety Parking Management Mobility Services ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 3
- 4. ITS Applications in 2020 Traffic Operations (monitoring, dispatch…) eCall, next-gen 911 implemented Software deployed to enable integrated operations Probe-based monitoring becomes dominant ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 4
- 5. ITS Applications in 2020 Advanced Traffic Management Systems Evolution will still be slow in the coming decade Hundreds of miles of managed lanes rolled out Pricing much more likely to impact congestion ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 5
- 6. ITS Applications in 2020 Advanced Traveler Information Systems Estimates AND predictions will be quite reliable Information will be as trivial as weather info Expect fights / regulations over alternative routes ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 6
- 7. ITS Applications in 2020 Public Transit Operations Real-time information will be ubiquitous Service quality will become a management variable Route planning might become more responsive ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 7
- 8. ITS Applications in 2020 Transportation payments integrated with credit cards DSRC tolling likely in the US, but video backup will remain VMT pricing will be piloted in the coming decade Tolling / Enforcement Variable / discriminatory pricing will be common place Car models to ship with speed limiters –end of speeding? Expect privacy vs. safety debate to become high-profile ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 8
- 9. ITS Applications in 2020 First automated driving operations to roll out Safety record will improve significantly HazMat / security tech. driven by politics, not policies Commercial Vehicle Operations ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 9
- 10. ITS Applications in 2020 Dramatic gains in active safety Some autonomous driving on high-end vehicles Human errors will cause disproportionate nb. of accidents Intelligent Vehicles ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 10
- 11. ITS Applications in 2020 This will fall off the radar Cooperative systems and in-vehicle alerts will do the trick Infrastructure-side Active Safety ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 11
- 12. ITS Applications in 2020 Most parking will still be dumb and free… Cheaper sensors will spread on urban parking spaces Payments will be by mobile phone / smart cards Parking Management ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 12
- 13. ITS Applications in 2020 Telematics services standard in every car Carsharing will grow by order(s) of magnitude Carpooling will be driven by pricing only Insurance plans will look more like cell phone plans Maybe even mobility plans that bundle cars, transit, cabs Mobility Services ITS Trends and Perspectives - April 2011 13
- 14. Intelligent Transportation J.D. Margulici Trends and Perspectives jdm@novavia.us 2011 www.novaviasolutions.com Thank you for your attention! Part I: Introduction