Jay Sunde Chapel Hill - These days some kids are sent to 'school' from the time they are 12-14 months previous. This is a new pattern and parents of the old school usually wonder what these 'babies' could probably learn when they have just begun to walk and talk. So, preschool education is so important.
2. Economics of Early Childhood
“On a simply financial
foundation, it makes a lot
of sense to spend money
on the young… Beginning
studying begets later
studying. And early
achievements types later
achievements.”
4. Approach 1: comparing countries
This research was already released in the top
publication The Lancet (23 Sept 2011)
Authors in comparison low and center income
nations with a complete of 2.7 billion dollars
inhabitants
Used three scenarios: 25% , 35% or 50% surge in
pre-school enrolment
Estimated the benefits with regards to academic
achievement and, from there, of GNP growth
And found a benefits of cost rate of 6.4 to 17.6
5. Approach 2: comparing children
A pre-school program in the USA
Comparing treatment group and control group
Benefit to cost amount of 17, by the age of 40
Benefits and costs per participant in US$ (constant 2000) and with 3% discount rate
$15,166
$0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000
Cost s
Benefit s
Tot al ret urn = $258,888; $17.07 per dollar invest ed:
$12.90 t o t he public, $4.17 t o part icipant s
Welfare Educat ion Earnings Tax es paid Crim e
8. Looking to the West......
For Serbia: enrolment in pre-primary during 2009 at age groups 3-5.5: 48%
For EU-countries: enrolment in pre-primary among 3 and 4 season olds in 2005-2006.
For UK: only 3 season olds. At age 4, 90% of kids are either in pre-primary or primary
9. ... and looking to the East
Enrolment at ages 3-6 by GDP per capita
Note: from international data-base. Data for Serbia may differ from national sources.
11. Short programs seem 4 to 6 times
less costly than full-day programs
Currency Unit cost
full-day
Unit cost
half-day
Ratio:
full / half
Armenia US$ 216 34.2 6.32
Kyrgyzstan Som 6010 1670 3.60
Macedonia Denar 71590 11139 6.43
Poland Zloty 4500 1200 3.75
12. Short or Fullday: some examples
Kyrgyzstan: fast development of brief applications,
started by NGOs but taken ove by Government
Poland: “where there are no Preschools”
Big variations in West-Europe, for example:
Belgium. From age 2.5 onwards: fullday good care in
little categories with near to 100% enrolment in
community organizations. Same in Italy and Italy.
Netherlands. Only from age 4: school-based system of
5 time per day generally in huge categories. No foods
or mattresses. Daycare mainly personal. Unique
applications for disadvantaged..
13. How to finance scale up
Increase gradually: first from age 4, then from age 3
Use current pre-school budget:
Raise efficiency
Raise full-day fee precisely (social justice)
Use ‘demographic dividend’:
Use current area in schools
Retrain main teachers
14. Main conclusions
Serbia has every opportunity to increase protection of
pre-school knowledge, given that we:
promote enrolment in short applications, and
convince mother and father who do not need daycare
Serbia should first target the lowest but gradually aim
at worldwide coverage:
48% of your kids are already on board!
children in the center categories benefit as well
The cumulative deficit, shown here, represents the idea that the later the investment in improved caring for a child , the wider the gap that has to be closed. This is illustrated by showing the top curve, which represents the normal course of development, and the bottom curve, which shows the course of development for a child who is “developmentally delayed” - in other words, has a slower rate of development, and may be at risk for mental retardation.
The key message is that the later you intervene, the greater the gap that has to be closed.
The Y axis (vertical) is the child’s developmental level - both cognitive and social. The X axis (horizontal) is the age period. The list of factors on the right side of the graph represent all of the factors that may affect the magnitude of the developmental delay. Some of these are characteristics of the individual, such as responsiveness, and others are characteristics of the situation (timing, intensity of the intervention, breadth of the intervention), and a third refer to cultural and developmental appropriateness.
This chart is from Ramey and Ramey, Am Psychologist. (1999).
One of the most well-known findings of this study is that the preschool program had a large return on investment. The best estimate, using a 3% discount rate, which is similar to an interest rate over and above inflation, is that for each dollar invested, the program returned $12.90 to the public and $4.10 to participants, for a total return of $17.07. As the graph shows, the sources of the return were savings in welfare, education due to less need for special education classes, greater earnings of participants, higher taxes paid on greater earnings, and both criminal justice system and victim costs of crime. Savings in crime costs alone were over 11 times the cost of the program, but even with the crime savings, the program paid for itself.
Some would say at $8,500 a year per child, the program is too expensive. But the public cost of every poor child who does not receive this program is not zero, but almost $200,000. Why do we keep choosing to spend $200,000 on big problems that we could prevent by spending $15,000? Government deficits are real, large, and growing. A major reason for them is our failure to make early childhood investments that significantly reduce our social problems before they get out of hand.